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SC Rheindorf Altach v Austria Vienna — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 23 October 2026 · AUT-Bundesliga · 2627

AUT-Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
SC Rheindorf Altach win
38.9%
model 35.8%
Draw
30.5%
model 30.6%
Austria Vienna win
30.6%
model 33.6%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 14.5%
  2. 0-0 10.6%
  3. 1-0 9.7%
  4. 0-1 9.3%
  5. 2-1 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.542.8% Under 2.557.2%
BTTS yes50.1% BTTS no49.9%
SC Rheindorf Altach 1+70.4% SC Rheindorf Altach 2+34.4%
Austria Vienna 1+69.1% Austria Vienna 2+32.8%

Expected goals 1.22 – 1.17. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
23/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Under 2.5 goals
Over/Under · usually 47%
57.2% fair odds 1.75
moderate signal · 1220 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Austria Vienna (0:2)
Handicap 0:2 · usually 77%
83.8% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out SC Rheindorf Altach.

Risk factors

  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0103 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

SC Rheindorf Altach have an estimated 38.9% win probability, against 30.6% for Austria Vienna and 30.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.22 for SC Rheindorf Altach and 1.17 for Austria Vienna.

Why SC Rheindorf Altach

Nothing in the data singles out SC Rheindorf Altach.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.5%. A combined 2.39 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.22 to 1.17. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Austria Vienna can win

Austria Vienna carry the stronger rating, 1480 Elo against 1408.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for SC Rheindorf Altach, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Austria Vienna, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

SC Rheindorf Altach: 49% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Austria Vienna: 44% possession, 7.6 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

SC Rheindorf Altach are the model's most likely outcome at 38.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.5%. Confidence 23/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.22–1.17 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.11–1.21 1-1 15% 41% 48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna to win 37.0% 36.4% 31.4% 1.16× 2.75
SC Rheindorf Altach to win 31.9% 30.4% 43.5% 0.70× 3.29
Draw 31.1% 30.4% 25.4% 1.20× 3.29
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna & not both score 21.8% 21.8% 14.7% 1.48× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 19.8% 18.0% 18.3% 0.98× 5.56
SC Rheindorf Altach & not both score 18.5% 18.0% 22.6% 0.80× 5.57
Austria Vienna & both teams score 15.2% 18.0% 16.9% 1.07× 5.57
SC Rheindorf Altach & both teams score 13.4% 13.3% 21.1% 0.63× 7.53
Draw & not both score 11.3% 13.3% 7.4% 1.80× 7.54
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna & under 3.5 28.6% 26.1% 22.1% 1.18× 3.84
Austria Vienna & over 1.5 26.5% 26.1% 25.4% 1.03× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 26.0% 26.1% 19.7% 1.32× 3.84
Draw & under 3.5 26.0% 26.1% 19.7% 1.32× 3.84
SC Rheindorf Altach & under 3.5 25.0% 26.1% 30.4% 0.86× 3.84
SC Rheindorf Altach & over 1.5 22.4% 21.6% 34.7% 0.62× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 19.8% 18.0% 18.3% 0.98× 5.56
Austria Vienna & over 2.5 19.3% 18.0% 20.0% 0.90× 5.56
Austria Vienna & under 2.5 17.7% 18.0% 11.6% 1.55× 5.56
SC Rheindorf Altach & over 2.5 16.4% 18.0% 27.6% 0.65× 5.56
SC Rheindorf Altach & under 2.5 15.5% 18.0% 16.2% 1.11× 5.56
Draw & under 1.5 11.3% 12.8% 7.4% 1.74× 7.79
Austria Vienna & under 1.5 10.5% 12.8% 6.2% 2.08× 7.79
SC Rheindorf Altach & under 1.5 9.5% 7.9% 9.0% 0.88× 12.63
