Rennes v Monaco — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 December 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627

Ligue 1 xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Rennes

14:00 UTC

Monaco

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 1,227h before kick-off

Rennes win

41.7%

model 41.4%

Draw

22.0%

model 22.3%

Monaco win

36.3%

model 36.3%

422236

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.3%
2-1 8.4%
1-2 7.8%
2-2 7.1%
1-0 5.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	67.8%	Under 2.5	32.2%
BTTS yes	68.1%	BTTS no	31.9%
Rennes 1+	83.6%	Rennes 2+	54.0%
Monaco 1+	81.4%	Monaco 2+	50.2%

Expected goals 1.81 – 1.68. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

89/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 51%

62.1% fair odds 1.61

strong signal · 3852 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT · usually 87%

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Rennes have created 2.12 xG a match over their last five while Monaco have allowed 1.34.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
At home Rennes average 2.21 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Rennes have an estimated 41.7% win probability, against 36.3% for Monaco and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.81 for Rennes and 1.68 for Monaco.

Why Rennes

Rennes have created 2.12 xG a match over their last five while Monaco have allowed 1.34. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five. At home Rennes average 2.21 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.81 to 1.68. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Monaco can win

Monaco have created 1.12 xG a match over their last five while Rennes have allowed 2.31. Away from home Monaco average 0.99 xG a match.

Key players

Rennes's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Esteban Lepaul (0.58), Ronaldo (0.41), Timur Suleymanov (0.35). Monaco's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Folarin Balogun (0.49), Maghnes Akliouche (0.33), Anssumane Fati (0.28).

Availability

2 of Rennes's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Rennes's last eleven are new to the club this window. 3 of Monaco's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Monaco's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Rennes: 53% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.17 xG a match from set pieces. Monaco: 51% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.16 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Rennes are the model's most likely outcome at 41.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.3%. Confidence 89/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Rennes have scored 20 from 21.3 expected and conceded 22 from 23.1 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

LWLDWWWLWL last 10 scored 20 from 21.3 xG conceded 22 from 23.1 xG

Monaco are finishing sharply above their chances — 4.8 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off.

WLLWWWDWDL last 10 scored 16 from 11.3 xG conceded 13 from 13.4 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	412236	1.81–1.68	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	352243	1.69–1.87	1-1 9%	69%	69%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to win	38.9%	36.4%	46.2%	0.79×	2.75
Monaco to win	38.3%	36.4%	31.3%	1.16×	2.75
Draw	22.9%	24.4%	22.6%	1.08×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes & both teams score	23.5%	21.8%	22.7%	0.96×	4.58
Monaco & both teams score	23.2%	21.8%	15.8%	1.38×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	19.3%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Rennes & not both score	15.4%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.57
Monaco & not both score	15.1%	18.0%	15.7%	1.15×	5.57
Draw & not both score	3.5%	4.9%	6.4%	0.76×	20.59

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes & over 1.5	33.0%	30.8%	36.2%	0.85×	3.25
Monaco & over 1.5	32.4%	30.8%	25.3%	1.22×	3.25
Rennes & over 2.5	28.0%	26.1%	28.8%	0.90×	3.84
Monaco & over 2.5	27.5%	26.1%	19.8%	1.32×	3.84
Rennes & under 3.5	22.0%	21.6%	29.5%	0.73×	4.63
Monaco & under 3.5	21.7%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Rennes & over 3.5	16.9%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Monaco & over 3.5	16.6%	18.0%	11.2%	1.60×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	13.4%	12.8%	16.1%	0.80×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	13.4%	12.8%	16.1%	0.80×	7.79
Rennes & under 2.5	10.9%	12.8%	17.6%	0.73×	7.79
Monaco & under 2.5	10.8%	12.8%	11.7%	1.10×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.5%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63
Rennes & under 1.5	5.9%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.63
Monaco & under 1.5	5.9%	7.9%	6.2%	1.28×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	3.5%	4.8%	6.4%	0.76×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (1UP)	58.4%	58.1%	59.0%	0.98×	1.72
Monaco (1UP)	57.9%	58.1%	48.8%	1.19×	1.72

