Sampdoria v Cremonese — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Sampdoria

20:00 UTC

Cremonese

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 825h before kick-off

Sampdoria win

43.2%

model 40.9%

Draw

29.4%

model 30.8%

Cremonese win

27.4%

model 28.3%

432927

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.5%
0-0 11.1%
1-0 10.9%
2-1 8.5%
0-1 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.8%	Under 2.5	58.2%
BTTS yes	48.8%	BTTS no	51.2%
Sampdoria 1+	72.9%	Sampdoria 2+	37.5%
Cremonese 1+	64.9%	Cremonese 2+	28.2%

Expected goals 1.31 – 1.05. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

45/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 46%

53.3% fair odds 1.88

moderate signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Cremonese (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%

83.5% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Sampdoria.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Sampdoria have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.4% for the draw and 27.4% for Cremonese. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.30 for Sampdoria and 1.05 for Cremonese.

Why Sampdoria

Nothing in the data singles out Sampdoria.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.4%. A combined 2.35 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Cremonese can win

Nothing in the data singles out Cremonese.

Key players

Cremonese's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Federico Bonazzoli (0.32), Jamie Vardy (0.29), Jari Vandeputte (0.21).

Availability

No lineup on record for Sampdoria, so availability is unknown. 1 of Cremonese's top three contributors did not start their last match. Cremonese had a player sent off last time out, worth about 0.07 expected goal involvements a match. Reported unavailable for Cremonese: Alberto Grassi (suspended).

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sampdoria: 57% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cremonese: 54% possession, 9.2 shots a match, 9.0 faced, 0.13 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Sampdoria are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.5%. Confidence 45/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Cremonese are conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 5.2 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

LWLLDLLWWL last 10 scored 10 from 8.8 xG conceded 17 from 11.8 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	413128	1.31–1.05	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	353331	1.08–1.01	1-1 15%	35%	44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria to win	35.4%	36.3%	42.7%	0.85×	2.75
Draw	33.2%	30.4%	31.9%	0.95×	3.29
Cremonese to win	31.5%	30.4%	25.5%	1.19×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria & not both score	22.6%	21.8%	23.9%	0.91×	4.58
Cremonese & not both score	19.9%	18.0%	13.3%	1.35×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	19.2%	18.0%	22.9%	0.78×	5.56
Draw & not both score	13.9%	13.3%	9.1%	1.46×	7.54
Sampdoria & both teams score	12.8%	13.3%	18.9%	0.70×	7.54
Cremonese & both teams score	11.6%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria & under 3.5	29.0%	26.1%	31.9%	0.82×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	29.0%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	29.0%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Cremonese & under 3.5	26.0%	26.1%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
Sampdoria & over 1.5	23.6%	21.6%	31.8%	0.68×	4.63
Cremonese & over 1.5	20.6%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Sampdoria & under 2.5	19.0%	18.0%	18.4%	0.98×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.2%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.56
Cremonese & under 2.5	17.1%	18.0%	10.6%	1.70×	5.56
Sampdoria & over 2.5	16.3%	18.0%	24.4%	0.74×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	13.9%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Cremonese & over 2.5	14.3%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.79
Sampdoria & under 1.5	11.8%	12.8%	11.1%	1.16×	7.79
Cremonese & under 1.5	10.9%	12.8%	6.8%	1.87×	7.79
Sampdoria & over 3.5	6.4%	7.9%	11.0%	0.72×	12.63
Cremonese & over 3.5	5.4%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.2%	4.8%	8.3%	0.58×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.2%	4.8%	8.3%	0.58×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (1UP)	49.6%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Cremonese (1UP)	46.0%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (2UP)	35.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Cremonese (2UP)	31.5%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	42.6%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Sampdoria to win 2nd half	29.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Cremonese to win 2nd half	28.3%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.7%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
Cremonese under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Cremonese over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Cremonese over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.3%	13.2%	—	—	7.59

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.2%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Sampdoria under 0.5 in 2nd half	53.9%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Sampdoria over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.1%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Sampdoria over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.8%	11.5%	—	—	8.73

