Şahdağ Qusar v Karvan — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 9 September 2026 · AZE-First Division · 2627

AZE-First Division results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Şahdağ Qusar

12:30 UTC

Karvan

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 29h before kick-off

Şahdağ Qusar win

34.5%

Draw

30.1%

Karvan win

35.4%

353035

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.3%
0-0 10.2%
0-1 9.6%
1-0 9.4%
1-2 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	43.5%	Under 2.5	56.5%
BTTS yes	50.5%	BTTS no	49.5%
Şahdağ Qusar 1+	69.9%	Şahdağ Qusar 2+	33.8%
Karvan 1+	70.4%	Karvan 2+	34.4%

Expected goals 1.20 – 1.22. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

19/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

83%

★ Best pick

Karvan (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 41%

51.7% fair odds 1.94

strong signal · 3820 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Şahdağ Qusar (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 86%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 4434 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Karvan have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Şahdağ Qusar have allowed 1.35.
Away from home Karvan average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.83).
Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Şahdağ Qusar have only 0 matches on record.
Karvan have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Karvan have an estimated 35.4% win probability, against 34.5% for Şahdağ Qusar and 30.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.20 for Şahdağ Qusar and 1.22 for Karvan.

Why Şahdağ Qusar

Şahdağ Qusar have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Karvan have allowed 1.35. At home Şahdağ Qusar average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.1%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.20 to 1.22.

Why Karvan can win

Karvan have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Şahdağ Qusar have allowed 1.35. Away from home Karvan average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Şahdağ Qusar, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Karvan, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Şahdağ Qusar: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Karvan: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Karvan are the model's most likely outcome at 35.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.3%. Confidence 19/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	333136	1.13–1.20	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	192952	0.77–1.47	0-1 14%	39%	43%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan to win	36.3%	37.7%	30.6%	1.23×	2.66
Şahdağ Qusar to win	33.0%	31.5%	44.4%	0.71×	3.17
Draw	30.7%	31.5%	25.0%	1.26×	3.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan & not both score	21.3%	21.7%	16.0%	1.36×	4.61
Şahdağ Qusar & not both score	19.1%	18.1%	24.4%	0.74×	5.52
Draw & both teams score	19.7%	18.1%	17.7%	1.03×	5.52
Karvan & both teams score	15.0%	18.1%	14.6%	1.24×	5.52
Şahdağ Qusar & both teams score	13.8%	12.7%	20.1%	0.63×	7.88
Draw & not both score	11.0%	12.7%	7.3%	1.74×	7.88

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan & under 3.5	28.1%	26.4%	21.6%	1.22×	3.79
Karvan & over 1.5	25.9%	26.4%	23.1%	1.14×	3.79
Şahdağ Qusar & under 3.5	25.8%	26.4%	30.3%	0.87×	3.79
Draw & under 2.5	25.5%	26.4%	18.8%	1.41×	3.79
Draw & under 3.5	25.5%	26.4%	18.8%	1.41×	3.79
Şahdağ Qusar & over 1.5	23.3%	21.8%	34.1%	0.64×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	19.7%	17.7%	17.7%	1.00×	5.64
Şahdağ Qusar & over 2.5	17.0%	17.7%	26.9%	0.66×	5.64
Karvan & over 2.5	18.9%	17.7%	18.4%	0.97×	5.64
Karvan & under 2.5	17.4%	17.7%	12.2%	1.45×	5.64
Şahdağ Qusar & under 2.5	15.9%	17.7%	17.5%	1.01×	5.64
Draw & under 1.5	11.0%	12.4%	7.3%	1.70×	8.06
Karvan & under 1.5	10.4%	12.4%	7.5%	1.65×	8.06
Şahdağ Qusar & under 1.5	9.7%	7.6%	10.4%	0.73×	13.20
Şahdağ Qusar & over 3.5	7.2%	7.6%	14.2%	0.53×	13.21
Karvan & over 3.5	8.2%	7.6%	9.0%	0.84×	13.20
Draw & over 2.5	5.2%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	5.2%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.21

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (1UP)	51.7%	54.2%	50.4%	1.08×	1.84
Şahdağ Qusar (1UP)	48.7%	48.2%	59.8%	0.81×	2.08

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (2UP)	36.3%	38.1%	34.2%	1.12×	2.62
Şahdağ Qusar (2UP)	33.0%	35.6%	45.2%	0.79×	2.81

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.8%	36.5%	32.7%	1.12×	2.74
Karvan to win 2nd half	32.4%	32.8%	29.7%	1.11×	3.05
Şahdağ Qusar to win 2nd half	27.9%	28.3%	37.7%	0.75×	3.53

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (+2.5)	95.7%	96.6%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Karvan (+1.5)	86.1%	87.4%	77.7%	1.12×	1.14
Karvan (+0.5)	67.0%	67.9%	55.6%	1.22×	1.47
Şahdağ Qusar (+0.5)	63.7%	62.7%	69.4%	0.90×	1.60
Karvan (-0.5)	36.3%	37.3%	30.6%	1.22×	2.68
Şahdağ Qusar (-0.5)	33.0%	32.1%	44.4%	0.72×	3.12
Şahdağ Qusar (-1.5)	13.9%	12.6%	22.3%	0.57×	7.94
Şahdağ Qusar (-2.5)	4.3%	3.4%	9.9%	0.34×	29.60

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan to concede	67.7%	71.2%	76.7%	0.93×	1.40
Karvan clean sheet	32.3%	28.8%	23.3%	1.24×	3.48

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan clean sheet in 1st half	61.5%	62.6%	51.8%	1.21×	1.60
Karvan to concede in 1st half	38.5%	37.4%	48.2%	0.78×	2.68

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan under 3.5 goals	96.6%	97.3%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Karvan under 2.5 goals	88.0%	87.1%	87.0%	1.00×	1.15
Karvan over 0.5 goals	69.8%	67.5%	68.3%	0.99×	1.48
Karvan under 1.5 goals	66.3%	67.5%	66.3%	1.02×	1.48
Karvan over 1.5 goals	33.7%	32.5%	33.7%	0.96×	3.08
Karvan under 0.5 goals	30.2%	32.5%	31.7%	1.02×	3.08
Karvan over 2.5 goals	12.0%	12.9%	13.0%	0.99×	7.77
Karvan over 3.5 goals	3.4%	2.7%	4.3%	0.62×	37.11

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan under 1.5 in 1st half	91.6%	93.8%	89.4%	1.05×	1.07
Karvan under 0.5 in 1st half	61.9%	62.4%	59.0%	1.06×	1.60
Karvan over 0.5 in 1st half	38.1%	37.6%	41.0%	0.92×	2.66
Karvan over 1.5 in 1st half	8.4%	6.2%	10.6%	0.59×	16.12

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar (away no bet)	51.8%	52.4%	64.0%	0.82×	1.91
Draw (away no bet)	48.2%	47.6%	36.0%	1.32×	2.10

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan even goals	54.6%	53.6%	55.7%	0.96×	1.87
Karvan odd goals	45.4%	46.4%	44.3%	1.05×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.1%	90.5%	82.7%	1.09×	1.11
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.9%	9.5%	17.3%	0.55×	10.54

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.4%	59.6%	66.2%	0.90×	1.68
Both halves under 1.5 goals	44.6%	40.4%	33.8%	1.20×	2.47

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.3%	49.8%	58.6%	0.85×	2.01
Karvan to score 2+ in a row	27.0%	26.7%	28.6%	0.93×	3.75
Şahdağ Qusar to score 2+ in a row	24.6%	21.8%	36.9%	0.59×	4.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.4%	12.9%	22.9%	0.56×	7.75
Karvan to score 3+ in a row	7.8%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.93
Şahdağ Qusar to score 3+ in a row	6.7%	7.7%	14.2%	0.54×	12.97

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.5%	11.2%	11.5%	0.98×	8.91
0-0	11.0%	11.2%	7.3%	1.54×	8.91
0-1	10.4%	11.2%	7.5%	1.49×	8.91
1-0	9.7%	7.4%	10.4%	0.72×	13.45
0-2	7.0%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.45
1-2	7.9%	7.4%	7.0%	1.06×	13.45
2-0	6.2%	7.4%	7.2%	1.04×	13.45
2-1	7.5%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.45
0-3	2.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.34
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.35
1-3	3.2%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.34
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.35
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.34
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.34
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.89×	58.35
3-0	2.3%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.34
3-1	2.8%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.34
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.34
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.35
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.65×	58.35
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.98×	58.35
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.35
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.35
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.62×	58.35
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	16.16×	58.35
Any other score	1.4%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.34

