Schalke 04 v VfB Stuttgart — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · GER-Bundesliga · 2627

Bundesliga xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Schalke 04

14:30 UTC

VfB Stuttgart

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 700h before kick-off

Schalke 04 win

29.3%

model 33.3%

Draw

22.5%

model 20.1%

VfB Stuttgart win

48.2%

model 46.5%

292348

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-2 7.7%
2-2 7.2%
1-1 6.9%
2-1 6.5%
1-3 5.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	77.8%	Under 2.5	22.2%
BTTS yes	75.7%	BTTS no	24.3%
Schalke 04 1+	84.8%	Schalke 04 2+	56.1%
VfB Stuttgart 1+	89.2%	VfB Stuttgart 2+	65.3%

Expected goals 1.88 – 2.23. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

88/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 43%

68.0% fair odds 1.47

strong signal · 1155 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Over 0.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT · usually 77%

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

VfB Stuttgart carry the stronger rating, 1638 Elo against 1571.
Away from home VfB Stuttgart average 2.19 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

VfB Stuttgart have an estimated 48.2% win probability, against 29.3% for Schalke 04 and 22.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.88 for Schalke 04 and 2.23 for VfB Stuttgart.

Why Schalke 04

Nothing in the data singles out Schalke 04.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.5%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why VfB Stuttgart can win

VfB Stuttgart carry the stronger rating, 1638 Elo against 1571. Away from home VfB Stuttgart average 2.19 xG a match.

Key players

Schalke 04's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Junior Adamu (0.35), Moussa Sylla (0.35), Adil Aouchiche (0.33). VfB Stuttgart's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Deniz Undav (0.62), Ermedin Demirovic (0.46), Chris Führich (0.32).

Availability

2 of Schalke 04's top three contributors did not start their last match. 1 of VfB Stuttgart's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Schalke 04: 37% possession, 10.0 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.25 xG a match from set pieces. VfB Stuttgart: 58% possession, 17.4 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.56 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

VfB Stuttgart are the model's most likely outcome at 48.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 7.7%. Confidence 88/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Schalke 04 are finishing below their chances — 3.4 goals fewer than expected across 6 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 6.5 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LDWDLL last 6 scored 4 from 7.4 xG conceded 7 from 13.5 xG

VfB Stuttgart are finishing sharply below their chances — 5.3 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 6.0 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

DDWDLWLLWL last 10 scored 17 from 22.3 xG conceded 17 from 23.0 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	332047	1.88–2.23	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	272153	1.52–2.18	1-2 9%	71%	69%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to win	66.8%	64.8%	33.4%	1.94×	1.54
Schalke 04 to win	18.4%	19.4%	42.1%	0.46×	5.16
Draw	14.8%	13.5%	24.7%	0.55×	7.39

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart & both teams score	51.7%	48.2%	18.4%	2.62×	2.08
Schalke 04 & both teams score	15.5%	18.0%	22.3%	0.81×	5.57
VfB Stuttgart & not both score	15.1%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.57
Draw & both teams score	14.2%	13.3%	19.0%	0.70×	7.53
Schalke 04 & not both score	2.9%	4.9%	19.9%	0.24×	20.61
Draw & not both score	0.5%	4.8%	5.8%	0.83×	20.68

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart & over 1.5	65.0%	54.9%	27.5%	1.99×	1.82
VfB Stuttgart & over 2.5	61.9%	54.7%	23.4%	2.34×	1.83
VfB Stuttgart & over 3.5	52.7%	48.9%	14.1%	3.47×	2.05
Schalke 04 & over 1.5	17.4%	18.0%	35.8%	0.50×	5.56
Schalke 04 & over 2.5	16.5%	18.0%	29.9%	0.60×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.2%	12.8%	19.0%	0.68×	7.79
VfB Stuttgart & under 3.5	14.1%	12.8%	19.5%	0.66×	7.79
Schalke 04 & over 3.5	12.8%	12.8%	20.4%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	10.8%	12.8%	9.7%	1.32×	7.79
Draw & over 3.5	10.8%	12.8%	9.7%	1.32×	7.79
Schalke 04 & under 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	21.9%	0.36×	12.63
VfB Stuttgart & under 2.5	4.9%	4.8%	10.2%	0.47×	20.81
Draw & under 2.5	3.9%	4.8%	15.1%	0.32×	20.81
Draw & under 3.5	3.9%	4.8%	15.1%	0.32×	20.81
Schalke 04 & under 2.5	1.9%	4.8%	12.3%	0.39×	20.83
VfB Stuttgart & under 1.5	1.8%	4.8%	6.0%	0.80×	20.83
Schalke 04 & under 1.5	1.0%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.83
Draw & under 1.5	0.5%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (1UP)	82.6%	87.6%	52.2%	1.68×	1.14
Schalke 04 (1UP)	45.6%	43.8%	60.1%	0.73×	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (2UP)	66.8%	68.1%	36.4%	1.87×	1.47
Schalke 04 (2UP)	18.4%	17.4%	45.4%	0.38×	5.76

