River Plate v Huracán — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

River Plate

22:00 UTC

Huracán

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 250h before kick-off

River Plate win

49.7%

model 48.0%

Draw

27.9%

model 28.3%

Huracán win

22.5%

model 23.8%

502822

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 13.7%
1-1 13.1%
0-0 10.6%
2-0 9.8%
2-1 8.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	40.0%	Under 2.5	60.0%
BTTS yes	44.8%	BTTS no	55.2%
River Plate 1+	75.1%	River Plate 2+	40.4%
Huracán 1+	59.1%	Huracán 2+	22.6%

Expected goals 1.39 – 0.90. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

2-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 61%

68.3% fair odds 1.47

moderate signal · 2528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

River Plate under 2.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 90%

82.6% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1293 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

River Plate carry the stronger rating, 1565 Elo against 1533.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0032 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

River Plate have an estimated 49.7% win probability, against 27.9% for the draw and 22.5% for Huracán. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.39 for River Plate and 0.90 for Huracán.

Why River Plate

River Plate carry the stronger rating, 1565 Elo against 1533.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.9%. A combined 2.28 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Huracán can win

Nothing in the data singles out Huracán.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for River Plate, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Huracán, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

River Plate: 59% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Huracán: 63% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

River Plate are the model's most likely outcome at 49.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.7%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	482824	1.39–0.90	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	463024	1.25–0.81	1-0 15%	34%	40%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to win	48.0%	49.2%	41.8%	1.18×	2.03
Draw	28.3%	27.6%	30.7%	0.90×	3.63
Huracán to win	23.8%	22.2%	27.7%	0.80×	4.50

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate & not both score	30.2%	32.9%	27.7%	1.19×	3.04
River Plate & both teams score	17.7%	17.8%	14.2%	1.26×	5.61
Draw & both teams score	17.6%	17.8%	15.9%	1.12×	5.61
Huracán & not both score	14.3%	12.1%	17.2%	0.71×	8.24
Draw & not both score	10.6%	12.1%	14.9%	0.81×	8.27
Huracán & both teams score	9.5%	7.3%	10.6%	0.69×	13.66

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate & under 3.5	36.9%	37.6%	34.8%	1.08×	2.66
River Plate & over 1.5	34.2%	33.1%	27.7%	1.20×	3.02
River Plate & over 2.5	24.4%	21.5%	18.3%	1.17×	4.65
Draw & under 2.5	23.7%	21.5%	28.1%	0.76×	4.66
Draw & under 3.5	23.7%	21.5%	28.1%	0.76×	4.66
River Plate & under 2.5	23.5%	21.5%	23.6%	0.91×	4.66
Huracán & under 3.5	19.7%	17.6%	23.6%	0.75×	5.68
Draw & over 1.5	17.6%	17.6%	15.9%	1.11×	5.68
Huracán & over 1.5	15.1%	17.6%	17.5%	1.01×	5.68
River Plate & under 1.5	13.7%	12.7%	14.2%	0.90×	7.87
Huracán & under 2.5	12.8%	12.7%	14.6%	0.87×	7.88
River Plate & over 3.5	11.1%	12.7%	7.1%	1.79×	7.88
Huracán & over 2.5	11.0%	12.7%	13.2%	0.96×	7.88
Draw & under 1.5	10.6%	12.7%	14.9%	0.85×	7.88
Huracán & under 1.5	8.7%	7.5%	10.3%	0.73×	13.33
Draw & over 2.5	4.5%	4.5%	2.6%	1.70×	22.30
Draw & over 3.5	4.5%	4.5%	2.6%	1.70×	22.30
Huracán & over 3.5	4.1%	4.5%	4.2%	1.06×	22.32

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (1UP)	60.8%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Huracán (1UP)	39.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (2UP)	48.0%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Huracán (2UP)	23.8%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.3%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
River Plate to win 2nd half	38.1%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Huracán to win 2nd half	22.6%	22.2%	—	—	4.50

