Sampdoria v Virtus Entella — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Sampdoria

18:00 UTC

Virtus Entella

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 103h before kick-off

Sampdoria win

39.0%

model 38.1%

Draw

30.5%

model 31.1%

Virtus Entella win

30.5%

model 30.9%

393030

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.7%
0-0 11.2%
1-0 10.4%
0-1 9.0%
2-1 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.5%	Under 2.5	58.5%
BTTS yes	49.0%	BTTS no	51.0%
Sampdoria 1+	71.2%	Sampdoria 2+	35.4%
Virtus Entella 1+	66.6%	Virtus Entella 2+	30.0%

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.10. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

50/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 46%

53.3% fair odds 1.88

moderate signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Virtus Entella (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Sampdoria.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Sampdoria have an estimated 39.0% win probability, against 30.5% for the draw and 30.5% for Virtus Entella. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.25 for Sampdoria and 1.10 for Virtus Entella.

Why Sampdoria

Nothing in the data singles out Sampdoria.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.5%. A combined 2.34 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.25 to 1.10. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Virtus Entella can win

Nothing in the data singles out Virtus Entella.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sampdoria, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Virtus Entella, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sampdoria: 57% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Virtus Entella: 52% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Sampdoria are the model's most likely outcome at 39.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.7%. Confidence 50/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	383131	1.25–1.10	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	353333	1.10–1.06	1-1 15%	37%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria to win	34.7%	30.4%	42.7%	0.71×	3.29
Draw	32.7%	30.4%	31.9%	0.95×	3.29
Virtus Entella to win	32.7%	30.4%	25.5%	1.19×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria & not both score	21.6%	21.8%	23.9%	0.91×	4.59
Virtus Entella & not both score	20.2%	21.8%	13.3%	1.63×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.5%	18.0%	22.9%	0.78×	5.56
Sampdoria & both teams score	13.1%	13.3%	18.9%	0.70×	7.54
Draw & not both score	13.2%	13.3%	9.1%	1.46×	7.54
Virtus Entella & both teams score	12.5%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria & under 3.5	28.0%	26.1%	31.9%	0.82×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	28.2%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	28.2%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Virtus Entella & under 3.5	26.5%	26.1%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
Sampdoria & over 1.5	23.6%	21.6%	31.8%	0.68×	4.63
Virtus Entella & over 1.5	22.0%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.5%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.55
Sampdoria & under 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	18.4%	0.98×	5.56
Sampdoria & over 2.5	16.6%	18.0%	24.4%	0.74×	5.56
Virtus Entella & under 2.5	17.1%	18.0%	10.6%	1.70×	5.56
Virtus Entella & over 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	13.2%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Sampdoria & under 1.5	11.1%	12.8%	11.1%	1.16×	7.79
Virtus Entella & under 1.5	10.7%	12.8%	6.8%	1.87×	7.79
Sampdoria & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	11.0%	0.72×	12.63
Virtus Entella & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.4%	4.8%	8.3%	0.58×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.4%	4.8%	8.3%	0.58×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (1UP)	49.3%	44.0%	—	—	2.28
Virtus Entella (1UP)	47.5%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (2UP)	34.7%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
Virtus Entella (2UP)	32.7%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.9%	41.9%	—	—	2.38
Virtus Entella to win 2nd half	29.3%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Sampdoria to win 2nd half	28.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.7%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Virtus Entella under 0.5 in 2nd half	53.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Virtus Entella over 0.5 in 2nd half	47.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Virtus Entella over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.3%	12.9%	—	—	7.74

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.0%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Sampdoria under 0.5 in 2nd half	53.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Sampdoria over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.5%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Sampdoria over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.0%	11.3%	—	—	8.89

