RKC Waalwijk v Almere City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 30 October 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

RKC Waalwijk

19:00 UTC

Almere City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 152h before kick-off

RKC Waalwijk win

45.3%

model 43.6%

Draw

23.8%

model 21.8%

Almere City win

31.0%

model 34.6%

452431

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.2%
2-1 8.7%
1-2 7.6%
2-2 6.9%
1-0 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	66.4%	Under 2.5	33.6%
BTTS yes	66.5%	BTTS no	33.5%
RKC Waalwijk 1+	83.7%	RKC Waalwijk 2+	54.2%
Almere City 1+	79.8%	Almere City 2+	47.5%

Expected goals 1.82 – 1.60. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

63/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

RKC Waalwijk over 2.5 corners

Home corners O/U

81.0% fair odds 1.24

moderate signal · 9943 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 388 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out RKC Waalwijk.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

RKC Waalwijk have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 31.0% for Almere City and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.82 for RKC Waalwijk and 1.60 for Almere City.

Why RKC Waalwijk

Nothing in the data singles out RKC Waalwijk.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.82 to 1.60. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Almere City can win

Almere City carry the stronger rating, 1574 Elo against 1511. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for RKC Waalwijk, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Almere City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

RKC Waalwijk: 52% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Almere City: 41% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. RKC Waalwijk's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

RKC Waalwijk are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.2%. Confidence 63/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	442235	1.82–1.60	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	412138	1.85–1.79	1-1 8%	70%	70%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to win	40.7%	42.9%	44.5%	0.96×	2.33
Almere City to win	38.1%	36.4%	33.5%	1.08×	2.75
Draw	21.2%	24.5%	22.1%	1.11×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk & both teams score	26.3%	25.2%	22.0%	1.14×	3.98
Almere City & both teams score	24.8%	21.8%	19.7%	1.11×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	18.9%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
RKC Waalwijk & not both score	14.4%	13.3%	22.6%	0.59×	7.53
Almere City & not both score	13.4%	13.3%	14.0%	0.95×	7.54
Draw & not both score	2.3%	4.9%	4.8%	1.01×	20.59

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk & over 1.5	35.5%	34.9%	37.0%	0.94×	2.87
Almere City & over 1.5	33.1%	30.8%	27.4%	1.12×	3.25
RKC Waalwijk & over 2.5	31.0%	30.7%	30.8%	1.00×	3.25
Almere City & over 2.5	28.9%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
RKC Waalwijk & over 3.5	20.2%	21.6%	18.9%	1.14×	4.63
RKC Waalwijk & under 3.5	20.5%	21.6%	25.7%	0.84×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.9%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Almere City & over 3.5	18.7%	18.0%	13.9%	1.30×	5.56
Almere City & under 3.5	19.5%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
Draw & over 2.5	10.5%	12.8%	8.1%	1.58×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	10.7%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Draw & over 3.5	10.5%	12.8%	8.1%	1.58×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	10.7%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
RKC Waalwijk & under 2.5	9.7%	7.9%	13.8%	0.58×	12.63
Almere City & under 2.5	9.2%	7.9%	10.0%	0.80×	12.63
RKC Waalwijk & under 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.63
Almere City & under 1.5	5.0%	4.8%	6.3%	0.77×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	2.3%	4.8%	4.8%	1.00×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (1UP)	60.9%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Almere City (1UP)	58.8%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (2UP)	40.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Almere City (2UP)	38.1%	37.5%	—	—	2.67