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese (+2.5)	95.5%	96.3%	93.3%	1.03×	1.04
Cremonese (+1.5)	85.2%	88.5%	80.3%	1.10×	1.13
Sampdoria (+0.5)	68.5%	68.7%	74.5%	0.92×	1.46
Cremonese (+0.5)	64.6%	63.0%	57.3%	1.10×	1.59
Sampdoria (-0.5)	35.4%	37.0%	42.7%	0.87×	2.70
Cremonese (-0.5)	31.5%	31.3%	25.5%	1.23×	3.19
Sampdoria (-1.5)	14.8%	11.5%	19.7%	0.59×	8.66
Sampdoria (-2.5)	4.5%	3.7%	6.7%	0.55×	27.03

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese to concede	66.2%	72.3%	77.7%	0.93×	1.38
Cremonese clean sheet	33.8%	27.7%	22.3%	1.24×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese clean sheet in 1st half	62.7%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Cremonese to concede in 1st half	37.3%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese clean sheet in 2nd half	53.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Cremonese to concede in 2nd half	46.1%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese under 6.5 corners	86.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Cremonese under 5.5 corners	77.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Cremonese over 2.5 corners	70.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Cremonese under 4.5 corners	64.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Cremonese over 3.5 corners	52.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Cremonese under 3.5 corners	47.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Cremonese over 4.5 corners	36.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Cremonese under 2.5 corners	29.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Cremonese over 5.5 corners	23.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Cremonese over 6.5 corners	13.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese under 3.5 goals	98.1%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Cremonese under 2.5 goals	91.8%	92.3%	90.8%	1.02×	1.08
Cremonese under 1.5 goals	73.3%	71.8%	69.4%	1.04×	1.39
Cremonese over 0.5 goals	63.5%	63.2%	67.1%	0.94×	1.58
Cremonese under 0.5 goals	36.5%	36.8%	32.9%	1.12×	2.72
Cremonese over 1.5 goals	26.7%	28.2%	30.6%	0.92×	3.55
Cremonese over 2.5 goals	8.2%	7.7%	9.2%	0.83×	13.05
Cremonese over 3.5 goals	1.9%	2.5%	1.9%	1.34×	39.97

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese under 1.5 in 1st half	93.8%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Cremonese under 0.5 in 1st half	66.8%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Cremonese over 0.5 in 1st half	33.2%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Cremonese over 1.5 in 1st half	6.2%	6.2%	—	—	16.25

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese scores equally in both	46.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Cremonese scores more in 2nd half	33.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Cremonese scores more in 1st half	20.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (away no bet)	51.6%	51.7%	57.3%	0.90×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	48.4%	48.3%	42.7%	1.13×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese even goals	56.7%	56.9%	55.4%	1.03×	1.76
Cremonese odd goals	43.3%	43.1%	44.6%	0.97×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.5%	92.2%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	7.5%	7.8%	—	—	12.87

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	50.5%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Not both halves under 1.5	49.5%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	42.1%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Sampdoria to score 2+ in a row	24.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Cremonese to score 2+ in a row	21.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row	11.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Sampdoria to score 3+ in a row	6.5%	5.5%	—	—	18.15
Cremonese to score 3+ in a row	5.3%	5.5%	—	—	18.24

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria corners (+3.5)	92.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Sampdoria corners (+2.5)	87.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Sampdoria corners (+1.5)	80.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Cremonese corners (+3.5)	69.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Cremonese corners (+2.5)	60.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Sampdoria corners (-1.5)	50.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Cremonese corners (+1.5)	49.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Sampdoria corners (-2.5)	40.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Sampdoria corners (-3.5)	30.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Cremonese corners (-1.5)	19.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Cremonese corners (-2.5)	12.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Cremonese corners (-3.5)	7.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	28.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 10.5 corners	62.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	58.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 8.5 corners	42.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	37.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	31.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	28.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	15.1%	13.8%	14.7%	0.94×	7.24
0-0	13.9%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.71
1-0	11.8%	11.5%	11.1%	1.04×	8.72
0-1	10.9%	11.5%	6.8%	1.67×	8.72
1-2	6.8%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-0	7.3%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
0-2	6.3%	7.4%	3.9%	1.92×	13.51
0-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.32
1-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
2-2	3.7%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.30
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
3-0	2.6%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
3-1	2.6%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.32
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.32
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	6.88×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
Any other score	0.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (2nd half DNB)	50.7%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Cremonese (2nd half DNB)	49.3%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria leading at HT (DNB)	54.5%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Cremonese leading at HT (DNB)	45.5%	43.4%	—	—	2.30

