San Lorenzo v Deportivo Riestra — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 11 October 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

San Lorenzo

18:00 UTC

Deportivo Riestra

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 860h before kick-off

San Lorenzo win

36.7%

model 36.1%

Draw

36.7%

model 37.8%

Deportivo Riestra win

26.7%

model 26.2%

373727

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-0 23.4%
1-0 18.5%
0-1 14.6%
1-1 12.6%
2-0 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	18.3%	Under 2.5	81.7%
BTTS yes	27.0%	BTTS no	73.0%
San Lorenzo 1+	55.8%	San Lorenzo 2+	19.7%
Deportivo Riestra 1+	47.7%	Deportivo Riestra 2+	13.8%

Expected goals 0.82 – 0.65. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out San Lorenzo.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

The draw is the single most likely outcome at 36.7%, with San Lorenzo at 36.7% and Deportivo Riestra at 26.7%. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.82 for San Lorenzo and 0.65 for Deportivo Riestra.

Why San Lorenzo

Nothing in the data singles out San Lorenzo.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 36.7%. A combined 1.47 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 0.82 to 0.65. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Deportivo Riestra can win

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Riestra.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for San Lorenzo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Deportivo Riestra, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

San Lorenzo: 56% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportivo Riestra: 31% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

A draw is the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-0 at 23.4%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	314227	0.64–0.58	0-0 30%	12%	21%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	42.3%	43.0%	30.7%	1.40×	2.33
San Lorenzo to win	31.0%	30.4%	41.8%	0.73×	3.29
Deportivo Riestra to win	26.7%	27.8%	27.7%	1.01×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & not both score	30.0%	25.2%	14.9%	1.69×	3.97
San Lorenzo & not both score	26.3%	25.1%	27.7%	0.91×	3.98
Deportivo Riestra & not both score	22.6%	21.8%	17.2%	1.27×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	12.4%	13.3%	15.9%	0.83×	7.54
San Lorenzo & both teams score	4.7%	4.9%	14.2%	0.35×	20.32
Deportivo Riestra & both teams score	4.1%	4.9%	10.6%	0.46×	20.34

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & under 2.5	41.3%	40.3%	28.1%	1.43×	2.48
Draw & under 3.5	41.3%	40.3%	28.1%	1.43×	2.48
Draw & under 1.5	30.0%	26.0%	14.9%	1.75×	3.84
San Lorenzo & under 3.5	29.6%	26.0%	34.8%	0.75×	3.84
Deportivo Riestra & under 3.5	25.6%	26.0%	23.6%	1.10×	3.84
San Lorenzo & under 2.5	24.8%	21.6%	23.6%	0.92×	4.63
Deportivo Riestra & under 2.5	21.5%	21.6%	14.6%	1.47×	4.63
San Lorenzo & under 1.5	18.6%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
Deportivo Riestra & under 1.5	16.6%	18.0%	10.3%	1.75×	5.56
San Lorenzo & over 1.5	12.3%	12.9%	27.7%	0.47×	7.76
Draw & over 1.5	12.4%	12.9%	15.9%	0.81×	7.76
Deportivo Riestra & over 1.5	10.1%	12.9%	17.5%	0.74×	7.76
San Lorenzo & over 2.5	6.2%	7.9%	18.3%	0.43×	12.65
Deportivo Riestra & over 2.5	5.2%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.65
San Lorenzo & over 3.5	1.4%	4.8%	7.1%	0.68×	20.87
Draw & over 2.5	1.1%	4.8%	2.6%	1.82×	20.87
Draw & over 3.5	1.1%	4.8%	2.6%	1.82×	20.87
Deportivo Riestra & over 3.5	1.1%	4.8%	4.2%	1.13×	20.87

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo (1UP)	38.7%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Deportivo Riestra (1UP)	34.6%	33.1%	—	—	3.03

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo (2UP)	31.0%	30.7%	—	—	3.25
Deportivo Riestra (2UP)	26.7%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	55.8%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
San Lorenzo to win 2nd half	22.9%	23.1%	—	—	4.33
Deportivo Riestra to win 2nd half	21.3%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra under 1.5 in 2nd half	95.3%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Deportivo Riestra under 0.5 in 2nd half	70.8%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Deportivo Riestra over 0.5 in 2nd half	29.2%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Deportivo Riestra over 1.5 in 2nd half	4.7%	7.2%	—	—	13.85

