Samgurali Tskhaltubo v Dila Gori — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 9 September 2026 · GEO-Erovnuli Liga · 2627

GEO-Erovnuli Liga results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Samgurali Tskhaltubo

15:00 UTC

Dila Gori

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 31h before kick-off

Samgurali Tskhaltubo win

30.8%

Draw

25.9%

Dila Gori win

43.3%

312643

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.1%
1-2 9.1%
2-1 7.5%
0-1 7.3%
0-2 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.5%	Under 2.5	42.5%
BTTS yes	60.7%	BTTS no	39.3%
Samgurali Tskhaltubo 1+	74.2%	Samgurali Tskhaltubo 2+	39.3%
Dila Gori 1+	80.6%	Dila Gori 2+	48.8%

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.64. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Dila Gori (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 46%

57.0% fair odds 1.76

strong signal · 3539 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both teams to score 2+

GG/NG 2+ · usually 87%

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 6846 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Dila Gori carry the stronger rating, 1514 Elo against 1486.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
Away from home Dila Gori average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Samgurali Tskhaltubo have only 1 matches on record.
Dila Gori have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Dila Gori have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 30.8% for Samgurali Tskhaltubo and 25.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.35 for Samgurali Tskhaltubo and 1.64 for Dila Gori.

Why Samgurali Tskhaltubo

At home Samgurali Tskhaltubo average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 25.9%.

Why Dila Gori can win

Dila Gori carry the stronger rating, 1514 Elo against 1486. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. Away from home Dila Gori average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Samgurali Tskhaltubo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Dila Gori, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Samgurali Tskhaltubo: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Dila Gori: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Dila Gori are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	312643	1.35–1.61	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	272547	1.29–1.74	1-1 12%	58%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori to win	42.6%	41.6%	34.3%	1.21×	2.40
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win	31.1%	31.5%	40.3%	0.78×	3.17
Draw	26.2%	27.1%	25.7%	1.06×	3.69

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori & both teams score	22.8%	21.7%	17.7%	1.23×	4.61
Draw & both teams score	20.0%	21.7%	18.0%	1.20×	4.61
Dila Gori & not both score	19.9%	18.1%	17.0%	1.07×	5.52
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & both teams score	17.3%	18.1%	19.3%	0.94×	5.52
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & not both score	13.9%	12.7%	21.3%	0.59×	7.88
Draw & not both score	6.2%	7.6%	8.0%	0.96×	13.08

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori & over 1.5	35.2%	36.5%	25.0%	1.46×	2.74
Dila Gori & over 2.5	28.5%	26.4%	20.7%	1.28×	3.79
Dila Gori & under 3.5	26.9%	26.4%	24.3%	1.08×	3.79
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & over 1.5	25.1%	26.4%	31.3%	0.84×	3.79
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & over 2.5	20.3%	21.8%	25.0%	0.87×	4.58
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & under 3.5	20.5%	21.8%	30.3%	0.72×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	20.0%	21.8%	18.0%	1.21×	4.58
Draw & under 2.5	18.4%	17.7%	19.3%	0.92×	5.64
Draw & under 3.5	18.4%	17.7%	19.3%	0.92×	5.64
Dila Gori & over 3.5	15.8%	17.7%	10.3%	1.72×	5.64
Dila Gori & under 2.5	14.2%	12.4%	14.0%	0.89×	8.05
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & under 2.5	10.8%	12.4%	15.7%	0.79×	8.06
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & over 3.5	10.6%	12.4%	10.3%	1.20×	8.06
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & under 1.5	6.1%	7.6%	9.3%	0.81×	13.21
Draw & under 1.5	6.2%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	7.8%	7.6%	6.7%	1.14×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	7.8%	7.6%	6.7%	1.14×	13.21
Dila Gori & under 1.5	7.4%	7.6%	9.7%	0.78×	13.21

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (1UP)	60.1%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (1UP)	50.2%	54.2%	—	—	1.85

