Rodez Aveyron v Grenoble — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 11 September 2026 · FRA-Ligue 2 · 2627

FRA-Ligue 2 results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 19:28 UTC

Rodez Aveyron

0–1

18:00 UTC

Grenoble

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 11 Sep, 11:38 · 6h before kick-off

Rodez Aveyron win

52.0%

model 52.3%

Draw

24.0%

model 24.9%

Grenoble win

24.0%

model 22.8%

522424

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,554 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.8%
1-0 11.1%
2-1 9.6%
2-0 9.5%
0-0 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.2%	Under 2.5	49.8%
BTTS yes	52.1%	BTTS no	47.9%
Rodez Aveyron 1+	81.1%	Rodez Aveyron 2+	49.6%
Grenoble 1+	63.9%	Grenoble 2+	27.1%

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.02. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

82/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Rodez Aveyron (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 43%

51.8% fair odds 1.93

strong signal · 11512 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Rodez Aveyron or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Rodez Aveyron carry the stronger rating, 1595 Elo against 1452.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Rodez Aveyron have an estimated 52.0% win probability, against 24.0% for the draw and 24.0% for Grenoble. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.67 for Rodez Aveyron and 1.02 for Grenoble.

Why Rodez Aveyron

Rodez Aveyron carry the stronger rating, 1595 Elo against 1452. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 24.0%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Grenoble can win

Nothing in the data singles out Grenoble.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Rodez Aveyron, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Grenoble, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Rodez Aveyron: 47% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Grenoble: 38% possession, 6.8 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

Rodez Aveyron are the model's most likely outcome at 52.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%. Confidence 82/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	522523	1.67–1.02	0%	0%	0%	Home ✗
ai-blend-oos	552520	1.76–0.97	0%	0%	0%	Home ✗
dc-xg	482626	1.53–1.08	1-1 12%	48%	52%	Home ✗
dc-xg-oos	512624	1.58–1.01	1-1 12%	48%	51%	Home ✗

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron to win	47.5%	47.6%	42.6%	1.12×	2.10
Grenoble to win	26.4%	27.7%	29.8%	0.93×	3.61
Draw	26.1%	27.7%	27.8%	1.00×	3.61

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron & not both score	26.4%	25.4%	24.0%	1.06×	3.93
Rodez Aveyron & both teams score	21.1%	21.8%	18.7%	1.16×	4.60
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.55
Grenoble & not both score	14.0%	13.3%	17.7%	0.75×	7.54
Grenoble & both teams score	12.5%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.55
Draw & not both score	7.6%	8.4%	9.1%	0.92×	11.97

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron & over 1.5	36.5%	34.7%	30.0%	1.16×	2.89
Rodez Aveyron & under 3.5	33.3%	31.0%	29.5%	1.05×	3.22
Rodez Aveyron & over 2.5	27.9%	25.9%	24.1%	1.08×	3.85
Draw & under 2.5	20.0%	21.6%	20.7%	1.04×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.0%	21.6%	20.7%	1.04×	4.63
Grenoble & under 3.5	20.0%	18.0%	23.0%	0.78×	5.57
Rodez Aveyron & under 2.5	19.6%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.57
Grenoble & over 1.5	18.8%	18.0%	20.1%	0.89×	5.57
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.57
Rodez Aveyron & over 3.5	14.2%	12.9%	13.2%	0.97×	7.78
Grenoble & over 2.5	14.5%	12.9%	16.3%	0.79×	7.78
Grenoble & under 2.5	11.9%	12.9%	13.7%	0.94×	7.78
Rodez Aveyron & under 1.5	11.0%	12.9%	12.8%	1.01×	7.78
Draw & under 1.5	7.6%	8.0%	9.1%	0.88×	12.57
Grenoble & under 1.5	7.6%	8.0%	9.8%	0.81×	12.57
Draw & over 2.5	6.0%	8.0%	7.2%	1.10×	12.57
Draw & over 3.5	6.0%	8.0%	7.2%	1.10×	12.57
Grenoble & over 3.5	6.4%	8.0%	6.9%	1.15×	12.57

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron (1UP)	62.1%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Grenoble (1UP)	43.6%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron (2UP)	47.5%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Grenoble (2UP)	26.4%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron to win 2nd half	38.5%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
2nd half drawn	36.2%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Grenoble to win 2nd half	25.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.2%	86.6%	—	—	1.16
Grenoble under 0.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Grenoble over 0.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Grenoble over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.8%	13.4%	—	—	7.47

