Sabah FK v Borussia Dortmund — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 20 October 2026 · EUR-Champions League · 2627
Champions League
results-only
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 11.2%
- 0-1 10.4%
- 1-2 9.7%
- 0-2 9.0%
- 1-0 6.5%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 53.4% | Under 2.5 | 46.6% |
| BTTS yes | 54.4% | BTTS no | 45.6% |
| Sabah FK 1+ | 66.1% | Sabah FK 2+ | 29.4% |
| Borussia Dortmund 1+ | 82.3% | Borussia Dortmund 2+ | 51.7% |
Expected goals 1.08 – 1.73. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Borussia Dortmund carry the stronger rating, 1724 Elo against 1500.
- Borussia Dortmund have created 2.23 xG a match over their last five while Sabah FK have allowed 1.35.
- Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.
- Away from home Borussia Dortmund average 1.57 xG a match.
- They have had 30 days' rest to Sabah FK's 14.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 10/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Sabah FK have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Borussia Dortmund have an estimated 52.6% win probability, against 23.7% for the draw and 23.6% for Sabah FK. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.08 for Sabah FK and 1.73 for Borussia Dortmund.
Why Sabah FK
Sabah FK have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Borussia Dortmund have allowed 1.27. At home Sabah FK average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 23.7%. Draws run at 16% in this competition.
Why Borussia Dortmund can win
Borussia Dortmund carry the stronger rating, 1724 Elo against 1500. Borussia Dortmund have created 2.23 xG a match over their last five while Sabah FK have allowed 1.35. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five. Away from home Borussia Dortmund average 1.57 xG a match. They have had 30 days' rest to Sabah FK's 14.
Key players
Borussia Dortmund's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Serhou Guirassy (0.60), Maximilian Beier (0.39), Julian Ryerson (0.36).
Availability
No lineup on record for Sabah FK, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Sabah FK: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Borussia Dortmund: 55% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.54 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Borussia Dortmund are the model's most likely outcome at 52.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 10/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.