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Rennes v Angers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 December 2024 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

2–0
0.63 – 0.39 xG
Shots
7 – 3
On target
4 – 0
Shots in box
4 – 3
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.13
Set-piece xG
0.00 – 0.00
Goals − xG
+1.37 – -0.39
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.20.40.50.70'15'30'45'60'75'90'Albert Grønbæk 32' — goalLorenz Assignon 91' — goal
Rennes 0.63 xGAngers 0.39 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Jordan James 4' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ludovic Blas 26' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Albert Grønbæk 32' — Goal (0.29 xG, Open Play)Ibrahima Niane 45' — Missed Shot (0.31 xG, Open Play)Albert Grønbæk 46' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Albert Grønbæk 57' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 74' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Himad Abdelli 75' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Esteban Lepaul 84' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Lorenz Assignon 91' — Goal (0.07 xG, Open Play)
Rennes attacking right Angers attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Rennes Jordan James 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Amine Gouiri
26' Rennes Ludovic Blas 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Lorenz Assignon
32' Rennes Albert Grønbæk 0.29 Open Play Goal Ludovic Blas
45' Angers Ibrahima Niane 0.31 Open Play Missed Shot Yassin Belkhdim
46' Rennes Albert Grønbæk 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Ludovic Blas
57' Rennes Albert Grønbæk 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Mahamadou Nagida
74' Rennes Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Jordan James
75' Angers Himad Abdelli 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Esteban Lepaul
84' Angers Esteban Lepaul 0.02 Open Play Blocked Shot Carlens Arcus
91' Rennes Lorenz Assignon 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Goal

Players

Angers

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Himad Abdelli AMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.08
Abdoulaye Bamba DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Yahia Fofana GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Jordan Lefort DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Jean Eudes Aholou DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Haris Belkebla DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Carlens Arcus DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.33
Ibrahima Niane FW 80 0 0 1 0 0.31 0.00 0.37
Yassin Belkhdim AMR 71 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.31 0.31
Lilian Raolisoa AML 70 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Florent Hanin DL 49 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jacques Ekomie Sub 41 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Esteban Lepaul Sub 20 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.06 0.08
Zinedine Ferhat Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Rennes

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Lorenz Assignon DMR 90 1 0 1 1 0.07 0.03 0.48
Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga FW 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.11
Mahamadou Nagida DML 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.09 0.09
Leo Østigard DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Hans Hateboer DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Azor Matusiwa MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Steve Mandanda GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.29
Adrien Truffert DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jordan James MC 80 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.03 0.13
Ludovic Blas AMC 79 0 1 1 2 0.03 0.40 0.43
Albert Grønbæk Sub 76 1 0 3 0 0.48 0.00 0.48
Amine Gouiri AMC 14 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Jota Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Glen Kamara Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Andrés Gómez Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Christopher Wooh Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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