SC Cambuur v NEC Nijmegen — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

SC Cambuur

19:00 UTC

NEC Nijmegen

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 79h before kick-off

SC Cambuur win

10.3%

model 10.7%

Draw

10.7%

model 14.9%

NEC Nijmegen win

79.0%

model 74.4%

101179

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (86 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-3 8.1%
1-2 8.0%
0-3 7.0%
0-2 6.9%
1-4 6.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	79.0%	Under 2.5	21.0%
BTTS yes	66.0%	BTTS no	34.0%
SC Cambuur 1+	68.7%	SC Cambuur 2+	32.3%
NEC Nijmegen 1+	95.2%	NEC Nijmegen 2+	80.7%

Expected goals 1.16 – 3.04. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

72/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

89%

★ Best pick

NEC Nijmegen (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 30%

73.2% fair odds 1.37

strong signal · 1098 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Over 0.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.5% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 393 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

NEC Nijmegen carry the stronger rating, 1640 Elo against 1518.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.89).

Why the model thinks this

The price

NEC Nijmegen have an estimated 79.0% win probability, against 10.7% for the draw and 10.3% for SC Cambuur. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.16 for SC Cambuur and 3.04 for NEC Nijmegen.

Why SC Cambuur

They have had 13 days' rest to NEC Nijmegen's 4.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 10.7%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why NEC Nijmegen can win

NEC Nijmegen carry the stronger rating, 1640 Elo against 1518. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for SC Cambuur, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for NEC Nijmegen, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

SC Cambuur: 53% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 16.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. NEC Nijmegen: 63% possession, 20.8 shots a match, 8.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

NEC Nijmegen are the model's most likely outcome at 79.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-3 at 8.1%. Confidence 72/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	111574	1.16–3.04	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	6986	1.20–4.11	1-4 7%	90%	69%
deep	5886	1.18–4.15	1-4 7%	90%	68%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to win	86.0%	87.8%	30.3%	2.90×	1.14
Draw	8.6%	8.7%	25.3%	0.34×	11.49
SC Cambuur to win	5.4%	8.5%	44.6%	0.19×	11.71

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen & both teams score	55.9%	49.9%	17.3%	2.88×	2.01
NEC Nijmegen & not both score	30.1%	29.3%	13.2%	2.23×	3.41
Draw & both teams score	7.8%	8.4%	21.9%	0.38×	11.93
SC Cambuur & both teams score	4.5%	4.9%	21.3%	0.23×	20.30
SC Cambuur & not both score	0.8%	4.9%	23.4%	0.21×	20.40
Draw & not both score	0.8%	4.9%	3.5%	1.39×	20.40

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen & over 1.5	84.3%	78.6%	26.3%	2.98×	1.27
NEC Nijmegen & over 2.5	80.0%	74.2%	20.5%	3.62×	1.35
NEC Nijmegen & over 3.5	69.1%	66.7%	10.4%	6.40×	1.50
NEC Nijmegen & under 3.5	16.9%	18.0%	20.1%	0.90×	5.57
Draw & over 1.5	7.8%	8.0%	21.9%	0.36×	12.56
NEC Nijmegen & under 2.5	6.0%	8.0%	10.0%	0.80×	12.56
SC Cambuur & over 1.5	5.1%	8.0%	36.4%	0.22×	12.56
Draw & over 2.5	5.1%	8.0%	10.4%	0.76×	12.56
Draw & over 3.5	5.1%	8.0%	10.4%	0.76×	12.56
SC Cambuur & over 2.5	4.7%	4.9%	29.1%	0.17×	20.52
SC Cambuur & over 3.5	3.2%	4.9%	17.2%	0.28×	20.53
Draw & under 2.5	3.5%	4.9%	15.0%	0.32×	20.53
Draw & under 3.5	3.5%	4.9%	15.0%	0.32×	20.53
SC Cambuur & under 3.5	2.2%	4.9%	27.6%	0.18×	20.54
NEC Nijmegen & under 1.5	1.8%	4.9%	4.1%	1.18×	20.54
Draw & under 1.5	0.8%	4.9%	3.5%	1.38×	20.54
SC Cambuur & under 1.5	0.3%	4.9%	8.3%	0.59×	20.55
SC Cambuur & under 2.5	0.6%	4.9%	15.6%	0.31×	20.55

