Saint-Etienne v AS Nancy Lorraine — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 4 December 2026 · FRA-Ligue 2 · 2627

FRA-Ligue 2 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Saint-Etienne

20:00 UTC

AS Nancy Lorraine

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 993h before kick-off

Saint-Etienne win

69.7%

model 68.1%

Draw

19.3%

model 18.8%

AS Nancy Lorraine win

11.0%

model 13.1%

701911

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 11.5%
1-0 10.4%
2-1 9.7%
1-1 8.9%
3-0 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.7%	Under 2.5	41.3%
BTTS yes	50.9%	BTTS no	49.1%
Saint-Etienne 1+	88.9%	Saint-Etienne 2+	64.5%
AS Nancy Lorraine 1+	57.1%	AS Nancy Lorraine 2+	20.8%

Expected goals 2.20 – 0.85. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Saint-Etienne (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 43%

68.8% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

AS Nancy Lorraine not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 827 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Saint-Etienne carry the stronger rating, 1585 Elo against 1404.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Saint-Etienne have an estimated 69.7% win probability, against 19.3% for the draw and 11.0% for AS Nancy Lorraine. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.20 for Saint-Etienne and 0.85 for AS Nancy Lorraine.

Why Saint-Etienne

Saint-Etienne carry the stronger rating, 1585 Elo against 1404. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.3%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why AS Nancy Lorraine can win

Nothing in the data singles out AS Nancy Lorraine.

Key players

Saint-Etienne's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Zuriko Davitashvili (0.41), Irvin Cardona (0.38), Lucas Stassin (0.38).

Availability

1 of Saint-Etienne's top three contributors did not start their last match. No lineup on record for AS Nancy Lorraine, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Saint-Etienne: 53% possession, 18.0 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.19 xG a match from set pieces. AS Nancy Lorraine: 54% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Saint-Etienne are the model's most likely outcome at 69.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.5%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Saint-Etienne have scored 15 from 13.7 expected and conceded 21 from 22.2 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

DWLLDWLLWL last 10 scored 15 from 13.7 xG conceded 21 from 22.2 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	681913	2.20–0.85	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	672013	2.10–0.82	2-0 12%	56%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne to win	67.0%	64.8%	42.7%	1.52×	1.54
Draw	19.6%	19.4%	27.7%	0.70×	5.15
AS Nancy Lorraine to win	13.4%	13.5%	29.8%	0.45×	7.42

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne & not both score	38.7%	33.3%	24.0%	1.39×	3.00
Saint-Etienne & both teams score	28.2%	25.2%	18.8%	1.34×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	14.2%	13.3%	18.7%	0.71×	7.54
AS Nancy Lorraine & not both score	6.8%	8.3%	17.6%	0.47×	12.01
AS Nancy Lorraine & both teams score	6.6%	8.3%	12.3%	0.68×	12.01
Draw & not both score	5.5%	8.3%	9.1%	0.91×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne & over 1.5	55.7%	54.8%	29.9%	1.83×	1.83
Saint-Etienne & over 2.5	43.7%	40.3%	24.2%	1.67×	2.48
Saint-Etienne & under 3.5	41.4%	40.2%	29.6%	1.36×	2.49
Saint-Etienne & over 3.5	25.6%	26.1%	13.2%	1.97×	3.84
Saint-Etienne & under 2.5	23.3%	21.6%	18.7%	1.16×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	14.8%	12.8%	20.7%	0.62×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.8%	12.8%	20.7%	0.62×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	14.2%	12.8%	18.7%	0.69×	7.79
Saint-Etienne & under 1.5	11.3%	12.8%	12.9%	0.99×	7.79
AS Nancy Lorraine & under 3.5	10.4%	12.8%	23.1%	0.56×	7.79
AS Nancy Lorraine & over 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	20.1%	0.39×	12.63
AS Nancy Lorraine & over 2.5	7.2%	7.9%	16.3%	0.49×	12.63
AS Nancy Lorraine & under 2.5	6.2%	7.9%	13.7%	0.58×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.8%	4.8%	7.1%	0.67×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.8%	4.8%	7.1%	0.67×	20.81
AS Nancy Lorraine & under 1.5	4.4%	4.8%	9.9%	0.49×	20.81
AS Nancy Lorraine & over 3.5	2.9%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (1UP)	77.3%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
AS Nancy Lorraine (1UP)	30.0%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (2UP)	67.0%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
AS Nancy Lorraine (2UP)	13.4%	14.1%	—	—	7.11

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne to win 2nd half	53.8%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
2nd half drawn	31.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
AS Nancy Lorraine to win 2nd half	15.1%	17.7%	—	—	5.64

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.3%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
AS Nancy Lorraine under 0.5 in 2nd half	61.3%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
AS Nancy Lorraine over 0.5 in 2nd half	38.7%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
AS Nancy Lorraine over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.7%	7.9%	—	—	12.64

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.8%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Saint-Etienne under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Saint-Etienne over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Saint-Etienne under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.2%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (+0.5)	86.6%	88.5%	70.2%	1.26×	1.13
AS Nancy Lorraine (+2.5)	77.7%	78.5%	92.2%	0.85×	1.27
Saint-Etienne (-0.5)	67.0%	68.7%	42.7%	1.61×	1.46
AS Nancy Lorraine (+1.5)	57.3%	57.0%	81.0%	0.70×	1.75
Saint-Etienne (-1.5)	42.7%	43.0%	19.0%	2.26×	2.33
AS Nancy Lorraine (+0.5)	33.0%	31.3%	57.3%	0.55×	3.19
Saint-Etienne (-2.5)	22.3%	21.5%	7.8%	2.78×	4.65
AS Nancy Lorraine (-0.5)	13.4%	11.5%	29.8%	0.39×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to concede	87.8%	86.3%	73.4%	1.18×	1.16
AS Nancy Lorraine clean sheet	12.2%	13.7%	26.6%	0.52×	7.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to concede in 1st half	59.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
AS Nancy Lorraine clean sheet in 1st half	40.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to concede in 2nd half	69.8%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
AS Nancy Lorraine clean sheet in 2nd half	30.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine under 6.5 corners	89.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
AS Nancy Lorraine under 5.5 corners	80.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
AS Nancy Lorraine under 4.5 corners	68.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
AS Nancy Lorraine over 2.5 corners	66.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
AS Nancy Lorraine under 3.5 corners	52.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
AS Nancy Lorraine over 3.5 corners	47.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
AS Nancy Lorraine under 2.5 corners	33.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
AS Nancy Lorraine over 4.5 corners	31.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
AS Nancy Lorraine over 5.5 corners	19.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
AS Nancy Lorraine over 6.5 corners	10.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine under 3.5 goals	99.0%	97.5%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
AS Nancy Lorraine under 2.5 goals	95.0%	97.5%	87.7%	1.11×	1.03
AS Nancy Lorraine under 1.5 goals	80.3%	81.5%	68.4%	1.19×	1.23
AS Nancy Lorraine over 0.5 goals	55.8%	59.4%	67.0%	0.89×	1.68
AS Nancy Lorraine under 0.5 goals	44.2%	40.6%	33.0%	1.23×	2.46
AS Nancy Lorraine over 1.5 goals	19.7%	18.5%	31.6%	0.59×	5.39
AS Nancy Lorraine over 2.5 goals	5.0%	2.5%	12.3%	0.20×	39.81
AS Nancy Lorraine over 3.5 goals	1.0%	2.5%	2.7%	0.91×	40.02

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine under 1.5 in 1st half	95.7%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
AS Nancy Lorraine under 0.5 in 1st half	72.2%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
AS Nancy Lorraine over 0.5 in 1st half	27.8%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
AS Nancy Lorraine over 1.5 in 1st half	4.3%	4.0%	—	—	25.17

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine scores equally in both	51.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
AS Nancy Lorraine scores more in 2nd half	30.0%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
AS Nancy Lorraine scores more in 1st half	18.4%	18.1%	—	—	5.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (away no bet)	77.3%	73.6%	60.7%	1.21×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	22.7%	26.4%	39.3%	0.67×	3.79

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine even goals	59.8%	56.9%	54.4%	1.05×	1.76
AS Nancy Lorraine odd goals	40.2%	43.1%	45.6%	0.94×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.5%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.5%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.6%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.4%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.2%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Saint-Etienne to score 2+ in a row	55.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Either team to score 3+ in a row	29.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Saint-Etienne to score 3+ in a row	27.1%	25.0%	—	—	3.99
AS Nancy Lorraine to score 2+ in a row	12.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
AS Nancy Lorraine to score 3+ in a row	2.2%	2.5%	—	—	39.45

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne corners (+3.5)	91.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Saint-Etienne corners (+2.5)	86.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Saint-Etienne corners (+1.5)	78.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (+3.5)	75.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (+2.5)	65.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (+1.5)	54.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Saint-Etienne corners (-1.5)	45.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Saint-Etienne corners (-2.5)	34.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Saint-Etienne corners (-3.5)	24.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (-1.5)	21.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (-2.5)	13.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (-3.5)	8.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	53.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	18.9%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.0%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	81.1%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	73.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	58.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	53.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	46.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 7.5 corners	41.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	36.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	26.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	18.9%	19.4%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	13.0%	16.9%	—	—	5.90

