RKC Waalwijk v Jong AZ — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 4 December 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

RKC Waalwijk

19:00 UTC

Jong AZ

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 1,040h before kick-off

RKC Waalwijk win

57.9%

model 58.8%

Draw

19.1%

model 19.1%

Jong AZ win

23.0%

model 22.0%

581923

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.3%
1-1 7.9%
3-1 7.1%
2-0 7.0%
1-0 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	70.1%	Under 2.5	29.9%
BTTS yes	66.0%	BTTS no	34.0%
RKC Waalwijk 1+	89.8%	RKC Waalwijk 2+	66.4%
Jong AZ 1+	73.8%	Jong AZ 2+	38.8%

Expected goals 2.28 – 1.34. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

60/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 51%

69.1% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 1028 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Jong AZ (0:3)

Handicap 0:3 · usually 88%

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 296 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

RKC Waalwijk carry the stronger rating, 1511 Elo against 1380.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

RKC Waalwijk have an estimated 57.9% win probability, against 23.0% for Jong AZ and 19.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.28 for RKC Waalwijk and 1.34 for Jong AZ.

Why RKC Waalwijk

RKC Waalwijk carry the stronger rating, 1511 Elo against 1380.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.1%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Jong AZ can win

Nothing in the data singles out Jong AZ.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for RKC Waalwijk, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Jong AZ, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

RKC Waalwijk: 52% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Jong AZ: 49% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. RKC Waalwijk's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

RKC Waalwijk are the model's most likely outcome at 57.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.3%. Confidence 60/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	591922	2.28–1.34	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	581923	2.37–1.44	2-1 9%	73%	69%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to win	58.4%	54.0%	44.5%	1.22×	1.85
Jong AZ to win	22.8%	24.4%	33.5%	0.73×	4.09
Draw	18.8%	19.4%	22.1%	0.88×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk & both teams score	36.7%	33.3%	22.0%	1.51×	3.00
RKC Waalwijk & not both score	21.7%	21.8%	22.6%	0.96×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	16.8%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
Jong AZ & both teams score	15.4%	18.0%	19.7%	0.91×	5.57
Jong AZ & not both score	7.4%	8.3%	14.0%	0.59×	12.01
Draw & not both score	2.0%	4.8%	4.8%	1.01×	20.63

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk & over 1.5	52.9%	48.9%	37.0%	1.32×	2.05
RKC Waalwijk & over 2.5	46.6%	45.0%	30.8%	1.46×	2.22
RKC Waalwijk & over 3.5	32.8%	30.8%	18.9%	1.63×	3.25
RKC Waalwijk & under 3.5	25.6%	26.1%	25.7%	1.01×	3.84
Jong AZ & over 1.5	19.4%	18.0%	27.4%	0.66×	5.56
Jong AZ & over 2.5	17.1%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.8%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Jong AZ & under 3.5	12.3%	12.8%	19.8%	0.65×	7.79
RKC Waalwijk & under 2.5	11.7%	12.8%	13.8%	0.93×	7.79
Jong AZ & over 3.5	10.5%	12.8%	13.9%	0.92×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Draw & under 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.5%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.63
Jong AZ & under 2.5	5.8%	7.9%	10.0%	0.80×	12.63
RKC Waalwijk & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.63
Jong AZ & under 1.5	3.5%	4.8%	6.3%	0.77×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	2.0%	4.8%	4.8%	1.00×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (1UP)	74.3%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Jong AZ (1UP)	45.3%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (2UP)	58.4%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Jong AZ (2UP)	22.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to win 2nd half	48.2%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
2nd half drawn	27.7%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Jong AZ to win 2nd half	24.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.5%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Jong AZ over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.9%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Jong AZ under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.1%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
Jong AZ over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.5%	20.9%	—	—	4.78

