Rennes v Lille — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627

Ligue 1 xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Rennes

14:00 UTC

Lille

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 387h before kick-off

Rennes win

45.2%

model 41.2%

Draw

23.8%

model 24.9%

Lille win

31.0%

model 33.9%

452431

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.7%
2-1 8.8%
1-0 8.7%
1-2 7.9%
0-1 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.4%	Under 2.5	45.6%
BTTS yes	57.7%	BTTS no	42.3%
Rennes 1+	77.9%	Rennes 2+	44.6%
Lille 1+	74.1%	Lille 2+	39.0%

Expected goals 1.51 – 1.35. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

89/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Lille or draw in 2nd half

Double chance 2HT · usually 58%

66.4% fair odds 1.51

moderate signal · 1627 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Lille not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 84%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
At home Rennes average 2.21 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Rennes have an estimated 45.2% win probability, against 31.0% for Lille and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.51 for Rennes and 1.35 for Lille.

Why Rennes

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five. At home Rennes average 2.21 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.51 to 1.35. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Lille can win

Away from home Lille average 1.27 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Rennes were missing 1.38 expected goal involvements a match against 1.03.

Key players

Rennes's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Esteban Lepaul (0.58), Ronaldo (0.41), Timur Suleymanov (0.35). Lille's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Matias Fernandez-Pardo (0.49), Hákon Haraldsson (0.32), Olivier Giroud (0.29).

Availability

2 of Rennes's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Rennes's last eleven are new to the club this window. 2 of Lille's top three contributors did not start their last match. Lille changed goalkeeper for their last match. 27% of Lille's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Rennes: 53% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.17 xG a match from set pieces. Lille: 56% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.42 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Rennes are the model's most likely outcome at 45.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%. Confidence 89/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Rennes have scored 20 from 21.3 expected and conceded 22 from 23.1 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

LWLDWWWLWL last 10 scored 20 from 21.3 xG conceded 22 from 23.1 xG

Lille are finishing below their chances — 2.3 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 3.8 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

DWLWDWWLWD last 10 scored 12 from 14.3 xG conceded 8 from 11.8 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	412534	1.51–1.35	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	352540	1.37–1.47	1-1 12%	54%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to win	40.2%	42.9%	46.2%	0.93×	2.33
Lille to win	35.5%	36.3%	31.3%	1.16×	2.75
Draw	24.3%	24.4%	22.6%	1.08×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes & both teams score	21.6%	21.8%	22.7%	0.96×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.3%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Lille & both teams score	19.3%	18.0%	15.8%	1.14×	5.56
Rennes & not both score	18.6%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.57
Lille & not both score	16.2%	18.0%	15.7%	1.15×	5.57
Draw & not both score	5.0%	8.3%	6.4%	1.31×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes & over 1.5	32.4%	30.8%	36.2%	0.85×	3.25
Lille & over 1.5	28.3%	26.1%	25.3%	1.03×	3.84
Rennes & over 2.5	26.4%	26.1%	28.8%	0.90×	3.84
Rennes & under 3.5	25.6%	26.1%	29.5%	0.88×	3.84
Lille & over 2.5	23.1%	21.6%	19.8%	1.09×	4.63
Lille & under 3.5	23.1%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.2%	18.0%	16.1%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.2%	18.0%	16.1%	1.12×	5.56
Rennes & over 3.5	14.6%	12.8%	16.8%	0.76×	7.79
Rennes & under 2.5	13.8%	12.8%	17.6%	0.73×	7.79
Lille & under 2.5	12.5%	12.8%	11.7%	1.10×	7.79
Lille & over 3.5	12.5%	12.8%	11.2%	1.14×	7.79
Rennes & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	8.1%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.1%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63
Lille & under 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	6.2%	1.28×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.0%	7.9%	6.4%	1.25×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (1UP)	57.9%	58.1%	59.0%	0.98×	1.72
Lille (1UP)	54.0%	52.7%	48.8%	1.08×	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (2UP)	40.2%	47.0%	48.2%	0.97×	2.13
Lille (2UP)	35.5%	37.3%	33.6%	1.11×	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to win 2nd half	35.3%	36.1%	42.0%	0.86×	2.77
2nd half drawn	33.4%	34.3%	31.3%	1.10×	2.91
Lille to win 2nd half	31.3%	34.3%	26.9%	1.28×	2.92

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.5%	79.2%	82.3%	0.96×	1.26
Lille over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.8%	54.5%	50.2%	1.09×	1.83
Lille under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.2%	45.5%	49.8%	0.91×	2.20
Lille over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.5%	20.8%	17.7%	1.18×	4.80

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.8%	75.4%	75.5%	1.00×	1.33
Rennes over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.9%	58.1%	62.2%	0.93×	1.72
Rennes under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.2%	41.9%	37.8%	1.11×	2.39
Rennes over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.2%	24.6%	24.5%	1.00×	4.07

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille (+2.5)	92.2%	92.1%	90.1%	1.02×	1.09
Lille (+1.5)	80.2%	82.5%	75.5%	1.09×	1.21
Rennes (+0.5)	64.5%	63.0%	68.7%	0.92×	1.59
Lille (+0.5)	59.8%	57.1%	53.8%	1.06×	1.75
Rennes (-0.5)	40.2%	42.9%	46.2%	0.93×	2.33
Lille (-0.5)	35.5%	37.0%	31.3%	1.18×	2.70
Rennes (-1.5)	19.8%	17.5%	24.5%	0.71×	5.72
Rennes (-2.5)	7.8%	7.9%	9.9%	0.80×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille to concede	78.7%	78.8%	78.1%	1.01×	1.27
Lille clean sheet	21.3%	21.2%	21.9%	0.97×	4.72

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille clean sheet in 1st half	52.9%	50.6%	51.8%	0.98×	1.98
Lille to concede in 1st half	47.1%	49.4%	48.2%	1.03×	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille to concede in 2nd half	59.9%	57.5%	62.2%	0.93×	1.74
Lille clean sheet in 2nd half	40.2%	42.5%	37.8%	1.12×	2.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille over 2.5 corners	77.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Lille under 6.5 corners	75.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Lille under 5.5 corners	65.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Lille over 3.5 corners	62.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Lille under 4.5 corners	52.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Lille over 4.5 corners	48.0%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Lille under 3.5 corners	37.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Lille over 5.5 corners	34.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Lille over 6.5 corners	24.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Lille under 2.5 corners	22.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille under 3.5 goals	94.1%	92.3%	93.6%	0.99×	1.08
Lille under 2.5 goals	82.3%	81.5%	84.5%	0.96×	1.23
Lille over 0.5 goals	76.4%	76.2%	70.2%	1.09×	1.31
Lille under 1.5 goals	57.7%	59.4%	63.2%	0.94×	1.68
Lille over 1.5 goals	42.3%	40.6%	36.8%	1.10×	2.46
Lille under 0.5 goals	23.6%	23.8%	29.8%	0.80×	4.21
Lille over 2.5 goals	17.7%	18.5%	15.5%	1.20×	5.39
Lille over 3.5 goals	5.9%	7.7%	6.4%	1.20×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille under 1.5 in 1st half	87.7%	89.3%	87.7%	1.02×	1.12
Lille under 0.5 in 1st half	54.6%	55.6%	57.9%	0.96×	1.80
Lille over 0.5 in 1st half	45.4%	44.4%	42.1%	1.05×	2.25
Lille over 1.5 in 1st half	12.3%	10.7%	12.3%	0.87×	9.36

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille scores more in 2nd half	38.4%	37.4%	34.4%	1.09×	2.68
Lille scores equally in both	37.2%	37.3%	41.1%	0.91×	2.68
Lille scores more in 1st half	24.4%	22.0%	24.7%	0.89×	4.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (away no bet)	62.3%	61.9%	67.2%	0.92×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	37.7%	38.1%	32.8%	1.16×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille even goals	52.8%	52.6%	55.7%	0.94×	1.90
Lille odd goals	47.2%	47.4%	44.3%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.6%	82.7%	82.6%	1.00×	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.4%	17.3%	17.4%	0.99×	5.77

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.1%	68.5%	65.9%	1.04×	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.9%	31.5%	34.1%	0.92×	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.2%	60.0%	60.5%	0.99×	1.67
Rennes to score 2+ in a row	36.0%	36.6%	38.6%	0.95×	2.74
Lille to score 2+ in a row	32.4%	29.2%	28.0%	1.04×	3.43
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.2%	19.6%	22.3%	0.88×	5.10
Rennes to score 3+ in a row	12.4%	12.0%	13.8%	0.88×	8.30
Lille to score 3+ in a row	10.3%	12.0%	9.2%	1.31×	8.34

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes corners (+3.5)	85.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Rennes corners (+2.5)	79.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Lille corners (+3.5)	75.0%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Rennes corners (+1.5)	71.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Lille corners (+2.5)	66.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Lille corners (+1.5)	57.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Rennes corners (-1.5)	42.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Rennes corners (-2.5)	33.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Lille corners (-1.5)	28.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Rennes corners (-3.5)	25.0%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Lille corners (-2.5)	21.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Lille corners (-3.5)	14.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	35.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	27.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	72.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	71.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	64.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	63.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	55.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	44.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	35.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	28.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	27.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.2%	11.5%	9.9%	1.16×	8.72
2-1	8.7%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.50
0-1	7.2%	7.4%	6.2%	1.19×	13.51
1-0	7.8%	7.4%	10.2%	0.73×	13.50
1-2	8.1%	7.4%	6.4%	1.17×	13.50
2-0	6.0%	7.4%	7.5%	0.98×	13.51
2-2	6.3%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
0-0	5.0%	7.4%	6.4%	1.17×	13.51
0-2	5.2%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.51
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.30
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.31
3-0	3.1%	1.7%	3.5%	0.48×	58.30
3-1	4.5%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.29
3-2	3.2%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.30
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.32
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.31
4-1	1.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.31
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%	3.87×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.80×	58.32
Any other score	3.7%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.30
0-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
1-3	3.9%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (2nd half DNB)	53.0%	52.9%	60.9%	0.87×	1.89
Lille (2nd half DNB)	47.0%	47.1%	39.1%	1.21×	2.12

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes leading at HT (DNB)	51.7%	54.8%	54.1%	1.01×	1.83
Lille leading at HT (DNB)	48.3%	45.2%	45.9%	0.98×	2.21

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes or Lille (12)	75.7%	75.6%	77.4%	0.98×	1.32
Rennes or draw (1X)	64.5%	63.7%	68.7%	0.93×	1.57
Lille or draw (X2)	59.8%	57.1%	53.8%	1.06×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes or draw at HT	71.6%	75.1%	71.6%	1.05×	1.33
Lille or draw at HT	69.6%	66.7%	66.6%	1.00×	1.50
Rennes or Lille at HT	58.8%	57.2%	61.6%	0.93×	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes or draw (1UP)	64.5%	71.7%	73.1%	0.98×	1.39
Lille or draw (1UP)	59.8%	63.2%	61.5%	1.03×	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes or draw in 2nd half	68.7%	65.7%	73.1%	0.90×	1.52
Rennes or Lille in 2nd half	66.6%	65.7%	68.7%	0.96×	1.52
Lille or draw in 2nd half	64.7%	63.9%	58.1%	1.10×	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.8%	61.4%	57.0%	1.08×	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.2%	38.7%	43.0%	0.90×	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (DNB)	53.0%	50.9%	59.6%	0.85×	1.96
Lille (DNB)	47.0%	49.1%	40.4%	1.21×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to score first	49.2%	46.1%	50.3%	0.92×	2.17
Lille to score first	45.8%	45.9%	43.5%	1.06×	2.18
No goal scored	5.0%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.55

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.2%	56.6%	54.7%	1.04×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.8%	43.4%	45.3%	0.96×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	48.9%	44.4%	44.9%	0.99×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	31.3%	34.5%	35.3%	0.98×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	9.9%	1.25×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	8.6%	8.3%	10.2%	0.81×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.6%	82.6%	84.5%	0.98×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.4%	17.4%	15.5%	1.12×	5.74

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.0%	67.3%	69.4%	0.97×	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.0%	32.7%	30.6%	1.07×	3.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.9%	54.8%	57.2%	0.96×	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	26.7%	27.4%	24.2%	1.13×	3.65
Both score 1st half only	14.1%	10.7%	12.4%	0.86×	9.34
Both score in both halves	7.3%	6.8%	6.5%	1.05×	14.70

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.7%	81.2%	81.2%	1.00×	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.3%	18.8%	18.8%	1.00×	5.33