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.2%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Rodez Aveyron over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.3%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Rodez Aveyron under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.7%	41.1%	—	—	2.44
Rodez Aveyron over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.8%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble (+2.5)	90.2%	92.1%	92.2%	1.00×	1.09
Grenoble (+1.5)	75.7%	78.3%	80.8%	0.97×	1.28
Rodez Aveyron (+0.5)	73.6%	73.7%	70.2%	1.05×	1.36
Grenoble (+0.5)	52.5%	52.1%	57.5%	0.91×	1.92
Rodez Aveyron (-0.5)	47.5%	47.9%	42.6%	1.13×	2.09
Grenoble (-0.5)	26.4%	26.3%	29.8%	0.88×	3.80
Rodez Aveyron (-1.5)	24.3%	21.7%	19.2%	1.13×	4.62
Rodez Aveyron (-2.5)	9.8%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble to concede	78.4%	78.8%	73.4%	1.07×	1.27
Grenoble clean sheet	21.6%	21.2%	26.6%	0.80×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble to concede in 1st half	48.3%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Grenoble clean sheet in 1st half	51.7%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble to concede in 2nd half	58.3%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Grenoble clean sheet in 2nd half	41.7%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble under 6.5 corners	91.1%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Grenoble under 5.5 corners	83.7%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Grenoble under 4.5 corners	72.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Grenoble over 2.5 corners	63.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Grenoble under 3.5 corners	56.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Grenoble over 3.5 corners	43.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Grenoble under 2.5 corners	37.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Grenoble over 4.5 corners	27.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Grenoble over 5.5 corners	16.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Grenoble over 6.5 corners	8.9%	10.1%	—	—	9.95

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble under 3.5 goals	97.6%	97.4%	97.2%	1.00×	1.03
Grenoble under 2.5 goals	90.5%	92.2%	87.6%	1.05×	1.09
Grenoble under 1.5 goals	70.7%	71.9%	68.4%	1.05×	1.39
Grenoble over 0.5 goals	66.0%	67.8%	67.1%	1.01×	1.47
Grenoble under 0.5 goals	34.0%	32.2%	32.9%	0.98×	3.11
Grenoble over 1.5 goals	29.3%	28.1%	31.6%	0.89×	3.55
Grenoble over 2.5 goals	9.5%	7.8%	12.4%	0.63×	12.80
Grenoble over 3.5 goals	2.4%	2.6%	2.8%	0.93×	38.87

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble under 1.5 in 1st half	93.0%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Grenoble under 0.5 in 1st half	64.9%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Grenoble over 0.5 in 1st half	35.1%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
Grenoble over 1.5 in 1st half	7.0%	5.8%	—	—	17.23

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble scores equally in both	44.2%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Grenoble scores more in 2nd half	35.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Grenoble scores more in 1st half	20.8%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron (away no bet)	64.6%	62.0%	60.5%	1.03×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.4%	38.0%	39.5%	0.96×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble even goals	55.8%	56.9%	54.2%	1.05×	1.76
Grenoble odd goals	44.2%	43.1%	45.8%	0.94×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.6%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.4%	12.4%	—	—	8.10

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	61.5%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.5%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.9%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Rodez Aveyron to score 2+ in a row	37.7%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Grenoble to score 2+ in a row	21.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.8%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
Rodez Aveyron to score 3+ in a row	13.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Grenoble to score 3+ in a row	5.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.90

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron corners (+3.5)	96.7%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Rodez Aveyron corners (+2.5)	94.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Rodez Aveyron corners (+1.5)	90.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Rodez Aveyron corners (-1.5)	67.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Rodez Aveyron corners (-2.5)	57.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Grenoble corners (+3.5)	53.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Rodez Aveyron corners (-3.5)	46.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Grenoble corners (+2.5)	42.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Grenoble corners (+1.5)	32.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Grenoble corners (-1.5)	10.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Grenoble corners (-2.5)	6.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Grenoble corners (-3.5)	3.3%	4.2%	—	—	23.62

