Rio Ave FC v FC Famalicao — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 25 October 2026 · POR-Primeira Liga · 2627

Primeira Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Rio Ave FC

18:00 UTC

FC Famalicao

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 7h before kick-off

Rio Ave FC win

23.0%

model 24.3%

Draw

27.7%

model 27.8%

FC Famalicao win

49.2%

model 48.0%

232849

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 15.8%
1-1 12.4%
0-0 11.4%
1-0 10.3%
0-2 10.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	36.0%	Under 2.5	64.0%
BTTS yes	40.7%	BTTS no	59.3%
Rio Ave FC 1+	56.5%	Rio Ave FC 2+	20.3%
FC Famalicao 1+	72.8%	FC Famalicao 2+	37.4%

Expected goals 0.83 – 1.30. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

84/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Under 2 (void on exactly 2)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 34%

53.7% fair odds 1.86

strong signal · 700 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Rio Ave FC not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 827 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Famalicao carry the stronger rating, 1546 Elo against 1417.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Famalicao have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.7% for the draw and 23.0% for Rio Ave FC. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.83 for Rio Ave FC and 1.30 for FC Famalicao.

Why Rio Ave FC

Nothing in the data singles out Rio Ave FC.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.7%. A combined 2.13 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why FC Famalicao can win

FC Famalicao carry the stronger rating, 1546 Elo against 1417.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Rio Ave FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Famalicao, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Rio Ave FC: 46% possession, 6.8 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Famalicao: 58% possession, 9.4 shots a match, 9.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Famalicao are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 15.8%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	242848	0.83–1.30	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	243145	0.71–1.10	0-1 18%	27%	34%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao to win	45.0%	43.0%	31.4%	1.37×	2.33
Draw	31.0%	30.4%	26.7%	1.14×	3.29
Rio Ave FC to win	24.0%	24.5%	42.1%	0.58×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao & not both score	33.1%	29.6%	19.9%	1.49×	3.38
Rio Ave FC & not both score	17.4%	18.0%	26.0%	0.69×	5.57
Draw & not both score	15.9%	18.0%	6.5%	2.78×	5.57
Draw & both teams score	15.1%	18.0%	20.3%	0.88×	5.57
FC Famalicao & both teams score	11.9%	13.3%	11.7%	1.13×	7.54
Rio Ave FC & both teams score	6.6%	8.3%	16.2%	0.51×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao & under 3.5	38.9%	34.9%	25.4%	1.37×	2.87
Draw & under 2.5	28.3%	26.1%	17.3%	1.51×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	28.3%	26.1%	17.3%	1.51×	3.84
FC Famalicao & under 2.5	28.2%	26.1%	14.2%	1.84×	3.84
FC Famalicao & over 1.5	26.6%	26.1%	22.5%	1.16×	3.84
Rio Ave FC & under 3.5	21.7%	21.6%	29.1%	0.74×	4.63
FC Famalicao & under 1.5	18.4%	18.0%	9.1%	1.98×	5.56
FC Famalicao & over 2.5	16.7%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Rio Ave FC & under 2.5	16.2%	18.0%	17.6%	1.02×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	15.9%	18.0%	6.5%	2.78×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.1%	18.0%	20.3%	0.88×	5.56
Rio Ave FC & over 1.5	12.0%	12.8%	31.4%	0.41×	7.79
Rio Ave FC & under 1.5	12.0%	12.8%	10.8%	1.19×	7.79
Rio Ave FC & over 2.5	7.8%	7.9%	24.7%	0.32×	12.63
FC Famalicao & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	6.2%	1.28×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	2.7%	4.8%	9.6%	0.50×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	2.7%	4.8%	9.6%	0.50×	20.82
Rio Ave FC & over 3.5	2.3%	4.8%	13.1%	0.37×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao (1UP)	55.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Rio Ave FC (1UP)	35.8%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao (2UP)	45.0%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Rio Ave FC (2UP)	24.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	44.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
FC Famalicao to win 2nd half	36.4%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Rio Ave FC to win 2nd half	19.6%	18.3%	—	—	5.46