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (2UP)	38.9%	37.5%	48.2%	0.78×	2.67
Monaco (2UP)	38.3%	37.5%	33.6%	1.12×	2.67

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to win 2nd half	35.4%	36.1%	42.0%	0.86×	2.77
Monaco to win 2nd half	33.4%	34.3%	26.9%	1.28×	2.91
2nd half drawn	31.2%	34.3%	31.3%	1.10×	2.92

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.9%	75.5%	82.3%	0.92×	1.33
Monaco over 0.5 in 2nd half	61.9%	60.0%	50.2%	1.20×	1.67
Monaco under 0.5 in 2nd half	38.1%	40.0%	49.8%	0.80×	2.50
Monaco over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.1%	24.5%	17.7%	1.38×	4.08

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.6%	74.0%	75.5%	0.98×	1.35
Rennes over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.2%	63.2%	62.2%	1.02×	1.58
Rennes under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.8%	36.8%	37.8%	0.97×	2.72
Rennes over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.4%	26.0%	24.5%	1.06×	3.85

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco (+2.5)	91.8%	92.1%	90.1%	1.02×	1.09
Monaco (+1.5)	80.2%	82.5%	75.5%	1.09×	1.21
Rennes (+0.5)	61.7%	62.9%	68.7%	0.92×	1.59
Monaco (+0.5)	61.1%	62.9%	53.8%	1.17×	1.59
Rennes (-0.5)	38.9%	37.1%	46.2%	0.80×	2.70
Monaco (-0.5)	38.3%	37.1%	31.3%	1.18×	2.70
Rennes (-1.5)	19.8%	17.5%	24.5%	0.71×	5.72
Rennes (-2.5)	8.2%	7.9%	9.9%	0.80×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco to concede	81.4%	81.5%	78.1%	1.04×	1.23
Monaco clean sheet	18.6%	18.5%	21.9%	0.85×	5.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco clean sheet in 1st half	50.7%	50.5%	51.8%	0.97×	1.98
Monaco to concede in 1st half	49.3%	49.5%	48.2%	1.03×	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco to concede in 2nd half	63.2%	61.7%	62.2%	0.99×	1.62
Monaco clean sheet in 2nd half	36.8%	38.3%	37.8%	1.01×	2.61

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco under 6.5 corners	82.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Monaco under 5.5 corners	73.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Monaco over 2.5 corners	71.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Monaco under 4.5 corners	60.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Monaco over 3.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Monaco under 3.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Monaco over 4.5 corners	39.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Monaco under 2.5 corners	28.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Monaco over 5.5 corners	26.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Monaco over 6.5 corners	17.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco under 3.5 goals	91.2%	92.3%	93.6%	0.99×	1.08
Monaco over 0.5 goals	81.1%	81.4%	70.2%	1.16×	1.23
Monaco under 2.5 goals	76.6%	76.3%	84.5%	0.90×	1.31
Monaco under 1.5 goals	50.4%	53.5%	63.2%	0.85×	1.87
Monaco over 1.5 goals	49.6%	46.5%	36.8%	1.26×	2.15
Monaco over 2.5 goals	23.4%	23.7%	15.5%	1.53×	4.21
Monaco under 0.5 goals	18.9%	18.6%	29.8%	0.62×	5.39
Monaco over 3.5 goals	8.8%	7.7%	6.4%	1.21×	13.04

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco under 1.5 in 1st half	84.4%	83.1%	87.7%	0.95×	1.20
Monaco over 0.5 in 1st half	50.4%	55.4%	42.1%	1.32×	1.81
Monaco under 0.5 in 1st half	49.6%	44.6%	57.9%	0.77×	2.24
Monaco over 1.5 in 1st half	15.6%	16.9%	12.3%	1.38×	5.93

