Sarpsborg FK v Kristiansund BK — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · NOR-Eliteserien · 2627

NOR-Eliteserien results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Sarpsborg FK

16:00 UTC

Kristiansund BK

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 149h before kick-off

Sarpsborg FK win

51.1%

model 52.3%

Draw

26.7%

model 26.7%

Kristiansund BK win

22.1%

model 20.9%

512722

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.6%
1-0 12.5%
2-0 10.4%
2-1 9.4%
0-0 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.1%	Under 2.5	54.9%
BTTS yes	47.9%	BTTS no	52.1%
Sarpsborg FK 1+	79.3%	Sarpsborg FK 2+	46.7%
Kristiansund BK 1+	59.5%	Kristiansund BK 2+	22.9%

Expected goals 1.58 – 0.91. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 39%

52.9% fair odds 1.89

strong signal · 1367 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Kristiansund BK not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Sarpsborg FK carry the stronger rating, 1518 Elo against 1412.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Sarpsborg FK have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.7% for the draw and 22.1% for Kristiansund BK. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.57 for Sarpsborg FK and 0.91 for Kristiansund BK.

Why Sarpsborg FK

Sarpsborg FK carry the stronger rating, 1518 Elo against 1412.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. Draws run at 20% in this competition.

Why Kristiansund BK can win

Nothing in the data singles out Kristiansund BK.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sarpsborg FK, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kristiansund BK, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sarpsborg FK: 46% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 16.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kristiansund BK: 46% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sarpsborg FK's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Sarpsborg FK are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	522721	1.58–0.91	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	522919	1.43–0.75	1-0 15%	37%	41%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK to win	52.5%	51.5%	49.0%	1.05×	1.94
Draw	28.5%	27.9%	19.9%	1.40×	3.58
Kristiansund BK to win	19.0%	19.4%	31.3%	0.62×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK & not both score	35.1%	33.3%	24.1%	1.38×	3.01
Sarpsborg FK & both teams score	17.4%	18.0%	25.1%	0.72×	5.57
Draw & both teams score	16.5%	18.0%	15.0%	1.20×	5.57
Draw & not both score	12.0%	13.3%	5.2%	2.56×	7.54
Kristiansund BK & not both score	11.9%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.54
Kristiansund BK & both teams score	7.1%	8.3%	16.8%	0.49×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK & under 3.5	41.1%	40.3%	28.0%	1.44×	2.48
Sarpsborg FK & over 1.5	37.1%	34.9%	41.2%	0.85×	2.87
Sarpsborg FK & under 2.5	26.9%	26.1%	14.5%	1.80×	3.84
Sarpsborg FK & over 2.5	25.6%	26.0%	34.7%	0.75×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	24.8%	21.6%	14.5%	1.49×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	24.8%	21.6%	14.5%	1.49×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	16.5%	18.0%	15.0%	1.20×	5.56
Kristiansund BK & under 3.5	16.3%	18.0%	19.4%	0.93×	5.56
Sarpsborg FK & under 1.5	15.4%	18.0%	8.0%	2.24×	5.56
Sarpsborg FK & over 3.5	11.4%	12.8%	21.2%	0.60×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	12.0%	12.8%	5.2%	2.48×	7.79
Kristiansund BK & over 1.5	11.2%	12.8%	26.4%	0.49×	7.79
Kristiansund BK & under 2.5	11.0%	12.8%	10.1%	1.27×	7.79
Kristiansund BK & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	5.2%	1.53×	12.63
Kristiansund BK & over 2.5	8.0%	7.9%	21.5%	0.37×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.7%	4.8%	5.7%	0.84×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.7%	4.8%	5.7%	0.84×	20.82
Kristiansund BK & over 3.5	2.7%	4.8%	12.2%	0.39×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (1UP)	63.8%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Kristiansund BK (1UP)	33.4%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (2UP)	52.5%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Kristiansund BK (2UP)	19.0%	17.1%	—	—	5.83

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK to win 2nd half	41.2%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
2nd half drawn	40.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Kristiansund BK to win 2nd half	18.7%	18.0%	—	—	5.57

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.4%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Kristiansund BK under 0.5 in 2nd half	63.6%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Kristiansund BK over 0.5 in 2nd half	36.4%	39.6%	—	—	2.52
Kristiansund BK over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.6%	8.2%	—	—	12.13

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.3%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Sarpsborg FK over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.8%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Sarpsborg FK under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.2%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Sarpsborg FK over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.7%	17.7%	—	—	5.65