Austria Vienna & over 3.5 8.4% 7.9% 9.5% 0.83× 12.63
SC Rheindorf Altach & over 3.5 6.8% 7.9% 13.3% 0.60× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 5.1% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 5.1% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (1UP) 52.3% 52.6% — — 1.90
SC Rheindorf Altach (1UP) 47.7% 44.0% — — 2.27
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (2UP) 37.0% 37.4% — — 2.67
SC Rheindorf Altach (2UP) 31.9% 30.4% — — 3.29
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 40.0% 36.2% — — 2.76
Austria Vienna to win 2nd half 32.9% 34.3% — — 2.91
SC Rheindorf Altach to win 2nd half 27.1% 25.7% — — 3.88
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna under 1.5 in 2nd half 83.5% 84.4% — — 1.19
Austria Vienna over 0.5 in 2nd half 51.6% 52.6% — — 1.90
Austria Vienna under 0.5 in 2nd half 48.4% 47.4% — — 2.11
Austria Vienna over 1.5 in 2nd half 16.5% 15.6% — — 6.41
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach under 1.5 in 2nd half 86.8% 88.3% — — 1.13
SC Rheindorf Altach under 0.5 in 2nd half 53.3% 55.1% — — 1.81
SC Rheindorf Altach over 0.5 in 2nd half 46.7% 44.9% — — 2.23
SC Rheindorf Altach over 1.5 in 2nd half 13.2% 11.7% — — 8.55
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (+2.5) 95.9% 96.3% 90.7% 1.06× 1.04
Austria Vienna (+1.5) 86.7% 88.5% 77.0% 1.15× 1.13
Austria Vienna (+0.5) 68.1% 68.7% 56.5% 1.21× 1.46
SC Rheindorf Altach (+0.5) 63.0% 62.9% 68.6% 0.92× 1.59
Austria Vienna (-0.5) 37.0% 37.1% 31.4% 1.18× 2.70
SC Rheindorf Altach (-0.5) 31.9% 31.3% 43.5% 0.72× 3.19
SC Rheindorf Altach (-1.5) 13.3% 11.5% 23.0% 0.50× 8.66
SC Rheindorf Altach (-2.5) 4.1% 3.7% 9.3% 0.40× 27.04
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna to concede 66.9% 72.3% 78.1% 0.93× 1.38
Austria Vienna clean sheet 33.1% 27.7% 21.9% 1.27× 3.61
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna clean sheet in 1st half 62.2% 65.1% — — 1.54
Austria Vienna to concede in 1st half 37.8% 34.9% — — 2.87
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna clean sheet in 2nd half 53.3% 54.9% — — 1.82
Austria Vienna to concede in 2nd half 46.7% 45.1% — — 2.22
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna over 2.5 corners 78.2% 76.0% — — 1.32
Austria Vienna under 6.5 corners 78.0% 76.0% — — 1.32
Austria Vienna under 5.5 corners 66.9% 67.6% — — 1.48
Austria Vienna over 3.5 corners 62.8% 61.8% — — 1.62
Austria Vienna under 4.5 corners 53.0% 53.1% — — 1.89
Austria Vienna over 4.5 corners 47.0% 46.9% — — 2.13
Austria Vienna under 3.5 corners 37.2% 38.2% — — 2.62
Austria Vienna over 5.5 corners 33.1% 32.4% — — 3.09
Austria Vienna under 2.5 corners 21.8% 24.0% — — 4.17
Austria Vienna over 6.5 corners 22.0% 24.0% — — 4.17
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna under 3.5 goals 96.5% 97.5% 96.9% 1.01× 1.03
Austria Vienna under 2.5 goals 87.7% 87.8% 86.9% 1.01× 1.14
Austria Vienna over 0.5 goals 70.2% 71.9% 70.3% 1.02× 1.39
Austria Vienna under 1.5 goals 65.9% 68.0% 64.8% 1.05× 1.47
Austria Vienna over 1.5 goals 34.1% 32.0% 35.2% 0.91× 3.12
Austria Vienna under 0.5 goals 29.8% 28.1% 29.7% 0.95× 3.55
Austria Vienna over 2.5 goals 12.3% 12.2% 13.1% 0.93× 8.20
Austria Vienna over 3.5 goals 3.5% 2.5% 3.1% 0.81× 39.86
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna under 1.5 in 1st half 91.5% 93.9% — — 1.07
Austria Vienna under 0.5 in 1st half 61.6% 63.5% — — 1.57
Austria Vienna over 0.5 in 1st half 38.4% 36.5% — — 2.74
Austria Vienna over 1.5 in 1st half 8.5% 6.1% — — 16.28
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna scores equally in both 41.3% 43.4% — — 2.31
Austria Vienna scores more in 2nd half 37.0% 37.3% — — 2.68
Austria Vienna scores more in 1st half 21.7% 22.0% — — 4.55
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach (away no bet) 50.6% 51.7% 63.1% 0.82× 1.94