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (1UP)	92.9%	94.5%	—	—	1.06
SC Cambuur (1UP)	26.5%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (2UP)	86.0%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
SC Cambuur (2UP)	6.5%	8.3%	—	—	12.08

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to win 2nd half	76.7%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
2nd half drawn	15.3%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
SC Cambuur to win 2nd half	8.0%	7.7%	—	—	13.07

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (+2.5)	99.5%	96.3%	86.7%	1.11×	1.04
NEC Nijmegen (+1.5)	98.1%	96.3%	74.6%	1.29×	1.04
NEC Nijmegen (+0.5)	94.6%	92.1%	55.4%	1.66×	1.09
NEC Nijmegen (-0.5)	86.0%	88.3%	30.3%	2.91×	1.13
SC Cambuur (+0.5)	14.0%	11.7%	69.7%	0.17×	8.56
SC Cambuur (-0.5)	5.4%	7.9%	44.6%	0.18×	12.68
SC Cambuur (-1.5)	1.9%	3.7%	25.4%	0.15×	26.83
SC Cambuur (-2.5)	0.5%	3.7%	13.3%	0.28×	26.91

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to concede	69.1%	72.4%	83.5%	0.87×	1.38
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet	30.9%	27.6%	16.5%	1.67×	3.63

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet in 1st half	60.3%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
NEC Nijmegen to concede in 1st half	39.7%	35.3%	—	—	2.83

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen under 6.5 corners	79.8%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 corners	77.1%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
NEC Nijmegen under 5.5 corners	68.9%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
NEC Nijmegen over 3.5 corners	61.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
NEC Nijmegen under 4.5 corners	54.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
NEC Nijmegen over 4.5 corners	45.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
NEC Nijmegen under 3.5 corners	38.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
NEC Nijmegen over 5.5 corners	31.1%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
NEC Nijmegen under 2.5 corners	22.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
NEC Nijmegen over 6.5 corners	20.2%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen over 0.5 goals	98.4%	97.4%	73.2%	1.33×	1.03
NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals	91.7%	92.2%	41.8%	2.20×	1.09
NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 goals	77.9%	76.1%	15.0%	5.07×	1.31
NEC Nijmegen over 3.5 goals	58.9%	59.0%	5.7%	10.41×	1.70
NEC Nijmegen under 3.5 goals	41.1%	41.0%	94.3%	0.43×	2.44
NEC Nijmegen under 2.5 goals	22.1%	23.9%	85.0%	0.28×	4.18
NEC Nijmegen under 1.5 goals	8.3%	7.8%	58.2%	0.13×	12.77
NEC Nijmegen under 0.5 goals	1.6%	2.6%	26.8%	0.10×	38.82

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen over 0.5 in 1st half	80.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
NEC Nijmegen under 1.5 in 1st half	50.7%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 in 1st half	49.3%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
NEC Nijmegen under 0.5 in 1st half	19.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	61.5%	62.0%	36.2%	1.71×	1.61
SC Cambuur (away no bet)	38.5%	38.0%	63.8%	0.60×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen even goals	50.0%	52.8%	57.4%	0.92×	1.89
NEC Nijmegen odd goals	50.0%	47.2%	42.6%	1.11×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves over 1.5 goals	52.2%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Not both halves over 1.5	47.8%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	93.6%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Both halves under 1.5 goals	6.4%	5.4%	—	—	18.44

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	90.6%	91.2%	—	—	1.10
NEC Nijmegen to score 2+ in a row	86.6%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	65.9%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
NEC Nijmegen to score 3+ in a row	64.0%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
SC Cambuur to score 2+ in a row	16.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
SC Cambuur to score 3+ in a row	3.0%	2.6%	—	—	38.75