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to win 2nd half	63.5%	60.2%	29.1%	2.07×	1.66
2nd half drawn	20.0%	24.1%	33.6%	0.72×	4.15
Schalke 04 to win 2nd half	16.4%	18.0%	37.5%	0.48×	5.56

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart over 0.5 in 2nd half	88.1%	86.8%	56.5%	1.54×	1.15
VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 in 2nd half	62.7%	60.1%	20.5%	2.92×	1.67
VfB Stuttgart under 1.5 in 2nd half	37.3%	39.9%	79.5%	0.50×	2.51
VfB Stuttgart under 0.5 in 2nd half	11.9%	13.2%	43.5%	0.30×	7.60

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.3%	74.1%	74.4%	1.00×	1.35
Schalke 04 over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.5%	63.2%	63.1%	1.00×	1.58
Schalke 04 under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.5%	36.8%	36.9%	1.00×	2.72
Schalke 04 over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.7%	25.9%	25.6%	1.01×	3.85

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (+2.5)	96.5%	96.3%	88.0%	1.09×	1.04
VfB Stuttgart (+1.5)	91.3%	92.1%	75.4%	1.22×	1.09
VfB Stuttgart (+0.5)	81.6%	82.5%	57.9%	1.42×	1.21
VfB Stuttgart (-0.5)	66.8%	68.7%	33.4%	2.06×	1.46
Schalke 04 (+0.5)	33.2%	31.3%	66.6%	0.47×	3.19
Schalke 04 (-0.5)	18.4%	17.5%	42.1%	0.42×	5.72
Schalke 04 (-1.5)	8.7%	7.9%	24.6%	0.32×	12.67
Schalke 04 (-2.5)	3.5%	3.7%	12.0%	0.31×	27.08

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to concede	84.3%	81.6%	79.2%	1.03×	1.23
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet	15.7%	18.4%	20.8%	0.89×	5.42

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to concede in 1st half	58.2%	57.0%	51.9%	1.10×	1.75
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet in 1st half	41.8%	43.0%	48.1%	0.89×	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to concede in 2nd half	62.5%	61.7%	63.1%	0.98×	1.62
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet in 2nd half	37.5%	38.3%	36.9%	1.04×	2.61

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart over 2.5 corners	81.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
VfB Stuttgart under 6.5 corners	73.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
VfB Stuttgart over 3.5 corners	67.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
VfB Stuttgart under 5.5 corners	62.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
VfB Stuttgart over 4.5 corners	52.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
VfB Stuttgart under 4.5 corners	47.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
VfB Stuttgart over 5.5 corners	38.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
VfB Stuttgart under 3.5 corners	32.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
VfB Stuttgart over 6.5 corners	26.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
VfB Stuttgart under 2.5 corners	18.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart over 0.5 goals	96.5%	97.5%	74.4%	1.31×	1.03
VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 goals	84.9%	81.5%	42.8%	1.90×	1.23
VfB Stuttgart over 2.5 goals	65.2%	68.0%	20.8%	3.27×	1.47
VfB Stuttgart under 3.5 goals	56.9%	59.4%	92.7%	0.64×	1.68
VfB Stuttgart over 3.5 goals	43.1%	40.6%	7.3%	5.53×	2.46
VfB Stuttgart under 2.5 goals	34.8%	32.0%	79.2%	0.40×	3.12
VfB Stuttgart under 1.5 goals	15.1%	18.5%	57.2%	0.32×	5.40
VfB Stuttgart under 0.5 goals	3.5%	2.5%	25.6%	0.10×	39.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart over 0.5 in 1st half	70.9%	68.5%	45.6%	1.50×	1.46
VfB Stuttgart under 1.5 in 1st half	65.0%	63.7%	85.8%	0.74×	1.57
VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 in 1st half	35.0%	36.3%	14.2%	2.55×	2.76
VfB Stuttgart under 0.5 in 1st half	29.1%	31.5%	54.4%	0.58×	3.18