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria or draw (1X)	68.5%	69.6%	74.5%	0.93×	1.44
Sampdoria or Cremonese (12)	66.8%	69.6%	68.1%	1.02×	1.44
Cremonese or draw (X2)	64.6%	63.7%	57.3%	1.11×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria or draw at HT	77.6%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Cremonese or draw at HT	73.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Sampdoria or Cremonese at HT	49.3%	52.8%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria or draw (1UP)	68.5%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Cremonese or draw (1UP)	64.6%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria or draw in 2nd half	71.7%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Cremonese or draw in 2nd half	70.9%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Sampdoria or Cremonese in 2nd half	57.4%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	70.1%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Neither half drawn	29.9%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (DNB)	52.9%	50.9%	62.6%	0.81×	1.96
Cremonese (DNB)	47.1%	49.1%	37.4%	1.31×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria to score first	44.6%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Cremonese to score first	41.5%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	13.9%	10.3%	—	—	9.70

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.4%	55.0%	46.1%	1.19×	1.82
Both teams to score	43.6%	45.0%	53.9%	0.83×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	50.1%	47.2%	37.9%	1.25×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	28.5%	33.3%	39.4%	0.85×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	15.1%	21.5%	14.7%	1.46×	4.65
Not both score & over 2.5	6.3%	8.3%	8.3%	0.99×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.1%	89.0%	86.1%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.9%	11.0%	13.9%	0.79×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.5%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.5%	24.9%	—	—	4.01

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.5%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Both score 2nd half only	18.9%	15.1%	—	—	6.61
Both score 1st half only	10.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	2.6%	4.9%	—	—	20.59

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.4%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	12.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	58.3%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	41.7%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.4%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12
0-1 goals	36.6%	35.1%	26.8%	1.31×	2.85
4-6 goals	15.4%	20.2%	23.5%	0.86×	4.95
7+ goals	0.6%	1.8%	1.4%	1.34×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Cremonese to score exactly 0	36.5%	35.9%	32.9%	1.09×	2.78
Cremonese to score exactly 2	18.5%	19.6%	21.5%	0.91×	5.11
Cremonese to score 3+	8.2%	8.6%	9.2%	0.93×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	35.9%	0.99×	2.81
Sampdoria to score exactly 0	33.8%	32.6%	22.3%	1.46×	3.07
Sampdoria to score exactly 2	19.9%	18.8%	25.9%	0.72×	5.33
Sampdoria to score 3+	9.6%	10.4%	16.2%	0.64×	9.66

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	50.7%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Sampdoria leading at HT	26.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Cremonese leading at HT	22.4%	20.5%	—	—	4.87

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria -1: 2	64.6%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Sampdoria -1: X	20.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Sampdoria -1: 1	14.8%	14.0%	—	—	7.13

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese (0:1)	64.6%	61.4%	57.3%	1.07×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.6%	24.2%	23.2%	1.05×	4.13
Sampdoria (0:1)	14.8%	13.7%	19.7%	0.70×	7.28

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese (0:2)	85.2%	87.1%	80.3%	1.08×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	10.3%	11.0%	13.1%	0.84×	9.11
Sampdoria (0:2)	4.5%	3.8%	6.7%	0.56×	26.61

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese (0:3)	95.5%	96.6%	93.3%	1.04×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.4%	2.4%	4.6%	0.52×	42.08
Sampdoria (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	2.2%	1.06×	42.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	1.4%	0.89×	82.07
Sampdoria (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.22×	82.15

