Saint-Etienne v Nantes — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · FRA-Ligue 2 · 2627

FRA-Ligue 2 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Saint-Etienne

18:00 UTC

Nantes

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 21 Oct, 11:05 · 79h before kick-off

Saint-Etienne win

81.5%

model 76.8%

Draw

10.9%

model 13.6%

Nantes win

7.7%

model 9.6%

81118

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (68 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 8.7%
2-1 8.5%
3-0 8.4%
3-1 8.2%
4-0 6.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	74.6%	Under 2.5	25.4%
BTTS yes	59.1%	BTTS no	40.9%
Saint-Etienne 1+	94.6%	Saint-Etienne 2+	78.8%
Nantes 1+	62.4%	Nantes 2+	25.6%

Expected goals 2.92 – 0.98. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

88/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Saint-Etienne (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 19%

57.0% fair odds 1.75

strong signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Nantes not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Saint-Etienne carry the stronger rating, 1585 Elo against 1368.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Saint-Etienne have an estimated 81.5% win probability, against 10.9% for the draw and 7.7% for Nantes. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.92 for Saint-Etienne and 0.98 for Nantes.

Why Saint-Etienne

Saint-Etienne carry the stronger rating, 1585 Elo against 1368. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 10.9%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Nantes can win

Nothing in the data singles out Nantes.

Key players

Saint-Etienne's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Zuriko Davitashvili (0.41), Irvin Cardona (0.38), Lucas Stassin (0.38). Nantes's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Matthis Abline (0.37), Ignatius Ganago (0.27), Mohamed Kaba (0.22).

Availability

1 of Saint-Etienne's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Saint-Etienne: 53% possession, 18.0 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.19 xG a match from set pieces. Nantes: 58% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.46 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Saint-Etienne are the model's most likely outcome at 81.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 8.7%. Confidence 88/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Saint-Etienne have scored 15 from 13.7 expected and conceded 21 from 22.2 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

DWLLDWLLWL last 10 scored 15 from 13.7 xG conceded 21 from 22.2 xG

Nantes are finishing sharply below their chances — 5.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 2.9 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LLDDDLLWLD last 10 scored 7 from 12.7 xG conceded 11 from 13.9 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	771410	2.92–0.98	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	83106	3.43–0.94	3-0 9%	81%	59%
deep	79128	3.18–1.02	3-1 8%	79%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne to win	79.4%	78.4%	42.7%	1.84×	1.28
Draw	12.1%	13.5%	27.7%	0.49×	7.42
Nantes to win	8.5%	8.2%	29.8%	0.27×	12.23

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne & both teams score	44.7%	40.1%	18.8%	2.13×	2.49
Saint-Etienne & not both score	34.7%	29.6%	24.0%	1.23×	3.37
Draw & both teams score	10.6%	13.3%	18.7%	0.71×	7.54
Nantes & both teams score	5.9%	8.3%	12.3%	0.68×	12.02
Nantes & not both score	2.6%	4.9%	17.6%	0.28×	20.62
Draw & not both score	1.5%	4.8%	9.1%	0.53×	20.65

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne & over 1.5	74.6%	67.9%	29.9%	2.27×	1.47
Saint-Etienne & over 2.5	66.9%	67.6%	24.2%	2.80×	1.48
Saint-Etienne & over 3.5	51.1%	48.8%	13.2%	3.69×	2.05
Saint-Etienne & under 3.5	28.3%	26.1%	29.6%	0.88×	3.84
Saint-Etienne & under 2.5	12.4%	12.8%	18.7%	0.69×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	10.6%	12.8%	18.7%	0.69×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	20.7%	0.38×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	20.7%	0.38×	12.63
Nantes & over 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	20.1%	0.39×	12.63
Nantes & over 2.5	6.2%	7.9%	16.3%	0.49×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	7.1%	1.11×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	7.1%	1.11×	12.63
Nantes & under 3.5	5.0%	7.9%	23.1%	0.34×	12.63
Saint-Etienne & under 1.5	4.8%	4.8%	12.9%	0.37×	20.81
Nantes & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.82
Nantes & under 2.5	2.3%	4.8%	13.7%	0.35×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	1.5%	4.8%	9.1%	0.53×	20.83
Nantes & under 1.5	1.5%	4.8%	9.9%	0.49×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (1UP)	88.0%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Nantes (1UP)	28.2%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (2UP)	79.4%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Nantes (2UP)	8.5%	8.6%	—	—	11.70

