Sarmiento (Junín) v Rosario Central — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Sarmiento (Junín)

20:00 UTC

Rosario Central

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 129h before kick-off

Sarmiento (Junín) win

31.2%

model 34.0%

Draw

28.9%

model 27.5%

Rosario Central win

39.8%

model 38.5%

312940

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.1%
0-1 9.4%
1-0 8.7%
1-2 8.4%
0-0 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.2%	Under 2.5	51.8%
BTTS yes	53.4%	BTTS no	46.6%
Sarmiento (Junín) 1+	71.4%	Sarmiento (Junín) 2+	35.6%
Rosario Central 1+	74.0%	Rosario Central 2+	39.0%

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.35. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

24/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 41%

53.4% fair odds 1.87

strong signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Sarmiento (Junín) not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 72%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Rosario Central carry the stronger rating, 1621 Elo against 1493.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Rosario Central have an estimated 39.8% win probability, against 31.2% for Sarmiento (Junín) and 28.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.25 for Sarmiento (Junín) and 1.35 for Rosario Central.

Why Sarmiento (Junín)

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.25 to 1.35. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Rosario Central can win

Rosario Central carry the stronger rating, 1621 Elo against 1493.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sarmiento (Junín), so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Rosario Central, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sarmiento (Junín): 36% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Rosario Central: 61% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 9.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Rosario Central are the model's most likely outcome at 39.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%. Confidence 24/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	342739	1.25–1.35	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	322741	1.20–1.41	1-1 13%	48%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central to win	41.1%	42.9%	27.6%	1.55×	2.33
Sarmiento (Junín) to win	31.6%	30.4%	41.8%	0.73×	3.29
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	30.7%	0.91×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central & not both score	22.1%	21.8%	17.1%	1.27×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.4%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.56
Rosario Central & both teams score	19.0%	18.0%	10.6%	1.69×	5.56
Sarmiento (Junín) & not both score	16.6%	18.0%	27.7%	0.65×	5.57
Sarmiento (Junín) & both teams score	15.0%	13.3%	14.3%	0.93×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.9%	8.3%	14.8%	0.56×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central & over 1.5	31.3%	30.7%	17.4%	1.76×	3.25
Rosario Central & under 3.5	29.3%	26.1%	23.5%	1.11×	3.84
Rosario Central & over 2.5	24.0%	21.6%	13.1%	1.65×	4.63
Sarmiento (Junín) & over 1.5	23.3%	21.6%	27.8%	0.78×	4.63
Sarmiento (Junín) & under 3.5	23.2%	21.6%	34.8%	0.62×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	21.0%	21.6%	28.2%	0.77×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	21.0%	21.6%	28.2%	0.77×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.4%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.55
Sarmiento (Junín) & over 2.5	17.9%	18.0%	18.4%	0.98×	5.56
Rosario Central & under 2.5	17.1%	18.0%	14.6%	1.23×	5.56
Sarmiento (Junín) & under 2.5	13.6%	12.8%	23.6%	0.54×	7.79
Rosario Central & over 3.5	11.8%	12.8%	4.2%	3.04×	7.79
Rosario Central & under 1.5	9.8%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.63
Sarmiento (Junín) & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.63
Sarmiento (Junín) & over 3.5	8.3%	7.9%	7.2%	1.10×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	14.8%	0.53×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	2.6%	3.02×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.4%	7.9%	2.6%	3.02×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central (1UP)	57.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Sarmiento (Junín) (1UP)	48.7%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central (2UP)	41.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Sarmiento (Junín) (2UP)	31.6%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Rosario Central to win 2nd half	36.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Sarmiento (Junín) to win 2nd half	27.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Rosario Central over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.0%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Rosario Central under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Rosario Central over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.7%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.0%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Sarmiento (Junín) under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Sarmiento (Junín) over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Sarmiento (Junín) over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.0%	17.4%	—	—	5.73