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.8%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Huracán under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.5%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Huracán over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.6%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Huracán over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.2%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.2%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
River Plate over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.7%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
River Plate under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.3%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
River Plate over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.8%	19.4%	—	—	5.16

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán (+2.5)	91.2%	92.3%	95.0%	0.97×	1.08
Huracán (+1.5)	76.6%	78.7%	82.5%	0.95×	1.27
River Plate (+0.5)	76.2%	78.7%	72.3%	1.09×	1.27
Huracán (+0.5)	52.0%	51.8%	58.2%	0.89×	1.93
River Plate (-0.5)	48.0%	48.2%	41.8%	1.15×	2.08
Huracán (-0.5)	23.8%	21.3%	27.7%	0.77×	4.70
River Plate (-1.5)	23.4%	21.3%	17.5%	1.22×	4.70
River Plate (-2.5)	8.8%	7.7%	5.0%	1.53×	12.98

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán to concede	75.1%	76.1%	68.1%	1.12×	1.31
Huracán clean sheet	24.9%	23.9%	31.9%	0.75×	4.18

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán clean sheet in 1st half	55.0%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Huracán to concede in 1st half	45.0%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán to concede in 2nd half	54.7%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Huracán clean sheet in 2nd half	45.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán under 6.5 corners	93.9%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Huracán under 5.5 corners	87.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Huracán under 4.5 corners	77.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Huracán under 3.5 corners	62.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Huracán over 2.5 corners	57.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Huracán under 2.5 corners	42.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Huracán over 3.5 corners	37.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Huracán over 4.5 corners	22.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Huracán over 5.5 corners	12.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
Huracán over 6.5 corners	6.1%	10.0%	—	—	9.97

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán under 3.5 goals	98.7%	97.3%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Huracán under 2.5 goals	93.8%	92.8%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Huracán under 1.5 goals	77.4%	75.4%	78.1%	0.96×	1.33
Huracán over 0.5 goals	59.1%	57.9%	57.6%	1.01×	1.73
Huracán under 0.5 goals	40.9%	42.1%	42.4%	0.99×	2.37
Huracán over 1.5 goals	22.6%	24.6%	21.9%	1.13×	4.06
Huracán over 2.5 goals	6.2%	7.2%	6.6%	1.08×	13.89
Huracán over 3.5 goals	1.3%	2.7%	1.1%	2.37×	36.88

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán under 1.5 in 1st half	94.9%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
Huracán under 0.5 in 1st half	69.9%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Huracán over 0.5 in 1st half	30.1%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
Huracán over 1.5 in 1st half	5.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.15

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán scores equally in both	49.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Huracán scores more in 2nd half	31.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Huracán scores more in 1st half	19.2%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (away no bet)	62.9%	58.4%	57.7%	1.01×	1.71
Draw (away no bet)	37.1%	41.6%	42.3%	0.98×	2.41

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán even goals	58.3%	58.4%	58.5%	1.00×	1.71
Huracán odd goals	41.7%	41.6%	41.5%	1.00×	2.41

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.5%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.5%	8.0%	—	—	12.47

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	53.8%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Both halves under 1.5 goals	46.2%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
River Plate to score 2+ in a row	34.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
Huracán to score 2+ in a row	16.7%	17.8%	—	—	5.62
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.2%	17.8%	—	—	5.63
River Plate to score 3+ in a row	11.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Huracán to score 3+ in a row	3.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.48

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate corners (+3.5)	96.8%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
River Plate corners (+2.5)	94.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
River Plate corners (+1.5)	89.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
River Plate corners (-1.5)	63.5%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Huracán corners (+3.5)	59.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
River Plate corners (-2.5)	52.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Huracán corners (+2.5)	48.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
River Plate corners (-3.5)	40.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Huracán corners (+1.5)	36.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Huracán corners (-1.5)	10.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Huracán corners (-2.5)	6.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Huracán corners (-3.5)	3.2%	4.2%	—	—	23.67

