Rijeka v Hajduk Split — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 19 September 2026 · CRO-HNL · 2627
CRO-HNL
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (6,392 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 14.8%
- 0-0 9.9%
- 2-1 9.1%
- 1-0 8.6%
- 2-0 8.3%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 48.1% | Under 2.5 | 51.9% |
| BTTS yes | 54.3% | BTTS no | 45.7% |
| Rijeka 1+ | 77.4% | Rijeka 2+ | 43.8% |
| Hajduk Split 1+ | 67.0% | Hajduk Split 2+ | 30.4% |
Expected goals 1.49 – 1.11. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.82).
- Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Rijeka have only 1 matches on record.
- Hajduk Split have only 1 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Rijeka have an estimated 41.5% win probability, against 31.4% for the draw and 27.1% for Hajduk Split. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.49 for Rijeka and 1.11 for Hajduk Split.
Why Rijeka
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 31.4%.
Why Hajduk Split can win
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Rijeka, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Hajduk Split, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Rijeka: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Hajduk Split: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-10 15:23 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-10 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·
Rijeka are the model's most likely outcome at 41.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.8%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.49–1.11 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.54–1.71 | 1-2 9% | 63% | 62% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka to win | 41.7% | 42.9% | 47.4% | 0.91× | 2.33 |
| Draw | 31.6% | 30.6% | 26.1% | 1.17× | 3.27 |
| Hajduk Split to win | 26.8% | 27.7% | 27.0% | 1.02× | 3.61 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka & not both score | 22.7% | 21.8% | 26.1% | 0.83× | 4.60 |
| Draw & both teams score | 20.9% | 21.7% | 18.5% | 1.18× | 4.60 |
| Rijeka & both teams score | 19.0% | 18.0% | 21.8% | 0.83× | 5.55 |
| Hajduk Split & not both score | 13.7% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 0.93× | 7.55 |
| Hajduk Split & both teams score | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 1.00× | 7.55 |
| Draw & not both score | 10.6% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 1.64× | 7.55 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka & over 1.5 | 32.7% | 31.0% | 39.3% | 0.79× | 3.22 |
| Rijeka & under 3.5 | 29.8% | 25.9% | 33.2% | 0.78× | 3.86 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 25.7% | 25.9% | 19.4% | 1.33× | 3.86 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 25.7% | 25.9% | 19.4% | 1.33× | 3.86 |
| Rijeka & over 2.5 | 24.6% | 21.6% | 28.4% | 0.76× | 4.63 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 20.9% | 21.6% | 18.5% | 1.17× | 4.63 |
| Hajduk Split & over 1.5 | 20.4% | 21.6% | 24.2% | 0.89× | 4.63 |
| Hajduk Split & under 3.5 | 20.0% | 21.6% | 17.1% | 1.27× | 4.63 |
| Rijeka & under 2.5 | 17.0% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 0.92× | 5.57 |
| Hajduk Split & over 2.5 | 15.5% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 1.08× | 5.57 |
| Rijeka & over 3.5 | 11.9% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 0.88× | 7.78 |
| Hajduk Split & under 2.5 | 11.3% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 1.18× | 7.78 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 10.6% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 1.60× | 7.78 |
| Rijeka & under 1.5 | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 0.93× | 12.56 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 1.12× | 12.57 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 1.12× | 12.57 |
| Hajduk Split & under 1.5 | 6.4% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 2.40× | 12.57 |
| Hajduk Split & over 3.5 | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 0.76× | 12.56 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka (1UP) | 57.6% | 58.1% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Hajduk Split (1UP) | 44.5% | 39.5% | — | — | 2.53 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka (2UP) | 41.7% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Hajduk Split (2UP) | 26.8% | 24.8% | — | — | 4.04 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 38.8% | 36.0% | — | — | 2.78 |
| Rijeka to win 2nd half | 34.9% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Hajduk Split to win 2nd half | 26.3% | 26.4% | — | — | 3.79 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split under 1.5 in 2nd half | 85.8% | 86.6% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Hajduk Split under 0.5 in 2nd half | 51.7% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Hajduk Split over 0.5 in 2nd half | 48.3% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Hajduk Split over 1.5 in 2nd half | 14.2% | 13.4% | — | — | 7.46 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka under 1.5 in 2nd half | 80.7% | 82.4% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Rijeka over 0.5 in 2nd half | 55.3% | 58.8% | — | — | 1.70 |
