Rio Ave FC v Braga — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · POR-Primeira Liga · 2627

Primeira Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Rio Ave FC

20:00 UTC

Braga

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 393h before kick-off

Rio Ave FC win

19.1%

model 18.9%

Draw

23.0%

model 22.2%

Braga win

57.9%

model 58.9%

192358

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 12.4%
0-2 10.9%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 9.8%
0-3 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.7%	Under 2.5	49.3%
BTTS yes	49.2%	BTTS no	50.8%
Rio Ave FC 1+	59.4%	Rio Ave FC 2+	22.8%
Braga 1+	83.5%	Braga 2+	53.7%

Expected goals 0.90 – 1.80. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Braga (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 31%

57.1% fair odds 1.75

strong signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Rio Ave FC not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Braga carry the stronger rating, 1639 Elo against 1417.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Braga have an estimated 57.9% win probability, against 23.0% for the draw and 19.1% for Rio Ave FC. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.90 for Rio Ave FC and 1.80 for Braga.

Why Rio Ave FC

Nothing in the data singles out Rio Ave FC.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Braga can win

Braga carry the stronger rating, 1639 Elo against 1417.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Rio Ave FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Braga, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Rio Ave FC: 46% possession, 6.8 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Braga: 58% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Braga are the model's most likely outcome at 57.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	192259	0.90–1.80	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	172062	0.92–1.99	0-1 11%	56%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga to win	62.4%	58.2%	31.4%	1.85×	1.72
Draw	20.4%	24.4%	26.7%	0.92×	4.09
Rio Ave FC to win	17.1%	19.4%	42.1%	0.46×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga & not both score	34.6%	29.6%	19.9%	1.49×	3.37
Braga & both teams score	27.9%	25.2%	11.7%	2.15×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	15.3%	18.0%	20.3%	0.88×	5.57
Rio Ave FC & both teams score	8.5%	8.3%	16.2%	0.51×	12.01
Rio Ave FC & not both score	8.6%	8.3%	26.0%	0.32×	12.01
Draw & not both score	5.1%	8.3%	6.5%	1.29×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga & over 1.5	51.3%	48.8%	22.5%	2.17×	2.05
Braga & over 2.5	40.6%	40.2%	17.4%	2.31×	2.49
Braga & under 3.5	38.9%	34.9%	25.4%	1.37×	2.87
Braga & over 3.5	23.5%	21.6%	6.2%	3.51×	4.63
Braga & under 2.5	21.9%	21.6%	14.2%	1.52×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	15.3%	18.0%	20.3%	0.88×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.8%	12.8%	17.3%	0.74×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.8%	12.8%	17.3%	0.74×	7.79
Rio Ave FC & under 3.5	13.0%	12.8%	29.1%	0.44×	7.79
Rio Ave FC & over 1.5	11.8%	12.8%	31.4%	0.41×	7.79
Braga & under 1.5	11.1%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Rio Ave FC & over 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	24.7%	0.32×	12.63
Rio Ave FC & under 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	17.6%	0.45×	12.63
Rio Ave FC & under 1.5	5.4%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.1%	7.9%	6.5%	1.22×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.6%	7.9%	9.6%	0.83×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.6%	7.9%	9.6%	0.83×	12.63
Rio Ave FC & over 3.5	4.1%	4.8%	13.1%	0.37×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga (1UP)	74.1%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Rio Ave FC (1UP)	34.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.02

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga (2UP)	62.4%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Rio Ave FC (2UP)	17.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga to win 2nd half	52.7%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
2nd half drawn	30.9%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Rio Ave FC to win 2nd half	16.5%	18.1%	—	—	5.54

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.6%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Braga under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.6%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Braga over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.4%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Braga under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.4%	29.7%	—	—	3.36

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.2%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
Rio Ave FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	59.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Rio Ave FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	40.9%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Rio Ave FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.25