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to win 2nd half	35.7%	36.2%	—	—	2.77
RKC Waalwijk to win 2nd half	34.8%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
2nd half drawn	29.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City under 1.5 in 2nd half	70.9%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Almere City over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.8%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Almere City under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.2%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Almere City over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.1%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.5%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.2%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.8%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.5%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (+2.5)	90.5%	92.1%	88.2%	1.04×	1.09
Almere City (+1.5)	78.4%	78.5%	75.6%	1.04×	1.27
RKC Waalwijk (+0.5)	61.9%	62.9%	66.5%	0.95×	1.59
Almere City (+0.5)	59.3%	57.0%	55.5%	1.03×	1.75
RKC Waalwijk (-0.5)	40.7%	43.0%	44.5%	0.97×	2.33
Almere City (-0.5)	38.1%	37.1%	33.5%	1.11×	2.70
RKC Waalwijk (-1.5)	21.6%	21.5%	24.4%	0.88×	4.65
RKC Waalwijk (-2.5)	9.5%	7.9%	11.8%	0.67×	12.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to concede	84.3%	81.6%	81.3%	1.00×	1.23
Almere City clean sheet	15.7%	18.4%	18.7%	0.99×	5.43

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to concede in 1st half	54.9%	50.6%	—	—	1.97
Almere City clean sheet in 1st half	45.1%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to concede in 2nd half	65.2%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Almere City clean sheet in 2nd half	34.8%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City over 2.5 corners	87.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Almere City over 3.5 corners	75.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Almere City under 6.5 corners	66.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Almere City over 4.5 corners	61.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Almere City under 5.5 corners	53.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Almere City over 5.5 corners	47.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Almere City under 4.5 corners	38.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Almere City over 6.5 corners	33.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Almere City under 3.5 corners	24.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Almere City under 2.5 corners	12.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City under 3.5 goals	89.3%	87.8%	93.0%	0.94×	1.14
Almere City over 0.5 goals	83.3%	81.5%	72.7%	1.12×	1.23
Almere City under 2.5 goals	73.4%	71.8%	81.5%	0.88×	1.39
Almere City over 1.5 goals	53.4%	53.5%	42.0%	1.27×	1.87
Almere City under 1.5 goals	46.6%	46.5%	58.0%	0.80×	2.15
Almere City over 2.5 goals	26.6%	28.2%	18.6%	1.52×	3.55
Almere City under 0.5 goals	16.7%	18.5%	27.3%	0.68×	5.40
Almere City over 3.5 goals	10.7%	12.2%	7.0%	1.74×	8.21

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City under 1.5 in 1st half	83.9%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Almere City over 0.5 in 1st half	51.1%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Almere City under 0.5 in 1st half	48.9%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Almere City over 1.5 in 1st half	16.1%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City scores more in 2nd half	43.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Almere City scores equally in both	32.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Almere City scores more in 1st half	24.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (away no bet)	65.7%	66.3%	66.8%	0.99×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.3%	33.7%	33.2%	1.01×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City even goals	51.4%	52.6%	57.0%	0.92×	1.90
Almere City odd goals	48.6%	47.4%	43.0%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	72.0%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	28.0%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	79.2%	72.2%	—	—	1.39
Both halves under 1.5 goals	20.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	70.2%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
RKC Waalwijk to score 2+ in a row	42.8%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Almere City to score 2+ in a row	40.7%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Either team to score 3+ in a row	29.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
RKC Waalwijk to score 3+ in a row	16.1%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Almere City to score 3+ in a row	14.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.27