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SC Cambuur corners (+3.5)	87.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
SC Cambuur corners (+2.5)	80.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
NEC Nijmegen corners (+3.5)	77.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
SC Cambuur corners (+1.5)	72.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
NEC Nijmegen corners (+2.5)	69.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
NEC Nijmegen corners (+1.5)	58.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
SC Cambuur corners (-1.5)	41.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
SC Cambuur corners (-2.5)	31.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
NEC Nijmegen corners (-1.5)	27.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
SC Cambuur corners (-3.5)	22.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
NEC Nijmegen corners (-2.5)	19.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
NEC Nijmegen corners (-3.5)	12.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	29.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	29.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	70.1%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	70.2%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	61.1%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	51.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	49.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	40.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	38.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	29.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 11.5 corners	29.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 12.5 corners	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	39.5%	33.0%	6.6%	5.01×	3.03
1-3	6.9%	7.4%	2.6%	2.84×	13.53
1-4	7.2%	7.4%	2.1%	3.45×	13.53
0-3	5.9%	7.4%	2.3%	3.22×	13.53
0-4	6.1%	7.4%	0.9%	8.04×	13.53
1-2	5.0%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.53
0-0	0.8%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	57.61
0-1	1.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	57.60
0-2	4.3%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	57.59
1-0	0.3%	1.7%	8.3%	0.21×	57.61
1-1	2.7%	1.7%	11.6%	0.15×	57.60
2-0	0.3%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	57.61
2-1	1.4%	1.7%	8.0%	0.22×	57.61
2-2	2.9%	1.7%	8.6%	0.20×	57.60
2-3	4.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.71×	57.59
2-4	4.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.78×	57.59
3-0	0.1%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	57.61
3-1	0.6%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	57.61
3-2	1.2%	1.7%	2.9%	0.60×	57.61
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	57.60
3-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.83×	57.60
4-0	0.0%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	57.61
4-1	0.2%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	57.61
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	57.61
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.83×	57.61
4-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	11.35×	57.61

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen leading at HT (DNB)	85.9%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
SC Cambuur leading at HT (DNB)	14.1%	14.2%	—	—	7.04

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen or draw (X2)	94.6%	91.5%	55.4%	1.65×	1.09
SC Cambuur or NEC Nijmegen (12)	91.4%	91.3%	74.7%	1.22×	1.10
SC Cambuur or draw (1X)	14.0%	12.2%	69.7%	0.17×	8.23

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen or draw at HT	89.2%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
SC Cambuur or NEC Nijmegen at HT	76.6%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
SC Cambuur or draw at HT	34.3%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen or draw (1UP)	94.6%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
SC Cambuur or draw (1UP)	26.5%	31.4%	—	—	3.18

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen or draw in 2nd half	92.0%	92.3%	—	—	1.08
SC Cambuur or NEC Nijmegen in 2nd half	84.7%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
SC Cambuur or draw in 2nd half	23.3%	21.9%	—	—	4.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	65.2%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
A half drawn	34.8%	30.8%	—	—	3.24

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (DNB)	94.1%	93.0%	40.5%	2.30×	1.08
SC Cambuur (DNB)	5.9%	7.0%	59.5%	0.12×	14.21

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to score first	77.3%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
SC Cambuur to score first	21.9%	22.7%	—	—	4.41
No goal scored	0.8%	4.2%	—	—	23.84

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	68.3%	57.7%	60.2%	0.96×	1.73
Not both teams to score	31.7%	42.3%	39.8%	1.06×	2.36

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	65.6%	57.0%	48.7%	1.17×	1.76
Not both score & over 2.5	24.3%	28.4%	11.2%	2.54×	3.52
Not both score & under 2.5	7.5%	8.4%	28.8%	0.29×	11.93
Both score & under 2.5	2.7%	4.7%	11.6%	0.40×	21.42

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	69.9%	74.1%	80.6%	0.92×	1.35
Both teams to score 2+	30.1%	25.9%	19.4%	1.33×	3.87

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	55.2%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	44.8%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	37.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Both score 2nd half only	30.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Both score 1st half only	17.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
Both score in both halves	14.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.30

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	67.8%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Both teams to score by HT	32.2%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	84.8%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
A half without a goal	15.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.83

