Samgurali Tskhaltubo v Dinamo Tbilisi — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · GEO-Erovnuli Liga · 2627

GEO-Erovnuli Liga results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Samgurali Tskhaltubo

16:00 UTC

Dinamo Tbilisi

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 244h before kick-off

Samgurali Tskhaltubo win

27.5%

model 28.7%

Draw

23.9%

model 24.6%

Dinamo Tbilisi win

48.6%

model 46.7%

272449

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,536 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.1%
1-2 9.3%
2-1 7.1%
0-2 6.6%
2-2 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	62.3%	Under 2.5	37.7%
BTTS yes	63.9%	BTTS no	36.1%
Samgurali Tskhaltubo 1+	75.2%	Samgurali Tskhaltubo 2+	40.7%
Dinamo Tbilisi 1+	83.8%	Dinamo Tbilisi 2+	54.3%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.82. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Dinamo Tbilisi over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 34%

53.0% fair odds 1.89

strong signal · 7105 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Dinamo Tbilisi under 1.5 in 1st half

Away goals O/U 1HT

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 363 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Dinamo Tbilisi.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Samgurali Tskhaltubo have only 1 matches on record.
Dinamo Tbilisi have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Dinamo Tbilisi have an estimated 48.6% win probability, against 27.5% for Samgurali Tskhaltubo and 23.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.40 for Samgurali Tskhaltubo and 1.82 for Dinamo Tbilisi.

Why Samgurali Tskhaltubo

At home Samgurali Tskhaltubo average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.9%.

Why Dinamo Tbilisi can win

Nothing in the data singles out Dinamo Tbilisi.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Samgurali Tskhaltubo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Dinamo Tbilisi, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Samgurali Tskhaltubo: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Dinamo Tbilisi: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Dinamo Tbilisi are the model's most likely outcome at 48.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	292547	1.40–1.82	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	393228	1.33–1.11	1-1 15%	44%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi to win	48.7%	47.7%	34.3%	1.39×	2.10
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win	27.7%	27.7%	40.3%	0.69×	3.61
Draw	23.7%	24.6%	25.7%	0.96×	4.07

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi & both teams score	29.0%	25.5%	17.7%	1.44×	3.93
Dinamo Tbilisi & not both score	19.7%	18.0%	17.0%	1.06×	5.55
Draw & both teams score	19.4%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.55
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & both teams score	17.5%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.55
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & not both score	10.1%	13.2%	21.3%	0.62×	7.56
Draw & not both score	4.3%	4.9%	8.0%	0.62×	20.27

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi & over 1.5	42.8%	40.0%	25.0%	1.60×	2.50
Dinamo Tbilisi & over 2.5	36.3%	34.6%	20.7%	1.68×	2.89
Dinamo Tbilisi & under 3.5	25.8%	25.9%	24.3%	1.07×	3.86
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & over 1.5	23.5%	21.6%	31.3%	0.69×	4.63
Dinamo Tbilisi & over 3.5	22.9%	21.6%	10.3%	2.09×	4.63
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & over 2.5	20.0%	21.6%	25.0%	0.86×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.4%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.57
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & under 3.5	16.2%	18.0%	30.3%	0.59×	5.57
Draw & under 2.5	14.6%	12.9%	19.3%	0.67×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	14.6%	12.9%	19.3%	0.67×	7.77
Dinamo Tbilisi & under 2.5	12.3%	12.9%	14.0%	0.92×	7.78
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & over 3.5	11.5%	12.9%	10.3%	1.24×	7.78
Draw & over 2.5	9.1%	8.0%	6.7%	1.19×	12.56
Draw & over 3.5	9.1%	8.0%	6.7%	1.19×	12.56
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & under 2.5	7.6%	8.0%	15.7%	0.51×	12.56
Dinamo Tbilisi & under 1.5	5.9%	8.0%	9.7%	0.82×	12.57
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & under 1.5	4.1%	4.9%	9.3%	0.52×	20.53
Draw & under 1.5	4.3%	4.9%	8.0%	0.61×	20.53

