Rennes v Strasbourg — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627

Ligue 1 xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Rennes

13:00 UTC

Strasbourg

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 50h before kick-off

Rennes win

51.1%

model 51.8%

Draw

22.2%

model 21.4%

Strasbourg win

26.7%

model 26.8%

512227

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.3%
1-1 9.1%
2-2 6.6%
1-2 6.5%
2-0 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	67.5%	Under 2.5	32.5%
BTTS yes	66.2%	BTTS no	33.8%
Rennes 1+	87.1%	Rennes 2+	60.6%
Strasbourg 1+	76.1%	Strasbourg 2+	41.9%

Expected goals 2.05 – 1.43. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

99/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 51%

62.1% fair odds 1.61

strong signal · 3852 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT · usually 87%

83.7% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Rennes carry the stronger rating, 1646 Elo against 1593.
Rennes have created 2.12 xG a match over their last five while Strasbourg have allowed 1.84.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
At home Rennes average 2.21 xG a match.

Risk factors

Strasbourg have scored 2.00 a match from 1.39 xG over five matches, which usually corrects.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Rennes have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.7% for Strasbourg and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.04 for Rennes and 1.43 for Strasbourg.

Why Rennes

Rennes carry the stronger rating, 1646 Elo against 1593. Rennes have created 2.12 xG a match over their last five while Strasbourg have allowed 1.84. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five. At home Rennes average 2.21 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Strasbourg can win

Strasbourg have created 1.39 xG a match over their last five while Rennes have allowed 2.31. Away from home Strasbourg average 1.21 xG a match.

Key players

Rennes's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Esteban Lepaul (0.58), Ronaldo (0.41), Timur Suleymanov (0.35). Strasbourg's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Julio Enciso (0.42), Martial Godo (0.31), Sebastian Nanasi (0.29).

Availability

2 of Rennes's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Rennes's last eleven are new to the club this window. 3 of Strasbourg's top three contributors did not start their last match. 91% of Strasbourg's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Rennes: 53% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.17 xG a match from set pieces. Strasbourg: 46% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.23 xG a match from set pieces. Rennes's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Rennes are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.3%. Confidence 99/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Rennes have scored 20 from 21.3 expected and conceded 22 from 23.1 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

LWLDWWWLWL last 10 scored 20 from 21.3 xG conceded 22 from 23.1 xG

Strasbourg are finishing sharply above their chances — 6.2 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off. They are also conceding more than the chances against them merit — 2.6 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

DWWLWWDLLL last 10 scored 20 from 13.9 xG conceded 21 from 18.4 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	522127	2.05–1.43	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	512228	2.00–1.43	2-1 9%	67%	66%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to win	48.2%	47.4%	46.2%	1.02×	2.11
Strasbourg to win	29.7%	27.9%	31.3%	0.89×	3.58
Draw	22.0%	24.4%	22.6%	1.08×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes & both teams score	28.8%	25.2%	22.7%	1.11×	3.97
Rennes & not both score	19.4%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.57
Strasbourg & both teams score	18.5%	18.0%	15.8%	1.14×	5.57
Strasbourg & not both score	11.2%	13.3%	15.7%	0.85×	7.54
Draw & not both score	3.3%	4.9%	6.4%	0.76×	20.60

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes & over 1.5	41.9%	40.3%	36.2%	1.11×	2.48
Rennes & over 2.5	35.7%	34.9%	28.8%	1.21×	2.87
Rennes & under 3.5	25.6%	26.1%	29.5%	0.88×	3.84
Strasbourg & over 1.5	24.8%	21.6%	25.3%	0.86×	4.63
Rennes & over 3.5	22.7%	21.6%	16.8%	1.28×	4.63
Strasbourg & over 2.5	21.2%	21.6%	19.8%	1.09×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Strasbourg & under 3.5	17.3%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.56
Rennes & under 2.5	12.5%	12.8%	17.6%	0.73×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	12.7%	12.8%	16.1%	0.80×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	12.7%	12.8%	16.1%	0.80×	7.79
Strasbourg & over 3.5	12.4%	12.8%	11.2%	1.14×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63
Strasbourg & under 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	11.7%	0.68×	12.63
Rennes & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.63
Strasbourg & under 1.5	4.9%	4.8%	6.2%	0.77×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	3.3%	4.8%	6.4%	0.76×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (1UP)	66.0%	70.0%	59.0%	1.19×	1.43
Strasbourg (1UP)	50.6%	52.5%	48.8%	1.08×	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (2UP)	48.2%	50.2%	48.2%	1.04×	1.99
Strasbourg (2UP)	29.7%	25.4%	33.6%	0.76×	3.94