Draw (away no bet) 49.4% 48.3% 36.9% 1.31× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna even goals 54.4% 52.6% 53.4% 0.98× 1.90
Austria Vienna odd goals 45.6% 47.4% 46.6% 1.02× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 90.2% 91.6% — — 1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals 9.8% 8.4% — — 11.93
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 55.2% 60.0% — — 1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals 44.8% 40.0% — — 2.50
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 47.1% 46.1% — — 2.17
Austria Vienna to score 2+ in a row 27.5% 25.2% — — 3.97
SC Rheindorf Altach to score 2+ in a row 23.7% 19.7% — — 5.09
Either team to score 3+ in a row 14.3% 12.1% — — 8.27
Austria Vienna to score 3+ in a row 8.1% 5.6% — — 17.90
SC Rheindorf Altach to score 3+ in a row 6.3% 5.5% — — 18.04
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna corners (+3.5) 85.5% 84.5% — — 1.18
SC Rheindorf Altach corners (+3.5) 82.1% 79.8% — — 1.25
Austria Vienna corners (+2.5) 78.3% 74.8% — — 1.34
SC Rheindorf Altach corners (+2.5) 74.0% 70.8% — — 1.41
Austria Vienna corners (+1.5) 69.1% 65.9% — — 1.52
SC Rheindorf Altach corners (+1.5) 64.2% 61.9% — — 1.62
Austria Vienna corners (-1.5) 35.8% 38.2% — — 2.62
SC Rheindorf Altach corners (-1.5) 30.9% 34.1% — — 2.93
Austria Vienna corners (-2.5) 26.0% 29.2% — — 3.42
SC Rheindorf Altach corners (-2.5) 21.7% 25.2% — — 3.97
Austria Vienna corners (-3.5) 17.9% 20.2% — — 4.94
SC Rheindorf Altach corners (-3.5) 14.5% 15.5% — — 6.44
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 47.8% 41.8% — — 2.40
9-11 corners 28.8% 31.2% — — 3.21
12+ corners 23.4% 25.7% — — 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 83.2% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 76.6% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 68.3% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 63.3% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 58.6% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 52.2% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 47.8% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 41.4% 42.1% — — 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 36.7% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 31.7% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 11.5 corners 23.4% 23.4% — — 4.27
Over 12.5 corners 16.8% 19.3% — — 5.18
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 14.6% 11.5% 12.6% 0.91× 8.72
0-0 11.3% 11.5% 7.4% 1.56× 8.72
0-1 10.5% 11.5% 6.2% 1.86× 8.72
1-0 9.5% 7.4% 9.0% 0.82× 13.50
0-2 7.2% 7.4% 5.7% 1.30× 13.51
1-2 8.0% 7.4% 7.8% 0.94× 13.50
2-1 7.3% 7.4% 10.5% 0.71× 13.50
2-0 6.0% 7.4% 7.4% 1.01× 13.51
0-3 2.9% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.30
0-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.5% 3.61× 58.31
1-3 3.2% 1.7% 4.5% 0.38× 58.30
1-4 1.0% 1.7% 1.0% 1.80× 58.31
2-2 4.4% 1.7% 5.5% 0.31× 58.29
2-3 1.8% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.31
2-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.5% 3.61× 58.32
3-0 2.2% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.31
3-1 2.7% 1.7% 4.5% 0.38× 58.30
3-2 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.03× 58.31
3-3 0.7% 1.7% 0.7% 2.41× 58.32
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.7% 2.41× 58.32
4-0 0.6% 1.7% 1.0% 1.80× 58.32
4-1 0.7% 1.7% 1.9% 0.90× 58.32
4-2 0.4% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.32
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 7.22× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 7.22× 58.32
Any other score 1.3% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.31
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (2nd half DNB) 54.9% 53.1% — — 1.88
SC Rheindorf Altach (2nd half DNB) 45.1% 46.9% — — 2.13
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna leading at HT (DNB) 50.6% 54.6% — — 1.83
