betaider.com

Sassuolo v Napoli — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 23 August 2025 · ITA-Serie A · 2526

Serie A xG

0–2
0.30 – 1.55 xG
Shots
7 – 13
On target
2 – 4
Shots in box
3 – 7
xG per shot
0.04 – 0.13
Set-piece xG
0.00 – 0.16
Goals − xG
-0.30 – +0.36
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.50.91.41.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Scott McTominay 16' — goalKevin De Bruyne 56' — goal
Sassuolo 0.30 xGNapoli 1.64 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Kevin De Bruyne 0' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Amir Rrahmani 11' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Matteo Politano 14' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Scott McTominay 16' — Goal (0.27 xG, Open Play)Scott McTominay 21' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Josh Doig 42' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Scott McTominay 45' — Shot On Post (0.05 xG, Open Play)Kevin De Bruyne 49' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Domenico Berardi 52' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Lucca 54' — Saved Shot (0.74 xG, Open Play)Matteo Politano 54' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Kevin De Bruyne 56' — Goal (0.02 xG, Direct Freekick)Lorenzo Lucca 59' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Matteo Politano 63' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Tarik Muharemovic 64' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Daniel Boloca 71' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Alieu Fadera 83' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Andrea Pinamonti 87' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Franck Zambo 91' — Missed Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Daniel Boloca 93' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)
Sassuolo attacking right Napoli attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' Napoli Kevin De Bruyne 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
11' Napoli Amir Rrahmani 0.07 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Kevin De Bruyne
14' Napoli Matteo Politano 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Amir Rrahmani
16' Napoli Scott McTominay 0.27 Open Play Goal Matteo Politano
21' Napoli Scott McTominay 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
42' Sassuolo Josh Doig 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Daniel Boloca
45' Napoli Scott McTominay 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post
49' Napoli Kevin De Bruyne 0.06 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot
52' Sassuolo Domenico Berardi 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
54' Napoli Lorenzo Lucca 0.74 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
54' Napoli Matteo Politano 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Scott McTominay
56' Napoli Kevin De Bruyne 0.02 Direct Freekick Right Foot Goal
59' Napoli Lorenzo Lucca 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Kevin De Bruyne
63' Napoli Matteo Politano 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Kevin De Bruyne
64' Sassuolo Tarik Muharemovic 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Luca Lipani
71' Sassuolo Daniel Boloca 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Andrea Pinamonti
83' Sassuolo Alieu Fadera 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Andrea Pinamonti
87' Sassuolo Andrea Pinamonti 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Fali Candé
91' Napoli Franck Zambo 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Leonardo Spinazzola
93' Sassuolo Daniel Boloca 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Nicholas Pierini

Players

Napoli

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Scott McTominay ML 90 1 0 3 1 0.34 0.12 0.49
Kevin De Bruyne MC 90 1 0 3 3 0.15 0.15 0.26
Franck Zambo MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.12 0.00 0.52
Amir Rrahmani DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.03 0.20
Alex Meret GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Mathías Olivera DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Juan Jesus DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.31
Giovanni Di Lorenzo DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.57
Lorenzo Lucca FW 84 0 0 2 0 0.79 0.00 1.09
Stanislav Lobotka DMC 84 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.17
Matteo Politano MR 78 0 1 3 1 0.17 0.27 0.44
David Neres Sub 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Billy Gilmour Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Noa Lang Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Leonardo Spinazzola Sub 1 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.12 0.12
Antonio Vergara Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12

Sassuolo

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Daniel Boloca MC 90 0 0 2 1 0.10 0.04 0.14
Domenico Berardi FWR 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.16
Andrea Pinamonti FW 90 0 0 1 2 0.01 0.13 0.14
Tarik Muharemovic DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.01
Stefano Turati GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Sebastian Walukiewicz DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Filippo Romagna DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Josh Doig DL 83 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.05
Armand Lauriente FWL 83 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Ismaël Koné MC 81 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Luca Lipani MC 75 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.03
Alieu Fadera Sub 15 0 0 1 0 0.11 0.00 0.18
Fali Candé Sub 7 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.01
Andrea Ghion Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Luca Moro Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nicholas Pierini Sub 1 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.07
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide