Rosenborg BK v Tromso — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 12 September 2026 · NOR-Eliteserien · 2627
NOR-Eliteserien
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (567 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.1%
- 2-1 8.6%
- 1-2 8.2%
- 1-0 7.3%
- 0-1 6.9%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 56.3% | Under 2.5 | 43.7% |
| BTTS yes | 60.0% | BTTS no | 40.0% |
| Rosenborg BK 1+ | 77.8% | Rosenborg BK 2+ | 44.4% |
| Tromso 1+ | 76.2% | Tromso 2+ | 42.0% |
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.44. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Rosenborg BK have an estimated 36.5% win probability, against 36.3% for Tromso and 27.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.51 for Rosenborg BK and 1.44 for Tromso.
Why Rosenborg BK
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 27.1%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.51 to 1.44. Draws run at 20% in this competition.
Why Tromso can win
Tromso carry the stronger rating, 1630 Elo against 1544. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Rosenborg BK, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Tromso, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Rosenborg BK: 50% possession, 16.4 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Tromso: 49% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·
Rosenborg BK are the model's most likely outcome at 36.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.51–1.44 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.40–1.31 | 1-1 13% | 51% | 56% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK to win | 38.6% | 37.5% | 49.0% | 0.77× | 2.67 |
| Tromso to win | 35.5% | 37.5% | 31.3% | 1.20× | 2.67 |
| Draw | 25.9% | 27.3% | 19.9% | 1.37× | 3.66 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK & both teams score | 20.8% | 21.5% | 25.1% | 0.86× | 4.65 |
| Draw & both teams score | 20.0% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 1.21× | 5.49 |
| Tromso & both teams score | 19.3% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 1.08× | 5.49 |
| Rosenborg BK & not both score | 17.8% | 18.2% | 24.1% | 0.76× | 5.49 |
| Tromso & not both score | 16.2% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 1.23× | 5.49 |
| Draw & not both score | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.48× | 13.05 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK & over 1.5 | 31.3% | 31.8% | 41.2% | 0.77× | 3.15 |
| Tromso & over 1.5 | 28.6% | 26.5% | 26.4% | 1.00× | 3.78 |
| Rosenborg BK & over 2.5 | 25.3% | 26.5% | 34.7% | 0.76× | 3.78 |
| Rosenborg BK & under 3.5 | 24.9% | 21.8% | 28.0% | 0.78× | 4.59 |
| Tromso & over 2.5 | 23.1% | 21.8% | 21.5% | 1.01× | 4.59 |
| Tromso & under 3.5 | 23.1% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 1.12× | 4.59 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 20.0% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 1.18× | 5.66 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 18.0% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 1.22× | 5.66 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 18.0% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 1.22× | 5.66 |
| Rosenborg BK & over 3.5 | 13.7% | 12.5% | 21.2% | 0.59× | 8.03 |
| Rosenborg BK & under 2.5 | 13.3% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 0.86× | 8.03 |
| Tromso & under 2.5 | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 1.23× | 8.03 |
| Tromso & over 3.5 | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 1.02× | 8.03 |
| Rosenborg BK & under 1.5 | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 0.95× | 13.17 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.47× | 13.17 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 1.33× | 13.17 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 1.33× | 13.17 |
| Tromso & under 1.5 | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.47× | 13.17 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK (1UP) | 56.6% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Tromso (1UP) | 53.9% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK (2UP) | 38.6% | 37.6% | — | — | 2.66 |
| Tromso (2UP) | 35.5% | 37.5% | — | — | 2.67 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 34.3% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Tromso to win 2nd half | 32.9% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Rosenborg BK to win 2nd half | 32.8% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso (+2.5) | 92.6% | 92.3% | 85.5% | 1.08× | 1.08 |
| Tromso (+1.5) | 81.0% | 83.1% | 72.0% | 1.15× | 1.20 |
| Rosenborg BK (+0.5) | 64.5% | 62.8% | 68.7% | 0.91× | 1.59 |
| Tromso (+0.5) | 61.4% | 62.8% | 51.0% | 1.23× | 1.59 |
| Rosenborg BK (-0.5) | 38.6% | 37.2% | 49.0% | 0.76× | 2.69 |
| Tromso (-0.5) | 35.5% | 37.2% | 31.3% | 1.19× | 2.69 |
| Rosenborg BK (-1.5) | 19.0% | 16.9% | 28.0% | 0.60× | 5.92 |
| Rosenborg BK (-2.5) | 7.4% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 0.53× | 12.96 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso to concede | 77.8% | 78.6% | 80.3% | 0.98× | 1.27 |