SC Rheindorf Altach leading at HT (DNB) 49.4% 45.4% — — 2.20
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach or Austria Vienna (12) 68.9% 69.6% 74.6% 0.93× 1.44
Austria Vienna or draw (X2) 68.1% 69.6% 56.5% 1.23× 1.44
SC Rheindorf Altach or draw (1X) 63.0% 63.6% 68.6% 0.93× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna or draw at HT 74.4% 75.2% — — 1.33
SC Rheindorf Altach or draw at HT 73.8% 75.2% — — 1.33
SC Rheindorf Altach or Austria Vienna at HT 51.8% 47.8% — — 2.09
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna or draw (1UP) 68.1% 76.3% — — 1.31
SC Rheindorf Altach or draw (1UP) 63.0% 71.7% — — 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna or draw in 2nd half 72.9% 74.3% — — 1.35
SC Rheindorf Altach or draw in 2nd half 67.1% 65.7% — — 1.52
SC Rheindorf Altach or Austria Vienna in 2nd half 60.0% 63.8% — — 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 67.4% 68.2% — — 1.47
Neither half drawn 32.6% 31.8% — — 3.15
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (DNB) 53.8% 51.0% 41.9% 1.22× 1.96
SC Rheindorf Altach (DNB) 46.2% 49.0% 58.1% 0.84× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna to score first 46.4% 45.9% — — 2.18
SC Rheindorf Altach to score first 42.3% 41.7% — — 2.40
No goal scored 11.3% 9.6% — — 10.39
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 51.6% 51.3% 44.2% 1.16× 1.95
Both teams to score 48.4% 48.7% 55.8% 0.87× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 44.6% 41.6% 34.7% 1.20× 2.40
Both score & over 2.5 33.7% 34.5% 43.5% 0.79× 2.90
Both score & under 2.5 14.6% 12.4% 12.6% 0.98× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 7.1% 8.3% 9.7% 0.85× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 89.7% 85.6% 86.9% 0.99× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 10.3% 14.4% 13.1% 1.10× 6.96
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 75.4% 74.1% — — 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 24.6% 25.9% — — 3.86
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 64.1% 65.7% — — 1.52
Both score 2nd half only 21.1% 21.0% — — 4.76
Both score 1st half only 11.3% 10.7% — — 9.38
Both score in both halves 3.5% 4.9% — — 20.31
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 85.2% 85.0% — — 1.18
Both teams to score by HT 14.8% 15.0% — — 6.67
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 53.5% 52.8% — — 1.90
A goal in each half 46.5% 47.2% — — 2.12
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.3% 47.2% 49.9% 0.95× 2.12
0-1 goals 31.3% 30.7% 22.1% 1.39× 3.25
4-6 goals 19.4% 20.3% 26.6% 0.76× 4.94
7+ goals 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% 0.97× 54.41
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna to score exactly 1 36.1% 35.9% 35.4% 1.02× 2.78
Austria Vienna to score exactly 0 29.8% 27.4% 29.7% 0.92× 3.65
Austria Vienna to score exactly 2 21.8% 22.3% 22.3% 1.00× 4.49
Austria Vienna to score 3+ 12.3% 12.9% 13.1% 0.99× 7.76
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach to score exactly 1 36.6% 35.6% 34.9% 1.02× 2.81
SC Rheindorf Altach to score exactly 0 33.1% 32.6% 21.9% 1.49× 3.07
SC Rheindorf Altach to score exactly 2 20.2% 23.3% 25.4% 0.92× 4.29
SC Rheindorf Altach to score 3+ 10.1% 14.3% 18.3% 0.78× 7.00
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 48.2% 52.2% — — 1.92
Austria Vienna leading at HT 26.2% 24.8% — — 4.02
SC Rheindorf Altach leading at HT 25.6% 24.8% — — 4.03
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna -1: 1 63.0% 62.5% — — 1.60
Austria Vienna -1: X 20.5% 23.5% — — 4.26
Austria Vienna -1: 2 16.5% 17.5% — — 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (0:1) 68.1% 65.2% 56.5% 1.15× 1.53
Draw (0:1) 18.6% 17.8% 20.7% 0.86× 5.61
SC Rheindorf Altach (0:1) 13.3% 13.7% 23.0% 0.60× 7.29
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (0:2) 86.7% 87.1% 77.0% 1.13× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 9.2% 7.7% 14.0% 0.55× 13.02