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK (+2.5)	89.6%	88.5%	85.5%	1.03×	1.13
Sarpsborg FK (+0.5)	81.0%	82.6%	68.7%	1.20×	1.21
Kristiansund BK (+1.5)	73.3%	73.7%	72.0%	1.02×	1.36
Sarpsborg FK (-0.5)	52.5%	52.4%	49.0%	1.07×	1.91
Kristiansund BK (+0.5)	47.5%	47.6%	51.0%	0.93×	2.10
Sarpsborg FK (-1.5)	26.7%	26.3%	28.0%	0.94×	3.80
Kristiansund BK (-0.5)	19.0%	17.4%	31.3%	0.56×	5.73
Sarpsborg FK (-2.5)	10.4%	11.5%	14.5%	0.79×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK to concede	76.1%	78.7%	80.3%	0.98×	1.27
Kristiansund BK clean sheet	23.9%	21.3%	19.7%	1.08×	4.70

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK clean sheet in 1st half	54.0%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Kristiansund BK to concede in 1st half	46.0%	49.0%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK to concede in 2nd half	55.8%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Kristiansund BK clean sheet in 2nd half	44.2%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK under 6.5 corners	81.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Kristiansund BK over 2.5 corners	74.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Kristiansund BK under 5.5 corners	70.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Kristiansund BK over 3.5 corners	58.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Kristiansund BK under 4.5 corners	57.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Kristiansund BK over 4.5 corners	42.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Kristiansund BK under 3.5 corners	41.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Kristiansund BK over 5.5 corners	29.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Kristiansund BK under 2.5 corners	25.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Kristiansund BK over 6.5 corners	19.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK under 3.5 goals	99.3%	97.5%	93.5%	1.04×	1.03
Kristiansund BK under 2.5 goals	95.9%	97.5%	82.6%	1.18×	1.03
Kristiansund BK under 1.5 goals	82.6%	81.5%	63.0%	1.29×	1.23
Kristiansund BK over 0.5 goals	52.9%	53.5%	71.0%	0.75×	1.87
Kristiansund BK under 0.5 goals	47.1%	46.5%	29.0%	1.60×	2.15
Kristiansund BK over 1.5 goals	17.4%	18.5%	37.0%	0.50×	5.41
Kristiansund BK over 2.5 goals	4.1%	2.5%	17.4%	0.14×	39.76
Kristiansund BK over 3.5 goals	0.7%	2.5%	6.5%	0.39×	39.93

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK under 1.5 in 1st half	96.3%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
Kristiansund BK under 0.5 in 1st half	74.0%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Kristiansund BK over 0.5 in 1st half	26.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Kristiansund BK over 1.5 in 1st half	3.7%	3.9%	—	—	25.59

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK scores equally in both	53.7%	51.4%	—	—	1.94
Kristiansund BK scores more in 2nd half	28.6%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Kristiansund BK scores more in 1st half	17.6%	18.0%	—	—	5.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (away no bet)	64.8%	62.0%	71.1%	0.87×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.2%	38.0%	28.9%	1.31×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK even goals	61.1%	59.1%	52.9%	1.12×	1.69
Kristiansund BK odd goals	38.9%	40.9%	47.2%	0.87×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.6%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.4%	8.5%	—	—	11.71

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	51.4%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Both halves under 1.5 goals	48.6%	49.4%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	46.2%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Sarpsborg FK to score 2+ in a row	36.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.4%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
Sarpsborg FK to score 3+ in a row	13.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Kristiansund BK to score 2+ in a row	12.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.23
Kristiansund BK to score 3+ in a row	2.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.56

