Santa Clara v Gil Vicente FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · POR-Primeira Liga · 2627

Primeira Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Santa Clara

20:00 UTC

Gil Vicente FC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 393h before kick-off

Santa Clara win

44.0%

model 40.6%

Draw

28.0%

model 30.0%

Gil Vicente FC win

28.0%

model 29.5%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 15.6%
0-0 13.4%
1-1 12.9%
0-1 12.7%
2-0 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	31.7%	Under 2.5	68.3%
BTTS yes	38.6%	BTTS no	61.4%
Santa Clara 1+	66.5%	Santa Clara 2+	29.9%
Gil Vicente FC 1+	58.6%	Gil Vicente FC 2+	22.1%

Expected goals 1.09 – 0.88. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 2 (void on exactly 2)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 34%

55.8% fair odds 1.79

strong signal · 764 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Gil Vicente FC not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Santa Clara.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Santa Clara have an estimated 44.0% win probability, against 28.0% for the draw and 28.0% for Gil Vicente FC. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.09 for Santa Clara and 0.88 for Gil Vicente FC.

Why Santa Clara

Nothing in the data singles out Santa Clara.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.0%. A combined 1.98 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.09 to 0.88. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Gil Vicente FC can win

Nothing in the data singles out Gil Vicente FC.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Santa Clara, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Gil Vicente FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Santa Clara: 44% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Gil Vicente FC: 49% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 10.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Santa Clara are the model's most likely outcome at 44.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 15.6%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	413029	1.09–0.88	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	393130	1.00–0.83	1-0 16%	28%	35%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara to win	38.8%	36.4%	42.1%	0.86×	2.75
Draw	31.5%	30.4%	26.7%	1.14×	3.29
Gil Vicente FC to win	29.7%	27.9%	31.4%	0.89×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara & not both score	27.9%	25.2%	26.0%	0.97×	3.97
Gil Vicente FC & not both score	21.2%	21.8%	19.9%	1.10×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	15.9%	18.0%	20.3%	0.88×	5.57
Draw & not both score	15.5%	18.0%	6.5%	2.78×	5.57
Santa Clara & both teams score	10.9%	13.3%	16.2%	0.82×	7.54
Gil Vicente FC & both teams score	8.5%	8.3%	11.7%	0.71×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara & under 3.5	33.8%	30.8%	29.1%	1.06×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	28.4%	26.1%	17.3%	1.51×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	28.4%	26.1%	17.3%	1.51×	3.84
Gil Vicente FC & under 3.5	26.3%	26.1%	25.4%	1.02×	3.84
Santa Clara & under 2.5	24.4%	21.6%	17.6%	1.23×	4.63
Santa Clara & over 1.5	22.4%	21.6%	31.4%	0.69×	4.63
Gil Vicente FC & under 2.5	19.3%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
Santa Clara & under 1.5	16.4%	18.0%	10.8%	1.67×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.9%	18.0%	20.3%	0.88×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	15.5%	18.0%	6.5%	2.78×	5.56
Gil Vicente FC & over 1.5	16.0%	18.0%	22.5%	0.80×	5.56
Santa Clara & over 2.5	14.4%	12.8%	24.7%	0.52×	7.79
Gil Vicente FC & under 1.5	13.7%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Gil Vicente FC & over 2.5	10.4%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
Santa Clara & over 3.5	5.1%	7.9%	13.1%	0.60×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.1%	4.8%	9.6%	0.50×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.1%	4.8%	9.6%	0.50×	20.82
Gil Vicente FC & over 3.5	3.3%	4.8%	6.2%	0.78×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara (1UP)	50.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Gil Vicente FC (1UP)	41.7%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara (2UP)	38.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Gil Vicente FC (2UP)	29.7%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	44.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Santa Clara to win 2nd half	30.1%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Gil Vicente FC to win 2nd half	25.4%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.0%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Gil Vicente FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	60.7%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Gil Vicente FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	39.3%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
Gil Vicente FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.0%	8.4%	—	—	11.92

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.8%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Santa Clara under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Santa Clara over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Santa Clara over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.2%	11.5%	—	—	8.70

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (+2.5)	95.7%	96.3%	89.7%	1.07×	1.04
Gil Vicente FC (+1.5)	85.3%	88.4%	77.8%	1.14×	1.13
Santa Clara (+0.5)	70.3%	73.6%	68.6%	1.07×	1.36
Gil Vicente FC (+0.5)	61.2%	62.9%	57.9%	1.09×	1.59
Santa Clara (-0.5)	38.8%	37.1%	42.1%	0.88×	2.70
Gil Vicente FC (-0.5)	29.7%	26.4%	31.4%	0.84×	3.79
Santa Clara (-1.5)	14.7%	11.6%	22.2%	0.52×	8.66
Santa Clara (-2.5)	4.3%	3.7%	10.3%	0.36×	27.04