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar leading at HT (DNB)	50.5%	54.4%	56.7%	0.96×	1.84
Karvan leading at HT (DNB)	49.5%	45.6%	43.3%	1.05×	2.19

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar or Karvan (12)	69.3%	68.5%	75.0%	0.91×	1.46
Karvan or draw (X2)	67.0%	68.5%	55.6%	1.23×	1.46
Şahdağ Qusar or draw (1X)	63.7%	62.3%	69.4%	0.90×	1.60

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar or draw at HT	74.2%	71.3%	74.1%	0.96×	1.40
Karvan or draw at HT	73.7%	71.3%	66.2%	1.08×	1.40
Şahdağ Qusar or Karvan at HT	52.1%	53.9%	59.7%	0.90×	1.86

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan or draw (1UP)	67.0%	71.3%	63.9%	1.12×	1.40
Şahdağ Qusar or draw (1UP)	63.7%	70.2%	74.2%	0.95×	1.42

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan or draw in 2nd half	72.1%	71.7%	62.3%	1.15×	1.40
Şahdağ Qusar or draw in 2nd half	67.6%	67.2%	70.3%	0.96×	1.49
Şahdağ Qusar or Karvan in 2nd half	60.2%	63.5%	67.3%	0.94×	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.3%	65.2%	58.9%	1.11×	1.53
Neither half drawn	32.7%	34.8%	41.1%	0.85×	2.87

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (DNB)	52.4%	51.7%	40.8%	1.27×	1.94
Şahdağ Qusar (DNB)	47.6%	48.3%	59.2%	0.82×	2.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan to score first	45.8%	46.1%	42.9%	1.07×	2.17
Şahdağ Qusar to score first	43.2%	43.8%	51.2%	0.86×	2.28
No goal scored	11.0%	6.9%	5.9%	1.17×	14.50

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.4%	51.6%	47.6%	1.08×	1.94
Both teams to score	48.6%	48.4%	52.4%	0.92×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.4%	41.6%	37.1%	1.12×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	34.1%	34.0%	40.9%	0.83×	2.94
Both score & under 2.5	14.5%	11.9%	11.5%	1.04×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	7.1%	8.4%	10.6%	0.80×	11.85

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.5%	85.7%	86.0%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.5%	14.3%	14.0%	1.02×	7.01

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.2%	73.9%	70.2%	1.05×	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.8%	26.1%	29.8%	0.88×	3.83

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	63.9%	60.7%	57.8%	1.05×	1.65
Both score 2nd half only	21.2%	23.4%	23.8%	0.98×	4.28
Both score 1st half only	11.3%	11.9%	12.5%	0.95×	8.43
Both score in both halves	3.6%	4.9%	6.0%	0.80×	20.61

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.1%	84.5%	81.5%	1.04×	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.9%	15.5%	18.5%	0.84×	6.47

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.3%	52.5%	41.1%	1.28×	1.91
A goal in each half	46.7%	47.5%	58.9%	0.81×	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.2%	46.5%	45.4%	1.02×	2.15
0-1 goals	31.1%	31.2%	25.2%	1.24×	3.21
4-6 goals	19.6%	19.1%	27.0%	0.71×	5.24
7+ goals	1.0%	2.0%	2.4%	0.83×	49.79

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan to score exactly 1	36.2%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Karvan to score exactly 0	30.2%	32.3%	31.7%	1.02×	3.09
Karvan to score exactly 2	21.7%	23.2%	20.8%	1.12×	4.30
Karvan to score 3+	12.0%	13.0%	13.0%	1.00×	7.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.6%	33.1%	1.11×	2.73
Şahdağ Qusar to score exactly 0	32.3%	32.2%	23.3%	1.39×	3.10
Şahdağ Qusar to score exactly 2	20.6%	22.9%	24.0%	0.95×	4.38
Şahdağ Qusar to score 3+	10.6%	13.3%	19.7%	0.67×	7.54

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.9%	46.1%	40.3%	1.14×	2.17
Şahdağ Qusar leading at HT	26.3%	28.7%	33.8%	0.85×	3.48
Karvan leading at HT	25.8%	28.7%	25.9%	1.11×	3.48