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK corners (+3.5)	92.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Sarpsborg FK corners (+2.5)	87.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Sarpsborg FK corners (+1.5)	82.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Kristiansund BK corners (+3.5)	62.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Sarpsborg FK corners (-1.5)	56.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Kristiansund BK corners (+2.5)	53.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Sarpsborg FK corners (-2.5)	47.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Kristiansund BK corners (+1.5)	43.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Sarpsborg FK corners (-3.5)	37.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Kristiansund BK corners (-1.5)	17.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Kristiansund BK corners (-2.5)	12.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Kristiansund BK corners (-3.5)	7.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	42.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
0-8 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
9-11 corners	27.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	78.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	70.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	65.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 9.5 corners	61.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	57.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	51.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	48.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	42.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	38.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	34.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	29.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	21.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	15.4%	13.8%	8.0%	1.72×	7.24
1-1	12.9%	11.5%	9.6%	1.20×	8.71
0-0	12.0%	11.5%	5.2%	2.21×	8.71
2-0	11.5%	11.5%	6.7%	1.70×	8.72
2-1	8.7%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.51
0-1	7.8%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
3-0	5.5%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
0-2	3.2%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.30
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.31×	58.32
1-2	4.6%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.29
1-3	1.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.32
2-2	3.3%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.30
2-3	0.8%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.3%	1.32×	58.32
3-1	4.1%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.30
3-2	1.6%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.65×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.31×	58.32
4-0	2.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
4-1	1.5%	1.7%	2.9%	0.60×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.3%	1.32×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.31×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.31×	58.32
Any other score	1.7%	1.7%	7.3%	0.24×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (2nd half DNB)	68.8%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Kristiansund BK (2nd half DNB)	31.2%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK leading at HT (DNB)	70.8%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Kristiansund BK leading at HT (DNB)	29.2%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK or draw (1X)	81.0%	80.6%	68.7%	1.17×	1.24
Sarpsborg FK or Kristiansund BK (12)	71.5%	72.1%	80.1%	0.90×	1.39
Kristiansund BK or draw (X2)	47.5%	48.5%	51.0%	0.95×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK or draw at HT	84.8%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Kristiansund BK or draw at HT	63.2%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Sarpsborg FK or Kristiansund BK at HT	52.0%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK or draw (1UP)	81.0%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Kristiansund BK or draw (1UP)	47.5%	53.0%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK or draw in 2nd half	81.3%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Sarpsborg FK or Kristiansund BK in 2nd half	60.0%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Kristiansund BK or draw in 2nd half	58.8%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.1%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	31.9%	31.7%	—	—	3.15

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (DNB)	73.4%	71.4%	61.0%	1.17×	1.40
Kristiansund BK (DNB)	26.6%	28.6%	39.0%	0.73×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK to score first	57.7%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Kristiansund BK to score first	30.3%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	12.0%	9.7%	—	—	10.28

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	59.0%	55.0%	43.5%	1.26×	1.82
Both teams to score	41.0%	45.0%	56.5%	0.80×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	49.9%	44.3%	29.3%	1.51×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	28.1%	33.3%	47.2%	0.71×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.4%	9.6%	1.29×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.2%	8.3%	14.5%	0.57×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.7%	89.0%	83.4%	1.07×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.3%	11.0%	16.6%	0.66×	9.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.5%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	69.8%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Both score 2nd half only	18.1%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
Both score 1st half only	9.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.62
Both score in both halves	2.4%	4.8%	—	—	20.68

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.9%	85.1%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	12.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.69

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	56.5%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A goal in each half	43.5%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.1%	47.2%	43.8%	1.08×	2.12
0-1 goals	35.1%	35.0%	17.9%	1.96×	2.86
4-6 goals	17.0%	20.2%	35.5%	0.57×	4.94
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	3.4%	0.54×	54.49

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK to score exactly 0	47.1%	42.9%	29.0%	1.48×	2.33
Kristiansund BK to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.9%	34.2%	1.05×	2.78
Kristiansund BK to score exactly 2	13.4%	12.9%	19.9%	0.65×	7.76
Kristiansund BK to score 3+	4.1%	4.6%	17.4%	0.26×	21.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK to score exactly 1	34.2%	32.6%	28.2%	1.15×	3.07
Sarpsborg FK to score exactly 2	24.5%	23.3%	25.9%	0.90×	4.29
Sarpsborg FK to score exactly 0	23.9%	23.3%	19.7%	1.18×	4.29
Sarpsborg FK to score 3+	17.4%	18.8%	26.7%	0.70×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.0%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Sarpsborg FK leading at HT	36.8%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
Kristiansund BK leading at HT	15.2%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK -1: 2	47.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Sarpsborg FK -1: 1	26.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Sarpsborg FK -1: X	25.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK (0:1)	47.5%	46.1%	51.0%	0.90×	2.17
Sarpsborg FK (0:1)	26.7%	27.0%	28.0%	0.97×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	25.8%	27.0%	21.2%	1.27×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK (0:2)	73.3%	75.7%	72.0%	1.05×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.3%	15.2%	13.7%	1.11×	6.57
Sarpsborg FK (0:2)	10.4%	11.0%	14.5%	0.76×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK (0:3)	89.6%	90.6%	85.5%	1.06×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.2%	5.8%	7.0%	0.83×	17.25
Sarpsborg FK (0:3)	3.3%	2.4%	7.8%	0.31×	41.99