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to win 2nd half	42.1%	41.9%	42.0%	1.00×	2.39
2nd half drawn	31.0%	34.3%	31.3%	1.09×	2.92
Strasbourg to win 2nd half	26.9%	25.7%	26.9%	0.96×	3.89

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	79.2%	82.3%	0.96×	1.26
Strasbourg over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.2%	54.5%	50.2%	1.09×	1.84
Strasbourg under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.8%	45.5%	49.8%	0.91×	2.20
Strasbourg over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	20.8%	17.7%	1.17×	4.81

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.4%	70.8%	75.5%	0.94×	1.41
Rennes over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.2%	70.7%	62.2%	1.14×	1.42
Rennes under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.8%	29.3%	37.8%	0.78×	3.41
Rennes over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.6%	29.2%	24.5%	1.19×	3.43

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (+2.5)	87.3%	88.5%	90.1%	0.98×	1.13
Strasbourg (+1.5)	72.8%	73.7%	75.5%	0.98×	1.36
Rennes (+0.5)	70.3%	73.6%	68.7%	1.07×	1.36
Strasbourg (+0.5)	51.8%	52.4%	53.8%	0.97×	1.91
Rennes (-0.5)	48.2%	47.6%	46.2%	1.03×	2.10
Strasbourg (-0.5)	29.7%	26.4%	31.3%	0.84×	3.79
Rennes (-1.5)	27.2%	26.3%	24.5%	1.07×	3.80
Rennes (-2.5)	12.7%	11.5%	9.9%	1.17×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to concede	85.5%	86.2%	78.1%	1.10×	1.16
Strasbourg clean sheet	14.5%	13.8%	21.9%	0.63×	7.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to concede in 1st half	55.8%	56.9%	48.2%	1.18×	1.76
Strasbourg clean sheet in 1st half	44.2%	43.1%	51.8%	0.83×	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to concede in 2nd half	67.2%	65.9%	62.2%	1.06×	1.52
Strasbourg clean sheet in 2nd half	32.8%	34.1%	37.8%	0.90×	2.93

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg under 6.5 corners	84.7%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Strasbourg under 5.5 corners	75.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Strasbourg over 2.5 corners	68.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Strasbourg under 4.5 corners	63.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Strasbourg over 3.5 corners	51.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Strasbourg under 3.5 corners	48.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Strasbourg over 4.5 corners	36.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Strasbourg under 2.5 corners	31.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Strasbourg over 5.5 corners	24.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Strasbourg over 6.5 corners	15.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg under 3.5 goals	93.7%	92.3%	93.6%	0.99×	1.08
Strasbourg under 2.5 goals	81.4%	81.4%	84.5%	0.96×	1.23
Strasbourg over 0.5 goals	77.3%	76.3%	70.2%	1.09×	1.31
Strasbourg under 1.5 goals	56.4%	59.4%	63.2%	0.94×	1.68
Strasbourg over 1.5 goals	43.6%	40.6%	36.8%	1.10×	2.46
Strasbourg under 0.5 goals	22.7%	23.7%	29.8%	0.80×	4.21
Strasbourg over 2.5 goals	18.6%	18.6%	15.5%	1.20×	5.39
Strasbourg over 3.5 goals	6.3%	7.7%	6.4%	1.20×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg under 1.5 in 1st half	86.0%	89.2%	87.7%	1.02×	1.12
Strasbourg under 0.5 in 1st half	52.0%	55.5%	57.9%	0.96×	1.80
Strasbourg over 0.5 in 1st half	48.0%	44.6%	42.1%	1.06×	2.25
Strasbourg over 1.5 in 1st half	14.0%	10.8%	12.3%	0.88×	9.29