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi (1UP)	66.3%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (1UP)	48.8%	43.4%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi (2UP)	48.7%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (2UP)	27.7%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi to win 2nd half	43.6%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	31.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win 2nd half	25.4%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi over 0.5 in 2nd half	68.7%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Dinamo Tbilisi under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.6%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Dinamo Tbilisi over 1.5 in 2nd half	32.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
Dinamo Tbilisi under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.3%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.3%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.7%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.3%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.7%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi (+2.5)	95.4%	96.3%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
Dinamo Tbilisi (+1.5)	87.3%	88.3%	81.7%	1.08×	1.13
Dinamo Tbilisi (+0.5)	72.3%	73.7%	59.7%	1.23×	1.36
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (+0.5)	51.3%	52.0%	65.7%	0.79×	1.92
Dinamo Tbilisi (-0.5)	48.7%	48.0%	34.3%	1.40×	2.08
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (-0.5)	27.7%	26.3%	40.3%	0.65×	3.80
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (-1.5)	12.7%	11.7%	18.3%	0.64×	8.58
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (-2.5)	4.6%	3.7%	9.0%	0.42×	26.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi to concede	76.1%	78.7%	75.3%	1.05×	1.27
Dinamo Tbilisi clean sheet	23.9%	21.3%	24.7%	0.86×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi to concede in 1st half	45.9%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Dinamo Tbilisi clean sheet in 1st half	54.1%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi to concede in 2nd half	55.7%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Dinamo Tbilisi clean sheet in 2nd half	44.3%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi under 3.5 goals	86.8%	87.9%	94.7%	0.93×	1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi over 0.5 goals	85.6%	87.9%	71.0%	1.24×	1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi under 2.5 goals	69.4%	67.9%	86.3%	0.79×	1.47
Dinamo Tbilisi over 1.5 goals	57.7%	59.0%	34.0%	1.73×	1.70
Dinamo Tbilisi under 1.5 goals	42.3%	41.0%	66.0%	0.62×	2.44
Dinamo Tbilisi over 2.5 goals	30.6%	32.1%	13.7%	2.35×	3.11
Dinamo Tbilisi under 0.5 goals	14.4%	12.1%	29.0%	0.42×	8.25
Dinamo Tbilisi over 3.5 goals	13.2%	12.1%	5.3%	2.27×	8.26

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi under 1.5 in 1st half	81.8%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Dinamo Tbilisi over 0.5 in 1st half	53.9%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Dinamo Tbilisi under 0.5 in 1st half	46.1%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Dinamo Tbilisi over 1.5 in 1st half	18.2%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi scores more in 2nd half	44.9%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Dinamo Tbilisi scores equally in both	30.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.94
Dinamo Tbilisi scores more in 1st half	24.5%	22.5%	—	—	4.45

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (away no bet)	53.9%	51.3%	61.1%	0.84×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	46.1%	48.7%	38.9%	1.25×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi even goals	51.0%	52.8%	54.3%	0.97×	1.89
Dinamo Tbilisi odd goals	49.0%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.2%	81.9%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.8%	18.1%	—	—	5.54

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	66.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Dinamo Tbilisi to score 2+ in a row	47.1%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score 2+ in a row	30.2%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Dinamo Tbilisi to score 3+ in a row	19.5%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score 3+ in a row	8.9%	5.7%	—	—	17.61

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.4%	11.4%	11.7%	0.97×	8.81
1-2	9.3%	7.4%	9.0%	0.82×	13.53
0-2	6.5%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.54
2-1	6.8%	7.4%	11.3%	0.65×	13.54
2-2	6.6%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.54
0-1	5.9%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.54
1-3	6.0%	7.4%	3.0%	2.46×	13.54
Any other score	6.2%	7.4%	3.3%	2.22×	13.54
0-0	4.3%	1.7%	8.0%	0.22×	57.56
0-3	4.2%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	57.56
0-4	2.0%	1.7%	1.3%	1.30×	57.57
1-0	4.1%	1.7%	9.3%	0.19×	57.56
1-4	2.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	57.57
2-0	3.5%	1.7%	6.7%	0.26×	57.56
2-3	4.3%	1.7%	2.7%	0.65×	57.56
2-4	2.1%	1.7%	1.3%	1.30×	57.57
3-0	1.7%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	57.57
3-1	3.3%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	57.56
3-2	3.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.04×	57.56
3-3	2.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.74×	57.57
3-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.61×	57.57
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.04×	57.58
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	57.57
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.21×	57.57
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.74×	57.58
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.21×	57.58