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.8%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
FC Famalicao under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
FC Famalicao over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
FC Famalicao over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.2%	13.1%	—	—	7.64

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	93.7%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Rio Ave FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	66.6%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Rio Ave FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	33.4%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Rio Ave FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	6.3%	5.4%	—	—	18.53

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao (+2.5)	98.6%	96.3%	89.7%	1.07×	1.04
FC Famalicao (+1.5)	93.2%	92.1%	77.8%	1.18×	1.09
FC Famalicao (+0.5)	76.0%	78.5%	57.9%	1.35×	1.27
Rio Ave FC (+0.5)	55.0%	57.0%	68.6%	0.83×	1.75
FC Famalicao (-0.5)	45.0%	43.0%	31.4%	1.37×	2.33
Rio Ave FC (-0.5)	24.0%	21.5%	42.1%	0.51×	4.65
Rio Ave FC (-1.5)	6.8%	7.9%	22.2%	0.36×	12.69
Rio Ave FC (-2.5)	1.4%	3.7%	10.3%	0.36×	27.22

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao to concede	51.0%	55.8%	73.8%	0.76×	1.79
FC Famalicao clean sheet	49.0%	44.2%	26.2%	1.69×	2.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao clean sheet in 1st half	73.6%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
FC Famalicao to concede in 1st half	26.4%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao clean sheet in 2nd half	66.6%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
FC Famalicao to concede in 2nd half	33.4%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao over 2.5 corners	89.7%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
FC Famalicao over 3.5 corners	79.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
FC Famalicao over 4.5 corners	67.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
FC Famalicao under 6.5 corners	57.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
FC Famalicao over 5.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
FC Famalicao under 5.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Famalicao over 6.5 corners	42.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
FC Famalicao under 4.5 corners	32.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
FC Famalicao under 3.5 corners	20.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
FC Famalicao under 2.5 corners	10.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao under 3.5 goals	97.4%	97.5%	96.0%	1.02×	1.03
FC Famalicao under 2.5 goals	90.0%	92.3%	88.8%	1.04×	1.08
FC Famalicao under 1.5 goals	69.9%	68.0%	65.3%	1.04×	1.47
FC Famalicao over 0.5 goals	66.7%	68.0%	67.6%	1.01×	1.47
FC Famalicao under 0.5 goals	33.3%	32.0%	32.4%	0.99×	3.12
FC Famalicao over 1.5 goals	30.1%	32.0%	34.7%	0.92×	3.13
FC Famalicao over 2.5 goals	10.0%	7.7%	11.2%	0.68×	13.03
FC Famalicao over 3.5 goals	2.6%	2.5%	4.0%	0.63×	39.90

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao under 1.5 in 1st half	92.7%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
FC Famalicao under 0.5 in 1st half	64.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
FC Famalicao over 0.5 in 1st half	35.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
FC Famalicao over 1.5 in 1st half	7.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.73

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao scores equally in both	43.7%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
FC Famalicao scores more in 2nd half	35.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
FC Famalicao scores more in 1st half	21.0%	22.1%	—	—	4.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	56.4%	57.4%	38.8%	1.48×	1.74
Rio Ave FC (away no bet)	43.6%	42.6%	61.2%	0.70×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao even goals	55.5%	56.9%	58.7%	0.97×	1.76
FC Famalicao odd goals	44.5%	43.1%	41.3%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	95.0%	95.1%	—	—	1.05
Both halves over 1.5 goals	5.0%	4.9%	—	—	20.60

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	59.1%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Not both halves under 1.5	40.9%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	36.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
FC Famalicao to score 2+ in a row	25.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Rio Ave FC to score 2+ in a row	12.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Either team to score 3+ in a row	9.7%	5.6%	—	—	17.78
FC Famalicao to score 3+ in a row	7.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.95
Rio Ave FC to score 3+ in a row	2.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.33