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo under 1.5 in 2nd half	94.7%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
San Lorenzo under 0.5 in 2nd half	69.3%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
San Lorenzo over 0.5 in 2nd half	30.7%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
San Lorenzo over 1.5 in 2nd half	5.3%	5.3%	—	—	18.82

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra (+2.5)	98.3%	96.3%	95.0%	1.01×	1.04
Deportivo Riestra (+1.5)	91.4%	92.1%	82.5%	1.12×	1.09
San Lorenzo (+0.5)	73.3%	73.8%	72.3%	1.02×	1.36
Deportivo Riestra (+0.5)	69.0%	68.7%	58.2%	1.18×	1.46
San Lorenzo (-0.5)	31.0%	31.3%	41.8%	0.75×	3.20
Deportivo Riestra (-0.5)	26.7%	26.2%	27.7%	0.95×	3.81
San Lorenzo (-1.5)	8.6%	7.9%	17.5%	0.45×	12.58
San Lorenzo (-2.5)	1.7%	3.7%	5.0%	0.74×	26.95

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra clean sheet	52.6%	55.9%	31.9%	1.75×	1.79
Deportivo Riestra to concede	47.4%	44.1%	68.1%	0.65×	2.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra clean sheet in 1st half	75.8%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Deportivo Riestra to concede in 1st half	24.2%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra clean sheet in 2nd half	69.3%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Deportivo Riestra to concede in 2nd half	30.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra under 6.5 corners	93.5%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Deportivo Riestra under 5.5 corners	87.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Deportivo Riestra under 4.5 corners	77.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Deportivo Riestra under 3.5 corners	61.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Deportivo Riestra over 2.5 corners	58.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Deportivo Riestra under 2.5 corners	41.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Deportivo Riestra over 3.5 corners	38.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Deportivo Riestra over 4.5 corners	23.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Deportivo Riestra over 5.5 corners	12.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Deportivo Riestra over 6.5 corners	6.5%	10.0%	—	—	9.97

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra under 3.5 goals	99.7%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Deportivo Riestra under 2.5 goals	97.9%	97.5%	93.4%	1.04×	1.03
Deportivo Riestra under 1.5 goals	88.6%	87.9%	78.1%	1.12×	1.14
Deportivo Riestra under 0.5 goals	56.3%	59.4%	42.4%	1.40×	1.68
Deportivo Riestra over 0.5 goals	43.7%	40.6%	57.6%	0.71×	2.46
Deportivo Riestra over 1.5 goals	11.4%	12.1%	21.9%	0.56×	8.24
Deportivo Riestra over 2.5 goals	2.1%	2.5%	6.6%	0.38×	40.07
Deportivo Riestra over 3.5 goals	0.3%	2.5%	1.1%	2.18×	40.16

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra under 1.5 in 1st half	97.7%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Deportivo Riestra under 0.5 in 1st half	79.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Deportivo Riestra over 0.5 in 1st half	20.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Deportivo Riestra over 1.5 in 1st half	2.3%	4.0%	—	—	24.75

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra scores equally in both	60.8%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Deportivo Riestra scores more in 2nd half	24.1%	22.4%	—	—	4.46
Deportivo Riestra scores more in 1st half	15.1%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	57.7%	57.3%	42.3%	1.35×	1.74
San Lorenzo (away no bet)	42.3%	42.7%	57.7%	0.74×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra even goals	65.8%	65.0%	58.5%	1.11×	1.54
Deportivo Riestra odd goals	34.2%	35.0%	41.5%	0.84×	2.86

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	98.5%	98.6%	—	—	1.02
Both halves over 1.5 goals	1.5%	1.4%	—	—	69.58

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	76.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Not both halves under 1.5	23.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	20.8%	19.4%	—	—	5.14
San Lorenzo to score 2+ in a row	11.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Deportivo Riestra to score 2+ in a row	9.6%	5.7%	—	—	17.56
Either team to score 3+ in a row	3.7%	2.6%	—	—	38.35
San Lorenzo to score 3+ in a row	2.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.31
Deportivo Riestra to score 3+ in a row	1.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.68