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	47.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	23.6%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.2%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	68.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	64.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	58.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	52.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	47.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	35.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	32.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	23.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	16.8%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.7%	11.6%	14.2%	0.82×	8.61
1-1	13.1%	11.6%	13.4%	0.87×	8.61
0-0	10.6%	11.6%	14.9%	0.78×	8.62
2-0	9.8%	7.3%	9.5%	0.77×	13.75
2-1	8.8%	7.3%	8.7%	0.84×	13.76
0-1	8.7%	7.3%	10.3%	0.71×	13.76
1-2	5.7%	7.3%	7.1%	1.02×	13.77
0-2	4.1%	1.8%	4.5%	0.40×	55.41
2-2	3.9%	1.8%	2.3%	0.79×	55.41
3-0	4.5%	1.8%	2.7%	0.66×	55.40
3-1	4.1%	1.8%	3.0%	0.61×	55.41
0-3	1.2%	1.8%	2.1%	0.88×	55.48
1-3	1.7%	1.8%	1.9%	0.93×	55.47
3-2	1.8%	1.8%	1.6%	1.13×	55.46
4-0	1.6%	1.8%	1.1%	1.58×	55.47
4-1	1.4%	1.8%	0.8%	2.25×	55.47
Any other score	1.6%	1.8%	0.9%	1.97×	55.47
0-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.6%	3.15×	55.50
1-4	0.4%	1.8%	0.3%	5.25×	55.50
2-3	1.2%	1.8%	1.5%	1.21×	55.48
2-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.1%	15.75×	55.50
3-3	0.5%	1.8%	0.3%	5.25×	55.49
3-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.1%	15.75×	55.51
4-2	0.6%	1.8%	0.3%	5.25×	55.49
4-3	0.2%	1.8%	0.2%	7.87×	55.50
4-4	0.0%	1.8%	0.2%	7.87×	55.51

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (2nd half DNB)	62.8%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Huracán (2nd half DNB)	37.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.02

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate leading at HT (DNB)	65.4%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
Huracán leading at HT (DNB)	34.6%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate or draw (1X)	76.2%	77.8%	72.3%	1.08×	1.29
River Plate or Huracán (12)	71.7%	72.4%	69.3%	1.04×	1.38
Huracán or draw (X2)	52.0%	50.8%	58.2%	0.87×	1.97

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate or draw at HT	81.8%	81.7%	—	—	1.22
Huracán or draw at HT	65.5%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
River Plate or Huracán at HT	52.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate or draw (1UP)	76.2%	84.7%	—	—	1.18
Huracán or draw (1UP)	52.0%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate or draw in 2nd half	77.4%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Huracán or draw in 2nd half	61.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
River Plate or Huracán in 2nd half	60.7%	62.5%	—	—	1.60

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.6%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Neither half drawn	32.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (DNB)	66.9%	68.7%	60.1%	1.14×	1.46
Huracán (DNB)	33.1%	31.3%	39.9%	0.78×	3.20

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to score first	54.3%	53.6%	—	—	1.87
Huracán to score first	35.0%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goal scored	10.6%	8.7%	—	—	11.53

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.2%	56.4%	59.5%	0.95×	1.77
Both teams to score	44.8%	43.6%	40.5%	1.08×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	46.9%	45.6%	52.9%	0.86×	2.20
Both score & over 2.5	31.7%	34.2%	27.2%	1.26×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	13.1%	11.7%	13.4%	0.88×	8.53
Not both score & over 2.5	8.2%	8.7%	6.8%	1.28×	11.55

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.9%	88.9%	94.1%	0.94×	1.13
Both teams to score 2+	9.1%	11.1%	6.0%	1.87×	8.99

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.1%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.9%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.6%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	19.8%	18.3%	—	—	5.47
Both score 1st half only	10.5%	11.5%	—	—	8.67
Both score in both halves	3.1%	4.9%	—	—	20.58