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (2UP)	42.6%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (2UP)	31.1%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori to win 2nd half	38.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
2nd half drawn	34.1%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win 2nd half	27.5%	28.3%	—	—	3.53

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (+2.5)	95.0%	96.6%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
Dila Gori (+1.5)	85.8%	87.4%	81.7%	1.07×	1.14
Dila Gori (+0.5)	68.9%	67.9%	59.7%	1.14×	1.47
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (+0.5)	57.4%	58.3%	65.7%	0.89×	1.71
Dila Gori (-0.5)	42.6%	41.7%	34.3%	1.21×	2.40
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (-0.5)	31.1%	32.1%	40.3%	0.80×	3.12
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (-1.5)	14.2%	12.6%	18.3%	0.69×	7.94
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (-2.5)	5.0%	3.4%	9.0%	0.38×	29.57

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori to concede	74.0%	75.6%	75.3%	1.00×	1.32
Dila Gori clean sheet	26.0%	24.4%	24.7%	0.99×	4.10

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori clean sheet in 1st half	56.1%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Dila Gori to concede in 1st half	43.9%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori under 3.5 goals	92.0%	92.2%	94.7%	0.97×	1.09
Dila Gori over 0.5 goals	79.9%	76.4%	71.0%	1.08×	1.31
Dila Gori under 2.5 goals	78.2%	76.4%	86.3%	0.88×	1.31
Dila Gori under 1.5 goals	52.3%	52.9%	66.0%	0.80×	1.89
Dila Gori over 1.5 goals	47.7%	47.1%	34.0%	1.38×	2.13
Dila Gori over 2.5 goals	21.8%	23.6%	13.7%	1.73×	4.23
Dila Gori under 0.5 goals	20.1%	23.6%	29.0%	0.81×	4.24
Dila Gori over 3.5 goals	8.0%	7.8%	5.3%	1.47×	12.75

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori under 1.5 in 1st half	86.4%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
Dila Gori under 0.5 in 1st half	52.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Dila Gori over 0.5 in 1st half	47.4%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Dila Gori over 1.5 in 1st half	13.6%	13.0%	—	—	7.70

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (away no bet)	54.3%	52.4%	61.1%	0.86×	1.91
Draw (away no bet)	45.7%	47.6%	38.9%	1.22×	2.10

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori even goals	52.0%	53.6%	54.3%	0.99×	1.87
Dila Gori odd goals	48.0%	46.4%	45.7%	1.02×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.2%	82.3%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.8%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	68.8%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
Both halves under 1.5 goals	31.2%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.7%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Dila Gori to score 2+ in a row	38.3%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score 2+ in a row	29.2%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Dila Gori to score 3+ in a row	13.8%	12.9%	—	—	7.75
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score 3+ in a row	8.7%	7.7%	—	—	12.91

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.3%	11.2%	11.7%	0.96×	8.91
0-0	6.2%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.45
0-1	7.4%	7.4%	9.7%	0.77×	13.45
0-2	6.7%	7.4%	4.7%	1.59×	13.45
1-0	6.1%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.45
1-2	9.1%	7.4%	9.0%	0.83×	13.45
2-1	7.6%	7.4%	11.3%	0.66×	13.45
2-2	6.1%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.45
0-3	3.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.34
0-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.34
1-3	4.9%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.34
1-4	2.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.34
2-0	4.7%	1.7%	6.7%	0.26×	58.34
2-3	3.3%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.34
2-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.34
3-0	2.1%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.34
3-1	3.4%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.34
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.34
3-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.71×	58.34
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.57×	58.35
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.35
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.34
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.3%	5.14×	58.35
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.71×	58.35
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.14×	58.35
Any other score	3.6%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.34

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori leading at HT (DNB)	53.5%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Samgurali Tskhaltubo leading at HT (DNB)	46.5%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or Dila Gori (12)	73.8%	72.9%	74.3%	0.98×	1.37
Dila Gori or draw (X2)	68.9%	68.5%	59.7%	1.15×	1.46
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or draw (1X)	57.4%	58.4%	65.7%	0.89×	1.71

