Sarıyer v Bandırmaspor — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 11 September 2026 · TUR-1. Lig · 2627

TUR-1. Lig results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Sarıyer

17:00 UTC

Bandırmaspor

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 10 Sep, 11:32 · 29h before kick-off

Sarıyer win

31.3%

model 32.2%

Draw

37.4%

model 35.2%

Bandırmaspor win

31.3%

model 32.6%

313731

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (7,697 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-0 16.3%
1-1 15.4%
0-1 12.2%
1-0 12.1%
0-2 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	30.5%	Under 2.5	69.5%
BTTS yes	40.2%	BTTS no	59.8%
Sarıyer 1+	61.8%	Sarıyer 2+	25.0%
Bandırmaspor 1+	62.1%	Bandırmaspor 2+	25.3%

Expected goals 0.96 – 0.97. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

23/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

85%

★ Best pick

Under 2 (void on exactly 2)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 27%

58.2% fair odds 1.72

strong signal · 7646 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 1.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 583 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

At home Sarıyer average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.85).
Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Sarıyer have only 1 matches on record.
Bandırmaspor have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

The draw is the single most likely outcome at 37.4%, with Sarıyer at 31.3% and Bandırmaspor at 31.3%. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.96 for Sarıyer and 0.97 for Bandırmaspor.

Why Sarıyer

At home Sarıyer average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 37.4%. A combined 1.93 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 0.96 to 0.97.

Why Bandırmaspor can win

Bandırmaspor carry the stronger rating, 1524 Elo against 1480. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. Away from home Bandırmaspor average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sarıyer, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Bandırmaspor, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sarıyer: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Bandırmaspor: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-10 15:23 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-10 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

A draw is the model's most likely outcome at 37.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-0 at 16.3%. Confidence 23/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	323533	0.96–0.97	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	412039	1.52–1.47	1-0 10%	57%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	37.4%	36.2%	23.0%	1.58×	2.76
Bandırmaspor to win	32.5%	30.6%	32.0%	0.96×	3.27
Sarıyer to win	30.0%	30.6%	45.5%	0.67×	3.27

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor & not both score	23.6%	21.8%	15.8%	1.38×	4.60
Sarıyer & not both score	21.7%	21.8%	27.5%	0.79×	4.60
Draw & not both score	19.8%	18.0%	7.2%	2.50×	5.55
Draw & both teams score	17.7%	18.0%	16.2%	1.11×	5.55
Bandırmaspor & both teams score	9.0%	8.4%	16.7%	0.50×	11.94
Sarıyer & both teams score	8.4%	8.4%	18.5%	0.45×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & under 2.5	34.8%	31.1%	19.4%	1.60×	3.22
Draw & under 3.5	34.8%	31.1%	19.4%	1.60×	3.22
Bandırmaspor & under 3.5	28.9%	25.9%	19.8%	1.31×	3.86
Sarıyer & under 3.5	26.8%	25.9%	25.2%	1.03×	3.86
Bandırmaspor & under 2.5	21.0%	21.6%	8.6%	2.52×	4.63
Draw & under 1.5	19.8%	18.0%	7.2%	2.49×	5.57
Sarıyer & under 2.5	19.5%	18.0%	15.8%	1.14×	5.57
Draw & over 1.5	17.7%	18.0%	16.2%	1.11×	5.57
Bandırmaspor & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	26.6%	0.68×	5.57
Sarıyer & over 1.5	16.8%	18.0%	37.4%	0.48×	5.57
Bandırmaspor & under 1.5	14.0%	12.9%	5.9%	2.20×	7.77
Sarıyer & under 1.5	13.2%	12.9%	8.6%	1.50×	7.77
Bandırmaspor & over 2.5	11.5%	12.9%	23.9%	0.54×	7.78
Sarıyer & over 2.5	10.5%	12.9%	30.2%	0.43×	7.78
Sarıyer & over 3.5	3.3%	4.9%	20.7%	0.24×	20.53
Bandırmaspor & over 3.5	3.7%	4.9%	12.6%	0.39×	20.53
Draw & over 2.5	2.6%	4.9%	4.1%	1.20×	20.53
Draw & over 3.5	2.6%	4.9%	4.1%	1.20×	20.53

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor (1UP)	44.6%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
Sarıyer (1UP)	42.2%	39.3%	—	—	2.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor (2UP)	32.5%	30.8%	—	—	3.24
Sarıyer (2UP)	30.0%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	47.7%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Bandırmaspor to win 2nd half	27.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
Sarıyer to win 2nd half	24.4%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.1%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Bandırmaspor under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.9%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Bandırmaspor over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.1%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Bandırmaspor over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.9%	8.2%	—	—	12.21