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City corners (+3.5)	87.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Almere City corners (+2.5)	81.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
RKC Waalwijk corners (+3.5)	76.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Almere City corners (+1.5)	73.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
RKC Waalwijk corners (+2.5)	68.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
RKC Waalwijk corners (+1.5)	58.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Almere City corners (-1.5)	42.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Almere City corners (-2.5)	31.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
RKC Waalwijk corners (-1.5)	26.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Almere City corners (-3.5)	23.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
RKC Waalwijk corners (-2.5)	18.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
RKC Waalwijk corners (-3.5)	12.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	33.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	72.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	67.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	64.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	56.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 9.5 corners	43.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	35.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	33.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	27.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	23.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	8.4%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.51
1-2	7.8%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-1	8.0%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.51
2-2	7.2%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
Any other score	7.4%	7.4%	4.7%	1.59×	13.51
1-0	5.2%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
0-1	5.0%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.29
3-1	5.0%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.29
0-0	2.3%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.31
0-2	4.2%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
0-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
1-3	4.6%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.29
1-4	2.1%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-0	4.5%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.29
2-3	4.3%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
2-4	1.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-0	2.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
3-2	4.4%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.29
3-3	2.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.30
3-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.31
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31
4-1	2.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
4-2	2.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	1.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	58.31
4-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.1%	13.96×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (2nd half DNB)	50.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
RKC Waalwijk (2nd half DNB)	49.4%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk leading at HT (DNB)	53.7%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Almere City leading at HT (DNB)	46.3%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or Almere City (12)	78.8%	75.5%	77.9%	0.97×	1.32
RKC Waalwijk or draw (1X)	61.9%	63.6%	66.5%	0.96×	1.57
Almere City or draw (X2)	59.3%	57.1%	55.5%	1.03×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or draw at HT	70.6%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Almere City or draw at HT	65.9%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
RKC Waalwijk or Almere City at HT	63.6%	61.0%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or draw (1UP)	61.9%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Almere City or draw (1UP)	59.3%	63.1%	—	—	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or Almere City in 2nd half	70.5%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Almere City or draw in 2nd half	65.2%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
RKC Waalwijk or draw in 2nd half	64.3%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.5%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	44.5%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (DNB)	51.6%	50.9%	57.0%	0.89×	1.97
Almere City (DNB)	48.4%	49.1%	43.0%	1.14×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to score first	49.7%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Almere City to score first	48.0%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
No goal scored	2.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.31

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	69.9%	58.5%	58.8%	0.99×	1.71
Not both teams to score	30.1%	41.5%	41.2%	1.01×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	61.5%	50.4%	49.5%	1.02×	1.98
Not both score & under 2.5	21.2%	27.8%	28.3%	0.98×	3.60
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.3%	13.0%	0.64×	12.07
Both score & under 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	9.5%	0.88×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	70.5%	80.4%	79.0%	1.02×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	29.5%	19.6%	21.0%	0.93×	5.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	57.2%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Both teams to score in 2nd half	42.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	41.2%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Both score 2nd half only	30.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Both score 1st half only	16.0%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Both score in both halves	12.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	72.0%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	28.0%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	68.5%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
A half without a goal	31.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	41.7%	42.1%	37.6%	1.12×	2.37
2-3 goals	38.2%	35.1%	41.0%	0.86×	2.85
0-1 goals	12.5%	17.0%	18.4%	0.92×	5.90
7+ goals	7.6%	7.6%	3.2%	2.38×	13.14

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to score exactly 1	29.9%	27.4%	30.8%	0.89×	3.65
Almere City to score exactly 2	26.7%	27.4%	23.6%	1.16×	3.65
Almere City to score 3+	26.6%	27.4%	18.6%	1.48×	3.65
Almere City to score exactly 0	16.7%	19.6%	27.3%	0.72×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 1	29.1%	26.6%	30.2%	0.88×	3.77
RKC Waalwijk to score 3+	28.3%	26.6%	25.6%	1.04×	3.77
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	25.8%	1.03×	3.77
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 0	15.7%	18.7%	18.7%	1.00×	5.34

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	36.4%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
RKC Waalwijk leading at HT	34.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Almere City leading at HT	29.4%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk -1: 2	59.3%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
RKC Waalwijk -1: 1	21.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
RKC Waalwijk -1: X	19.1%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (0:1)	59.3%	55.9%	55.5%	1.01×	1.79
RKC Waalwijk (0:1)	21.6%	24.2%	24.4%	0.99×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	19.1%	17.8%	20.1%	0.89×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (0:2)	78.4%	79.4%	75.6%	1.05×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.0%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.10
RKC Waalwijk (0:2)	9.5%	7.7%	11.8%	0.65×	13.03

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (0:3)	90.5%	92.7%	88.2%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.0%	5.8%	5.7%	1.03×	17.25
RKC Waalwijk (0:3)	3.5%	2.4%	6.3%	0.38×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (0:4)	96.5%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.4%	1.2%	4.3%	0.28×	81.90
RKC Waalwijk (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	82.05

