Santos v Cruzeiro — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · BRA-Serie A · 2627

Brasileirão results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Santos

00:00 UTC

Cruzeiro

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 112h before kick-off

Santos win

43.6%

model 40.6%

Draw

27.5%

model 27.7%

Cruzeiro win

28.9%

model 31.7%

442829

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (555 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.2%
2-1 8.8%
1-0 8.4%
1-2 7.7%
0-0 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.5%	Under 2.5	48.5%
BTTS yes	56.4%	BTTS no	43.6%
Santos 1+	76.9%	Santos 2+	43.0%
Cruzeiro 1+	71.9%	Cruzeiro 2+	36.3%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.27. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Cruzeiro under 6.5 corners

Away corners O/U

76.0% fair odds 1.32

moderate signal · 11733 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Cruzeiro not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 86%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1047 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Santos.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Santos have an estimated 43.6% win probability, against 28.9% for Cruzeiro and 27.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.46 for Santos and 1.27 for Cruzeiro.

Why Santos

Nothing in the data singles out Santos.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.5%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.46 to 1.27. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Cruzeiro can win

Cruzeiro carry the stronger rating, 1640 Elo against 1516.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Santos, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cruzeiro, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Santos: 54% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cruzeiro: 49% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 18.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Santos's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Santos are the model's most likely outcome at 43.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	412832	1.46–1.27	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	402832	1.44–1.26	1-1 13%	51%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos to win	40.6%	43.7%	49.0%	0.89×	2.29
Cruzeiro to win	31.7%	29.0%	24.0%	1.21×	3.45
Draw	27.7%	27.6%	27.2%	1.02×	3.62

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos & not both score	20.4%	22.6%	28.1%	0.80×	4.43
Draw & both teams score	20.1%	22.6%	20.7%	1.09×	4.43
Santos & both teams score	20.1%	22.6%	21.0%	1.08×	4.43
Cruzeiro & both teams score	16.2%	17.7%	10.3%	1.72×	5.64
Cruzeiro & not both score	15.5%	17.7%	13.8%	1.28×	5.64
Draw & not both score	7.6%	7.3%	6.7%	1.10×	13.67

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos & over 1.5	32.2%	33.1%	36.7%	0.90×	3.02
Santos & under 3.5	27.6%	25.5%	36.9%	0.69×	3.92
Santos & over 2.5	25.2%	25.5%	27.5%	0.93×	3.93
Cruzeiro & over 1.5	24.6%	21.5%	17.2%	1.25×	4.65
Cruzeiro & under 3.5	22.3%	21.5%	18.6%	1.16×	4.65
Draw & under 2.5	20.8%	21.5%	20.2%	1.06×	4.65
Draw & under 3.5	20.8%	21.5%	20.2%	1.06×	4.65
Draw & over 1.5	20.1%	21.5%	20.7%	1.04×	4.65
Cruzeiro & over 2.5	19.4%	17.6%	13.2%	1.33×	5.69
Santos & under 2.5	15.3%	17.6%	21.6%	0.81×	5.70
Santos & over 3.5	13.0%	12.7%	12.2%	1.04×	7.86
Cruzeiro & under 2.5	12.4%	12.7%	11.0%	1.16×	7.86
Cruzeiro & over 3.5	9.5%	7.5%	5.6%	1.34×	13.40
Santos & under 1.5	8.4%	7.5%	12.4%	0.60×	13.40
Draw & under 1.5	7.6%	7.5%	6.7%	1.12×	13.41
Cruzeiro & under 1.5	7.1%	7.5%	7.0%	1.07×	13.41
Draw & over 2.5	6.9%	7.5%	7.2%	1.04×	13.41
Draw & over 3.5	6.9%	7.5%	7.2%	1.04×	13.41

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos (1UP)	57.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Cruzeiro (1UP)	49.8%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos (2UP)	40.6%	46.4%	—	—	2.15
Cruzeiro (2UP)	31.7%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.1%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Santos to win 2nd half	34.0%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Cruzeiro to win 2nd half	29.9%	27.6%	—	—	3.63

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro (+2.5)	92.3%	92.3%	90.8%	1.02×	1.08
Cruzeiro (+1.5)	79.9%	78.6%	76.8%	1.02×	1.27
Santos (+0.5)	68.3%	69.0%	76.0%	0.91×	1.45
Cruzeiro (+0.5)	59.4%	57.2%	51.0%	1.12×	1.75
Santos (-0.5)	40.6%	42.8%	49.0%	0.87×	2.34
Cruzeiro (-0.5)	31.7%	31.0%	24.0%	1.29×	3.22
Santos (-1.5)	20.1%	21.4%	23.2%	0.92×	4.68
Santos (-2.5)	7.7%	7.7%	9.2%	0.84×	12.98

