sc Heerenveen v Go Ahead Eagles — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 December 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

sc Heerenveen

20:00 UTC

Go Ahead Eagles

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 1,209h before kick-off

sc Heerenveen win

43.1%

model 40.4%

Draw

27.3%

model 25.1%

Go Ahead Eagles win

29.6%

model 34.6%

432730

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.0%
2-1 8.6%
1-2 7.9%
2-2 6.8%
2-0 5.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	64.4%	Under 2.5	35.6%
BTTS yes	66.6%	BTTS no	33.4%
sc Heerenveen 1+	82.3%	sc Heerenveen 2+	51.6%
Go Ahead Eagles 1+	79.6%	Go Ahead Eagles 2+	47.2%

Expected goals 1.73 – 1.59. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 56%

58.5% fair odds 1.71

moderate signal · 2005 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out sc Heerenveen.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

sc Heerenveen have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 29.6% for Go Ahead Eagles and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.73 for sc Heerenveen and 1.59 for Go Ahead Eagles.

Why sc Heerenveen

Nothing in the data singles out sc Heerenveen.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.73 to 1.59. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Go Ahead Eagles can win

Nothing in the data singles out Go Ahead Eagles.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for sc Heerenveen, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Go Ahead Eagles, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

sc Heerenveen: 55% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 19.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Go Ahead Eagles: 52% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 19.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

sc Heerenveen are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.0%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	402535	1.73–1.59	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	432532	1.75–1.49	1-1 11%	63%	65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen to win	42.9%	42.9%	44.4%	0.97×	2.33
Go Ahead Eagles to win	31.8%	30.4%	30.1%	1.01×	3.29
Draw	25.3%	27.9%	25.6%	1.09×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen & both teams score	25.4%	25.2%	21.2%	1.19×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	20.3%	21.8%	22.2%	0.98×	4.59
Go Ahead Eagles & both teams score	19.5%	18.0%	17.2%	1.04×	5.56
sc Heerenveen & not both score	17.5%	18.0%	23.4%	0.77×	5.57
Go Ahead Eagles & not both score	12.3%	13.3%	13.1%	1.01×	7.54
Draw & not both score	5.0%	8.3%	3.5%	2.38×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen & over 1.5	37.2%	34.9%	36.2%	0.96×	2.87
sc Heerenveen & over 2.5	31.2%	30.8%	28.9%	1.06×	3.25
Go Ahead Eagles & over 1.5	27.1%	26.1%	26.2%	1.00×	3.84
sc Heerenveen & under 3.5	24.2%	21.6%	27.5%	0.78×	4.63
Go Ahead Eagles & over 2.5	22.7%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.3%	21.6%	22.2%	0.97×	4.63
sc Heerenveen & over 3.5	18.7%	18.0%	17.0%	1.06×	5.56
Go Ahead Eagles & under 3.5	18.8%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.4%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.4%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
Go Ahead Eagles & over 3.5	13.0%	12.8%	10.4%	1.24×	7.79
sc Heerenveen & under 2.5	11.7%	12.8%	15.7%	0.82×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.9%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.9%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Go Ahead Eagles & under 2.5	9.0%	7.9%	9.9%	0.80×	12.63
sc Heerenveen & under 1.5	5.7%	7.9%	8.4%	0.95×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.0%	7.9%	3.5%	2.26×	12.63
Go Ahead Eagles & under 1.5	4.7%	4.8%	4.1%	1.17×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (1UP)	61.5%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Go Ahead Eagles (1UP)	52.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (2UP)	42.9%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Go Ahead Eagles (2UP)	31.8%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen to win 2nd half	36.5%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	32.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Go Ahead Eagles to win 2nd half	30.9%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.5%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
Go Ahead Eagles over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.1%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Go Ahead Eagles under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.9%	45.4%	—	—	2.21
Go Ahead Eagles over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.5%	21.0%	—	—	4.77