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	35.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.3%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	73.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	64.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	55.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	44.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	35.4%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	35.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	26.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	25.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.4%	11.4%	11.8%	0.96×	8.80
1-0	11.0%	11.4%	12.8%	0.89×	8.80
2-0	8.6%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.53
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.53
0-0	7.6%	7.4%	9.1%	0.82×	13.53
0-1	7.6%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.53
1-2	6.5%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.53
2-2	5.0%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.53
0-2	4.3%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	57.66
0-3	1.5%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	57.67
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	57.68
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.8%	0.63×	57.67
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	57.68
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	57.67
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	57.68
3-0	4.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	57.66
3-1	4.8%	1.7%	4.5%	0.39×	57.66
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	2.5%	0.71×	57.67
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.13×	57.67
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	57.68
4-0	1.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	57.67
4-1	1.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.61×	57.67
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	57.67
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	57.68
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	11.29×	57.68
Any other score	2.5%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	57.67

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron (2nd half DNB)	60.4%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Grenoble (2nd half DNB)	39.6%	39.0%	—	—	2.56

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron leading at HT (DNB)	63.3%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Grenoble leading at HT (DNB)	36.7%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron or Grenoble (12)	73.9%	72.3%	72.2%	1.00×	1.38
Rodez Aveyron or draw (1X)	73.6%	72.3%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
Grenoble or draw (X2)	52.5%	52.4%	57.5%	0.91×	1.91

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron or draw at HT	79.4%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Grenoble or draw at HT	64.5%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Rodez Aveyron or Grenoble at HT	56.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron or draw (1UP)	73.6%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
Grenoble or draw (1UP)	52.5%	59.2%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron or draw in 2nd half	74.7%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Rodez Aveyron or Grenoble in 2nd half	63.8%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Grenoble or draw in 2nd half	61.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	36.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron (DNB)	64.3%	63.0%	58.8%	1.07×	1.59
Grenoble (DNB)	35.7%	37.0%	41.2%	0.90×	2.70

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron to score first	54.2%	53.9%	—	—	1.85
Grenoble to score first	38.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	7.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.0%	51.6%	49.6%	1.04×	1.94
Not both teams to score	48.0%	48.4%	50.4%	0.96×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.6%	38.6%	37.9%	1.02×	2.59
Not both score & under 2.5	39.1%	38.6%	41.0%	0.94×	2.59
Both score & under 2.5	12.4%	12.3%	11.8%	1.04×	8.16
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	9.5%	0.88×	11.94

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.7%	85.4%	85.6%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.3%	14.6%	14.4%	1.01×	6.87

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.1%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.9%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.9%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	23.2%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	12.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	4.7%	5.1%	—	—	19.77

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.0%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	17.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A half without a goal	48.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.1%	46.9%	41.8%	1.12×	2.13
0-1 goals	26.2%	26.9%	31.3%	0.86×	3.71
4-6 goals	24.9%	23.1%	25.2%	0.92×	4.34
7+ goals	1.8%	1.9%	2.0%	0.93×	54.03

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.8%	35.6%	1.00×	2.80
Grenoble to score exactly 0	34.0%	33.7%	32.9%	1.02×	2.97
Grenoble to score exactly 2	19.8%	19.5%	19.4%	1.01×	5.12
Grenoble to score 3+	9.5%	8.8%	12.4%	0.70×	11.41

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron to score exactly 1	33.1%	32.6%	33.8%	0.97×	3.06
Rodez Aveyron to score exactly 2	25.4%	26.2%	22.1%	1.18×	3.82
Rodez Aveyron to score exactly 0	21.6%	23.3%	26.6%	0.88×	4.28
Rodez Aveyron to score 3+	20.0%	19.2%	17.8%	1.08×	5.22

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Rodez Aveyron leading at HT	35.5%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Grenoble leading at HT	20.6%	19.9%	—	—	5.02

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron -1: 2	52.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Rodez Aveyron -1: 1	24.3%	23.7%	—	—	4.23
Rodez Aveyron -1: X	23.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble (0:1)	52.5%	51.3%	57.5%	0.89×	1.95
Rodez Aveyron (0:1)	24.3%	24.4%	19.2%	1.27×	4.10
Draw (0:1)	23.2%	24.4%	23.5%	1.04×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble (0:2)	75.7%	79.6%	80.8%	0.98×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.5%	10.9%	11.5%	0.94×	9.22
Rodez Aveyron (0:2)	9.8%	7.7%	7.8%	0.98×	12.99

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble (0:3)	90.2%	92.7%	92.2%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.6%	5.9%	4.3%	1.37×	16.94
Rodez Aveyron (0:3)	3.2%	2.4%	3.7%	0.64×	42.32