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to concede	63.3%	67.6%	73.8%	0.92×	1.48
Gil Vicente FC clean sheet	36.7%	32.4%	26.2%	1.24×	3.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC clean sheet in 1st half	65.0%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Gil Vicente FC to concede in 1st half	35.0%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC clean sheet in 2nd half	56.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Gil Vicente FC to concede in 2nd half	43.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC under 6.5 corners	78.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Gil Vicente FC over 2.5 corners	78.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Gil Vicente FC under 5.5 corners	67.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Gil Vicente FC over 3.5 corners	62.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Gil Vicente FC under 4.5 corners	53.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Gil Vicente FC over 4.5 corners	46.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Gil Vicente FC under 3.5 corners	37.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Gil Vicente FC over 5.5 corners	32.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Gil Vicente FC under 2.5 corners	22.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Gil Vicente FC over 6.5 corners	21.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC under 3.5 goals	99.0%	97.5%	96.0%	1.02×	1.03
Gil Vicente FC under 2.5 goals	94.8%	92.4%	88.8%	1.04×	1.08
Gil Vicente FC under 1.5 goals	79.7%	76.3%	65.3%	1.17×	1.31
Gil Vicente FC over 0.5 goals	56.5%	59.4%	67.6%	0.88×	1.68
Gil Vicente FC under 0.5 goals	43.5%	40.6%	32.4%	1.25×	2.46
Gil Vicente FC over 1.5 goals	20.3%	23.7%	34.7%	0.68×	4.22
Gil Vicente FC over 2.5 goals	5.2%	7.6%	11.2%	0.68×	13.08
Gil Vicente FC over 3.5 goals	1.0%	2.5%	4.0%	0.62×	39.98

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC under 1.5 in 1st half	95.5%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Gil Vicente FC under 0.5 in 1st half	71.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Gil Vicente FC over 0.5 in 1st half	28.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Gil Vicente FC over 1.5 in 1st half	4.5%	4.1%	—	—	24.61

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC scores equally in both	51.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Gil Vicente FC scores more in 2nd half	30.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Gil Vicente FC scores more in 1st half	18.6%	17.8%	—	—	5.61

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara (away no bet)	55.2%	57.3%	61.2%	0.94×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	44.8%	42.7%	38.8%	1.10×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC even goals	59.5%	57.0%	58.7%	0.97×	1.76
Gil Vicente FC odd goals	40.6%	43.0%	41.3%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	94.8%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	5.2%	7.3%	—	—	13.62

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	58.5%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Not both halves under 1.5	41.5%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	36.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Santa Clara to score 2+ in a row	22.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Gil Vicente FC to score 2+ in a row	16.2%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	9.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.82
Santa Clara to score 3+ in a row	5.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.09
Gil Vicente FC to score 3+ in a row	3.5%	2.6%	—	—	38.61

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC corners (+3.5)	87.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Santa Clara corners (+3.5)	81.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Gil Vicente FC corners (+2.5)	80.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Santa Clara corners (+2.5)	73.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Gil Vicente FC corners (+1.5)	71.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Santa Clara corners (+1.5)	62.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Gil Vicente FC corners (-1.5)	37.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Santa Clara corners (-1.5)	28.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Gil Vicente FC corners (-2.5)	27.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Santa Clara corners (-2.5)	19.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Gil Vicente FC corners (-3.5)	18.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Santa Clara corners (-3.5)	12.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	50.5%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	28.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	21.0%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.3%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	79.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	71.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	61.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	60.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	50.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	49.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	39.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	38.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	29.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	21.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Over 12.5 corners	14.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	16.4%	13.8%	10.8%	1.28×	7.23
0-0	15.5%	13.8%	6.5%	2.13×	7.24
0-1	13.7%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.72
1-1	12.9%	11.5%	10.9%	1.05×	8.72
2-0	8.0%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.51
2-1	6.7%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.51
0-2	5.5%	7.4%	5.2%	1.41×	13.51
1-2	5.5%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
0-3	1.5%	1.7%	3.9%	0.45×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.32
1-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.32
2-2	2.8%	1.7%	8.3%	0.21×	58.30
2-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.78×	58.32
3-0	2.7%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.30
3-1	2.2%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.31
3-2	0.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.31
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	11.13×	58.32
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.32
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.32
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.78×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.56×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.56×	58.32
Any other score	0.5%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara (2nd half DNB)	54.2%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Gil Vicente FC (2nd half DNB)	45.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara leading at HT (DNB)	57.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Gil Vicente FC leading at HT (DNB)	42.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara or draw (1X)	70.3%	72.1%	68.6%	1.05×	1.39
Santa Clara or Gil Vicente FC (12)	68.5%	69.6%	73.3%	0.95×	1.44
Gil Vicente FC or draw (X2)	61.2%	63.6%	57.9%	1.10×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara or draw at HT	80.2%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Gil Vicente FC or draw at HT	73.1%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Santa Clara or Gil Vicente FC at HT	46.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara or draw (1UP)	70.3%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Gil Vicente FC or draw (1UP)	61.2%	71.5%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara or draw in 2nd half	74.6%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Gil Vicente FC or draw in 2nd half	69.9%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Santa Clara or Gil Vicente FC in 2nd half	55.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	74.5%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Neither half drawn	25.5%	27.3%	—	—	3.67