| Rijeka under 0.5 in 2nd half | 44.7% | 41.2% | — | — | 2.43 |
| Rijeka over 1.5 in 2nd half | 19.3% | 17.7% | — | — | 5.67 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split (+2.5) | 92.0% | 92.1% | 90.0% | 1.02× | 1.09 |
| Hajduk Split (+1.5) | 78.8% | 78.3% | 72.5% | 1.08× | 1.28 |
| Rijeka (+0.5) | 73.2% | 73.7% | 73.0% | 1.01× | 1.36 |
| Hajduk Split (+0.5) | 58.3% | 56.9% | 52.6% | 1.08× | 1.76 |
| Rijeka (-0.5) | 41.7% | 43.1% | 47.4% | 0.91× | 2.32 |
| Hajduk Split (-0.5) | 26.8% | 26.3% | 27.0% | 0.97× | 3.80 |
| Rijeka (-1.5) | 21.2% | 21.7% | 27.5% | 0.79× | 4.61 |
| Rijeka (-2.5) | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 0.79× | 12.67 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split to concede | 75.7% | 78.7% | 78.2% | 1.01× | 1.27 |
| Hajduk Split clean sheet | 24.3% | 21.3% | 21.8% | 0.98× | 4.70 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split to concede in 1st half | 45.5% | 50.6% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Hajduk Split clean sheet in 1st half | 54.5% | 49.4% | — | — | 2.03 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split to concede in 2nd half | 55.3% | 58.4% | — | — | 1.71 |
| Hajduk Split clean sheet in 2nd half | 44.7% | 41.6% | — | — | 2.40 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split under 3.5 goals | 97.4% | 97.4% | 94.8% | 1.03× | 1.03 |
| Hajduk Split under 2.5 goals | 90.1% | 92.2% | 87.7% | 1.05× | 1.09 |
| Hajduk Split under 1.5 goals | 69.9% | 67.9% | 65.4% | 1.04× | 1.47 |
| Hajduk Split over 0.5 goals | 66.7% | 67.9% | 66.4% | 1.02× | 1.47 |
| Hajduk Split under 0.5 goals | 33.3% | 32.1% | 33.6% | 0.96× | 3.11 |
| Hajduk Split over 1.5 goals | 30.1% | 32.1% | 34.6% | 0.93× | 3.11 |
| Hajduk Split over 2.5 goals | 9.9% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 0.64× | 12.77 |
| Hajduk Split over 3.5 goals | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 0.49× | 38.81 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split under 1.5 in 1st half | 92.8% | 94.2% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Hajduk Split under 0.5 in 1st half | 64.4% | 64.2% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Hajduk Split over 0.5 in 1st half | 35.6% | 35.8% | — | — | 2.79 |
| Hajduk Split over 1.5 in 1st half | 7.2% | 5.8% | — | — | 17.21 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split scores equally in both | 43.7% | 43.8% | — | — | 2.28 |
| Hajduk Split scores more in 2nd half | 35.3% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Hajduk Split scores more in 1st half | 21.0% | 22.4% | — | — | 4.47 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka (away no bet) | 56.9% | 57.4% | 64.5% | 0.89× | 1.74 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 43.1% | 42.6% | 35.5% | 1.20× | 2.35 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split even goals | 55.6% | 56.9% | 59.2% | 0.96× | 1.76 |
| Hajduk Split odd goals | 44.4% | 43.1% | 40.8% | 1.06× | 2.32 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 87.9% | 87.7% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 12.1% | 12.3% | — | — | 8.15 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 60.4% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 39.6% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 51.5% | 51.3% | — | — | 1.95 |
| Rijeka to score 2+ in a row | 33.8% | 29.1% | — | — | 3.43 |
| Hajduk Split to score 2+ in a row | 22.7% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.13 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 17.0% | 16.3% | — | — | 6.14 |
| Rijeka to score 3+ in a row | 11.4% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.25 |
| Hajduk Split to score 3+ in a row | 5.8% | 5.6% | — | — | 17.87 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 15.1% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 1.14× | 7.39 |
| 0-0 | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 1.41× | 8.80 |
| 1-0 | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 0.87× | 13.53 |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 0.68× | 13.53 |
| 0-1 | 6.4% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 2.23× | 13.54 |
| 1-2 | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.42× | 13.54 |
| 2-0 | 8.1% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 0.65× | 13.54 |
| 0-2 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 8.1% | 0.22× | 57.55 |
| 0-3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.92× | 57.57 |
| 0-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.22× | 57.58 |
| 1-3 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 0.33× | 57.57 |
| 1-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.92× | 57.58 |
| 2-2 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 7.1% | 0.24× | 57.55 |
| 2-3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.83× | 57.57 |
| 2-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.66× | 57.58 |
| 3-0 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 0.46× | 57.56 |