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco scores more in 2nd half	40.4%	43.4%	34.4%	1.26×	2.31
Monaco scores equally in both	34.0%	33.7%	41.1%	0.82×	2.97
Monaco scores more in 1st half	25.6%	26.2%	24.7%	1.06×	3.81

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (away no bet)	63.0%	61.9%	67.2%	0.92×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	37.0%	38.1%	32.8%	1.16×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco even goals	51.8%	52.6%	55.7%	0.94×	1.90
Monaco odd goals	48.2%	47.4%	44.3%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.5%	81.3%	82.6%	0.98×	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.5%	18.7%	17.4%	1.07×	5.34

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.1%	72.2%	65.9%	1.10×	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.9%	27.8%	34.1%	0.81×	3.60

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	66.0%	62.3%	60.5%	1.03×	1.61
Rennes to score 2+ in a row	38.7%	36.7%	38.6%	0.95×	2.73
Monaco to score 2+ in a row	38.2%	36.7%	28.0%	1.31×	2.73
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.4%	25.2%	22.3%	1.13×	3.97
Rennes to score 3+ in a row	13.7%	12.1%	13.8%	0.88×	8.28
Monaco to score 3+ in a row	13.4%	12.1%	9.2%	1.32×	8.29

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes corners (+3.5)	91.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Rennes corners (+2.5)	87.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Rennes corners (+1.5)	81.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Monaco corners (+3.5)	63.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Rennes corners (-1.5)	55.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Monaco corners (+2.5)	54.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Rennes corners (-2.5)	45.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Monaco corners (+1.5)	44.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Rennes corners (-3.5)	36.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Monaco corners (-1.5)	18.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Monaco corners (-2.5)	12.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Monaco corners (-3.5)	8.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	38.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	34.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	27.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	69.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	65.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	61.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	56.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	53.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	46.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	43.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	38.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	34.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	30.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	25.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.9%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.50
1-2	8.2%	7.4%	6.4%	1.17×	13.50
2-1	8.3%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.50
2-2	6.9%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
0-1	5.9%	7.4%	6.2%	1.19×	13.51
1-0	5.9%	7.4%	10.2%	0.73×	13.51
Any other score	5.5%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
0-2	4.9%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.29
2-0	5.0%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.29
0-0	3.5%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.30
0-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.30
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
1-3	4.6%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.29
1-4	1.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
2-3	3.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.30
2-4	1.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.31
3-0	2.8%	1.7%	3.5%	0.48×	58.30
3-1	4.6%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.29
3-2	3.9%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.30
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.31
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.31
4-1	1.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.31
4-2	1.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.4%	3.87×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.80×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (2nd half DNB)	51.4%	52.7%	60.9%	0.86×	1.90
Monaco (2nd half DNB)	48.6%	47.3%	39.1%	1.21×	2.11

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco leading at HT (DNB)	51.1%	54.7%	45.9%	1.19×	1.83
Rennes leading at HT (DNB)	48.9%	45.3%	54.1%	0.84×	2.21

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes or Monaco (12)	77.1%	75.6%	77.4%	0.98×	1.32
Rennes or draw (1X)	61.7%	63.6%	68.7%	0.93×	1.57
Monaco or draw (X2)	61.1%	63.6%	53.8%	1.18×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco or draw at HT	70.0%	66.8%	66.6%	1.00×	1.50
Rennes or draw at HT	68.7%	66.7%	71.6%	0.93×	1.50
Rennes or Monaco at HT	61.4%	61.6%	61.6%	1.00×	1.62