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central (+2.5)	95.7%	96.3%	95.0%	1.01×	1.04
Rosario Central (+1.5)	86.6%	88.5%	82.3%	1.07×	1.13
Rosario Central (+0.5)	68.4%	68.7%	58.2%	1.18×	1.46
Sarmiento (Junín) (+0.5)	58.9%	57.1%	72.4%	0.79×	1.75
Rosario Central (-0.5)	41.1%	42.9%	27.6%	1.56×	2.33
Sarmiento (Junín) (-0.5)	31.6%	31.3%	41.8%	0.75×	3.19
Sarmiento (Junín) (-1.5)	13.4%	11.5%	17.7%	0.65×	8.67
Sarmiento (Junín) (-2.5)	4.3%	3.7%	5.0%	0.74×	27.06

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central to concede	69.9%	72.4%	68.2%	1.06×	1.38
Rosario Central clean sheet	30.1%	27.6%	31.8%	0.87×	3.62

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central clean sheet in 1st half	59.7%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Rosario Central to concede in 1st half	40.3%	43.4%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central clean sheet in 2nd half	50.4%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Rosario Central to concede in 2nd half	49.6%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central over 2.5 corners	84.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Rosario Central over 3.5 corners	71.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Rosario Central under 6.5 corners	70.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Rosario Central under 5.5 corners	57.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Rosario Central over 4.5 corners	56.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Rosario Central under 4.5 corners	43.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Rosario Central over 5.5 corners	42.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Rosario Central over 6.5 corners	29.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Rosario Central under 3.5 corners	28.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Rosario Central under 2.5 corners	15.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central under 3.5 goals	94.6%	92.4%	98.9%	0.93×	1.08
Rosario Central under 2.5 goals	83.2%	81.5%	93.4%	0.87×	1.23
Rosario Central over 0.5 goals	75.5%	76.2%	57.6%	1.32×	1.31
Rosario Central under 1.5 goals	59.0%	59.4%	78.2%	0.76×	1.68
Rosario Central over 1.5 goals	41.0%	40.6%	21.8%	1.86×	2.47
Rosario Central under 0.5 goals	24.5%	23.8%	42.4%	0.56×	4.21
Rosario Central over 2.5 goals	16.8%	18.5%	6.6%	2.80×	5.41
Rosario Central over 3.5 goals	5.4%	7.6%	1.1%	6.70×	13.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central under 1.5 in 1st half	89.0%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Rosario Central under 0.5 in 1st half	57.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Rosario Central over 0.5 in 1st half	43.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Rosario Central over 1.5 in 1st half	11.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central scores more in 2nd half	39.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Rosario Central scores equally in both	37.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Rosario Central scores more in 1st half	22.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) (away no bet)	53.6%	51.7%	57.7%	0.90×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	46.4%	48.3%	42.3%	1.14×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central even goals	53.0%	52.6%	58.4%	0.90×	1.90
Rosario Central odd goals	47.0%	47.4%	41.6%	1.14×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.8%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.23

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	61.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.2%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Rosario Central to score 2+ in a row	33.0%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Sarmiento (Junín) to score 2+ in a row	25.8%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.8%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Rosario Central to score 3+ in a row	10.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Sarmiento (Junín) to score 3+ in a row	7.2%	5.5%	—	—	18.20