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori or draw at HT	72.9%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or draw at HT	68.9%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or Dila Gori at HT	58.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori or draw (1UP)	68.9%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or draw (1UP)	57.4%	64.7%	—	—	1.55

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori or draw in 2nd half	72.5%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or Dila Gori in 2nd half	65.9%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or draw in 2nd half	61.6%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.6%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Neither half drawn	39.4%	39.6%	—	—	2.53

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (DNB)	57.8%	57.0%	46.0%	1.24×	1.76
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (DNB)	42.2%	43.0%	54.0%	0.80×	2.32

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori to score first	51.0%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score first	42.8%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
No goal scored	6.2%	6.4%	—	—	15.72

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.1%	58.9%	54.3%	1.08×	1.70
Not both teams to score	39.9%	41.1%	45.7%	0.90×	2.44

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	47.8%	45.1%	43.0%	1.05×	2.22
Not both score & under 2.5	31.2%	34.0%	37.0%	0.92×	2.94
Both score & under 2.5	12.3%	11.9%	11.7%	1.02×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	9.0%	0.94×	11.85

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.4%	83.0%	87.0%	0.95×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	18.6%	17.0%	13.0%	1.31×	5.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.5%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.5%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	52.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	26.6%	25.9%	—	—	3.87
Both score 1st half only	14.1%	11.9%	—	—	8.40
Both score in both halves	6.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.49

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	21.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	58.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	41.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.1%	46.5%	47.3%	0.98×	2.15
4-6 goals	31.1%	31.2%	23.7%	1.32×	3.21
0-1 goals	19.7%	19.1%	26.3%	0.72×	5.24
7+ goals	3.1%	2.0%	3.3%	0.60×	49.71

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori to score exactly 1	32.2%	32.3%	37.3%	0.87×	3.09
Dila Gori to score exactly 2	25.9%	27.4%	20.7%	1.33×	3.65
Dila Gori to score 3+	21.8%	23.2%	13.7%	1.70×	4.30
Dila Gori to score exactly 0	20.1%	23.2%	29.0%	0.80×	4.30

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score exactly 1	35.0%	36.6%	34.3%	1.07×	2.73
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score exactly 0	26.0%	26.4%	24.7%	1.07×	3.78
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score exactly 2	23.6%	22.9%	26.7%	0.86×	4.38
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score 3+	15.4%	18.1%	15.0%	1.21×	5.51

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Dila Gori leading at HT	31.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Samgurali Tskhaltubo leading at HT	27.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.48

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori -1: 1	57.4%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Dila Gori -1: 2	22.2%	23.3%	—	—	4.29
Dila Gori -1: X	20.4%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (0:1)	68.9%	64.6%	59.7%	1.08×	1.55
Draw (0:1)	17.0%	18.2%	22.3%	0.82×	5.49
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (0:1)	14.2%	13.1%	18.3%	0.72×	7.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (0:2)	85.8%	86.7%	81.7%	1.06×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.2%	7.7%	9.7%	0.80×	12.96
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (0:2)	5.0%	3.5%	9.0%	0.39×	28.43

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (0:3)	95.0%	96.7%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.5%	2.6%	5.7%	0.45×	39.15
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (0:3)	1.4%	2.6%	3.7%	0.70×	39.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (0:4)	98.6%	97.7%	96.3%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.4%	2.3%	0.61×	70.73
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (0:4)	0.3%	1.4%	1.7%	0.85×	70.76

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (1:0)	57.4%	58.8%	65.7%	0.90×	1.70
Dila Gori (1:0)	22.2%	22.1%	13.7%	1.62×	4.53
Draw (1:0)	20.4%	22.1%	21.0%	1.05×	4.53

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (2:0)	77.8%	78.2%	86.3%	0.91×	1.28
Draw (2:0)	13.1%	11.6%	8.3%	1.39×	8.64
Dila Gori (2:0)	9.1%	6.6%	5.7%	1.17×	15.10

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.5%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	25.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to concede	79.9%	77.1%	71.0%	1.09×	1.30
Samgurali Tskhaltubo clean sheet	20.1%	22.9%	29.0%	0.79×	4.38