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao corners (+3.5)	89.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Famalicao corners (+2.5)	84.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Famalicao corners (+1.5)	77.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Rio Ave FC corners (+3.5)	69.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Rio Ave FC corners (+2.5)	60.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Rio Ave FC corners (+1.5)	50.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
FC Famalicao corners (-1.5)	49.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
FC Famalicao corners (-2.5)	39.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Famalicao corners (-3.5)	30.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Rio Ave FC corners (-1.5)	22.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Rio Ave FC corners (-2.5)	15.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Rio Ave FC corners (-3.5)	10.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	41.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
0-8 corners	29.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	78.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	70.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	67.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 9.5 corners	60.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	58.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	50.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	49.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	41.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	39.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	32.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	29.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	21.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	18.4%	13.8%	9.1%	1.52×	7.22
0-0	15.9%	13.8%	6.5%	2.14×	7.24
1-0	12.0%	11.5%	10.8%	1.06×	8.72
1-1	12.4%	11.5%	10.9%	1.05×	8.72
0-2	9.9%	7.4%	5.2%	1.41×	13.50
1-2	7.0%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
0-3	3.6%	1.7%	3.9%	0.45×	58.30
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.31
1-3	2.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.30
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.32
2-0	4.1%	1.7%	6.9%	0.25×	58.30
2-1	4.6%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.29
2-2	2.5%	1.7%	8.3%	0.21×	58.31
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.78×	58.32
3-0	1.0%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.31
3-1	1.1%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.31
3-2	0.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.32
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	11.13×	58.32
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.32
4-1	0.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.32
4-2	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.78×	58.32
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.56×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.56×	58.32
Any other score	0.6%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao (2nd half DNB)	64.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Rio Ave FC (2nd half DNB)	35.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao leading at HT (DNB)	60.6%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Rio Ave FC leading at HT (DNB)	39.4%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao or draw (X2)	76.0%	75.5%	57.9%	1.30×	1.32
Rio Ave FC or FC Famalicao (12)	69.0%	69.6%	73.3%	0.95×	1.44
Rio Ave FC or draw (1X)	55.0%	57.0%	68.6%	0.83×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao or draw at HT	81.8%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Rio Ave FC or draw at HT	72.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Rio Ave FC or FC Famalicao at HT	46.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao or draw (1UP)	76.0%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Rio Ave FC or draw (1UP)	55.0%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao or draw in 2nd half	80.4%	81.7%	—	—	1.22
Rio Ave FC or draw in 2nd half	63.6%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Rio Ave FC or FC Famalicao in 2nd half	56.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	74.6%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Neither half drawn	25.4%	27.3%	—	—	3.67

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao (DNB)	65.2%	67.3%	42.8%	1.57×	1.49
Rio Ave FC (DNB)	34.8%	32.7%	57.2%	0.57×	3.06

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao to score first	51.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Rio Ave FC to score first	33.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
No goal scored	15.9%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	66.4%	58.4%	52.1%	1.12×	1.71
Both teams to score	33.6%	41.6%	47.9%	0.87×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	60.3%	50.3%	37.9%	1.33×	1.99
Both score & over 2.5	21.2%	27.7%	37.1%	0.75×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.4%	12.4%	10.9%	1.13×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	6.1%	8.3%	14.3%	0.58×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	95.2%	91.6%	86.0%	1.07×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	4.8%	8.4%	14.0%	0.60×	11.87

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	84.0%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	16.0%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	76.2%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Both score 2nd half only	14.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
Both score 1st half only	7.8%	6.8%	—	—	14.67
Both score in both halves	1.5%	4.8%	—	—	20.77

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	90.7%	91.1%	—	—	1.10
Both teams to score by HT	9.3%	8.9%	—	—	11.25