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg scores equally in both	36.8%	37.3%	41.1%	0.91×	2.68
Strasbourg scores more in 2nd half	36.6%	37.3%	34.4%	1.08×	2.68
Strasbourg scores more in 1st half	26.5%	26.3%	24.7%	1.06×	3.81

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (away no bet)	68.6%	66.4%	67.2%	0.99×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	31.4%	33.6%	32.8%	1.02×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg even goals	52.6%	52.6%	55.7%	0.94×	1.90
Strasbourg odd goals	47.4%	47.4%	44.3%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	75.0%	81.2%	82.6%	0.98×	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	25.0%	18.8%	17.4%	1.08×	5.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	76.0%	72.3%	65.9%	1.10×	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.0%	27.7%	34.1%	0.81×	3.61

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	67.4%	62.4%	60.5%	1.03×	1.60
Rennes to score 2+ in a row	46.6%	46.1%	38.6%	1.19×	2.17
Strasbourg to score 2+ in a row	31.7%	29.2%	28.0%	1.04×	3.43
Either team to score 3+ in a row	28.1%	25.2%	22.3%	1.13×	3.97
Rennes to score 3+ in a row	19.1%	16.3%	13.8%	1.18×	6.14
Strasbourg to score 3+ in a row	9.7%	5.6%	9.2%	0.61×	17.78

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes corners (+3.5)	92.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Rennes corners (+2.5)	88.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Rennes corners (+1.5)	82.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Strasbourg corners (+3.5)	62.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Rennes corners (-1.5)	56.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Strasbourg corners (+2.5)	53.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Rennes corners (-2.5)	46.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Strasbourg corners (+1.5)	43.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Rennes corners (-3.5)	37.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Strasbourg corners (-1.5)	17.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Strasbourg corners (-2.5)	11.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Strasbourg corners (-3.5)	7.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	35.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	27.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	72.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	72.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	64.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	62.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	37.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	35.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	27.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	27.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.4%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.50
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.50
1-2	7.0%	7.4%	6.4%	1.17×	13.51
2-2	6.7%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
Any other score	6.3%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
1-0	6.4%	7.4%	10.2%	0.73×	13.51
2-0	6.2%	7.4%	7.5%	0.98×	13.51
3-1	5.9%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.51
0-1	4.9%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.29
4-1	2.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.30
4-2	2.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.4%	3.87×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.80×	58.32
0-0	3.3%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.30
0-2	3.6%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
0-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.32
1-3	3.4%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.30
1-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
2-3	3.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.30
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.31
3-0	4.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.48×	58.30
3-2	4.3%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.29
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.31
4-0	1.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (2nd half DNB)	61.0%	62.4%	60.9%	1.02×	1.60
Strasbourg (2nd half DNB)	39.0%	37.6%	39.1%	0.96×	2.66

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes leading at HT (DNB)	57.6%	57.3%	54.1%	1.06×	1.74
Strasbourg leading at HT (DNB)	42.4%	42.7%	45.9%	0.93×	2.34

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes or Strasbourg (12)	78.0%	75.6%	77.4%	0.98×	1.32
Rennes or draw (1X)	70.3%	72.1%	68.7%	1.05×	1.39
Strasbourg or draw (X2)	51.8%	52.6%	53.8%	0.98×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes or draw at HT	73.3%	75.1%	71.6%	1.05×	1.33
Strasbourg or draw at HT	63.7%	61.6%	66.6%	0.93×	1.62
Rennes or Strasbourg at HT	63.0%	61.6%	61.6%	1.00×	1.62

