San Diego v Sporting Kansas City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

San Diego

00:00 UTC

Sporting Kansas City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 325h before kick-off

San Diego win

72.9%

model 72.4%

Draw

17.3%

model 16.5%

Sporting Kansas City win

9.8%

model 11.1%

731710

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (94 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 9.7%
2-1 9.2%
3-0 8.4%
3-1 8.0%
1-1 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	68.7%	Under 2.5	31.3%
BTTS yes	57.0%	BTTS no	43.0%
San Diego 1+	92.5%	San Diego 2+	73.2%
Sporting Kansas City 1+	61.2%	Sporting Kansas City 2+	24.5%

Expected goals 2.60 – 0.95. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

56/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

92%

★ Best pick

San Diego (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 23%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Sporting Kansas City (0:4)

Handicap 0:4 · usually 96%

84.4% fair odds 1.19

weak signal · 64 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

San Diego carry the stronger rating, 1528 Elo against 1302.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

San Diego have an estimated 72.9% win probability, against 17.3% for the draw and 9.8% for Sporting Kansas City. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.60 for San Diego and 0.95 for Sporting Kansas City.

Why San Diego

San Diego carry the stronger rating, 1528 Elo against 1302. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.3%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Sporting Kansas City can win

Nothing in the data singles out Sporting Kansas City.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for San Diego, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sporting Kansas City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

San Diego: 55% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sporting Kansas City: 41% possession, 9.2 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

San Diego are the model's most likely outcome at 72.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 9.7%. Confidence 56/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	721711	2.60–0.95	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	81127	3.07–0.86	3-0 9%	75%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego to win	80.6%	81.0%	45.3%	1.79×	1.24
Draw	12.4%	13.5%	24.8%	0.54×	7.44
Sporting Kansas City to win	7.0%	8.1%	30.0%	0.27×	12.35

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego & both teams score	40.7%	40.0%	24.4%	1.64×	2.50
San Diego & not both score	40.0%	33.4%	21.1%	1.58×	3.00
Draw & both teams score	10.1%	13.3%	19.2%	0.69×	7.54
Sporting Kansas City & both teams score	4.6%	4.9%	18.0%	0.27×	20.52
Sporting Kansas City & not both score	2.4%	4.9%	12.1%	0.40×	20.58
Draw & not both score	2.2%	4.9%	5.8%	0.84×	20.59

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego & over 1.5	74.9%	67.9%	37.2%	1.83×	1.47
San Diego & over 2.5	65.6%	67.6%	31.0%	2.18×	1.48
San Diego & over 3.5	48.2%	45.1%	17.0%	2.65×	2.22
San Diego & under 3.5	32.5%	30.7%	28.4%	1.08×	3.25
San Diego & under 2.5	15.0%	18.0%	14.4%	1.25×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	10.1%	12.8%	19.2%	0.67×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	16.0%	0.49×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	16.0%	0.49×	12.63
San Diego & under 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.63
Sporting Kansas City & over 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	23.7%	0.33×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.6%	4.8%	8.9%	0.54×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.6%	4.8%	8.9%	0.54×	20.81
Sporting Kansas City & over 2.5	4.9%	4.8%	20.5%	0.23×	20.81
Sporting Kansas City & under 3.5	4.6%	4.8%	18.8%	0.26×	20.81
Sporting Kansas City & over 3.5	2.4%	4.8%	11.3%	0.43×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	2.2%	4.8%	5.8%	0.84×	20.82
Sporting Kansas City & under 2.5	2.2%	4.8%	9.6%	0.50×	20.82
Sporting Kansas City & under 1.5	1.4%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego (1UP)	88.3%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
Sporting Kansas City (1UP)	24.8%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego (2UP)	80.6%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Sporting Kansas City (2UP)	7.0%	8.1%	—	—	12.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego to win 2nd half	67.4%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
2nd half drawn	22.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
Sporting Kansas City to win 2nd half	10.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.4%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Sporting Kansas City under 0.5 in 2nd half	59.6%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Sporting Kansas City over 0.5 in 2nd half	40.4%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Sporting Kansas City over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.6%	8.0%	—	—	12.47

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.6%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
San Diego over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
San Diego under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.9%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
San Diego under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.4%	17.3%	—	—	5.77

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego (+0.5)	93.0%	92.1%	70.0%	1.32×	1.09
San Diego (-0.5)	80.6%	82.5%	45.3%	1.82×	1.21
San Diego (-1.5)	62.5%	62.9%	23.2%	2.71×	1.59
Sporting Kansas City (+2.5)	58.2%	57.0%	89.4%	0.64×	1.75
San Diego (-2.5)	41.8%	43.0%	10.6%	4.05×	2.33
Sporting Kansas City (+1.5)	37.5%	37.1%	76.8%	0.48×	2.70
Sporting Kansas City (+0.5)	19.4%	17.5%	54.7%	0.32×	5.73
Sporting Kansas City (-0.5)	7.0%	7.9%	30.0%	0.26×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City to concede	95.3%	96.2%	82.3%	1.17×	1.04
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet	4.7%	3.8%	17.7%	0.21×	26.46

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City to concede in 1st half	73.3%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet in 1st half	26.7%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City to concede in 2nd half	82.6%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet in 2nd half	17.4%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City under 6.5 corners	93.0%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Sporting Kansas City under 5.5 corners	86.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Sporting Kansas City under 4.5 corners	76.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Sporting Kansas City under 3.5 corners	61.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Sporting Kansas City over 2.5 corners	58.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Sporting Kansas City under 2.5 corners	42.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Sporting Kansas City over 3.5 corners	38.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Sporting Kansas City over 4.5 corners	23.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Sporting Kansas City over 5.5 corners	13.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
Sporting Kansas City over 6.5 corners	7.0%	10.1%	—	—	9.89

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City under 3.5 goals	98.8%	97.5%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
Sporting Kansas City under 2.5 goals	94.3%	92.4%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
Sporting Kansas City under 1.5 goals	78.6%	76.3%	61.2%	1.25×	1.31
Sporting Kansas City over 0.5 goals	57.8%	59.4%	73.3%	0.81×	1.68
Sporting Kansas City under 0.5 goals	42.2%	40.6%	26.7%	1.52×	2.47
Sporting Kansas City over 1.5 goals	21.4%	23.7%	38.8%	0.61×	4.21
Sporting Kansas City over 2.5 goals	5.7%	7.6%	16.7%	0.46×	13.08
Sporting Kansas City over 3.5 goals	1.2%	2.5%	6.0%	0.42×	40.01

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City under 1.5 in 1st half	95.3%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Sporting Kansas City under 0.5 in 1st half	70.8%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Sporting Kansas City over 0.5 in 1st half	29.2%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
Sporting Kansas City over 1.5 in 1st half	4.7%	4.0%	—	—	24.79

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City scores equally in both	50.1%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Sporting Kansas City scores more in 2nd half	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
Sporting Kansas City scores more in 1st half	18.9%	18.2%	—	—	5.51

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego (away no bet)	86.7%	84.5%	64.6%	1.31×	1.18
Draw (away no bet)	13.3%	15.5%	35.4%	0.44×	6.44

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City even goals	58.9%	56.9%	53.6%	1.06×	1.76
Sporting Kansas City odd goals	41.1%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	67.2%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Both halves over 1.5 goals	32.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	83.0%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Both halves under 1.5 goals	17.0%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	80.0%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
San Diego to score 2+ in a row	75.2%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Either team to score 3+ in a row	49.6%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
San Diego to score 3+ in a row	48.1%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
Sporting Kansas City to score 2+ in a row	11.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Sporting Kansas City to score 3+ in a row	1.9%	2.5%	—	—	39.66

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego corners (+3.5)	95.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
San Diego corners (+2.5)	91.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
San Diego corners (+1.5)	85.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Sporting Kansas City corners (+3.5)	66.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
San Diego corners (-1.5)	56.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Sporting Kansas City corners (+2.5)	55.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
San Diego corners (-2.5)	44.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Sporting Kansas City corners (+1.5)	43.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
San Diego corners (-3.5)	33.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Sporting Kansas City corners (-1.5)	14.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Sporting Kansas City corners (-2.5)	8.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Sporting Kansas City corners (-3.5)	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.42

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	53.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	19.6%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.3%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	80.4%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	72.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	63.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	58.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	53.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	46.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 7.5 corners	41.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	36.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	27.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.6%	19.4%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	13.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.90