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.7%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Sarıyer under 0.5 in 2nd half	62.1%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Sarıyer over 0.5 in 2nd half	37.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Sarıyer over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.3%	6.4%	—	—	15.70

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor (+2.5)	97.4%	96.3%	82.9%	1.16×	1.04
Bandırmaspor (+1.5)	89.4%	88.4%	69.8%	1.27×	1.13
Bandırmaspor (+0.5)	70.0%	68.7%	54.5%	1.26×	1.46
Sarıyer (+0.5)	67.5%	68.7%	68.0%	1.01×	1.46
Bandırmaspor (-0.5)	32.5%	31.3%	32.0%	0.98×	3.20
Sarıyer (-0.5)	30.0%	31.3%	45.5%	0.69×	3.20
Sarıyer (-1.5)	10.6%	11.6%	30.2%	0.39×	8.59
Sarıyer (-2.5)	2.6%	3.7%	17.1%	0.22×	26.82

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor to concede	56.7%	62.2%	77.5%	0.80×	1.61
Bandırmaspor clean sheet	43.3%	37.8%	22.5%	1.68×	2.65

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor clean sheet in 1st half	69.8%	69.7%	—	—	1.43
Bandırmaspor to concede in 1st half	30.2%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor clean sheet in 2nd half	62.1%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Bandırmaspor to concede in 2nd half	37.9%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor under 3.5 goals	98.7%	97.4%	92.3%	1.06×	1.03
Bandırmaspor under 2.5 goals	94.0%	92.2%	81.5%	1.13×	1.09
Bandırmaspor under 1.5 goals	77.9%	76.1%	67.1%	1.13×	1.31
Bandırmaspor over 0.5 goals	58.6%	59.0%	65.8%	0.90×	1.70
Bandırmaspor under 0.5 goals	41.4%	41.0%	34.2%	1.20×	2.44
Bandırmaspor over 1.5 goals	22.1%	23.9%	32.9%	0.73×	4.18
Bandırmaspor over 2.5 goals	6.0%	7.8%	18.5%	0.42×	12.80
Bandırmaspor over 3.5 goals	1.3%	2.6%	7.7%	0.34×	38.87

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor under 1.5 in 1st half	95.1%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Bandırmaspor under 0.5 in 1st half	70.3%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Bandırmaspor over 0.5 in 1st half	29.7%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Bandırmaspor over 1.5 in 1st half	4.9%	4.4%	—	—	22.56

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor scores equally in both	49.5%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Bandırmaspor scores more in 2nd half	31.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Bandırmaspor scores more in 1st half	19.1%	18.0%	—	—	5.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	55.5%	57.4%	33.6%	1.71×	1.74
Sarıyer (away no bet)	44.5%	42.6%	66.4%	0.64×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor even goals	58.6%	56.9%	54.5%	1.04×	1.76
Bandırmaspor odd goals	41.4%	43.1%	45.5%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	95.7%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Both halves over 1.5 goals	4.3%	4.2%	—	—	24.08

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	60.7%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Not both halves under 1.5	39.3%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	33.2%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Bandırmaspor to score 2+ in a row	18.2%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Sarıyer to score 2+ in a row	16.7%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row	7.9%	5.7%	—	—	17.70
Bandırmaspor to score 3+ in a row	4.2%	2.6%	—	—	38.03
Sarıyer to score 3+ in a row	3.7%	2.6%	—	—	38.37

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	19.8%	13.6%	7.2%	1.88×	7.36
1-1	15.0%	13.5%	12.6%	1.07×	7.39
0-1	14.0%	11.4%	5.9%	1.94×	8.80
1-0	13.2%	11.4%	8.6%	1.33×	8.80
0-2	7.0%	7.4%	3.2%	2.34×	13.54
1-2	5.8%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.54
2-0	6.3%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.54
2-1	5.5%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.54
0-3	2.0%	1.7%	5.0%	0.35×	57.57
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.29×	57.58
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	57.57
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	57.58
2-2	2.4%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	57.57
2-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.77×	57.58
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	57.58
3-0	1.7%	1.7%	4.1%	0.43×	57.57
3-1	1.5%	1.7%	5.0%	0.35×	57.57
3-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	57.58
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	57.58
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.29×	57.58
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	57.58
4-1	0.3%	1.7%	4.5%	0.39×	57.58
4-2	0.1%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	57.58
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.29×	57.58
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.86×	57.58
Any other score	0.4%	1.7%	7.2%	0.24×	57.58

