São Paulo v Remo — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 28 November 2026 · BRA-Serie A · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.5%
- 1-0 10.0%
- 2-1 9.7%
- 2-0 9.3%
- 0-0 7.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 51.3% | Under 2.5 | 48.7% |
| BTTS yes | 53.8% | BTTS no | 46.2% |
| São Paulo 1+ | 81.4% | São Paulo 2+ | 50.1% |
| Remo 1+ | 64.8% | Remo 2+ | 28.1% |
Expected goals 1.68 – 1.05. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Nothing in the data singles out São Paulo.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
São Paulo have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.7% for the draw and 22.2% for Remo. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.68 for São Paulo and 1.04 for Remo.
Why São Paulo
Nothing in the data singles out São Paulo.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.7%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.
Why Remo can win
Nothing in the data singles out Remo.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for São Paulo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Remo, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
São Paulo: 56% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Remo: 47% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·
São Paulo are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.68–1.05 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.68–1.01 | 1-1 13% | 50% | 53% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo to win | 52.0% | 51.5% | 48.9% | 1.05× | 1.94 |
| Draw | 26.4% | 27.9% | 27.3% | 1.02× | 3.58 |
| Remo to win | 21.6% | 24.5% | 24.0% | 1.02× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo & not both score | 28.7% | 25.2% | 28.1% | 0.90× | 3.97 |
| São Paulo & both teams score | 23.3% | 21.8% | 21.0% | 1.04× | 4.58 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.5% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 0.86× | 5.56 |
| Remo & both teams score | 10.8% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 1.29× | 7.54 |
| Remo & not both score | 10.8% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 0.96× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 1.25× | 12.01 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo & over 1.5 | 41.6% | 40.2% | 36.7% | 1.10× | 2.49 |
| São Paulo & under 3.5 | 35.1% | 34.9% | 36.8% | 0.95× | 2.87 |
| São Paulo & over 2.5 | 32.0% | 30.7% | 27.5% | 1.12× | 3.25 |
| São Paulo & under 2.5 | 20.1% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 1.00× | 4.63 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 20.5% | 21.6% | 20.2% | 1.07× | 4.63 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 20.5% | 21.6% | 20.2% | 1.07× | 4.63 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.5% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 0.87× | 5.56 |
| São Paulo & over 3.5 | 16.9% | 18.0% | 12.2% | 1.47× | 5.56 |
| Remo & over 1.5 | 15.8% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 1.05× | 5.56 |
| Remo & under 3.5 | 16.3% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 0.97× | 5.56 |
| Remo & over 2.5 | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 0.97× | 7.79 |
| São Paulo & under 1.5 | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 1.04× | 7.79 |
| Remo & under 2.5 | 9.3% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 0.72× | 12.63 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 1.19× | 12.63 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 1.08× | 12.63 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 1.08× | 12.63 |
| Remo & under 1.5 | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 1.13× | 12.63 |
| Remo & over 3.5 | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 1.43× | 12.63 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo (1UP) | 66.0% | 70.0% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Remo (1UP) | 39.4% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo (2UP) | 52.0% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Remo (2UP) | 21.6% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo to win 2nd half | 42.2% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| 2nd half drawn | 35.8% | 36.2% | — | — | 2.77 |
| Remo to win 2nd half | 22.0% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.15 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo under 1.5 in 2nd half | 87.7% | 86.8% | — | — | 1.15 |
| Remo under 0.5 in 2nd half | 54.7% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Remo over 0.5 in 2nd half | 45.3% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Remo over 1.5 in 2nd half | 12.3% | 13.2% | — | — | 7.59 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo under 1.5 in 2nd half | 75.2% | 75.0% | — | — | 1.33 |
| São Paulo over 0.5 in 2nd half | 61.5% | 62.8% | — | — | 1.59 |
| São Paulo under 0.5 in 2nd half | 38.5% | 37.2% | — | — | 2.69 |
| São Paulo over 1.5 in 2nd half | 24.8% | 25.0% | — | — | 4.00 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (+2.5) | 87.5% | 88.5% | 90.8% | 0.97× | 1.13 |
| São Paulo (+0.5) | 78.4% | 78.5% | 76.0% | 1.03× | 1.27 |
| Remo (+1.5) | 71.2% | 73.6% | 76.8% | 0.96× | 1.36 |
| São Paulo (-0.5) | 52.0% | 52.4% | 48.9% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| Remo (+0.5) | 48.0% | 47.6% | 51.1% | 0.93× | 2.10 |
| São Paulo (-1.5) | 28.8% | 26.4% | 23.2% | 1.14× | 3.79 |
| Remo (-0.5) | 21.6% | 21.5% | 24.0% | 0.90× | 4.65 |
| São Paulo (-2.5) | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 1.25× | 8.67 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to concede | 81.3% | 81.5% | 79.7% | 1.02× | 1.23 |