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga (+2.5)	98.6%	96.3%	89.7%	1.07×	1.04
Braga (+1.5)	94.5%	92.1%	77.8%	1.18×	1.09
Braga (+0.5)	82.9%	82.5%	57.9%	1.42×	1.21
Braga (-0.5)	62.4%	62.9%	31.4%	2.00×	1.59
Rio Ave FC (+0.5)	37.6%	37.1%	68.6%	0.54×	2.70
Rio Ave FC (-0.5)	17.1%	17.5%	42.1%	0.42×	5.73
Rio Ave FC (-1.5)	5.5%	7.9%	22.2%	0.35×	12.71
Rio Ave FC (-2.5)	1.4%	3.7%	10.3%	0.36×	27.22

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga to concede	60.3%	67.5%	73.8%	0.91×	1.48
Braga clean sheet	39.7%	32.5%	26.2%	1.24×	3.08

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga clean sheet in 1st half	67.2%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Braga to concede in 1st half	32.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.42

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga clean sheet in 2nd half	59.1%	57.3%	—	—	1.74
Braga to concede in 2nd half	40.9%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga over 2.5 corners	87.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Braga over 3.5 corners	75.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Braga under 6.5 corners	64.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Braga over 4.5 corners	62.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Braga under 5.5 corners	51.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Braga over 5.5 corners	48.2%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Braga under 4.5 corners	38.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Braga over 6.5 corners	35.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Braga under 3.5 corners	24.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Braga under 2.5 corners	13.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga over 0.5 goals	86.3%	87.8%	67.6%	1.30×	1.14
Braga under 3.5 goals	86.0%	87.8%	96.0%	0.91×	1.14
Braga under 2.5 goals	68.0%	68.0%	88.8%	0.77×	1.47
Braga over 1.5 goals	59.0%	59.4%	34.7%	1.71×	1.68
Braga under 1.5 goals	41.0%	40.6%	65.3%	0.62×	2.47
Braga over 2.5 goals	32.0%	32.0%	11.2%	2.85×	3.13
Braga over 3.5 goals	14.0%	12.2%	4.0%	3.05×	8.19
Braga under 0.5 goals	13.7%	12.2%	32.4%	0.38×	8.20

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga under 1.5 in 1st half	81.1%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Braga over 0.5 in 1st half	54.8%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Braga under 0.5 in 1st half	45.2%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Braga over 1.5 in 1st half	18.9%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga scores more in 2nd half	45.3%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Braga scores equally in both	30.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Braga scores more in 1st half	24.6%	22.2%	—	—	4.51

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	54.4%	51.7%	38.8%	1.33×	1.93
Rio Ave FC (away no bet)	45.6%	48.3%	61.2%	0.79×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga even goals	50.9%	52.6%	58.7%	0.90×	1.90
Braga odd goals	49.1%	47.4%	41.3%	1.15×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.9%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.4%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.6%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.8%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Braga to score 2+ in a row	51.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Braga to score 3+ in a row	23.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Rio Ave FC to score 2+ in a row	15.8%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Rio Ave FC to score 3+ in a row	3.1%	2.6%	—	—	38.81

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga corners (+3.5)	94.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Braga corners (+2.5)	90.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Braga corners (+1.5)	84.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Rio Ave FC corners (+3.5)	66.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Rio Ave FC corners (+2.5)	55.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Braga corners (-1.5)	55.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Rio Ave FC corners (+1.5)	44.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Braga corners (-2.5)	44.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Braga corners (-3.5)	33.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Rio Ave FC corners (-1.5)	16.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Rio Ave FC corners (-2.5)	10.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Rio Ave FC corners (-3.5)	5.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	26.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.7%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	55.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	55.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	44.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	44.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	35.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	33.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	26.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	19.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	11.1%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.72
0-2	10.7%	11.5%	5.2%	2.19×	8.72
1-1	9.7%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.50
1-2	9.9%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.50
0-3	7.1%	7.4%	3.9%	1.92×	13.51
1-3	6.6%	7.4%	1.4%	5.34×	13.51
0-0	5.1%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.51
1-0	5.4%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
Any other score	5.4%	7.4%	2.9%	2.53×	13.51
0-4	3.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.30
1-4	3.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.30
2-0	2.3%	1.7%	6.9%	0.25×	58.31
2-1	4.6%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.29
2-2	4.6%	1.7%	8.3%	0.21×	58.29
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.30
2-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.78×	58.31
3-0	0.7%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.32
3-1	1.4%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.31
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.31
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	11.13×	58.32
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.32
4-1	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.78×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.56×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.56×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga (2nd half DNB)	76.2%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Rio Ave FC (2nd half DNB)	23.8%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga leading at HT (DNB)	71.1%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Rio Ave FC leading at HT (DNB)	28.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga or draw (X2)	82.9%	80.6%	57.9%	1.39×	1.24
Rio Ave FC or Braga (12)	79.6%	75.6%	73.3%	1.03×	1.32
Rio Ave FC or draw (1X)	37.6%	41.8%	68.6%	0.61×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga or draw at HT	82.8%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Rio Ave FC or Braga at HT	59.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Rio Ave FC or draw at HT	57.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga or draw (1UP)	82.9%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Rio Ave FC or draw (1UP)	37.6%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga or draw in 2nd half	83.5%	81.9%	—	—	1.22
Rio Ave FC or Braga in 2nd half	69.1%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Rio Ave FC or draw in 2nd half	47.3%	48.8%	—	—	2.05