| 3-1 | 4.2% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 0.33× | 57.56 |
| 3-2 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.92× | 57.57 |
| 3-3 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.66× | 57.58 |
| 3-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.66× | 57.58 |
| 4-0 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 57.57 |
| 4-1 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 57.57 |
| 4-2 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.73× | 57.58 |
| 4-3 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.66× | 57.58 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.66× | 57.58 |
| Any other score | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 0.41× | 57.57 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka (2nd half DNB) | 57.1% | 60.5% | — | — | 1.65 |
| Hajduk Split (2nd half DNB) | 42.9% | 39.5% | — | — | 2.53 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka leading at HT (DNB) | 60.3% | 65.2% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Hajduk Split leading at HT (DNB) | 39.7% | 34.8% | — | — | 2.87 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka or draw (1X) | 73.2% | 72.3% | 73.0% | 0.99× | 1.38 |
| Rijeka or Hajduk Split (12) | 68.4% | 69.4% | 73.9% | 0.94× | 1.44 |
| Hajduk Split or draw (X2) | 58.3% | 57.1% | 52.6% | 1.08× | 1.75 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka or draw at HT | 78.6% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Hajduk Split or draw at HT | 67.4% | 66.3% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Rijeka or Hajduk Split at HT | 54.0% | 47.8% | — | — | 2.09 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka or draw (1UP) | 73.2% | 80.2% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Hajduk Split or draw (1UP) | 58.3% | 62.8% | — | — | 1.59 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka or draw in 2nd half | 73.7% | 73.6% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Hajduk Split or draw in 2nd half | 65.1% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Rijeka or Hajduk Split in 2nd half | 61.2% | 64.0% | — | — | 1.56 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 64.3% | 61.7% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Neither half drawn | 35.7% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka (DNB) | 60.9% | 63.0% | 63.7% | 0.99× | 1.59 |
| Hajduk Split (DNB) | 39.1% | 37.0% | 36.3% | 1.02× | 2.70 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka to score first | 50.3% | 53.7% | — | — | 1.86 |
| Hajduk Split to score first | 39.1% | 32.9% | — | — | 3.04 |
| No goal scored | 10.6% | 9.6% | — | — | 10.46 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 53.0% | 51.6% | 52.6% | 0.98× | 1.94 |
| Not both teams to score | 47.0% | 48.4% | 47.4% | 1.02× | 2.07 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 39.0% | 38.7% | 37.4% | 1.03× | 2.59 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 37.9% | 38.6% | 41.2% | 0.94× | 2.59 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 15.1% | 21.3% | 11.8% | 1.80× | 4.69 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 0.80× | 11.94 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 87.6% | 85.4% | 88.2% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 12.4% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 1.23× | 6.85 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 72.4% | 74.1% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 27.6% | 25.9% | — | — | 3.85 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 60.1% | 66.2% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 23.2% | 20.9% | — | — | 4.79 |
| Both score 1st half only | 12.3% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.33 |
| Both score in both halves | 4.3% | 5.0% | — | — | 19.85 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 83.4% | 82.5% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 16.6% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.71 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 51.1% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| A half without a goal | 48.9% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 49.5% | 46.9% | 50.2% | 0.93× | 2.13 |
| 0-1 goals | 26.0% | 27.0% | 19.0% | 1.42× | 3.71 |
| 4-6 goals | 23.0% | 23.1% | 29.4% | 0.78× | 4.34 |
| 7+ goals | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.78× | 53.98 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split to score exactly 1 | 36.6% | 35.8% | 32.2% | 1.11× | 2.80 |
| Hajduk Split to score exactly 0 | 33.3% | 33.6% | 33.6% | 1.00× | 2.97 |
| Hajduk Split to score exactly 2 | 20.1% | 22.5% | 22.7% | 0.99× | 4.45 |
| Hajduk Split to score 3+ | 9.9% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 0.71× | 11.38 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka to score exactly 1 | 34.4% | 32.6% | 31.8% | 1.03× | 3.06 |
| Rijeka to score exactly 0 | 24.3% | 23.4% | 21.8% | 1.07× | 4.28 |
| Rijeka to score exactly 2 | 24.3% | 23.4% | 29.4% | 0.79× | 4.28 |