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro to concede	76.9%	76.0%	79.7%	0.95×	1.32
Cruzeiro clean sheet	23.1%	24.0%	20.4%	1.18×	4.17

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro clean sheet in 1st half	53.3%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Cruzeiro to concede in 1st half	46.7%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro over 2.5 corners	77.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Cruzeiro under 6.5 corners	75.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Cruzeiro under 5.5 corners	64.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Cruzeiro over 3.5 corners	62.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Cruzeiro under 4.5 corners	51.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Cruzeiro over 4.5 corners	48.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Cruzeiro under 3.5 corners	37.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Cruzeiro over 5.5 corners	35.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Cruzeiro over 6.5 corners	24.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Cruzeiro under 2.5 corners	22.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro under 3.5 goals	96.0%	97.3%	97.9%	0.99×	1.03
Cruzeiro under 2.5 goals	86.4%	88.9%	90.9%	0.98×	1.13
Cruzeiro over 0.5 goals	72.0%	71.9%	65.3%	1.10×	1.39
Cruzeiro under 1.5 goals	63.7%	64.2%	72.0%	0.89×	1.56
Cruzeiro over 1.5 goals	36.3%	35.8%	28.0%	1.28×	2.79
Cruzeiro under 0.5 goals	28.1%	28.1%	34.7%	0.81×	3.56
Cruzeiro over 2.5 goals	13.6%	11.1%	9.1%	1.23×	9.01
Cruzeiro over 3.5 goals	4.0%	2.7%	2.1%	1.31×	37.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro under 1.5 in 1st half	90.7%	93.2%	—	—	1.07
Cruzeiro under 0.5 in 1st half	60.1%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Cruzeiro over 0.5 in 1st half	39.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Cruzeiro over 1.5 in 1st half	9.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.67

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos (away no bet)	59.4%	59.2%	64.3%	0.92×	1.69
Draw (away no bet)	40.6%	40.8%	35.7%	1.14×	2.45

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro even goals	53.9%	52.4%	55.0%	0.95×	1.91
Cruzeiro odd goals	46.1%	47.6%	45.0%	1.06×	2.10

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.1%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.9%	13.7%	—	—	7.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.6%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.5%	33.6%	—	—	2.98

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.7%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Santos to score 2+ in a row	34.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.95
Cruzeiro to score 2+ in a row	27.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.3%	17.9%	—	—	5.60
Santos to score 3+ in a row	11.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Cruzeiro to score 3+ in a row	8.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.61

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos corners (+3.5)	84.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Santos corners (+2.5)	78.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Cruzeiro corners (+3.5)	75.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Santos corners (+1.5)	70.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Cruzeiro corners (+2.5)	67.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Cruzeiro corners (+1.5)	58.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Santos corners (-1.5)	41.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Santos corners (-2.5)	32.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Cruzeiro corners (-1.5)	29.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Santos corners (-3.5)	24.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Cruzeiro corners (-2.5)	21.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Cruzeiro corners (-3.5)	15.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
12+ corners	35.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
9-11 corners	27.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	72.1%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	72.3%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	64.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	62.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	37.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	35.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	27.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 12.5 corners	27.7%	27.4%	—	—	3.65

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.2%	11.6%	13.7%	0.85×	8.63
2-1	8.8%	7.3%	10.8%	0.67×	13.74
1-0	8.4%	7.3%	12.4%	0.59×	13.74
0-0	7.6%	7.3%	6.7%	1.09×	13.74
1-2	7.7%	7.3%	6.2%	1.17×	13.74
0-1	7.1%	7.3%	7.0%	1.04×	13.75
2-0	7.0%	7.3%	9.4%	0.78×	13.75
2-2	5.6%	7.3%	5.6%	1.31×	13.75
0-2	5.2%	7.3%	4.1%	1.76×	13.76
3-1	4.3%	1.8%	4.0%	0.45×	55.40
1-3	3.3%	1.8%	2.1%	0.87×	55.43
3-0	3.4%	1.8%	4.8%	0.38×	55.42
3-2	2.7%	1.8%	2.9%	0.63×	55.44
Any other score	2.6%	1.8%	2.5%	0.71×	55.44
0-3	2.2%	1.8%	1.7%	1.03×	55.45
2-3	2.4%	1.8%	1.7%	1.03×	55.45
4-0	1.2%	1.8%	1.1%	1.62×	55.48
4-1	1.6%	1.8%	2.1%	0.87×	55.47
0-4	0.7%	1.8%	1.1%	1.62×	55.49
1-4	1.0%	1.8%	0.3%	5.67×	55.48
2-4	0.8%	1.8%	0.3%	5.67×	55.49
3-3	1.2%	1.8%	1.7%	1.03×	55.48
3-4	0.4%	1.8%	0.2%	11.33×	55.50
4-2	1.0%	1.8%	1.0%	1.89×	55.48
4-3	0.4%	1.8%	0.3%	5.67×	55.50
4-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.2%	11.33×	55.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos leading at HT (DNB)	56.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Cruzeiro leading at HT (DNB)	43.1%	43.3%	—	—	2.31