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central corners (+3.5)	87.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Rosario Central corners (+2.5)	80.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (+3.5)	78.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Rosario Central corners (+1.5)	72.4%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (+2.5)	69.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (+1.5)	59.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Rosario Central corners (-1.5)	40.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Rosario Central corners (-2.5)	30.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (-1.5)	27.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Rosario Central corners (-3.5)	21.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (-2.5)	19.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (-3.5)	12.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	69.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	61.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	31.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	28.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.0%	11.5%	13.5%	0.85×	8.71
0-1	9.8%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.51
1-2	8.8%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
0-0	7.9%	7.4%	14.8%	0.50×	13.51
0-2	7.3%	7.4%	4.4%	1.66×	13.51
1-0	8.3%	7.4%	14.1%	0.52×	13.51
2-1	7.5%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
2-0	5.3%	7.4%	9.6%	0.77×	13.51
2-2	5.3%	7.4%	2.3%	3.25×	13.51
0-3	3.4%	1.7%	2.1%	0.84×	58.30
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.01×	58.31
1-3	4.1%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.30
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.31
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.31
3-0	2.1%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31
3-1	3.0%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.30
3-2	2.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.32
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.15×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
Any other score	2.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central (2nd half DNB)	57.3%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Sarmiento (Junín) (2nd half DNB)	42.7%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central leading at HT (DNB)	52.7%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Sarmiento (Junín) leading at HT (DNB)	47.3%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) or Rosario Central (12)	72.7%	72.1%	69.3%	1.04×	1.39
Rosario Central or draw (X2)	68.4%	69.6%	58.2%	1.20×	1.44
Sarmiento (Junín) or draw (1X)	58.9%	57.1%	72.4%	0.79×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central or draw at HT	73.9%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Sarmiento (Junín) or draw at HT	70.9%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Sarmiento (Junín) or Rosario Central at HT	55.2%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central or draw (1UP)	68.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Sarmiento (Junín) or draw (1UP)	58.9%	63.1%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central or draw in 2nd half	72.9%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Sarmiento (Junín) or draw in 2nd half	63.7%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Sarmiento (Junín) or Rosario Central in 2nd half	63.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	35.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central (DNB)	56.6%	58.1%	39.7%	1.46×	1.72
Sarmiento (Junín) (DNB)	43.4%	41.9%	60.3%	0.70×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central to score first	49.6%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
Sarmiento (Junín) to score first	42.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	7.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.18

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.3%	51.3%	40.6%	1.26×	1.95
Not both teams to score	46.7%	48.7%	59.4%	0.82×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.3%	41.6%	27.3%	1.52×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	38.7%	38.5%	52.8%	0.73×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.0%	12.4%	13.5%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.0%	8.3%	6.7%	1.23×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.2%	85.6%	94.1%	0.91×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.8%	14.4%	5.9%	2.43×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.6%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.4%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.0%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.5%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.9%	5.0%	—	—	20.15

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.6%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.4%	16.5%	—	—	6.04

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	48.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.4%	47.2%	47.3%	1.00×	2.12
0-1 goals	26.1%	26.6%	39.0%	0.68×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.8%	22.9%	13.5%	1.71×	4.36
7+ goals	1.7%	1.8%	0.5%	4.03×	54.39

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central to score exactly 1	34.5%	33.8%	35.9%	0.94×	2.96
Rosario Central to score exactly 0	24.5%	22.3%	42.4%	0.53×	4.49
Rosario Central to score exactly 2	24.2%	22.3%	15.3%	1.46×	4.49
Rosario Central to score 3+	16.8%	19.5%	6.6%	2.95×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) to score exactly 1	36.1%	35.5%	36.5%	0.97×	2.81
Sarmiento (Junín) to score exactly 0	30.1%	32.6%	31.8%	1.02×	3.07
Sarmiento (Junín) to score exactly 2	21.7%	23.3%	21.8%	1.07×	4.29
Sarmiento (Junín) to score 3+	12.1%	14.3%	10.1%	1.41×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.8%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Rosario Central leading at HT	29.1%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Sarmiento (Junín) leading at HT	26.1%	25.5%	—	—	3.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central -1: 1	58.9%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Rosario Central -1: X	21.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Rosario Central -1: 2	19.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central (0:1)	68.4%	65.3%	58.2%	1.12×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	18.2%	17.8%	24.3%	0.73×	5.61
Sarmiento (Junín) (0:1)	13.4%	13.7%	17.7%	0.78×	7.29

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central (0:2)	86.6%	87.1%	82.3%	1.06×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.0%	7.7%	12.8%	0.60×	13.04
Sarmiento (Junín) (0:2)	4.3%	3.8%	5.0%	0.75×	26.65

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central (0:3)	95.7%	96.6%	95.0%	1.02×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.2%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.00
Sarmiento (Junín) (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	1.7%	1.39×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	1.3%	0.97×	81.87
Sarmiento (Junín) (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	0.6%	2.14×	81.94