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi (2nd half DNB)	63.2%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (2nd half DNB)	36.8%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi leading at HT (DNB)	57.9%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Samgurali Tskhaltubo leading at HT (DNB)	42.1%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or Dinamo Tbilisi (12)	76.3%	75.4%	74.3%	1.01×	1.33
Dinamo Tbilisi or draw (X2)	72.3%	72.3%	59.7%	1.21×	1.38
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or draw (1X)	51.3%	52.3%	65.7%	0.80×	1.91

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi or draw at HT	74.1%	74.4%	—	—	1.35
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or draw at HT	64.4%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or Dinamo Tbilisi at HT	61.5%	62.0%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi or draw (1UP)	72.3%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or draw (1UP)	51.3%	59.1%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi or draw in 2nd half	74.6%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or Dinamo Tbilisi in 2nd half	69.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or draw in 2nd half	56.4%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Neither half drawn	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi (DNB)	63.8%	63.1%	46.0%	1.37×	1.59
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (DNB)	36.2%	36.9%	54.0%	0.68×	2.71

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi to score first	55.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score first	40.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	4.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.25

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.9%	57.7%	54.3%	1.06×	1.74
Not both teams to score	34.1%	42.3%	45.7%	0.93×	2.36

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.6%	46.7%	43.0%	1.09×	2.14
Not both score & under 2.5	24.2%	28.4%	37.0%	0.77×	3.52
Both score & under 2.5	10.4%	12.3%	11.7%	1.05×	8.15
Not both score & over 2.5	9.8%	8.4%	9.0%	0.93×	11.93

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.9%	80.0%	87.0%	0.92×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	24.1%	20.0%	13.0%	1.54×	5.00

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Both score 2nd half only	29.1%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Both score 1st half only	15.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.43
Both score in both halves	9.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.65

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.1%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.9%	18.7%	—	—	5.35

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	65.1%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
A half without a goal	34.9%	33.4%	—	—	2.99

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.3%	41.9%	47.3%	0.89×	2.39
4-6 goals	37.9%	35.0%	23.7%	1.48×	2.86
0-1 goals	14.2%	17.2%	26.3%	0.65×	5.82
7+ goals	5.5%	7.6%	3.3%	2.29×	13.11

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi to score 3+	30.6%	33.6%	13.7%	2.46×	2.97
Dinamo Tbilisi to score exactly 1	27.9%	27.6%	37.3%	0.74×	3.62
Dinamo Tbilisi to score exactly 2	27.0%	27.6%	20.7%	1.34×	3.62
Dinamo Tbilisi to score exactly 0	14.4%	13.0%	29.0%	0.45×	7.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score exactly 1	34.2%	32.6%	34.3%	0.95×	3.06
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score exactly 2	24.5%	23.4%	26.7%	0.88×	4.28
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score exactly 0	23.9%	23.4%	24.7%	0.95×	4.28
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score 3+	17.4%	19.2%	15.0%	1.28×	5.22

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	38.5%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Dinamo Tbilisi leading at HT	35.6%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Samgurali Tskhaltubo leading at HT	25.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi -1: 1	51.3%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Dinamo Tbilisi -1: 2	28.1%	26.6%	—	—	3.75
Dinamo Tbilisi -1: X	20.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi (0:1)	72.3%	71.0%	59.7%	1.19×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	14.9%	14.0%	22.3%	0.63×	7.16
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (0:1)	12.7%	14.0%	18.3%	0.76×	7.17

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi (0:2)	87.3%	86.9%	81.7%	1.06×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.1%	7.7%	9.7%	0.80×	12.98
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (0:2)	4.6%	3.8%	9.0%	0.42×	26.36

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi (0:3)	95.4%	96.6%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.2%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	42.27
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	3.7%	0.64×	42.34

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi (0:4)	98.6%	98.1%	96.3%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	2.3%	0.52×	81.85
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.7%	0.73×	81.92

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (1:0)	51.3%	53.2%	65.7%	0.81×	1.88
Dinamo Tbilisi (1:0)	28.1%	25.2%	13.7%	1.84×	3.97
Draw (1:0)	20.5%	21.7%	21.0%	1.03×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (2:0)	71.9%	75.5%	86.3%	0.87×	1.33
Draw (2:0)	15.0%	10.4%	8.3%	1.25×	9.58
Dinamo Tbilisi (2:0)	13.2%	10.4%	5.7%	1.84×	9.60