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos or Cruzeiro (12)	72.3%	72.4%	72.8%	0.99×	1.38
Santos or draw (1X)	68.3%	71.0%	76.0%	0.93×	1.41
Cruzeiro or draw (X2)	59.4%	56.3%	51.0%	1.10×	1.78

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos or draw at HT	75.7%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Cruzeiro or draw at HT	67.9%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Santos or Cruzeiro at HT	56.5%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos or draw (1UP)	68.3%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Cruzeiro or draw (1UP)	59.4%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos or draw in 2nd half	70.1%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Cruzeiro or draw in 2nd half	66.0%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Santos or Cruzeiro in 2nd half	63.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.7%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Neither half drawn	37.3%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos (DNB)	56.1%	63.1%	67.1%	0.94×	1.59
Cruzeiro (DNB)	43.9%	36.9%	32.9%	1.12×	2.71

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos to score first	49.5%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Cruzeiro to score first	42.9%	41.4%	—	—	2.41
No goal scored	7.6%	6.3%	—	—	15.97

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.4%	56.7%	51.7%	1.10×	1.76
Not both teams to score	43.6%	43.3%	48.3%	0.90×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.2%	42.3%	38.2%	1.11×	2.36
Not both score & under 2.5	35.3%	37.4%	39.0%	0.96×	2.68
Both score & under 2.5	13.2%	11.7%	13.7%	0.86×	8.52
Not both score & over 2.5	8.3%	8.7%	9.5%	0.91×	11.46

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.4%	81.3%	87.3%	0.93×	1.23
Both teams to score 2+	15.6%	18.7%	12.7%	1.47×	5.36

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.4%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.6%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.2%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both score 2nd half only	25.0%	24.5%	—	—	4.09
Both score 1st half only	13.2%	11.6%	—	—	8.64
Both score in both halves	5.6%	6.4%	—	—	15.53

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.2%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.8%	16.9%	—	—	5.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.7%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
A half without a goal	45.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.5%	45.9%	49.8%	0.92×	2.18
4-6 goals	27.2%	27.7%	24.2%	1.15×	3.61
0-1 goals	23.1%	22.8%	25.8%	0.89×	4.39
7+ goals	2.2%	1.9%	0.6%	3.06×	51.44

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro to score exactly 1	35.7%	34.5%	37.5%	0.92×	2.90
Cruzeiro to score exactly 0	28.1%	27.1%	34.7%	0.78×	3.69
Cruzeiro to score exactly 2	22.7%	24.0%	19.1%	1.26×	4.17
Cruzeiro to score 3+	13.6%	13.4%	9.1%	1.48×	7.44

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos to score exactly 1	33.9%	30.6%	34.3%	0.89×	3.27
Santos to score exactly 2	24.8%	23.0%	27.2%	0.85×	4.35
Santos to score exactly 0	23.1%	23.0%	20.4%	1.13×	4.35
Santos to score 3+	18.2%	18.5%	18.4%	1.00×	5.40

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Santos leading at HT	32.1%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
Cruzeiro leading at HT	24.3%	21.4%	—	—	4.68

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos -1: 2	59.4%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Santos -1: X	20.4%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Santos -1: 1	20.1%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro (0:1)	59.4%	55.6%	51.0%	1.09×	1.80
Draw (0:1)	20.4%	24.4%	25.9%	0.94×	4.10
Santos (0:1)	20.1%	24.4%	23.2%	1.05×	4.11

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro (0:2)	79.9%	77.7%	76.8%	1.01×	1.29
Draw (0:2)	12.4%	11.7%	14.1%	0.83×	8.53
Santos (0:2)	7.7%	7.2%	9.2%	0.78×	13.92

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro (0:3)	92.3%	92.6%	90.8%	1.02×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.3%	6.9%	6.7%	1.03×	14.57
Santos (0:3)	2.4%	2.3%	2.7%	0.86×	43.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro (0:4)	97.6%	98.1%	97.3%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.8%	1.2%	1.7%	0.71×	80.43
Santos (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.1%	1.11×	81.02