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes or draw (1UP)	61.7%	71.6%	73.1%	0.98×	1.40
Monaco or draw (1UP)	61.1%	71.5%	61.5%	1.16×	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes or Monaco in 2nd half	68.8%	65.7%	68.7%	0.96×	1.52
Rennes or draw in 2nd half	66.6%	65.7%	73.1%	0.90×	1.52
Monaco or draw in 2nd half	64.6%	63.9%	58.1%	1.10×	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.8%	58.4%	57.0%	1.03×	1.71
Neither half drawn	42.2%	41.6%	43.0%	0.97×	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (DNB)	50.4%	50.9%	59.6%	0.85×	1.97
Monaco (DNB)	49.6%	49.1%	40.4%	1.22×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to score first	48.5%	46.0%	50.3%	0.92×	2.17
Monaco to score first	48.0%	46.0%	43.5%	1.06×	2.17
No goal scored	3.5%	4.3%	6.4%	0.67×	23.37

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.0%	58.4%	54.7%	1.07×	1.71
Not both teams to score	34.0%	41.6%	45.3%	0.92×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	56.1%	47.6%	44.9%	1.06×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	25.2%	33.3%	35.3%	0.94×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	9.9%	8.3%	9.9%	0.84×	12.05
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.3%	10.2%	0.81×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.2%	79.6%	84.5%	0.94×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	24.8%	20.4%	15.5%	1.32×	4.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	60.9%	65.6%	69.4%	0.94×	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	39.1%	34.4%	30.6%	1.13×	2.91

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	45.8%	52.8%	57.2%	0.92×	1.90
Both score 2nd half only	29.4%	27.5%	24.2%	1.13×	3.64
Both score 1st half only	15.1%	14.9%	12.4%	1.20×	6.70
Both score in both halves	9.7%	6.9%	6.5%	1.06×	14.57

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.2%	81.1%	81.2%	1.00×	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.8%	18.9%	18.8%	1.01×	5.29

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.4%	59.8%	59.7%	1.00×	1.67
A half without a goal	35.6%	40.2%	40.3%	1.00×	2.49

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.7%	42.1%	43.3%	0.97×	2.38
4-6 goals	37.6%	35.1%	30.9%	1.14×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.3%	20.2%	22.5%	0.90×	4.95
7+ goals	5.4%	7.6%	3.7%	2.06×	13.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco to score exactly 1	31.5%	33.8%	33.5%	1.01×	2.96
Monaco to score exactly 2	26.2%	27.4%	21.4%	1.28×	3.66
Monaco to score 3+	23.4%	22.3%	15.5%	1.44×	4.48
Monaco to score exactly 0	18.9%	19.6%	29.8%	0.66×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to score exactly 1	31.3%	32.5%	31.8%	1.02×	3.07
Rennes to score exactly 2	26.3%	26.5%	24.1%	1.10×	3.77
Rennes to score 3+	23.7%	23.3%	22.6%	1.03×	4.29
Rennes to score exactly 0	18.6%	18.8%	21.9%	0.86×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	38.6%	38.4%	38.4%	1.00×	2.60
Monaco leading at HT	31.3%	33.3%	28.4%	1.17×	3.00
Rennes leading at HT	30.0%	33.2%	33.4%	1.00×	3.01

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes -1: 2	61.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Rennes -1: 1	19.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.70
Rennes -1: X	19.1%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco (0:1)	61.1%	61.3%	53.8%	1.14×	1.63
Rennes (0:1)	19.8%	17.8%	24.5%	0.73×	5.61
Draw (0:1)	19.1%	17.8%	21.9%	0.82×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco (0:2)	80.2%	82.9%	75.5%	1.10×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.6%	11.0%	14.8%	0.74×	9.10
Rennes (0:2)	8.2%	7.7%	9.9%	0.78×	13.03

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco (0:3)	91.8%	92.7%	90.1%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.4%	5.8%	5.9%	0.98×	17.24
Rennes (0:3)	2.8%	2.4%	4.1%	0.57×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco (0:4)	97.2%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	2.8%	0.44×	81.88
Rennes (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	82.01