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	65.7%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
A goal in each half	34.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	46.3%	47.2%	26.0%	1.81×	2.12
2-3 goals	42.6%	42.1%	45.6%	0.92×	2.37
4-6 goals	10.8%	16.9%	27.7%	0.61×	5.92
7+ goals	0.3%	1.8%	0.9%	1.99×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	33.1%	1.08×	2.78
FC Famalicao to score exactly 0	33.3%	33.8%	32.4%	1.05×	2.96
FC Famalicao to score exactly 2	20.2%	22.3%	23.6%	0.95×	4.49
FC Famalicao to score 3+	10.0%	8.6%	11.2%	0.76×	11.67

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC to score exactly 0	49.0%	37.5%	26.2%	1.43×	2.67
Rio Ave FC to score exactly 1	34.9%	32.6%	31.4%	1.04×	3.07
Rio Ave FC to score exactly 2	12.5%	14.3%	23.6%	0.61×	6.99
Rio Ave FC to score 3+	3.6%	6.2%	19.1%	0.32×	16.18

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	53.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.09
FC Famalicao leading at HT	28.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Rio Ave FC leading at HT	18.2%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao -1: 1	55.0%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
FC Famalicao -1: X	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
FC Famalicao -1: 2	18.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao (0:1)	76.0%	73.7%	57.9%	1.27×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	17.2%	17.8%	20.0%	0.89×	5.61
Rio Ave FC (0:1)	6.8%	9.2%	22.2%	0.42×	10.84

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao (0:2)	93.2%	90.8%	77.8%	1.17×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	5.3%	7.7%	12.0%	0.64×	13.06
Rio Ave FC (0:2)	1.4%	3.7%	10.3%	0.36×	26.79

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao (0:3)	98.6%	96.6%	89.7%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.2%	2.4%	6.0%	0.39×	42.16
Rio Ave FC (0:3)	0.2%	2.4%	4.5%	0.53×	42.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao (0:4)	99.8%	98.1%	95.5%	1.03×	1.02
Rio Ave FC (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.4%	0.88×	82.10
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	82.08

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC (1:0)	55.0%	58.2%	68.6%	0.85×	1.72
Draw (1:0)	26.4%	25.0%	17.7%	1.41×	4.00
FC Famalicao (1:0)	18.6%	17.1%	13.9%	1.23×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC (2:0)	81.4%	84.6%	86.1%	0.98×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.7%	10.3%	7.1%	1.45×	9.72
FC Famalicao (2:0)	5.9%	6.4%	6.9%	0.92×	15.71

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.0%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Halves equal	31.5%	29.7%	—	—	3.36
1st half highest scoring	25.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC to concede	66.7%	66.7%	67.6%	0.99×	1.50
Rio Ave FC clean sheet	33.3%	33.3%	32.4%	1.03×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC clean sheet in 1st half	64.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Rio Ave FC to concede in 1st half	35.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC clean sheet in 2nd half	51.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Rio Ave FC to concede in 2nd half	48.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC over 2.5 corners	78.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Rio Ave FC under 6.5 corners	77.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Rio Ave FC under 5.5 corners	66.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Rio Ave FC over 3.5 corners	63.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Rio Ave FC under 4.5 corners	52.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Rio Ave FC over 4.5 corners	47.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Rio Ave FC under 3.5 corners	36.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Rio Ave FC over 5.5 corners	33.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Rio Ave FC over 6.5 corners	22.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Rio Ave FC under 2.5 corners	21.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC under 3.5 goals	99.4%	96.4%	93.5%	1.03×	1.04
Rio Ave FC under 2.5 goals	96.4%	96.4%	80.9%	1.19×	1.04
Rio Ave FC under 1.5 goals	84.0%	82.2%	57.5%	1.43×	1.22
Rio Ave FC over 0.5 goals	51.0%	53.2%	73.8%	0.72×	1.88
Rio Ave FC under 0.5 goals	49.0%	46.8%	26.2%	1.79×	2.14
Rio Ave FC over 1.5 goals	16.0%	17.8%	42.5%	0.42×	5.62
Rio Ave FC over 2.5 goals	3.6%	3.6%	19.1%	0.19×	27.51
Rio Ave FC over 3.5 goals	0.6%	3.6%	6.5%	0.56×	27.64