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.7%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
sc Heerenveen over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
sc Heerenveen under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
sc Heerenveen over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.3%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles (+2.5)	89.9%	88.5%	86.8%	1.02×	1.13
Go Ahead Eagles (+1.5)	76.6%	78.5%	74.7%	1.05×	1.27
sc Heerenveen (+0.5)	68.2%	68.7%	69.9%	0.98×	1.46
Go Ahead Eagles (+0.5)	57.1%	57.0%	55.6%	1.03×	1.75
sc Heerenveen (-0.5)	42.9%	43.0%	44.4%	0.97×	2.33
Go Ahead Eagles (-0.5)	31.8%	31.3%	30.1%	1.04×	3.19
sc Heerenveen (-1.5)	23.4%	21.5%	25.3%	0.85×	4.65
sc Heerenveen (-2.5)	10.1%	11.5%	13.2%	0.87×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles to concede	82.6%	81.5%	83.6%	0.98×	1.23
Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet	17.4%	18.5%	16.4%	1.12×	5.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles to concede in 1st half	52.9%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet in 1st half	47.1%	49.4%	—	—	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles to concede in 2nd half	63.1%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet in 2nd half	36.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles over 2.5 corners	82.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Go Ahead Eagles under 6.5 corners	72.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Go Ahead Eagles over 3.5 corners	68.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Go Ahead Eagles under 5.5 corners	60.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Go Ahead Eagles over 4.5 corners	53.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Go Ahead Eagles under 4.5 corners	46.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Go Ahead Eagles over 5.5 corners	39.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Go Ahead Eagles under 3.5 corners	31.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Go Ahead Eagles over 6.5 corners	27.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Go Ahead Eagles under 2.5 corners	17.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles under 3.5 goals	93.6%	92.3%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Go Ahead Eagles under 2.5 goals	81.2%	81.4%	84.9%	0.96×	1.23
Go Ahead Eagles over 0.5 goals	77.4%	76.3%	73.2%	1.04×	1.31
Go Ahead Eagles under 1.5 goals	56.2%	59.4%	58.1%	1.02×	1.68
Go Ahead Eagles over 1.5 goals	43.8%	40.6%	41.9%	0.97×	2.46
Go Ahead Eagles under 0.5 goals	22.6%	23.7%	26.8%	0.89×	4.21
Go Ahead Eagles over 2.5 goals	18.8%	18.6%	15.1%	1.23×	5.39
Go Ahead Eagles over 3.5 goals	6.4%	7.7%	5.6%	1.36×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles under 1.5 in 1st half	88.0%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Go Ahead Eagles under 0.5 in 1st half	55.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Go Ahead Eagles over 0.5 in 1st half	44.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Go Ahead Eagles over 1.5 in 1st half	12.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles scores more in 2nd half	40.6%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Go Ahead Eagles scores equally in both	36.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Go Ahead Eagles scores more in 1st half	23.2%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (away no bet)	62.9%	61.9%	63.5%	0.98×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	37.1%	38.1%	36.5%	1.04×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles even goals	52.5%	52.6%	57.4%	0.92×	1.90
Go Ahead Eagles odd goals	47.5%	47.4%	42.6%	1.11×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	22.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.36

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.0%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	26.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.07

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.5%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
sc Heerenveen to score 2+ in a row	41.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Go Ahead Eagles to score 2+ in a row	32.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
sc Heerenveen to score 3+ in a row	15.7%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Go Ahead Eagles to score 3+ in a row	10.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.34

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen corners (+3.5)	87.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
sc Heerenveen corners (+2.5)	82.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
sc Heerenveen corners (+1.5)	75.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Go Ahead Eagles corners (+3.5)	70.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Go Ahead Eagles corners (+2.5)	61.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Go Ahead Eagles corners (+1.5)	52.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
sc Heerenveen corners (-1.5)	47.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
sc Heerenveen corners (-2.5)	38.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
sc Heerenveen corners (-3.5)	29.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Go Ahead Eagles corners (-1.5)	24.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Go Ahead Eagles corners (-2.5)	17.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Go Ahead Eagles corners (-3.5)	12.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	47.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	27.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
0-8 corners	25.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	82.7%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	74.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 9.5 corners	65.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	61.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 10.5 corners	56.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	53.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	47.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 10.5 corners	43.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 12.5 corners	38.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 9.5 corners	34.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	25.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	17.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.3%	11.5%	11.7%	0.98×	8.72
2-1	8.9%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.50
1-2	7.6%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.50
2-2	6.7%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-0	5.0%	7.4%	3.5%	2.11×	13.51
1-0	5.7%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
2-0	6.0%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
3-1	5.2%	7.4%	3.7%	2.03×	13.51
Any other score	5.0%	7.4%	6.5%	1.13×	13.51
0-1	4.7%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.29
0-2	4.3%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.29
0-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31
1-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
2-3	3.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.31
3-0	3.5%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-2	3.9%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-0	1.5%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	58.31
4-1	2.3%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
4-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.31
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	11.27×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (2nd half DNB)	54.2%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Go Ahead Eagles (2nd half DNB)	45.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen leading at HT (DNB)	57.9%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Go Ahead Eagles leading at HT (DNB)	42.1%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen or Go Ahead Eagles (12)	74.7%	72.1%	74.4%	0.97×	1.39
sc Heerenveen or draw (1X)	68.2%	69.6%	69.9%	1.00×	1.44
Go Ahead Eagles or draw (X2)	57.1%	57.1%	55.6%	1.03×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen or draw at HT	74.5%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Go Ahead Eagles or draw at HT	64.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
sc Heerenveen or Go Ahead Eagles at HT	60.6%	61.5%	—	—	1.63

