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SC Rheindorf Altach v RB Salzburg — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 4 December 2026 · AUT-Bundesliga · 2627

AUT-Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
SC Rheindorf Altach win
22.2%
model 22.8%
Draw
26.7%
model 26.9%
RB Salzburg win
51.0%
model 50.3%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.9%
  2. 0-1 9.7%
  3. 1-2 9.6%
  4. 0-2 9.1%
  5. 0-0 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.551.1% Under 2.548.9%
BTTS yes54.1% BTTS no45.9%
SC Rheindorf Altach 1+65.2% SC Rheindorf Altach 2+28.4%
RB Salzburg 1+81.0% RB Salzburg 2+49.5%

Expected goals 1.06 – 1.66. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
22/100
Data quality
55/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
RB Salzburg (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 31%
52.1% fair odds 1.92
strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
RB Salzburg not to win both halves
Win both halves
83.4% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • RB Salzburg carry the stronger rating, 1608 Elo against 1408.
  • Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0103 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

RB Salzburg have an estimated 51.0% win probability, against 26.7% for the draw and 22.2% for SC Rheindorf Altach. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.05 for SC Rheindorf Altach and 1.66 for RB Salzburg.

Why SC Rheindorf Altach

Nothing in the data singles out SC Rheindorf Altach.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why RB Salzburg can win

RB Salzburg carry the stronger rating, 1608 Elo against 1408. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for SC Rheindorf Altach, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for RB Salzburg, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

SC Rheindorf Altach: 49% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. RB Salzburg: 50% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 9.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

RB Salzburg are the model's most likely outcome at 51.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.06–1.66 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.02–1.60 1-1 13% 48% 52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg to win 49.6% 47.4% 31.4% 1.51× 2.11
Draw 27.6% 27.9% 25.4% 1.10× 3.58
SC Rheindorf Altach to win 22.8% 24.5% 43.5% 0.56× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg & not both score 27.6% 25.2% 14.7% 1.71× 3.97
RB Salzburg & both teams score 22.0% 21.8% 16.9% 1.29× 4.58
Draw & both teams score 19.0% 18.0% 18.3% 0.98× 5.56
SC Rheindorf Altach & not both score 11.6% 13.3% 22.6% 0.59× 7.54
SC Rheindorf Altach & both teams score 11.2% 13.3% 21.1% 0.63× 7.54
Draw & not both score 8.6% 8.3% 7.4% 1.13× 12.01
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg & over 1.5 39.2% 34.9% 25.4% 1.37× 2.87
RB Salzburg & under 3.5 34.2% 30.8% 22.1% 1.39× 3.25
RB Salzburg & over 2.5 29.8% 26.1% 20.0% 1.31× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 21.8% 21.6% 19.7% 1.10× 4.63
Draw & under 3.5 21.8% 21.6% 19.7% 1.10× 4.63
RB Salzburg & under 2.5 19.8% 18.0% 11.6% 1.55× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 19.0% 18.0% 18.3% 0.98× 5.56
SC Rheindorf Altach & over 1.5 16.7% 18.0% 34.7% 0.52× 5.56
SC Rheindorf Altach & under 3.5 17.3% 18.0% 30.4% 0.59× 5.56
RB Salzburg & over 3.5 15.3% 18.0% 9.5% 1.89× 5.56
SC Rheindorf Altach & over 2.5 12.9% 12.8% 27.6% 0.47× 7.79
RB Salzburg & under 1.5 10.4% 12.8% 6.2% 2.08× 7.79
SC Rheindorf Altach & under 2.5 9.9% 7.9% 16.2% 0.49× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 8.6% 7.9% 7.4% 1.08× 12.63
SC Rheindorf Altach & under 1.5 6.2% 7.9% 9.0% 0.88× 12.63