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart scores more in 2nd half	57.7%	52.9%	36.4%	1.45×	1.89
VfB Stuttgart scores more in 1st half	21.6%	22.0%	24.1%	0.91×	4.56
VfB Stuttgart scores equally in both	20.7%	21.9%	39.6%	0.55×	4.56

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 (away no bet)	55.6%	57.3%	63.0%	0.91×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	44.4%	42.7%	37.0%	1.15×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart even goals	50.1%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
VfB Stuttgart odd goals	49.9%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves over 1.5 goals	50.8%	53.7%	24.7%	2.17×	1.86
Not both halves over 1.5	49.2%	46.3%	75.3%	0.62×	2.16

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	93.1%	92.3%	72.3%	1.28×	1.08
Both halves under 1.5 goals	6.9%	7.7%	27.7%	0.28×	12.97

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	87.0%	89.1%	66.4%	1.34×	1.12
VfB Stuttgart to score 2+ in a row	74.3%	72.3%	34.3%	2.11×	1.38
Either team to score 3+ in a row	52.3%	51.0%	29.2%	1.74×	1.96
VfB Stuttgart to score 3+ in a row	44.2%	38.9%	12.3%	3.16×	2.57
Schalke 04 to score 2+ in a row	35.7%	36.5%	42.6%	0.86×	2.74
Schalke 04 to score 3+ in a row	10.7%	12.0%	17.8%	0.67×	8.34

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart corners (+3.5)	83.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Schalke 04 corners (+3.5)	82.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
VfB Stuttgart corners (+2.5)	75.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Schalke 04 corners (+2.5)	74.6%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
VfB Stuttgart corners (+1.5)	66.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Schalke 04 corners (+1.5)	65.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
VfB Stuttgart corners (-1.5)	34.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Schalke 04 corners (-1.5)	33.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
VfB Stuttgart corners (-2.5)	25.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Schalke 04 corners (-2.5)	24.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
VfB Stuttgart corners (-3.5)	17.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Schalke 04 corners (-3.5)	16.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	31.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	61.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	31.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	28.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	27.6%	20.5%	5.8%	3.51×	4.88
1-2	5.7%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.51
1-3	6.4%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.51
1-4	5.4%	7.4%	1.6%	4.50×	13.51
2-2	5.3%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.51
2-3	5.9%	7.4%	2.7%	2.75×	13.51
2-4	5.0%	7.4%	1.0%	7.07×	13.51
0-0	0.5%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.32
0-1	1.8%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.31
0-2	3.1%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
0-3	3.5%	1.7%	2.8%	0.60×	58.30
0-4	2.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.30
1-0	1.0%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.31
1-1	3.4%	1.7%	9.4%	0.18×	58.30
2-0	0.9%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.31
2-1	3.1%	1.7%	7.2%	0.24×	58.30
3-0	0.6%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.32
3-1	1.9%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.31
3-2	3.3%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.30
3-3	3.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.60×	58.30
3-4	3.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.30
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.32
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	58.31
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.64×	58.31
4-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.64×	58.31
4-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.4%	3.82×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (2nd half DNB)	79.4%	79.9%	43.7%	1.83×	1.25
Schalke 04 (2nd half DNB)	20.6%	20.1%	56.3%	0.36×	4.97

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart leading at HT (DNB)	63.1%	65.7%	44.4%	1.48×	1.52
Schalke 04 leading at HT (DNB)	36.9%	34.3%	55.6%	0.62×	2.92

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 or VfB Stuttgart (12)	85.2%	86.5%	75.3%	1.15×	1.16
VfB Stuttgart or draw (X2)	81.6%	80.6%	57.9%	1.39×	1.24
Schalke 04 or draw (1X)	33.2%	35.2%	66.6%	0.53×	2.84

