Santos Laguna v Necaxa — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · MEX-Liga MX · 2627

MEX-Liga MX results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Santos Laguna

23:00 UTC

Necaxa

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,369h before kick-off

Santos Laguna win

32.7%

model 34.0%

Draw

28.3%

model 26.4%

Necaxa win

38.9%

model 39.7%

332839

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.3%
1-2 8.7%
2-1 8.0%
0-1 7.0%
1-0 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.9%	Under 2.5	43.1%
BTTS yes	60.7%	BTTS no	39.3%
Santos Laguna 1+	75.8%	Santos Laguna 2+	41.5%
Necaxa 1+	78.7%	Necaxa 2+	45.8%

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.55. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

34/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Necaxa.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Necaxa have an estimated 38.9% win probability, against 32.7% for Santos and 28.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.42 for Santos and 1.55 for Necaxa.

Why Santos Laguna

Nothing in the data singles out Santos.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.42 to 1.55. Draws run at 24% in this competition.

Why Necaxa can win

Nothing in the data singles out Necaxa.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Santos, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Necaxa, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Santos: 52% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Necaxa: 50% possession, 16.4 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Necaxa are the model's most likely outcome at 38.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Confidence 34/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	292447	1.42–1.84	1-1 11%	63%	65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to win	46.7%	47.4%	29.3%	1.62×	2.11
Santos Laguna to win	28.9%	27.9%	47.1%	0.59×	3.59
Draw	24.4%	24.5%	23.8%	1.03×	4.08

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa & both teams score	27.2%	25.1%	17.8%	1.42×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	19.7%	17.9%	17.4%	1.03×	5.58
Necaxa & not both score	19.5%	17.9%	11.7%	1.53×	5.58
Santos Laguna & both teams score	17.7%	17.9%	24.5%	0.73×	5.58
Santos Laguna & not both score	11.2%	13.3%	22.7%	0.58×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.7%	4.9%	6.6%	0.75×	20.32

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa & over 1.5	40.5%	40.3%	23.4%	1.72×	2.48
Necaxa & over 2.5	33.9%	30.8%	19.9%	1.55×	3.24
Necaxa & under 3.5	26.0%	26.0%	19.7%	1.32×	3.84
Santos Laguna & over 1.5	24.3%	21.6%	37.3%	0.58×	4.63
Necaxa & over 3.5	20.7%	21.6%	9.8%	2.21×	4.63
Santos Laguna & over 2.5	20.4%	21.6%	30.4%	0.71×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.7%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Santos Laguna & under 3.5	17.4%	18.0%	30.9%	0.58×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.6%	18.0%	17.9%	1.00×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.6%	18.0%	17.9%	1.00×	5.56
Necaxa & under 2.5	12.7%	12.9%	9.6%	1.34×	7.76
Santos Laguna & over 3.5	11.5%	12.9%	16.3%	0.79×	7.76
Draw & over 2.5	8.8%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.65
Draw & over 3.5	8.8%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.65
Santos Laguna & under 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	16.9%	0.47×	12.65
Necaxa & under 1.5	6.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.65
Santos Laguna & under 1.5	4.6%	4.8%	9.9%	0.48×	20.85
Draw & under 1.5	4.7%	4.8%	6.6%	0.73×	20.85

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (1UP)	64.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Santos Laguna (1UP)	49.5%	43.4%	—	—	2.30

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (2UP)	46.7%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
Santos Laguna (2UP)	28.9%	24.9%	—	—	4.01

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to win 2nd half	41.9%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	31.8%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Santos Laguna to win 2nd half	26.2%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.8%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Necaxa over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.8%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Necaxa under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.2%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Necaxa over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.2%	29.0%	—	—	3.45

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.6%	82.3%	—	—	1.21
Santos Laguna over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.4%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Santos Laguna under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.6%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Santos Laguna over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.4%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (+2.5)	95.2%	96.3%	90.9%	1.06×	1.04
Necaxa (+1.5)	86.7%	88.5%	77.1%	1.15×	1.13
Necaxa (+0.5)	71.1%	73.7%	52.9%	1.39×	1.36
Santos Laguna (+0.5)	53.3%	52.4%	70.7%	0.74×	1.91
Necaxa (-0.5)	46.7%	47.6%	29.3%	1.62×	2.10
Santos Laguna (-0.5)	28.9%	26.3%	47.1%	0.56×	3.81
Santos Laguna (-1.5)	13.3%	11.5%	22.9%	0.50×	8.73
Santos Laguna (-2.5)	4.8%	3.7%	9.1%	0.41×	26.75