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (+2.5)	95.5%	96.3%	93.3%	1.03×	1.04
Virtus Entella (+1.5)	85.4%	88.5%	80.3%	1.10×	1.13
Sampdoria (+0.5)	67.3%	68.7%	74.5%	0.92×	1.46
Virtus Entella (+0.5)	65.3%	68.7%	57.3%	1.20×	1.46
Sampdoria (-0.5)	34.7%	31.3%	42.7%	0.73×	3.19
Virtus Entella (-0.5)	32.7%	31.3%	25.5%	1.23×	3.19
Sampdoria (-1.5)	14.6%	11.5%	19.7%	0.59×	8.66
Sampdoria (-2.5)	4.5%	3.7%	6.7%	0.55×	27.05

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to concede	66.6%	72.3%	77.7%	0.93×	1.38
Virtus Entella clean sheet	33.4%	27.7%	22.3%	1.24×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella clean sheet in 1st half	62.4%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Virtus Entella to concede in 1st half	37.6%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella clean sheet in 2nd half	53.5%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Virtus Entella to concede in 2nd half	46.5%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 6.5 corners	85.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Virtus Entella under 5.5 corners	76.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Virtus Entella over 2.5 corners	70.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Virtus Entella under 4.5 corners	63.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Virtus Entella over 3.5 corners	53.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Virtus Entella under 3.5 corners	47.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Virtus Entella over 4.5 corners	36.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Virtus Entella under 2.5 corners	29.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Virtus Entella over 5.5 corners	23.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Virtus Entella over 6.5 corners	14.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 3.5 goals	97.7%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Virtus Entella under 2.5 goals	90.9%	92.3%	90.8%	1.02×	1.08
Virtus Entella under 1.5 goals	71.4%	71.8%	69.4%	1.04×	1.39
Virtus Entella over 0.5 goals	65.3%	68.0%	67.1%	1.01×	1.47
Virtus Entella under 0.5 goals	34.7%	32.0%	32.9%	0.97×	3.12
Virtus Entella over 1.5 goals	28.6%	28.2%	30.6%	0.92×	3.55
Virtus Entella over 2.5 goals	9.1%	7.7%	9.2%	0.83×	13.05
Virtus Entella over 3.5 goals	2.3%	2.5%	1.9%	1.34×	39.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 1.5 in 1st half	93.2%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Virtus Entella under 0.5 in 1st half	65.5%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Virtus Entella over 0.5 in 1st half	34.5%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Virtus Entella over 1.5 in 1st half	6.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.55

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella scores equally in both	44.7%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
Virtus Entella scores more in 2nd half	34.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Virtus Entella scores more in 1st half	20.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (away no bet)	51.5%	51.7%	57.3%	0.90×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	48.5%	48.3%	42.7%	1.13×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella even goals	56.0%	56.9%	55.4%	1.03×	1.76
Virtus Entella odd goals	44.0%	43.1%	44.6%	0.97×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.9%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.1%	8.5%	—	—	11.81

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	51.2%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Both halves under 1.5 goals	48.8%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	43.5%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Sampdoria to score 2+ in a row	24.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Virtus Entella to score 2+ in a row	22.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.23
Sampdoria to score 3+ in a row	6.6%	5.5%	—	—	18.25
Virtus Entella to score 3+ in a row	5.9%	5.5%	—	—	18.30

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria corners (+3.5)	91.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Sampdoria corners (+2.5)	86.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Sampdoria corners (+1.5)	79.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Virtus Entella corners (+3.5)	72.2%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Virtus Entella corners (+2.5)	62.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Virtus Entella corners (+1.5)	51.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Sampdoria corners (-1.5)	48.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Sampdoria corners (-2.5)	37.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Sampdoria corners (-3.5)	27.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Virtus Entella corners (-1.5)	20.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Virtus Entella corners (-2.5)	13.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Virtus Entella corners (-3.5)	8.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	43.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	26.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.5%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	67.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	64.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	56.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	54.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	45.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	43.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	35.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	32.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	26.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	19.5%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	15.0%	13.8%	14.7%	0.94×	7.24
0-0	13.2%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.71
0-1	10.7%	11.5%	6.8%	1.68×	8.72
1-0	11.1%	11.5%	11.1%	1.04×	8.72
0-2	6.5%	7.4%	3.9%	1.92×	13.51
1-2	7.1%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-0	7.0%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-1	7.4%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
0-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.31
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.32
1-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
2-2	3.9%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.30
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
3-0	2.6%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
3-1	2.7%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.32
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.32
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	6.88×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
Any other score	1.0%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (2nd half DNB)	50.5%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Sampdoria (2nd half DNB)	49.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria leading at HT (DNB)	53.4%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Virtus Entella leading at HT (DNB)	46.6%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria or draw (1X)	67.3%	69.6%	74.5%	0.93×	1.44
Sampdoria or Virtus Entella (12)	67.3%	69.6%	68.1%	1.02×	1.44
Virtus Entella or draw (X2)	65.3%	69.6%	57.3%	1.22×	1.44