SC Rheindorf Altach & over 3.5 5.5% 7.9% 13.3% 0.60× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 5.8% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 5.8% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg (1UP) 64.0% 62.9% — — 1.59
SC Rheindorf Altach (1UP) 40.5% 38.5% — — 2.60
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg (2UP) 49.6% 50.2% — — 1.99
SC Rheindorf Altach (2UP) 22.8% 23.7% — — 4.22
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg to win 2nd half 42.9% 41.9% — — 2.39
2nd half drawn 36.1% 36.2% — — 2.76
SC Rheindorf Altach to win 2nd half 21.0% 24.1% — — 4.16
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg under 1.5 in 2nd half 75.1% 79.0% — — 1.27
RB Salzburg over 0.5 in 2nd half 61.6% 60.2% — — 1.66
RB Salzburg under 0.5 in 2nd half 38.4% 39.8% — — 2.51
RB Salzburg over 1.5 in 2nd half 24.9% 21.0% — — 4.76
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach under 1.5 in 2nd half 88.5% 88.7% — — 1.13
SC Rheindorf Altach under 0.5 in 2nd half 56.0% 58.2% — — 1.72
SC Rheindorf Altach over 0.5 in 2nd half 44.0% 41.8% — — 2.39
SC Rheindorf Altach over 1.5 in 2nd half 11.5% 11.3% — — 8.83
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg (+2.5) 97.6% 96.3% 90.7% 1.06× 1.04
RB Salzburg (+1.5) 91.3% 92.1% 77.0% 1.20× 1.09
RB Salzburg (+0.5) 77.2% 78.5% 56.5% 1.39× 1.27
SC Rheindorf Altach (+0.5) 50.4% 52.4% 68.6% 0.76× 1.91
RB Salzburg (-0.5) 49.6% 47.6% 31.4% 1.52× 2.10
SC Rheindorf Altach (-0.5) 22.8% 21.5% 43.5% 0.50× 4.65
SC Rheindorf Altach (-1.5) 8.7% 7.9% 23.0% 0.34× 12.68
SC Rheindorf Altach (-2.5) 2.4% 3.7% 9.3% 0.40× 27.16
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg to concede 63.8% 67.6% 78.1% 0.87× 1.48
RB Salzburg clean sheet 36.2% 32.4% 21.9% 1.48× 3.09
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg clean sheet in 1st half 64.6% 64.5% — — 1.55
RB Salzburg to concede in 1st half 35.4% 35.5% — — 2.82
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg clean sheet in 2nd half 56.0% 57.5% — — 1.74
RB Salzburg to concede in 2nd half 44.0% 42.5% — — 2.36
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg over 2.5 corners 82.1% 81.4% — — 1.23
RB Salzburg under 6.5 corners 72.6% 71.6% — — 1.40
RB Salzburg over 3.5 corners 68.3% 67.6% — — 1.48
RB Salzburg under 5.5 corners 60.8% 61.8% — — 1.62
RB Salzburg over 4.5 corners 53.3% 53.1% — — 1.89
RB Salzburg under 4.5 corners 46.7% 46.9% — — 2.13
RB Salzburg over 5.5 corners 39.2% 38.2% — — 2.62
RB Salzburg under 3.5 corners 31.7% 32.4% — — 3.09
RB Salzburg over 6.5 corners 27.4% 28.4% — — 3.52
RB Salzburg under 2.5 corners 17.9% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg under 3.5 goals 92.2% 92.3% 96.9% 0.95× 1.08
RB Salzburg over 0.5 goals 79.7% 76.3% 70.3% 1.08× 1.31
RB Salzburg under 2.5 goals 78.4% 76.3% 86.9% 0.88× 1.31
RB Salzburg under 1.5 goals 52.6% 53.5% 64.8% 0.82× 1.87
RB Salzburg over 1.5 goals 47.4% 46.5% 35.2% 1.32× 2.15
RB Salzburg over 2.5 goals 21.6% 23.7% 13.1% 1.82× 4.21
RB Salzburg under 0.5 goals 20.3% 23.7% 29.7% 0.80× 4.21
RB Salzburg over 3.5 goals 7.8% 7.7% 3.1% 2.48× 13.06
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg under 1.5 in 1st half 86.5% 89.4% — — 1.12
RB Salzburg under 0.5 in 1st half 52.8% 55.4% — — 1.80
RB Salzburg over 0.5 in 1st half 47.2% 44.6% — — 2.24
RB Salzburg over 1.5 in 1st half 13.5% 10.6% — — 9.40
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg scores more in 2nd half 41.8% 43.5% — — 2.30
RB Salzburg scores equally in both 34.7% 33.3% — — 3.00
RB Salzburg scores more in 1st half 23.6% 21.8% — — 4.58
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 54.8% 51.7% 36.9% 1.40× 1.93
SC Rheindorf Altach (away no bet) 45.2% 48.3% 63.1% 0.76× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg even goals 52.1% 52.6% 53.4% 0.98× 1.90