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo corners (+3.5)	95.2%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
San Lorenzo corners (+2.5)	91.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
San Lorenzo corners (+1.5)	85.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Deportivo Riestra corners (+3.5)	70.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Deportivo Riestra corners (+2.5)	58.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
San Lorenzo corners (-1.5)	53.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Deportivo Riestra corners (+1.5)	46.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
San Lorenzo corners (-2.5)	41.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
San Lorenzo corners (-3.5)	30.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Deportivo Riestra corners (-1.5)	15.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Deportivo Riestra corners (-2.5)	8.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.57
Deportivo Riestra corners (-3.5)	4.8%	4.2%	—	—	23.62

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	56.8%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
9-11 corners	27.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	16.3%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	89.1%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	83.7%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	76.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	67.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 8.5 corners	56.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	55.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 7.5 corners	44.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 8.5 corners	43.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	32.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 10.5 corners	23.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 11.5 corners	16.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Over 12.5 corners	10.9%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	30.0%	20.8%	14.9%	1.40×	4.80
1-0	18.6%	13.8%	14.2%	0.97×	7.24
0-1	16.6%	13.8%	10.3%	1.34×	7.25
1-1	11.3%	11.4%	13.4%	0.85×	8.74
2-0	6.1%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.50
0-2	4.9%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.29
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.31
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	3.00×	58.32
1-2	3.1%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.30
1-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.32
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.00×	58.32
2-1	3.5%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.30
2-2	1.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.32
2-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	14.99×	58.32
3-0	1.3%	1.7%	2.7%	0.62×	58.31
3-1	0.8%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.32
3-2	0.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.32
3-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.00×	58.32
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	14.99×	58.32
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.32
4-1	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.14×	58.32
4-2	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.00×	58.32
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.49×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.49×	58.32
Any other score	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo (2nd half DNB)	51.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Deportivo Riestra (2nd half DNB)	48.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo leading at HT (DNB)	55.2%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Deportivo Riestra leading at HT (DNB)	44.8%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo or draw (1X)	73.3%	72.2%	72.3%	1.00×	1.39
Deportivo Riestra or draw (X2)	69.0%	69.6%	58.2%	1.20×	1.44
San Lorenzo or Deportivo Riestra (12)	57.7%	57.0%	69.3%	0.82×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo or draw at HT	84.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Deportivo Riestra or draw at HT	80.3%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
San Lorenzo or Deportivo Riestra at HT	35.7%	29.0%	—	—	3.45

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo or draw (1UP)	73.3%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
Deportivo Riestra or draw (1UP)	69.0%	76.1%	—	—	1.31

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo or draw in 2nd half	78.7%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Deportivo Riestra or draw in 2nd half	77.1%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
San Lorenzo or Deportivo Riestra in 2nd half	44.2%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	83.9%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Neither half drawn	16.1%	16.1%	—	—	6.20

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo (DNB)	53.7%	50.9%	60.1%	0.85×	1.96
Deportivo Riestra (DNB)	46.3%	49.1%	39.9%	1.23×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo to score first	37.0%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	30.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Deportivo Riestra to score first	33.1%	27.2%	—	—	3.67

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	78.9%	62.5%	59.5%	1.05×	1.60
Both teams to score	21.1%	37.5%	40.5%	0.93×	2.66

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	76.2%	66.5%	52.9%	1.26×	1.51
Both score & under 2.5	11.3%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Both score & over 2.5	9.8%	8.3%	27.2%	0.31×	11.98
Not both score & over 2.5	2.6%	4.7%	6.8%	0.70×	21.30

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	98.5%	91.8%	94.1%	0.98×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	1.6%	8.2%	6.0%	1.39×	12.12

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	90.9%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
Both teams to score in 2nd half	9.1%	9.1%	—	—	11.01

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	86.3%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Both score 2nd half only	8.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.70
Both score 1st half only	4.6%	5.1%	—	—	19.80
Both score in both halves	0.4%	4.8%	—	—	20.70