| Tromso clean sheet | 22.2% | 21.4% | 19.7% | 1.09× | 4.67 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso clean sheet in 1st half | 52.3% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Tromso to concede in 1st half | 47.7% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso under 6.5 corners | 79.6% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Tromso over 2.5 corners | 76.1% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Tromso under 5.5 corners | 69.0% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Tromso over 3.5 corners | 60.2% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Tromso under 4.5 corners | 55.4% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Tromso over 4.5 corners | 44.6% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Tromso under 3.5 corners | 39.8% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Tromso over 5.5 corners | 31.0% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Tromso under 2.5 corners | 23.9% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
| Tromso over 6.5 corners | 20.4% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso under 3.5 goals | 94.2% | 92.1% | 93.5% | 0.98× | 1.09 |
| Tromso under 2.5 goals | 82.5% | 82.4% | 82.6% | 1.00× | 1.21 |
| Tromso over 0.5 goals | 76.2% | 76.4% | 71.0% | 1.08× | 1.31 |
| Tromso under 1.5 goals | 58.0% | 58.4% | 63.0% | 0.93× | 1.71 |
| Tromso over 1.5 goals | 42.0% | 41.6% | 37.0% | 1.12× | 2.41 |
| Tromso under 0.5 goals | 23.8% | 23.6% | 29.0% | 0.81× | 4.24 |
| Tromso over 2.5 goals | 17.5% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 1.01× | 5.69 |
| Tromso over 3.5 goals | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 1.22× | 12.62 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso under 1.5 in 1st half | 88.7% | 87.0% | — | — | 1.15 |
| Tromso under 0.5 in 1st half | 56.3% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Tromso over 0.5 in 1st half | 43.7% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Tromso over 1.5 in 1st half | 11.3% | 13.0% | — | — | 7.71 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK (away no bet) | 59.8% | 58.5% | 71.1% | 0.82× | 1.71 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 40.2% | 41.5% | 28.9% | 1.43× | 2.41 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso even goals | 52.8% | 53.5% | 52.9% | 1.01× | 1.87 |
| Tromso odd goals | 47.2% | 46.5% | 47.2% | 0.99× | 2.15 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 82.3% | 82.6% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 17.7% | 17.4% | — | — | 5.74 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 68.4% | 66.6% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 31.6% | 33.4% | — | — | 3.00 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 59.3% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Rosenborg BK to score 2+ in a row | 34.8% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Tromso to score 2+ in a row | 32.4% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 21.6% | 21.2% | — | — | 4.72 |
| Rosenborg BK to score 3+ in a row | 11.7% | 12.8% | — | — | 7.84 |
| Tromso to score 3+ in a row | 10.3% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.86 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK corners (+3.5) | 88.0% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Rosenborg BK corners (+2.5) | 82.0% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Tromso corners (+3.5) | 74.3% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Rosenborg BK corners (+1.5) | 74.4% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Tromso corners (+2.5) | 65.5% | 65.7% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Tromso corners (+1.5) | 55.5% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Rosenborg BK corners (-1.5) | 44.5% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Rosenborg BK corners (-2.5) | 34.5% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Rosenborg BK corners (-3.5) | 25.7% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Tromso corners (-1.5) | 25.6% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Tromso corners (-2.5) | 18.0% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
| Tromso corners (-3.5) | 12.0% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 38.2% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| 12+ corners | 32.8% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| 9-11 corners | 29.0% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 74.9% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 71.7% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 67.2% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 61.8% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 58.2% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 51.6% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 48.4% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 41.8% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 38.2% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 32.8% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 28.3% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 25.1% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.66 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 1.17× | 8.90 |
| 0-0 | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.43× | 13.49 |
| 0-1 | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.43× | 13.49 |