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	11.9%	11.5%	5.9%	1.94×	8.72
1-0	11.3%	11.5%	12.9%	0.89×	8.72
1-1	9.3%	7.4%	11.7%	0.63×	13.51
2-1	9.7%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.51
3-0	8.4%	7.4%	3.0%	2.44×	13.51
3-1	6.8%	7.4%	4.4%	1.68×	13.51
0-0	5.5%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
Any other score	6.3%	7.4%	3.0%	2.44×	13.51
0-1	4.4%	1.7%	9.9%	0.17×	58.29
0-2	1.8%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.31
0-3	0.5%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.32
1-2	3.8%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
1-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.32
2-2	4.0%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.30
2-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.13×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.32
4-0	4.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	58.29
4-1	3.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.61×	58.30
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	11.28×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (2nd half DNB)	78.0%	80.5%	—	—	1.24
AS Nancy Lorraine (2nd half DNB)	22.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.13

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne leading at HT (DNB)	79.0%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
AS Nancy Lorraine leading at HT (DNB)	21.0%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne or draw (1X)	86.6%	86.5%	70.2%	1.23×	1.16
Saint-Etienne or AS Nancy Lorraine (12)	80.4%	80.6%	72.3%	1.11×	1.24
AS Nancy Lorraine or draw (X2)	33.0%	35.2%	57.3%	0.61×	2.84

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne or draw at HT	87.1%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
Saint-Etienne or AS Nancy Lorraine at HT	61.5%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
AS Nancy Lorraine or draw at HT	51.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne or draw (1UP)	86.6%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
AS Nancy Lorraine or draw (1UP)	33.0%	38.9%	—	—	2.57

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne or draw in 2nd half	84.9%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Saint-Etienne or AS Nancy Lorraine in 2nd half	68.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
AS Nancy Lorraine or draw in 2nd half	46.2%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.6%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	42.4%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (DNB)	83.3%	80.4%	58.9%	1.36×	1.24
AS Nancy Lorraine (DNB)	16.7%	19.6%	41.1%	0.48×	5.10

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne to score first	68.1%	69.7%	—	—	1.43
AS Nancy Lorraine to score first	26.5%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
No goal scored	5.5%	7.4%	—	—	13.56

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.0%	51.3%	50.5%	1.02×	1.95
Both teams to score	49.0%	48.7%	49.5%	0.98×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.7%	38.5%	38.0%	1.01×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	34.9%	34.6%	41.2%	0.84×	2.89
Not both score & over 2.5	16.1%	21.5%	9.4%	2.28×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	9.3%	8.3%	11.7%	0.71×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.8%	85.6%	85.6%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.2%	14.4%	14.4%	1.00×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.0%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.9%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	22.6%	21.0%	—	—	4.77
Both score 1st half only	12.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
Both score in both halves	4.5%	5.0%	—	—	20.19

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.4%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.7%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	42.3%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.5%	47.2%	41.6%	1.13×	2.12
4-6 goals	30.5%	30.7%	25.1%	1.22×	3.26
0-1 goals	21.2%	22.9%	31.6%	0.72×	4.37
7+ goals	2.9%	1.8%	2.0%	0.93×	54.24

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to score exactly 0	44.2%	37.4%	33.0%	1.13×	2.68
AS Nancy Lorraine to score exactly 1	36.1%	35.9%	35.6%	1.01×	2.78
AS Nancy Lorraine to score exactly 2	14.7%	12.9%	19.5%	0.66×	7.75
AS Nancy Lorraine to score 3+	5.0%	4.6%	12.3%	0.37×	21.73

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne to score 3+	35.0%	35.5%	17.8%	2.00×	2.81
Saint-Etienne to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	22.0%	1.20×	3.77
Saint-Etienne to score exactly 1	25.7%	26.5%	33.9%	0.78×	3.77
Saint-Etienne to score exactly 0	12.2%	14.3%	26.6%	0.54×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne leading at HT	48.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	38.5%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
AS Nancy Lorraine leading at HT	12.9%	11.8%	—	—	8.50