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan -1: 1	63.7%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Karvan -1: X	20.3%	23.3%	—	—	4.29
Karvan -1: 2	16.0%	17.8%	—	—	5.61

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (0:1)	67.0%	64.6%	55.6%	1.16×	1.55
Draw (0:1)	19.1%	18.2%	22.2%	0.82×	5.49
Şahdağ Qusar (0:1)	13.9%	13.1%	22.3%	0.59×	7.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (0:2)	86.1%	86.7%	77.7%	1.12×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.6%	7.7%	12.3%	0.62×	12.96
Şahdağ Qusar (0:2)	4.3%	3.5%	9.9%	0.35×	28.45

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (0:3)	95.7%	96.7%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.3%	2.6%	5.9%	0.43×	39.16
Şahdağ Qusar (0:3)	1.1%	2.6%	4.0%	0.63×	39.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (0:4)	98.9%	97.8%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.4%	2.5%	0.56×	70.74
Şahdağ Qusar (0:4)	0.2%	1.4%	1.5%	0.94×	70.76

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar (1:0)	63.7%	64.5%	69.4%	0.93×	1.55
Draw (1:0)	20.3%	22.1%	17.0%	1.30×	4.53
Karvan (1:0)	16.0%	17.3%	13.6%	1.28×	5.77

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar (2:0)	84.0%	83.8%	86.4%	0.97×	1.19
Draw (2:0)	10.7%	11.6%	8.1%	1.42×	8.65
Karvan (2:0)	5.3%	6.6%	5.4%	1.22×	15.12

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.9%	48.7%	48.6%	1.00×	2.05
Halves equal	29.4%	26.2%	25.2%	1.04×	3.82
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.1%	26.3%	0.99×	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar to concede	69.8%	68.6%	68.3%	1.01×	1.46
Şahdağ Qusar clean sheet	30.2%	31.4%	31.7%	0.99×	3.19

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar clean sheet in 1st half	61.9%	62.1%	59.0%	1.05×	1.61
Şahdağ Qusar to concede in 1st half	38.1%	37.9%	41.0%	0.92×	2.64

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar under 3.5 goals	97.2%	96.6%	92.4%	1.05×	1.04
Şahdağ Qusar under 2.5 goals	89.4%	87.3%	80.3%	1.09×	1.15
Şahdağ Qusar under 1.5 goals	68.8%	68.3%	56.3%	1.21×	1.46
Şahdağ Qusar over 0.5 goals	67.7%	68.3%	76.7%	0.89×	1.46
Şahdağ Qusar under 0.5 goals	32.3%	31.7%	23.3%	1.36×	3.15
Şahdağ Qusar over 1.5 goals	31.2%	31.7%	43.7%	0.73×	3.15
Şahdağ Qusar over 2.5 goals	10.6%	12.7%	19.7%	0.64×	7.88
Şahdağ Qusar over 3.5 goals	2.8%	3.4%	7.6%	0.45×	29.42

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar under 1.5 in 1st half	91.4%	93.3%	85.9%	1.09×	1.07
Şahdağ Qusar under 0.5 in 1st half	61.5%	62.4%	51.8%	1.20×	1.60
Şahdağ Qusar over 0.5 in 1st half	38.5%	37.6%	48.2%	0.78×	2.66
Şahdağ Qusar over 1.5 in 1st half	8.6%	6.7%	14.1%	0.47×	14.99

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan (home no bet)	54.1%	52.0%	55.1%	0.94×	1.92
Draw (home no bet)	45.9%	48.0%	44.9%	1.07×	2.08