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (1:0)	61.9%	65.3%	66.5%	0.98×	1.53
Almere City (1:0)	19.7%	17.1%	15.5%	1.11×	5.84
Draw (1:0)	18.5%	17.1%	18.2%	0.94×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (2:0)	80.3%	84.6%	84.5%	1.00×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.2%	10.3%	8.8%	1.16×	9.74
Almere City (2:0)	8.4%	6.4%	6.8%	0.95×	15.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.1%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	20.4%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to concede	83.3%	80.9%	72.7%	1.11×	1.24
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet	16.7%	19.1%	27.3%	0.70×	5.24

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to concede in 1st half	51.1%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet in 1st half	48.9%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to concede in 2nd half	65.8%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet in 2nd half	34.2%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk over 2.5 corners	81.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
RKC Waalwijk under 6.5 corners	76.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
RKC Waalwijk over 3.5 corners	66.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
RKC Waalwijk under 5.5 corners	64.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
RKC Waalwijk over 4.5 corners	50.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
RKC Waalwijk under 4.5 corners	49.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
RKC Waalwijk over 5.5 corners	35.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
RKC Waalwijk under 3.5 corners	33.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
RKC Waalwijk over 6.5 corners	23.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
RKC Waalwijk under 2.5 corners	18.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk under 3.5 goals	88.3%	87.3%	89.9%	0.97×	1.15
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 goals	84.3%	82.2%	81.3%	1.01×	1.22
RKC Waalwijk under 2.5 goals	71.7%	74.2%	74.4%	1.00×	1.35
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 goals	55.2%	58.6%	51.2%	1.14×	1.71
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 goals	44.8%	41.4%	48.8%	0.85×	2.42
RKC Waalwijk over 2.5 goals	28.3%	25.8%	25.6%	1.01×	3.88
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 goals	15.7%	17.8%	18.7%	0.95×	5.63
RKC Waalwijk over 3.5 goals	11.7%	12.7%	10.1%	1.26×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 in 1st half	81.0%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 in 1st half	54.9%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 in 1st half	45.1%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 in 1st half	19.0%	16.3%	—	—	6.14

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk scores more in 2nd half	41.0%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
RKC Waalwijk scores equally in both	31.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
RKC Waalwijk scores more in 1st half	27.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (home no bet)	64.3%	60.0%	60.3%	1.00×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	35.7%	40.0%	39.7%	1.01×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk even goals	51.2%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
RKC Waalwijk odd goals	48.8%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	22.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 1-0	17.6%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 0-1	15.8%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
HT 1-1	12.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
Any other HT score	8.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 2-0	7.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 0-2	5.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-1	5.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 1-2	4.5%	2.4%	—	—	41.92
HT 2-2	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.09

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	24.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Almere City at HT / Almere City at FT	21.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Almere City at FT	13.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	12.8%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
RKC Waalwijk at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Almere City at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
RKC Waalwijk at HT / Almere City at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Almere City at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.86

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to score last	49.7%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Almere City to score last	48.0%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
No goal scored	2.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.31

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.7%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 1 at any time	60.9%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Almere City to lead by 1 at any time	58.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	58.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 2 at any time	30.6%	29.7%	—	—	3.36
Almere City to lead by 2 at any time	28.6%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	24.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 3 at any time	12.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Almere City to lead by 3 at any time	11.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.53