| Remo clean sheet | 18.7% | 18.5% | 20.3% | 0.91× | 5.41 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to concede in 1st half | 51.3% | 50.5% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Remo clean sheet in 1st half | 48.7% | 49.5% | — | — | 2.02 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to concede in 2nd half | 61.5% | 61.3% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Remo clean sheet in 2nd half | 38.5% | 38.7% | — | — | 2.58 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo under 6.5 corners | 80.8% | 81.4% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Remo over 2.5 corners | 72.7% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Remo under 5.5 corners | 71.1% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Remo under 4.5 corners | 58.4% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Remo over 3.5 corners | 56.7% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Remo under 3.5 corners | 43.3% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Remo over 4.5 corners | 41.6% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Remo over 5.5 corners | 28.9% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Remo under 2.5 corners | 27.3% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Remo over 6.5 corners | 19.2% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.37 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo under 3.5 goals | 98.1% | 97.5% | 97.9% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Remo under 2.5 goals | 91.9% | 92.3% | 90.8% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Remo under 1.5 goals | 73.4% | 71.8% | 71.9% | 1.00× | 1.39 |
| Remo over 0.5 goals | 63.4% | 63.2% | 65.4% | 0.97× | 1.58 |
| Remo under 0.5 goals | 36.6% | 36.8% | 34.6% | 1.06× | 2.72 |
| Remo over 1.5 goals | 26.6% | 28.2% | 28.1% | 1.00× | 3.55 |
| Remo over 2.5 goals | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 0.83× | 13.05 |
| Remo over 3.5 goals | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.21× | 39.97 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo under 1.5 in 1st half | 93.8% | 93.8% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Remo under 0.5 in 1st half | 66.9% | 69.9% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Remo over 0.5 in 1st half | 33.1% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.32 |
| Remo over 1.5 in 1st half | 6.2% | 6.2% | — | — | 16.25 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo scores equally in both | 46.0% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Remo scores more in 2nd half | 33.7% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Remo scores more in 1st half | 20.2% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.60 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo (away no bet) | 66.4% | 66.3% | 64.2% | 1.03× | 1.51 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 33.6% | 33.7% | 35.8% | 0.94× | 2.97 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo even goals | 56.7% | 56.9% | 54.9% | 1.04× | 1.76 |
| Remo odd goals | 43.3% | 43.1% | 45.1% | 0.96× | 2.32 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 85.7% | 87.8% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 14.3% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.17 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 63.3% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 36.7% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 55.9% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| São Paulo to score 2+ in a row | 42.4% | 38.7% | — | — | 2.59 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 20.8% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.11 |
| Remo to score 2+ in a row | 18.9% | 16.2% | — | — | 6.16 |
| São Paulo to score 3+ in a row | 16.7% | 16.2% | — | — | 6.17 |
| Remo to score 3+ in a row | 4.3% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.23 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo corners (+3.5) | 93.6% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| São Paulo corners (+2.5) | 90.3% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| São Paulo corners (+1.5) | 85.7% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| São Paulo corners (-1.5) | 65.1% | 65.9% | — | — | 1.52 |
| São Paulo corners (-2.5) | 56.6% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Remo corners (+3.5) | 51.9% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| São Paulo corners (-3.5) | 48.1% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Remo corners (+2.5) | 43.4% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Remo corners (+1.5) | 34.9% | 34.1% | — | — | 2.93 |
| Remo corners (-1.5) | 14.3% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
| Remo corners (-2.5) | 9.7% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.59 |
| Remo corners (-3.5) | 6.4% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.60 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ corners | 51.7% | 45.2% | — | — | 2.21 |
| 9-11 corners | 24.3% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.90 |
| 0-8 corners | 24.0% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.90 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 83.0% | 80.7% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 76.0% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 68.2% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 60.0% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 56.4% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 51.7% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 48.3% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 43.6% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 40.0% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 31.8% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.11 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 24.0% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 17.0% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.17 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.1% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.6% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 0.84× | 8.72 |