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.1%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.0%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.0%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.9%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ (+2.5)	80.0%	82.5%	88.2%	0.94×	1.21
RKC Waalwijk (+0.5)	77.2%	78.5%	66.5%	1.18×	1.27
Jong AZ (+1.5)	62.9%	62.9%	75.6%	0.83×	1.59
RKC Waalwijk (-0.5)	58.4%	57.0%	44.5%	1.28×	1.75
Jong AZ (+0.5)	41.6%	43.0%	55.5%	0.77×	2.33
RKC Waalwijk (-1.5)	37.1%	37.1%	24.4%	1.52×	2.70
Jong AZ (-0.5)	22.8%	21.5%	33.5%	0.64×	4.65
RKC Waalwijk (-2.5)	20.0%	17.5%	11.8%	1.48×	5.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ to concede	90.6%	91.8%	81.3%	1.13×	1.09
Jong AZ clean sheet	9.4%	8.2%	18.7%	0.44×	12.16

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ to concede in 1st half	63.9%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Jong AZ clean sheet in 1st half	36.1%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ to concede in 2nd half	74.1%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Jong AZ clean sheet in 2nd half	25.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.46

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ over 2.5 corners	81.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Jong AZ under 6.5 corners	77.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Jong AZ over 3.5 corners	65.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Jong AZ under 5.5 corners	65.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Jong AZ under 4.5 corners	50.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Jong AZ over 4.5 corners	49.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Jong AZ over 5.5 corners	34.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Jong AZ under 3.5 corners	34.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Jong AZ over 6.5 corners	22.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Jong AZ under 2.5 corners	18.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ under 3.5 goals	94.2%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
Jong AZ under 2.5 goals	82.4%	81.5%	81.5%	1.00×	1.23
Jong AZ over 0.5 goals	76.3%	76.2%	72.7%	1.05×	1.31
Jong AZ under 1.5 goals	57.8%	59.4%	58.0%	1.02×	1.68
Jong AZ over 1.5 goals	42.2%	40.6%	42.0%	0.97×	2.46
Jong AZ under 0.5 goals	23.7%	23.8%	27.3%	0.87×	4.21
Jong AZ over 2.5 goals	17.6%	18.5%	18.6%	1.00×	5.39
Jong AZ over 3.5 goals	5.8%	7.7%	7.0%	1.09×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ under 1.5 in 1st half	88.6%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
Jong AZ under 0.5 in 1st half	56.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Jong AZ over 0.5 in 1st half	43.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Jong AZ over 1.5 in 1st half	11.4%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ scores more in 2nd half	40.0%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Jong AZ scores equally in both	37.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Jong AZ scores more in 1st half	23.0%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (away no bet)	75.7%	73.5%	66.8%	1.10×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	24.3%	26.5%	33.2%	0.80×	3.77

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ even goals	52.8%	52.6%	57.0%	0.92×	1.90
Jong AZ odd goals	47.2%	47.4%	43.0%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	69.3%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Both halves over 1.5 goals	30.7%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	81.4%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Both halves under 1.5 goals	18.6%	21.6%	—	—	4.62

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	73.7%	72.2%	—	—	1.39
RKC Waalwijk to score 2+ in a row	57.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row	35.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Jong AZ to score 2+ in a row	28.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
RKC Waalwijk to score 3+ in a row	28.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Jong AZ to score 3+ in a row	8.0%	5.6%	—	—	17.91

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk corners (+3.5)	86.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
RKC Waalwijk corners (+2.5)	80.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Jong AZ corners (+3.5)	79.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
RKC Waalwijk corners (+1.5)	71.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Jong AZ corners (+2.5)	70.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Jong AZ corners (+1.5)	60.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
RKC Waalwijk corners (-1.5)	39.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
RKC Waalwijk corners (-2.5)	29.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Jong AZ corners (-1.5)	28.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
RKC Waalwijk corners (-3.5)	20.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Jong AZ corners (-2.5)	20.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Jong AZ corners (-3.5)	13.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	32.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	74.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	64.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	57.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	42.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	32.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	25.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	24.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	10.6%	11.5%	4.7%	2.46×	8.72
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.50
3-1	7.1%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.51
1-1	7.3%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.50
2-2	6.5%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
3-2	5.1%	7.4%	4.3%	1.72×	13.51
1-0	5.5%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
1-2	5.5%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-0	6.2%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.51
3-0	4.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.29
3-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.31
4-0	2.9%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.30
4-1	4.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.30
4-2	3.0%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.30
4-3	1.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	58.31
4-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.1%	13.96×	58.32
0-0	2.0%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.31
0-1	3.5%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.30
0-2	2.3%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
1-3	2.6%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-3	3.1%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (2nd half DNB)	66.6%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Jong AZ (2nd half DNB)	33.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk leading at HT (DNB)	69.0%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Jong AZ leading at HT (DNB)	31.0%	25.9%	—	—	3.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or Jong AZ (12)	81.2%	80.6%	77.9%	1.03×	1.24
RKC Waalwijk or draw (1X)	77.2%	75.6%	66.5%	1.14×	1.32
Jong AZ or draw (X2)	41.6%	46.0%	55.5%	0.83×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or draw at HT	79.5%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
RKC Waalwijk or Jong AZ at HT	66.0%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Jong AZ or draw at HT	54.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or draw (1UP)	77.2%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Jong AZ or draw (1UP)	45.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or draw in 2nd half	75.9%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
RKC Waalwijk or Jong AZ in 2nd half	72.3%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Jong AZ or draw in 2nd half	51.8%	54.1%	—	—	1.85