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	95.0%	95.1%	—	—	1.05
Both teams to score by HT	5.0%	4.9%	—	—	20.38

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	79.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
A goal in each half	20.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	65.2%	55.5%	39.1%	1.42×	1.80
2-3 goals	31.2%	30.7%	47.3%	0.65×	3.25
4-6 goals	3.5%	1.8%	13.4%	0.14×	54.53
7+ goals	0.0%	1.8%	0.5%	3.98×	54.90

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra to score exactly 0	56.3%	52.0%	42.4%	1.22×	1.93
Deportivo Riestra to score exactly 1	32.4%	33.7%	35.8%	0.94×	2.96
Deportivo Riestra to score exactly 2	9.3%	8.5%	15.3%	0.56×	11.70
Deportivo Riestra to score 3+	2.1%	4.5%	6.6%	0.68×	22.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo to score exactly 0	52.6%	43.4%	31.9%	1.36×	2.31
San Lorenzo to score exactly 1	33.8%	32.6%	36.5%	0.89×	3.07
San Lorenzo to score exactly 2	10.9%	14.4%	21.7%	0.66×	6.95
San Lorenzo to score 3+	2.8%	6.2%	10.1%	0.62×	16.09

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	64.3%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
San Lorenzo leading at HT	19.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
Deportivo Riestra leading at HT	16.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo -1: 2	69.0%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
San Lorenzo -1: X	22.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
San Lorenzo -1: 1	8.6%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra (0:1)	69.0%	65.3%	58.2%	1.12×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	22.4%	24.3%	24.4%	1.00×	4.12
San Lorenzo (0:1)	8.6%	9.3%	17.5%	0.53×	10.75

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra (0:2)	91.4%	90.7%	82.5%	1.10×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.9%	7.7%	12.6%	0.61×	12.98
San Lorenzo (0:2)	1.7%	3.8%	5.0%	0.75×	26.51

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra (0:3)	98.3%	96.6%	95.0%	1.02×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	3.4%	0.69×	42.17
San Lorenzo (0:3)	0.3%	2.4%	1.7%	1.38×	42.22

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra (0:4)	99.7%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
San Lorenzo (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	0.6%	2.09×	83.75
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.3%	0.95×	83.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo (1:0)	73.3%	72.6%	72.3%	1.00×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	20.0%	17.0%	18.7%	0.91×	5.88
Deportivo Riestra (1:0)	6.7%	6.9%	9.2%	0.76×	14.42

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo (2:0)	93.3%	93.9%	90.8%	1.03×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	5.5%	6.4%	6.3%	1.02×	15.52
Deportivo Riestra (2:0)	1.2%	2.3%	3.0%	0.77×	43.78

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Halves equal	41.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
2nd half highest scoring	35.5%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
1st half highest scoring	22.7%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo clean sheet	56.3%	60.9%	42.4%	1.43×	1.64
San Lorenzo to concede	43.7%	39.1%	57.6%	0.68×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo clean sheet in 1st half	79.5%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
San Lorenzo to concede in 1st half	20.5%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo clean sheet in 2nd half	70.8%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
San Lorenzo to concede in 2nd half	29.2%	27.4%	—	—	3.66

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo over 2.5 corners	82.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
San Lorenzo under 6.5 corners	73.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
San Lorenzo over 3.5 corners	68.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
San Lorenzo under 5.5 corners	61.0%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
San Lorenzo over 4.5 corners	53.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
San Lorenzo under 4.5 corners	46.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
San Lorenzo over 5.5 corners	39.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
San Lorenzo under 3.5 corners	31.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
San Lorenzo over 6.5 corners	26.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
San Lorenzo under 2.5 corners	17.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo under 3.5 goals	99.6%	96.4%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
San Lorenzo under 2.5 goals	97.2%	96.3%	89.9%	1.07×	1.04
San Lorenzo under 1.5 goals	86.4%	87.2%	68.3%	1.28×	1.15
San Lorenzo under 0.5 goals	52.6%	53.2%	31.9%	1.67×	1.88
San Lorenzo over 0.5 goals	47.4%	46.8%	68.1%	0.69×	2.14
San Lorenzo over 1.5 goals	13.6%	12.8%	31.7%	0.40×	7.82
San Lorenzo over 2.5 goals	2.8%	3.7%	10.1%	0.36×	27.33
San Lorenzo over 3.5 goals	0.4%	3.6%	2.9%	1.27×	27.43