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne -1: 1	42.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Saint-Etienne -1: 2	33.0%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Saint-Etienne -1: X	24.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (0:1)	42.7%	42.7%	19.0%	2.25×	2.34
AS Nancy Lorraine (0:1)	33.0%	30.1%	57.3%	0.53×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	24.3%	24.2%	23.9%	1.02×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (0:2)	57.3%	63.1%	81.0%	0.78×	1.59
Saint-Etienne (0:2)	22.3%	20.3%	7.8%	2.62×	4.92
Draw (0:2)	20.4%	20.3%	11.4%	1.78×	4.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (0:3)	77.7%	80.6%	92.2%	0.87×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.6%	9.9%	4.3%	2.33×	10.08
Saint-Etienne (0:3)	9.7%	5.8%	3.6%	1.60×	17.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (0:4)	90.3%	94.5%	96.4%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	6.1%	4.6%	3.0%	1.52×	21.58
Saint-Etienne (0:4)	3.6%	1.2%	0.8%	1.61×	81.78

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (1:0)	86.6%	86.1%	70.2%	1.23×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	9.4%	6.9%	17.6%	0.39×	14.45
AS Nancy Lorraine (1:0)	4.0%	3.3%	12.3%	0.27×	30.50

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (2:0)	96.0%	96.8%	87.7%	1.10×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.1%	2.3%	7.0%	0.33×	43.70
AS Nancy Lorraine (2:0)	0.9%	2.3%	5.5%	0.42×	43.83

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.0%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne to concede	55.8%	60.6%	67.0%	0.90×	1.65
Saint-Etienne clean sheet	44.2%	39.4%	33.0%	1.19×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne clean sheet in 1st half	72.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Saint-Etienne to concede in 1st half	27.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne clean sheet in 2nd half	61.3%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Saint-Etienne to concede in 2nd half	38.7%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne over 2.5 corners	80.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Saint-Etienne under 6.5 corners	75.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Saint-Etienne over 3.5 corners	66.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Saint-Etienne under 5.5 corners	63.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Saint-Etienne over 4.5 corners	50.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Saint-Etienne under 4.5 corners	49.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Saint-Etienne over 5.5 corners	36.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Saint-Etienne under 3.5 corners	33.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Saint-Etienne over 6.5 corners	24.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Saint-Etienne under 2.5 corners	19.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne over 0.5 goals	87.8%	87.3%	73.4%	1.19×	1.15
Saint-Etienne under 3.5 goals	83.9%	82.2%	93.5%	0.88×	1.22
Saint-Etienne under 2.5 goals	65.0%	63.6%	82.2%	0.77×	1.57
Saint-Etienne over 1.5 goals	62.0%	63.6%	39.7%	1.60×	1.57
Saint-Etienne under 1.5 goals	38.0%	36.4%	60.3%	0.60×	2.75
Saint-Etienne over 2.5 goals	35.0%	36.4%	17.8%	2.05×	2.75
Saint-Etienne over 3.5 goals	16.1%	17.8%	6.5%	2.72×	5.63
Saint-Etienne under 0.5 goals	12.2%	12.7%	26.6%	0.48×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne under 1.5 in 1st half	77.1%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Saint-Etienne over 0.5 in 1st half	59.5%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
Saint-Etienne under 0.5 in 1st half	40.5%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Saint-Etienne over 1.5 in 1st half	22.9%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne scores more in 2nd half	42.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Saint-Etienne scores equally in both	29.5%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Saint-Etienne scores more in 1st half	27.7%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	59.5%	56.5%	48.1%	1.17×	1.77
AS Nancy Lorraine (home no bet)	40.5%	43.5%	51.9%	0.84×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne even goals	50.8%	50.7%	53.2%	0.95×	1.97
Saint-Etienne odd goals	49.2%	49.3%	46.8%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 1-0	26.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 2-0	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-1	9.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
HT 1-1	8.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
Any other HT score	6.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 2-1	3.9%	2.4%	—	—	41.95
HT 0-2	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
HT 1-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.17

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne at HT / Saint-Etienne at FT	43.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Draw at HT / Saint-Etienne at FT	20.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
AS Nancy Lorraine at HT / AS Nancy Lorraine at FT	6.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.46
Draw at HT / AS Nancy Lorraine at FT	5.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Saint-Etienne at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
AS Nancy Lorraine at HT / Draw at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
AS Nancy Lorraine at HT / Saint-Etienne at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Saint-Etienne at HT / AS Nancy Lorraine at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne to score last	68.1%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
AS Nancy Lorraine to score last	26.4%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
No goal scored	5.5%	7.4%	—	—	13.56

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.5%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Saint-Etienne to lead by 1 at any time	77.3%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Saint-Etienne to lead by 2 at any time	48.7%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
AS Nancy Lorraine to lead by 1 at any time	30.0%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	26.6%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Saint-Etienne to lead by 3 at any time	25.1%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
AS Nancy Lorraine to lead by 2 at any time	7.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.96
AS Nancy Lorraine to lead by 3 at any time	1.5%	1.6%	—	—	63.51