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo clean sheet in 1st half	52.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to concede in 1st half	47.4%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 3.5 goals	95.2%	96.6%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 2.5 goals	84.7%	82.3%	85.0%	0.97×	1.22
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 0.5 goals	74.0%	73.1%	75.3%	0.97×	1.37
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 1.5 goals	61.1%	62.4%	58.7%	1.06×	1.60
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 1.5 goals	38.9%	37.6%	41.3%	0.91×	2.66
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 0.5 goals	26.0%	26.9%	24.7%	1.09×	3.71
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 2.5 goals	15.4%	17.7%	15.0%	1.18×	5.66
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 3.5 goals	4.8%	3.4%	6.3%	0.54×	29.37

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 1.5 in 1st half	88.5%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 0.5 in 1st half	56.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 0.5 in 1st half	43.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 1.5 in 1st half	11.5%	12.3%	—	—	8.15

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (home no bet)	61.9%	60.2%	57.2%	1.05×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	38.1%	39.8%	42.8%	0.93×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo even goals	53.4%	50.9%	55.7%	0.91×	1.96
Samgurali Tskhaltubo odd goals	46.6%	49.1%	44.3%	1.11×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.7%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
HT 0-1	18.8%	19.9%	—	—	5.02
HT 1-0	16.9%	19.9%	—	—	5.03
HT 1-1	11.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 0-2	6.1%	8.0%	—	—	12.56
HT 2-0	4.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.36
Any other HT score	4.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.36
HT 1-2	3.5%	2.5%	—	—	40.42
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.5%	—	—	40.44
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.5%	—	—	40.54

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori at HT / Dila Gori at FT	23.9%	21.0%	—	—	4.77
Samgurali Tskhaltubo at HT / Samgurali Tskhaltubo at FT	18.0%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Draw at HT / Dila Gori at FT	15.5%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.3%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Draw at HT / Samgurali Tskhaltubo at FT	11.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Samgurali Tskhaltubo at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.5%	—	—	15.50
Dila Gori at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.4%	—	—	15.51
Samgurali Tskhaltubo at HT / Dila Gori at FT	3.2%	3.6%	—	—	27.55
Dila Gori at HT / Samgurali Tskhaltubo at FT	2.1%	3.6%	—	—	27.58

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori to score last	51.1%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score last	42.7%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
No goal scored	6.2%	6.4%	—	—	15.72

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.8%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Dila Gori to lead by 1 at any time	60.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to lead by 1 at any time	50.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.6%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Dila Gori to lead by 2 at any time	29.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to lead by 2 at any time	20.6%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.3%	17.6%	—	—	5.68
Dila Gori to lead by 3 at any time	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to lead by 3 at any time	6.8%	7.4%	—	—	13.50

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.9%	87.1%	86.7%	1.00×	1.15
2-6 goals	77.2%	77.9%	70.7%	1.10×	1.28
1-4 goals	76.2%	77.9%	79.0%	0.99×	1.28
2-5 goals	72.4%	72.2%	68.3%	1.06×	1.39
2-4 goals	62.6%	62.7%	60.7%	1.03×	1.60
1-3 goals	59.6%	58.9%	65.7%	0.90×	1.70
3-6 goals	53.5%	52.9%	48.7%	1.09×	1.89
3-5 goals	48.7%	47.4%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11
2-3 goals	46.1%	47.4%	47.3%	1.00×	2.11
3-4 goals	38.9%	39.0%	38.7%	1.01×	2.56
1-2 goals	37.2%	39.0%	40.7%	0.96×	2.56
4-6 goals	31.1%	34.7%	23.7%	1.47×	2.88
4-5 goals	26.3%	28.5%	21.3%	1.34×	3.51
5-6 goals	14.6%	13.5%	10.3%	1.31×	7.41
7+ goals	3.1%	2.3%	3.3%	0.68×	44.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori never behind	43.6%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Samgurali Tskhaltubo never behind	33.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.72