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara (DNB)	56.7%	58.1%	57.2%	1.01×	1.72
Gil Vicente FC (DNB)	43.3%	42.0%	42.8%	0.98×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara to score first	46.1%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Gil Vicente FC to score first	38.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	15.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	64.7%	56.7%	52.1%	1.09×	1.76
Both teams to score	35.3%	43.3%	47.9%	0.90×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	59.2%	47.6%	37.9%	1.26×	2.10
Both score & over 2.5	22.5%	27.8%	37.1%	0.75×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.4%	10.9%	1.13×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	5.4%	8.3%	14.3%	0.58×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	94.6%	89.0%	86.0%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	5.4%	11.0%	14.0%	0.78×	9.12

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	83.0%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	17.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	74.9%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Both score 2nd half only	15.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Both score 1st half only	8.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.65
Both score in both halves	1.7%	4.8%	—	—	20.73

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	90.2%	90.6%	—	—	1.10
Both teams to score by HT	9.8%	9.4%	—	—	10.66

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	65.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
A goal in each half	34.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	45.7%	47.2%	26.0%	1.81×	2.12
2-3 goals	42.9%	42.1%	45.6%	0.92×	2.37
4-6 goals	11.2%	16.9%	27.7%	0.61×	5.92
7+ goals	0.3%	1.8%	0.9%	1.99×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to score exactly 0	43.5%	37.3%	32.4%	1.15×	2.68
Gil Vicente FC to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.9%	33.1%	1.08×	2.78
Gil Vicente FC to score exactly 2	15.1%	19.6%	23.6%	0.83×	5.11
Gil Vicente FC to score 3+	5.2%	8.5%	11.2%	0.76×	11.72

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	31.4%	1.13×	2.81
Santa Clara to score exactly 0	36.7%	35.6%	26.2%	1.36×	2.81
Santa Clara to score exactly 2	18.4%	18.8%	23.6%	0.80×	5.33
Santa Clara to score 3+	8.1%	10.3%	19.1%	0.54×	9.70

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	53.4%	47.9%	—	—	2.09
Santa Clara leading at HT	26.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Gil Vicente FC leading at HT	19.8%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara -1: 2	61.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Santa Clara -1: X	24.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Santa Clara -1: 1	14.7%	14.0%	—	—	7.13

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (0:1)	61.2%	61.3%	57.9%	1.06×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	24.1%	24.2%	20.0%	1.21×	4.13
Santa Clara (0:1)	14.7%	13.7%	22.2%	0.62×	7.28

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (0:2)	85.3%	87.1%	77.8%	1.12×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	10.5%	11.0%	12.0%	0.91×	9.11
Santa Clara (0:2)	4.3%	3.8%	10.3%	0.36×	26.62

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (0:3)	95.7%	96.6%	89.7%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.3%	2.4%	6.0%	0.40×	42.07
Santa Clara (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	4.5%	0.53×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (0:4)	99.0%	98.1%	95.5%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	82.02
Santa Clara (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.4%	0.88×	82.08

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara (1:0)	70.3%	72.4%	68.6%	1.06×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	20.1%	21.7%	17.7%	1.22×	4.61
Gil Vicente FC (1:0)	9.6%	6.9%	13.9%	0.50×	14.46