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart or draw at HT	73.9%	75.2%	63.3%	1.19×	1.33
Schalke 04 or VfB Stuttgart at HT	70.8%	75.0%	66.0%	1.14×	1.33
Schalke 04 or draw at HT	55.3%	57.1%	70.6%	0.81×	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart or draw (1UP)	82.6%	88.6%	64.6%	1.37×	1.13
Schalke 04 or draw (1UP)	45.6%	53.1%	73.8%	0.72×	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart or draw in 2nd half	83.6%	82.0%	62.5%	1.31×	1.22
Schalke 04 or VfB Stuttgart in 2nd half	80.0%	75.9%	66.4%	1.14×	1.32
Schalke 04 or draw in 2nd half	36.5%	39.8%	70.9%	0.56×	2.51

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	56.6%	58.4%	46.0%	1.27×	1.71
A half drawn	43.4%	41.6%	54.0%	0.77×	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (DNB)	78.4%	74.8%	44.2%	1.69×	1.34
Schalke 04 (DNB)	21.6%	25.2%	55.8%	0.45×	3.96

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to score first	64.2%	64.7%	43.2%	1.50×	1.55
Schalke 04 to score first	35.3%	32.7%	51.1%	0.64×	3.06
No goal scored	0.5%	4.2%	5.8%	0.72×	23.86

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	81.4%	67.7%	59.4%	1.14×	1.48
Not both teams to score	18.6%	32.3%	40.6%	0.80×	3.09

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	78.0%	66.9%	50.2%	1.33×	1.50
Not both score & over 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	12.7%	0.97×	8.10
Not both score & under 2.5	7.4%	8.3%	28.0%	0.30×	12.07
Both score & under 2.5	3.4%	4.7%	9.4%	0.49×	21.44

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	53.1%	53.7%	79.3%	0.68×	1.86
Both teams to score 2+	46.9%	46.3%	20.7%	2.24×	2.16

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score in 2nd half	55.1%	64.5%	34.9%	1.85×	1.55
Not both to score in 2nd half	44.9%	35.5%	65.1%	0.55×	2.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	26.4%	27.4%	51.3%	0.53×	3.65
Both score 2nd half only	32.3%	27.2%	28.3%	0.96×	3.67
Both score in both halves	22.7%	21.1%	6.7%	3.13×	4.74
Both score 1st half only	18.5%	15.1%	13.9%	1.08×	6.63

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	58.7%	59.7%	79.5%	0.75×	1.67
Both teams to score by HT	41.3%	40.3%	20.5%	1.96×	2.48

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	83.9%	82.4%	67.5%	1.22×	1.21
A half without a goal	16.1%	17.6%	32.5%	0.54×	5.69

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	49.7%	47.2%	39.7%	1.19×	2.12
7+ goals	26.6%	26.6%	4.3%	6.13×	3.76
2-3 goals	20.3%	22.9%	38.3%	0.60×	4.37
0-1 goals	3.4%	1.8%	18.0%	0.10×	54.16

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to score 3+	65.2%	59.2%	20.8%	2.84×	1.69
VfB Stuttgart to score exactly 2	19.7%	19.6%	22.2%	0.88×	5.11
VfB Stuttgart to score exactly 1	11.7%	12.9%	31.7%	0.41×	7.77
VfB Stuttgart to score exactly 0	3.5%	4.6%	25.6%	0.18×	21.83

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 to score exactly 1	29.1%	26.6%	28.7%	0.92×	3.77
Schalke 04 to score 3+	28.3%	26.6%	27.5%	0.96×	3.77
Schalke 04 to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	23.2%	1.14×	3.77
Schalke 04 to score exactly 0	15.7%	18.8%	20.8%	0.90×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart leading at HT	44.7%	42.9%	29.4%	1.46×	2.33
Draw at HT	29.2%	25.0%	34.0%	0.73×	4.01
Schalke 04 leading at HT	26.1%	24.8%	36.7%	0.68×	4.03

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart -1: 2	49.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
VfB Stuttgart -1: 1	33.2%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
VfB Stuttgart -1: X	17.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (0:1)	81.6%	77.9%	57.9%	1.34×	1.28
Draw (0:1)	9.8%	9.3%	17.7%	0.53×	10.76
Schalke 04 (0:1)	8.7%	9.3%	24.6%	0.38×	10.79

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (0:2)	91.3%	90.7%	75.4%	1.20×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	5.2%	7.7%	12.7%	0.60×	13.06
Schalke 04 (0:2)	3.5%	3.8%	12.0%	0.31×	26.66