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne to win 2nd half	66.3%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
2nd half drawn	21.8%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
Nantes to win 2nd half	11.9%	11.2%	—	—	8.91

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.5%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
Nantes under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.4%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Nantes over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.6%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Nantes over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.5%	13.2%	—	—	7.58

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.6%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Saint-Etienne over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.9%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Saint-Etienne under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.1%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Saint-Etienne under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.4%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (+0.5)	91.5%	92.1%	70.2%	1.31×	1.09
Saint-Etienne (-0.5)	79.4%	78.5%	42.7%	1.84×	1.27
Saint-Etienne (-1.5)	61.3%	62.9%	19.0%	3.31×	1.59
Nantes (+2.5)	58.7%	57.0%	92.2%	0.62×	1.75
Saint-Etienne (-2.5)	41.3%	43.0%	7.8%	5.54×	2.33
Nantes (+1.5)	38.7%	37.1%	81.0%	0.46×	2.70
Nantes (+0.5)	20.6%	21.5%	57.3%	0.38×	4.65
Nantes (-0.5)	8.5%	7.9%	29.8%	0.26×	12.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes to concede	95.8%	96.3%	73.4%	1.31×	1.04
Nantes clean sheet	4.2%	3.7%	26.6%	0.14×	26.98

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes to concede in 1st half	74.5%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Nantes clean sheet in 1st half	25.5%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes to concede in 2nd half	83.6%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Nantes clean sheet in 2nd half	16.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes under 6.5 corners	87.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Nantes under 5.5 corners	79.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Nantes over 2.5 corners	68.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Nantes under 4.5 corners	66.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Nantes under 3.5 corners	50.1%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Nantes over 3.5 corners	49.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Nantes over 4.5 corners	33.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Nantes under 2.5 corners	31.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Nantes over 5.5 corners	20.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Nantes over 6.5 corners	12.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes under 3.5 goals	98.0%	97.5%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Nantes under 2.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	87.7%	1.05×	1.08
Nantes under 1.5 goals	73.0%	71.9%	68.4%	1.05×	1.39
Nantes over 0.5 goals	63.8%	63.2%	67.0%	0.94×	1.58
Nantes under 0.5 goals	36.2%	36.8%	33.0%	1.12×	2.72
Nantes over 1.5 goals	27.0%	28.1%	31.6%	0.89×	3.56
Nantes over 2.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	12.3%	0.62×	13.05
Nantes over 3.5 goals	2.0%	2.5%	2.7%	0.92×	39.93

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes under 1.5 in 1st half	93.7%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Nantes under 0.5 in 1st half	66.6%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Nantes over 0.5 in 1st half	33.4%	30.7%	—	—	3.26
Nantes over 1.5 in 1st half	6.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.50

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes scores equally in both	45.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Nantes scores more in 2nd half	33.9%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Nantes scores more in 1st half	20.3%	21.9%	—	—	4.56

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (away no bet)	86.7%	84.5%	60.7%	1.39×	1.18
Draw (away no bet)	13.3%	15.5%	39.3%	0.39×	6.44

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes even goals	56.6%	56.9%	54.4%	1.05×	1.76
Nantes odd goals	43.4%	43.1%	45.6%	0.94×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	63.2%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Both halves over 1.5 goals	36.8%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	85.7%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both halves under 1.5 goals	14.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	81.8%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Saint-Etienne to score 2+ in a row	76.0%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Either team to score 3+ in a row	50.8%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Saint-Etienne to score 3+ in a row	48.7%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Nantes to score 2+ in a row	15.2%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Nantes to score 3+ in a row	2.7%	2.6%	—	—	39.05