| 1-0 | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 0.93× | 8.72 |
| 2-0 | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 0.79× | 13.51 |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 0.69× | 13.51 |
| 0-0 | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 1.11× | 13.51 |
| 0-1 | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 1.06× | 13.51 |
| 1-2 | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.20× | 13.51 |
| 3-0 | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.55× | 13.51 |
| 3-1 | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.87× | 13.51 |
| 2-2 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 5.6% | 0.31× | 58.29 |
| 0-2 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.30 |
| 0-3 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.98× | 58.31 |
| 0-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.54× | 58.32 |
| 1-3 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.83× | 58.31 |
| 1-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.40× | 58.32 |
| 2-3 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.98× | 58.31 |
| 2-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.40× | 58.32 |
| 3-2 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.60× | 58.30 |
| 3-3 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.90× | 58.31 |
| 3-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 10.80× | 58.32 |
| 4-0 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.54× | 58.31 |
| 4-1 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.83× | 58.31 |
| 4-2 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.80× | 58.31 |
| 4-3 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.40× | 58.32 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 10.80× | 58.32 |
| Any other score | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.68× | 58.30 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo (2nd half DNB) | 65.7% | 66.5% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Remo (2nd half DNB) | 34.3% | 33.5% | — | — | 2.99 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo leading at HT (DNB) | 68.0% | 74.3% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Remo leading at HT (DNB) | 32.0% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.89 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo or draw (1X) | 78.4% | 75.5% | 76.0% | 0.99× | 1.32 |
| São Paulo or Remo (12) | 73.6% | 72.1% | 72.7% | 0.99× | 1.39 |
| Remo or draw (X2) | 48.0% | 48.5% | 51.1% | 0.95× | 2.06 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo or draw at HT | 81.8% | 83.9% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Remo or draw at HT | 61.3% | 60.9% | — | — | 1.64 |
| São Paulo or Remo at HT | 57.0% | 57.7% | — | — | 1.74 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo or draw (1UP) | 78.4% | 83.8% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Remo or draw (1UP) | 48.0% | 53.4% | — | — | 1.87 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo or draw in 2nd half | 78.0% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| São Paulo or Remo in 2nd half | 64.2% | 63.8% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Remo or draw in 2nd half | 57.8% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 62.3% | 61.3% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Neither half drawn | 37.7% | 38.7% | — | — | 2.59 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo (DNB) | 70.6% | 71.3% | 67.1% | 1.06× | 1.40 |
| Remo (DNB) | 29.4% | 28.7% | 32.9% | 0.87× | 3.49 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo to score first | 57.6% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Remo to score first | 34.5% | 27.9% | — | — | 3.58 |
| No goal scored | 7.9% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.42 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 52.6% | 51.3% | 51.7% | 0.99× | 1.95 |
| Not both teams to score | 47.4% | 48.7% | 48.3% | 1.01× | 2.05 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 40.0% | 38.5% | 38.3% | 1.01× | 2.60 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 37.3% | 38.4% | 38.9% | 0.99× | 2.60 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 12.6% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 0.91× | 8.09 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 10.2% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 1.30× | 8.09 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 86.7% | 85.6% | 87.1% | 0.98× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 13.3% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 1.12× | 6.95 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 71.8% | 73.6% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 28.2% | 26.4% | — | — | 3.79 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 59.3% | 60.0% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 23.5% | 21.0% | — | — | 4.76 |
| Both score 1st half only | 12.4% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.28 |