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor (2nd half DNB)	53.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Sarıyer (2nd half DNB)	46.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer leading at HT (DNB)	50.6%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Bandırmaspor leading at HT (DNB)	49.4%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor or draw (X2)	70.0%	69.4%	54.5%	1.27×	1.44
Sarıyer or draw (1X)	67.5%	69.4%	68.0%	1.02×	1.44
Sarıyer or Bandırmaspor (12)	62.6%	63.8%	77.0%	0.83×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer or draw at HT	78.3%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Bandırmaspor or draw at HT	77.8%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Sarıyer or Bandırmaspor at HT	43.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor or draw (1UP)	70.0%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Sarıyer or draw (1UP)	67.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor or draw in 2nd half	75.6%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Sarıyer or draw in 2nd half	72.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Sarıyer or Bandırmaspor in 2nd half	52.3%	54.5%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	75.3%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Neither half drawn	24.7%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor (DNB)	52.0%	50.0%	41.3%	1.21×	2.00
Sarıyer (DNB)	48.0%	50.0%	58.7%	0.85×	2.00

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor to score first	41.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Sarıyer to score first	39.1%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	19.8%	19.1%	—	—	5.23

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	65.0%	57.6%	49.6%	1.16×	1.74
Both teams to score	35.0%	42.4%	50.5%	0.84×	2.36

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	60.2%	50.0%	30.6%	1.63×	2.00
Both score & over 2.5	20.0%	21.4%	38.3%	0.56×	4.67
Both score & under 2.5	15.0%	21.3%	12.6%	1.69×	4.69
Not both score & over 2.5	4.8%	4.8%	19.4%	0.25×	20.82

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	95.5%	91.5%	90.1%	1.02×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	4.5%	8.5%	9.9%	0.86×	11.73

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	83.8%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	16.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	75.9%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both score 2nd half only	14.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score 1st half only	7.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.74
Both score in both halves	1.4%	4.9%	—	—	20.49

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	90.7%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
Both teams to score by HT	9.3%	9.1%	—	—	11.05

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	66.8%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
A goal in each half	33.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	47.0%	46.9%	20.7%	2.26×	2.13
2-3 goals	43.4%	41.9%	43.2%	0.97×	2.39
4-6 goals	9.4%	7.7%	32.9%	0.23×	13.02
7+ goals	0.2%	1.8%	4.1%	0.46×	54.09

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor to score exactly 0	41.4%	37.1%	34.2%	1.08×	2.70
Bandırmaspor to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.8%	33.3%	1.07×	2.80
Bandırmaspor to score exactly 2	16.1%	19.5%	14.9%	1.31×	5.12
Bandırmaspor to score 3+	6.0%	8.8%	18.5%	0.47×	11.42

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.5%	33.8%	1.05×	2.81
Sarıyer to score exactly 0	43.3%	35.5%	22.5%	1.57×	2.82
Sarıyer to score exactly 2	15.1%	19.2%	18.9%	1.01×	5.22
Sarıyer to score 3+	5.3%	10.5%	25.7%	0.41×	9.56

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	56.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Sarıyer leading at HT	22.2%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Bandırmaspor leading at HT	21.7%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor -1: 1	67.5%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Bandırmaspor -1: X	20.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.23
Bandırmaspor -1: 2	11.9%	13.9%	—	—	7.19

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor (0:1)	70.0%	65.3%	54.5%	1.20×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	19.5%	17.8%	15.8%	1.13×	5.63
Sarıyer (0:1)	10.6%	13.9%	30.2%	0.46×	7.18

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor (0:2)	89.4%	86.9%	69.8%	1.25×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.0%	7.7%	13.5%	0.57×	12.98
Sarıyer (0:2)	2.6%	3.8%	17.1%	0.22×	26.46

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor (0:3)	97.4%	96.6%	82.9%	1.17×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.1%	2.4%	8.1%	0.29×	42.31
Sarıyer (0:3)	0.5%	2.4%	9.5%	0.25×	42.38

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor (0:4)	99.5%	98.1%	90.5%	1.08×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	5.9%	0.21×	81.92
Sarıyer (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	4.1%	0.30×	81.95

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer (1:0)	67.5%	69.5%	68.0%	1.02×	1.44
Draw (1:0)	20.6%	21.7%	15.3%	1.42×	4.60
Bandırmaspor (1:0)	11.9%	12.7%	17.1%	0.74×	7.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer (2:0)	88.1%	88.3%	82.9%	1.06×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.8%	6.6%	6.8%	0.97×	15.22
Bandırmaspor (2:0)	3.1%	2.4%	10.8%	0.22×	41.32