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	19.6%	13.9%	4.7%	2.93×	7.22
2-0	9.3%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.51
3-0	9.5%	7.4%	4.2%	1.77×	13.51
2-1	8.0%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
3-1	8.2%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.51
4-0	7.3%	7.4%	1.2%	5.97×	13.51
4-1	6.3%	7.4%	2.4%	3.13×	13.51
1-0	5.8%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.51
1-1	5.5%	7.4%	10.4%	0.71×	13.51
4-2	2.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.30
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.31
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32
0-0	2.2%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.31
0-1	1.4%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.31
0-2	0.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.32
0-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.32
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
1-2	2.2%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.31
1-3	0.6%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.32
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
2-2	3.4%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
2-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.32
3-2	3.5%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego (2nd half DNB)	86.7%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Sporting Kansas City (2nd half DNB)	13.3%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego leading at HT (DNB)	86.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Sporting Kansas City leading at HT (DNB)	13.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego or draw (1X)	93.0%	91.9%	70.0%	1.31×	1.09
San Diego or Sporting Kansas City (12)	87.6%	86.6%	75.2%	1.15×	1.16
Sporting Kansas City or draw (X2)	19.4%	19.0%	54.7%	0.35×	5.26

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego or draw at HT	90.4%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
San Diego or Sporting Kansas City at HT	71.3%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Sporting Kansas City or draw at HT	38.2%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego or draw (1UP)	93.0%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Sporting Kansas City or draw (1UP)	24.8%	24.6%	—	—	4.06

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego or draw in 2nd half	89.7%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
San Diego or Sporting Kansas City in 2nd half	77.7%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Sporting Kansas City or draw in 2nd half	32.6%	37.0%	—	—	2.71

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	55.7%	58.7%	—	—	1.71
A half drawn	44.3%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego (DNB)	92.0%	93.2%	60.2%	1.55×	1.07
Sporting Kansas City (DNB)	8.0%	6.8%	39.8%	0.17×	14.81

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego to score first	76.3%	80.5%	—	—	1.24
Sporting Kansas City to score first	21.5%	22.5%	—	—	4.45
No goal scored	2.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.33

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.4%	55.0%	61.3%	0.90×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.6%	45.0%	38.7%	1.16×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.9%	44.4%	51.1%	0.87×	2.25
Not both score & over 2.5	25.2%	33.3%	9.2%	3.60×	3.00
Not both score & under 2.5	19.4%	21.6%	29.5%	0.73×	4.63
Both score & under 2.5	5.5%	8.3%	10.4%	0.80×	12.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.7%	82.6%	79.5%	1.04×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.3%	17.4%	20.5%	0.85×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.5%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	52.2%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Both score 2nd half only	26.3%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	14.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.25
Both score in both halves	7.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.67

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.6%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.4%	18.8%	—	—	5.32

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	72.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
A half without a goal	27.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	45.1%	47.2%	33.0%	1.43×	2.12
2-3 goals	35.4%	35.1%	43.0%	0.82×	2.85
7+ goals	10.1%	16.9%	4.1%	4.17×	5.91
0-1 goals	9.4%	7.6%	20.2%	0.38×	13.09

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City to score exactly 0	42.2%	37.3%	26.7%	1.40×	2.68
Sporting Kansas City to score exactly 1	36.4%	35.9%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Sporting Kansas City to score exactly 2	15.7%	19.5%	22.2%	0.88×	5.12
Sporting Kansas City to score 3+	5.7%	8.5%	16.7%	0.51×	11.72

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego to score 3+	59.1%	45.2%	25.0%	1.81×	2.21
San Diego to score exactly 2	21.9%	23.3%	26.4%	0.88×	4.29
San Diego to score exactly 1	14.3%	14.3%	31.1%	0.46×	6.98
San Diego to score exactly 0	4.7%	6.2%	17.7%	0.35×	16.09

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego leading at HT	61.8%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Draw at HT	28.7%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Sporting Kansas City leading at HT	9.6%	9.1%	—	—	10.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego -1: 1	62.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
San Diego -1: 2	19.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.70
San Diego -1: X	18.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego (0:1)	62.5%	61.4%	23.2%	2.64×	1.63
Sporting Kansas City (0:1)	19.4%	17.8%	54.7%	0.33×	5.60
Draw (0:1)	18.2%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego (0:2)	41.8%	38.7%	10.6%	3.65×	2.58
Sporting Kansas City (0:2)	37.5%	38.4%	76.8%	0.50×	2.61
Draw (0:2)	20.7%	20.3%	12.7%	1.59×	4.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City (0:3)	58.2%	69.9%	89.4%	0.78×	1.43
San Diego (0:3)	24.1%	20.0%	4.1%	4.93×	4.99
Draw (0:3)	17.7%	16.3%	6.7%	2.44×	6.15

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City (0:4)	75.9%	80.5%	95.9%	0.84×	1.24
Draw (0:4)	12.1%	9.9%	2.0%	4.89×	10.08
San Diego (0:4)	12.0%	9.9%	2.1%	4.63×	10.09