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (0:3)	96.5%	96.6%	88.0%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.3%	2.4%	4.9%	0.48×	42.09
Schalke 04 (0:3)	1.2%	2.4%	7.2%	0.33×	42.14

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (0:4)	98.8%	98.1%	92.8%	1.06×	1.02
Schalke 04 (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	82.07
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	4.9%	0.25×	82.01

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (1:0)	49.0%	49.2%	16.9%	2.91×	2.03
Schalke 04 (1:0)	33.2%	30.1%	66.6%	0.45×	3.32
Draw (1:0)	17.8%	17.1%	16.6%	1.03×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 (2:0)	51.0%	54.9%	83.1%	0.66×	1.82
VfB Stuttgart (2:0)	31.8%	32.0%	7.2%	4.46×	3.12
Draw (2:0)	17.2%	15.8%	9.9%	1.60×	6.32

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	58.2%	59.8%	47.4%	1.26×	1.67
1st half highest scoring	25.2%	26.2%	25.9%	1.01×	3.82
Halves equal	16.5%	19.0%	26.8%	0.71×	5.26

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 to concede	96.5%	95.8%	74.4%	1.29×	1.04
Schalke 04 clean sheet	3.5%	4.2%	25.6%	0.16×	23.90

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 to concede in 1st half	70.9%	67.3%	45.6%	1.48×	1.49
Schalke 04 clean sheet in 1st half	29.1%	32.7%	54.4%	0.60×	3.06

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 to concede in 2nd half	88.1%	88.4%	56.5%	1.56×	1.13
Schalke 04 clean sheet in 2nd half	11.9%	11.6%	43.5%	0.27×	8.60

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 over 2.5 corners	81.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Schalke 04 under 6.5 corners	74.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Schalke 04 over 3.5 corners	66.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Schalke 04 under 5.5 corners	63.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Schalke 04 over 4.5 corners	51.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Schalke 04 under 4.5 corners	48.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Schalke 04 over 5.5 corners	36.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Schalke 04 under 3.5 corners	33.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Schalke 04 over 6.5 corners	25.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Schalke 04 under 2.5 corners	18.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 under 3.5 goals	88.3%	87.3%	88.3%	0.99×	1.15
Schalke 04 over 0.5 goals	84.3%	82.2%	79.2%	1.04×	1.22
Schalke 04 under 2.5 goals	71.7%	74.2%	72.5%	1.02×	1.35
Schalke 04 over 1.5 goals	55.3%	58.6%	50.6%	1.16×	1.71
Schalke 04 under 1.5 goals	44.7%	41.4%	49.4%	0.84×	2.41
Schalke 04 over 2.5 goals	28.3%	25.8%	27.5%	0.94×	3.88
Schalke 04 under 0.5 goals	15.7%	17.8%	20.8%	0.85×	5.62
Schalke 04 over 3.5 goals	11.7%	12.7%	11.7%	1.09×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 under 1.5 in 1st half	78.3%	77.5%	80.5%	0.96×	1.29
Schalke 04 over 0.5 in 1st half	58.2%	56.8%	51.9%	1.09×	1.76
Schalke 04 under 0.5 in 1st half	41.8%	43.2%	48.1%	0.90×	2.31
Schalke 04 over 1.5 in 1st half	21.7%	22.5%	19.5%	1.16×	4.44

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 scores more in 2nd half	36.8%	37.9%	38.2%	0.99×	2.64
Schalke 04 scores equally in both	32.2%	32.9%	36.7%	0.90×	3.04
Schalke 04 scores more in 1st half	30.9%	32.9%	25.2%	1.31×	3.04

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (home no bet)	81.9%	86.3%	57.5%	1.50×	1.16
Draw (home no bet)	18.1%	13.7%	42.5%	0.32×	7.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 even goals	51.2%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Schalke 04 odd goals	48.8%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other HT score	17.9%	18.6%	6.9%	2.70×	5.38
HT 0-1	15.0%	18.5%	16.6%	1.11×	5.40
HT 1-1	13.1%	11.0%	9.7%	1.13×	9.07
HT 0-0	12.2%	11.0%	23.1%	0.48×	9.08
HT 1-0	10.6%	11.0%	19.2%	0.57×	9.09
HT 0-2	9.3%	6.9%	7.2%	0.96×	14.46
HT 1-2	8.1%	6.9%	3.4%	2.00×	14.47
HT 2-1	5.7%	6.9%	4.2%	1.64×	14.51
HT 2-0	4.6%	2.4%	9.4%	0.25×	41.98
HT 2-2	3.5%	2.4%	1.3%	1.76×	42.05