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.4%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	13.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	54.6%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
A goal in each half	45.4%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.2%	45.9%	47.3%	0.97×	2.18
0-1 goals	33.0%	31.9%	39.1%	0.82×	3.14
4-6 goals	18.8%	20.7%	13.4%	1.54×	4.84
7+ goals	0.9%	1.9%	0.5%	4.16×	52.47

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán to score exactly 0	40.9%	41.1%	42.4%	0.97×	2.43
Huracán to score exactly 1	36.6%	34.6%	35.8%	0.97×	2.89
Huracán to score exactly 2	16.4%	18.5%	15.3%	1.20×	5.42
Huracán to score 3+	6.2%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to score exactly 1	34.6%	30.5%	36.5%	0.84×	3.28
River Plate to score exactly 0	24.9%	23.0%	31.9%	0.72×	4.35
River Plate to score exactly 2	24.0%	23.0%	21.7%	1.06×	4.35
River Plate to score 3+	16.4%	18.5%	10.1%	1.83×	5.42

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.3%	47.9%	—	—	2.09
River Plate leading at HT	34.5%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
Huracán leading at HT	18.2%	18.3%	—	—	5.46

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate -1: 2	52.0%	51.4%	—	—	1.94
River Plate -1: X	24.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
River Plate -1: 1	23.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán (0:1)	52.0%	53.4%	58.2%	0.92×	1.87
Draw (0:1)	24.5%	24.6%	24.4%	1.01×	4.07
River Plate (0:1)	23.4%	24.5%	17.5%	1.40×	4.08

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán (0:2)	76.6%	77.4%	82.5%	0.94×	1.29
Draw (0:2)	14.6%	11.7%	12.6%	0.93×	8.58
River Plate (0:2)	8.8%	7.2%	5.0%	1.43×	13.92

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán (0:3)	91.2%	92.6%	95.0%	0.97×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.1%	6.8%	3.4%	1.98×	14.74
River Plate (0:3)	2.7%	2.3%	1.7%	1.35×	43.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán (0:4)	97.3%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	1.3%	0.98×	81.09
River Plate (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	0.6%	2.14×	81.78

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (1:0)	76.2%	78.5%	72.3%	1.09×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	15.7%	16.4%	18.7%	0.88×	6.11
Huracán (1:0)	8.1%	8.6%	9.2%	0.94×	11.64

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (2:0)	91.9%	91.6%	90.8%	1.01×	1.09
Draw (2:0)	6.1%	6.5%	6.3%	1.03×	15.41
Huracán (2:0)	2.1%	2.7%	3.0%	0.91×	37.11

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.9%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Halves equal	28.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to concede	59.1%	59.9%	57.6%	1.04×	1.67
River Plate clean sheet	40.9%	40.1%	42.4%	0.95×	2.49

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate clean sheet in 1st half	69.9%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
River Plate to concede in 1st half	30.1%	32.5%	—	—	3.07

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate clean sheet in 2nd half	58.5%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
River Plate to concede in 2nd half	41.6%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate over 2.5 corners	88.9%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
River Plate over 3.5 corners	78.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
River Plate over 4.5 corners	65.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
River Plate under 6.5 corners	61.4%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
River Plate over 5.5 corners	51.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
River Plate under 5.5 corners	48.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
River Plate over 6.5 corners	38.6%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
River Plate under 4.5 corners	34.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
River Plate under 3.5 corners	21.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
River Plate under 2.5 corners	11.1%	13.7%	—	—	7.32

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate under 3.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	97.1%	0.95×	1.08
River Plate under 2.5 goals	83.6%	82.6%	89.9%	0.92×	1.21
River Plate over 0.5 goals	75.1%	76.8%	68.1%	1.13×	1.30
River Plate under 1.5 goals	59.6%	56.0%	68.3%	0.82×	1.79
River Plate over 1.5 goals	40.4%	44.0%	31.7%	1.39×	2.27
River Plate under 0.5 goals	24.9%	23.2%	31.9%	0.73×	4.32
River Plate over 2.5 goals	16.4%	17.4%	10.1%	1.73×	5.73
River Plate over 3.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	2.9%	2.71×	12.91