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo under 1.5 in 1st half	96.8%	97.5%	—	—	1.03
San Lorenzo under 0.5 in 1st half	75.8%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
San Lorenzo over 0.5 in 1st half	24.2%	23.0%	—	—	4.35
San Lorenzo over 1.5 in 1st half	3.2%	2.5%	—	—	39.57

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo scores equally in both	58.0%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
San Lorenzo scores more in 2nd half	24.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
San Lorenzo scores more in 1st half	17.6%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	61.3%	60.0%	52.5%	1.14×	1.67
Deportivo Riestra (home no bet)	38.7%	40.0%	47.5%	0.84×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo even goals	63.8%	56.1%	55.7%	1.01×	1.78
San Lorenzo odd goals	36.2%	43.9%	44.3%	0.99×	2.28

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	60.3%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
HT 1-0	16.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 0-1	13.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.42
HT 2-0	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.54
HT 0-2	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.59
HT 1-2	0.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.67
HT 2-1	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.67
Any other HT score	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.67
HT 2-2	0.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.70

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	36.2%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
San Lorenzo at HT / San Lorenzo at FT	15.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / San Lorenzo at FT	14.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Deportivo Riestra at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Deportivo Riestra at HT / Deportivo Riestra at FT	12.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
San Lorenzo at HT / Draw at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Deportivo Riestra at HT / Draw at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
San Lorenzo at HT / Deportivo Riestra at FT	0.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Deportivo Riestra at HT / San Lorenzo at FT	0.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo to score last	37.0%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Deportivo Riestra to score last	33.1%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	30.0%	27.3%	—	—	3.66

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	70.0%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
San Lorenzo to lead by 1 at any time	38.7%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Deportivo Riestra to lead by 1 at any time	34.6%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	18.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
San Lorenzo to lead by 2 at any time	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Deportivo Riestra to lead by 2 at any time	8.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.07
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	3.3%	1.6%	—	—	61.12
San Lorenzo to lead by 3 at any time	1.9%	1.6%	—	—	62.48
Deportivo Riestra to lead by 3 at any time	1.4%	1.6%	—	—	63.04

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo most corners	65.5%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Deportivo Riestra most corners	23.6%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	69.9%	68.9%	84.2%	0.82×	1.45
1-4 goals	69.2%	68.9%	79.9%	0.86×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.5%	68.9%	71.5%	0.96×	1.45
1-2 goals	57.6%	59.1%	51.4%	1.15×	1.69
2-6 goals	34.7%	35.3%	60.5%	0.58×	2.83
2-5 goals	34.6%	35.3%	60.0%	0.59×	2.83
2-4 goals	33.9%	35.3%	55.6%	0.64×	2.83
2-3 goals	31.2%	35.3%	47.3%	0.75×	2.83
3-6 goals	12.4%	14.9%	33.5%	0.44×	6.73
3-5 goals	12.3%	14.9%	33.0%	0.45×	6.73
3-4 goals	11.6%	14.9%	28.6%	0.52×	6.73
4-6 goals	3.5%	2.6%	13.4%	0.19×	39.08
4-5 goals	3.4%	2.6%	12.8%	0.20×	39.09
5-6 goals	0.8%	2.6%	5.0%	0.51×	39.21
7+ goals	0.0%	2.5%	0.5%	5.57×	39.24

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Lorenzo never behind	35.5%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Deportivo Riestra never behind	31.4%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	55.1%	50.1%	50.9%	0.98×	2.00
Odd number of goals	44.9%	49.9%	49.1%	1.02×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	68.3%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Odd goals in 1st half	31.7%	31.7%	—	—	3.15