SC Rheindorf Altach (0:2) 4.1% 3.8% 9.3% 0.41× 26.63
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (0:3) 95.9% 96.6% 90.7% 1.06× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 3.1% 2.4% 6.2% 0.39× 42.06
SC Rheindorf Altach (0:3) 1.0% 2.4% 3.3% 0.71× 42.15
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (0:4) 99.0% 98.1% 96.7% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 0.73× 82.02
SC Rheindorf Altach (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 1.9% 0.64× 82.08
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach (1:0) 63.0% 65.3% 68.6% 0.95× 1.53
Draw (1:0) 20.5% 21.7% 16.4% 1.32× 4.61
Austria Vienna (1:0) 16.5% 17.1% 15.2% 1.12× 5.85
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach (2:0) 83.5% 84.6% 84.8% 1.00× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 11.0% 10.3% 10.2% 1.01× 9.73
Austria Vienna (2:0) 5.5% 6.4% 5.2% 1.22× 15.71
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 44.7% 45.3% — — 2.21
Halves equal 29.7% 26.3% — — 3.81
1st half highest scoring 25.6% 26.2% — — 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach to concede 70.2% 73.1% 70.3% 1.04× 1.37
SC Rheindorf Altach clean sheet 29.8% 26.9% 29.7% 0.90× 3.72
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach clean sheet in 1st half 61.6% 63.5% — — 1.58
SC Rheindorf Altach to concede in 1st half 38.4% 36.5% — — 2.74
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach to concede in 2nd half 51.6% 52.7% — — 1.90
SC Rheindorf Altach clean sheet in 2nd half 48.4% 47.3% — — 2.11
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach under 6.5 corners 81.1% 81.0% — — 1.24
SC Rheindorf Altach over 2.5 corners 75.5% 76.5% — — 1.31
SC Rheindorf Altach under 5.5 corners 70.6% 71.8% — — 1.39
SC Rheindorf Altach over 3.5 corners 59.2% 57.5% — — 1.74
SC Rheindorf Altach under 4.5 corners 56.9% 57.5% — — 1.74
SC Rheindorf Altach over 4.5 corners 43.1% 42.5% — — 2.35
SC Rheindorf Altach under 3.5 corners 40.8% 42.5% — — 2.35
SC Rheindorf Altach over 5.5 corners 29.4% 28.2% — — 3.55
SC Rheindorf Altach under 2.5 corners 24.5% 23.5% — — 4.26
SC Rheindorf Altach over 6.5 corners 18.9% 19.1% — — 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach under 3.5 goals 97.4% 96.4% 92.4% 1.04× 1.04
SC Rheindorf Altach under 2.5 goals 89.9% 87.3% 81.7% 1.07× 1.15
SC Rheindorf Altach under 1.5 goals 69.7% 68.0% 56.5% 1.20× 1.47
SC Rheindorf Altach over 0.5 goals 66.9% 68.0% 78.1% 0.87× 1.47
SC Rheindorf Altach under 0.5 goals 33.1% 32.0% 21.9% 1.47× 3.12
SC Rheindorf Altach over 1.5 goals 30.3% 32.0% 43.5% 0.74× 3.12
SC Rheindorf Altach over 2.5 goals 10.1% 12.7% 18.3% 0.70× 7.86
SC Rheindorf Altach over 3.5 goals 2.6% 3.6% 7.6% 0.48× 27.54
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach under 1.5 in 1st half 91.7% 94.7% — — 1.06
SC Rheindorf Altach under 0.5 in 1st half 62.2% 64.9% — — 1.54
SC Rheindorf Altach over 0.5 in 1st half 37.8% 35.1% — — 2.85
SC Rheindorf Altach over 1.5 in 1st half 8.3% 5.3% — — 18.89
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach scores equally in both 43.8% 42.1% — — 2.38
SC Rheindorf Altach scores more in 2nd half 33.1% 33.0% — — 3.03
SC Rheindorf Altach scores more in 1st half 23.1% 21.2% — — 4.71
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (home no bet) 54.4% 51.4% 55.2% 0.93× 1.95
Draw (home no bet) 45.6% 48.6% 44.8% 1.09× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach even goals 55.5% 55.2% 52.0% 1.06× 1.81
SC Rheindorf Altach odd goals 44.5% 44.8% 48.0% 0.93× 2.23
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 38.6% 39.5% — — 2.53
HT 0-1 18.3% 18.6% — — 5.38
HT 1-0 18.0% 18.6% — — 5.38
HT 1-1 9.1% 6.9% — — 14.46
HT 0-2 4.5% 2.4% — — 41.99
HT 2-0 4.3% 2.4% — — 42.00
Any other HT score 2.6% 2.4% — — 42.11
HT 1-2 2.1% 2.4% — — 42.14
HT 2-1 2.1% 2.4% — — 42.14
HT 2-2 0.5% 2.4% — — 42.25