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	49.9%	46.9%	33.7%	1.39×	2.13
7+ goals	27.5%	26.9%	4.1%	6.52×	3.71
2-3 goals	19.7%	20.2%	46.9%	0.43×	4.94
0-1 goals	2.9%	1.9%	15.6%	0.12×	53.79

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to score 3+	77.9%	77.0%	15.0%	5.13×	1.30
NEC Nijmegen to score exactly 2	13.8%	13.0%	27.0%	0.48×	7.69
NEC Nijmegen to score exactly 1	6.7%	8.8%	31.5%	0.28×	11.43
NEC Nijmegen to score exactly 0	1.6%	4.6%	26.8%	0.17×	21.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SC Cambuur to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.6%	33.1%	1.07×	2.81
SC Cambuur to score exactly 0	30.9%	32.6%	16.5%	1.97×	3.07
SC Cambuur to score exactly 2	21.3%	23.3%	27.0%	0.87×	4.29
SC Cambuur to score 3+	11.5%	14.3%	23.7%	0.60×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen leading at HT	65.7%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Draw at HT	23.5%	20.1%	—	—	4.98
SC Cambuur leading at HT	10.8%	11.6%	—	—	8.59

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen -1: 2	73.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
NEC Nijmegen -1: 1	14.0%	13.9%	—	—	7.19
NEC Nijmegen -1: X	13.0%	13.9%	—	—	7.21

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (0:1)	94.6%	87.3%	55.4%	1.57×	1.15
Draw (0:1)	3.5%	6.1%	19.3%	0.31×	16.47
SC Cambuur (0:1)	1.9%	5.9%	25.4%	0.23×	16.81

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (0:2)	98.1%	93.9%	74.6%	1.26×	1.07
Draw (0:2)	1.4%	3.8%	12.3%	0.31×	26.51
SC Cambuur (0:2)	0.5%	3.8%	13.3%	0.28×	26.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (0:3)	99.5%	96.6%	86.7%	1.11×	1.04
SC Cambuur (0:3)	0.1%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	42.34
Draw (0:3)	0.4%	2.4%	7.8%	0.30×	42.33

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (0:4)	99.9%	98.1%	94.3%	1.04×	1.02
SC Cambuur (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	81.89
Draw (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	2.6%	0.47×	81.88

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (1:0)	73.1%	72.6%	15.6%	4.65×	1.38
SC Cambuur (1:0)	14.0%	12.8%	69.7%	0.18×	7.83
Draw (1:0)	13.0%	12.8%	14.9%	0.86×	7.83

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (2:0)	56.0%	62.7%	6.9%	9.10×	1.59
SC Cambuur (2:0)	26.9%	23.7%	84.4%	0.28×	4.22
Draw (2:0)	17.1%	15.5%	8.9%	1.74×	6.47

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	57.5%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
1st half highest scoring	25.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Halves equal	17.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SC Cambuur to concede	98.4%	97.3%	73.2%	1.33×	1.03
SC Cambuur clean sheet	1.6%	2.7%	26.8%	0.10×	37.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SC Cambuur to concede in 1st half	80.9%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
SC Cambuur clean sheet in 1st half	19.1%	17.3%	—	—	5.77

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SC Cambuur over 2.5 corners	83.6%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
SC Cambuur under 6.5 corners	70.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
SC Cambuur over 3.5 corners	70.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
SC Cambuur under 5.5 corners	58.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
SC Cambuur over 4.5 corners	55.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
SC Cambuur under 4.5 corners	44.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
SC Cambuur over 5.5 corners	41.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
SC Cambuur under 3.5 corners	29.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
SC Cambuur over 6.5 corners	29.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
SC Cambuur under 2.5 corners	16.4%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SC Cambuur under 3.5 goals	96.8%	96.3%	89.1%	1.08×	1.04
SC Cambuur under 2.5 goals	88.5%	87.2%	76.3%	1.14×	1.15
SC Cambuur over 0.5 goals	69.1%	67.9%	83.5%	0.81×	1.47
SC Cambuur under 1.5 goals	67.2%	67.9%	49.5%	1.37×	1.47
SC Cambuur over 1.5 goals	32.8%	32.1%	50.5%	0.64×	3.11
SC Cambuur under 0.5 goals	30.9%	32.1%	16.5%	1.94×	3.11
SC Cambuur over 2.5 goals	11.5%	12.8%	23.7%	0.54×	7.80
SC Cambuur over 3.5 goals	3.2%	3.7%	10.9%	0.34×	26.93