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	52.6%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Neither half drawn	47.4%	50.0%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (DNB)	71.9%	71.5%	57.0%	1.25×	1.40
Jong AZ (DNB)	28.1%	28.5%	43.0%	0.66×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to score first	60.9%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Jong AZ to score first	37.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	2.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.62

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	68.9%	58.5%	58.8%	0.99×	1.71
Not both teams to score	31.1%	41.5%	41.2%	1.01×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	61.6%	50.4%	49.5%	1.02×	1.98
Not both score & under 2.5	19.4%	21.6%	28.3%	0.76×	4.63
Not both score & over 2.5	11.6%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.10
Both score & under 2.5	7.3%	8.3%	9.5%	0.88×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	71.1%	80.4%	79.0%	1.02×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	28.9%	19.6%	21.0%	0.93×	5.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	57.2%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Both teams to score in 2nd half	42.8%	35.2%	—	—	2.84

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	41.3%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Both score 2nd half only	30.8%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Both score 1st half only	15.9%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Both score in both halves	12.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	72.1%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	27.9%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	70.9%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
A half without a goal	29.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	43.7%	42.1%	37.6%	1.12×	2.37
2-3 goals	36.3%	35.1%	41.0%	0.86×	2.85
0-1 goals	10.9%	16.9%	18.4%	0.92×	5.92
7+ goals	9.1%	7.6%	3.2%	2.39×	13.08

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ to score exactly 1	34.1%	33.8%	30.8%	1.10×	2.96
Jong AZ to score exactly 2	24.6%	22.3%	23.6%	0.95×	4.48
Jong AZ to score exactly 0	23.7%	22.3%	27.3%	0.82×	4.48
Jong AZ to score 3+	17.6%	19.6%	18.6%	1.06×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to score 3+	42.2%	35.3%	25.6%	1.38×	2.84
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 2	26.3%	26.5%	25.8%	1.03×	3.77
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 1	22.2%	23.3%	30.2%	0.77×	4.29
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 0	9.4%	10.3%	18.7%	0.55×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk leading at HT	45.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Draw at HT	34.0%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
Jong AZ leading at HT	20.5%	20.8%	—	—	4.80

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk -1: 2	41.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
RKC Waalwijk -1: 1	37.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
RKC Waalwijk -1: X	21.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ (0:1)	41.6%	42.6%	55.5%	0.77×	2.35
RKC Waalwijk (0:1)	37.1%	37.3%	24.4%	1.53×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	21.3%	24.2%	20.1%	1.20×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ (0:2)	62.9%	67.1%	75.6%	0.89×	1.49
RKC Waalwijk (0:2)	20.0%	15.3%	11.8%	1.30×	6.53
Draw (0:2)	17.1%	15.3%	12.8%	1.20×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ (0:3)	80.0%	85.2%	88.2%	0.97×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.8%	9.9%	5.7%	1.76×	10.08
RKC Waalwijk (0:3)	9.1%	5.8%	6.3%	0.93×	17.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ (0:4)	90.9%	94.5%	93.7%	1.01×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.6%	4.6%	4.3%	1.07×	21.78
RKC Waalwijk (0:4)	3.6%	1.2%	2.1%	0.59×	81.70