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (1:0)	61.7%	65.3%	68.7%	0.95×	1.53
Monaco (1:0)	19.3%	17.1%	16.8%	1.02×	5.85
Draw (1:0)	18.9%	17.1%	14.6%	1.17×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (2:0)	80.7%	84.6%	83.2%	1.02×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.4%	10.3%	9.9%	1.04×	9.73
Monaco (2:0)	7.9%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.1%	50.1%	48.2%	1.04×	2.00
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.2%	26.0%	1.01×	3.81
Halves equal	21.9%	24.3%	26.0%	0.94×	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to concede	81.1%	80.8%	70.2%	1.15×	1.24
Rennes clean sheet	18.9%	19.2%	29.8%	0.64×	5.21

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to concede in 1st half	50.4%	55.4%	42.1%	1.32×	1.81
Rennes clean sheet in 1st half	49.6%	44.6%	57.9%	0.77×	2.24

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to concede in 2nd half	61.9%	59.8%	50.2%	1.19×	1.67
Rennes clean sheet in 2nd half	38.1%	40.2%	49.8%	0.81×	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes over 2.5 corners	88.4%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Rennes over 3.5 corners	78.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Rennes over 4.5 corners	67.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Rennes under 6.5 corners	56.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Rennes over 5.5 corners	55.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Rennes under 5.5 corners	44.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Rennes over 6.5 corners	43.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Rennes under 4.5 corners	32.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Rennes under 3.5 corners	21.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Rennes under 2.5 corners	11.6%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes under 3.5 goals	91.0%	92.2%	91.6%	1.01×	1.08
Rennes over 0.5 goals	81.4%	82.2%	78.1%	1.05×	1.22
Rennes under 2.5 goals	76.3%	77.7%	77.4%	1.00×	1.29
Rennes over 1.5 goals	50.1%	53.2%	46.5%	1.14×	1.88
Rennes under 1.5 goals	50.0%	46.8%	53.5%	0.88×	2.14
Rennes over 2.5 goals	23.7%	22.3%	22.6%	0.99×	4.49
Rennes under 0.5 goals	18.6%	17.8%	21.9%	0.81×	5.62
Rennes over 3.5 goals	9.0%	7.8%	8.4%	0.92×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes under 1.5 in 1st half	85.1%	90.1%	87.1%	1.03×	1.11
Rennes under 0.5 in 1st half	50.7%	50.3%	51.8%	0.97×	1.99
Rennes over 0.5 in 1st half	49.3%	49.7%	48.2%	1.03×	2.01
Rennes over 1.5 in 1st half	14.9%	9.9%	12.9%	0.77×	10.09

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes scores more in 2nd half	42.2%	42.1%	40.9%	1.03×	2.38
Rennes scores equally in both	33.6%	33.0%	36.6%	0.90×	3.03
Rennes scores more in 1st half	24.2%	21.3%	22.6%	0.94×	4.70

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco (home no bet)	62.6%	60.0%	58.1%	1.03×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	37.4%	40.0%	41.9%	0.95×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes even goals	51.7%	50.7%	51.8%	0.98×	1.97
Rennes odd goals	48.3%	49.3%	48.2%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.1%	27.9%	28.5%	0.98×	3.59
HT 0-1	17.6%	18.6%	16.8%	1.10×	5.38
HT 1-0	17.1%	18.6%	21.4%	0.87×	5.38
HT 1-1	12.0%	11.0%	9.5%	1.17×	9.08
Any other HT score	6.5%	6.9%	4.6%	1.51×	14.50
HT 0-2	6.2%	6.9%	5.2%	1.33×	14.50
HT 2-0	5.8%	6.9%	6.8%	1.01×	14.51
HT 1-2	4.2%	2.4%	4.4%	0.54×	42.00
HT 2-1	4.1%	2.4%	3.3%	0.73×	42.01
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	0.7%	3.21×	42.19