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK (0:4)	96.7%	98.1%	92.2%	1.06×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.4%	1.2%	4.7%	0.26×	81.63
Sarpsborg FK (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	3.4%	0.36×	81.81

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (1:0)	81.0%	81.4%	68.7%	1.19×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	13.2%	12.7%	14.8%	0.86×	7.87
Kristiansund BK (1:0)	5.8%	6.9%	16.8%	0.41×	14.52

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (2:0)	94.2%	94.0%	83.2%	1.13×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.5%	2.3%	9.1%	0.25×	43.64
Kristiansund BK (2:0)	1.3%	2.3%	8.0%	0.28×	43.85

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.9%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Halves equal	29.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK to concede	52.9%	53.2%	71.0%	0.75×	1.88
Sarpsborg FK clean sheet	47.1%	46.8%	29.0%	1.61×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK clean sheet in 1st half	74.0%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Sarpsborg FK to concede in 1st half	26.0%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK clean sheet in 2nd half	63.6%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Sarpsborg FK to concede in 2nd half	36.4%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK over 2.5 corners	90.9%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Sarpsborg FK over 3.5 corners	82.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Sarpsborg FK over 4.5 corners	71.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Sarpsborg FK over 5.5 corners	59.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Sarpsborg FK under 6.5 corners	52.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Sarpsborg FK over 6.5 corners	47.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Sarpsborg FK under 5.5 corners	40.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Sarpsborg FK under 4.5 corners	28.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Sarpsborg FK under 3.5 corners	17.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Sarpsborg FK under 2.5 corners	9.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK under 3.5 goals	94.3%	92.2%	87.6%	1.05×	1.08
Sarpsborg FK under 2.5 goals	82.6%	82.2%	73.3%	1.12×	1.22
Sarpsborg FK over 0.5 goals	76.1%	77.7%	80.3%	0.97×	1.29
Sarpsborg FK under 1.5 goals	58.1%	58.7%	47.7%	1.23×	1.71
Sarpsborg FK over 1.5 goals	41.9%	41.3%	52.3%	0.79×	2.42
Sarpsborg FK under 0.5 goals	23.9%	22.3%	19.7%	1.13×	4.49
Sarpsborg FK over 2.5 goals	17.4%	17.8%	26.7%	0.67×	5.62
Sarpsborg FK over 3.5 goals	5.7%	7.8%	12.4%	0.63×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK under 1.5 in 1st half	87.3%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Sarpsborg FK under 0.5 in 1st half	54.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Sarpsborg FK over 0.5 in 1st half	46.0%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Sarpsborg FK over 1.5 in 1st half	12.7%	9.8%	—	—	10.17

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK scores equally in both	37.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Sarpsborg FK scores more in 2nd half	37.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Sarpsborg FK scores more in 1st half	25.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	60.0%	59.9%	38.9%	1.54×	1.67
Kristiansund BK (home no bet)	40.0%	40.1%	61.1%	0.66×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK even goals	52.9%	50.8%	53.9%	0.94×	1.97
Sarpsborg FK odd goals	47.1%	49.3%	46.1%	1.07×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	40.1%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
HT 1-0	24.5%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	7.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 2-0	7.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
Any other HT score	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.25
HT 0-2	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.33
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK at HT / Sarpsborg FK at FT	31.2%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Sarpsborg FK at FT	19.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Kristiansund BK at HT / Kristiansund BK at FT	9.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.43
Draw at HT / Kristiansund BK at FT	8.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.45
Sarpsborg FK at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Kristiansund BK at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Kristiansund BK at HT / Sarpsborg FK at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Sarpsborg FK at HT / Kristiansund BK at FT	1.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK to score last	57.8%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Kristiansund BK to score last	30.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
No goal scored	12.0%	9.1%	—	—	10.95

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.0%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
Sarpsborg FK to lead by 1 at any time	63.8%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
Kristiansund BK to lead by 1 at any time	33.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Sarpsborg FK to lead by 2 at any time	31.3%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.41
Sarpsborg FK to lead by 3 at any time	11.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Kristiansund BK to lead by 2 at any time	8.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.99
Kristiansund BK to lead by 3 at any time	1.7%	1.6%	—	—	63.53