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) (1:0)	58.9%	58.4%	72.4%	0.81×	1.71
Draw (1:0)	21.4%	21.7%	18.6%	1.17×	4.61
Rosario Central (1:0)	19.7%	17.1%	9.1%	1.88×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) (2:0)	80.3%	84.5%	90.9%	0.93×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.4%	10.3%	6.3%	1.64×	9.72
Rosario Central (2:0)	7.3%	6.4%	3.0%	2.15×	15.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.2%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) to concede	75.5%	76.0%	57.6%	1.32×	1.32
Sarmiento (Junín) clean sheet	24.5%	24.0%	42.4%	0.57×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) clean sheet in 1st half	57.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Sarmiento (Junín) to concede in 1st half	43.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) to concede in 2nd half	57.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Sarmiento (Junín) clean sheet in 2nd half	43.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) under 6.5 corners	78.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Sarmiento (Junín) over 2.5 corners	78.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Sarmiento (Junín) under 5.5 corners	67.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Sarmiento (Junín) over 3.5 corners	63.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Sarmiento (Junín) under 4.5 corners	53.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Sarmiento (Junín) over 4.5 corners	46.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Sarmiento (Junín) under 3.5 corners	37.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Sarmiento (Junín) over 5.5 corners	32.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Sarmiento (Junín) under 2.5 corners	21.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Sarmiento (Junín) over 6.5 corners	21.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) under 3.5 goals	96.6%	96.4%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Sarmiento (Junín) under 2.5 goals	87.9%	87.3%	89.9%	0.97×	1.15
Sarmiento (Junín) over 0.5 goals	69.9%	68.0%	68.2%	1.00×	1.47
Sarmiento (Junín) under 1.5 goals	66.2%	67.9%	68.2%	1.00×	1.47
Sarmiento (Junín) over 1.5 goals	33.8%	32.1%	31.8%	1.01×	3.12
Sarmiento (Junín) under 0.5 goals	30.1%	32.0%	31.8%	1.01×	3.12
Sarmiento (Junín) over 2.5 goals	12.1%	12.7%	10.1%	1.25×	7.86
Sarmiento (Junín) over 3.5 goals	3.4%	3.6%	2.9%	1.27×	27.54

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) under 1.5 in 1st half	90.5%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Sarmiento (Junín) under 0.5 in 1st half	59.7%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Sarmiento (Junín) over 0.5 in 1st half	40.3%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Sarmiento (Junín) over 1.5 in 1st half	9.5%	5.4%	—	—	18.52

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) scores equally in both	41.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Sarmiento (Junín) scores more in 2nd half	34.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Sarmiento (Junín) scores more in 1st half	23.8%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central (home no bet)	60.1%	59.9%	47.4%	1.27×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	39.9%	40.1%	52.6%	0.76×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) even goals	54.5%	50.8%	55.6%	0.91×	1.97
Sarmiento (Junín) odd goals	45.5%	49.2%	44.4%	1.11×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.1%	33.5%	—	—	2.98
HT 0-1	19.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	17.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	10.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 0-2	5.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 2-0	4.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
Any other HT score	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 1-2	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 2-1	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.25
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central at HT / Rosario Central at FT	22.5%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Sarmiento (Junín) at HT / Sarmiento (Junín) at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Rosario Central at FT	16.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Sarmiento (Junín) at FT	11.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Sarmiento (Junín) at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Rosario Central at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Sarmiento (Junín) at HT / Rosario Central at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Rosario Central at HT / Sarmiento (Junín) at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central to score last	49.7%	46.4%	—	—	2.15
Sarmiento (Junín) to score last	42.4%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	7.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.18

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.1%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Rosario Central to lead by 1 at any time	57.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Sarmiento (Junín) to lead by 1 at any time	48.7%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.2%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Rosario Central to lead by 2 at any time	25.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Sarmiento (Junín) to lead by 2 at any time	18.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.39
Rosario Central to lead by 3 at any time	9.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.96
Sarmiento (Junín) to lead by 3 at any time	5.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.12