RB Salzburg odd goals 47.9% 47.4% 46.6% 1.02× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 86.7% 87.8% — — 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 13.3% 12.2% — — 8.21
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 62.1% 57.5% — — 1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals 37.9% 42.5% — — 2.35
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 54.3% 51.0% — — 1.96
RB Salzburg to score 2+ in a row 40.0% 36.7% — — 2.73
SC Rheindorf Altach to score 2+ in a row 19.5% 16.3% — — 6.15
Either team to score 3+ in a row 19.5% 16.3% — — 6.15
RB Salzburg to score 3+ in a row 15.1% 16.2% — — 6.19
SC Rheindorf Altach to score 3+ in a row 4.5% 2.6% — — 38.09
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg corners (+3.5) 91.4% 89.6% — — 1.12
RB Salzburg corners (+2.5) 86.1% 84.5% — — 1.18
RB Salzburg corners (+1.5) 78.6% 74.8% — — 1.34
SC Rheindorf Altach corners (+3.5) 74.2% 70.7% — — 1.41
SC Rheindorf Altach corners (+2.5) 64.5% 61.8% — — 1.62
SC Rheindorf Altach corners (+1.5) 53.4% 52.4% — — 1.91
RB Salzburg corners (-1.5) 46.6% 47.6% — — 2.10
RB Salzburg corners (-2.5) 35.5% 38.2% — — 2.62
RB Salzburg corners (-3.5) 25.8% 29.3% — — 3.42
SC Rheindorf Altach corners (-1.5) 21.4% 25.2% — — 3.97
SC Rheindorf Altach corners (-2.5) 13.9% 15.5% — — 6.45
SC Rheindorf Altach corners (-3.5) 8.6% 10.4% — — 9.59
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 49.6% 41.8% — — 2.39
9-11 corners 28.3% 31.2% — — 3.21
12+ corners 22.1% 25.7% — — 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 84.4% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 77.9% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 69.9% 67.8% — — 1.47
Over 7.5 corners 61.6% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 60.4% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 50.4% 53.1% — — 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 49.6% 46.9% — — 2.13
Over 9.5 corners 39.6% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 7.5 corners 38.4% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 30.1% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 11.5 corners 22.1% 23.4% — — 4.27
Over 12.5 corners 15.6% 19.3% — — 5.17
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.2% 11.5% 12.6% 0.91× 8.71
0-1 10.4% 11.5% 6.2% 1.86× 8.72
0-0 8.6% 7.4% 7.4% 1.01× 13.51
0-2 9.4% 7.4% 5.7% 1.30× 13.51
1-2 9.5% 7.4% 7.8% 0.94× 13.51
1-0 6.2% 7.4% 9.0% 0.82× 13.51
1-3 5.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.64× 13.51
2-1 6.0% 7.4% 10.5% 0.71× 13.51
0-3 5.0% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.29
2-2 4.8% 1.7% 5.5% 0.31× 58.29
0-4 2.0% 1.7% 0.5% 3.61× 58.31
1-4 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 1.81× 58.31
2-0 3.8% 1.7% 7.4% 0.23× 58.30
2-3 2.6% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.30
2-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.5% 3.61× 58.31
3-0 1.3% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.31
3-1 2.0% 1.7% 4.5% 0.38× 58.31
3-2 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.03× 58.31
3-3 0.9% 1.7% 0.7% 2.41× 58.31
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.41× 58.32
4-0 0.3% 1.7% 1.0% 1.80× 58.32
4-1 0.5% 1.7% 1.9% 0.90× 58.32
4-2 0.4% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.32
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 7.22× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 7.22× 58.32
Any other score 2.7% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg (2nd half DNB) 67.1% 66.7% — — 1.50
SC Rheindorf Altach (2nd half DNB) 32.9% 33.3% — — 3.01
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg leading at HT (DNB) 62.0% 65.4% — — 1.53
SC Rheindorf Altach leading at HT (DNB) 38.0% 34.6% — — 2.89
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg or draw (X2) 77.2% 75.5% 56.5% 1.34× 1.32