| 0-2 | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.43× | 13.49 |
| 1-0 | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 0.92× | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.19× | 13.48 |
| 2-0 | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 1.10× | 13.49 |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 0.75× | 13.48 |
| 2-2 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.68× | 13.49 |
| 0-3 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.47× | 58.10 |
| 0-4 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.32× | 58.11 |
| 1-3 | 3.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 0.55× | 58.10 |
| 1-4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.83× | 58.11 |
| 2-3 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.47× | 58.10 |
| 2-4 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.33× | 58.11 |
| 3-0 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.10 |
| 3-1 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 6.2% | 0.28× | 58.10 |
| 3-2 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.47× | 58.10 |
| 3-3 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.66× | 58.11 |
| 3-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.32× | 58.11 |
| 4-0 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.47× | 58.11 |
| 4-1 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.60× | 58.11 |
| 4-2 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.33× | 58.11 |
| 4-3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.32× | 58.11 |
| 4-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.32× | 58.11 |
| Any other score | 3.4% | 1.7% | 7.3% | 0.24× | 58.10 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK leading at HT (DNB) | 54.0% | 56.0% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Tromso leading at HT (DNB) | 46.0% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK or Tromso (12) | 74.1% | 72.7% | 80.1% | 0.91× | 1.38 |
| Rosenborg BK or draw (1X) | 64.5% | 62.5% | 68.7% | 0.91× | 1.60 |
| Tromso or draw (X2) | 61.4% | 62.5% | 51.0% | 1.22× | 1.60 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK or draw at HT | 73.2% | 71.2% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Tromso or draw at HT | 68.5% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Rosenborg BK or Tromso at HT | 58.3% | 57.3% | — | — | 1.75 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK or draw (1UP) | 64.5% | 69.9% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Tromso or draw (1UP) | 61.4% | 69.7% | — | — | 1.44 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso or draw in 2nd half | 67.2% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Rosenborg BK or draw in 2nd half | 67.1% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Rosenborg BK or Tromso in 2nd half | 65.7% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 61.0% | 60.1% | — | — | 1.66 |
| Neither half drawn | 39.0% | 39.9% | — | — | 2.51 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK (DNB) | 52.1% | 51.5% | 61.0% | 0.84× | 1.94 |
| Tromso (DNB) | 47.9% | 48.5% | 39.0% | 1.24× | 2.06 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK to score first | 48.1% | 46.1% | — | — | 2.17 |
| Tromso to score first | 45.9% | 46.0% | — | — | 2.17 |
| No goal scored | 6.0% | 6.3% | — | — | 15.95 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 60.0% | 55.7% | 56.5% | 0.99× | 1.80 |
| Not both teams to score | 40.0% | 44.3% | 43.5% | 1.02× | 2.26 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 47.9% | 45.2% | 47.2% | 0.96× | 2.21 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 31.6% | 34.0% | 29.3% | 1.16× | 2.94 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 1.24× | 8.41 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.5% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 0.58× | 11.81 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 81.3% | 83.1% | 83.4% | 1.00× | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 18.7% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 1.02× | 5.91 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 66.5% | 68.0% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 33.5% | 32.0% | — | — | 3.13 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 52.5% | 54.2% | — | — | 1.85 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 26.6% | 25.9% | — | — | 3.86 |
| Both score 1st half only | 14.0% | 11.9% | — | — | 8.38 |
| Both score in both halves | 6.9% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.06 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 79.1% | 79.6% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 20.9% | 20.4% | — | — | 4.90 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 58.2% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| A half without a goal | 41.8% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 45.9% | 46.6% | 43.8% | 1.06× | 2.15 |
| 4-6 goals | 30.9% | 30.8% | 35.5% | 0.87× | 3.24 |
| 0-1 goals | 20.1% | 23.3% | 17.9% | 1.30× | 4.29 |
| 7+ goals | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 0.59× | 50.21 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso to score exactly 1 | 34.2% | 32.5% | 34.2% | 0.95× | 3.08 |
| Tromso to score exactly 2 | 24.5% | 23.1% | 19.9% | 1.16× | 4.32 |