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 20.8% 21.7% — — 4.60
Austria Vienna at HT / Austria Vienna at FT 19.8% 16.7% — — 5.97
SC Rheindorf Altach at HT / SC Rheindorf Altach at FT 17.9% 16.7% — — 5.98
Draw at HT / Austria Vienna at FT 15.1% 16.7% — — 5.99
Draw at HT / SC Rheindorf Altach at FT 12.3% 12.6% — — 7.91
SC Rheindorf Altach at HT / Draw at FT 5.5% 6.0% — — 16.67
Austria Vienna at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.5% — — 28.59
SC Rheindorf Altach at HT / Austria Vienna at FT 2.2% 3.5% — — 28.69
Austria Vienna at HT / SC Rheindorf Altach at FT 1.6% 3.5% — — 28.71
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna to score last 46.4% 46.4% — — 2.15
SC Rheindorf Altach to score last 42.3% 40.0% — — 2.50
No goal scored 11.3% 9.0% — — 11.09
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 88.7% 91.5% — — 1.09
Austria Vienna to lead by 1 at any time 52.3% 50.9% — — 1.97
SC Rheindorf Altach to lead by 1 at any time 47.7% 44.6% — — 2.24
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 39.2% 34.7% — — 2.88
Austria Vienna to lead by 2 at any time 21.4% 19.6% — — 5.09
SC Rheindorf Altach to lead by 2 at any time 17.9% 15.0% — — 6.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 12.0% 10.5% — — 9.57
Austria Vienna to lead by 3 at any time 6.8% 6.7% — — 14.93
SC Rheindorf Altach to lead by 3 at any time 5.2% 6.7% — — 15.01
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna most corners 47.0% 47.0% — — 2.13
SC Rheindorf Altach most corners 41.6% 43.5% — — 2.30
Corners level 11.4% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.6% 87.4% 86.2% 1.01× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.1% 83.4% 79.3% 1.05× 1.20
1-3 goals 68.3% 68.8% 64.6% 1.07× 1.45
2-6 goals 67.7% 68.8% 76.2% 0.90× 1.45
2-5 goals 65.6% 68.8% 71.5% 0.96× 1.45
2-4 goals 60.2% 63.3% 64.6% 0.98× 1.58
2-3 goals 48.3% 48.5% 49.9% 0.97× 2.06
1-2 goals 47.9% 48.5% 39.9% 1.21× 2.06
3-6 goals 39.8% 39.2% 51.3% 0.76× 2.55
3-5 goals 37.7% 39.2% 46.6% 0.84× 2.55
3-4 goals 32.2% 35.2% 39.7% 0.89× 2.84
4-6 goals 19.4% 18.8% 26.6% 0.71× 5.31
4-5 goals 17.3% 18.8% 21.9% 0.86× 5.31
5-6 goals 7.6% 8.9% 11.9% 0.75× 11.26
7+ goals 1.0% 2.6% 1.9% 1.34× 39.18
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna never behind 41.0% 48.4% — — 2.07
SC Rheindorf Altach never behind 36.4% 44.0% — — 2.27
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 46.6% 50.9% 47.7% 1.07× 1.96
Even number of goals 53.4% 49.1% 52.3% 0.94× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 57.8% 57.7% — — 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 42.2% 42.3% — — 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 54.3% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 45.7% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.9% 95.4% 93.3% 1.02× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 91.5% 92.3% 86.5% 1.07× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 88.7% 87.6% 92.6% 0.95× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 79.6% 77.3% 71.7% 1.08× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 68.7% 66.3% 77.9% 0.85× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 59.2% 58.6% 47.0% 1.25× 1.71
Over 2.5 goals 40.8% 41.4% 53.0% 0.78× 2.42
Under 1.5 goals 31.3% 33.7% 22.1% 1.53× 2.97
Over 3.5 goals 20.4% 22.7% 28.3% 0.80× 4.41
Under 0.5 goals 11.3% 12.4% 7.4% 1.68× 8.07
Over 4.5 goals 8.6% 7.7% 13.5% 0.57× 12.93
Over 5.5 goals 3.1% 4.6% 6.7% 0.69× 21.87
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.0% 97.2% 98.0% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 96.7% 97.2% 92.9% 1.05× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 90.3% 92.4% 84.1% 1.10× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 74.4% 72.4% 62.5% 1.16× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 56.6% 55.8% 70.6% 0.79× 1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 43.4% 44.2% 29.4% 1.50× 2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 25.6% 27.6% 37.5% 0.74× 3.63