| Both score in both halves | 4.7% | 5.0% | — | — | 20.13 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 82.8% | 83.1% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 17.2% | 16.9% | — | — | 5.93 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 53.8% | 53.0% | — | — | 1.89 |
| A half without a goal | 46.3% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 47.7% | 47.2% | 49.7% | 0.95× | 2.12 |
| 4-6 goals | 26.2% | 26.6% | 24.3% | 1.10× | 3.76 |
| 0-1 goals | 24.2% | 22.9% | 25.7% | 0.89× | 4.36 |
| 7+ goals | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 2.90× | 54.33 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to score exactly 0 | 36.6% | 35.9% | 34.6% | 1.04× | 2.78 |
| Remo to score exactly 1 | 36.8% | 35.9% | 37.5% | 0.96× | 2.78 |
| Remo to score exactly 2 | 18.5% | 19.6% | 19.0% | 1.03× | 5.11 |
| Remo to score 3+ | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 0.93× | 11.69 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo to score exactly 1 | 31.4% | 32.6% | 34.3% | 0.95× | 3.07 |
| São Paulo to score exactly 2 | 26.3% | 26.5% | 27.1% | 0.98× | 3.77 |
| São Paulo to score 3+ | 23.6% | 23.3% | 18.6% | 1.26× | 4.29 |
| São Paulo to score exactly 0 | 18.7% | 18.8% | 20.3% | 0.92× | 5.33 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 43.0% | 42.3% | — | — | 2.36 |
| São Paulo leading at HT | 38.7% | 39.1% | — | — | 2.56 |
| Remo leading at HT | 18.2% | 16.1% | — | — | 6.22 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo -1: 2 | 48.0% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| São Paulo -1: 1 | 28.8% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| São Paulo -1: X | 23.2% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.25 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (0:1) | 48.0% | 46.2% | 51.1% | 0.90× | 2.17 |
| São Paulo (0:1) | 28.8% | 27.0% | 23.2% | 1.17× | 3.70 |
| Draw (0:1) | 23.2% | 24.2% | 25.9% | 0.94× | 4.13 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (0:2) | 71.2% | 75.6% | 76.8% | 0.98× | 1.32 |
| Draw (0:2) | 16.3% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 1.08× | 6.56 |
| São Paulo (0:2) | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 1.19× | 9.10 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (0:3) | 87.5% | 90.6% | 90.8% | 1.00× | 1.10 |
| Draw (0:3) | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 0.87× | 17.22 |
| São Paulo (0:3) | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.88× | 42.03 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (0:4) | 95.6% | 98.1% | 97.3% | 1.01× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.70× | 81.82 |
| São Paulo (0:4) | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.10× | 82.02 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo (1:0) | 78.4% | 78.6% | 76.0% | 1.03× | 1.27 |
| Draw (1:0) | 13.5% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 0.87× | 7.87 |
| Remo (1:0) | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 0.73× | 14.47 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo (2:0) | 91.9% | 94.0% | 90.5% | 1.04× | 1.06 |
| Draw (2:0) | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 1.03× | 15.69 |
| Remo (2:0) | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 0.65× | 43.75 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 46.5% | 48.7% | — | — | 2.05 |
| Halves equal | 26.8% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.7% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo to concede | 63.4% | 63.7% | 65.4% | 0.97× | 1.57 |
| São Paulo clean sheet | 36.6% | 36.3% | 34.6% | 1.05× | 2.75 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo clean sheet in 1st half | 66.9% | 70.2% | — | — | 1.42 |
| São Paulo to concede in 1st half | 33.1% | 29.8% | — | — | 3.36 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo clean sheet in 2nd half | 54.7% | 52.9% | — | — | 1.89 |
| São Paulo to concede in 2nd half | 45.3% | 47.1% | — | — | 2.12 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo over 2.5 corners | 93.1% | 89.2% | — | — | 1.12 |
| São Paulo over 3.5 corners | 86.6% | 86.2% | — | — | 1.16 |
| São Paulo over 4.5 corners | 78.1% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| São Paulo over 5.5 corners | 68.4% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| São Paulo over 6.5 corners | 58.2% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| São Paulo under 6.5 corners | 41.8% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| São Paulo under 5.5 corners | 31.6% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.01 |
| São Paulo under 4.5 corners | 21.9% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
| São Paulo under 3.5 corners | 13.4% | 13.8% | — | — | 7.27 |
| São Paulo under 2.5 corners | 6.9% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.30 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo under 3.5 goals | 91.1% | 92.2% | 94.3% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| São Paulo over 0.5 goals | 81.3% | 82.2% | 79.7% | 1.03× | 1.22 |
| São Paulo under 2.5 goals | 76.4% | 77.7% | 81.4% | 0.95× | 1.29 |
| São Paulo under 1.5 goals | 50.1% | 53.2% | 54.4% | 0.98× | 1.88 |
| São Paulo over 1.5 goals | 49.9% | 46.8% | 45.6% | 1.03× | 2.14 |
| São Paulo over 2.5 goals | 23.6% | 22.3% | 18.6% | 1.20× | 4.49 |
| São Paulo under 0.5 goals | 18.7% | 17.8% | 20.3% | 0.88× | 5.62 |
| São Paulo over 3.5 goals | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.36× | 12.85 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo under 1.5 in 1st half | 83.7% | 83.9% | — | — | 1.19 |
| São Paulo over 0.5 in 1st half | 51.3% | 50.3% | — | — | 1.99 |
| São Paulo under 0.5 in 1st half | 48.7% | 49.7% | — | — | 2.01 |