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	58.7%	57.4%	59.7%	0.96×	1.74
A half without a goal	41.3%	42.6%	40.3%	1.06×	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.9%	42.1%	43.3%	0.97×	2.37
4-6 goals	31.8%	30.7%	30.9%	1.00×	3.25
0-1 goals	20.0%	22.9%	22.5%	1.02×	4.37
7+ goals	3.3%	1.8%	3.7%	0.50×	54.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille to score exactly 1	34.1%	33.8%	33.5%	1.01×	2.96
Lille to score exactly 2	24.6%	22.3%	21.4%	1.04×	4.48
Lille to score exactly 0	23.6%	22.3%	29.8%	0.75×	4.48
Lille to score 3+	17.7%	19.6%	15.5%	1.26×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to score exactly 1	32.9%	32.6%	31.8%	1.03×	3.07
Rennes to score exactly 2	25.5%	26.5%	24.1%	1.10×	3.77
Rennes to score exactly 0	21.3%	23.3%	21.9%	1.07×	4.29
Rennes to score 3+	20.3%	23.3%	22.6%	1.03×	4.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.2%	42.8%	38.4%	1.12×	2.33
Rennes leading at HT	30.4%	33.3%	33.4%	1.00×	3.01
Lille leading at HT	28.4%	24.9%	28.4%	0.88×	4.01

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes -1: 2	59.8%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Rennes -1: X	20.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Rennes -1: 1	19.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille (0:1)	59.8%	55.9%	53.8%	1.04×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	20.4%	24.2%	21.9%	1.11×	4.13
Rennes (0:1)	19.8%	17.8%	24.5%	0.73×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille (0:2)	80.2%	82.9%	75.5%	1.10×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.0%	11.0%	14.8%	0.74×	9.10
Rennes (0:2)	7.8%	7.7%	9.9%	0.78×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille (0:3)	92.2%	92.7%	90.1%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.3%	5.8%	5.9%	0.98×	17.24
Rennes (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	4.1%	0.57×	42.08

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille (0:4)	97.5%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	2.8%	0.44×	81.90
Rennes (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	82.03

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (1:0)	64.5%	65.4%	68.7%	0.95×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	19.0%	17.1%	14.6%	1.17×	5.85
Lille (1:0)	16.6%	17.1%	16.8%	1.02×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (2:0)	83.4%	84.6%	83.2%	1.02×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.4%	10.3%	9.9%	1.04×	9.74
Lille (2:0)	6.2%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.70

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.4%	48.8%	48.2%	1.01×	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.2%	26.0%	1.01×	3.81
Halves equal	23.5%	24.4%	26.0%	0.94×	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to concede	76.4%	76.1%	70.2%	1.08×	1.32
Rennes clean sheet	23.6%	23.9%	29.8%	0.80×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes clean sheet in 1st half	54.6%	55.6%	57.9%	0.96×	1.80
Rennes to concede in 1st half	45.4%	44.4%	42.1%	1.05×	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to concede in 2nd half	56.8%	54.8%	50.2%	1.09×	1.82
Rennes clean sheet in 2nd half	43.2%	45.2%	49.8%	0.91×	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes over 2.5 corners	83.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Rennes over 3.5 corners	71.6%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Rennes under 6.5 corners	66.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Rennes over 4.5 corners	58.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Rennes under 5.5 corners	54.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Rennes over 5.5 corners	45.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Rennes under 4.5 corners	41.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Rennes over 6.5 corners	33.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Rennes under 3.5 corners	28.4%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Rennes under 2.5 corners	16.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes under 3.5 goals	92.8%	92.2%	91.6%	1.01×	1.08
Rennes under 2.5 goals	79.7%	77.7%	77.4%	1.00×	1.29
Rennes over 0.5 goals	78.7%	77.7%	78.1%	0.99×	1.29
Rennes under 1.5 goals	54.2%	53.2%	53.5%	1.00×	1.88
Rennes over 1.5 goals	45.8%	46.8%	46.5%	1.01×	2.14
Rennes under 0.5 goals	21.3%	22.3%	21.9%	1.02×	4.49
Rennes over 2.5 goals	20.3%	22.3%	22.6%	0.98×	4.49
Rennes over 3.5 goals	7.2%	7.8%	8.4%	0.92×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes under 1.5 in 1st half	86.6%	90.2%	87.1%	1.03×	1.11
Rennes under 0.5 in 1st half	52.9%	50.4%	51.8%	0.97×	1.99
Rennes over 0.5 in 1st half	47.1%	49.6%	48.2%	1.03×	2.02
Rennes over 1.5 in 1st half	13.4%	9.8%	12.9%	0.77×	10.16