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen or draw (1UP)	68.2%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Go Ahead Eagles or draw (1UP)	57.1%	63.0%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen or draw in 2nd half	69.1%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
sc Heerenveen or Go Ahead Eagles in 2nd half	67.4%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Go Ahead Eagles or draw in 2nd half	63.5%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.9%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	42.1%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (DNB)	57.4%	58.1%	59.6%	0.97×	1.72
Go Ahead Eagles (DNB)	42.6%	41.9%	40.4%	1.04×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen to score first	51.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Go Ahead Eagles to score first	43.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	5.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.1%	58.4%	60.3%	0.97×	1.71
Not both teams to score	34.9%	41.6%	39.7%	1.05×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	53.8%	47.3%	48.7%	0.97×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	25.8%	33.3%	28.8%	1.16×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	11.3%	12.4%	11.7%	1.05×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	9.1%	8.3%	11.1%	0.75×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	77.1%	79.6%	80.4%	0.99×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	22.9%	20.4%	19.6%	1.04×	4.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.3%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	37.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.91

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	47.2%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	28.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Both score 1st half only	15.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Both score in both halves	8.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.62

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.1%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	23.9%	18.9%	—	—	5.30

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	63.4%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
A half without a goal	36.6%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.9%	42.1%	46.7%	0.90×	2.37
4-6 goals	35.9%	35.1%	33.8%	1.04×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.5%	20.2%	15.7%	1.29×	4.95
7+ goals	4.7%	1.9%	4.1%	0.45×	54.03

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles to score exactly 1	33.6%	33.8%	31.5%	1.07×	2.96
Go Ahead Eagles to score exactly 2	25.0%	27.4%	26.9%	1.02×	3.66
Go Ahead Eagles to score exactly 0	22.6%	22.3%	26.8%	0.83×	4.49
Go Ahead Eagles to score 3+	18.8%	19.6%	15.1%	1.30×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen to score exactly 1	30.4%	32.5%	33.2%	0.98×	3.07
sc Heerenveen to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.5%	26.9%	0.99×	3.77
sc Heerenveen to score 3+	25.6%	26.5%	23.7%	1.12×	3.77
sc Heerenveen to score exactly 0	17.4%	18.8%	16.4%	1.14×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.4%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
sc Heerenveen leading at HT	35.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Go Ahead Eagles leading at HT	25.5%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen -1: 2	57.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
sc Heerenveen -1: 1	23.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
sc Heerenveen -1: X	19.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles (0:1)	57.1%	55.8%	55.6%	1.00×	1.79
sc Heerenveen (0:1)	23.4%	24.2%	25.3%	0.96×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	19.5%	17.8%	19.3%	0.92×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles (0:2)	76.6%	79.3%	74.7%	1.06×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.3%	11.0%	12.2%	0.90×	9.09
sc Heerenveen (0:2)	10.1%	11.0%	13.2%	0.83×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles (0:3)	89.9%	90.7%	86.8%	1.05×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	6.5%	5.8%	7.8%	0.75×	17.22
sc Heerenveen (0:3)	3.6%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.03

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles (0:4)	96.4%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.5%	1.2%	2.6%	0.47×	81.82
sc Heerenveen (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	81.98