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar even goals	55.2%	55.6%	52.8%	1.05×	1.80
Şahdağ Qusar odd goals	44.8%	44.4%	47.2%	0.94×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.3%	34.9%	29.3%	1.19×	2.87
HT 1-0	18.3%	19.9%	20.7%	0.96×	5.03
HT 0-1	18.0%	19.9%	16.3%	1.22×	5.03
HT 1-1	9.1%	8.0%	10.2%	0.78×	12.53
HT 2-0	4.5%	2.5%	7.1%	0.35×	40.38
HT 0-2	4.4%	2.5%	4.9%	0.51×	40.38
Any other HT score	2.6%	2.5%	4.7%	0.52×	40.46
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.5%	2.8%	0.89×	40.49
HT 2-1	2.2%	2.5%	3.3%	0.75×	40.48
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.5%	0.9%	2.76×	40.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.4%	20.9%	14.1%	1.48×	4.79
Karvan at HT / Karvan at FT	19.3%	17.3%	17.4%	1.00×	5.77
Şahdağ Qusar at HT / Şahdağ Qusar at FT	18.6%	17.3%	25.8%	0.67×	5.77
Draw at HT / Karvan at FT	14.8%	12.0%	11.6%	1.04×	8.31
Draw at HT / Şahdağ Qusar at FT	12.7%	12.0%	14.7%	0.82×	8.33
Şahdağ Qusar at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.4%	5.1%	1.26×	15.51
Karvan at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.6%	5.6%	0.65×	27.50
Şahdağ Qusar at HT / Karvan at FT	2.1%	3.6%	3.0%	1.22×	27.58
Karvan at HT / Şahdağ Qusar at FT	1.6%	3.6%	2.9%	1.25×	27.59

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karvan to score last	45.8%	46.2%	42.7%	1.08×	2.17
Şahdağ Qusar to score last	43.2%	43.5%	51.4%	0.85×	2.30
No goal scored	11.0%	7.1%	5.9%	1.20×	14.14

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.0%	92.7%	94.1%	0.99×	1.08
Karvan to lead by 1 at any time	51.7%	51.7%	50.4%	1.03×	1.93
Şahdağ Qusar to lead by 1 at any time	48.7%	46.6%	59.8%	0.78×	2.15
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.4%	37.4%	48.2%	0.78×	2.67
Karvan to lead by 2 at any time	20.9%	21.3%	20.3%	1.05×	4.69
Şahdağ Qusar to lead by 2 at any time	18.6%	17.6%	28.2%	0.62×	5.67
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.1%	11.0%	19.5%	0.57×	9.07
Karvan to lead by 3 at any time	6.6%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.50
Şahdağ Qusar to lead by 3 at any time	5.5%	7.4%	12.1%	0.61×	13.53

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.8%	87.1%	86.4%	1.01×	1.15
1-4 goals	80.3%	82.1%	78.0%	1.05×	1.22
1-3 goals	68.3%	68.2%	63.3%	1.08×	1.47
2-6 goals	67.9%	68.2%	72.4%	0.94×	1.47
2-5 goals	65.7%	68.2%	68.5%	1.00×	1.47
2-4 goals	60.2%	62.7%	60.1%	1.04×	1.60
2-3 goals	48.2%	47.4%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11
1-2 goals	47.8%	47.4%	41.2%	1.15×	2.11
3-6 goals	40.2%	43.6%	49.0%	0.89×	2.30
3-5 goals	38.0%	39.0%	45.1%	0.86×	2.56
3-4 goals	32.4%	34.7%	36.8%	0.94×	2.88
4-6 goals	19.6%	18.9%	27.0%	0.70×	5.30
4-5 goals	17.5%	18.9%	23.0%	0.82×	5.30
5-6 goals	7.7%	8.9%	12.3%	0.73×	11.22
7+ goals	1.0%	2.3%	2.4%	0.93×	44.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar never behind	37.3%	47.3%	49.6%	0.95×	2.11
Karvan never behind	40.2%	47.0%	40.2%	1.17×	2.13

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	53.1%	50.1%	49.8%	1.00×	2.00
Odd number of goals	46.9%	49.9%	50.2%	1.00×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.7%	55.1%	53.7%	1.03×	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	42.3%	44.9%	46.3%	0.97×	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.2%	51.6%	51.1%	1.01×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.8%	48.4%	48.9%	0.99×	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.8%	96.0%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Under 4.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	85.3%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.0%	87.8%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.4%	77.0%	70.6%	1.09×	1.30
Over 1.5 goals	68.9%	67.7%	74.8%	0.90×	1.48
Under 2.5 goals	58.9%	57.8%	48.5%	1.19×	1.73
Over 2.5 goals	41.1%	42.2%	51.5%	0.82×	2.37
Under 1.5 goals	31.1%	32.3%	25.2%	1.28×	3.09
Over 3.5 goals	20.6%	23.0%	29.4%	0.78×	4.34
Under 0.5 goals	11.0%	12.2%	7.3%	1.67×	8.21
Over 4.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	14.7%	0.53×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	3.2%	4.0%	6.3%	0.63×	25.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.3%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.7%	97.3%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.1%	92.0%	82.8%	1.11×	1.09
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.0%	72.1%	62.3%	1.16×	1.39
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.9%	58.2%	67.1%	0.87×	1.72
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.1%	41.8%	32.9%	1.27×	2.39
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	26.0%	27.9%	37.7%	0.74×	3.59
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.9%	8.0%	17.2%	0.46×	12.50
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.3%	2.7%	6.9%	0.39×	36.69
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.7%	2.5%	1.08×	36.72