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SC Cambuur under 1.5 in 1st half	90.8%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
SC Cambuur under 0.5 in 1st half	60.3%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
SC Cambuur over 0.5 in 1st half	39.7%	35.5%	—	—	2.81
SC Cambuur over 1.5 in 1st half	9.2%	4.7%	—	—	21.17

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (home no bet)	90.9%	89.7%	54.5%	1.64×	1.12
Draw (home no bet)	9.1%	10.3%	45.5%	0.23×	9.72

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SC Cambuur even goals	54.8%	50.4%	51.1%	0.99×	1.98
SC Cambuur odd goals	45.2%	49.6%	48.9%	1.02×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other HT score	24.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	19.0%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 0-2	15.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 0-0	11.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 1-1	9.7%	7.2%	—	—	13.99
HT 1-2	8.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
HT 1-0	5.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.53
HT 2-2	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.56
HT 2-0	1.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.60

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen at HT / NEC Nijmegen at FT	62.9%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Draw at HT / NEC Nijmegen at FT	17.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
SC Cambuur at HT / NEC Nijmegen at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
SC Cambuur at HT / SC Cambuur at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
SC Cambuur at HT / Draw at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
NEC Nijmegen at HT / Draw at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Draw at HT / SC Cambuur at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
NEC Nijmegen at HT / SC Cambuur at FT	0.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to score last	77.2%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
SC Cambuur to score last	22.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
No goal scored	0.8%	4.2%	—	—	23.84

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	99.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
NEC Nijmegen to lead by 1 at any time	92.9%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	84.8%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
NEC Nijmegen to lead by 2 at any time	79.6%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	62.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
NEC Nijmegen to lead by 3 at any time	61.3%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
SC Cambuur to lead by 1 at any time	26.5%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
SC Cambuur to lead by 2 at any time	6.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.15
SC Cambuur to lead by 3 at any time	1.4%	1.6%	—	—	62.99

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SC Cambuur most corners	51.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
NEC Nijmegen most corners	37.2%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.63

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	69.6%	68.8%	80.4%	0.86×	1.45
3-6 goals	62.3%	63.2%	55.7%	1.13×	1.58
1-5 goals	56.0%	59.2%	87.6%	0.68×	1.69
2-5 goals	54.0%	53.4%	75.5%	0.71×	1.87
4-6 goals	49.9%	48.4%	33.7%	1.44×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.7%	48.4%	50.8%	0.95×	2.06
1-4 goals	38.4%	39.3%	75.8%	0.52×	2.55
2-4 goals	36.3%	39.3%	63.7%	0.62×	2.55
4-5 goals	34.2%	35.3%	28.8%	1.23×	2.83
5-6 goals	33.3%	35.3%	16.8%	2.10×	2.83
3-4 goals	29.0%	30.6%	39.1%	0.78×	3.27
7+ goals	27.5%	30.6%	4.1%	7.41×	3.27
1-3 goals	21.8%	24.8%	59.0%	0.42×	4.03
2-3 goals	19.7%	18.9%	46.9%	0.40×	5.30
1-2 goals	9.4%	9.0%	36.9%	0.24×	11.11

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen never behind	72.8%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
SC Cambuur never behind	6.4%	3.9%	—	—	25.96

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	49.0%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	51.0%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	50.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	49.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	99.2%	95.4%	96.5%	0.99×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	97.1%	95.4%	84.4%	1.13×	1.05
Over 2.5 goals	89.9%	87.4%	59.7%	1.46×	1.14
Over 3.5 goals	77.4%	77.2%	37.7%	2.05×	1.30
Over 4.5 goals	60.8%	61.9%	20.8%	2.97×	1.62
Under 5.5 goals	56.8%	58.5%	91.0%	0.64×	1.71
Over 5.5 goals	43.2%	41.5%	9.0%	4.60×	2.41
Under 4.5 goals	39.2%	38.1%	79.2%	0.48×	2.63
Under 3.5 goals	22.6%	22.8%	62.3%	0.37×	4.38
Under 2.5 goals	10.1%	12.6%	40.3%	0.31×	7.96
Under 1.5 goals	2.9%	4.6%	15.6%	0.29×	21.75
Under 0.5 goals	0.8%	4.6%	3.5%	1.30×	21.78