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (1:0)	68.2%	70.1%	69.9%	1.00×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	16.4%	17.1%	14.8%	1.16×	5.85
Go Ahead Eagles (1:0)	15.4%	17.1%	15.5%	1.10×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (2:0)	84.6%	84.7%	84.5%	1.00×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	9.6%	6.4%	8.8%	0.72×	15.66
Go Ahead Eagles (2:0)	5.8%	6.4%	6.8%	0.93×	15.71

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.3%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	24.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen to concede	77.4%	76.1%	73.2%	1.04×	1.31
sc Heerenveen clean sheet	22.6%	23.9%	26.8%	0.89×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen clean sheet in 1st half	55.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
sc Heerenveen to concede in 1st half	44.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen to concede in 2nd half	59.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
sc Heerenveen clean sheet in 2nd half	40.9%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen over 2.5 corners	90.7%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
sc Heerenveen over 3.5 corners	81.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
sc Heerenveen over 4.5 corners	69.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
sc Heerenveen over 5.5 corners	57.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
sc Heerenveen under 6.5 corners	55.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
sc Heerenveen over 6.5 corners	44.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
sc Heerenveen under 5.5 corners	42.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
sc Heerenveen under 4.5 corners	30.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
sc Heerenveen under 3.5 corners	18.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
sc Heerenveen under 2.5 corners	9.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen under 3.5 goals	89.9%	87.3%	89.2%	0.98×	1.15
sc Heerenveen over 0.5 goals	82.6%	82.2%	83.6%	0.98×	1.22
sc Heerenveen under 2.5 goals	74.4%	74.3%	76.3%	0.97×	1.35
sc Heerenveen over 1.5 goals	52.2%	53.2%	50.5%	1.05×	1.88
sc Heerenveen under 1.5 goals	47.8%	46.8%	49.5%	0.95×	2.14
sc Heerenveen over 2.5 goals	25.6%	25.7%	23.7%	1.08×	3.88
sc Heerenveen under 0.5 goals	17.4%	17.8%	16.4%	1.08×	5.62
sc Heerenveen over 3.5 goals	10.1%	12.7%	10.8%	1.18×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen under 1.5 in 1st half	82.6%	83.7%	—	—	1.19
sc Heerenveen over 0.5 in 1st half	52.9%	50.4%	—	—	1.99
sc Heerenveen under 0.5 in 1st half	47.1%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
sc Heerenveen over 1.5 in 1st half	17.4%	16.3%	—	—	6.14

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen scores more in 2nd half	40.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
sc Heerenveen scores equally in both	33.1%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
sc Heerenveen scores more in 1st half	26.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles (home no bet)	55.7%	56.4%	54.1%	1.04×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.3%	43.6%	45.9%	0.95×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen even goals	51.5%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
sc Heerenveen odd goals	48.5%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.2%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
HT 1-0	19.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 0-1	15.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 2-0	7.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
Any other HT score	6.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 0-2	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	41.98
HT 2-1	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	41.99
HT 1-2	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.19

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen at HT / sc Heerenveen at FT	26.2%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Go Ahead Eagles at HT / Go Ahead Eagles at FT	17.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / sc Heerenveen at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Go Ahead Eagles at FT	11.5%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
sc Heerenveen at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Go Ahead Eagles at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
sc Heerenveen at HT / Go Ahead Eagles at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.66
Go Ahead Eagles at HT / sc Heerenveen at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.66

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen to score last	51.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Go Ahead Eagles to score last	43.6%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	5.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.0%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
sc Heerenveen to lead by 1 at any time	61.5%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Go Ahead Eagles to lead by 1 at any time	52.2%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
sc Heerenveen to lead by 2 at any time	31.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Go Ahead Eagles to lead by 2 at any time	22.7%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
sc Heerenveen to lead by 3 at any time	13.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Go Ahead Eagles to lead by 3 at any time	8.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.88

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen most corners	57.6%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Go Ahead Eagles most corners	33.1%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	9.3%	8.4%	—	—	11.96