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria or draw at HT	76.7%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Virtus Entella or draw at HT	73.3%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Sampdoria or Virtus Entella at HT	50.0%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria or draw (1UP)	67.3%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Virtus Entella or draw (1UP)	65.3%	76.3%	—	—	1.31

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella or draw in 2nd half	71.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Sampdoria or draw in 2nd half	70.7%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Sampdoria or Virtus Entella in 2nd half	58.1%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.3%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	30.7%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (DNB)	51.5%	50.9%	62.6%	0.81×	1.97
Virtus Entella (DNB)	48.5%	49.1%	37.4%	1.31×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria to score first	44.2%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Virtus Entella to score first	42.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	13.2%	10.0%	—	—	9.96

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.9%	51.3%	46.1%	1.11×	1.95
Both teams to score	45.1%	48.7%	53.9%	0.90×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	48.4%	44.3%	37.9%	1.17×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	30.1%	34.5%	39.4%	0.88×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	15.0%	21.5%	14.7%	1.46×	4.66
Not both score & over 2.5	6.5%	8.3%	8.3%	0.99×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.4%	89.0%	86.1%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.6%	11.0%	13.9%	0.79×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.6%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.4%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	67.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	19.6%	15.1%	—	—	6.63
Both score 1st half only	10.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.35
Both score in both halves	2.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.59

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.7%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	13.3%	15.2%	—	—	6.60

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	56.8%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	43.2%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.8%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12
0-1 goals	35.0%	30.8%	26.8%	1.15×	3.25
4-6 goals	16.5%	20.2%	23.5%	0.86×	4.95
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	1.4%	1.34×	54.50

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Virtus Entella to score exactly 0	34.7%	33.8%	32.9%	1.03×	2.96
Virtus Entella to score exactly 2	19.4%	19.5%	21.5%	0.91×	5.12
Virtus Entella to score 3+	9.1%	8.6%	9.2%	0.93×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.5%	35.9%	0.99×	2.81
Sampdoria to score exactly 0	33.4%	32.6%	22.3%	1.46×	3.07
Sampdoria to score exactly 2	20.1%	23.3%	25.9%	0.90×	4.30
Sampdoria to score 3+	9.9%	10.4%	16.2%	0.64×	9.64

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	50.0%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Sampdoria leading at HT	26.7%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Virtus Entella leading at HT	23.3%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria -1: 2	65.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Sampdoria -1: X	20.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Sampdoria -1: 1	14.6%	14.0%	—	—	7.13

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:1)	65.3%	65.2%	57.3%	1.14×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	20.1%	24.2%	23.2%	1.05×	4.13
Sampdoria (0:1)	14.6%	13.7%	19.7%	0.70×	7.29

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:2)	85.4%	87.1%	80.3%	1.08×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	10.1%	11.0%	13.1%	0.84×	9.11
Sampdoria (0:2)	4.5%	3.8%	6.7%	0.56×	26.64

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:3)	95.5%	96.6%	93.3%	1.04×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.4%	2.4%	4.6%	0.52×	41.99
Sampdoria (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	2.2%	1.06×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	1.4%	0.89×	81.87
Sampdoria (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.22×	81.94