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.6%	91.9%	88.4%	1.04×	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.6%	73.8%	66.3%	1.11×	1.35
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.7%	65.1%	70.7%	0.92×	1.54
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.3%	34.9%	29.3%	1.19×	2.86
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.4%	26.2%	33.7%	0.78×	3.82
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.4%	8.1%	11.6%	0.70×	12.31

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.2%	82.6%	77.5%	1.07×	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.0%	75.7%	82.3%	0.92×	1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.0%	58.4%	50.2%	1.16×	1.71
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.0%	41.6%	49.8%	0.84×	2.41
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.0%	24.3%	17.7%	1.37×	4.11
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.8%	17.4%	22.5%	0.77×	5.73

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar not to score in both halves	81.7%	81.2%	70.5%	1.15×	1.23
Karvan not to score in both halves	80.5%	81.2%	77.6%	1.05×	1.23
Karvan to score in both halves	19.5%	18.8%	22.4%	0.84×	5.32
Şahdağ Qusar to score in both halves	18.3%	18.8%	29.5%	0.64×	5.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.6%	50.7%	52.4%	0.97×	1.97
Only Karvan scores	21.3%	21.5%	16.0%	1.35×	4.64
Only Şahdağ Qusar scores	19.1%	16.9%	24.4%	0.69×	5.93
Neither team scores	11.0%	11.2%	7.3%	1.53×	8.94

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.7%	25.0%	23.3%	1.07×	4.00
Exactly 1 goals	20.1%	22.3%	17.9%	1.24×	4.49
Exactly 3 goals	20.5%	22.3%	22.1%	1.01×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	11.9%	12.3%	14.7%	0.84×	8.14
Exactly 0 goals	11.0%	12.3%	7.3%	1.68×	8.15
Exactly 5 goals	5.6%	7.8%	8.4%	0.93×	12.89
6 or more goals	3.2%	4.0%	6.3%	0.64×	24.74

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	40.0%	38.9%	49.8%	0.78×	2.57
1 goal in 2nd half	34.0%	34.3%	32.5%	1.06×	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	26.0%	27.1%	17.7%	1.53×	3.69

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar not to win both halves	92.5%	92.6%	86.8%	1.07×	1.08
Karvan not to win both halves	91.5%	92.6%	91.8%	1.01×	1.08
Karvan to win both halves	8.5%	7.4%	8.2%	0.91×	13.49
Şahdağ Qusar to win both halves	7.5%	7.4%	13.2%	0.56×	13.53

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar to win neither half	53.4%	53.0%	41.7%	1.27×	1.89
Karvan to win neither half	50.4%	52.9%	52.6%	1.01×	1.89
Karvan to win either half	49.6%	47.1%	47.4%	0.99×	2.12
Şahdağ Qusar to win either half	46.6%	47.0%	58.3%	0.81×	2.13

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar not to win to nil	80.9%	82.9%	75.6%	1.10×	1.21
Karvan not to win to nil	78.8%	78.4%	84.0%	0.93×	1.28
Karvan to win to nil	21.3%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Şahdağ Qusar to win to nil	19.1%	17.1%	24.4%	0.70×	5.86

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.7%	29.2%	25.0%	1.17×	3.43
Karvan by 1	20.3%	23.4%	17.0%	1.37×	4.27
Şahdağ Qusar by 1	19.1%	17.2%	22.2%	0.78×	5.80
Karvan by 2	10.7%	11.8%	8.1%	1.46×	8.45
Şahdağ Qusar by 2	9.6%	7.3%	12.3%	0.59×	13.76
Karvan by 3+	5.3%	7.3%	5.4%	1.34×	13.77
Şahdağ Qusar by 3+	4.3%	3.0%	9.9%	0.30×	33.44