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes or draw (1UP)	70.3%	79.5%	73.1%	1.09×	1.26
Strasbourg or draw (1UP)	51.8%	58.6%	61.5%	0.95×	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes or draw in 2nd half	73.1%	74.3%	73.1%	1.02×	1.35
Rennes or Strasbourg in 2nd half	69.0%	65.7%	68.7%	0.96×	1.52
Strasbourg or draw in 2nd half	57.9%	58.1%	58.1%	1.00×	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.5%	58.4%	57.0%	1.02×	1.71
Neither half drawn	43.5%	41.6%	43.0%	0.97×	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (DNB)	61.9%	62.7%	59.6%	1.05×	1.60
Strasbourg (DNB)	38.1%	37.3%	40.4%	0.92×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to score first	54.7%	53.5%	50.3%	1.06×	1.87
Strasbourg to score first	42.0%	41.7%	43.5%	0.96×	2.40
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	6.4%	0.67×	23.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.1%	58.4%	54.7%	1.07×	1.71
Not both teams to score	33.9%	41.6%	45.3%	0.92×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	56.6%	47.6%	44.9%	1.06×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	24.3%	27.8%	35.3%	0.79×	3.60
Not both score & over 2.5	9.6%	8.3%	10.2%	0.81×	12.05
Both score & under 2.5	9.4%	8.3%	9.9%	0.84×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	74.9%	80.7%	84.5%	0.95×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	25.1%	19.3%	15.5%	1.25×	5.18

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.2%	65.7%	69.4%	0.95×	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	37.8%	34.3%	30.6%	1.12×	2.91

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	45.5%	52.8%	57.2%	0.92×	1.90
Both score 2nd half only	27.6%	27.4%	24.2%	1.13×	3.65
Both score 1st half only	16.7%	15.0%	12.4%	1.21×	6.67
Both score in both halves	10.1%	10.6%	6.5%	1.64×	9.40

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	73.2%	79.7%	81.2%	0.98×	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	26.8%	20.3%	18.8%	1.08×	4.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	66.0%	66.3%	59.7%	1.11×	1.51
A half without a goal	34.0%	33.7%	40.3%	0.84×	2.97

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.0%	42.1%	43.3%	0.97×	2.38
4-6 goals	38.6%	35.1%	30.9%	1.14×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.6%	16.9%	22.5%	0.75×	5.91
7+ goals	5.9%	7.6%	3.7%	2.06×	13.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to score exactly 1	33.7%	33.8%	33.5%	1.01×	2.96
Strasbourg to score exactly 2	24.9%	22.3%	21.4%	1.04×	4.48
Strasbourg to score exactly 0	22.7%	22.3%	29.8%	0.75×	4.48
Strasbourg to score 3+	18.6%	19.6%	15.5%	1.26×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to score 3+	30.5%	32.5%	22.6%	1.44×	3.07
Rennes to score exactly 1	28.0%	26.6%	31.8%	0.84×	3.77
Rennes to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	24.1%	1.10×	3.77
Rennes to score exactly 0	14.5%	14.3%	21.9%	0.66×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	37.0%	38.4%	38.4%	1.00×	2.61
Rennes leading at HT	36.3%	38.4%	33.4%	1.15×	2.61
Strasbourg leading at HT	26.7%	24.9%	28.4%	0.88×	4.02

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes -1: 2	51.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Rennes -1: 1	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Rennes -1: X	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (0:1)	51.8%	51.3%	53.8%	0.95×	1.95
Rennes (0:1)	27.2%	27.0%	24.5%	1.10×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	21.0%	24.2%	21.9%	1.11×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (0:2)	72.8%	75.7%	75.5%	1.00×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	14.6%	11.0%	14.8%	0.75×	9.09
Rennes (0:2)	12.7%	11.0%	9.9%	1.11×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (0:3)	87.3%	90.6%	90.1%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.7%	5.8%	5.9%	0.98×	17.20
Rennes (0:3)	4.9%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	41.98

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (0:4)	95.1%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.3%	1.2%	2.8%	0.44×	81.74
Rennes (0:4)	1.6%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	81.92