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.3%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	40.7%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga (DNB)	78.5%	74.8%	42.8%	1.75×	1.34
Rio Ave FC (DNB)	21.5%	25.2%	57.2%	0.44×	3.96

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga to score first	64.8%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Rio Ave FC to score first	30.1%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
No goal scored	5.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.7%	51.3%	47.9%	1.07×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.3%	48.7%	52.1%	0.94×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.0%	41.6%	37.1%	1.12×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	34.7%	34.6%	37.9%	0.91×	2.89
Not both score & over 2.5	13.6%	12.4%	14.3%	0.86×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	9.7%	8.3%	10.9%	0.76×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.0%	85.6%	86.0%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.0%	14.4%	14.0%	1.03×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.6%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.4%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.8%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	23.3%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	12.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	5.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.81

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.1%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.9%	16.7%	—	—	5.97

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.0%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	43.0%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.1%	47.2%	45.6%	1.03×	2.12
4-6 goals	30.4%	30.7%	27.7%	1.11×	3.26
0-1 goals	21.6%	22.9%	26.0%	0.88×	4.37
7+ goals	2.9%	1.8%	0.9%	2.00×	54.21

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga to score 3+	32.0%	33.8%	11.2%	3.01×	2.96
Braga to score exactly 1	27.3%	27.4%	33.1%	0.83×	3.65
Braga to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.4%	23.6%	1.16×	3.65
Braga to score exactly 0	13.7%	12.9%	32.4%	0.40×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC to score exactly 0	39.7%	35.6%	26.2%	1.36×	2.81
Rio Ave FC to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	31.4%	1.13×	2.81
Rio Ave FC to score exactly 2	16.9%	18.8%	23.6%	0.80×	5.33
Rio Ave FC to score 3+	6.7%	10.3%	19.1%	0.54×	9.72

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga leading at HT	42.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Draw at HT	40.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Rio Ave FC leading at HT	17.2%	15.8%	—	—	6.35

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga -1: 2	37.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Braga -1: 1	37.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Braga -1: X	24.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga (0:1)	82.9%	78.0%	57.9%	1.35×	1.28
Draw (0:1)	11.6%	13.7%	20.0%	0.68×	7.30
Rio Ave FC (0:1)	5.5%	9.2%	22.2%	0.41×	10.88

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga (0:2)	94.5%	90.8%	77.8%	1.17×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	4.1%	3.8%	12.0%	0.31×	26.63
Rio Ave FC (0:2)	1.4%	3.7%	10.3%	0.36×	26.79

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga (0:3)	98.6%	96.6%	89.7%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	6.0%	0.39×	42.16
Rio Ave FC (0:3)	0.3%	2.4%	4.5%	0.53×	42.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga (0:4)	99.7%	98.1%	95.5%	1.03×	1.02
Rio Ave FC (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.4%	0.88×	82.10
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	82.08