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to concede	75.8%	78.9%	81.9%	0.96×	1.27
Necaxa clean sheet	24.2%	21.1%	18.1%	1.16×	4.74

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to concede in 1st half	45.6%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Necaxa clean sheet in 1st half	54.4%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to concede in 2nd half	55.4%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Necaxa clean sheet in 2nd half	44.6%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa over 2.5 corners	81.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Necaxa under 6.5 corners	71.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Necaxa over 3.5 corners	68.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Necaxa under 5.5 corners	59.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Necaxa over 4.5 corners	53.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Necaxa under 4.5 corners	46.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Necaxa over 5.5 corners	40.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Necaxa under 3.5 corners	31.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Necaxa over 6.5 corners	28.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Necaxa under 2.5 corners	18.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa under 3.5 goals	88.5%	87.9%	95.9%	0.92×	1.14
Necaxa over 0.5 goals	84.1%	81.4%	70.9%	1.15×	1.23
Necaxa under 2.5 goals	72.0%	71.9%	86.7%	0.83×	1.39
Necaxa over 1.5 goals	54.9%	53.8%	35.2%	1.53×	1.86
Necaxa under 1.5 goals	45.1%	46.2%	64.8%	0.71×	2.16
Necaxa over 2.5 goals	28.0%	28.1%	13.3%	2.11×	3.55
Necaxa under 0.5 goals	15.9%	18.6%	29.1%	0.64×	5.37
Necaxa over 3.5 goals	11.5%	12.1%	4.1%	2.97×	8.24

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa under 1.5 in 1st half	83.2%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Necaxa over 0.5 in 1st half	52.1%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Necaxa under 0.5 in 1st half	47.9%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Necaxa over 1.5 in 1st half	16.8%	17.0%	—	—	5.90

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa scores more in 2nd half	44.1%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Necaxa scores equally in both	31.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Necaxa scores more in 1st half	24.3%	22.5%	—	—	4.45

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna (away no bet)	54.2%	51.6%	66.4%	0.78×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	45.8%	48.4%	33.6%	1.44×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa even goals	51.3%	52.8%	54.4%	0.97×	1.90
Necaxa odd goals	48.7%	47.2%	45.6%	1.03×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	77.9%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	22.1%	18.0%	—	—	5.57

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.1%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.9%	32.5%	—	—	3.07

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	65.0%	60.1%	—	—	1.67
Necaxa to score 2+ in a row	44.5%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Santos Laguna to score 2+ in a row	30.3%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.2%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Necaxa to score 3+ in a row	17.7%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Santos Laguna to score 3+ in a row	9.0%	5.7%	—	—	17.61

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna corners (+3.5)	85.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Santos Laguna corners (+2.5)	79.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Necaxa corners (+3.5)	73.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Santos Laguna corners (+1.5)	71.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Necaxa corners (+2.5)	65.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Necaxa corners (+1.5)	56.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Santos Laguna corners (-1.5)	43.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Santos Laguna corners (-2.5)	34.5%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Necaxa corners (-1.5)	28.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Santos Laguna corners (-3.5)	26.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Necaxa corners (-2.5)	20.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Necaxa corners (-3.5)	14.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	43.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
0-8 corners	28.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
9-11 corners	27.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	79.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	71.4%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	64.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	62.3%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	56.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	52.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	47.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	43.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	37.7%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	35.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	28.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 7.5 corners	20.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.9%	11.4%	11.5%	0.99×	8.74
1-2	9.2%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.50
2-2	6.5%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.50
0-2	6.5%	7.4%	3.7%	1.99×	13.50
2-1	7.1%	7.4%	10.7%	0.70×	13.50
Any other score	5.3%	7.4%	3.2%	2.32×	13.50
0-1	6.2%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.50
1-3	5.7%	7.4%	2.5%	2.98×	13.50
0-0	4.7%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.29
2-3	4.0%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.30
2-4	1.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.31
3-0	1.8%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.31
3-1	3.4%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.30
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
3-3	1.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.21×	58.31
3-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.31
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.32
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.21×	58.31
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.41×	58.32
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.83×	58.32
0-3	4.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.30
0-4	1.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.31
1-0	4.6%	1.7%	9.9%	0.17×	58.29
1-4	2.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.30
2-0	3.9%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (2nd half DNB)	61.5%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Santos Laguna (2nd half DNB)	38.5%	38.9%	—	—	2.57