SC Rheindorf Altach or RB Salzburg (12) 72.4% 72.1% 74.6% 0.97× 1.39
SC Rheindorf Altach or draw (1X) 50.4% 52.6% 68.6% 0.77× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg or draw at HT 79.0% 79.5% — — 1.26
SC Rheindorf Altach or draw at HT 65.7% 67.0% — — 1.49
SC Rheindorf Altach or RB Salzburg at HT 55.2% 57.6% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg or draw (1UP) 77.2% 83.7% — — 1.19
SC Rheindorf Altach or draw (1UP) 50.4% 58.6% — — 1.71
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg or draw in 2nd half 79.0% 75.9% — — 1.32
SC Rheindorf Altach or RB Salzburg in 2nd half 63.9% 63.8% — — 1.57
SC Rheindorf Altach or draw in 2nd half 57.1% 58.1% — — 1.72
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 63.3% 61.4% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 36.7% 38.6% — — 2.59
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg (DNB) 68.5% 67.4% 41.9% 1.61× 1.48
SC Rheindorf Altach (DNB) 31.5% 32.6% 58.1% 0.56× 3.07
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg to score first 55.8% 62.1% — — 1.61
SC Rheindorf Altach to score first 35.5% 32.6% — — 3.06
No goal scored 8.6% 7.5% — — 13.37
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 52.2% 51.3% 55.8% 0.92× 1.95
Not both teams to score 47.8% 48.7% 44.2% 1.10× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 39.0% 38.5% 43.5% 0.88× 2.60
Not both score & under 2.5 38.3% 38.4% 34.7% 1.11× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 13.2% 12.4% 12.6% 0.98× 8.08
Not both score & over 2.5 9.5% 8.3% 9.7% 0.85× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 87.2% 85.6% 86.9% 0.98× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 12.8% 14.4% 13.1% 1.10× 6.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 72.5% 73.7% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 27.5% 26.3% — — 3.80
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 60.1% 65.6% — — 1.52
Both score 2nd half only 23.0% 21.0% — — 4.77
Both score 1st half only 12.4% 10.8% — — 9.28
Both score in both halves 4.5% 5.0% — — 20.17
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 83.1% 83.1% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 16.9% 16.9% — — 5.93
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 52.4% 52.9% — — 1.89
A half without a goal 47.6% 47.1% — — 2.13
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.1% 47.2% 49.9% 0.95× 2.12
0-1 goals 25.2% 26.6% 22.1% 1.20× 3.76
4-6 goals 24.9% 22.9% 26.6% 0.86× 4.36
7+ goals 1.8% 1.8% 1.9% 0.97× 54.36
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg to score exactly 1 32.3% 33.8% 35.4% 0.96× 2.96
RB Salzburg to score exactly 2 25.8% 27.4% 22.3% 1.23× 3.65
RB Salzburg to score 3+ 21.6% 22.3% 13.1% 1.71× 4.49
RB Salzburg to score exactly 0 20.3% 22.3% 29.7% 0.75× 4.49
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach to score exactly 1 36.8% 35.6% 34.9% 1.02× 2.81
SC Rheindorf Altach to score exactly 0 36.2% 35.6% 21.9% 1.63× 2.81
SC Rheindorf Altach to score exactly 2 18.7% 18.8% 25.4% 0.74× 5.33
SC Rheindorf Altach to score 3+ 8.3% 10.3% 18.3% 0.57× 9.67
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 44.8% 42.4% — — 2.36
RB Salzburg leading at HT 34.3% 33.0% — — 3.04
SC Rheindorf Altach leading at HT 21.0% 20.5% — — 4.88
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg -1: 1 50.4% 52.1% — — 1.92
RB Salzburg -1: 2 26.7% 26.5% — — 3.77
RB Salzburg -1: X 22.9% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg (0:1) 77.2% 73.7% 56.5% 1.30× 1.36
Draw (0:1) 14.1% 13.7% 20.7% 0.66× 7.28
SC Rheindorf Altach (0:1) 8.7% 9.3% 23.0% 0.40× 10.79
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg (0:2) 91.3% 90.7% 77.0% 1.18× 1.10
Draw (0:2) 6.3% 7.7% 14.0% 0.55× 13.06
SC Rheindorf Altach (0:2) 2.4% 3.7% 9.3% 0.40× 26.74