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga (1:0)	37.8%	37.6%	13.9%	2.71×	2.66
Rio Ave FC (1:0)	37.6%	37.6%	68.6%	0.55×	2.66
Draw (1:0)	24.6%	21.7%	17.7%	1.23×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC (2:0)	62.2%	66.3%	86.1%	0.77×	1.51
Draw (2:0)	19.0%	15.9%	7.1%	2.24×	6.31
Braga (2:0)	18.8%	15.8%	6.9%	2.29×	6.31

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.0%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	23.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC to concede	86.3%	85.5%	67.6%	1.26×	1.17
Rio Ave FC clean sheet	13.7%	14.5%	32.4%	0.45×	6.89

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC to concede in 1st half	54.8%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Rio Ave FC clean sheet in 1st half	45.2%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC to concede in 2nd half	69.6%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Rio Ave FC clean sheet in 2nd half	30.4%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC under 6.5 corners	89.4%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Rio Ave FC under 5.5 corners	81.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Rio Ave FC under 4.5 corners	69.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Rio Ave FC over 2.5 corners	65.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Rio Ave FC under 3.5 corners	53.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Rio Ave FC over 3.5 corners	46.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Rio Ave FC under 2.5 corners	34.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Rio Ave FC over 4.5 corners	30.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Rio Ave FC over 5.5 corners	18.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Rio Ave FC over 6.5 corners	10.6%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC under 3.5 goals	98.5%	96.4%	93.5%	1.03×	1.04
Rio Ave FC under 2.5 goals	93.3%	92.2%	80.9%	1.14×	1.08
Rio Ave FC under 1.5 goals	76.4%	77.7%	57.5%	1.35×	1.29
Rio Ave FC over 0.5 goals	60.3%	63.6%	73.8%	0.86×	1.57
Rio Ave FC under 0.5 goals	39.7%	36.4%	26.2%	1.39×	2.75
Rio Ave FC over 1.5 goals	23.6%	22.3%	42.5%	0.52×	4.49
Rio Ave FC over 2.5 goals	6.7%	7.8%	19.1%	0.41×	12.89
Rio Ave FC over 3.5 goals	1.5%	3.6%	6.5%	0.56×	27.60

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC under 1.5 in 1st half	93.9%	94.8%	—	—	1.05
Rio Ave FC under 0.5 in 1st half	67.2%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Rio Ave FC over 0.5 in 1st half	32.8%	30.9%	—	—	3.23
Rio Ave FC over 1.5 in 1st half	6.1%	5.2%	—	—	19.37

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC scores equally in both	48.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Rio Ave FC scores more in 2nd half	30.2%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Rio Ave FC scores more in 1st half	21.3%	21.2%	—	—	4.72

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga (home no bet)	75.3%	77.5%	54.1%	1.43×	1.29
Draw (home no bet)	24.7%	22.5%	45.9%	0.49×	4.45

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC even goals	57.9%	55.3%	54.7%	1.01×	1.81
Rio Ave FC odd goals	42.1%	44.7%	45.3%	0.99×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.3%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
HT 0-1	24.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 1-0	12.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-2	9.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
HT 1-1	9.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
Any other HT score	5.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 1-2	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 2-0	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.25

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga at HT / Braga at FT	37.3%	41.4%	—	—	2.41
Draw at HT / Braga at FT	21.6%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Rio Ave FC at HT / Rio Ave FC at FT	9.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
Draw at HT / Rio Ave FC at FT	6.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Rio Ave FC at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
Braga at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
Rio Ave FC at HT / Braga at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.66
Braga at HT / Rio Ave FC at FT	1.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.75

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga to score last	64.7%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Rio Ave FC to score last	30.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	5.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.9%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Braga to lead by 1 at any time	74.1%	74.4%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Braga to lead by 2 at any time	44.3%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Rio Ave FC to lead by 1 at any time	34.6%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.8%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
Braga to lead by 3 at any time	21.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Rio Ave FC to lead by 2 at any time	9.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.82
Rio Ave FC to lead by 3 at any time	2.2%	1.6%	—	—	62.55

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga most corners	66.2%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Rio Ave FC most corners	24.0%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Corners level	9.8%	8.4%	—	—	11.96