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate under 1.5 in 1st half	87.9%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
River Plate under 0.5 in 1st half	55.0%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
River Plate over 0.5 in 1st half	45.0%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
River Plate over 1.5 in 1st half	12.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.22

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate scores equally in both	38.2%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
River Plate scores more in 2nd half	36.7%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
River Plate scores more in 1st half	25.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán (home no bet)	45.7%	50.6%	47.5%	1.07×	1.98
Draw (home no bet)	54.3%	49.4%	52.5%	0.94×	2.03

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate even goals	53.1%	50.3%	55.7%	0.90×	1.99
River Plate odd goals	46.9%	49.7%	44.3%	1.12×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
HT 1-0	22.9%	22.7%	—	—	4.41
HT 0-1	13.7%	11.2%	—	—	8.92
HT 1-1	8.3%	7.7%	—	—	12.98
HT 2-0	6.9%	7.7%	—	—	13.00
Any other HT score	2.9%	2.5%	—	—	39.84
HT 0-2	2.5%	2.5%	—	—	39.86
HT 2-1	2.5%	2.5%	—	—	39.86
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.5%	—	—	39.92
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.98

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate at HT / River Plate at FT	28.2%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / River Plate at FT	17.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Huracán at HT / Huracán at FT	11.9%	11.9%	—	—	8.38
Draw at HT / Huracán at FT	10.5%	11.9%	—	—	8.39
River Plate at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.30
Huracán at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.32
Huracán at HT / River Plate at FT	2.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.42
River Plate at HT / Huracán at FT	1.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.44

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to score last	54.4%	53.6%	—	—	1.87
Huracán to score last	35.0%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
No goal scored	10.6%	8.7%	—	—	11.53

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.4%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
River Plate to lead by 1 at any time	60.8%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	40.1%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Huracán to lead by 1 at any time	39.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
River Plate to lead by 2 at any time	28.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.2%	11.4%	—	—	8.80
Huracán to lead by 2 at any time	11.8%	11.3%	—	—	8.82
River Plate to lead by 3 at any time	10.4%	11.3%	—	—	8.84
Huracán to lead by 3 at any time	2.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.29

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate most corners	74.0%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Huracán most corners	17.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Corners level	8.8%	8.4%	—	—	11.90

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.9%	84.2%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.2%	81.5%	79.9%	1.02×	1.23
1-3 goals	69.6%	68.3%	71.5%	0.96×	1.46
2-6 goals	66.1%	68.3%	60.5%	1.13×	1.47
2-5 goals	64.1%	62.2%	60.0%	1.04×	1.61
2-4 goals	58.8%	58.9%	55.6%	1.06×	1.70
1-2 goals	49.4%	48.0%	51.4%	0.93×	2.08
2-3 goals	47.2%	48.0%	47.3%	1.02×	2.08
3-6 goals	39.1%	38.9%	33.5%	1.16×	2.57
3-5 goals	37.0%	38.9%	33.0%	1.18×	2.57
3-4 goals	31.8%	34.0%	28.6%	1.19×	2.94
4-6 goals	18.8%	18.2%	13.4%	1.36×	5.51
4-5 goals	16.8%	18.1%	12.8%	1.41×	5.52
5-6 goals	7.3%	8.8%	5.0%	1.75×	11.33
7+ goals	0.9%	2.0%	0.5%	4.34×	50.40