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	40.0%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
Halves equal	36.0%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
1st half highest scoring	24.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer to concede	58.6%	60.8%	65.8%	0.92×	1.65
Sarıyer clean sheet	41.4%	39.2%	34.2%	1.15×	2.55

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer clean sheet in 1st half	70.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Sarıyer to concede in 1st half	29.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer clean sheet in 2nd half	58.9%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Sarıyer to concede in 2nd half	41.1%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer under 3.5 goals	98.9%	96.3%	84.2%	1.14×	1.04
Sarıyer under 2.5 goals	94.7%	92.1%	74.3%	1.24×	1.09
Sarıyer under 1.5 goals	79.6%	77.4%	55.9%	1.39×	1.29
Sarıyer over 0.5 goals	56.7%	58.6%	77.5%	0.76×	1.71
Sarıyer under 0.5 goals	43.3%	41.4%	22.5%	1.84×	2.41
Sarıyer over 1.5 goals	20.4%	22.6%	44.1%	0.51×	4.43
Sarıyer over 2.5 goals	5.3%	7.9%	25.7%	0.31×	12.70
Sarıyer over 3.5 goals	1.1%	3.7%	15.8%	0.23×	27.04

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer under 1.5 in 1st half	94.9%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Sarıyer under 0.5 in 1st half	69.8%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Sarıyer over 0.5 in 1st half	30.2%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
Sarıyer over 1.5 in 1st half	5.1%	4.4%	—	—	22.73

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer scores equally in both	51.1%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Sarıyer scores more in 2nd half	28.6%	28.0%	—	—	3.57
Sarıyer scores more in 1st half	20.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.66

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	53.5%	51.6%	41.8%	1.23×	1.94
Bandırmaspor (home no bet)	46.5%	48.4%	58.2%	0.83×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer even goals	59.4%	55.4%	53.6%	1.03×	1.81
Sarıyer odd goals	40.6%	44.6%	46.4%	0.96×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	49.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
HT 1-0	17.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.36
HT 0-1	17.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	6.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 0-2	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 2-0	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
Any other HT score	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.62
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.62
HT 2-1	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.62
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.69

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	28.5%	27.1%	—	—	3.70
Bandırmaspor at HT / Bandırmaspor at FT	16.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Sarıyer at HT / Sarıyer at FT	16.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Bandırmaspor at FT	14.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Sarıyer at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Sarıyer at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Bandırmaspor at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.76
Sarıyer at HT / Bandırmaspor at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Bandırmaspor at HT / Sarıyer at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor to score last	41.2%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
Sarıyer to score last	39.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	19.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.24

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	80.2%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
Bandırmaspor to lead by 1 at any time	44.6%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Sarıyer to lead by 1 at any time	42.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	28.1%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Bandırmaspor to lead by 2 at any time	14.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Sarıyer to lead by 2 at any time	13.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	6.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.13
Bandırmaspor to lead by 3 at any time	3.7%	1.6%	—	—	60.77
Sarıyer to lead by 3 at any time	3.1%	1.6%	—	—	61.28

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	79.4%	78.5%	85.1%	0.92×	1.27
1-4 goals	77.2%	78.5%	73.4%	1.07×	1.27
1-3 goals	70.7%	72.2%	56.8%	1.27×	1.38
1-2 goals	55.5%	59.2%	36.0%	1.64×	1.69
2-6 goals	52.8%	53.4%	75.7%	0.71×	1.87
2-5 goals	52.2%	53.4%	71.6%	0.75×	1.87
2-4 goals	49.9%	48.5%	59.9%	0.81×	2.06
2-3 goals	43.4%	43.6%	43.2%	1.01×	2.29
3-6 goals	24.5%	24.8%	53.6%	0.46×	4.03
3-5 goals	23.9%	24.8%	49.6%	0.50×	4.03
3-4 goals	21.7%	24.8%	37.8%	0.66×	4.03
4-6 goals	9.4%	9.0%	32.9%	0.27×	11.12
4-5 goals	8.7%	9.0%	28.8%	0.31×	11.12
5-6 goals	2.9%	2.6%	16.2%	0.16×	38.88
7+ goals	0.2%	2.6%	4.1%	0.63×	39.00

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bandırmaspor never behind	38.0%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Sarıyer never behind	35.7%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	44.8%	50.3%	50.0%	1.01×	1.99
Even number of goals	55.2%	49.7%	50.0%	0.99×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	62.7%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Odd goals in 1st half	37.3%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	57.9%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Odd goals in 2nd half	42.1%	39.6%	—	—	2.52