| Tromso to score exactly 0 | 23.8% | 23.1% | 29.0% | 0.80× | 4.32 |
| Tromso to score 3+ | 17.5% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 1.06× | 5.43 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK to score exactly 1 | 33.4% | 32.1% | 28.2% | 1.14× | 3.11 |
| Rosenborg BK to score exactly 2 | 25.2% | 26.4% | 25.9% | 1.02× | 3.79 |
| Rosenborg BK to score exactly 0 | 22.2% | 22.9% | 19.7% | 1.16× | 4.37 |
| Rosenborg BK to score 3+ | 19.3% | 18.3% | 26.7% | 0.69× | 5.45 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 41.7% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Rosenborg BK leading at HT | 31.5% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Tromso leading at HT | 26.8% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.48 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK -1: 2 | 61.4% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Rosenborg BK -1: X | 19.6% | 17.8% | — | — | 5.60 |
| Rosenborg BK -1: 1 | 19.0% | 17.8% | — | — | 5.60 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso (0:1) | 61.4% | 60.3% | 51.0% | 1.18× | 1.66 |
| Draw (0:1) | 19.6% | 18.2% | 21.2% | 0.86× | 5.51 |
| Rosenborg BK (0:1) | 19.0% | 18.2% | 28.0% | 0.65× | 5.51 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso (0:2) | 81.0% | 83.0% | 72.0% | 1.15× | 1.21 |
| Draw (0:2) | 11.7% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 0.83× | 8.79 |
| Rosenborg BK (0:2) | 7.4% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 0.53× | 12.95 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso (0:3) | 92.6% | 92.6% | 85.5% | 1.08× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 0.92× | 15.58 |
| Rosenborg BK (0:3) | 2.3% | 2.6% | 7.8% | 0.33× | 38.98 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso (0:4) | 97.7% | 97.7% | 92.2% | 1.06× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.7% | 1.4% | 4.7% | 0.30× | 70.56 |
| Rosenborg BK (0:4) | 0.6% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 0.42× | 70.60 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK (1:0) | 64.5% | 64.5% | 68.7% | 0.94× | 1.55 |
| Draw (1:0) | 18.6% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 1.19× | 5.70 |
| Tromso (1:0) | 16.8% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 1.04× | 5.70 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK (2:0) | 83.2% | 83.6% | 83.2% | 1.01× | 1.20 |
| Draw (2:0) | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 1.27× | 8.68 |
| Tromso (2:0) | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 0.83× | 14.99 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 48.5% | 48.6% | — | — | 2.06 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.7% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
| Halves equal | 24.8% | 23.3% | — | — | 4.30 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK to concede | 76.2% | 77.1% | 71.0% | 1.09× | 1.30 |
| Rosenborg BK clean sheet | 23.8% | 22.9% | 29.0% | 0.79× | 4.36 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK clean sheet in 1st half | 56.3% | 57.0% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Rosenborg BK to concede in 1st half | 43.7% | 43.0% | — | — | 2.32 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK over 2.5 corners | 84.9% | 80.9% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Rosenborg BK over 3.5 corners | 72.7% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Rosenborg BK under 6.5 corners | 66.7% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Rosenborg BK over 4.5 corners | 58.9% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Rosenborg BK under 5.5 corners | 54.7% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Rosenborg BK over 5.5 corners | 45.3% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Rosenborg BK under 4.5 corners | 41.1% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Rosenborg BK over 6.5 corners | 33.3% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| Rosenborg BK under 3.5 corners | 27.3% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Rosenborg BK under 2.5 corners | 15.1% | 19.1% | — | — | 5.25 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK under 3.5 goals | 93.4% | 92.3% | 87.6% | 1.05× | 1.08 |
| Rosenborg BK under 2.5 goals | 80.7% | 82.2% | 73.3% | 1.12× | 1.22 |
| Rosenborg BK over 0.5 goals | 77.8% | 77.9% | 80.3% | 0.97× | 1.28 |
| Rosenborg BK under 1.5 goals | 55.6% | 57.6% | 47.7% | 1.21× | 1.74 |
| Rosenborg BK over 1.5 goals | 44.4% | 42.4% | 52.3% | 0.81× | 2.36 |
| Rosenborg BK under 0.5 goals | 22.2% | 22.1% | 19.7% | 1.12× | 4.53 |
| Rosenborg BK over 2.5 goals | 19.3% | 17.8% | 26.7% | 0.67× | 5.61 |
| Rosenborg BK over 3.5 goals | 6.6% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 0.62× | 13.04 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK under 1.5 in 1st half | 86.2% | 87.2% | — | — | 1.15 |
| Rosenborg BK under 0.5 in 1st half | 52.3% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Rosenborg BK over 0.5 in 1st half | 47.7% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Rosenborg BK over 1.5 in 1st half | 13.8% | 12.8% | — | — | 7.83 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso (home no bet) | 57.8% | 56.1% | 61.1% | 0.92× | 1.78 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 42.2% | 43.9% | 38.9% | 1.13× | 2.28 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK even goals | 52.5% | 50.9% | 53.9% | 0.95× | 1.96 |