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 9.7% 7.6% 15.9% 0.48× 13.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 3.3% 2.8% 7.1% 0.39× 35.56
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.0% 2.8% 2.0% 1.41× 35.63
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 92.7% 92.6% — — 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 74.8% 71.9% — — 1.39
Over 0.5 in 1st half 61.4% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half 38.6% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half 25.2% 28.1% — — 3.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half 7.3% 7.4% — — 13.59
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 84.4% 83.2% — — 1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 73.7% 77.4% — — 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 60.2% 61.4% — — 1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 39.8% 38.6% — — 2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 26.3% 22.6% — — 4.43
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 15.6% 16.8% — — 5.97
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach not to score in both halves 82.3% 84.3% — — 1.19
Austria Vienna not to score in both halves 80.2% 84.3% — — 1.19
Austria Vienna to score in both halves 19.8% 15.7% — — 6.35
SC Rheindorf Altach to score in both halves 17.7% 15.7% — — 6.39
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 48.4% 50.7% 55.8% 0.91× 1.97
Only Austria Vienna scores 21.8% 22.2% 14.7% 1.51× 4.50
Only SC Rheindorf Altach scores 18.5% 16.0% 22.6% 0.71× 6.24
Neither team scores 11.3% 11.0% 7.4% 1.50× 9.07
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.9% 24.9% 25.2% 0.99× 4.02
Exactly 3 goals 20.4% 22.6% 24.9% 0.90× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 20.0% 17.5% 15.0% 1.17× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 11.8% 12.1% 15.0% 0.81× 8.25
Exactly 0 goals 11.3% 12.1% 7.4% 1.65× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 5.5% 7.6% 7.1% 1.07× 13.14
6 or more goals 3.1% 4.5% 6.7% 0.67× 22.39
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 38.6% 37.4% — — 2.67
1 goal in 1st half 36.3% 37.4% — — 2.67
2 goals in 1st half 17.9% 15.7% — — 6.39
3+ goals in 1st half 7.3% 7.4% — — 13.59
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 39.8% 39.8% — — 2.51
1 goal in 2nd half 34.0% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 26.3% 29.2% — — 3.42
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach not to win both halves 92.9% 94.1% — — 1.06
Austria Vienna not to win both halves 91.1% 94.1% — — 1.06
Austria Vienna to win both halves 8.9% 5.9% — — 16.88
SC Rheindorf Altach to win both halves 7.1% 5.9% — — 17.00
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach to win neither half 54.4% 54.4% — — 1.84
Austria Vienna to win either half 50.3% 54.2% — — 1.84
Austria Vienna to win neither half 49.7% 45.8% — — 2.19
SC Rheindorf Altach to win either half 45.6% 45.6% — — 2.19
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach not to win to nil 81.5% 83.1% 77.4% 1.07× 1.20
Austria Vienna not to win to nil 78.2% 78.1% 85.3% 0.92× 1.28
Austria Vienna to win to nil 21.8% 21.9% 14.7% 1.48× 4.57
SC Rheindorf Altach to win to nil 18.5% 16.9% 22.6% 0.75× 5.92
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 31.1% 27.7% 25.4% 1.09× 3.62
Austria Vienna by 1 20.5% 24.1% 16.4% 1.47× 4.15
SC Rheindorf Altach by 1 18.6% 17.1% 20.7% 0.83× 5.86
Austria Vienna by 2 11.0% 11.8% 10.2% 1.15× 8.51
SC Rheindorf Altach by 2 9.2% 7.2% 14.0% 0.51× 13.90
Austria Vienna by 3+ 5.5% 7.2% 5.2% 1.38× 13.92
SC Rheindorf Altach by 3+ 4.1% 2.7% 9.3% 0.29× 36.78
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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