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	52.1%	50.1%	46.3%	1.08×	2.00
Odd number of goals	47.9%	49.9%	53.7%	0.93×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.7%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.8%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	82.3%	81.6%	86.7%	0.94×	1.23
Over 1.5 goals	80.3%	81.6%	73.7%	1.11×	1.23
Under 3.5 goals	65.8%	67.7%	73.3%	0.92×	1.48
Over 2.5 goals	56.6%	57.8%	51.7%	1.12×	1.73
Under 2.5 goals	43.4%	42.2%	48.3%	0.87×	2.37
Over 3.5 goals	34.2%	32.3%	26.7%	1.21×	3.09
Under 1.5 goals	19.7%	18.4%	26.3%	0.70×	5.44
Over 4.5 goals	17.7%	18.4%	13.3%	1.38×	5.44
Over 5.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	5.7%	1.37×	12.91
Under 0.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	8.0%	0.97×	12.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.7%	97.3%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.2%	92.0%	93.9%	0.98×	1.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	78.8%	76.0%	84.6%	0.90×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.2%	72.1%	66.2%	1.09×	1.39
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.9%	58.1%	64.4%	0.90×	1.72
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.1%	41.9%	35.6%	1.18×	2.39
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.8%	27.9%	33.8%	0.83×	3.59
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	21.2%	24.0%	15.4%	1.56×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.8%	8.0%	6.1%	1.30×	12.51
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.3%	2.7%	3.4%	0.80×	36.69

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.5%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.3%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.3%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.7%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.5%	11.6%	—	—	8.61

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.0%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.9%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	48.1%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	51.9%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo not to score in both halves	76.5%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Dila Gori not to score in both halves	70.7%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Dila Gori to score in both halves	29.3%	27.6%	—	—	3.63
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score in both halves	23.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.1%	61.2%	54.3%	1.13×	1.63
Only Dila Gori scores	19.9%	16.9%	17.0%	0.99×	5.93
Only Samgurali Tskhaltubo scores	13.9%	11.2%	21.3%	0.52×	8.94
Neither team scores	6.2%	7.1%	8.0%	0.89×	14.09

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.7%	22.3%	22.3%	1.00×	4.49
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.3%	25.3%	0.88×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	16.5%	17.6%	13.7%	1.29×	5.68
Exactly 1 goals	13.5%	12.3%	18.7%	0.66×	8.14
Exactly 5 goals	9.8%	7.8%	8.0%	0.97×	12.88
6 or more goals	7.9%	7.8%	5.7%	1.37×	12.88
Exactly 0 goals	6.2%	7.8%	8.0%	0.97×	12.89

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	51.9%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
1 goal in 2nd half	30.0%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
No goals in 2nd half	18.0%	16.5%	—	—	6.08

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo not to win both halves	92.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Dila Gori not to win both halves	87.9%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Dila Gori to win both halves	12.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win both halves	7.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.53

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori to win either half	57.4%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win neither half	53.0%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win either half	47.0%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Dila Gori to win neither half	42.6%	41.8%	—	—	2.39

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo not to win to nil	86.1%	87.9%	78.7%	1.12×	1.14
Dila Gori not to win to nil	80.1%	82.9%	83.0%	1.00×	1.21
Dila Gori to win to nil	19.9%	17.1%	17.0%	1.00×	5.86
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win to nil	13.9%	12.1%	21.3%	0.57×	8.24

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.2%	27.3%	25.7%	1.06×	3.66
Dila Gori by 1	20.4%	23.4%	21.0%	1.11×	4.27
Samgurali Tskhaltubo by 1	17.0%	17.2%	22.3%	0.77×	5.80
Dila Gori by 2	13.1%	11.8%	8.3%	1.42×	8.44
Samgurali Tskhaltubo by 2	9.2%	7.3%	9.7%	0.75×	13.77
Dila Gori by 3+	9.1%	7.3%	5.7%	1.28×	13.77
Samgurali Tskhaltubo by 3+	5.0%	3.0%	9.0%	0.33×	33.43