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos (1:0)	68.3%	70.3%	76.0%	0.93×	1.42
Draw (1:0)	17.6%	16.4%	14.6%	1.12×	6.11
Cruzeiro (1:0)	14.1%	11.8%	9.5%	1.24×	8.46

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos (2:0)	85.9%	89.2%	90.5%	0.99×	1.12
Draw (2:0)	9.4%	6.6%	6.2%	1.07×	15.04
Cruzeiro (2:0)	4.8%	2.7%	3.5%	0.78×	36.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.1%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	26.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos to concede	72.0%	71.1%	65.3%	1.09×	1.41
Santos clean sheet	28.1%	28.9%	34.7%	0.83×	3.47

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos clean sheet in 1st half	60.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Santos to concede in 1st half	39.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.72

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos over 2.5 corners	82.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Santos over 3.5 corners	70.4%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Santos under 6.5 corners	67.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Santos over 4.5 corners	57.0%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Santos under 5.5 corners	55.9%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Santos over 5.5 corners	44.1%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Santos under 4.5 corners	43.0%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Santos over 6.5 corners	32.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Santos under 3.5 corners	29.6%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Santos under 2.5 corners	17.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos under 3.5 goals	93.9%	92.1%	94.3%	0.98×	1.09
Santos under 2.5 goals	81.8%	82.4%	81.6%	1.01×	1.21
Santos over 0.5 goals	76.9%	76.7%	79.7%	0.96×	1.30
Santos under 1.5 goals	57.0%	55.7%	54.5%	1.02×	1.80
Santos over 1.5 goals	43.0%	44.3%	45.5%	0.97×	2.26
Santos under 0.5 goals	23.1%	23.3%	20.4%	1.14×	4.30
Santos over 2.5 goals	18.2%	17.6%	18.4%	0.95×	5.68
Santos over 3.5 goals	6.1%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.70

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos under 1.5 in 1st half	86.8%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Santos under 0.5 in 1st half	53.3%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Santos over 0.5 in 1st half	46.7%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Santos over 1.5 in 1st half	13.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.18

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	46.6%	51.3%	53.1%	0.97×	1.95
Cruzeiro (home no bet)	53.4%	48.7%	46.9%	1.04×	2.05

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos even goals	52.7%	50.3%	51.7%	0.97×	1.99
Santos odd goals	47.3%	49.7%	48.3%	1.03×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.2%	30.5%	—	—	3.28
HT 1-0	20.0%	19.0%	—	—	5.27
HT 0-1	16.1%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
HT 1-1	10.5%	11.2%	—	—	8.96
HT 2-0	6.4%	7.7%	—	—	13.02
HT 0-2	4.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.76
Any other HT score	4.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.77
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.5%	—	—	39.82
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.85
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.5%	—	—	39.95

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos at HT / Santos at FT	24.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Cruzeiro at HT / Cruzeiro at FT	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Santos at FT	14.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Draw at HT / Cruzeiro at FT	12.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Santos at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.25
Cruzeiro at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.5%	—	—	15.27
Santos at HT / Cruzeiro at FT	2.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.41
Cruzeiro at HT / Santos at FT	2.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.41

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos to score last	49.5%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Cruzeiro to score last	42.9%	40.4%	—	—	2.48
No goal scored	7.6%	6.3%	—	—	15.97

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.4%	93.7%	—	—	1.07
Santos to lead by 1 at any time	57.4%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Cruzeiro to lead by 1 at any time	49.8%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.2%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Santos to lead by 2 at any time	26.5%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Cruzeiro to lead by 2 at any time	20.0%	17.7%	—	—	5.65
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.1%	17.6%	—	—	5.67
Santos to lead by 3 at any time	9.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
Cruzeiro to lead by 3 at any time	6.4%	7.0%	—	—	14.23

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos most corners	51.4%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Cruzeiro most corners	38.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	9.8%	8.4%	—	—	11.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.4%	87.9%	88.9%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.2%	78.9%	81.9%	0.96×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.7%	73.7%	73.8%	1.00×	1.36
2-5 goals	70.9%	73.6%	69.8%	1.05×	1.36
1-3 goals	63.0%	62.3%	68.8%	0.90×	1.61
2-4 goals	62.7%	62.3%	62.8%	0.99×	1.61
3-6 goals	49.3%	48.0%	47.1%	1.02×	2.08
2-3 goals	47.5%	48.0%	49.8%	0.97×	2.08
3-5 goals	45.5%	48.0%	43.1%	1.11×	2.08
1-2 goals	40.9%	43.6%	45.9%	0.95×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.3%	38.8%	36.1%	1.08×	2.58
4-6 goals	27.2%	30.5%	24.2%	1.26×	3.28
4-5 goals	23.4%	24.7%	20.2%	1.23×	4.04
5-6 goals	12.1%	13.5%	11.1%	1.21×	7.44
7+ goals	2.2%	2.0%	0.6%	3.18×	49.44