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart at HT / VfB Stuttgart at FT	39.8%	42.0%	20.4%	2.06×	2.38
Draw at HT / VfB Stuttgart at FT	18.6%	16.7%	9.7%	1.72×	5.98
Schalke 04 at HT / Schalke 04 at FT	12.1%	12.6%	28.2%	0.45×	7.91
Schalke 04 at HT / VfB Stuttgart at FT	8.4%	6.0%	3.6%	1.68×	16.59
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	5.9%	6.0%	13.6%	0.44×	16.66
Schalke 04 at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	5.2%	1.14×	16.67
Draw at HT / Schalke 04 at FT	4.8%	3.5%	10.9%	0.32×	28.59
VfB Stuttgart at HT / Draw at FT	3.3%	3.5%	6.0%	0.58×	28.64
VfB Stuttgart at HT / Schalke 04 at FT	1.6%	3.5%	3.3%	1.06×	28.71

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to score last	64.1%	62.4%	44.4%	1.41×	1.60
Schalke 04 to score last	35.4%	38.5%	49.9%	0.77×	2.60
No goal scored	0.5%	4.2%	5.8%	0.72×	23.86

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	99.5%	95.7%	94.2%	1.02×	1.04
VfB Stuttgart to lead by 1 at any time	82.6%	87.6%	52.2%	1.68×	1.14
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	77.0%	78.3%	55.6%	1.41×	1.28
VfB Stuttgart to lead by 2 at any time	60.5%	61.3%	23.4%	2.62×	1.63
Schalke 04 to lead by 1 at any time	45.6%	44.5%	60.1%	0.74×	2.25
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	45.5%	44.5%	25.5%	1.75×	2.25
VfB Stuttgart to lead by 3 at any time	38.9%	34.7%	9.9%	3.51×	2.88
Schalke 04 to lead by 2 at any time	18.4%	15.0%	33.0%	0.45×	6.68
Schalke 04 to lead by 3 at any time	6.6%	6.7%	15.7%	0.43×	14.95

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart most corners	45.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Schalke 04 most corners	43.7%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	70.0%	72.4%	77.8%	0.93×	1.38
3-6 goals	62.6%	63.3%	58.5%	1.08×	1.58
1-5 goals	57.5%	59.1%	82.9%	0.71×	1.69
2-5 goals	54.7%	53.2%	70.8%	0.75×	1.88
4-6 goals	49.7%	48.5%	39.7%	1.22×	2.06
3-5 goals	47.3%	48.5%	51.5%	0.94×	2.06
1-4 goals	40.0%	39.2%	72.0%	0.54×	2.55
2-4 goals	37.1%	39.2%	59.9%	0.65×	2.55
4-5 goals	34.4%	35.2%	32.6%	1.08×	2.84
5-6 goals	32.9%	35.2%	18.1%	1.94×	2.84
3-4 goals	29.7%	30.2%	40.6%	0.75×	3.31
7+ goals	26.6%	30.2%	4.3%	6.96×	3.31
1-3 goals	23.1%	24.5%	50.4%	0.49×	4.08
2-3 goals	20.3%	24.5%	38.3%	0.64×	4.09
1-2 goals	10.2%	14.8%	31.6%	0.47×	6.76

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart never behind	53.8%	62.6%	39.9%	1.57×	1.60
Schalke 04 never behind	16.9%	18.3%	47.8%	0.38×	5.46