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne most corners	57.5%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
AS Nancy Lorraine most corners	31.0%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.0%	87.4%	84.8%	1.03×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.5%	78.7%	78.7%	1.00×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.9%	78.7%	66.6%	1.18×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.3%	72.3%	62.3%	1.16×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.8%	63.3%	56.2%	1.13×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.1%	63.3%	64.1%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.8%	53.2%	45.4%	1.17×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.2%	48.5%	41.2%	1.18×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.5%	48.5%	41.6%	1.16×	2.06
1-2 goals	38.8%	39.2%	43.8%	0.90×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.7%	39.2%	35.1%	1.12×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.5%	35.2%	25.1%	1.40×	2.84
4-5 goals	25.8%	30.2%	20.8%	1.45×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.1%	14.8%	10.5%	1.41×	6.75
7+ goals	2.9%	2.6%	2.0%	1.29×	39.12

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne never behind	64.5%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
AS Nancy Lorraine never behind	17.3%	18.2%	—	—	5.48

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.7%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.3%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.3%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.5%	92.3%	93.8%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	82.9%	82.3%	87.7%	0.94×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.9%	77.3%	68.4%	1.13×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	66.6%	66.3%	73.1%	0.91×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.8%	58.6%	47.3%	1.24×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	44.2%	41.4%	52.7%	0.79×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	33.4%	33.7%	26.9%	1.25×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.2%	22.7%	31.6%	0.72×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	17.1%	17.7%	12.3%	1.44×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	7.5%	7.7%	6.2%	1.24×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.9%	97.2%	97.9%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.7%	92.4%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	79.6%	75.9%	85.6%	0.89×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.5%	72.4%	59.9%	1.21×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.0%	55.8%	66.2%	0.84×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.0%	44.2%	33.8%	1.31×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.5%	27.6%	40.1%	0.69×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	20.4%	24.1%	14.4%	1.67×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.3%	7.6%	6.6%	1.15×	13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.1%	2.8%	2.1%	1.36×	35.58

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.3%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.7%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.2%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.8%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.3%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.10

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.5%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.91
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.5%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine not to score in both halves	89.2%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Saint-Etienne not to score in both halves	58.5%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Saint-Etienne to score in both halves	41.5%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
AS Nancy Lorraine to score in both halves	10.8%	14.3%	—	—	6.97

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.0%	50.7%	49.5%	1.02×	1.97
Only Saint-Etienne scores	38.7%	39.9%	24.0%	1.66×	2.51
Only AS Nancy Lorraine scores	6.8%	7.1%	17.6%	0.40×	14.04
Neither team scores	5.5%	7.1%	9.1%	0.78×	14.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.1%	22.6%	21.3%	1.06×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	20.5%	1.10×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.3%	17.5%	14.7%	1.18×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.7%	17.5%	22.6%	0.77×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.5%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.14
6 or more goals	7.5%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.5%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	29.3%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	22.1%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	12.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.18

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.3%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	31.2%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	18.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine not to win both halves	98.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Saint-Etienne not to win both halves	73.9%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
Saint-Etienne to win both halves	26.1%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
AS Nancy Lorraine to win both halves	2.0%	2.8%	—	—	36.20

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne to win either half	76.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
AS Nancy Lorraine to win neither half	73.9%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
AS Nancy Lorraine to win either half	26.1%	27.0%	—	—	3.71
Saint-Etienne to win neither half	23.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine not to win to nil	93.2%	92.1%	82.4%	1.12×	1.09
Saint-Etienne not to win to nil	61.3%	66.5%	76.0%	0.88×	1.50
Saint-Etienne to win to nil	38.7%	33.5%	24.0%	1.39×	2.99
AS Nancy Lorraine to win to nil	6.8%	7.9%	17.6%	0.45×	12.64

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne by 1	24.3%	24.1%	23.9%	1.01×	4.15
Saint-Etienne by 3+	22.3%	24.1%	7.8%	3.11×	4.15
Saint-Etienne by 2	20.4%	24.1%	11.4%	2.11×	4.15
Draw	19.6%	17.1%	27.7%	0.62×	5.86
AS Nancy Lorraine by 1	9.4%	7.2%	17.6%	0.41×	13.90
AS Nancy Lorraine by 2	3.1%	2.7%	7.0%	0.39×	36.83
AS Nancy Lorraine by 3+	0.9%	2.7%	5.5%	0.50×	36.90