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central most corners	51.5%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Sarmiento (Junín) most corners	37.6%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.4%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.7%	78.7%	79.9%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.2%	72.3%	60.7%	1.19×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.0%	68.8%	60.1%	1.15×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.5%	68.8%	71.5%	0.96×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.3%	55.8%	1.14×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.4%	48.4%	47.3%	1.02×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.6%	48.4%	33.5%	1.45×	2.06
1-2 goals	43.8%	43.6%	51.4%	0.85×	2.29
3-5 goals	43.4%	43.6%	33.0%	1.32×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.0%	39.2%	28.6%	1.37×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.8%	24.5%	13.5%	1.82×	4.09
4-5 goals	21.6%	24.4%	12.9%	1.90×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.6%	14.8%	5.0%	2.95×	6.76
7+ goals	1.7%	2.6%	0.5%	5.59×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central never behind	43.4%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Sarmiento (Junín) never behind	35.0%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.6%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.4%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.0%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.0%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.1%	95.4%	99.0%	0.96×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	85.2%	1.08×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.7%	87.6%	94.6%	0.93×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	73.9%	72.5%	61.0%	1.19×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	73.5%	72.5%	86.2%	0.84×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	51.7%	52.5%	66.1%	0.79×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	48.3%	47.5%	33.9%	1.40×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	26.5%	27.5%	13.8%	1.99×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	26.1%	27.5%	39.0%	0.71×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	12.3%	12.4%	5.4%	2.31×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	14.8%	0.52×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.9%	4.6%	1.0%	4.47×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.2%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.7%	92.4%	98.9%	0.93×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.6%	86.7%	94.1%	0.92×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.1%	67.5%	82.7%	0.82×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	65.0%	61.9%	46.5%	1.33×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.0%	38.1%	53.5%	0.71×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.9%	32.5%	17.3%	1.88×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.4%	13.3%	5.9%	2.27×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.3%	7.6%	1.1%	7.06×	13.21
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.8%	2.8%	0.5%	6.12×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.5%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.6%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.9%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.1%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.4%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.5%	7.3%	—	—	13.63

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.1%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.9%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) not to score in both halves	80.0%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Rosario Central not to score in both halves	75.5%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Rosario Central to score in both halves	24.5%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Sarmiento (Junín) to score in both halves	20.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.3%	53.8%	40.6%	1.33×	1.86
Only Rosario Central scores	22.1%	22.2%	17.1%	1.30×	4.50
Only Sarmiento (Junín) scores	16.6%	16.0%	27.7%	0.58×	6.24
Neither team scores	7.9%	7.1%	14.8%	0.48×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.6%	24.9%	27.3%	0.91×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	20.2%	1.12×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.1%	17.5%	24.3%	0.72×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.2%	12.1%	8.6%	1.42×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	7.9%	7.6%	14.8%	0.51×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	7.4%	7.6%	4.4%	1.71×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.9%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	34.1%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	19.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.35
3+ goals in 1st half	9.5%	7.3%	—	—	13.63

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.3%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.8%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	21.9%	22.9%	—	—	4.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) not to win both halves	92.8%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Rosario Central not to win both halves	89.3%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Rosario Central to win both halves	10.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Sarmiento (Junín) to win both halves	7.2%	5.8%	—	—	17.14

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central to win either half	54.8%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Sarmiento (Junín) to win neither half	53.9%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Sarmiento (Junín) to win either half	46.1%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Rosario Central to win neither half	45.2%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) not to win to nil	83.4%	83.1%	72.3%	1.15×	1.20
Rosario Central not to win to nil	77.9%	78.1%	82.9%	0.94×	1.28
Rosario Central to win to nil	22.1%	21.9%	17.1%	1.28×	4.57
Sarmiento (Junín) to win to nil	16.6%	16.9%	27.7%	0.61×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	30.7%	0.91×	3.59
Rosario Central by 1	21.4%	24.1%	18.6%	1.30×	4.15
Sarmiento (Junín) by 1	18.2%	17.1%	24.3%	0.70×	5.87
Rosario Central by 2	12.4%	11.8%	6.3%	1.87×	8.51
Sarmiento (Junín) by 2	9.0%	7.2%	12.8%	0.56×	13.90
Rosario Central by 3+	7.3%	7.2%	3.0%	2.43×	13.91
Sarmiento (Junín) by 3+	4.3%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.84