| Rosenborg BK odd goals | 47.5% | 49.1% | 46.1% | 1.06× | 2.04 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 29.6% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.83 |
| HT 1-0 | 19.0% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.99 |
| HT 0-1 | 16.8% | 20.0% | — | — | 4.99 |
| HT 1-1 | 11.1% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.15 |
| HT 2-0 | 6.2% | 8.0% | — | — | 12.48 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.9% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.33 |
| Any other HT score | 4.8% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.33 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.5% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.39 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.1% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.41 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.0% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.50 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK at HT / Rosenborg BK at FT | 22.9% | 20.5% | — | — | 4.87 |
| Tromso at HT / Tromso at FT | 19.3% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.81 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 15.1% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.83 |
| Draw at HT / Tromso at FT | 13.4% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.20 |
| Draw at HT / Rosenborg BK at FT | 13.3% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.20 |
| Rosenborg BK at HT / Draw at FT | 5.8% | 6.4% | — | — | 15.58 |
| Tromso at HT / Draw at FT | 5.1% | 6.4% | — | — | 15.60 |
| Rosenborg BK at HT / Tromso at FT | 2.8% | 3.7% | — | — | 27.32 |
| Tromso at HT / Rosenborg BK at FT | 2.4% | 3.7% | — | — | 27.33 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK to score last | 48.2% | 46.3% | — | — | 2.16 |
| Tromso to score last | 45.9% | 46.2% | — | — | 2.16 |
| No goal scored | 6.0% | 6.3% | — | — | 15.95 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 94.0% | 93.7% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Rosenborg BK to lead by 1 at any time | 56.6% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Tromso to lead by 1 at any time | 53.9% | 50.9% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 49.1% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Rosenborg BK to lead by 2 at any time | 25.9% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.89 |
| Tromso to lead by 2 at any time | 23.5% | 21.4% | — | — | 4.68 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 17.9% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
| Rosenborg BK to lead by 3 at any time | 9.6% | 7.6% | — | — | 13.11 |
| Tromso to lead by 3 at any time | 8.3% | 7.6% | — | — | 13.15 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK most corners | 54.9% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Tromso most corners | 34.8% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Corners level | 10.2% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.63 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.2% | 87.1% | 87.0% | 1.00× | 1.15 |
| 1-4 goals | 76.6% | 77.9% | 73.1% | 1.07× | 1.28 |
| 2-6 goals | 76.8% | 77.9% | 79.0% | 0.99× | 1.28 |
| 2-5 goals | 72.1% | 72.1% | 74.4% | 0.97× | 1.39 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.4% | 62.7% | 60.4% | 1.04× | 1.60 |
| 1-3 goals | 60.1% | 62.7% | 56.5% | 1.11× | 1.60 |
| 3-6 goals | 53.3% | 52.9% | 58.3% | 0.91× | 1.89 |
| 3-5 goals | 48.5% | 47.4% | 53.6% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| 2-3 goals | 45.9% | 47.4% | 43.8% | 1.08× | 2.11 |
| 3-4 goals | 38.9% | 39.0% | 39.6% | 0.98× | 2.56 |
| 1-2 goals | 37.7% | 39.0% | 33.7% | 1.16× | 2.56 |
| 4-6 goals | 30.9% | 34.6% | 35.5% | 0.97× | 2.89 |
| 4-5 goals | 26.2% | 28.5% | 30.8% | 0.93× | 3.51 |
| 5-6 goals | 14.4% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 0.71× | 7.40 |
| 7+ goals | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 0.67× | 44.56 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso never behind | 37.4% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
| Rosenborg BK never behind | 40.1% | 46.2% | — | — | 2.17 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 51.5% | 50.0% | 48.4% | 1.03× | 2.00 |
| Odd number of goals | 48.5% | 50.0% | 51.6% | 0.97× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.6% | 51.6% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.4% | 48.4% | — | — | 2.06 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.1% | 51.5% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.9% | 48.5% | — | — | 2.06 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94.0% | 92.3% | 94.8% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 92.2% | 92.3% | 92.0% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82.5% | 81.7% | 78.0% | 1.05× | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.9% | 77.0% | 82.1% | 0.94× | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66.0% | 67.5% | 61.4% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.3% | 57.5% | 61.4% | 0.94× | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43.7% | 42.5% | 38.6% | 1.10× | 2.35 