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (1:0)	70.3%	72.4%	68.7%	1.05×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.1%	17.1%	14.6%	1.17×	5.85
Strasbourg (1:0)	13.6%	12.7%	16.8%	0.75×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (2:0)	86.4%	88.5%	83.2%	1.06×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.6%	6.4%	9.9%	0.64×	15.67
Strasbourg (2:0)	5.0%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.71

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.6%	48.8%	48.2%	1.01×	2.05
1st half highest scoring	29.4%	26.2%	26.0%	1.01×	3.81
Halves equal	22.0%	24.3%	26.0%	0.94×	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to concede	77.3%	76.1%	70.2%	1.08×	1.32
Rennes clean sheet	22.7%	23.9%	29.8%	0.80×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes clean sheet in 1st half	52.0%	55.5%	57.9%	0.96×	1.80
Rennes to concede in 1st half	48.0%	44.6%	42.1%	1.06×	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to concede in 2nd half	56.2%	54.8%	50.2%	1.09×	1.83
Rennes clean sheet in 2nd half	43.8%	45.2%	49.8%	0.91×	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes over 2.5 corners	87.8%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Rennes over 3.5 corners	77.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Rennes over 4.5 corners	66.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Rennes under 6.5 corners	57.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Rennes over 5.5 corners	53.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Rennes under 5.5 corners	46.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Rennes over 6.5 corners	42.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Rennes under 4.5 corners	33.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Rennes under 3.5 corners	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Rennes under 2.5 corners	12.2%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes under 3.5 goals	86.9%	87.3%	91.6%	0.95×	1.15
Rennes over 0.5 goals	85.5%	87.2%	78.1%	1.12×	1.15
Rennes under 2.5 goals	69.5%	68.0%	77.4%	0.88×	1.47
Rennes over 1.5 goals	57.5%	58.6%	46.5%	1.26×	1.71
Rennes under 1.5 goals	42.5%	41.4%	53.5%	0.77×	2.42
Rennes over 2.5 goals	30.5%	32.0%	22.6%	1.42×	3.12
Rennes under 0.5 goals	14.5%	12.8%	21.9%	0.58×	7.84
Rennes over 3.5 goals	13.1%	12.7%	8.4%	1.51×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes under 1.5 in 1st half	80.3%	83.6%	87.1%	0.96×	1.20
Rennes over 0.5 in 1st half	55.8%	56.6%	48.2%	1.18×	1.77
Rennes under 0.5 in 1st half	44.2%	43.4%	51.8%	0.84×	2.31
Rennes over 1.5 in 1st half	19.7%	16.4%	12.9%	1.28×	6.09

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes scores more in 2nd half	42.3%	42.1%	40.9%	1.03×	2.38
Rennes scores equally in both	31.0%	32.9%	36.6%	0.90×	3.04
Rennes scores more in 1st half	26.7%	27.8%	22.6%	1.23×	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (home no bet)	57.4%	56.4%	58.1%	0.97×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	42.6%	43.6%	41.9%	1.04×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes even goals	51.1%	50.7%	51.8%	0.98×	1.97
Rennes odd goals	48.9%	49.3%	48.2%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	22.9%	24.4%	28.5%	0.86×	4.09
HT 1-0	18.8%	18.6%	21.4%	0.87×	5.38
HT 0-1	15.0%	18.5%	16.8%	1.10×	5.40
HT 1-1	12.3%	11.0%	9.5%	1.17×	9.08
HT 2-0	7.7%	6.9%	6.8%	1.02×	14.48
Any other HT score	7.7%	6.9%	4.6%	1.51×	14.48
HT 2-1	5.0%	6.9%	3.3%	2.12×	14.52
HT 0-2	4.9%	2.4%	5.2%	0.46×	41.96
HT 1-2	4.0%	2.4%	4.4%	0.54×	42.02
HT 2-2	1.6%	2.4%	0.7%	3.21×	42.17