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara (2:0)	90.4%	94.0%	86.1%	1.09×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	7.2%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.69
Gil Vicente FC (2:0)	2.3%	2.3%	6.9%	0.33×	43.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.7%	44.4%	—	—	2.26
Halves equal	31.3%	29.6%	—	—	3.37
1st half highest scoring	26.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara to concede	56.5%	60.6%	67.6%	0.90×	1.65
Santa Clara clean sheet	43.5%	39.4%	32.4%	1.22×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara clean sheet in 1st half	71.7%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Santa Clara to concede in 1st half	28.3%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara clean sheet in 2nd half	60.7%	59.7%	—	—	1.67
Santa Clara to concede in 2nd half	39.3%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara under 6.5 corners	83.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Santa Clara under 5.5 corners	73.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Santa Clara over 2.5 corners	73.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Santa Clara under 4.5 corners	60.3%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Santa Clara over 3.5 corners	56.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Santa Clara under 3.5 corners	43.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Santa Clara over 4.5 corners	39.7%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Santa Clara under 2.5 corners	26.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Santa Clara over 5.5 corners	26.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Santa Clara over 6.5 corners	16.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara under 3.5 goals	98.1%	96.4%	93.5%	1.03×	1.04
Santa Clara under 2.5 goals	91.9%	92.2%	80.9%	1.14×	1.08
Santa Clara under 1.5 goals	73.5%	74.3%	57.5%	1.29×	1.35
Santa Clara over 0.5 goals	63.3%	63.6%	73.8%	0.86×	1.57
Santa Clara under 0.5 goals	36.7%	36.4%	26.2%	1.39×	2.75
Santa Clara over 1.5 goals	26.5%	25.7%	42.5%	0.61×	3.88
Santa Clara over 2.5 goals	8.1%	7.8%	19.1%	0.41×	12.88
Santa Clara over 3.5 goals	1.9%	3.6%	6.5%	0.56×	27.58

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara under 1.5 in 1st half	93.0%	94.8%	—	—	1.06
Santa Clara under 0.5 in 1st half	65.0%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Santa Clara over 0.5 in 1st half	35.0%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Santa Clara over 1.5 in 1st half	7.0%	5.2%	—	—	19.10

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara scores equally in both	46.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Santa Clara scores more in 2nd half	31.6%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Santa Clara scores more in 1st half	22.1%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.5%	51.4%	45.9%	1.12×	1.95
Gil Vicente FC (home no bet)	48.5%	48.6%	54.1%	0.90×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara even goals	56.7%	55.3%	54.7%	1.01×	1.81
Santa Clara odd goals	43.3%	44.7%	45.3%	0.99×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	46.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
HT 1-0	20.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	15.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-0	4.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 0-2	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 2-1	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
Any other HT score	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.28

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	23.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Santa Clara at HT / Santa Clara at FT	21.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Santa Clara at FT	16.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Gil Vicente FC at HT / Gil Vicente FC at FT	14.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Gil Vicente FC at FT	13.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Santa Clara at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
Gil Vicente FC at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
Santa Clara at HT / Gil Vicente FC at FT	1.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Gil Vicente FC at HT / Santa Clara at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.74

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara to score last	46.1%	46.4%	—	—	2.15
Gil Vicente FC to score last	38.4%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	15.5%	12.8%	—	—	7.83

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	84.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Santa Clara to lead by 1 at any time	50.2%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Gil Vicente FC to lead by 1 at any time	41.7%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	30.6%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Santa Clara to lead by 2 at any time	18.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Gil Vicente FC to lead by 2 at any time	12.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	7.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.89
Santa Clara to lead by 3 at any time	5.0%	6.7%	—	—	15.02
Gil Vicente FC to lead by 3 at any time	2.9%	1.6%	—	—	61.87