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa leading at HT (DNB)	56.4%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Santos Laguna leading at HT (DNB)	43.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna or Necaxa (12)	75.6%	75.5%	76.2%	0.99×	1.33
Necaxa or draw (X2)	71.1%	72.1%	52.9%	1.36×	1.39
Santos Laguna or draw (1X)	53.3%	52.6%	70.7%	0.74×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa or draw at HT	73.6%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Santos Laguna or draw at HT	65.9%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Santos Laguna or Necaxa at HT	60.6%	62.0%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa or draw (1UP)	71.1%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Santos Laguna or draw (1UP)	53.3%	59.2%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa or draw in 2nd half	73.8%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Santos Laguna or Necaxa in 2nd half	68.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Santos Laguna or draw in 2nd half	58.1%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.7%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	42.3%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (DNB)	61.8%	62.8%	38.4%	1.64×	1.59
Santos Laguna (DNB)	38.2%	37.2%	61.6%	0.60×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to score first	53.8%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
Santos Laguna to score first	41.5%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	4.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.17

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	64.6%	56.6%	59.3%	0.95×	1.77
Not both teams to score	35.4%	43.4%	40.7%	1.07×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	53.7%	47.1%	48.0%	0.98×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	25.9%	33.5%	32.7%	1.03×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	10.9%	12.3%	11.5%	1.07×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	9.5%	8.3%	8.2%	1.02×	11.99

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	77.3%	79.8%	82.6%	0.97×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	22.7%	20.2%	17.4%	1.16×	4.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.7%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	37.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	47.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Both score 2nd half only	28.5%	26.6%	—	—	3.75
Both score 1st half only	15.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.43
Both score in both halves	8.8%	6.8%	—	—	14.69

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	23.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	63.4%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	36.6%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.5%	42.1%	46.2%	0.91×	2.38
4-6 goals	36.2%	35.1%	29.1%	1.20×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.5%	20.3%	22.2%	0.91×	4.93
7+ goals	4.8%	1.8%	2.8%	0.65×	54.39

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to score exactly 1	29.2%	27.4%	35.9%	0.76×	3.65
Necaxa to score 3+	28.0%	27.4%	13.3%	2.06×	3.65
Necaxa to score exactly 2	26.9%	27.4%	22.0%	1.24×	3.65
Necaxa to score exactly 0	15.9%	19.6%	29.1%	0.67×	5.10

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna to score exactly 1	34.4%	32.6%	33.4%	0.98×	3.07
Santos Laguna to score exactly 2	24.3%	23.2%	26.6%	0.87×	4.30
Santos Laguna to score exactly 0	24.2%	23.2%	18.1%	1.28×	4.30
Santos Laguna to score 3+	17.1%	18.9%	22.2%	0.85×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.4%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Necaxa leading at HT	34.1%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Santos Laguna leading at HT	26.4%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa -1: 1	53.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Necaxa -1: 2	26.2%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Necaxa -1: X	20.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (0:1)	71.1%	71.1%	52.9%	1.34×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	15.6%	17.8%	24.3%	0.73×	5.63
Santos Laguna (0:1)	13.3%	13.8%	22.9%	0.60×	7.23

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (0:2)	86.7%	87.0%	77.1%	1.13×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.5%	7.7%	14.0%	0.55×	12.96
Santos Laguna (0:2)	4.8%	3.8%	9.1%	0.42×	26.33

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (0:3)	95.2%	96.6%	90.9%	1.06×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.4%	2.4%	6.0%	0.39×	42.08
Santos Laguna (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	3.2%	0.74×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (0:4)	98.6%	98.1%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	1.8%	0.67×	83.63
Santos Laguna (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	83.71

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna (1:0)	53.3%	54.0%	70.7%	0.76×	1.85
Necaxa (1:0)	26.2%	25.1%	10.5%	2.39×	3.99
Draw (1:0)	20.5%	21.8%	19.0%	1.15×	4.58