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble (0:4)	96.8%	98.1%	96.3%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.3%	1.2%	3.1%	0.40×	81.59
Rodez Aveyron (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	0.8%	1.59×	81.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron (1:0)	73.6%	72.6%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.3%	17.1%	17.5%	0.98×	5.86
Grenoble (1:0)	10.2%	12.7%	12.4%	1.02×	7.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron (2:0)	89.8%	88.3%	87.6%	1.01×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.2%	6.6%	7.1%	0.93×	15.27
Grenoble (2:0)	3.0%	2.4%	5.5%	0.44×	41.40

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	26.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron to concede	66.0%	66.5%	67.1%	0.99×	1.50
Rodez Aveyron clean sheet	34.0%	33.5%	32.9%	1.02×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron clean sheet in 1st half	64.9%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Rodez Aveyron to concede in 1st half	35.1%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron clean sheet in 2nd half	52.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Rodez Aveyron to concede in 2nd half	47.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron over 2.5 corners	92.3%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Rodez Aveyron over 3.5 corners	84.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Rodez Aveyron over 4.5 corners	73.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Rodez Aveyron over 5.5 corners	61.6%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Rodez Aveyron under 6.5 corners	50.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Rodez Aveyron over 6.5 corners	49.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Rodez Aveyron under 5.5 corners	38.4%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Rodez Aveyron under 4.5 corners	26.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Rodez Aveyron under 3.5 corners	15.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Rodez Aveyron under 2.5 corners	7.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron under 3.5 goals	93.0%	92.1%	93.4%	0.99×	1.09
Rodez Aveyron under 2.5 goals	80.0%	81.9%	82.2%	1.00×	1.22
Rodez Aveyron over 0.5 goals	78.4%	77.4%	73.4%	1.05×	1.29
Rodez Aveyron under 1.5 goals	54.7%	52.8%	60.2%	0.88×	1.90
Rodez Aveyron over 1.5 goals	45.3%	47.2%	39.8%	1.19×	2.12
Rodez Aveyron under 0.5 goals	21.6%	22.6%	26.6%	0.85×	4.43
Rodez Aveyron over 2.5 goals	20.0%	18.1%	17.8%	1.01×	5.53
Rodez Aveyron over 3.5 goals	7.0%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.71

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron under 1.5 in 1st half	85.8%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
Rodez Aveyron over 0.5 in 1st half	48.3%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Rodez Aveyron under 0.5 in 1st half	51.7%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Rodez Aveyron over 1.5 in 1st half	14.2%	10.3%	—	—	9.71

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron scores more in 2nd half	38.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Rodez Aveyron scores equally in both	35.9%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Rodez Aveyron scores more in 1st half	25.8%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble (home no bet)	50.4%	51.5%	51.7%	0.99×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	49.6%	48.5%	48.3%	1.01×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron even goals	52.3%	50.4%	53.3%	0.95×	1.98
Rodez Aveyron odd goals	47.7%	49.6%	46.7%	1.06×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
HT 1-0	22.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	14.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	9.6%	7.1%	—	—	13.99
HT 2-0	7.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
Any other HT score	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.42
HT 0-2	3.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.55
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.66

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron at HT / Rodez Aveyron at FT	28.4%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Draw at HT / Rodez Aveyron at FT	16.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Grenoble at HT / Grenoble at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Grenoble at FT	11.0%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Rodez Aveyron at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Grenoble at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Grenoble at HT / Rodez Aveyron at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Rodez Aveyron at HT / Grenoble at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.85

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron to score last	54.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Grenoble to score last	38.1%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	7.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Rodez Aveyron to lead by 1 at any time	62.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.2%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Grenoble to lead by 1 at any time	43.6%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Rodez Aveyron to lead by 2 at any time	30.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Grenoble to lead by 2 at any time	15.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Rodez Aveyron to lead by 3 at any time	11.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Grenoble to lead by 3 at any time	4.1%	1.7%	—	—	60.34

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron most corners	76.5%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Grenoble most corners	15.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Corners level	7.6%	8.4%	—	—	11.92