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne corners (+3.5)	92.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Saint-Etienne corners (+2.5)	87.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Saint-Etienne corners (+1.5)	80.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Nantes corners (+3.5)	71.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Nantes corners (+2.5)	61.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Nantes corners (+1.5)	50.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Saint-Etienne corners (-1.5)	49.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Saint-Etienne corners (-2.5)	38.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Saint-Etienne corners (-3.5)	28.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Nantes corners (-1.5)	19.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Nantes corners (-2.5)	12.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Nantes corners (-3.5)	7.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	24.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	64.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	57.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	53.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	35.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	32.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	24.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	17.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	21.6%	20.1%	3.0%	6.62×	4.97
2-0	7.6%	7.4%	5.9%	1.25×	13.50
2-1	7.8%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.50
3-0	8.1%	7.4%	3.0%	2.44×	13.50
3-1	8.2%	7.4%	4.4%	1.68×	13.50
4-1	6.5%	7.4%	1.1%	6.96×	13.51
4-0	6.4%	7.4%	2.0%	3.75×	13.51
1-0	4.8%	1.7%	12.9%	0.13×	58.29
1-1	4.9%	1.7%	11.7%	0.15×	58.29
0-0	1.5%	1.7%	9.1%	0.19×	58.31
0-1	1.5%	1.7%	9.9%	0.17×	58.31
0-2	0.8%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.31
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.32
1-2	2.5%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.31
1-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.32
2-2	3.9%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.30
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
3-2	4.2%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.13×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.32
4-2	3.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.30
4-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	11.28×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (2nd half DNB)	84.8%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Nantes (2nd half DNB)	15.2%	16.5%	—	—	6.07

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne leading at HT (DNB)	84.9%	86.4%	—	—	1.16
Nantes leading at HT (DNB)	15.1%	13.6%	—	—	7.37

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne or draw (1X)	91.5%	91.8%	70.2%	1.31×	1.09
Saint-Etienne or Nantes (12)	87.9%	86.5%	72.3%	1.20×	1.16
Nantes or draw (X2)	20.6%	21.6%	57.3%	0.38×	4.64

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne or draw at HT	89.1%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
Saint-Etienne or Nantes at HT	72.2%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Nantes or draw at HT	38.8%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne or draw (1UP)	91.5%	93.5%	—	—	1.07
Nantes or draw (1UP)	28.2%	31.7%	—	—	3.15

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne or draw in 2nd half	88.1%	88.8%	—	—	1.13
Saint-Etienne or Nantes in 2nd half	78.2%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Nantes or draw in 2nd half	33.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	56.4%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
A half drawn	43.6%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (DNB)	90.3%	93.1%	58.9%	1.58×	1.07
Nantes (DNB)	9.7%	6.9%	41.1%	0.17×	14.44

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne to score first	74.6%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Nantes to score first	23.8%	23.0%	—	—	4.34
No goal scored	1.5%	4.2%	—	—	23.69

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.1%	56.6%	49.5%	1.14×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.9%	43.4%	50.5%	0.86×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	56.2%	47.6%	38.0%	1.25×	2.10
Not both score & over 2.5	22.6%	27.8%	9.4%	2.95×	3.60
Not both score & under 2.5	16.3%	21.5%	41.2%	0.52×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	4.9%	4.8%	11.7%	0.41×	20.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	77.7%	79.7%	85.6%	0.93×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	22.3%	20.3%	14.4%	1.41×	4.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.8%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.5%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	28.7%	27.4%	—	—	3.64
Both score 1st half only	15.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Both score in both halves	9.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.59