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	99.2%	95.4%	91.9%	1.04×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	96.9%	95.4%	80.2%	1.19×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	90.4%	92.2%	63.5%	1.45×	1.09
Over 0.5 goals	80.2%	82.1%	92.8%	0.89×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	75.3%	77.2%	42.8%	1.80×	1.30
Over 1.5 goals	53.0%	53.0%	79.3%	0.67×	1.89
Under 1.5 goals	47.0%	47.0%	20.7%	2.27×	2.13
Over 2.5 goals	24.7%	22.8%	57.2%	0.40×	4.39
Under 0.5 goals	19.8%	17.9%	7.2%	2.48×	5.60
Over 3.5 goals	9.6%	7.8%	36.5%	0.21×	12.81
Over 4.5 goals	3.1%	4.6%	19.8%	0.23×	21.73
Over 5.5 goals	0.8%	4.6%	8.1%	0.57×	21.76

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.8%	97.2%	95.8%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	99.1%	97.2%	90.8%	1.07×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	96.7%	97.1%	76.2%	1.27×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	88.7%	86.6%	54.0%	1.60×	1.16
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	65.5%	67.6%	26.6%	2.54×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	34.5%	32.4%	73.4%	0.44×	3.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	11.3%	13.4%	46.0%	0.29×	7.46
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	3.3%	2.9%	23.8%	0.12×	35.06
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	0.9%	2.8%	9.2%	0.31×	35.13
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.2%	2.8%	4.2%	0.67×	35.14

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	96.4%	97.0%	—	—	1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half	83.7%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	50.6%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Under 0.5 in 1st half	49.4%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Over 1.5 in 1st half	16.3%	13.7%	—	—	7.30
Over 2.5 in 1st half	3.6%	3.0%	—	—	33.71

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	91.9%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	72.8%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.8%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	27.2%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	8.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.21

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer not to score in both halves	88.6%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Bandırmaspor not to score in both halves	87.8%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Bandırmaspor to score in both halves	12.2%	14.2%	—	—	7.06
Sarıyer to score in both halves	11.4%	14.1%	—	—	7.09

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	35.0%	33.2%	50.5%	0.66×	3.01
Only Bandırmaspor scores	23.6%	22.0%	15.8%	1.40×	4.54
Only Sarıyer scores	21.7%	22.0%	27.5%	0.80×	4.54
Neither team scores	19.8%	16.0%	7.2%	2.22×	6.24

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.3%	24.7%	22.5%	1.10×	4.05
Exactly 1 goals	27.2%	24.7%	14.0%	1.77×	4.05
Exactly 0 goals	19.8%	17.6%	7.2%	2.44×	5.70
Exactly 3 goals	15.2%	17.5%	21.2%	0.83×	5.70
Exactly 4 goals	6.5%	7.8%	17.1%	0.46×	12.83
Exactly 5 goals	2.2%	4.5%	12.2%	0.37×	22.22
6 or more goals	0.8%	4.5%	8.1%	0.55×	22.24

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	49.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
1 goal in 1st half	34.3%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
2 goals in 1st half	12.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
3+ goals in 1st half	3.6%	3.0%	—	—	33.71

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 2nd half	37.2%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	35.6%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
2+ goals in 2nd half	27.2%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer not to win both halves	94.4%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Bandırmaspor not to win both halves	93.7%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Bandırmaspor to win both halves	6.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Sarıyer to win both halves	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.72

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer to win neither half	59.0%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Bandırmaspor to win neither half	56.7%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Bandırmaspor to win either half	43.3%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Sarıyer to win either half	41.0%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarıyer not to win to nil	78.3%	78.3%	72.5%	1.08×	1.28
Bandırmaspor not to win to nil	76.4%	78.3%	84.2%	0.93×	1.28
Bandırmaspor to win to nil	23.6%	21.7%	15.8%	1.37×	4.62
Sarıyer to win to nil	21.7%	21.7%	27.5%	0.79×	4.62

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	37.4%	34.6%	23.0%	1.50×	2.89
Bandırmaspor by 1	20.6%	24.2%	15.3%	1.58×	4.14
Sarıyer by 1	19.5%	16.9%	15.8%	1.07×	5.92
Bandırmaspor by 2	8.8%	7.3%	6.8%	1.08×	13.73
Sarıyer by 2	8.0%	7.3%	13.5%	0.54×	13.74
Bandırmaspor by 3+	3.1%	2.8%	10.8%	0.26×	35.53
Sarıyer by 3+	2.6%	2.8%	17.1%	0.16×	35.54