| São Paulo over 1.5 in 1st half | 16.3% | 16.1% | — | — | 6.20 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo scores more in 2nd half | 39.6% | 37.9% | — | — | 2.64 |
| São Paulo scores equally in both | 34.0% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| São Paulo scores more in 1st half | 26.4% | 27.8% | — | — | 3.59 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 55.0% | 51.4% | 53.3% | 0.97× | 1.94 |
| Remo (home no bet) | 45.0% | 48.6% | 46.7% | 1.04× | 2.06 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo even goals | 51.8% | 50.7% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.97 |
| São Paulo odd goals | 48.2% | 49.3% | 48.4% | 1.02× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 32.7% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| HT 1-0 | 23.3% | 24.3% | — | — | 4.11 |
| HT 0-1 | 12.9% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.10 |
| HT 1-1 | 9.6% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.43 |
| HT 2-0 | 8.4% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.44 |
| Any other HT score | 4.4% | 2.4% | — | — | 41.92 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.4% | 2.4% | — | — | 41.99 |
| HT 0-2 | 2.6% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.04 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.9% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.08 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.7% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.16 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo at HT / São Paulo at FT | 31.9% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Draw at HT / São Paulo at FT | 17.6% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 16.6% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Remo at HT / Remo at FT | 11.1% | 12.6% | — | — | 7.92 |
| Draw at HT / Remo at FT | 8.9% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.39 |
| São Paulo at HT / Draw at FT | 5.2% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.50 |
| Remo at HT / Draw at FT | 4.6% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.80 |
| Remo at HT / São Paulo at FT | 2.6% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.88 |
| São Paulo at HT / Remo at FT | 1.6% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.91 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo to score last | 57.7% | 56.4% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Remo to score last | 34.4% | 32.6% | — | — | 3.07 |
| No goal scored | 7.9% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.42 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 92.1% | 92.7% | — | — | 1.08 |
| São Paulo to lead by 1 at any time | 66.0% | 69.4% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 47.4% | 44.4% | — | — | 2.25 |
| Remo to lead by 1 at any time | 39.4% | 34.8% | — | — | 2.88 |
| São Paulo to lead by 2 at any time | 35.0% | 29.9% | — | — | 3.35 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 18.0% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.71 |
| São Paulo to lead by 3 at any time | 14.8% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.47 |
| Remo to lead by 2 at any time | 12.6% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.51 |
| Remo to lead by 3 at any time | 3.2% | 1.6% | — | — | 61.85 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo most corners | 73.0% | 70.6% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Remo most corners | 20.0% | 25.8% | — | — | 3.87 |
| Corners level | 7.0% | 8.3% | — | — | 12.00 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.6% | 87.4% | 88.7% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 78.7% | 78.7% | 81.7% | 0.96× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 73.8% | 72.4% | 73.8% | 0.98× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 70.3% | 72.3% | 69.7% | 1.04× | 1.38 |
| 1-3 goals | 63.9% | 63.3% | 68.7% | 0.92× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.4% | 63.3% | 62.7% | 1.01× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 48.2% | 48.5% | 47.1% | 1.03× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 47.7% | 48.5% | 49.7% | 0.98× | 2.06 |
| 3-5 goals | 44.6% | 43.6% | 43.0% | 1.01× | 2.29 |
| 1-2 goals | 42.0% | 43.6% | 45.9% | 0.95× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 36.7% | 39.2% | 36.0% | 1.09× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 26.2% | 30.2% | 24.3% | 1.24× | 3.31 |
| 4-5 goals | 22.6% | 24.5% | 20.2% | 1.21× | 4.09 |
| 5-6 goals | 11.4% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 1.31× | 6.76 |
| 7+ goals | 2.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 4.02× | 39.17 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo never behind | 52.7% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Remo never behind | 26.1% | 29.9% | — | — | 3.34 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 47.7% | 50.9% | 49.2% | 1.03× | 1.96 |