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg (0:3) 97.6% 96.6% 90.7% 1.07× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 1.9% 2.4% 6.2% 0.38× 42.14
SC Rheindorf Altach (0:3) 0.5% 2.4% 3.3% 0.71× 42.20
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg (0:4) 99.5% 98.1% 96.7% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.4% 1.2% 1.7% 0.73× 82.12
SC Rheindorf Altach (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 1.9% 0.64× 82.16
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach (1:0) 50.4% 54.0% 68.6% 0.79× 1.85
RB Salzburg (1:0) 26.7% 25.0% 15.2% 1.65× 4.00
Draw (1:0) 22.9% 21.7% 16.4% 1.32× 4.61
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach (2:0) 73.3% 76.6% 84.8% 0.90× 1.31
Draw (2:0) 15.6% 15.8% 10.2% 1.54× 6.34
RB Salzburg (2:0) 11.2% 10.3% 5.2% 1.97× 9.74
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.9% 48.7% — — 2.05
Halves equal 27.4% 26.2% — — 3.82
1st half highest scoring 25.7% 26.2% — — 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach to concede 79.7% 76.1% 70.3% 1.08× 1.31
SC Rheindorf Altach clean sheet 20.3% 23.9% 29.7% 0.80× 4.18
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach clean sheet in 1st half 52.8% 55.4% — — 1.80
SC Rheindorf Altach to concede in 1st half 47.2% 44.6% — — 2.24
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach to concede in 2nd half 61.6% 59.8% — — 1.67
SC Rheindorf Altach clean sheet in 2nd half 38.4% 40.2% — — 2.49
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach under 6.5 corners 87.6% 86.2% — — 1.16
SC Rheindorf Altach under 5.5 corners 79.0% 76.5% — — 1.31
SC Rheindorf Altach over 2.5 corners 67.8% 66.7% — — 1.50
SC Rheindorf Altach under 4.5 corners 66.6% 66.7% — — 1.50
SC Rheindorf Altach under 3.5 corners 50.4% 52.6% — — 1.90
SC Rheindorf Altach over 3.5 corners 49.6% 47.4% — — 2.11
SC Rheindorf Altach over 4.5 corners 33.4% 33.3% — — 3.01
SC Rheindorf Altach under 2.5 corners 32.2% 33.3% — — 3.01
SC Rheindorf Altach over 5.5 corners 21.0% 23.5% — — 4.26
SC Rheindorf Altach over 6.5 corners 12.4% 13.8% — — 7.27
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach under 3.5 goals 98.0% 96.4% 92.4% 1.04× 1.04
SC Rheindorf Altach under 2.5 goals 91.7% 92.2% 81.7% 1.13× 1.08
SC Rheindorf Altach under 1.5 goals 73.0% 74.2% 56.5% 1.31× 1.35
SC Rheindorf Altach over 0.5 goals 63.8% 63.6% 78.1% 0.81× 1.57
SC Rheindorf Altach under 0.5 goals 36.2% 36.4% 21.9% 1.67× 2.75
SC Rheindorf Altach over 1.5 goals 27.0% 25.8% 43.5% 0.59× 3.88
SC Rheindorf Altach over 2.5 goals 8.3% 7.8% 18.3% 0.43× 12.86
SC Rheindorf Altach over 3.5 goals 2.0% 3.6% 7.6% 0.48× 27.58
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach under 1.5 in 1st half 92.8% 94.8% — — 1.06
SC Rheindorf Altach under 0.5 in 1st half 64.6% 64.1% — — 1.56
SC Rheindorf Altach over 0.5 in 1st half 35.4% 35.9% — — 2.79
SC Rheindorf Altach over 1.5 in 1st half 7.2% 5.2% — — 19.21
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach scores equally in both 46.0% 47.0% — — 2.13
SC Rheindorf Altach scores more in 2nd half 31.8% 33.2% — — 3.02
SC Rheindorf Altach scores more in 1st half 22.3% 21.1% — — 4.74
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg (home no bet) 64.2% 60.0% 55.2% 1.09× 1.67
Draw (home no bet) 35.8% 40.0% 44.8% 0.89× 2.50
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach even goals 56.6% 55.3% 52.0% 1.06× 1.81
SC Rheindorf Altach odd goals 43.4% 44.7% 48.0% 0.93× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 34.3% 33.3% — — 3.00
HT 0-1 21.6% 24.3% — — 4.12
HT 1-0 14.7% 11.0% — — 9.08
HT 1-1 9.7% 6.9% — — 14.42
HT 0-2 7.0% 6.9% — — 14.47
Any other HT score 3.7% 2.4% — — 41.97
HT 2-0 3.3% 2.4% — — 42.00
HT 1-2 3.0% 2.4% — — 42.01
HT 2-1 2.1% 2.4% — — 42.07
HT 2-2 0.7% 2.4% — — 42.16