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (1:0)	68.5%	70.2%	74.5%	0.94×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	19.0%	17.1%	15.7%	1.09×	5.84
Cremonese (1:0)	12.5%	12.7%	10.0%	1.28×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (2:0)	87.5%	88.5%	90.0%	0.98×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.9%	6.4%	6.5%	0.99×	15.65
Cremonese (2:0)	3.6%	2.3%	3.6%	0.63×	43.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.0%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Halves equal	31.8%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
1st half highest scoring	25.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria to concede	63.5%	63.7%	67.1%	0.95×	1.57
Sampdoria clean sheet	36.5%	36.3%	32.9%	1.10×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria clean sheet in 1st half	66.8%	70.2%	—	—	1.42
Sampdoria to concede in 1st half	33.2%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria clean sheet in 2nd half	54.6%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Sampdoria to concede in 2nd half	45.4%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria over 2.5 corners	86.5%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Sampdoria over 3.5 corners	74.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Sampdoria under 6.5 corners	65.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Sampdoria over 4.5 corners	60.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Sampdoria under 5.5 corners	53.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Sampdoria over 5.5 corners	46.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Sampdoria under 4.5 corners	39.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Sampdoria over 6.5 corners	34.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Sampdoria under 3.5 corners	25.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Sampdoria under 2.5 corners	13.5%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria under 3.5 goals	97.5%	96.4%	95.9%	1.01×	1.04
Sampdoria under 2.5 goals	90.4%	92.2%	83.8%	1.10×	1.08
Sampdoria under 1.5 goals	70.5%	74.2%	58.0%	1.28×	1.35
Sampdoria over 0.5 goals	66.2%	67.9%	77.7%	0.87×	1.47
Sampdoria under 0.5 goals	33.8%	32.1%	22.3%	1.44×	3.12
Sampdoria over 1.5 goals	29.5%	25.8%	42.0%	0.61×	3.88
Sampdoria over 2.5 goals	9.6%	7.8%	16.2%	0.48×	12.84
Sampdoria over 3.5 goals	2.5%	3.6%	4.1%	0.88×	27.56

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria under 1.5 in 1st half	92.0%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Sampdoria under 0.5 in 1st half	62.7%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Sampdoria over 0.5 in 1st half	37.3%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Sampdoria over 1.5 in 1st half	8.0%	5.3%	—	—	18.97

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria scores equally in both	44.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Sampdoria scores more in 2nd half	32.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Sampdoria scores more in 1st half	22.9%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.3%	51.4%	55.5%	0.93×	1.95
Cremonese (home no bet)	48.7%	48.6%	44.5%	1.09×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria even goals	55.7%	55.3%	50.9%	1.08×	1.81
Sampdoria odd goals	44.3%	44.8%	49.1%	0.91×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	42.2%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
HT 1-0	19.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 0-1	16.6%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
HT 1-1	8.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 2-0	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	41.91
HT 0-2	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	41.99
Any other HT score	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 2-1	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.18

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	23.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Sampdoria at HT / Sampdoria at FT	19.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Cremonese at HT / Cremonese at FT	16.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Sampdoria at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Cremonese at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Sampdoria at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Cremonese at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Sampdoria at HT / Cremonese at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Cremonese at HT / Sampdoria at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria to score last	44.6%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
Cremonese to score last	41.4%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	13.9%	9.7%	—	—	10.29

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	86.1%	91.0%	—	—	1.10
Sampdoria to lead by 1 at any time	49.6%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Cremonese to lead by 1 at any time	46.0%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	35.2%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Sampdoria to lead by 2 at any time	18.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Cremonese to lead by 2 at any time	16.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.85
Sampdoria to lead by 3 at any time	5.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.04
Cremonese to lead by 3 at any time	4.4%	1.6%	—	—	60.69