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.4%	87.4%	84.8%	1.03×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.0%	78.5%	78.8%	1.00×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.0%	72.3%	66.8%	1.08×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.8%	68.9%	62.5%	1.10×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.7%	68.8%	64.1%	1.07×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.3%	63.2%	56.5%	1.12×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.1%	48.5%	41.8%	1.16×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.7%	48.5%	45.5%	1.07×	2.06
1-2 goals	43.9%	43.6%	43.8%	1.00×	2.29
3-5 goals	43.5%	43.6%	41.2%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.0%	39.3%	35.2%	1.12×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.9%	24.8%	25.2%	0.98×	4.03
4-5 goals	21.7%	24.8%	20.9%	1.19×	4.04
5-6 goals	10.7%	15.0%	10.4%	1.44×	6.66
7+ goals	1.8%	2.6%	2.0%	1.28×	38.99

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron never behind	48.8%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Grenoble never behind	30.3%	35.4%	—	—	2.83

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.2%	51.0%	49.9%	1.02×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.8%	49.0%	50.1%	0.98×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.0%	95.4%	93.7%	1.02×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.4%	92.2%	90.9%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.6%	87.4%	87.7%	1.00×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	73.8%	72.4%	68.7%	1.05×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	73.3%	72.4%	73.0%	0.99×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	51.5%	53.0%	52.7%	1.01×	1.89
Over 2.5 goals	48.5%	47.0%	47.3%	0.99×	2.13
Over 3.5 goals	26.7%	27.6%	27.0%	1.02×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	26.2%	27.6%	31.3%	0.88×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	12.4%	12.6%	12.3%	1.02×	7.97
Under 0.5 goals	7.6%	7.8%	9.1%	0.86×	12.84
Over 5.5 goals	5.0%	4.6%	6.3%	0.73×	21.73

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.2%	97.2%	97.9%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.6%	92.4%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.5%	86.6%	85.6%	1.01×	1.16
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.9%	67.6%	66.1%	1.02×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.9%	61.7%	60.2%	1.02×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.1%	38.3%	39.8%	0.96×	2.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.1%	32.4%	33.9%	0.95×	3.09
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.5%	13.4%	14.4%	0.93×	7.47
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.4%	7.6%	6.7%	1.13×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.8%	2.8%	2.1%	1.36×	35.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.2%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.2%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.4%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.6%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.8%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.3%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.0%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.0%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.7%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble not to score in both halves	83.3%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Rodez Aveyron not to score in both halves	71.9%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Rodez Aveyron to score in both halves	28.1%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Grenoble to score in both halves	16.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.0%	54.2%	49.6%	1.09×	1.84
Only Rodez Aveyron scores	26.4%	26.1%	24.0%	1.09×	3.83
Only Grenoble scores	14.0%	11.1%	17.7%	0.63×	9.01
Neither team scores	7.6%	7.1%	9.1%	0.79×	14.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.3%	24.7%	21.5%	1.15×	4.05
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.4%	20.4%	1.10×	4.46
Exactly 1 goals	18.6%	17.6%	22.4%	0.78×	5.70
Exactly 4 goals	14.2%	12.1%	14.9%	0.81×	8.30
Exactly 0 goals	7.6%	7.8%	9.1%	0.86×	12.86
Exactly 5 goals	7.4%	7.8%	6.1%	1.27×	12.86
6 or more goals	5.0%	4.5%	6.3%	0.71×	22.22

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	33.6%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	20.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
3+ goals in 1st half	9.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.0%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	21.9%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble not to win both halves	94.8%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Rodez Aveyron not to win both halves	86.3%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Rodez Aveyron to win both halves	13.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Grenoble to win both halves	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.75

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron to win either half	60.3%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Grenoble to win neither half	59.4%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Grenoble to win either half	40.6%	40.4%	—	—	2.47
Rodez Aveyron to win neither half	39.7%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble not to win to nil	86.0%	87.9%	82.3%	1.07×	1.14
Rodez Aveyron not to win to nil	73.6%	75.2%	76.0%	0.99×	1.33
Rodez Aveyron to win to nil	26.4%	24.8%	24.0%	1.04×	4.03
Grenoble to win to nil	14.0%	12.1%	17.7%	0.68×	8.28

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.1%	27.7%	27.8%	1.00×	3.61
Rodez Aveyron by 1	23.2%	24.2%	23.5%	1.03×	4.14
Grenoble by 1	16.3%	16.9%	17.5%	0.96×	5.92
Rodez Aveyron by 2	14.5%	11.7%	11.5%	1.02×	8.52
Rodez Aveyron by 3+	9.8%	7.3%	7.8%	0.93×	13.75
Grenoble by 2	7.2%	7.3%	7.1%	1.03×	13.77
Grenoble by 3+	3.0%	2.8%	5.5%	0.51×	35.60

Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.