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg at HT / RB Salzburg at FT 28.2% 27.3% — — 3.66
Draw at HT / RB Salzburg at FT 18.4% 16.8% — — 5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 17.6% 16.8% — — 5.96
SC Rheindorf Altach at HT / SC Rheindorf Altach at FT 12.6% 12.6% — — 7.91
Draw at HT / SC Rheindorf Altach at FT 8.8% 6.1% — — 16.40
SC Rheindorf Altach at HT / Draw at FT 5.4% 6.1% — — 16.49
RB Salzburg at HT / Draw at FT 4.7% 3.5% — — 28.80
SC Rheindorf Altach at HT / RB Salzburg at FT 3.0% 3.5% — — 28.86
RB Salzburg at HT / SC Rheindorf Altach at FT 1.4% 3.5% — — 28.92
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg to score last 56.0% 56.3% — — 1.78
SC Rheindorf Altach to score last 35.4% 38.6% — — 2.59
No goal scored 8.6% 7.5% — — 13.37
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 91.4% 92.6% — — 1.08
RB Salzburg to lead by 1 at any time 64.0% 61.3% — — 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 45.8% 44.3% — — 2.26
SC Rheindorf Altach to lead by 1 at any time 40.5% 39.2% — — 2.55
RB Salzburg to lead by 2 at any time 32.8% 29.8% — — 3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 16.7% 14.9% — — 6.72
RB Salzburg to lead by 3 at any time 13.3% 10.5% — — 9.50
SC Rheindorf Altach to lead by 2 at any time 13.3% 10.5% — — 9.50
SC Rheindorf Altach to lead by 3 at any time 3.4% 1.6% — — 61.63
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg most corners 58.1% 55.6% — — 1.80
SC Rheindorf Altach most corners 30.9% 34.4% — — 2.91
Corners level 11.0% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.4% 87.4% 86.2% 1.01× 1.14
1-4 goals 78.9% 78.7% 79.3% 0.99× 1.27
2-6 goals 73.1% 72.4% 76.2% 0.95× 1.38
2-5 goals 69.8% 68.8% 71.5% 0.96× 1.45
1-3 goals 64.7% 63.3% 64.6% 0.98× 1.58
2-4 goals 62.4% 63.3% 64.6% 0.98× 1.58
2-3 goals 48.1% 48.5% 49.9% 0.97× 2.06
3-6 goals 46.7% 48.5% 51.3% 0.94× 2.06
3-5 goals 43.5% 43.6% 46.6% 0.94× 2.29
1-2 goals 42.9% 43.6% 39.9% 1.09× 2.29
3-4 goals 36.0% 39.2% 39.7% 0.99× 2.55
4-6 goals 24.9% 24.5% 26.6% 0.92× 4.09
4-5 goals 21.7% 24.5% 21.9% 1.12× 4.09
5-6 goals 10.7% 14.8% 11.9% 1.25× 6.76
7+ goals 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 1.34× 39.18
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
RB Salzburg never behind 50.9% 62.2% — — 1.61
SC Rheindorf Altach never behind 27.4% 30.0% — — 3.33
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.1% 50.9% 47.7% 1.07× 1.96
Even number of goals 52.9% 49.1% 52.3% 0.94× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.3% 57.6% — — 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 43.7% 42.4% — — 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.2% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.8% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 95.0% 95.4% 93.3% 1.02× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 91.4% 92.3% 92.6% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 87.6% 87.6% 86.5% 1.01× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 74.8% 72.5% 77.9% 0.93× 1.38
Under 3.5 goals 73.3% 72.5% 71.7% 1.01× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 51.5% 52.5% 47.0% 1.12× 1.90
Over 2.5 goals 48.5% 47.5% 53.0% 0.90× 2.11
Over 3.5 goals 26.7% 27.5% 28.3% 0.97× 3.63
Under 1.5 goals 25.2% 27.5% 22.1% 1.25× 3.64
Over 4.5 goals 12.4% 12.4% 13.5% 0.92× 8.06
Under 0.5 goals 8.6% 7.7% 7.4% 1.05× 12.94
Over 5.5 goals 5.0% 4.6% 6.7% 0.69× 21.82
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.2% 97.2% 98.0% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 94.6% 92.4% 92.9% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 85.5% 86.7% 84.1% 1.03× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 65.9% 67.4% 62.5% 1.08× 1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 65.8% 67.4% 70.6% 0.96× 1.48