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego (1:0)	93.0%	92.7%	70.0%	1.32×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	4.9%	3.3%	17.1%	0.19×	30.36
Sporting Kansas City (1:0)	2.1%	3.2%	13.0%	0.25×	30.79

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego (2:0)	97.9%	96.8%	87.0%	1.11×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	1.6%	2.3%	8.6%	0.27×	43.79
Sporting Kansas City (2:0)	0.5%	2.3%	4.5%	0.51×	43.86

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.2%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	20.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego to concede	57.8%	60.7%	73.3%	0.83×	1.65
San Diego clean sheet	42.2%	39.3%	26.7%	1.47×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego clean sheet in 1st half	70.8%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
San Diego to concede in 1st half	29.2%	33.5%	—	—	2.99

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego clean sheet in 2nd half	59.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
San Diego to concede in 2nd half	40.4%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego over 2.5 corners	84.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
San Diego over 3.5 corners	71.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
San Diego under 6.5 corners	68.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
San Diego over 4.5 corners	57.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
San Diego under 5.5 corners	56.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
San Diego over 5.5 corners	43.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
San Diego under 4.5 corners	42.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
San Diego over 6.5 corners	31.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
San Diego under 3.5 corners	28.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
San Diego under 2.5 corners	15.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego over 0.5 goals	95.3%	96.4%	82.3%	1.17×	1.04
San Diego over 1.5 goals	81.1%	82.2%	51.3%	1.60×	1.22
San Diego under 3.5 goals	63.3%	63.6%	90.6%	0.70×	1.57
San Diego over 2.5 goals	59.1%	58.6%	25.0%	2.34×	1.71
San Diego under 2.5 goals	40.9%	41.4%	75.0%	0.55×	2.42
San Diego over 3.5 goals	36.7%	36.4%	9.4%	3.89×	2.75
San Diego under 1.5 goals	18.9%	17.8%	48.7%	0.37×	5.62
San Diego under 0.5 goals	4.7%	3.6%	17.7%	0.21×	27.47

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego over 0.5 in 1st half	73.3%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
San Diego under 1.5 in 1st half	62.0%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
San Diego over 1.5 in 1st half	38.0%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
San Diego under 0.5 in 1st half	26.7%	20.5%	—	—	4.87

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego scores more in 2nd half	47.5%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
San Diego scores more in 1st half	29.0%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
San Diego scores equally in both	23.5%	21.1%	—	—	4.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	63.8%	60.0%	45.3%	1.33×	1.67
Sporting Kansas City (home no bet)	36.2%	40.0%	54.7%	0.73×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego even goals	50.1%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
San Diego odd goals	49.9%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	24.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-0	19.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 2-0	16.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
Any other HT score	15.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.42
HT 1-1	8.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
HT 0-1	6.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 2-1	5.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
HT 0-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.14

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego at HT / San Diego at FT	58.0%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Draw at HT / San Diego at FT	19.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	6.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.45
Sporting Kansas City at HT / San Diego at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Sporting Kansas City at HT / Sporting Kansas City at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
San Diego at HT / Draw at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Draw at HT / Sporting Kansas City at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Sporting Kansas City at HT / Draw at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
San Diego at HT / Sporting Kansas City at FT	0.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego to score last	76.4%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Sporting Kansas City to score last	21.4%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
No goal scored	2.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.33

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.8%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
San Diego to lead by 1 at any time	88.3%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	73.5%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
San Diego to lead by 2 at any time	68.6%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	46.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
San Diego to lead by 3 at any time	45.8%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Sporting Kansas City to lead by 1 at any time	24.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Sporting Kansas City to lead by 2 at any time	5.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.05
Sporting Kansas City to lead by 3 at any time	1.0%	1.6%	—	—	63.97

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego most corners	67.7%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Sporting Kansas City most corners	22.2%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Corners level	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	80.4%	83.4%	75.9%	1.10×	1.20
1-5 goals	77.5%	78.7%	83.4%	0.94×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.4%	72.3%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
3-6 goals	65.0%	63.3%	56.3%	1.13×	1.58
1-4 goals	62.1%	63.3%	73.2%	0.87×	1.58
2-4 goals	55.0%	53.2%	58.7%	0.91×	1.88
3-5 goals	54.9%	53.2%	49.4%	1.08×	1.88
4-6 goals	45.1%	48.5%	33.0%	1.47×	2.06
1-3 goals	42.5%	43.6%	57.4%	0.76×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.5%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
2-3 goals	35.4%	39.2%	43.0%	0.91×	2.55
4-5 goals	35.0%	35.2%	26.2%	1.35×	2.84
5-6 goals	25.5%	30.2%	17.2%	1.75×	3.31
1-2 goals	22.6%	24.5%	34.2%	0.72×	4.09
7+ goals	10.1%	14.8%	4.1%	3.64×	6.76