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (1:0)	67.3%	70.2%	74.5%	0.94×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	19.3%	17.1%	15.7%	1.09×	5.84
Virtus Entella (1:0)	13.4%	12.7%	10.0%	1.28×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (2:0)	86.6%	88.5%	90.0%	0.98×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.4%	6.4%	6.5%	0.99×	15.63
Virtus Entella (2:0)	4.0%	2.3%	3.6%	0.63×	43.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.5%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
Halves equal	31.2%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
1st half highest scoring	25.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria to concede	65.3%	66.6%	67.1%	0.99×	1.50
Sampdoria clean sheet	34.7%	33.4%	32.9%	1.01×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria clean sheet in 1st half	65.5%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Sampdoria to concede in 1st half	34.5%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria clean sheet in 2nd half	53.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Sampdoria to concede in 2nd half	47.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria over 2.5 corners	85.2%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Sampdoria over 3.5 corners	72.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Sampdoria under 6.5 corners	68.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Sampdoria over 4.5 corners	58.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Sampdoria under 5.5 corners	55.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Sampdoria over 5.5 corners	44.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Sampdoria under 4.5 corners	41.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Sampdoria over 6.5 corners	31.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Sampdoria under 3.5 corners	27.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Sampdoria under 2.5 corners	14.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria under 3.5 goals	97.4%	96.4%	95.9%	1.01×	1.04
Sampdoria under 2.5 goals	90.1%	92.2%	83.8%	1.10×	1.09
Sampdoria under 1.5 goals	70.0%	68.0%	58.0%	1.17×	1.47
Sampdoria over 0.5 goals	66.6%	67.9%	77.7%	0.87×	1.47
Sampdoria under 0.5 goals	33.4%	32.1%	22.3%	1.44×	3.12
Sampdoria over 1.5 goals	30.0%	32.0%	42.0%	0.76×	3.12
Sampdoria over 2.5 goals	9.9%	7.8%	16.2%	0.48×	12.81
Sampdoria over 3.5 goals	2.6%	3.6%	4.1%	0.88×	27.57

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria under 1.5 in 1st half	91.8%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Sampdoria under 0.5 in 1st half	62.4%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Sampdoria over 0.5 in 1st half	37.6%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Sampdoria over 1.5 in 1st half	8.2%	5.3%	—	—	18.88

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria scores equally in both	44.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
Sampdoria scores more in 2nd half	33.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Sampdoria scores more in 1st half	23.0%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (home no bet)	50.0%	51.4%	44.5%	1.16×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	50.0%	48.6%	55.5%	0.88×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria even goals	55.6%	55.3%	50.9%	1.09×	1.81
Sampdoria odd goals	44.4%	44.7%	49.1%	0.91×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	41.1%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
HT 1-0	19.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	17.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	8.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
HT 2-0	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 0-2	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
Any other HT score	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	22.6%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Sampdoria at HT / Sampdoria at FT	19.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Virtus Entella at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	13.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Sampdoria at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Sampdoria at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Virtus Entella at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Sampdoria at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.97
Virtus Entella at HT / Sampdoria at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria to score last	44.2%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
Virtus Entella to score last	42.6%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	13.2%	9.4%	—	—	10.59

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	86.8%	91.2%	—	—	1.10
Sampdoria to lead by 1 at any time	49.3%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Virtus Entella to lead by 1 at any time	47.5%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	36.3%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Sampdoria to lead by 2 at any time	18.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Virtus Entella to lead by 2 at any time	17.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Sampdoria to lead by 3 at any time	5.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.13
Virtus Entella to lead by 3 at any time	5.0%	1.7%	—	—	60.53