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes at HT / Rennes at FT	28.9%	27.3%	27.8%	0.98×	3.66
Strasbourg at HT / Strasbourg at FT	17.4%	16.7%	18.9%	0.88×	5.98
Draw at HT / Rennes at FT	15.6%	16.7%	15.1%	1.11×	5.99
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.4%	12.6%	12.7%	0.99×	7.92
Draw at HT / Strasbourg at FT	10.0%	6.0%	10.9%	0.55×	16.55
Strasbourg at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	6.1%	0.99×	16.67
Rennes at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	4.1%	1.45×	16.69
Strasbourg at HT / Rennes at FT	3.7%	3.5%	3.7%	0.95×	28.63
Rennes at HT / Strasbourg at FT	2.3%	3.5%	1.8%	1.97×	28.68

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to score last	54.7%	52.3%	53.0%	0.99×	1.91
Strasbourg to score last	42.0%	40.0%	40.8%	0.98×	2.50
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	6.4%	0.67×	23.41

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.7%	95.7%	93.6%	1.02×	1.05
Rennes to lead by 1 at any time	66.0%	69.3%	59.0%	1.17×	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	56.3%	54.9%	51.6%	1.06×	1.82
Strasbourg to lead by 1 at any time	50.6%	50.8%	48.8%	1.04×	1.97
Rennes to lead by 2 at any time	35.8%	34.6%	30.0%	1.15×	2.89
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.4%	19.7%	19.8%	0.99×	5.08
Strasbourg to lead by 2 at any time	21.1%	19.6%	21.7%	0.90×	5.10
Rennes to lead by 3 at any time	16.1%	14.9%	11.7%	1.28×	6.70
Strasbourg to lead by 3 at any time	7.3%	6.7%	8.3%	0.81×	14.91

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes most corners	66.0%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Strasbourg most corners	25.2%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	8.8%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.6%	83.4%	85.2%	0.98×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.6%	78.7%	74.0%	1.06×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.4%	72.4%	69.1%	1.05×	1.38
1-4 goals	70.9%	72.4%	76.8%	0.94×	1.38
3-6 goals	60.4%	63.3%	51.4%	1.23×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.7%	59.1%	60.7%	0.97×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.2%	53.2%	46.5%	1.14×	1.88
1-3 goals	52.3%	53.2%	59.4%	0.90×	1.88
2-3 goals	41.0%	43.6%	43.3%	1.01×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	38.1%	1.14×	2.30
4-6 goals	38.6%	39.2%	30.9%	1.27×	2.55
4-5 goals	31.3%	35.2%	26.0%	1.35×	2.84
1-2 goals	30.4%	35.2%	38.8%	0.91×	2.84
5-6 goals	19.9%	18.9%	13.4%	1.40×	5.31
7+ goals	5.9%	8.9%	3.7%	2.40×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes never behind	46.1%	56.5%	51.2%	1.10×	1.77
Strasbourg never behind	30.7%	36.1%	41.0%	0.88×	2.77

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	47.7%	1.07×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	52.3%	0.94×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.6%	51.6%	51.6%	1.00×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.4%	48.4%	48.4%	1.00×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.0%	51.9%	50.1%	1.04×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.0%	48.1%	49.9%	0.96×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.7%	95.4%	93.6%	1.02×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	86.9%	87.6%	91.4%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.5%	87.6%	77.5%	1.13×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	74.2%	72.5%	83.0%	0.87×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	66.3%	66.3%	54.9%	1.21×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	55.6%	58.6%	65.6%	0.89×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	44.4%	41.4%	34.4%	1.20×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	33.7%	33.7%	45.1%	0.75×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	25.8%	27.5%	17.0%	1.62×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	14.6%	12.4%	22.5%	0.55×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	13.1%	12.4%	8.6%	1.45×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.3%	4.6%	6.4%	0.72×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.7%	92.4%	96.1%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	85.0%	86.7%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	82.0%	81.1%	71.0%	1.14×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	68.3%	67.5%	79.4%	0.85×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.8%	55.8%	43.3%	1.29×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.2%	44.2%	56.7%	0.78×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	31.7%	32.5%	20.6%	1.58×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.0%	18.9%	29.0%	0.65×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	15.0%	13.3%	9.4%	1.42×	7.52
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.3%	7.6%	3.9%	1.96×	13.16