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (1:0)	77.2%	78.7%	66.5%	1.18×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	13.1%	12.7%	18.2%	0.70×	7.87
Jong AZ (1:0)	9.8%	6.9%	15.5%	0.45×	14.46

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (2:0)	90.2%	94.0%	84.5%	1.11×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.3%	6.4%	8.8%	0.72×	15.70
Jong AZ (2:0)	3.5%	2.3%	6.8%	0.34×	43.62

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.1%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	20.0%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to concede	76.3%	76.1%	72.7%	1.05×	1.32
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet	23.7%	23.9%	27.3%	0.88×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet in 1st half	56.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
RKC Waalwijk to concede in 1st half	43.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to concede in 2nd half	57.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet in 2nd half	42.1%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk over 2.5 corners	85.7%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
RKC Waalwijk over 3.5 corners	72.8%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
RKC Waalwijk under 6.5 corners	69.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
RKC Waalwijk over 4.5 corners	57.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
RKC Waalwijk under 5.5 corners	57.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
RKC Waalwijk over 5.5 corners	43.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
RKC Waalwijk under 4.5 corners	42.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
RKC Waalwijk over 6.5 corners	30.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
RKC Waalwijk under 3.5 corners	27.2%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
RKC Waalwijk under 2.5 corners	14.4%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 goals	90.6%	92.2%	81.3%	1.13×	1.08
RKC Waalwijk under 3.5 goals	78.6%	77.7%	89.9%	0.86×	1.29
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 goals	68.4%	68.0%	51.2%	1.33×	1.47
RKC Waalwijk under 2.5 goals	57.8%	58.6%	74.4%	0.79×	1.71
RKC Waalwijk over 2.5 goals	42.2%	41.4%	25.6%	1.62×	2.42
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 goals	31.6%	32.0%	48.8%	0.66×	3.12
RKC Waalwijk over 3.5 goals	21.4%	22.3%	10.1%	2.21×	4.49
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 goals	9.4%	7.8%	18.7%	0.42×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 in 1st half	72.9%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 in 1st half	63.9%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 in 1st half	36.1%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 in 1st half	27.1%	20.9%	—	—	4.79

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk scores more in 2nd half	44.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
RKC Waalwijk scores more in 1st half	28.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
RKC Waalwijk scores equally in both	27.4%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ (home no bet)	54.9%	51.4%	60.3%	0.85×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	45.1%	48.6%	39.7%	1.22×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk even goals	50.4%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
RKC Waalwijk odd goals	49.6%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	20.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-0	20.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 1-1	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 0-1	11.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 2-0	10.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
Any other HT score	10.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 2-1	6.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 0-2	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 1-2	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 2-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.16

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	37.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Draw at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	16.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.99
Jong AZ at HT / Jong AZ at FT	12.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.57
Draw at HT / Jong AZ at FT	8.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.59
RKC Waalwijk at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Jong AZ at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.60
Jong AZ at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
RKC Waalwijk at HT / Jong AZ at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.68

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to score last	60.9%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Jong AZ to score last	37.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	2.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.62

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.0%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 1 at any time	74.3%	74.4%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	62.9%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 2 at any time	46.4%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Jong AZ to lead by 1 at any time	45.3%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	30.0%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 3 at any time	24.5%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
Jong AZ to lead by 2 at any time	17.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Jong AZ to lead by 3 at any time	5.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.99