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.0% | 32.5% | 38.6% | 0.84× | 3.08 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20.1% | 23.0% | 17.9% | 1.29× | 4.35 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17.5% | 18.3% | 22.0% | 0.83× | 5.46 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 0.96× | 12.95 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.49× | 12.95 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 96.8% | 97.3% | 96.5% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 91.4% | 92.0% | 90.7% | 1.02× | 1.09 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 79.1% | 76.2% | 73.6% | 1.04× | 1.31 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 73.7% | 71.7% | 77.5% | 0.93× | 1.39 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 56.3% | 58.0% | 50.0% | 1.16× | 1.73 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 43.7% | 42.1% | 50.0% | 0.84× | 2.38 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 26.3% | 28.3% | 22.5% | 1.25× | 3.54 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 20.9% | 23.8% | 26.4% | 0.90× | 4.20 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 0.85× | 12.55 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 0.77× | 36.68 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 87.5% | 88.3% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 70.4% | 73.4% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 65.4% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 34.6% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 29.6% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.75 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 12.5% | 11.7% | — | — | 8.57 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 81.9% | 82.6% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 75.2% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 48.5% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 51.5% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 24.8% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 18.1% | 17.4% | — | — | 5.76 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso not to score in both halves | 74.8% | 72.9% | — | — | 1.37 |
| Rosenborg BK not to score in both halves | 72.5% | 72.8% | — | — | 1.37 |
| Rosenborg BK to score in both halves | 27.5% | 27.2% | — | — | 3.68 |
| Tromso to score in both halves | 25.2% | 27.1% | — | — | 3.69 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 60.0% | 57.9% | 56.5% | 1.03× | 1.73 |
| Only Rosenborg BK scores | 17.8% | 17.1% | 24.1% | 0.71× | 5.83 |
| Only Tromso scores | 16.2% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 1.16× | 5.84 |
| Neither team scores | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.38× | 13.97 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 23.5% | 22.3% | 21.0% | 1.06× | 4.48 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.4% | 22.3% | 23.1% | 0.97× | 4.48 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 16.5% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 1.04× | 5.69 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 14.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 0.95× | 8.13 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 9.7% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 0.54× | 12.88 |
| 6 or more goals | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 0.97× | 12.89 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.50× | 12.89 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 51.5% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 30.3% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 18.1% | 16.6% | — | — | 6.03 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso not to win both halves | 91.1% | 92.2% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Rosenborg BK not to win both halves | 89.6% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Rosenborg BK to win both halves | 10.4% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.34 |
| Tromso to win both halves | 8.9% | 7.8% | — | — | 12.86 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg BK to win either half | 53.8% | 51.1% | — | — | 1.96 |
| Tromso to win either half | 50.8% | 51.1% | — | — | 1.96 |
| Tromso to win neither half | 49.2% | 48.9% | — | — | 2.04 |
| Rosenborg BK to win neither half | 46.2% | 48.9% | — | — | 2.05 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso not to win to nil | 83.8% | 82.7% | 85.2% | 0.97× | 1.21 |
| Rosenborg BK not to win to nil | 82.2% | 82.6% | 75.9% | 1.09× | 1.21 |
| Rosenborg BK to win to nil | 17.8% | 17.4% | 24.1% | 0.72× | 5.76 |
| Tromso to win to nil | 16.2% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 1.17× | 5.77 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 25.9% | 27.4% | 19.9% | 1.37× | 3.65 |
| Rosenborg BK by 1 | 19.6% | 17.3% | 21.2% | 0.81× | 5.78 |
| Tromso by 1 | 18.6% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 1.17× | 5.78 |
| Rosenborg BK by 2 | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 0.86× | 8.46 |
| Tromso by 2 | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 1.30× | 8.46 |
| Rosenborg BK by 3+ | 7.4% | 7.3% | 14.5% | 0.50× | 13.66 |
| Tromso by 3+ | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 0.91× | 13.66 |