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.1%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.9%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	75.6%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
A half without a goal	24.4%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	47.3%	47.2%	25.1%	1.88×	2.12
2-3 goals	32.0%	30.7%	41.6%	0.74×	3.25
7+ goals	12.9%	16.9%	2.0%	8.56×	5.91
0-1 goals	7.8%	7.6%	31.6%	0.24×	13.11

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	35.6%	1.01×	2.78
Nantes to score exactly 0	36.2%	35.9%	33.0%	1.09×	2.78
Nantes to score exactly 2	18.7%	19.6%	19.5%	1.01×	5.11
Nantes to score 3+	8.3%	8.6%	12.3%	0.70×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne to score 3+	61.4%	61.3%	17.8%	3.45×	1.63
Saint-Etienne to score exactly 2	21.1%	23.3%	22.0%	1.06×	4.29
Saint-Etienne to score exactly 1	13.3%	14.3%	33.9%	0.42×	6.98
Saint-Etienne to score exactly 0	4.2%	6.2%	26.6%	0.23×	16.12

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne leading at HT	61.2%	72.1%	—	—	1.39
Draw at HT	27.8%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Nantes leading at HT	10.9%	11.8%	—	—	8.51

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne -1: 1	61.3%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Saint-Etienne -1: 2	20.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Saint-Etienne -1: X	18.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (0:1)	61.3%	61.3%	19.0%	3.23×	1.63
Nantes (0:1)	20.6%	24.2%	57.3%	0.42×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	18.0%	17.8%	23.9%	0.75×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (0:2)	41.3%	38.7%	7.8%	4.99×	2.59
Nantes (0:2)	38.7%	38.6%	81.0%	0.48×	2.59
Draw (0:2)	20.0%	20.3%	11.4%	1.78×	4.94

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes (0:3)	58.7%	70.1%	92.2%	0.76×	1.43
Saint-Etienne (0:3)	24.1%	20.0%	3.6%	5.49×	4.99
Draw (0:3)	17.2%	16.1%	4.3%	3.79×	6.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes (0:4)	75.9%	80.5%	96.4%	0.84×	1.24
Saint-Etienne (0:4)	12.2%	9.9%	0.8%	13.07×	10.07
Draw (0:4)	11.9%	9.9%	3.0%	3.26×	10.10

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (1:0)	91.5%	92.6%	70.2%	1.32×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	5.7%	6.9%	17.6%	0.39×	14.52
Nantes (1:0)	2.8%	3.3%	12.3%	0.26×	30.67

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne (2:0)	97.2%	96.8%	87.7%	1.10×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.0%	2.3%	7.0%	0.33×	43.70
Nantes (2:0)	0.7%	2.3%	5.5%	0.42×	43.79

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.3%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	19.4%	19.8%	—	—	5.04

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne to concede	63.8%	63.7%	67.0%	0.95×	1.57
Saint-Etienne clean sheet	36.2%	36.3%	33.0%	1.10×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne clean sheet in 1st half	66.6%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Saint-Etienne to concede in 1st half	33.4%	30.4%	—	—	3.30

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne clean sheet in 2nd half	54.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Saint-Etienne to concede in 2nd half	45.6%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne over 2.5 corners	84.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Saint-Etienne over 3.5 corners	71.8%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Saint-Etienne under 6.5 corners	69.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Saint-Etienne over 4.5 corners	57.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Saint-Etienne under 5.5 corners	57.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Saint-Etienne over 5.5 corners	43.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Saint-Etienne under 4.5 corners	42.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Saint-Etienne over 6.5 corners	30.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Saint-Etienne under 3.5 corners	28.2%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Saint-Etienne under 2.5 corners	15.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne over 0.5 goals	95.8%	96.4%	73.4%	1.31×	1.04
Saint-Etienne over 1.5 goals	82.5%	82.2%	39.7%	2.07×	1.22
Saint-Etienne over 2.5 goals	61.4%	63.6%	17.8%	3.58×	1.57
Saint-Etienne under 3.5 goals	60.9%	63.6%	93.5%	0.68×	1.57
Saint-Etienne over 3.5 goals	39.1%	36.4%	6.5%	5.57×	2.75
Saint-Etienne under 2.5 goals	38.6%	36.4%	82.2%	0.44×	2.75
Saint-Etienne under 1.5 goals	17.5%	17.8%	60.3%	0.29×	5.62
Saint-Etienne under 0.5 goals	4.2%	3.6%	26.6%	0.14×	27.47