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.5%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Halves equal	23.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to concede	85.6%	86.3%	71.0%	1.21×	1.16
Samgurali Tskhaltubo clean sheet	14.4%	13.7%	29.0%	0.47×	7.28

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to concede in 1st half	53.9%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Samgurali Tskhaltubo clean sheet in 1st half	46.1%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to concede in 2nd half	68.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Samgurali Tskhaltubo clean sheet in 2nd half	31.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 3.5 goals	94.3%	92.1%	93.7%	0.98×	1.09
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 2.5 goals	82.6%	81.9%	85.0%	0.96×	1.22
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 0.5 goals	76.1%	77.4%	75.3%	1.03×	1.29
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 1.5 goals	58.2%	58.6%	58.7%	1.00×	1.71
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 1.5 goals	41.8%	41.4%	41.3%	1.00×	2.41
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 0.5 goals	23.9%	22.6%	24.7%	0.92×	4.43
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 2.5 goals	17.4%	18.1%	15.0%	1.21×	5.53
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 3.5 goals	5.7%	7.9%	6.3%	1.24×	12.69

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 1.5 in 1st half	87.3%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 0.5 in 1st half	45.9%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 0.5 in 1st half	54.1%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 1.5 in 1st half	12.7%	10.2%	—	—	9.78

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo scores equally in both	37.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.66
Samgurali Tskhaltubo scores more in 2nd half	37.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.66
Samgurali Tskhaltubo scores more in 1st half	25.3%	28.0%	—	—	3.58

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi (home no bet)	67.3%	63.3%	57.2%	1.11×	1.58
Draw (home no bet)	32.7%	36.7%	42.8%	0.86×	2.72

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo even goals	52.9%	50.4%	55.7%	0.91×	1.98
Samgurali Tskhaltubo odd goals	47.1%	49.6%	44.3%	1.12×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.0%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
HT 0-1	19.2%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-0	15.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	12.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 0-2	7.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
Any other HT score	6.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 1-2	4.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.37
HT 2-0	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 2-1	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.44
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.60

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi at HT / Dinamo Tbilisi at FT	28.4%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Draw at HT / Dinamo Tbilisi at FT	16.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Samgurali Tskhaltubo at HT / Samgurali Tskhaltubo at FT	16.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Samgurali Tskhaltubo at FT	9.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.61
Samgurali Tskhaltubo at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Dinamo Tbilisi at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.74
Samgurali Tskhaltubo at HT / Dinamo Tbilisi at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Dinamo Tbilisi at HT / Samgurali Tskhaltubo at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.84

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi to score last	55.1%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score last	40.6%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	4.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.25

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.7%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Dinamo Tbilisi to lead by 1 at any time	66.3%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	56.0%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to lead by 1 at any time	48.8%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Dinamo Tbilisi to lead by 2 at any time	36.5%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to lead by 2 at any time	19.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Dinamo Tbilisi to lead by 3 at any time	16.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to lead by 3 at any time	6.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.14

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.2%	83.3%	86.7%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.2%	83.3%	70.7%	1.18×	1.20
2-5 goals	73.2%	72.3%	68.3%	1.06×	1.38
1-4 goals	70.8%	72.2%	79.0%	0.91×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.8%	63.1%	60.7%	1.04×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.9%	59.3%	48.7%	1.22×	1.69
3-5 goals	52.9%	53.4%	46.3%	1.15×	1.87
1-3 goals	52.3%	53.4%	65.7%	0.81×	1.87
2-3 goals	42.3%	43.6%	47.3%	0.92×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	38.7%	1.13×	2.29
4-6 goals	37.9%	39.3%	23.7%	1.66×	2.55
4-5 goals	30.9%	35.3%	21.3%	1.66×	2.83
1-2 goals	30.3%	35.3%	40.7%	0.87×	2.83
5-6 goals	19.4%	18.9%	10.3%	1.83×	5.30
7+ goals	5.5%	9.0%	3.3%	2.69×	11.15