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego never behind	73.0%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Sporting Kansas City never behind	9.5%	5.0%	—	—	19.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	48.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.8%	95.4%	94.3%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	90.6%	92.3%	79.8%	1.16×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	79.8%	77.3%	89.1%	0.87×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	75.1%	77.3%	60.2%	1.28×	1.29
Under 4.5 goals	64.4%	61.8%	78.8%	0.78×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	55.2%	58.6%	37.0%	1.58×	1.71
Under 3.5 goals	44.8%	41.4%	63.0%	0.66×	2.42
Over 4.5 goals	35.6%	38.2%	21.2%	1.80×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	24.9%	22.7%	39.8%	0.57×	4.40
Over 5.5 goals	20.2%	22.7%	10.9%	2.08×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	9.4%	7.7%	20.2%	0.38×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	2.2%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	88.9%	86.7%	74.9%	1.16×	1.15
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	88.7%	86.7%	95.6%	0.91×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	76.1%	75.9%	87.8%	0.86×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	68.9%	67.5%	48.2%	1.40×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	55.7%	55.8%	74.8%	0.75×	1.79
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	44.3%	44.2%	25.2%	1.76×	2.26
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	31.1%	32.5%	51.8%	0.63×	3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	23.9%	24.1%	12.2%	1.98×	4.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	11.3%	13.3%	4.4%	3.04×	7.55
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	11.1%	13.3%	25.1%	0.53×	7.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	81.0%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 1st half	76.7%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	50.4%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Over 1.5 in 1st half	49.6%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	23.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Under 0.5 in 1st half	19.0%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.5%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	66.2%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	60.6%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	39.4%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	33.8%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.5%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City not to score in both halves	88.2%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
San Diego to score in both halves	60.5%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
San Diego not to score in both halves	39.5%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Sporting Kansas City to score in both halves	11.8%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.4%	58.6%	61.3%	0.96×	1.71
Only San Diego scores	40.0%	39.9%	21.1%	1.89×	2.50
Only Sporting Kansas City scores	2.4%	4.6%	12.1%	0.38×	21.69
Neither team scores	2.2%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.69

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	20.2%	22.6%	10.9%	2.06×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.9%	17.5%	23.3%	0.75×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	19.6%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	15.5%	17.5%	19.7%	0.88×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	15.4%	17.5%	10.4%	1.68×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	7.2%	7.6%	14.5%	0.52×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	2.2%	4.5%	5.8%	0.78×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	31.4%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	26.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
3+ goals in 1st half	23.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
No goals in 1st half	19.0%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	66.2%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
1 goal in 2nd half	23.3%	22.7%	—	—	4.41
No goals in 2nd half	10.5%	14.3%	—	—	7.01

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City not to win both halves	99.0%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
San Diego not to win both halves	58.3%	56.4%	—	—	1.78
San Diego to win both halves	41.7%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Sporting Kansas City to win both halves	1.0%	2.7%	—	—	36.60

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego to win either half	87.4%	92.3%	—	—	1.08
Sporting Kansas City to win neither half	81.1%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Sporting Kansas City to win either half	18.9%	16.6%	—	—	6.02
San Diego to win neither half	12.6%	7.7%	—	—	12.96

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City not to win to nil	97.6%	96.2%	87.9%	1.09×	1.04
San Diego not to win to nil	60.0%	66.5%	78.9%	0.84×	1.50
San Diego to win to nil	40.0%	33.5%	21.1%	1.59×	2.99
Sporting Kansas City to win to nil	2.4%	3.8%	12.1%	0.32×	26.19

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego by 3+	41.8%	34.9%	10.6%	3.29×	2.87
San Diego by 2	20.7%	24.1%	12.7%	1.89×	4.15
San Diego by 1	18.2%	17.0%	22.2%	0.77×	5.87
Draw	12.4%	11.8%	24.8%	0.47×	8.51
Sporting Kansas City by 1	4.9%	2.7%	17.1%	0.16×	36.78
Sporting Kansas City by 2	1.6%	2.7%	8.6%	0.32×	36.88
Sporting Kansas City by 3+	0.5%	2.7%	4.5%	0.60×	36.92