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne over 0.5 in 1st half	74.5%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Saint-Etienne under 1.5 in 1st half	60.4%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Saint-Etienne over 1.5 in 1st half	39.6%	35.3%	—	—	2.84
Saint-Etienne under 0.5 in 1st half	25.5%	20.7%	—	—	4.84

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne scores more in 2nd half	47.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Saint-Etienne scores more in 1st half	29.1%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Saint-Etienne scores equally in both	23.0%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	58.8%	56.5%	48.1%	1.17×	1.77
Nantes (home no bet)	41.2%	43.5%	51.9%	0.84×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne even goals	50.1%	50.7%	53.2%	0.95×	1.97
Saint-Etienne odd goals	49.9%	49.3%	46.8%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	23.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.09
HT 0-0	17.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
Any other HT score	16.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 2-0	15.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 0-1	6.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-1	6.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 0-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.19

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne at HT / Saint-Etienne at FT	57.0%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Draw at HT / Saint-Etienne at FT	18.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	6.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Nantes at HT / Nantes at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Nantes at HT / Saint-Etienne at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Saint-Etienne at HT / Draw at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
Draw at HT / Nantes at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Nantes at HT / Draw at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.66
Saint-Etienne at HT / Nantes at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.73

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne to score last	74.6%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Nantes to score last	23.9%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
No goal scored	1.5%	4.2%	—	—	23.69

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.5%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Saint-Etienne to lead by 1 at any time	88.0%	91.3%	—	—	1.10
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	74.6%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Saint-Etienne to lead by 2 at any time	68.3%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	47.4%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Saint-Etienne to lead by 3 at any time	45.9%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Nantes to lead by 1 at any time	28.2%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Nantes to lead by 2 at any time	7.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.93
Nantes to lead by 3 at any time	1.5%	1.6%	—	—	63.21

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne most corners	60.9%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Nantes most corners	28.4%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	79.3%	78.7%	66.6%	1.18×	1.27
1-5 goals	74.1%	72.4%	84.8%	0.85×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.8%	68.8%	62.3%	1.10×	1.45
3-6 goals	65.9%	68.8%	45.4%	1.51×	1.45
1-4 goals	57.8%	59.1%	78.7%	0.75×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.5%	53.2%	41.2%	1.29×	1.88
2-4 goals	51.5%	53.2%	56.2%	0.95×	1.88
4-6 goals	47.3%	48.5%	25.1%	1.93×	2.06
1-3 goals	38.2%	39.2%	64.1%	0.61×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.1%	39.2%	35.1%	1.12×	2.55
4-5 goals	35.9%	39.2%	20.8%	1.88×	2.55
2-3 goals	32.0%	35.2%	41.6%	0.85×	2.84
5-6 goals	27.8%	30.2%	10.5%	2.88×	3.31
1-2 goals	19.6%	18.8%	43.8%	0.43×	5.31
7+ goals	12.9%	14.8%	2.0%	7.50×	6.75

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne never behind	70.3%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Nantes never behind	10.5%	11.7%	—	—	8.56