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria most corners	59.6%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Virtus Entella most corners	29.8%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.5%	83.4%	87.3%	0.96×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.1%	83.4%	82.1%	1.02×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.6%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-6 goals	64.4%	63.3%	72.0%	0.88×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.8%	63.3%	69.6%	0.91×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.3%	59.1%	64.4%	0.92×	1.69
1-2 goals	50.3%	53.1%	43.5%	1.22×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.8%	48.4%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
3-6 goals	35.9%	39.2%	46.3%	0.85×	2.55
3-5 goals	34.3%	35.2%	44.0%	0.80×	2.84
3-4 goals	29.8%	30.2%	38.7%	0.78×	3.31
4-6 goals	16.5%	18.8%	23.5%	0.80×	5.31
4-5 goals	14.9%	14.8%	21.2%	0.70×	6.75
5-6 goals	6.1%	8.9%	7.7%	1.15×	11.27
7+ goals	0.7%	2.5%	1.4%	1.86×	39.24

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria never behind	39.3%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Virtus Entella never behind	37.5%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.2%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.8%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.1%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.9%	41.6%	—	—	2.41

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.7%	95.4%	96.3%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	86.8%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	82.8%	82.3%	75.2%	1.09×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	65.0%	66.3%	73.2%	0.91×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	63.5%	61.7%	52.4%	1.18×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	36.5%	38.3%	47.6%	0.80×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	35.0%	33.7%	26.8%	1.26×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	17.2%	17.7%	24.8%	0.71×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	13.2%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	9.0%	0.86×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.3%	4.6%	3.7%	1.23×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.6%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.4%	92.4%	89.3%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	78.7%	75.9%	67.9%	1.12×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	51.1%	51.9%	64.0%	0.81×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	48.9%	48.1%	36.0%	1.34×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	21.3%	24.1%	32.1%	0.75×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.6%	7.6%	10.7%	0.71×	13.19
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.4%	2.8%	3.9%	0.71×	35.62
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	1.4%	2.00×	35.67

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.8%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	77.1%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	58.9%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Under 0.5 in 1st half	41.1%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Over 1.5 in 1st half	22.9%	21.9%	—	—	4.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.6%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.1%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.5%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.5%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.9%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.4%	14.7%	—	—	6.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to score in both halves	83.8%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Sampdoria not to score in both halves	82.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Sampdoria to score in both halves	17.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
Virtus Entella to score in both halves	16.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.1%	50.6%	53.9%	0.94×	1.98
Only Sampdoria scores	21.6%	22.2%	23.9%	0.93×	4.50
Only Virtus Entella scores	20.2%	22.2%	13.3%	1.67×	4.50
Neither team scores	13.2%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.5%	24.9%	25.8%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	21.8%	22.6%	17.8%	1.27×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.3%	17.5%	22.9%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	13.2%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	10.4%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	4.5%	4.5%	5.4%	0.84×	22.33
6 or more goals	2.3%	4.5%	3.7%	1.20×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	41.1%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
1 goal in 1st half	36.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	16.6%	15.6%	—	—	6.39
3+ goals in 1st half	6.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.08

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	36.5%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
1 goal in 2nd half	34.7%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	28.9%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to win both halves	93.0%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Sampdoria not to win both halves	92.1%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Sampdoria to win both halves	7.9%	5.9%	—	—	17.09
Virtus Entella to win both halves	7.0%	5.8%	—	—	17.15

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to win neither half	54.4%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Sampdoria to win neither half	52.4%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Sampdoria to win either half	47.6%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Virtus Entella to win either half	45.6%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to win to nil	79.8%	78.2%	86.7%	0.90×	1.28
Sampdoria not to win to nil	78.5%	78.1%	76.1%	1.03×	1.28
Sampdoria to win to nil	21.6%	21.9%	23.9%	0.91×	4.58
Virtus Entella to win to nil	20.2%	21.8%	13.3%	1.64×	4.58

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	32.7%	27.7%	31.9%	0.87×	3.61
Sampdoria by 1	20.1%	24.1%	23.2%	1.04×	4.15
Virtus Entella by 1	19.3%	17.1%	15.7%	1.09×	5.86
Sampdoria by 2	10.1%	11.8%	13.1%	0.90×	8.51
Virtus Entella by 2	9.4%	7.2%	6.5%	1.11×	13.90
Sampdoria by 3+	4.5%	2.7%	6.7%	0.40×	36.83
Virtus Entella by 3+	4.0%	2.7%	3.6%	0.75×	36.85