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes scores more in 2nd half	40.2%	42.0%	40.9%	1.03×	2.38
Rennes scores equally in both	35.5%	37.9%	36.6%	1.03×	2.64
Rennes scores more in 1st half	24.3%	21.3%	22.6%	0.94×	4.70

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille (home no bet)	59.4%	56.5%	58.1%	0.97×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	40.6%	43.5%	41.9%	1.04×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes even goals	52.3%	50.7%	51.8%	0.98×	1.97
Rennes odd goals	47.7%	49.3%	48.2%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.9%	28.0%	28.5%	0.98×	3.57
HT 1-0	18.4%	18.6%	21.4%	0.87×	5.38
HT 0-1	17.5%	18.6%	16.8%	1.10×	5.38
HT 1-1	11.1%	11.0%	9.5%	1.16×	9.09
HT 2-0	5.9%	6.9%	6.8%	1.01×	14.51
HT 0-2	5.3%	6.9%	5.2%	1.33×	14.52
Any other HT score	5.0%	2.4%	4.6%	0.52×	41.95
HT 1-2	3.4%	2.4%	4.4%	0.54×	42.06
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.4%	3.3%	0.73×	42.05
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.4%	0.7%	3.21×	42.21

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes at HT / Rennes at FT	22.8%	21.8%	27.8%	0.79×	4.59
Lille at HT / Lille at FT	20.2%	21.7%	18.9%	1.15×	4.60
Draw at HT / Rennes at FT	14.5%	12.7%	15.1%	0.84×	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.7%	12.7%	12.7%	1.00×	7.90
Draw at HT / Lille at FT	12.9%	12.6%	10.9%	1.16×	7.91
Lille at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	6.1%	0.99×	16.68
Rennes at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	4.1%	1.45×	16.68
Lille at HT / Rennes at FT	2.9%	3.5%	3.7%	0.94×	28.66
Rennes at HT / Lille at FT	2.5%	3.5%	1.8%	1.97×	28.67

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to score last	49.2%	46.6%	53.0%	0.88×	2.15
Lille to score last	45.8%	46.4%	40.8%	1.14×	2.16
No goal scored	5.0%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.55

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.0%	92.7%	93.6%	0.99×	1.08
Rennes to lead by 1 at any time	57.9%	54.9%	59.0%	0.93×	1.82
Lille to lead by 1 at any time	54.0%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.96
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.9%	44.6%	51.6%	0.86×	2.24
Rennes to lead by 2 at any time	26.9%	25.5%	30.0%	0.85×	3.92
Lille to lead by 2 at any time	23.4%	19.7%	21.7%	0.90×	5.08
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.4%	15.0%	19.8%	0.75×	6.68
Rennes to lead by 3 at any time	10.2%	10.4%	11.7%	0.89×	9.60
Lille to lead by 3 at any time	8.2%	6.7%	8.3%	0.81×	14.87

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes most corners	52.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Lille most corners	37.9%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	9.8%	8.4%	—	—	11.96

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.7%	87.4%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
1-4 goals	76.6%	78.7%	76.8%	1.02×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.7%	78.7%	74.0%	1.06×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.7%	72.4%	69.1%	1.05×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.3%	60.7%	1.04×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.9%	59.1%	59.4%	1.00×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.2%	53.2%	51.4%	1.03×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.2%	48.5%	46.5%	1.04×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.9%	43.6%	43.3%	1.01×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.2%	39.2%	38.1%	1.03×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.5%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	31.8%	35.2%	30.9%	1.14×	2.84
4-5 goals	26.8%	30.2%	26.0%	1.16×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.0%	18.8%	13.4%	1.40×	5.31
7+ goals	3.3%	2.6%	3.7%	0.69×	39.07