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco at HT / Monaco at FT	22.5%	21.8%	18.9%	1.15×	4.59
Rennes at HT / Rennes at FT	22.0%	21.8%	27.8%	0.78×	4.59
Draw at HT / Rennes at FT	13.7%	12.7%	15.1%	0.84×	7.90
Draw at HT / Monaco at FT	12.9%	12.6%	10.9%	1.16×	7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.0%	12.6%	12.7%	1.00×	7.91
Monaco at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	6.1%	0.99×	16.67
Rennes at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	4.1%	1.45×	16.68
Monaco at HT / Rennes at FT	3.3%	3.5%	3.7%	0.95×	28.65
Rennes at HT / Monaco at FT	2.9%	3.5%	1.8%	1.97×	28.66

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to score last	48.5%	46.5%	53.0%	0.88×	2.15
Monaco to score last	48.0%	46.5%	40.8%	1.14×	2.15
No goal scored	3.5%	4.3%	6.4%	0.67×	23.37

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.5%	95.7%	93.6%	1.02×	1.05
Rennes to lead by 1 at any time	58.4%	54.9%	59.0%	0.93×	1.82
Monaco to lead by 1 at any time	57.9%	54.9%	48.8%	1.12×	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.7%	50.9%	51.6%	0.99×	1.96
Rennes to lead by 2 at any time	27.9%	25.5%	30.0%	0.85×	3.92
Monaco to lead by 2 at any time	27.4%	25.5%	21.7%	1.17×	3.92
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.7%	19.6%	19.8%	0.99×	5.09
Rennes to lead by 3 at any time	11.0%	10.4%	11.7%	0.89×	9.59
Monaco to lead by 3 at any time	10.7%	10.4%	8.3%	1.26×	9.59

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes most corners	65.1%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Monaco most corners	26.2%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	8.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.2%	83.4%	85.2%	0.98×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.3%	78.7%	74.0%	1.06×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.4%	72.4%	69.1%	1.05×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.9%	72.4%	76.8%	0.94×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.1%	63.3%	60.7%	1.04×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.6%	59.1%	51.4%	1.15×	1.69
1-3 goals	53.5%	53.2%	59.4%	0.90×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.7%	53.2%	46.5%	1.14×	1.88
2-3 goals	41.7%	43.6%	43.3%	1.01×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	38.1%	1.14×	2.30
4-6 goals	37.6%	39.2%	30.9%	1.27×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.5%	35.2%	38.8%	0.91×	2.84
4-5 goals	30.7%	35.2%	26.0%	1.35×	2.84
5-6 goals	19.2%	18.8%	13.4%	1.40×	5.31
7+ goals	5.4%	8.9%	3.7%	2.40×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes never behind	38.6%	44.1%	51.2%	0.86×	2.27
Monaco never behind	38.1%	44.1%	41.0%	1.08×	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	47.7%	1.07×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	52.3%	0.94×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.2%	51.6%	51.6%	1.00×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.8%	48.4%	48.4%	1.00×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.0%	51.9%	50.1%	1.04×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.0%	48.1%	49.9%	0.96×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.5%	95.4%	93.6%	1.02×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.8%	87.6%	91.4%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.7%	82.3%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	75.4%	77.3%	83.0%	0.93×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	65.0%	61.8%	54.9%	1.12×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.0%	58.6%	65.6%	0.89×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	43.0%	41.4%	34.4%	1.20×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	35.0%	38.2%	45.1%	0.85×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	24.6%	22.7%	17.0%	1.34×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	15.3%	17.7%	22.5%	0.79×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	12.2%	12.4%	8.6%	1.45×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.5%	4.6%	6.4%	0.72×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.2%	92.4%	96.1%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.0%	86.7%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.9%	81.1%	71.0%	1.14×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	69.9%	67.5%	79.4%	0.85×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.1%	55.7%	43.3%	1.29×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.9%	44.3%	56.7%	0.78×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	30.1%	32.5%	20.6%	1.58×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.1%	18.9%	29.0%	0.65×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	14.0%	13.3%	9.4%	1.42×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.8%	7.6%	3.9%	1.96×	13.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.8%	85.9%	87.4%	0.98×	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.9%	71.9%	71.5%	1.01×	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.9%	63.8%	66.5%	0.96×	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.1%	36.2%	33.5%	1.08×	2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.1%	28.1%	28.5%	0.99×	3.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.2%	14.1%	12.6%	1.13×	7.07