| Rijeka to score 3+ | 17.0% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 1.06× | 5.22 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 46.0% | 52.2% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Rijeka leading at HT | 32.6% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| Hajduk Split leading at HT | 21.4% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.01 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka -1: 2 | 58.3% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Rijeka -1: 1 | 21.2% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.23 |
| Rijeka -1: X | 20.5% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.23 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split (0:1) | 58.3% | 55.7% | 52.6% | 1.06× | 1.80 |
| Rijeka (0:1) | 21.2% | 24.4% | 27.5% | 0.89× | 4.10 |
| Draw (0:1) | 20.5% | 24.4% | 20.4% | 1.20× | 4.10 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split (0:2) | 78.8% | 79.6% | 72.5% | 1.10× | 1.26 |
| Draw (0:2) | 13.2% | 10.9% | 18.0% | 0.60× | 9.21 |
| Rijeka (0:2) | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 0.77× | 12.98 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split (0:3) | 92.0% | 92.7% | 90.0% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 0.89× | 16.95 |
| Rijeka (0:3) | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 0.62× | 42.30 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split (0:4) | 97.6% | 98.1% | 96.2% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 0.43× | 81.77 |
| Rijeka (0:4) | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.86× | 81.90 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka (1:0) | 73.2% | 72.7% | 73.0% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| Draw (1:0) | 15.4% | 17.1% | 8.5% | 2.00× | 5.86 |
| Hajduk Split (1:0) | 11.4% | 12.7% | 19.0% | 0.67× | 7.85 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka (2:0) | 88.6% | 88.3% | 81.0% | 1.09× | 1.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 8.0% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 0.51× | 15.23 |
| Hajduk Split (2:0) | 3.4% | 2.4% | 6.6% | 0.36× | 41.30 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 44.7% | 48.9% | — | — | 2.05 |
| Halves equal | 30.0% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.4% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.78 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka to concede | 66.7% | 66.5% | 66.4% | 1.00× | 1.50 |
| Rijeka clean sheet | 33.3% | 33.5% | 33.6% | 0.99× | 2.99 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka clean sheet in 1st half | 64.4% | 64.2% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Rijeka to concede in 1st half | 35.6% | 35.8% | — | — | 2.80 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka clean sheet in 2nd half | 51.7% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Rijeka to concede in 2nd half | 48.3% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka under 3.5 goals | 94.5% | 92.1% | 91.5% | 1.01× | 1.09 |
| Rijeka under 2.5 goals | 83.0% | 81.9% | 82.0% | 1.00× | 1.22 |
| Rijeka over 0.5 goals | 75.7% | 77.4% | 78.2% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| Rijeka under 1.5 goals | 58.7% | 58.6% | 53.1% | 1.10× | 1.71 |
| Rijeka over 1.5 goals | 41.3% | 41.4% | 46.9% | 0.88× | 2.41 |
| Rijeka under 0.5 goals | 24.3% | 22.6% | 21.8% | 1.04× | 4.42 |
| Rijeka over 2.5 goals | 17.0% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 1.00× | 5.53 |
| Rijeka over 3.5 goals | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 0.92× | 12.70 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka under 1.5 in 1st half | 87.6% | 89.8% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Rijeka over 0.5 in 1st half | 45.5% | 50.8% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Rijeka under 0.5 in 1st half | 54.5% | 49.2% | — | — | 2.03 |
| Rijeka over 1.5 in 1st half | 12.4% | 10.2% | — | — | 9.79 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka scores equally in both | 37.8% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Rijeka scores more in 2nd half | 37.0% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.66 |
| Rijeka scores more in 1st half | 25.2% | 28.0% | — | — | 3.58 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 54.1% | 51.6% | 49.1% | 1.05× | 1.94 |
| Hajduk Split (home no bet) | 45.9% | 48.4% | 50.9% | 0.95× | 2.07 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka even goals | 53.0% | 50.4% | 57.8% | 0.87× | 1.98 |
| Rijeka odd goals | 47.0% | 49.6% | 42.2% | 1.18× | 2.02 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 35.5% | 38.5% | — | — | 2.60 |
| HT 1-0 | 20.9% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.14 |
| HT 0-1 | 15.0% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.13 |
| HT 1-1 | 9.8% | 7.2% | — | — | 13.99 |
| HT 2-0 | 6.5% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.04 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.45 |