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC under 1.5 in 1st half	96.2%	96.9%	—	—	1.03
Rio Ave FC under 0.5 in 1st half	73.6%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Rio Ave FC over 0.5 in 1st half	26.4%	20.7%	—	—	4.83
Rio Ave FC over 1.5 in 1st half	3.8%	3.1%	—	—	31.93

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC scores equally in both	55.3%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Rio Ave FC scores more in 2nd half	26.0%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Rio Ave FC scores more in 1st half	18.6%	16.1%	—	—	6.21

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao (home no bet)	59.2%	56.5%	54.1%	1.04×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	40.8%	43.5%	45.9%	0.95×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC even goals	62.0%	56.0%	54.7%	1.02×	1.79
Rio Ave FC odd goals	38.0%	44.0%	45.3%	0.97×	2.27

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	47.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
HT 0-1	20.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	14.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	6.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 0-2	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.00
HT 2-0	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 1-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
Any other HT score	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 2-1	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.28

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao at HT / FC Famalicao at FT	23.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	23.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / FC Famalicao at FT	19.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Rio Ave FC at HT / Rio Ave FC at FT	12.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Rio Ave FC at FT	10.8%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Rio Ave FC at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
FC Famalicao at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.66
Rio Ave FC at HT / FC Famalicao at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
FC Famalicao at HT / Rio Ave FC at FT	0.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.76

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao to score last	51.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Rio Ave FC to score last	33.1%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	15.9%	12.9%	—	—	7.73

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	84.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
FC Famalicao to lead by 1 at any time	55.2%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Rio Ave FC to lead by 1 at any time	35.8%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	31.2%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
FC Famalicao to lead by 2 at any time	22.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Rio Ave FC to lead by 2 at any time	9.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.83
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	8.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.86
FC Famalicao to lead by 3 at any time	6.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.94
Rio Ave FC to lead by 3 at any time	1.8%	1.6%	—	—	62.89

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao most corners	59.8%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Rio Ave FC most corners	30.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	9.5%	8.4%	—	—	11.96

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.0%	83.4%	89.8%	0.93×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.4%	83.4%	83.1%	1.00×	1.20
1-3 goals	73.0%	72.4%	65.2%	1.11×	1.38
1-2 goals	56.8%	59.1%	42.4%	1.39×	1.69
2-6 goals	53.5%	53.2%	73.2%	0.73×	1.88
2-5 goals	52.6%	53.2%	70.3%	0.76×	1.88
2-4 goals	50.0%	48.5%	63.5%	0.76×	2.06
2-3 goals	42.6%	43.6%	45.6%	0.96×	2.29
3-6 goals	27.0%	30.2%	50.5%	0.60×	3.31
3-5 goals	26.2%	30.2%	47.6%	0.63×	3.31
3-4 goals	23.6%	24.5%	40.8%	0.60×	4.08
4-6 goals	10.8%	14.8%	27.7%	0.53×	6.76
4-5 goals	10.0%	14.8%	24.8%	0.60×	6.76
5-6 goals	3.5%	2.6%	9.9%	0.26×	39.07
7+ goals	0.3%	2.6%	0.9%	2.76×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao never behind	48.3%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Rio Ave FC never behind	28.9%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.5%	50.9%	49.8%	1.02×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.5%	49.1%	50.2%	0.98×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	61.1%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Odd goals in 1st half	38.9%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.6%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.4%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.9%	95.4%	96.1%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	96.3%	95.4%	89.4%	1.07×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	88.9%	87.6%	71.5%	1.23×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	84.1%	82.3%	93.5%	0.88×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	72.7%	72.5%	48.7%	1.49×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	53.7%	52.5%	74.0%	0.71×	1.90
Under 1.5 goals	46.3%	47.5%	26.0%	1.82×	2.11
Over 2.5 goals	27.3%	27.5%	51.3%	0.54×	3.63
Under 0.5 goals	15.9%	17.7%	6.5%	2.73×	5.65
Over 3.5 goals	11.1%	12.4%	28.5%	0.43×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	3.7%	4.6%	10.6%	0.43×	21.86
Over 5.5 goals	1.1%	4.6%	3.9%	1.19×	21.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.7%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.9%	97.2%	95.9%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	96.0%	97.2%	87.1%	1.12×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	86.8%	86.7%	63.1%	1.37×	1.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.9%	61.9%	33.7%	1.84×	1.62
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.1%	38.1%	66.3%	0.57×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	13.2%	13.3%	36.9%	0.36×	7.53
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	4.0%	2.8%	12.9%	0.22×	35.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.1%	2.8%	4.1%	0.68×	35.62
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.3%	2.8%	1.0%	2.95×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	96.0%	96.7%	—	—	1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half	82.8%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	52.7%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Under 0.5 in 1st half	47.3%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Over 1.5 in 1st half	17.2%	14.2%	—	—	7.04
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.0%	3.3%	—	—	30.54