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC most corners	48.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Santa Clara most corners	39.5%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.3%	83.4%	89.8%	0.93×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.6%	83.4%	83.1%	1.00×	1.20
1-3 goals	73.0%	72.4%	65.2%	1.11×	1.38
1-2 goals	56.6%	59.1%	42.4%	1.39×	1.69
2-6 goals	54.0%	53.2%	73.2%	0.73×	1.88
2-5 goals	53.2%	53.2%	70.3%	0.76×	1.88
2-4 goals	50.4%	53.2%	63.5%	0.84×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.9%	43.6%	45.6%	0.96×	2.29
3-6 goals	27.6%	30.2%	50.5%	0.60×	3.31
3-5 goals	26.7%	30.2%	47.6%	0.63×	3.31
3-4 goals	24.0%	24.5%	40.8%	0.60×	4.08
4-6 goals	11.2%	14.8%	27.7%	0.53×	6.75
4-5 goals	10.3%	14.8%	24.8%	0.60×	6.76
5-6 goals	3.6%	2.6%	9.9%	0.26×	39.06
7+ goals	0.3%	2.6%	0.9%	2.76×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santa Clara never behind	42.7%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Gil Vicente FC never behind	34.3%	36.3%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	49.8%	1.02×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	50.2%	0.98×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	60.7%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 1st half	39.3%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.6%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.4%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.9%	95.4%	96.1%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	96.1%	95.4%	89.4%	1.07×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	88.6%	87.6%	71.5%	1.23×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	84.5%	82.3%	93.5%	0.88×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	72.1%	72.5%	48.7%	1.49×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	54.3%	52.5%	74.0%	0.71×	1.90
Under 1.5 goals	45.7%	47.5%	26.0%	1.82×	2.11
Over 2.5 goals	27.9%	27.5%	51.3%	0.54×	3.63
Under 0.5 goals	15.5%	17.7%	6.5%	2.73×	5.65
Over 3.5 goals	11.4%	12.4%	28.5%	0.43×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	3.9%	4.6%	10.6%	0.43×	21.86
Over 5.5 goals	1.1%	4.6%	3.9%	1.19×	21.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.7%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.8%	97.2%	95.9%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	95.8%	97.2%	87.1%	1.12×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	86.3%	86.7%	63.1%	1.37×	1.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.1%	61.9%	33.7%	1.84×	1.62
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.9%	38.1%	66.3%	0.57×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	13.7%	13.3%	36.9%	0.36×	7.53
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	4.2%	2.8%	12.9%	0.22×	35.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.2%	2.8%	4.1%	0.68×	35.62
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.3%	2.8%	1.0%	2.95×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.8%	96.5%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half	82.2%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	53.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Under 0.5 in 1st half	46.5%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Over 1.5 in 1st half	17.8%	14.2%	—	—	7.03
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	90.6%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.1%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.9%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.1%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.9%	22.5%	—	—	4.45
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	9.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.53

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC not to score in both halves	88.9%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Santa Clara not to score in both halves	84.8%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Santa Clara to score in both halves	15.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
Gil Vicente FC to score in both halves	11.1%	14.3%	—	—	6.97

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	35.3%	39.9%	47.9%	0.83×	2.51
Only Santa Clara scores	27.9%	26.0%	26.0%	1.00×	3.84
Only Gil Vicente FC scores	21.2%	22.2%	19.9%	1.12×	4.50
Neither team scores	15.5%	16.0%	6.5%	2.47×	6.25

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	30.1%	25.3%	19.7%	1.29×	3.95
Exactly 2 goals	26.4%	24.9%	22.8%	1.09×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	16.4%	17.5%	23.0%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	15.5%	17.5%	6.5%	2.70×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	7.5%	7.6%	18.0%	0.42×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	2.8%	4.5%	6.9%	0.64×	22.40
6 or more goals	1.1%	4.5%	3.9%	1.16×	22.42

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	46.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
1 goal in 1st half	35.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	13.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
3+ goals in 1st half	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	37.0%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
No goals in 2nd half	34.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
2+ goals in 2nd half	28.9%	29.2%	—	—	3.42

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC not to win both halves	95.0%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
Santa Clara not to win both halves	92.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Santa Clara to win both halves	8.0%	5.9%	—	—	16.94
Gil Vicente FC to win both halves	5.0%	2.9%	—	—	34.79

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to win neither half	59.8%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Santa Clara to win neither half	51.0%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
Santa Clara to win either half	49.0%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Gil Vicente FC to win either half	40.2%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC not to win to nil	78.8%	78.1%	80.1%	0.98×	1.28
Santa Clara not to win to nil	72.1%	75.3%	74.0%	1.02×	1.33
Santa Clara to win to nil	27.9%	24.7%	26.0%	0.95×	4.05
Gil Vicente FC to win to nil	21.2%	21.9%	19.9%	1.10×	4.58

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.5%	27.7%	26.7%	1.04×	3.62
Santa Clara by 1	24.1%	24.1%	20.0%	1.20×	4.15
Gil Vicente FC by 1	20.1%	24.1%	17.7%	1.36×	4.15
Santa Clara by 2	10.5%	11.8%	12.0%	0.98×	8.51
Gil Vicente FC by 2	7.2%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.91
Santa Clara by 3+	4.3%	2.7%	10.3%	0.26×	36.77
Gil Vicente FC by 3+	2.3%	2.7%	6.9%	0.39×	36.83