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City most corners	52.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
RKC Waalwijk most corners	36.5%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	81.5%	83.4%	86.4%	0.97×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.9%	78.7%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.4%	72.3%	72.7%	0.99×	1.38
1-4 goals	67.5%	68.8%	74.1%	0.93×	1.45
3-6 goals	62.8%	63.3%	59.3%	1.07×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.4%	59.1%	60.4%	0.98×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.3%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
1-3 goals	48.3%	48.5%	54.7%	0.89×	2.06
4-6 goals	41.7%	43.6%	37.6%	1.16×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	41.3%	1.06×	2.29
2-3 goals	38.2%	39.2%	41.0%	0.96×	2.55
4-5 goals	33.2%	35.2%	31.8%	1.11×	2.84
1-2 goals	27.2%	30.2%	32.9%	0.92×	3.31
5-6 goals	22.5%	24.5%	18.2%	1.35×	4.09
7+ goals	7.6%	8.9%	3.2%	2.78×	11.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk never behind	38.8%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Almere City never behind	36.8%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.7%	95.4%	95.2%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	87.5%	87.6%	81.6%	1.07×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	83.9%	82.3%	91.0%	0.90×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	70.4%	72.5%	62.4%	1.16×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	69.9%	66.3%	78.7%	0.84×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	50.7%	52.5%	59.3%	0.89×	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	49.3%	47.5%	40.7%	1.17×	2.11
Over 4.5 goals	30.1%	33.7%	21.3%	1.58×	2.97
Under 2.5 goals	29.6%	27.5%	37.6%	0.73×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	16.1%	17.7%	9.0%	1.97×	5.66
Under 1.5 goals	12.5%	12.4%	18.4%	0.67×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	2.3%	4.6%	4.8%	0.95×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	91.6%	92.4%	96.6%	0.96×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	85.0%	81.1%	77.2%	1.05×	1.23
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	81.2%	81.1%	89.8%	0.90×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	62.7%	61.9%	73.6%	0.84×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.5%	61.9%	52.0%	1.19×	1.62
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.5%	38.1%	48.0%	0.79×	2.63
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	37.3%	38.1%	26.4%	1.44×	2.63
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	18.8%	18.9%	10.2%	1.85×	5.28
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	15.0%	18.9%	22.8%	0.83×	5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	8.4%	7.6%	3.4%	2.24×	13.16

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	80.6%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	78.0%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	55.4%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	44.6%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	22.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
Over 2.5 in 1st half	19.4%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	88.2%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	64.2%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	62.7%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	37.3%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	35.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	11.8%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City not to score in both halves	66.4%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
RKC Waalwijk not to score in both halves	64.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
RKC Waalwijk to score in both halves	35.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Almere City to score in both halves	33.6%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	69.9%	60.1%	58.8%	1.02×	1.67
Only RKC Waalwijk scores	14.4%	11.0%	22.6%	0.49×	9.06
Only Almere City scores	13.4%	11.0%	14.0%	0.79×	9.06
Neither team scores	2.3%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.69

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.1%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.2%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	17.1%	17.5%	19.3%	0.91×	5.73
6 or more goals	16.1%	17.5%	9.0%	1.95×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	14.0%	12.1%	12.4%	0.98×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	10.1%	12.1%	13.8%	0.88×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	2.3%	4.5%	4.8%	0.93×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.4%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	25.2%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
No goals in 1st half	22.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	19.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	62.7%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	25.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	11.8%	14.3%	—	—	6.97

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City not to win both halves	89.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
RKC Waalwijk not to win both halves	88.2%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
RKC Waalwijk to win both halves	11.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Almere City to win both halves	10.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.36

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to win either half	57.1%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Almere City to win either half	54.7%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Almere City to win neither half	45.3%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
RKC Waalwijk to win neither half	42.9%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City not to win to nil	86.6%	88.1%	86.0%	1.02×	1.14
RKC Waalwijk not to win to nil	85.6%	88.1%	77.4%	1.14×	1.14
RKC Waalwijk to win to nil	14.4%	11.9%	22.6%	0.53×	8.41
Almere City to win to nil	13.4%	11.9%	14.0%	0.85×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	21.2%	24.1%	22.1%	1.09×	4.15
RKC Waalwijk by 1	19.1%	17.1%	20.1%	0.85×	5.87
Almere City by 1	18.5%	17.1%	18.2%	0.94×	5.87
RKC Waalwijk by 2	12.0%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.51
Almere City by 2	11.2%	11.7%	8.8%	1.33×	8.51
RKC Waalwijk by 3+	9.5%	7.2%	11.8%	0.61×	13.90
Almere City by 3+	8.4%	7.2%	6.8%	1.06×	13.90