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate never behind	50.3%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Huracán never behind	28.6%	30.8%	—	—	3.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.6%	50.2%	49.1%	1.02×	1.99
Even number of goals	51.4%	49.8%	50.9%	0.98×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.6%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Odd goals in 1st half	42.4%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.1%	95.7%	99.0%	0.97×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.8%	93.0%	94.6%	0.98×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.4%	88.8%	85.1%	1.04×	1.13
Under 3.5 goals	80.3%	81.0%	86.3%	0.94×	1.24
Over 1.5 goals	67.0%	65.3%	60.9%	1.07×	1.53
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	61.6%	66.1%	0.93×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	40.0%	38.4%	33.9%	1.13×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	33.0%	34.7%	39.1%	0.89×	2.88
Over 3.5 goals	19.7%	19.0%	13.7%	1.39×	5.25
Under 0.5 goals	10.6%	11.2%	14.9%	0.75×	8.92
Over 4.5 goals	8.2%	7.0%	5.4%	1.31×	14.24
Over 5.5 goals	2.9%	4.3%	1.0%	4.19×	23.16

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.1%	97.3%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.9%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.8%	92.8%	94.1%	0.99×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	75.3%	76.4%	82.8%	0.92×	1.31
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	54.7%	53.0%	46.4%	1.14×	1.89
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	45.3%	47.0%	53.6%	0.88×	2.13
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	24.7%	23.6%	17.2%	1.37×	4.24
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.2%	7.2%	5.9%	1.23×	13.85
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.1%	2.8%	1.1%	2.56×	36.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.9%	2.7%	0.5%	5.93×	36.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.8%	92.2%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.2%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.4%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.6%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.8%	22.1%	—	—	4.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.2%	7.8%	—	—	12.89

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.1%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.4%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.5%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.5%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.6%	23.8%	—	—	4.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.9%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán not to score in both halves	87.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
River Plate not to score in both halves	75.4%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
River Plate to score in both halves	24.6%	22.1%	—	—	4.52
Huracán to score in both halves	12.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.47

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.8%	46.2%	40.5%	1.14×	2.16
Only River Plate scores	30.2%	36.0%	27.7%	1.30×	2.78
Only Huracán scores	14.3%	10.9%	17.2%	0.64×	9.17
Neither team scores	10.6%	10.8%	14.9%	0.73×	9.25

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.0%	24.7%	27.1%	0.91×	4.06
Exactly 1 goals	22.4%	21.6%	24.4%	0.89×	4.63
Exactly 3 goals	20.2%	21.6%	20.3%	1.07×	4.64
Exactly 4 goals	11.5%	12.3%	8.5%	1.46×	8.11
Exactly 0 goals	10.6%	12.3%	14.9%	0.83×	8.12
Exactly 5 goals	5.3%	7.6%	4.5%	1.70×	13.16
6 or more goals	2.9%	4.3%	1.0%	4.20×	23.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	38.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.6%	18.3%	—	—	5.46
3+ goals in 1st half	7.2%	7.8%	—	—	12.89

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.5%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
1 goal in 2nd half	34.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
No goals in 2nd half	26.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán not to win both halves	95.8%	96.6%	—	—	1.04
River Plate not to win both halves	86.8%	87.5%	—	—	1.14
River Plate to win both halves	13.2%	12.5%	—	—	8.02
Huracán to win both halves	4.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.16

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán to win neither half	63.4%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
River Plate to win either half	59.4%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
River Plate to win neither half	40.6%	40.4%	—	—	2.47
Huracán to win either half	36.6%	36.3%	—	—	2.76

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huracán not to win to nil	85.7%	88.1%	82.8%	1.06×	1.14
River Plate not to win to nil	69.8%	64.7%	72.3%	0.90×	1.55
River Plate to win to nil	30.2%	35.3%	27.7%	1.27×	2.84
Huracán to win to nil	14.3%	11.9%	17.2%	0.69×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.3%	27.9%	30.7%	0.91×	3.58
River Plate by 1	24.5%	23.9%	24.4%	0.98×	4.18
Huracán by 1	15.7%	17.0%	18.7%	0.91×	5.87
River Plate by 2	14.6%	11.7%	12.6%	0.93×	8.52
River Plate by 3+	8.8%	7.0%	5.0%	1.40×	14.19
Huracán by 2	6.1%	7.0%	6.3%	1.11×	14.25
Huracán by 3+	2.1%	2.8%	3.0%	0.95×	35.42