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.0%	83.4%	87.5%	0.95×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.8%	78.7%	80.4%	0.98×	1.27
2-5 goals	73.5%	72.4%	75.3%	0.96×	1.38
1-4 goals	72.3%	72.4%	75.8%	0.95×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.9%	63.3%	63.6%	1.00×	1.58
3-6 goals	58.1%	59.1%	55.7%	1.06×	1.69
1-3 goals	54.3%	53.2%	58.9%	0.90×	1.88
3-5 goals	51.8%	53.2%	50.7%	1.05×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.9%	43.6%	46.7%	0.93×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.2%	43.6%	39.0%	1.12×	2.30
4-6 goals	35.9%	39.2%	33.8%	1.16×	2.55
1-2 goals	32.1%	35.2%	37.0%	0.95×	2.84
4-5 goals	29.6%	30.2%	28.8%	1.05×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.9%	18.8%	16.9%	1.12×	5.31
7+ goals	4.7%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.01

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen never behind	42.7%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Go Ahead Eagles never behind	33.4%	36.3%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.7%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.3%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.9%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.0%	92.3%	96.5%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	89.0%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.5%	82.3%	84.3%	0.98×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	77.4%	77.3%	79.1%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	62.8%	61.7%	59.7%	1.03×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	59.4%	58.6%	62.3%	0.94×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	40.6%	41.4%	37.7%	1.10×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	37.2%	38.3%	40.3%	0.95×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	22.6%	22.7%	20.9%	1.09×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	15.5%	17.7%	15.7%	1.13×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	11.0%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	5.0%	7.7%	3.5%	2.21×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.0%	92.4%	95.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	87.6%	86.7%	89.7%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.2%	81.1%	79.2%	1.02×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	72.4%	72.4%	74.9%	0.97×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.2%	51.9%	48.3%	1.07×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.8%	48.1%	51.7%	0.93×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	27.6%	27.6%	25.1%	1.10×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.8%	18.9%	20.8%	0.91×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	12.4%	13.3%	10.3%	1.28×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.0%	7.6%	4.3%	1.75×	13.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.6%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.4%	14.1%	—	—	7.09

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.5%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	70.6%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.2%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.4%	22.7%	—	—	4.40
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles not to score in both halves	73.5%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
sc Heerenveen not to score in both halves	66.6%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
sc Heerenveen to score in both halves	33.4%	30.2%	—	—	3.31
Go Ahead Eagles to score in both halves	26.5%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.1%	59.8%	60.3%	0.99×	1.67
Only sc Heerenveen scores	17.5%	16.0%	23.4%	0.68×	6.24
Only Go Ahead Eagles scores	12.3%	11.0%	13.1%	0.84×	9.06
Neither team scores	5.0%	7.1%	3.5%	2.03×	14.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	22.1%	1.02×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.7%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.0%	17.5%	17.0%	1.02×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	11.7%	12.1%	11.9%	1.02×	8.25
6 or more goals	11.0%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	10.4%	12.1%	12.3%	0.98×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	5.0%	7.6%	3.5%	2.17×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.6%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	26.2%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
2 goals in 1st half	23.8%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
3+ goals in 1st half	15.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.8%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	27.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	15.5%	16.4%	—	—	6.11

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles not to win both halves	92.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
sc Heerenveen not to win both halves	87.0%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
sc Heerenveen to win both halves	13.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Go Ahead Eagles to win both halves	8.0%	5.9%	—	—	16.94

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen to win either half	58.6%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Go Ahead Eagles to win neither half	51.6%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Go Ahead Eagles to win either half	48.4%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
sc Heerenveen to win neither half	41.4%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles not to win to nil	87.7%	88.1%	86.9%	1.01×	1.14
sc Heerenveen not to win to nil	82.5%	83.1%	76.6%	1.09×	1.20
sc Heerenveen to win to nil	17.5%	16.9%	23.4%	0.72×	5.92
Go Ahead Eagles to win to nil	12.3%	11.9%	13.1%	0.91×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.3%	27.9%	25.6%	1.09×	3.59
sc Heerenveen by 1	19.5%	17.1%	19.3%	0.88×	5.86
Go Ahead Eagles by 1	16.4%	17.0%	14.8%	1.15×	5.87
sc Heerenveen by 2	13.3%	11.8%	12.2%	0.97×	8.51
sc Heerenveen by 3+	10.1%	11.7%	13.2%	0.89×	8.51
Go Ahead Eagles by 2	9.6%	7.2%	8.8%	0.82×	13.90
Go Ahead Eagles by 3+	5.8%	7.2%	6.8%	1.05×	13.92