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	90.7%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.3%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.7%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.3%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.7%	22.5%	—	—	4.45
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	9.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.55

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC not to score in both halves	91.2%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
FC Famalicao not to score in both halves	82.8%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
FC Famalicao to score in both halves	17.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
Rio Ave FC to score in both halves	8.8%	9.9%	—	—	10.11

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	33.6%	33.3%	47.9%	0.70×	3.00
Only FC Famalicao scores	33.1%	33.3%	19.9%	1.68×	3.00
Only Rio Ave FC scores	17.4%	16.0%	26.0%	0.62×	6.24
Neither team scores	15.9%	16.0%	6.5%	2.47×	6.25

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	30.4%	25.4%	19.7%	1.29×	3.94
Exactly 2 goals	26.4%	24.9%	22.8%	1.09×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	16.2%	17.5%	23.0%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	15.9%	17.5%	6.5%	2.70×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	7.4%	7.6%	18.0%	0.42×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	2.7%	4.5%	6.9%	0.64×	22.40
6 or more goals	1.1%	4.5%	3.9%	1.16×	22.42

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	47.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
1 goal in 1st half	35.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	13.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
3+ goals in 1st half	4.0%	3.3%	—	—	30.54

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	37.0%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
No goals in 2nd half	34.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
2+ goals in 2nd half	28.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.42

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC not to win both halves	96.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
FC Famalicao not to win both halves	89.9%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
FC Famalicao to win both halves	10.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Rio Ave FC to win both halves	3.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.36

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC to win neither half	65.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
FC Famalicao to win either half	54.2%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
FC Famalicao to win neither half	45.8%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Rio Ave FC to win either half	34.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rio Ave FC not to win to nil	82.6%	83.1%	74.0%	1.12×	1.20
FC Famalicao not to win to nil	66.9%	69.6%	80.1%	0.87×	1.44
FC Famalicao to win to nil	33.1%	30.4%	19.9%	1.53×	3.29
Rio Ave FC to win to nil	17.4%	16.9%	26.0%	0.65×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Famalicao by 1	26.4%	27.9%	17.7%	1.57×	3.59
Draw	31.0%	27.7%	26.7%	1.04×	3.62
Rio Ave FC by 1	17.2%	17.0%	20.0%	0.85×	5.87
FC Famalicao by 2	12.7%	11.8%	7.1%	1.66×	8.51
FC Famalicao by 3+	5.9%	7.2%	6.9%	1.04×	13.91
Rio Ave FC by 2	5.3%	7.2%	12.0%	0.60×	13.92
Rio Ave FC by 3+	1.4%	2.7%	10.3%	0.26×	36.86