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria most corners	61.9%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Cremonese most corners	27.9%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.1%	83.4%	87.3%	0.96×	1.20
1-4 goals	79.9%	78.7%	82.1%	0.96×	1.27
1-3 goals	70.1%	72.3%	66.3%	1.09×	1.38
2-6 goals	62.8%	63.3%	72.0%	0.88×	1.58
2-5 goals	61.4%	63.3%	69.6%	0.91×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.3%	59.1%	64.4%	0.92×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.2%	53.2%	43.5%	1.22×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.4%	48.5%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
3-6 goals	34.2%	35.2%	46.3%	0.76×	2.84
3-5 goals	32.8%	35.2%	44.0%	0.80×	2.84
3-4 goals	28.7%	30.2%	38.7%	0.78×	3.31
4-6 goals	15.4%	18.8%	23.5%	0.80×	5.31
4-5 goals	14.0%	14.8%	21.2%	0.70×	6.75
5-6 goals	5.6%	8.9%	7.7%	1.15×	11.28
7+ goals	0.6%	2.5%	1.4%	1.86×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria never behind	40.0%	48.4%	—	—	2.06
Cremonese never behind	36.5%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.1%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.96
Even number of goals	53.9%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.3%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	40.7%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.4%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.6%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.0%	95.4%	96.3%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.9%	92.3%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	86.1%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	84.0%	82.3%	75.2%	1.09×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	65.2%	66.3%	52.4%	1.26×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	63.4%	61.7%	73.2%	0.84×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	36.6%	38.3%	26.8%	1.43×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	34.8%	33.7%	47.6%	0.71×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	16.0%	17.7%	24.8%	0.71×	5.66
Under 0.5 goals	13.9%	12.4%	9.1%	1.37×	8.05
Over 4.5 goals	6.1%	7.7%	9.0%	0.86×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	2.0%	4.6%	3.7%	1.22×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.4%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.9%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.2%	92.4%	89.3%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	80.3%	81.1%	67.9%	1.19×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	51.2%	51.9%	36.0%	1.44×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	48.8%	48.1%	64.0%	0.75×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	19.7%	18.9%	32.1%	0.59×	5.28
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.8%	7.6%	10.7%	0.71×	13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.1%	2.8%	3.9%	0.71×	35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.6%	2.8%	1.4%	2.00×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.2%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	78.1%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	57.8%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	42.2%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	21.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.8%	7.2%	—	—	13.84

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	87.5%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.0%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.9%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.1%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.0%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	12.5%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese not to score in both halves	84.9%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Sampdoria not to score in both halves	82.8%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Sampdoria to score in both halves	17.2%	15.8%	—	—	6.33
Cremonese to score in both halves	15.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.6%	46.6%	53.9%	0.86×	2.15
Only Sampdoria scores	22.6%	22.3%	23.9%	0.93×	4.49
Only Cremonese scores	19.9%	16.0%	13.3%	1.20×	6.23
Neither team scores	13.9%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.6%	24.9%	25.8%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	22.6%	22.6%	17.8%	1.27×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	18.8%	17.5%	22.9%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	13.9%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	9.9%	7.6%	15.9%	0.48×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	4.1%	4.5%	5.4%	0.84×	22.36
6 or more goals	2.0%	4.5%	3.7%	1.20×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	42.2%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	16.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.43
3+ goals in 1st half	5.8%	7.2%	—	—	13.84

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	35.1%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	34.9%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	30.0%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese not to win both halves	93.5%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Sampdoria not to win both halves	92.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Sampdoria to win both halves	8.0%	5.9%	—	—	17.01
Cremonese to win both halves	6.5%	5.8%	—	—	17.12

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese to win neither half	55.8%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Sampdoria to win neither half	52.1%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Sampdoria to win either half	47.9%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Cremonese to win either half	44.2%	40.9%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese not to win to nil	80.1%	83.1%	86.7%	0.96×	1.20
Sampdoria not to win to nil	77.4%	78.1%	76.1%	1.03×	1.28
Sampdoria to win to nil	22.6%	21.9%	23.9%	0.92×	4.57
Cremonese to win to nil	19.9%	16.9%	13.3%	1.27×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	33.2%	27.7%	31.9%	0.87×	3.61
Sampdoria by 1	20.6%	24.1%	23.2%	1.04×	4.15
Cremonese by 1	19.0%	17.1%	15.7%	1.09×	5.87
Sampdoria by 2	10.3%	11.7%	13.1%	0.90×	8.51
Cremonese by 2	8.9%	7.2%	6.5%	1.11×	13.90
Sampdoria by 3+	4.5%	2.7%	6.7%	0.40×	36.79
Cremonese by 3+	3.6%	2.7%	3.6%	0.75×	36.82