| Even number of goals | 52.3% | 49.1% | 50.8% | 0.97× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 55.7% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 44.3% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.9% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.1% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 94.5% | 92.3% | 95.2% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 92.1% | 92.3% | 93.3% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86.6% | 87.6% | 88.3% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.8% | 77.3% | 74.3% | 1.04× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71.9% | 72.5% | 75.2% | 0.96× | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.1% | 52.5% | 47.6% | 1.10× | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49.9% | 47.5% | 52.4% | 0.91× | 2.11 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.1% | 27.5% | 24.8% | 1.11× | 3.63 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24.2% | 22.7% | 25.7% | 0.88× | 4.40 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 1.06× | 8.06 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 1.16× | 12.94 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.62× | 12.96 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 98.0% | 97.2% | 99.3% | 0.98× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 94.0% | 92.4% | 94.9% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 84.3% | 81.1% | 86.5% | 0.94× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 67.5% | 67.5% | 64.9% | 1.04× | 1.48 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 63.9% | 61.9% | 67.9% | 0.91× | 1.61 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 36.1% | 38.1% | 32.1% | 1.19× | 2.63 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 32.5% | 32.5% | 35.1% | 0.93× | 3.07 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 15.7% | 18.9% | 13.5% | 1.40× | 5.29 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.48× | 13.18 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 4.24× | 35.61 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 89.6% | 89.1% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 68.9% | 68.6% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 67.3% | 68.5% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 32.7% | 31.5% | — | — | 3.18 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 31.1% | 31.4% | — | — | 3.18 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 10.4% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.16 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 79.4% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 78.6% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 53.5% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 46.5% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 21.4% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 20.6% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.94 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo not to score in both halves | 85.0% | 85.4% | — | — | 1.17 |
| São Paulo not to score in both halves | 68.4% | 70.1% | — | — | 1.43 |
| São Paulo to score in both halves | 31.6% | 29.9% | — | — | 3.35 |
| Remo to score in both halves | 15.0% | 14.6% | — | — | 6.83 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 52.6% | 53.8% | 51.7% | 1.04× | 1.86 |
| Only São Paulo scores | 28.7% | 26.0% | 28.1% | 0.93× | 3.84 |
| Only Remo scores | 10.8% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 0.80× | 9.07 |
| Neither team scores | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 1.07× | 14.03 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 25.7% | 24.9% | 26.8% | 0.93× | 4.02 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.0% | 22.6% | 23.0% | 0.98× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 16.3% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 0.91× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 14.7% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 0.92× | 8.25 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 1.14× | 13.14 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 1.07× | 13.14 |
| 6 or more goals | 5.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.60× | 13.15 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 36.2% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| No goals in 1st half | 32.7% | 35.7% | — | — | 2.80 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 20.7% | 21.4% | — | — | 4.66 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 10.4% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.25 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 46.5% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 32.1% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 21.4% | 22.6% | — | — | 4.43 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo not to win both halves | 95.9% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| São Paulo not to win both halves | 83.4% | 83.9% | — | — | 1.19 |
| São Paulo to win both halves | 16.6% | 16.1% | — | — | 6.19 |
| Remo to win both halves | 4.1% | 2.8% | — | — | 35.32 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo to win either half | 64.4% | 65.0% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Remo to win neither half | 63.9% | 65.0% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Remo to win either half | 36.1% | 35.0% | — | — | 2.86 |
| São Paulo to win neither half | 35.6% | 35.0% | — | — | 2.86 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo not to win to nil | 89.2% | 88.1% | 86.2% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| São Paulo not to win to nil | 71.3% | 75.3% | 71.9% | 1.05× | 1.33 |
| São Paulo to win to nil | 28.7% | 24.7% | 28.1% | 0.88× | 4.05 |
| Remo to win to nil | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 0.86× | 8.43 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 26.4% | 27.9% | 27.3% | 1.02× | 3.59 |
| São Paulo by 1 | 23.2% | 24.1% | 25.9% | 0.93× | 4.15 |
| São Paulo by 2 | 16.3% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 1.21× | 5.87 |
| Remo by 1 | 13.5% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 0.80× | 8.51 |
| São Paulo by 3+ | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 1.28× | 8.51 |
| Remo by 2 | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 1.16× | 13.91 |
| Remo by 3+ | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 0.78× | 36.86 |