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos never behind	42.6%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Cruzeiro never behind	35.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.6%	50.1%	49.3%	1.02×	2.00
Even number of goals	52.4%	49.9%	50.7%	0.98×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.5%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Odd goals in 1st half	44.5%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.0%	93.0%	95.4%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.4%	92.9%	93.3%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.8%	88.7%	88.4%	1.00×	1.13
Over 1.5 goals	76.9%	78.2%	74.2%	1.05×	1.28
Under 3.5 goals	70.6%	72.4%	75.4%	0.96×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.5%	53.5%	47.5%	1.13×	1.87
Under 2.5 goals	48.5%	46.5%	52.5%	0.89×	2.15
Over 3.5 goals	29.4%	27.6%	24.6%	1.12×	3.62
Under 1.5 goals	23.1%	21.8%	25.8%	0.85×	4.60
Over 4.5 goals	14.2%	11.3%	11.6%	0.97×	8.87
Under 0.5 goals	7.6%	7.1%	6.7%	1.06×	14.17
Over 5.5 goals	6.0%	7.0%	4.6%	1.53×	14.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.7%	97.2%	99.3%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.5%	92.7%	95.0%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.2%	80.7%	86.7%	0.93×	1.24
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	69.0%	68.1%	64.9%	1.05×	1.47
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.3%	62.4%	68.0%	0.92×	1.60
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.7%	37.6%	32.0%	1.18×	2.66
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.0%	31.9%	35.1%	0.91×	3.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.8%	19.3%	13.3%	1.44×	5.19
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.5%	7.3%	5.0%	1.46×	13.79
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.3%	2.8%	0.7%	4.18×	36.10

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.3%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.3%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.8%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.2%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.7%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.7%	11.9%	—	—	8.43

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.4%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.4%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.8%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.6%	19.7%	—	—	5.07
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.6%	19.7%	—	—	5.08

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro not to score in both halves	78.7%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Santos not to score in both halves	73.6%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Santos to score in both halves	26.4%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Cruzeiro to score in both halves	21.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.4%	57.7%	51.7%	1.12×	1.73
Only Santos scores	20.4%	22.7%	28.1%	0.81×	4.40
Only Cruzeiro scores	15.5%	16.3%	13.8%	1.18×	6.13
Neither team scores	7.6%	6.7%	6.7%	1.00×	15.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.4%	24.7%	26.9%	0.92×	4.05
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	21.5%	23.1%	0.93×	4.64
Exactly 1 goals	15.5%	18.5%	19.2%	0.96×	5.39
Exactly 4 goals	15.1%	18.5%	13.2%	1.40×	5.40
Exactly 5 goals	8.3%	7.6%	7.2%	1.07×	13.12
Exactly 0 goals	7.6%	7.6%	6.7%	1.14×	13.13
6 or more goals	6.0%	7.6%	4.6%	1.65×	13.16

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.8%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	31.6%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
No goals in 2nd half	20.6%	18.4%	—	—	5.42

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro not to win both halves	92.6%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
Santos not to win both halves	88.9%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Santos to win both halves	11.1%	12.4%	—	—	8.07
Cruzeiro to win both halves	7.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.09

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos to win either half	55.0%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Cruzeiro to win neither half	53.2%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
Cruzeiro to win either half	46.8%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Santos to win neither half	45.0%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro not to win to nil	84.5%	83.3%	86.2%	0.97×	1.20
Santos not to win to nil	79.6%	77.3%	71.9%	1.08×	1.29
Santos to win to nil	20.4%	22.7%	28.1%	0.81×	4.40
Cruzeiro to win to nil	15.5%	16.7%	13.8%	1.21×	6.00

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.7%	28.0%	27.2%	1.03×	3.57
Santos by 1	20.4%	23.7%	25.9%	0.92×	4.22
Cruzeiro by 1	17.6%	17.0%	14.6%	1.16×	5.89
Santos by 2	12.4%	11.9%	14.1%	0.84×	8.44
Cruzeiro by 2	9.4%	7.1%	6.2%	1.15×	14.06
Santos by 3+	7.7%	7.1%	9.2%	0.77×	14.10
Cruzeiro by 3+	4.8%	2.9%	3.5%	0.81×	35.09