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes never behind	41.0%	48.4%	51.2%	0.95×	2.07
Lille never behind	37.1%	44.0%	41.0%	1.07×	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	47.7%	1.07×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	52.3%	0.94×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.2%	51.7%	51.6%	1.00×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.8%	48.3%	48.4%	1.00×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.5%	51.9%	50.1%	1.04×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.5%	48.1%	49.9%	0.96×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.0%	92.3%	93.6%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	91.4%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	81.7%	82.3%	83.0%	0.99×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	80.0%	77.3%	77.5%	1.00×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	64.9%	61.8%	65.6%	0.94×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	57.5%	58.6%	54.9%	1.07×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	42.5%	41.4%	45.1%	0.92×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	35.1%	38.3%	34.4%	1.11×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	20.0%	22.7%	22.5%	1.01×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	18.3%	17.7%	17.0%	1.04×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	8.6%	0.90×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	5.0%	7.7%	6.4%	1.22×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.5%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.8%	92.4%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	78.0%	75.9%	79.4%	0.96×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.2%	72.4%	71.0%	1.02×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.8%	51.9%	56.7%	0.92×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.2%	48.1%	43.3%	1.11×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.8%	27.6%	29.0%	0.95×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.0%	24.1%	20.6%	1.17×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.2%	7.6%	9.4%	0.81×	13.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.5%	2.8%	3.9%	0.72×	35.56

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.1%	89.2%	87.4%	1.02×	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.1%	71.8%	71.5%	1.00×	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.8%	63.3%	66.5%	0.95×	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.2%	36.7%	33.5%	1.09×	2.73
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.9%	28.2%	28.5%	0.99×	3.54
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.9%	10.8%	12.6%	0.86×	9.23

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.7%	83.2%	81.8%	1.02×	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.3%	77.5%	75.3%	1.03×	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	53.2%	49.8%	1.07×	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	46.8%	50.2%	0.93×	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.7%	22.5%	24.7%	0.91×	4.44
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.3%	16.8%	18.2%	0.92×	5.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille not to score in both halves	74.2%	74.0%	77.8%	0.95×	1.35
Rennes not to score in both halves	71.8%	73.9%	67.8%	1.09×	1.35
Rennes to score in both halves	28.2%	26.1%	32.2%	0.81×	3.83
Lille to score in both halves	25.8%	26.0%	22.2%	1.17×	3.84

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.2%	60.2%	54.7%	1.10×	1.66
Only Rennes scores	18.6%	16.0%	23.6%	0.68×	6.24
Only Lille scores	16.2%	16.0%	15.7%	1.02×	6.24
Neither team scores	5.0%	7.1%	6.4%	1.12×	14.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.5%	22.6%	22.7%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	20.7%	1.09×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.8%	17.5%	17.6%	0.99×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.0%	17.5%	16.2%	1.07×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	10.0%	12.1%	8.6%	1.42×	8.25
6 or more goals	8.3%	7.6%	8.6%	0.89×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	5.0%	7.6%	6.4%	1.20×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.4%	38.1%	0.98×	2.68
No goals in 1st half	28.9%	28.3%	28.5%	0.99×	3.53
2 goals in 1st half	22.3%	21.5%	21.1%	1.02×	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	12.9%	10.7%	12.6%	0.86×	9.31

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	52.3%	51.4%	49.8%	1.03×	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.4%	33.8%	32.2%	1.05×	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	17.3%	16.4%	18.2%	0.91×	6.08

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille not to win both halves	91.1%	94.1%	90.7%	1.04×	1.06
Rennes not to win both halves	89.3%	87.9%	83.6%	1.05×	1.14
Rennes to win both halves	10.7%	12.1%	16.4%	0.74×	8.29
Lille to win both halves	8.9%	5.9%	9.3%	0.64×	16.88

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to win either half	55.0%	54.4%	58.9%	0.92×	1.84
Lille to win either half	50.8%	54.2%	45.9%	1.18×	1.84
Lille to win neither half	49.2%	45.8%	54.1%	0.85×	2.19
Rennes to win neither half	45.0%	45.6%	41.1%	1.11×	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lille not to win to nil	83.8%	83.1%	84.3%	0.99×	1.20
Rennes not to win to nil	81.4%	83.1%	76.4%	1.09×	1.20
Rennes to win to nil	18.6%	16.9%	23.6%	0.72×	5.92
Lille to win to nil	16.2%	16.9%	15.7%	1.08×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.3%	24.1%	22.6%	1.07×	4.15
Rennes by 1	20.4%	24.1%	21.9%	1.10×	4.15
Lille by 1	19.0%	17.1%	14.6%	1.17×	5.86
Rennes by 2	12.0%	11.8%	14.8%	0.80×	8.51
Lille by 2	10.4%	11.8%	9.9%	1.19×	8.51
Rennes by 3+	7.8%	7.2%	9.9%	0.73×	13.91
Lille by 3+	6.2%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.91