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	81.6%	85.8%	87.4%	0.98×	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	77.1%	78.1%	71.5%	1.09×	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	56.7%	63.6%	66.5%	0.96×	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	43.3%	36.4%	33.5%	1.09×	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	22.9%	21.9%	28.5%	0.77×	4.57
Over 2.5 in 1st half	18.4%	14.2%	12.6%	1.13×	7.02

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.6%	85.4%	81.8%	1.04×	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.3%	68.8%	75.3%	0.91×	1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	57.7%	54.9%	49.8%	1.10×	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	42.3%	45.1%	50.2%	0.90×	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	30.7%	31.2%	24.7%	1.27×	3.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.4%	14.6%	18.2%	0.80×	6.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg not to score in both halves	73.0%	73.9%	77.8%	0.95×	1.35
Rennes not to score in both halves	62.5%	63.6%	67.8%	0.94×	1.57
Rennes to score in both halves	37.5%	36.4%	32.2%	1.13×	2.75
Strasbourg to score in both halves	27.0%	26.1%	22.2%	1.18×	3.84

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.1%	59.9%	54.7%	1.10×	1.67
Only Rennes scores	19.4%	16.0%	23.6%	0.68×	6.24
Only Strasbourg scores	11.2%	11.0%	15.7%	0.70×	9.07
Neither team scores	3.3%	4.6%	6.4%	0.73×	21.71

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	20.7%	1.09×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	19.2%	17.5%	22.7%	0.77×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.6%	17.5%	17.6%	0.99×	5.73
6 or more goals	13.1%	12.1%	8.6%	1.42×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	12.7%	12.1%	8.6%	1.42×	8.24
Exactly 1 goals	11.3%	12.1%	16.2%	0.75×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	3.3%	4.5%	6.4%	0.70×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.8%	35.9%	38.1%	0.94×	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	24.9%	21.6%	21.1%	1.02×	4.64
No goals in 1st half	22.9%	21.5%	28.5%	0.76×	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	18.4%	15.7%	12.6%	1.25×	6.38

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	57.7%	54.2%	49.8%	1.09×	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	27.9%	29.3%	32.2%	0.91×	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	14.4%	14.4%	18.2%	0.79×	6.95

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg not to win both halves	92.8%	94.1%	90.7%	1.04×	1.06
Rennes not to win both halves	84.7%	84.0%	83.6%	1.00×	1.19
Rennes to win both halves	15.3%	16.0%	16.4%	0.98×	6.25
Strasbourg to win both halves	7.2%	5.9%	9.3%	0.63×	17.00

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to win either half	63.1%	65.1%	58.9%	1.10×	1.54
Strasbourg to win neither half	53.6%	54.3%	54.1%	1.01×	1.84
Strasbourg to win either half	46.4%	45.7%	45.9%	0.99×	2.19
Rennes to win neither half	36.9%	34.9%	41.1%	0.85×	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg not to win to nil	88.8%	88.1%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
Rennes not to win to nil	80.6%	83.1%	76.4%	1.09×	1.20
Rennes to win to nil	19.4%	16.9%	23.6%	0.72×	5.91
Strasbourg to win to nil	11.2%	11.9%	15.7%	0.76×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.0%	24.1%	22.6%	1.07×	4.15
Rennes by 1	21.0%	24.1%	21.9%	1.10×	4.15
Strasbourg by 1	16.1%	17.0%	14.6%	1.17×	5.87
Rennes by 2	14.6%	11.8%	14.8%	0.80×	8.50
Rennes by 3+	12.7%	11.8%	9.9%	1.19×	8.51
Strasbourg by 2	8.6%	7.2%	9.9%	0.73×	13.90
Strasbourg by 3+	5.0%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.92