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna (2:0)	73.8%	76.5%	89.5%	0.85×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	14.4%	10.4%	7.3%	1.43×	9.60
Necaxa (2:0)	11.8%	10.4%	3.4%	3.08×	9.62

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.0%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Halves equal	23.6%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna to concede	84.1%	80.8%	70.9%	1.14×	1.24
Santos Laguna clean sheet	15.9%	19.2%	29.1%	0.66×	5.20

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna to concede in 1st half	52.1%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Santos Laguna clean sheet in 1st half	47.9%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna to concede in 2nd half	66.8%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Santos Laguna clean sheet in 2nd half	33.2%	31.8%	—	—	3.14

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna over 2.5 corners	87.8%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Santos Laguna over 3.5 corners	77.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Santos Laguna over 4.5 corners	64.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Santos Laguna under 6.5 corners	60.3%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Santos Laguna over 5.5 corners	51.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Santos Laguna under 5.5 corners	48.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Santos Laguna over 6.5 corners	39.7%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Santos Laguna under 4.5 corners	35.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Santos Laguna under 3.5 corners	22.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Santos Laguna under 2.5 corners	12.2%	13.7%	—	—	7.31

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna under 3.5 goals	94.4%	92.2%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
Santos Laguna under 2.5 goals	82.9%	82.1%	77.8%	1.06×	1.22
Santos Laguna over 0.5 goals	75.8%	77.7%	81.9%	0.95×	1.29
Santos Laguna under 1.5 goals	58.6%	58.8%	51.3%	1.15×	1.70
Santos Laguna over 1.5 goals	41.4%	41.2%	48.7%	0.85×	2.43
Santos Laguna under 0.5 goals	24.2%	22.3%	18.1%	1.23×	4.49
Santos Laguna over 2.5 goals	17.1%	17.9%	22.2%	0.81×	5.59
Santos Laguna over 3.5 goals	5.6%	7.8%	7.6%	1.02×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna under 1.5 in 1st half	87.5%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Santos Laguna over 0.5 in 1st half	45.6%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Santos Laguna under 0.5 in 1st half	54.4%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Santos Laguna over 1.5 in 1st half	12.5%	10.2%	—	—	9.79

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna scores equally in both	37.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.66
Santos Laguna scores more in 2nd half	37.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.66
Santos Laguna scores more in 1st half	25.2%	28.0%	—	—	3.58

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (home no bet)	65.6%	63.9%	55.2%	1.16×	1.57
Draw (home no bet)	34.4%	36.1%	44.8%	0.81×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna even goals	52.9%	50.6%	49.9%	1.01×	1.98
Santos Laguna odd goals	47.1%	49.4%	50.1%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.2%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 0-1	19.0%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-0	15.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	11.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 0-2	7.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
Any other HT score	6.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 2-0	4.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.35
HT 1-2	4.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.39
HT 2-1	3.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.44
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.61

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa at HT / Necaxa at FT	26.9%	27.0%	—	—	3.71
Santos Laguna at HT / Santos Laguna at FT	16.9%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Necaxa at FT	16.0%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Santos Laguna at FT	9.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.59
Santos Laguna at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.71
Necaxa at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Santos Laguna at HT / Necaxa at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Necaxa at HT / Santos Laguna at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.84

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to score last	53.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Santos Laguna to score last	41.4%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	4.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.17

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.3%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Necaxa to lead by 1 at any time	64.4%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.2%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Santos Laguna to lead by 1 at any time	49.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Necaxa to lead by 2 at any time	34.3%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Santos Laguna to lead by 2 at any time	20.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Necaxa to lead by 3 at any time	14.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Santos Laguna to lead by 3 at any time	6.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.13

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna most corners	53.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Necaxa most corners	37.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	9.5%	8.4%	—	—	11.90

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.1%	83.4%	86.5%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.7%	78.6%	75.1%	1.05×	1.27
2-5 goals	73.3%	72.4%	70.9%	1.02×	1.38
1-4 goals	72.3%	72.4%	75.8%	0.95×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.4%	60.2%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	58.4%	59.1%	53.3%	1.11×	1.69
1-3 goals	54.3%	53.2%	61.8%	0.86×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.0%	53.1%	49.0%	1.08×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.5%	43.6%	46.2%	0.94×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.2%	43.6%	38.4%	1.14×	2.30
4-6 goals	36.2%	39.2%	29.1%	1.34×	2.55
1-2 goals	32.1%	35.3%	37.7%	0.94×	2.83
4-5 goals	29.8%	30.3%	24.9%	1.22×	3.30
5-6 goals	18.1%	18.7%	15.1%	1.24×	5.34
7+ goals	4.8%	2.6%	2.8%	0.90×	39.02