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi never behind	46.9%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Samgurali Tskhaltubo never behind	29.4%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.3%	50.9%	53.7%	0.95×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.7%	49.1%	46.3%	1.06×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.7%	95.4%	92.0%	1.04×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.5%	87.4%	94.3%	0.93×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.8%	87.4%	73.7%	1.19×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	75.0%	77.2%	86.7%	0.89×	1.30
Over 2.5 goals	65.4%	66.0%	51.7%	1.28×	1.52
Under 3.5 goals	56.6%	58.5%	73.3%	0.80×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	43.4%	41.5%	26.7%	1.56×	2.41
Under 2.5 goals	34.6%	34.0%	48.3%	0.70×	2.94
Over 4.5 goals	25.0%	22.8%	13.3%	1.71×	4.39
Under 1.5 goals	14.2%	12.6%	26.3%	0.48×	7.96
Over 5.5 goals	12.5%	12.6%	5.7%	2.22×	7.96
Under 0.5 goals	4.3%	4.6%	8.0%	0.58×	21.71

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.0%	92.4%	96.6%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	85.7%	86.6%	93.9%	0.92×	1.16
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	82.1%	80.5%	66.2%	1.21×	1.24
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	69.4%	67.6%	84.6%	0.80×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.7%	55.2%	35.6%	1.55×	1.81
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.3%	44.8%	64.4%	0.70×	2.23
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	30.6%	32.4%	15.4%	2.11×	3.09
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	17.9%	19.5%	33.8%	0.58×	5.12
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	14.3%	13.4%	6.1%	2.19×	7.44
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.0%	7.6%	3.4%	2.23×	13.14

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.6%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.0%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.4%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.6%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.0%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.4%	13.7%	—	—	7.30

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.9%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	68.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.1%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	40.9%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	31.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.1%	14.7%	—	—	6.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo not to score in both halves	74.4%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Dinamo Tbilisi not to score in both halves	62.9%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Dinamo Tbilisi to score in both halves	37.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score in both halves	25.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.9%	60.1%	54.3%	1.11×	1.66
Only Dinamo Tbilisi scores	19.7%	16.0%	17.0%	0.94×	6.24
Only Samgurali Tskhaltubo scores	10.1%	11.1%	21.3%	0.52×	9.03
Neither team scores	4.3%	4.7%	8.0%	0.58×	21.50

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.4%	25.3%	0.89×	4.46
Exactly 2 goals	20.4%	22.4%	22.3%	1.00×	4.46
Exactly 4 goals	18.5%	17.6%	13.7%	1.28×	5.70
Exactly 5 goals	12.4%	12.0%	8.0%	1.51×	8.30
6 or more goals	12.5%	12.0%	5.7%	2.13×	8.30
Exactly 1 goals	10.0%	7.8%	18.7%	0.42×	12.82
Exactly 0 goals	4.3%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.19

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.3%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
No goals in 1st half	25.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
2 goals in 1st half	24.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
3+ goals in 1st half	16.4%	15.2%	—	—	6.57

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.1%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
1 goal in 2nd half	26.8%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
No goals in 2nd half	14.1%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo not to win both halves	93.3%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Dinamo Tbilisi not to win both halves	84.3%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Dinamo Tbilisi to win both halves	15.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win both halves	6.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.65

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Tbilisi to win either half	63.5%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win neither half	55.4%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win either half	44.6%	40.6%	—	—	2.46
Dinamo Tbilisi to win neither half	36.5%	34.9%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo not to win to nil	89.9%	87.9%	78.7%	1.12×	1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi not to win to nil	80.3%	83.1%	83.0%	1.00×	1.20
Dinamo Tbilisi to win to nil	19.7%	16.9%	17.0%	0.99×	5.93
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win to nil	10.1%	12.1%	21.3%	0.56×	8.30

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.7%	24.2%	25.7%	0.94×	4.14
Dinamo Tbilisi by 1	20.5%	24.2%	21.0%	1.15×	4.14
Samgurali Tskhaltubo by 1	14.9%	11.7%	22.3%	0.53×	8.52
Dinamo Tbilisi by 2	15.0%	11.7%	8.3%	1.41×	8.52
Dinamo Tbilisi by 3+	13.2%	11.7%	5.7%	2.07×	8.52
Samgurali Tskhaltubo by 2	8.1%	7.3%	9.7%	0.75×	13.74
Samgurali Tskhaltubo by 3+	4.6%	2.8%	9.0%	0.31×	35.49