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.4%	87.4%	89.8%	0.97×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.9%	78.7%	83.1%	0.95×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.5%	78.7%	73.2%	1.07×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.9%	72.4%	70.3%	1.03×	1.38
1-3 goals	61.6%	63.3%	65.2%	0.97×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.4%	63.3%	63.5%	1.00×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.8%	53.2%	50.5%	1.05×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.1%	48.5%	47.6%	1.02×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.1%	48.5%	45.6%	1.06×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.2%	39.2%	42.4%	0.93×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.7%	39.2%	40.8%	0.96×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.4%	35.2%	27.7%	1.27×	2.84
4-5 goals	25.8%	30.2%	24.8%	1.22×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.1%	14.8%	9.9%	1.50×	6.75
7+ goals	2.9%	2.6%	0.9%	2.77×	39.09

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga never behind	60.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Rio Ave FC never behind	20.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.5%	50.9%	50.2%	1.01×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.5%	49.1%	49.8%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.5%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.5%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.9%	92.3%	93.5%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.5%	92.3%	96.1%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.0%	82.3%	89.4%	0.92×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.4%	77.3%	74.0%	1.05×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	66.7%	66.3%	71.5%	0.93×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.6%	58.6%	51.3%	1.14×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	44.4%	41.4%	48.7%	0.85×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	33.3%	33.7%	28.5%	1.18×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.6%	22.7%	26.0%	0.87×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	17.0%	17.7%	10.6%	1.66×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	7.5%	7.7%	3.9%	2.01×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	5.1%	7.7%	6.5%	1.19×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.0%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.7%	92.4%	95.9%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	79.7%	75.9%	87.1%	0.87×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.0%	72.4%	66.3%	1.09×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.1%	55.8%	63.1%	0.88×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.9%	44.2%	36.9%	1.20×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.0%	27.6%	33.7%	0.82×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	20.3%	24.1%	12.9%	1.86×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.3%	7.6%	4.1%	1.84×	13.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.0%	2.8%	1.0%	2.95×	35.57

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.1%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.7%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.6%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.4%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.3%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.2%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.2%	79.1%	—	—	1.27
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	51.1%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	48.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.8%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC not to score in both halves	86.6%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Braga not to score in both halves	61.8%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Braga to score in both halves	38.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Rio Ave FC to score in both halves	13.4%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.7%	53.8%	47.9%	1.12×	1.86
Only Braga scores	34.6%	33.3%	19.9%	1.68×	3.00
Only Rio Ave FC scores	8.6%	7.1%	26.0%	0.27×	14.03
Neither team scores	5.1%	7.1%	6.5%	1.10×	14.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.7%	22.6%	22.8%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	16.5%	17.5%	19.7%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	16.3%	17.5%	18.0%	0.97×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.5%	7.6%	6.9%	1.10×	13.13
6 or more goals	7.5%	7.6%	3.9%	1.98×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.1%	7.6%	6.5%	1.18×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	30.3%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	21.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.33

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	51.1%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	31.0%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	17.8%	16.5%	—	—	6.08

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC not to win both halves	97.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Braga not to win both halves	77.8%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Braga to win both halves	22.2%	24.6%	—	—	4.07
Rio Ave FC to win both halves	2.8%	2.8%	—	—	35.65

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga to win either half	72.7%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Rio Ave FC to win neither half	69.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Rio Ave FC to win either half	30.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Braga to win neither half	27.3%	27.0%	—	—	3.71

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC not to win to nil	91.4%	92.1%	74.0%	1.25×	1.09
Braga not to win to nil	65.4%	69.6%	80.1%	0.87×	1.44
Braga to win to nil	34.6%	30.4%	19.9%	1.53×	3.29
Rio Ave FC to win to nil	8.6%	7.9%	26.0%	0.30×	12.63

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Braga by 1	24.6%	24.1%	17.7%	1.36×	4.15
Draw	20.4%	24.1%	26.7%	0.90×	4.15
Braga by 2	19.0%	17.1%	7.1%	2.41×	5.87
Braga by 3+	18.8%	17.1%	6.9%	2.46×	5.87
Rio Ave FC by 1	11.6%	11.8%	20.0%	0.59×	8.51
Rio Ave FC by 2	4.1%	2.7%	12.0%	0.23×	36.78
Rio Ave FC by 3+	1.4%	2.7%	10.3%	0.26×	36.86