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 34.2% 32.6% 29.4% 1.11× 3.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 34.1% 32.6% 37.5% 0.87× 3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 14.5% 13.3% 15.9% 0.84× 7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 5.4% 7.6% 7.1% 1.06× 13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.8% 2.8% 2.0% 1.41× 35.62
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 90.5% 92.5% — — 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 70.6% 71.4% — — 1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half 65.7% 68.5% — — 1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half 34.3% 31.5% — — 3.17
Over 1.5 in 1st half 29.4% 28.6% — — 3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half 9.5% 7.5% — — 13.37
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 79.9% 79.8% — — 1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 78.1% 79.7% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 54.1% 53.3% — — 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 45.9% 46.7% — — 2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 21.9% 20.3% — — 4.93
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 20.1% 20.2% — — 4.94
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach not to score in both halves 84.4% 84.3% — — 1.19
RB Salzburg not to score in both halves 70.9% 73.8% — — 1.35
RB Salzburg to score in both halves 29.1% 26.2% — — 3.82
SC Rheindorf Altach to score in both halves 15.6% 15.7% — — 6.36
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 52.2% 53.8% 55.8% 0.96× 1.86
Only RB Salzburg scores 27.6% 26.0% 14.7% 1.77× 3.84
Only SC Rheindorf Altach scores 11.6% 11.0% 22.6% 0.49× 9.07
Neither team scores 8.6% 7.1% 7.4% 0.97× 14.02
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 26.3% 24.9% 25.2% 0.99× 4.02
Exactly 3 goals 21.8% 22.6% 24.9% 0.91× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 16.6% 17.5% 15.0% 1.17× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 14.2% 12.1% 15.0% 0.81× 8.25
Exactly 0 goals 8.6% 7.6% 7.4% 1.03× 13.14
Exactly 5 goals 7.4% 7.6% 7.1% 1.07× 13.14
6 or more goals 5.0% 4.5% 6.7% 0.67× 22.34
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.2% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 34.3% 35.7% — — 2.80
2 goals in 1st half 20.0% 15.7% — — 6.38
3+ goals in 1st half 9.5% 7.5% — — 13.37
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 45.9% 44.7% — — 2.24
1 goal in 2nd half 32.2% 33.7% — — 2.97
No goals in 2nd half 21.9% 22.6% — — 4.42
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach not to win both halves 95.4% 97.2% — — 1.03
RB Salzburg not to win both halves 85.1% 87.9% — — 1.14
RB Salzburg to win both halves 14.9% 12.1% — — 8.25
SC Rheindorf Altach to win both halves 4.6% 2.8% — — 35.15
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach to win neither half 62.5% 64.9% — — 1.54
RB Salzburg to win either half 62.2% 64.9% — — 1.54
RB Salzburg to win neither half 37.8% 35.1% — — 2.85
SC Rheindorf Altach to win either half 37.5% 35.1% — — 2.85
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SC Rheindorf Altach not to win to nil 88.4% 88.1% 77.4% 1.14× 1.14
RB Salzburg not to win to nil 72.4% 75.3% 85.3% 0.88× 1.33
RB Salzburg to win to nil 27.6% 24.7% 14.7% 1.67× 4.06
SC Rheindorf Altach to win to nil 11.6% 11.9% 22.6% 0.53× 8.42
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 27.6% 27.9% 25.4% 1.10× 3.59
RB Salzburg by 1 22.9% 24.1% 16.4% 1.47× 4.15
RB Salzburg by 2 15.6% 17.0% 10.2% 1.67× 5.87
SC Rheindorf Altach by 1 14.1% 11.8% 20.7% 0.57× 8.51
RB Salzburg by 3+ 11.2% 11.7% 5.2% 2.25× 8.51
SC Rheindorf Altach by 2 6.3% 7.2% 14.0% 0.51× 13.91
SC Rheindorf Altach by 3+ 2.4% 2.7% 9.3% 0.29× 36.86
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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