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa never behind	45.7%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Santos Laguna never behind	30.9%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.2%	50.8%	52.6%	0.97×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.8%	49.2%	47.4%	1.04×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.3%	95.4%	93.4%	1.02×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.8%	87.6%	92.9%	0.94×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.5%	82.3%	77.8%	1.06×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	77.1%	77.4%	82.2%	0.94×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	63.2%	61.7%	56.0%	1.10×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	59.0%	58.7%	68.2%	0.86×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	41.0%	41.3%	31.8%	1.30×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	36.8%	38.3%	44.1%	0.87×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	22.9%	22.6%	17.8%	1.27×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	15.5%	17.7%	22.2%	0.80×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	11.2%	12.4%	7.1%	1.74×	8.08
Under 0.5 goals	4.7%	4.6%	6.6%	0.69×	21.90

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.9%	92.4%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	87.3%	86.7%	92.0%	0.94×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.3%	81.0%	71.6%	1.13×	1.24
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	72.0%	72.5%	79.3%	0.91×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.7%	51.9%	41.9%	1.24×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.3%	48.1%	58.1%	0.83×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	28.0%	27.5%	20.7%	1.33×	3.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.7%	19.0%	28.4%	0.67×	5.26
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	12.7%	13.3%	8.0%	1.67×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.1%	7.6%	3.0%	2.56×	13.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.7%	86.4%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.8%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	61.0%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.2%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.3%	13.6%	—	—	7.33

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	70.1%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	57.2%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	42.8%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.9%	22.4%	—	—	4.46
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna not to score in both halves	74.7%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Necaxa not to score in both halves	65.2%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Necaxa to score in both halves	34.8%	29.6%	—	—	3.37
Santos Laguna to score in both halves	25.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	64.6%	60.3%	59.3%	1.02×	1.66
Only Necaxa scores	19.5%	16.0%	11.7%	1.37×	6.23
Only Santos Laguna scores	11.2%	11.0%	22.7%	0.48×	9.11
Neither team scores	4.7%	4.7%	6.6%	0.71×	21.40

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.3%	22.6%	22.0%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.1%	17.4%	14.2%	1.23×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	11.8%	12.1%	10.8%	1.12×	8.28
6 or more goals	11.2%	12.1%	7.1%	1.70×	8.28
Exactly 1 goals	10.8%	12.1%	15.8%	0.76×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	4.7%	4.5%	6.6%	0.68×	22.40

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.7%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
No goals in 1st half	26.2%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	23.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
3+ goals in 1st half	15.3%	15.2%	—	—	6.59

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	57.2%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
1 goal in 2nd half	27.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
No goals in 2nd half	15.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna not to win both halves	92.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Necaxa not to win both halves	85.5%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Necaxa to win both halves	14.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.23
Santos Laguna to win both halves	7.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.62

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to win either half	61.6%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Santos Laguna to win neither half	54.4%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Santos Laguna to win either half	45.6%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Necaxa to win neither half	38.4%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna not to win to nil	88.8%	88.2%	77.3%	1.14×	1.13
Necaxa not to win to nil	80.5%	83.1%	88.3%	0.94×	1.20
Necaxa to win to nil	19.5%	16.9%	11.7%	1.44×	5.91
Santos Laguna to win to nil	11.2%	11.8%	22.7%	0.52×	8.45

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.4%	24.2%	23.8%	1.02×	4.14
Necaxa by 1	20.5%	24.2%	19.0%	1.27×	4.14
Santos Laguna by 1	15.6%	16.9%	24.3%	0.70×	5.91
Necaxa by 2	14.4%	11.8%	7.3%	1.62×	8.49
Necaxa by 3+	11.8%	11.8%	3.4%	3.49×	8.50
Santos Laguna by 2	8.5%	7.2%	14.0%	0.52×	13.80
Santos Laguna by 3+	4.8%	2.7%	9.1%	0.30×	36.61