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK most corners	66.1%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Kristiansund BK most corners	25.2%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	8.6%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.6%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.9%	83.4%	73.1%	1.14×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.3%	72.3%	56.5%	1.28×	1.38
2-6 goals	64.2%	63.3%	79.0%	0.80×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.5%	63.3%	74.4%	0.85×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.8%	59.1%	60.4%	0.98×	1.69
1-2 goals	50.7%	53.2%	33.7%	1.58×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.1%	48.4%	43.8%	1.11×	2.06
3-6 goals	36.6%	39.2%	58.3%	0.67×	2.55
3-5 goals	34.9%	35.2%	53.6%	0.66×	2.84
3-4 goals	30.2%	35.2%	39.6%	0.89×	2.84
4-6 goals	17.0%	18.8%	35.5%	0.53×	5.31
4-5 goals	15.3%	18.8%	30.8%	0.61×	5.31
5-6 goals	6.4%	8.9%	18.9%	0.47×	11.27
7+ goals	0.7%	2.5%	3.4%	0.76×	39.24

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK never behind	54.6%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Kristiansund BK never behind	24.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.9%	50.9%	51.6%	0.99×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.1%	49.1%	48.4%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.6%	95.4%	92.0%	1.04×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	78.0%	1.18×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.0%	87.6%	94.8%	0.92×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	82.3%	82.3%	61.4%	1.34×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	64.9%	61.7%	82.1%	0.75×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	62.7%	61.7%	38.6%	1.60×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	37.3%	38.3%	61.4%	0.62×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	35.1%	38.3%	17.9%	2.14×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	17.7%	17.7%	38.6%	0.46×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	12.0%	12.4%	5.2%	2.39×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	22.0%	0.35×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.4%	4.6%	8.0%	0.57×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	96.5%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.5%	97.2%	90.7%	1.07×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.1%	92.4%	73.6%	1.26×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	77.9%	75.9%	50.0%	1.52×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	51.5%	51.9%	77.5%	0.67×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	48.5%	48.1%	22.5%	2.14×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	22.1%	24.1%	50.0%	0.48×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.9%	7.6%	26.4%	0.29×	13.18
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.5%	2.8%	9.3%	0.30×	35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	3.5%	0.79×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.4%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.5%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	59.9%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Under 0.5 in 1st half	40.1%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.03

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.5%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.6%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.6%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.4%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.4%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.5%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK not to score in both halves	90.5%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Sarpsborg FK not to score in both halves	74.4%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Sarpsborg FK to score in both halves	25.6%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
Kristiansund BK to score in both halves	9.5%	9.9%	—	—	10.13

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	41.0%	46.6%	56.5%	0.82×	2.15
Only Sarpsborg FK scores	35.1%	39.9%	24.1%	1.65×	2.51
Neither team scores	12.0%	11.0%	5.2%	2.13×	9.07
Only Kristiansund BK scores	11.9%	11.0%	14.8%	0.75×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.6%	24.9%	21.0%	1.19×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	23.2%	22.6%	13.0%	1.74×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.5%	17.5%	23.1%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	12.0%	12.1%	5.2%	2.34×	8.26
Exactly 4 goals	10.7%	12.1%	16.8%	0.72×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	4.7%	4.5%	14.2%	0.31×	22.33
6 or more goals	2.4%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	40.1%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	16.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	6.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.03

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	36.4%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
1 goal in 2nd half	35.2%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
No goals in 2nd half	28.4%	29.1%	—	—	3.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK not to win both halves	97.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Sarpsborg FK not to win both halves	84.7%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
Sarpsborg FK to win both halves	15.3%	16.4%	—	—	6.09
Kristiansund BK to win both halves	2.9%	2.8%	—	—	36.01

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK to win neither half	69.0%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Sarpsborg FK to win either half	62.7%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Sarpsborg FK to win neither half	37.3%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Kristiansund BK to win either half	31.0%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kristiansund BK not to win to nil	88.1%	88.1%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
Sarpsborg FK not to win to nil	64.9%	66.6%	75.9%	0.88×	1.50
Sarpsborg FK to win to nil	35.1%	33.4%	24.1%	1.39×	2.99
Kristiansund BK to win to nil	11.9%	11.9%	14.8%	0.80×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.5%	27.9%	19.9%	1.40×	3.59
Sarpsborg FK by 1	25.8%	27.9%	21.2%	1.31×	3.59
Sarpsborg FK by 2	16.3%	17.0%	13.7%	1.24×	5.87
Kristiansund BK by 1	13.2%	11.8%	14.8%	0.80×	8.50
Sarpsborg FK by 3+	10.4%	11.8%	14.5%	0.81×	8.51
Kristiansund BK by 2	4.5%	2.7%	9.1%	0.30×	36.83
Kristiansund BK by 3+	1.3%	2.7%	8.0%	0.34×	36.93