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.0%	85.4%	81.8%	1.04×	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	68.6%	68.8%	75.3%	0.91×	1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	58.4%	54.9%	49.8%	1.10×	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	41.6%	45.1%	50.2%	0.90×	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	31.4%	31.2%	24.7%	1.27×	3.20
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.0%	14.6%	18.2%	0.80×	6.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes not to score in both halves	68.8%	69.9%	67.8%	1.03×	1.43
Monaco not to score in both halves	68.8%	69.9%	77.8%	0.90×	1.43
Rennes to score in both halves	31.2%	30.1%	32.2%	0.93×	3.33
Monaco to score in both halves	31.2%	30.1%	22.2%	1.36×	3.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.0%	59.9%	54.7%	1.10×	1.67
Only Rennes scores	15.4%	16.0%	23.6%	0.68×	6.25
Only Monaco scores	15.1%	16.0%	15.7%	1.02×	6.25
Neither team scores	3.5%	4.6%	6.4%	0.73×	21.70

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	20.7%	1.09×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	19.7%	17.5%	22.7%	0.77×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.4%	17.5%	17.6%	0.99×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	12.3%	12.1%	8.6%	1.42×	8.25
6 or more goals	12.2%	12.1%	8.6%	1.42×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	11.8%	12.1%	16.2%	0.75×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	3.5%	4.5%	6.4%	0.70×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.7%	35.9%	38.1%	0.94×	2.79
No goals in 1st half	25.1%	28.2%	28.5%	0.99×	3.55
2 goals in 1st half	24.0%	21.5%	21.1%	1.02×	4.64
3+ goals in 1st half	16.2%	15.6%	12.6%	1.24×	6.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	58.4%	54.2%	49.8%	1.09×	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	27.5%	29.3%	32.2%	0.91×	3.42
No goals in 2nd half	14.0%	14.4%	18.2%	0.79×	6.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco not to win both halves	89.5%	87.9%	90.7%	0.97×	1.14
Rennes not to win both halves	89.4%	87.9%	83.6%	1.05×	1.14
Rennes to win both halves	10.6%	12.1%	16.4%	0.74×	8.30
Monaco to win both halves	10.5%	12.1%	9.3%	1.30×	8.30

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to win either half	54.8%	54.4%	58.9%	0.92×	1.84
Monaco to win either half	54.3%	54.4%	45.9%	1.18×	1.84
Monaco to win neither half	45.7%	45.6%	54.1%	0.84×	2.19
Rennes to win neither half	45.2%	45.6%	41.1%	1.11×	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco not to win to nil	84.9%	83.1%	84.3%	0.99×	1.20
Rennes not to win to nil	84.6%	83.1%	76.4%	1.09×	1.20
Rennes to win to nil	15.4%	16.9%	23.6%	0.71×	5.92
Monaco to win to nil	15.1%	16.9%	15.7%	1.08×	5.93

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.9%	24.1%	22.6%	1.07×	4.15
Rennes by 1	19.1%	17.1%	21.9%	0.78×	5.86
Monaco by 1	18.9%	17.1%	14.6%	1.17×	5.86
Rennes by 2	11.6%	11.8%	14.8%	0.80×	8.51
Monaco by 2	11.4%	11.8%	9.9%	1.19×	8.51
Rennes by 3+	8.2%	7.2%	9.9%	0.73×	13.90
Monaco by 3+	7.9%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.91