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk most corners	50.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Jong AZ most corners	38.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	80.0%	78.7%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
1-5 goals	79.5%	78.7%	86.4%	0.91×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.5%	72.4%	72.7%	0.99×	1.38
1-4 goals	64.7%	63.3%	74.1%	0.85×	1.58
3-6 goals	64.1%	63.3%	59.3%	1.07×	1.58
2-4 goals	55.7%	59.1%	60.4%	0.98×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.7%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
1-3 goals	45.2%	48.5%	54.7%	0.89×	2.06
4-6 goals	43.7%	43.6%	37.6%	1.16×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.9%	39.2%	41.3%	0.95×	2.55
2-3 goals	36.3%	39.2%	41.0%	0.96×	2.55
4-5 goals	34.3%	35.2%	31.8%	1.11×	2.84
1-2 goals	24.8%	24.5%	32.9%	0.74×	4.08
5-6 goals	24.2%	24.5%	18.2%	1.35×	4.08
7+ goals	9.1%	8.9%	3.2%	2.78×	11.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk never behind	52.7%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Jong AZ never behind	23.7%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.5%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.5%	49.1%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.0%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.0%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.4%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.0%	95.4%	95.2%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	89.1%	87.6%	81.6%	1.07×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	81.5%	82.3%	91.0%	0.90×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	73.2%	72.5%	62.4%	1.16×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	66.7%	66.3%	78.7%	0.84×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	52.8%	52.5%	40.7%	1.29×	1.90
Under 3.5 goals	47.2%	47.5%	59.3%	0.80×	2.11
Over 4.5 goals	33.3%	33.7%	21.3%	1.59×	2.97
Under 2.5 goals	26.8%	27.5%	37.6%	0.73×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	18.5%	17.7%	9.0%	1.97×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	10.9%	12.4%	18.4%	0.67×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	2.0%	4.6%	4.8%	0.95×	21.89

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	89.9%	86.7%	96.6%	0.90×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	87.0%	86.7%	77.2%	1.12×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	78.3%	75.9%	89.8%	0.85×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.4%	67.4%	52.0%	1.30×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	58.6%	55.8%	73.6%	0.76×	1.79
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	41.4%	44.2%	26.4%	1.68×	2.26
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.6%	32.6%	48.0%	0.68×	3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	21.8%	24.1%	10.2%	2.36×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	13.0%	13.3%	22.8%	0.58×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	10.1%	13.3%	3.4%	3.91×	7.54

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	79.7%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Under 2.5 in 1st half	78.5%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	52.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 1st half	47.3%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	21.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	20.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.2%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	64.8%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	61.9%	61.6%	—	—	1.63
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	38.1%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	35.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.8%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ not to score in both halves	74.6%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
RKC Waalwijk not to score in both halves	52.7%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
RKC Waalwijk to score in both halves	47.3%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Jong AZ to score in both halves	25.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	68.9%	60.0%	58.8%	1.02×	1.67
Only RKC Waalwijk scores	21.7%	22.2%	22.6%	0.98×	4.50
Only Jong AZ scores	7.4%	7.1%	14.0%	0.51×	14.04
Neither team scores	2.0%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.76

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.4%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
6 or more goals	18.5%	17.5%	9.0%	1.95×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	15.8%	17.5%	19.3%	0.90×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	14.8%	12.1%	12.4%	0.98×	8.24
Exactly 1 goals	9.0%	7.6%	13.8%	0.55×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	2.0%	4.5%	4.8%	0.93×	22.41

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	32.5%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	25.8%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
3+ goals in 1st half	21.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	20.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	64.8%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	24.4%	22.9%	—	—	4.37
No goals in 2nd half	10.8%	14.2%	—	—	7.05

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ not to win both halves	95.1%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
RKC Waalwijk not to win both halves	78.1%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
RKC Waalwijk to win both halves	21.9%	24.5%	—	—	4.09
Jong AZ to win both halves	4.9%	2.9%	—	—	34.78

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to win either half	71.8%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Jong AZ to win neither half	60.3%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Jong AZ to win either half	39.7%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
RKC Waalwijk to win neither half	28.2%	27.0%	—	—	3.70

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong AZ not to win to nil	92.6%	92.1%	86.0%	1.07×	1.09
RKC Waalwijk not to win to nil	78.3%	78.1%	77.4%	1.01×	1.28
RKC Waalwijk to win to nil	21.7%	21.9%	22.6%	0.97×	4.57
Jong AZ to win to nil	7.4%	7.9%	14.0%	0.56×	12.66

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk by 1	21.3%	24.1%	20.1%	1.20×	4.15
RKC Waalwijk by 3+	20.0%	17.1%	11.8%	1.45×	5.86
Draw	18.8%	17.1%	22.1%	0.77×	5.86
RKC Waalwijk by 2	17.1%	17.0%	12.8%	1.33×	5.87
Jong AZ by 1	13.1%	11.8%	18.2%	0.65×	8.51
Jong AZ by 2	6.3%	7.2%	8.8%	0.81×	13.91
Jong AZ by 3+	3.5%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.80