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	96.9%	97.1%	79.3%	1.23×	1.03
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	88.4%	86.6%	48.3%	1.79×	1.16
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	72.9%	72.2%	25.0%	2.88×	1.39
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	67.4%	67.6%	95.7%	0.71×	1.48
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	52.4%	52.4%	10.2%	5.12×	1.91
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	47.6%	47.6%	89.8%	0.53×	2.10
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	32.6%	32.4%	4.3%	7.45×	3.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	27.1%	27.8%	75.0%	0.37×	3.60
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	11.6%	13.4%	51.7%	0.26×	7.45
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	3.1%	2.9%	20.7%	0.14×	35.05

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	88.5%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 1.5 in 1st half	63.7%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 2.5 in 1st half	63.3%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 2.5 in 1st half	36.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Under 1.5 in 1st half	36.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.12

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	95.6%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	82.2%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	60.6%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	39.4%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	17.8%	17.2%	—	—	5.80
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	4.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.29

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SC Cambuur not to score in both halves	80.6%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
NEC Nijmegen to score in both halves	74.1%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
NEC Nijmegen not to score in both halves	25.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
SC Cambuur to score in both halves	19.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	68.3%	60.2%	60.2%	1.00×	1.66
Only NEC Nijmegen scores	30.1%	33.2%	13.2%	2.52×	3.02
Only SC Cambuur scores	0.8%	4.6%	23.4%	0.20×	21.70
Neither team scores	0.8%	4.6%	3.5%	1.31×	21.70

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	43.2%	40.2%	9.0%	4.44×	2.49
Exactly 5 goals	17.6%	17.5%	11.9%	1.47×	5.70
Exactly 4 goals	16.6%	17.5%	17.0%	1.03×	5.70
Exactly 3 goals	12.5%	12.0%	22.2%	0.54×	8.30
Exactly 2 goals	7.3%	7.8%	24.8%	0.31×	12.83
Exactly 1 goals	2.1%	4.5%	12.3%	0.37×	22.24
Exactly 0 goals	0.8%	4.5%	3.5%	1.28×	22.26

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	82.2%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
1 goal in 2nd half	13.4%	14.5%	—	—	6.90
No goals in 2nd half	4.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.29

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SC Cambuur not to win both halves	99.1%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
NEC Nijmegen not to win both halves	49.5%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
NEC Nijmegen to win both halves	50.5%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
SC Cambuur to win both halves	0.9%	2.7%	—	—	36.93

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to win either half	91.9%	93.1%	—	—	1.07
SC Cambuur to win neither half	82.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
SC Cambuur to win either half	17.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.85
NEC Nijmegen to win neither half	8.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.43

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SC Cambuur not to win to nil	99.2%	96.2%	76.6%	1.26×	1.04
NEC Nijmegen not to win to nil	69.9%	70.3%	86.8%	0.81×	1.42
NEC Nijmegen to win to nil	30.1%	29.7%	13.2%	2.25×	3.37
SC Cambuur to win to nil	0.8%	3.8%	23.4%	0.16×	26.61

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen by 3+	56.0%	48.8%	6.9%	7.08×	2.05
NEC Nijmegen by 2	17.1%	16.9%	8.9%	1.90×	5.92
NEC Nijmegen by 1	13.0%	11.7%	14.9%	0.79×	8.52
Draw	8.6%	7.3%	25.3%	0.29×	13.72
SC Cambuur by 1	3.5%	2.8%	19.3%	0.15×	35.48
SC Cambuur by 2	1.4%	2.8%	12.3%	0.23×	35.54
SC Cambuur by 3+	0.5%	2.8%	13.3%	0.21×	35.56