| Any other HT score | 3.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.46 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.49 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.55 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.66 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka at HT / Rijeka at FT | 24.8% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.58 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 20.6% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.61 |
| Draw at HT / Rijeka at FT | 14.7% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.88 |
| Hajduk Split at HT / Hajduk Split at FT | 14.1% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Draw at HT / Hajduk Split at FT | 10.7% | 12.6% | — | — | 7.91 |
| Rijeka at HT / Draw at FT | 5.9% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.71 |
| Hajduk Split at HT / Draw at FT | 5.1% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.73 |
| Hajduk Split at HT / Rijeka at FT | 2.2% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.84 |
| Rijeka at HT / Hajduk Split at FT | 1.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.85 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka to score last | 50.4% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Hajduk Split to score last | 38.9% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| No goal scored | 10.6% | 9.0% | — | — | 11.17 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 89.4% | 91.0% | — | — | 1.10 |
| Rijeka to lead by 1 at any time | 57.6% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Hajduk Split to lead by 1 at any time | 44.5% | 39.3% | — | — | 2.55 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 43.0% | 39.2% | — | — | 2.55 |
| Rijeka to lead by 2 at any time | 26.9% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.93 |
| Hajduk Split to lead by 2 at any time | 16.3% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.73 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 14.4% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.52 |
| Rijeka to lead by 3 at any time | 9.8% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.99 |
| Hajduk Split to lead by 3 at any time | 4.6% | 1.7% | — | — | 59.89 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 85.1% | 87.4% | 87.2% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 78.3% | 78.5% | 80.6% | 0.97× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 72.6% | 72.3% | 79.1% | 0.91× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 69.8% | 68.9% | 76.3% | 0.90× | 1.45 |
| 1-3 goals | 64.9% | 63.1% | 61.1% | 1.03× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 63.0% | 63.1% | 69.7% | 0.91× | 1.58 |
| 2-3 goals | 49.5% | 48.5% | 50.2% | 0.96× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 44.5% | 43.6% | 49.3% | 0.88× | 2.29 |
| 1-2 goals | 43.4% | 43.6% | 41.2% | 1.06× | 2.29 |
| 3-5 goals | 41.6% | 43.6% | 46.4% | 0.94× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 34.9% | 35.3% | 39.8% | 0.89× | 2.83 |
| 4-6 goals | 23.0% | 24.8% | 29.4% | 0.84× | 4.03 |
| 4-5 goals | 20.2% | 24.8% | 26.5% | 0.93× | 4.03 |
| 5-6 goals | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 0.90× | 11.12 |
| 7+ goals | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.08× | 38.94 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka never behind | 44.8% | 48.4% | — | — | 2.07 |
| Hajduk Split never behind | 31.8% | 35.5% | — | — | 2.82 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 44.6% | 50.3% | 39.8% | 1.26× | 1.99 |
| Even number of goals | 55.4% | 49.7% | 60.2% | 0.83× | 2.01 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 57.0% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 43.0% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 54.4% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 45.6% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 95.7% | 95.4% | 94.8% | 1.01× | 1.05 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 89.4% | 87.4% | 91.9% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89.0% | 87.4% | 88.2% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75.5% | 77.2% | 68.7% | 1.12× | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.0% | 72.4% | 81.0% | 0.89× | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54.1% | 53.0% | 48.8% | 1.09× | 1.89 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.9% | 47.0% | 51.2% | 0.92× | 2.13 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26.0% | 27.6% | 19.0% | 1.46× | 3.63 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.5% | 22.8% | 31.3% | 0.73× | 4.39 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 1.06× | 7.96 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10.6% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 1.56× | 7.96 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 0.88× | 21.71 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 98.5% | 97.2% | 97.6% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 95.4% | 97.1% | 94.4% | 1.03× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 87.2% | 86.6% | 85.3% | 1.02× | 1.16 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 68.8% | 67.6% | 60.9% | 1.11× | 1.48 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 63.9% | 61.7% | 73.0% | 0.85× | 1.62 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 36.1% | 38.3% | 27.0% | 