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	62.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Odd goals in 2nd half	37.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	99.8%	95.5%	99.0%	0.96×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	99.2%	95.4%	94.6%	1.01×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	96.5%	95.4%	86.3%	1.11×	1.05
Under 2.5 goals	87.6%	87.6%	66.1%	1.32×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	70.0%	72.4%	85.1%	0.85×	1.38
Under 1.5 goals	65.2%	66.2%	39.1%	1.69×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	34.8%	33.8%	60.9%	0.55×	2.96
Under 0.5 goals	30.0%	27.6%	14.9%	1.85×	3.63
Over 2.5 goals	12.4%	12.4%	33.9%	0.37×	8.08
Over 3.5 goals	3.5%	4.6%	13.7%	0.33×	21.92
Over 4.5 goals	0.8%	4.6%	5.4%	0.85×	21.97
Over 5.5 goals	0.2%	4.6%	1.0%	4.42×	21.98

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	99.8%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	100.0%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	99.2%	97.2%	94.1%	1.03×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	96.1%	97.2%	82.8%	1.17×	1.03
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	84.0%	81.0%	53.6%	1.51×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	16.0%	19.0%	46.4%	0.41×	5.27
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	3.9%	2.8%	17.2%	0.16×	35.81
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	0.8%	2.8%	5.9%	0.47×	35.90
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	0.2%	2.8%	1.1%	2.59×	35.92
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.0%	2.8%	0.5%	6.05×	35.92

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	98.5%	98.8%	—	—	1.01
Under 1.5 in 1st half	90.7%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 0.5 in 1st half	60.3%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 0.5 in 1st half	39.7%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	9.3%	7.4%	—	—	13.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	1.5%	1.2%	—	—	80.62

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	96.4%	96.5%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	50.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	49.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.81
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra not to score in both halves	94.0%	90.7%	—	—	1.10
San Lorenzo not to score in both halves	92.6%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
San Lorenzo to score in both halves	7.4%	9.7%	—	—	10.34
Deportivo Riestra to score in both halves	6.0%	9.3%	—	—	10.72

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither team scores	30.0%	26.1%	14.9%	1.75×	3.84
Only San Lorenzo scores	26.3%	26.0%	27.7%	0.94×	3.84
Only Deportivo Riestra scores	22.6%	22.3%	17.2%	1.30×	4.49
Both teams score	21.1%	22.3%	40.5%	0.55×	4.49

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	35.3%	26.8%	24.4%	1.10×	3.73
Exactly 0 goals	30.0%	24.9%	14.9%	1.68×	4.01
Exactly 2 goals	22.3%	22.6%	27.1%	0.83×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	8.9%	7.6%	20.3%	0.38×	13.08
Exactly 4 goals	2.7%	4.5%	8.5%	0.53×	22.43
Exactly 5 goals	0.7%	4.5%	4.5%	1.00×	22.46
6 or more goals	0.2%	4.5%	1.0%	4.32×	22.47

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	60.3%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
1 goal in 1st half	30.4%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	7.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.69
3+ goals in 1st half	1.5%	1.2%	—	—	80.62

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 2nd half	49.2%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	34.7%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
2+ goals in 2nd half	16.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra not to win both halves	96.6%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
San Lorenzo not to win both halves	95.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
San Lorenzo to win both halves	4.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.33
Deportivo Riestra to win both halves	3.4%	2.8%	—	—	35.80

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra to win neither half	66.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
San Lorenzo to win neither half	61.9%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
San Lorenzo to win either half	38.1%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Deportivo Riestra to win either half	33.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Riestra not to win to nil	77.4%	78.1%	82.8%	0.94×	1.28
San Lorenzo not to win to nil	73.7%	75.4%	72.3%	1.04×	1.33
San Lorenzo to win to nil	26.3%	24.6%	27.7%	0.89×	4.06
Deportivo Riestra to win to nil	22.6%	21.9%	17.2%	1.28×	4.56

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	42.3%	34.5%	30.7%	1.13×	2.90
San Lorenzo by 1	22.4%	24.2%	24.4%	0.99×	4.14
Deportivo Riestra by 1	20.0%	16.9%	18.7%	0.91×	5.90
San Lorenzo by 2	6.9%	7.2%	12.6%	0.58×	13.81
Deportivo Riestra by 2	5.5%	7.2%	6.3%	1.15×	13.82
San Lorenzo by 3+	1.7%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.70
Deportivo Riestra by 3+	1.2%	2.7%	3.0%	0.92×	36.72