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.5%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.5%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.4%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.5%	95.4%	90.9%	1.05×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	68.4%	1.35×	1.08
Over 2.5 goals	78.8%	77.3%	47.3%	1.64×	1.29
Under 5.5 goals	75.7%	77.3%	93.8%	0.82×	1.29
Over 3.5 goals	60.2%	61.7%	26.9%	2.29×	1.62
Under 4.5 goals	59.3%	58.6%	87.7%	0.67×	1.71
Over 4.5 goals	40.7%	41.4%	12.3%	3.36×	2.42
Under 3.5 goals	39.8%	38.3%	73.1%	0.52×	2.61
Over 5.5 goals	24.3%	22.7%	6.2%	3.64×	4.40
Under 2.5 goals	21.2%	22.7%	52.7%	0.43×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	31.6%	0.24×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	1.5%	4.6%	9.1%	0.50×	21.89

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	91.0%	92.4%	59.9%	1.54×	1.08
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	85.4%	86.7%	97.9%	0.89×	1.15
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.0%	72.4%	33.8%	2.14×	1.38
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	70.9%	72.4%	93.4%	0.78×	1.38
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	50.6%	51.9%	14.4%	3.60×	1.93
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	49.4%	48.1%	85.6%	0.56×	2.08
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	29.1%	27.6%	6.6%	4.16×	3.62
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	26.0%	27.6%	66.2%	0.42×	3.62
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	14.6%	13.3%	2.1%	6.44×	7.53
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	9.0%	7.6%	40.1%	0.19×	13.14

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	83.0%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 1st half	73.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Over 1.5 in 1st half	52.9%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 1st half	47.1%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	26.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Under 0.5 in 1st half	17.0%	14.2%	—	—	7.05

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	91.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	69.5%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	30.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	8.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.66

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes not to score in both halves	84.8%	84.4%	—	—	1.18
Saint-Etienne to score in both halves	62.3%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Saint-Etienne not to score in both halves	37.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Nantes to score in both halves	15.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.43

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.1%	60.3%	49.5%	1.22×	1.66
Only Saint-Etienne scores	34.7%	33.3%	24.0%	1.39×	3.00
Only Nantes scores	2.6%	4.6%	17.6%	0.26×	21.73
Neither team scores	1.5%	4.6%	9.1%	0.50×	21.78

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	24.3%	22.6%	6.2%	3.62×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	17.5%	14.7%	1.18×	5.73
Exactly 3 goals	18.6%	17.5%	20.5%	0.85×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	16.4%	17.5%	6.2%	2.80×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	13.3%	12.1%	21.3%	0.57×	8.24
Exactly 1 goals	6.3%	7.6%	22.6%	0.34×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	1.5%	4.5%	9.1%	0.49×	22.42

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	30.1%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	26.7%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
3+ goals in 1st half	26.2%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
No goals in 1st half	17.0%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	69.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
1 goal in 2nd half	21.5%	22.7%	—	—	4.40
No goals in 2nd half	8.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.51

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes not to win both halves	98.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Saint-Etienne not to win both halves	59.4%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
Saint-Etienne to win both halves	40.6%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Nantes to win both halves	1.3%	2.8%	—	—	36.24

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne to win either half	86.9%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Nantes to win neither half	78.5%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Nantes to win either half	21.5%	20.1%	—	—	4.99
Saint-Etienne to win neither half	13.1%	7.9%	—	—	12.68

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes not to win to nil	97.4%	96.2%	82.4%	1.17×	1.04
Saint-Etienne not to win to nil	65.3%	69.6%	76.0%	0.92×	1.44
Saint-Etienne to win to nil	34.7%	30.4%	24.0%	1.27×	3.29
Nantes to win to nil	2.6%	3.8%	17.6%	0.22×	26.10

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Saint-Etienne by 3+	41.3%	34.8%	7.8%	4.49×	2.88
Saint-Etienne by 2	20.0%	24.1%	11.4%	2.11×	4.15
Saint-Etienne by 1	18.0%	17.1%	23.9%	0.71×	5.87
Draw	12.1%	11.8%	27.7%	0.42×	8.51
Nantes by 1	5.7%	7.2%	17.6%	0.41×	13.92
Nantes by 2	2.0%	2.7%	7.0%	0.39×	36.84
Nantes by 3+	0.7%	2.7%	5.5%	0.50×	36.88