1.42× | 2.61 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 31.2% | 32.4% | 39.1% | 0.83× | 3.09 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 0.91× | 7.45 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 4.6% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 0.51× | 35.03 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.17× | 35.11 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 91.1% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 71.4% | 71.2% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 64.5% | 63.6% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 35.5% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 28.6% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.47 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 8.9% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.53 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 81.8% | 82.7% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 76.0% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 56.1% | 54.7% | — | — | 1.83 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 43.9% | 45.3% | — | — | 2.21 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 24.0% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 18.2% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.79 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split not to score in both halves | 82.8% | 84.4% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Rijeka not to score in both halves | 74.8% | 73.8% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Rijeka to score in both halves | 25.2% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
| Hajduk Split to score in both halves | 17.2% | 15.6% | — | — | 6.40 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 53.0% | 54.3% | 52.6% | 1.03× | 1.84 |
| Only Rijeka scores | 22.7% | 22.0% | 26.1% | 0.85× | 4.54 |
| Only Hajduk Split scores | 13.7% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 0.78× | 9.02 |
| Neither team scores | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 1.37× | 9.03 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 28.1% | 24.7% | 30.3% | 0.81× | 4.05 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.4% | 22.4% | 20.4% | 1.10× | 4.46 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 15.3% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 1.54× | 5.70 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 13.5% | 12.0% | 19.9% | 0.61× | 8.30 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 10.6% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 1.49× | 8.31 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 1.10× | 12.83 |
| 6 or more goals | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 0.86× | 22.19 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 35.9% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.70 |
| No goals in 1st half | 35.5% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.70 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 19.7% | 15.3% | — | — | 6.53 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 8.9% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.53 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 43.9% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 32.1% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 24.0% | 23.1% | — | — | 4.33 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split not to win both halves | 94.1% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Rijeka not to win both halves | 88.2% | 87.9% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Rijeka to win both halves | 11.8% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.30 |
| Hajduk Split to win both halves | 5.9% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.70 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split to win neither half | 58.2% | 59.5% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Rijeka to win either half | 55.7% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Rijeka to win neither half | 44.3% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.47 |
| Hajduk Split to win either half | 41.8% | 40.5% | — | — | 2.47 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split not to win to nil | 86.3% | 87.9% | 85.8% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| Rijeka not to win to nil | 77.3% | 78.3% | 73.9% | 1.06× | 1.28 |
| Rijeka to win to nil | 22.7% | 21.7% | 26.1% | 0.83× | 4.62 |
| Hajduk Split to win to nil | 13.7% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 0.85× | 8.28 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 31.6% | 27.6% | 26.1% | 1.06× | 3.63 |
| Rijeka by 1 | 20.5% | 24.2% | 20.4% | 1.19× | 4.14 |
| Hajduk Split by 1 | 15.4% | 16.9% | 8.5% | 1.98× | 5.92 |
| Rijeka by 2 | 13.2% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 0.65× | 8.52 |
| Rijeka by 3+ | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 0.73× | 13.74 |
| Hajduk Split by 2 | 8.0% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 0.57× | 13.74 |
| Hajduk Split by 3+ | 3.4% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 0.42× | 35.52 |