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	45.7%	1.12×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	54.3%	0.90×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	50.7%	51.6%	52.5%	0.98×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	49.3%	48.4%	47.5%	1.02×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.1%	51.9%	53.1%	0.98×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.9%	48.1%	46.9%	1.03×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	99.5%	95.4%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	96.6%	95.4%	82.0%	1.16×	1.05
Over 2.5 goals	89.2%	87.6%	62.7%	1.40×	1.14
Over 3.5 goals	76.3%	77.3%	43.9%	1.76×	1.29
Over 4.5 goals	59.5%	58.6%	22.3%	2.63×	1.71
Under 5.5 goals	58.1%	58.6%	88.6%	0.66×	1.71
Over 5.5 goals	41.9%	41.4%	11.4%	3.64×	2.42
Under 4.5 goals	40.5%	41.4%	77.7%	0.53×	2.42
Under 3.5 goals	23.7%	22.7%	56.1%	0.40×	4.41
Under 2.5 goals	10.8%	12.4%	37.3%	0.33×	8.07
Under 1.5 goals	3.4%	4.6%	18.0%	0.25×	21.86
Under 0.5 goals	0.5%	4.6%	5.8%	0.78×	21.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	96.4%	97.2%	77.7%	1.25×	1.03
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	87.6%	86.7%	54.1%	1.60×	1.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	71.5%	72.4%	28.4%	2.55×	1.38
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	68.6%	67.5%	95.3%	0.71×	1.48
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	50.9%	51.9%	12.8%	4.06×	1.93
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	49.1%	48.1%	87.2%	0.55×	2.08
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	31.4%	32.5%	4.7%	6.97×	3.07
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	28.5%	27.6%	71.6%	0.39×	3.62
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	12.4%	13.3%	45.9%	0.29×	7.53
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	3.6%	2.8%	22.3%	0.13×	35.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	87.8%	89.2%	76.9%	1.16×	1.12
Under 2.5 in 1st half	64.8%	63.3%	84.6%	0.75×	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	62.2%	63.2%	41.4%	1.53×	1.58
Under 1.5 in 1st half	37.8%	36.8%	58.6%	0.63×	2.72
Over 2.5 in 1st half	35.2%	36.7%	15.4%	2.38×	2.73
Under 0.5 in 1st half	12.2%	10.8%	23.1%	0.47×	9.25

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	95.5%	95.6%	84.7%	1.13×	1.05
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	81.6%	83.2%	55.6%	1.50×	1.20
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	59.9%	55.0%	27.0%	2.04×	1.82
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	40.1%	45.0%	73.0%	0.62×	2.22
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	18.4%	16.8%	44.4%	0.38×	5.94
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	4.5%	4.4%	15.3%	0.29×	22.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 not to score in both halves	63.6%	63.7%	64.2%	0.99×	1.57
VfB Stuttgart to score in both halves	62.5%	63.6%	27.7%	2.29×	1.57
VfB Stuttgart not to score in both halves	37.5%	36.4%	72.3%	0.50×	2.75
Schalke 04 to score in both halves	36.4%	36.3%	35.8%	1.01×	2.76

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	81.4%	75.6%	59.4%	1.27×	1.32
Only VfB Stuttgart scores	15.1%	16.0%	15.1%	1.06×	6.25
Only Schalke 04 scores	2.9%	4.6%	19.9%	0.23×	21.72
Neither team scores	0.5%	4.6%	5.8%	0.78×	21.82

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	41.9%	39.1%	11.4%	3.44×	2.56
Exactly 5 goals	17.6%	17.5%	11.1%	1.58×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	16.8%	17.5%	21.7%	0.80×	5.73
Exactly 3 goals	12.9%	12.1%	19.0%	0.64×	8.24
Exactly 2 goals	7.4%	7.6%	19.5%	0.39×	13.13
Exactly 1 goals	2.8%	4.5%	12.3%	0.36×	22.40
Exactly 0 goals	0.5%	4.5%	5.8%	0.76×	22.43

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
3+ goals in 1st half	35.2%	37.4%	15.4%	2.42×	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	27.0%	28.2%	26.1%	1.08×	3.54
1 goal in 1st half	25.6%	28.2%	35.7%	0.79×	3.55
No goals in 1st half	12.2%	10.7%	23.1%	0.46×	9.33

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	81.6%	81.6%	55.6%	1.47×	1.23
1 goal in 2nd half	13.9%	14.4%	29.2%	0.49×	6.96
No goals in 2nd half	4.5%	4.4%	15.3%	0.29×	22.95

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 not to win both halves	95.7%	97.1%	84.0%	1.16×	1.03
VfB Stuttgart not to win both halves	71.6%	72.5%	90.9%	0.80×	1.38
VfB Stuttgart to win both halves	28.4%	27.5%	9.1%	3.00×	3.64
Schalke 04 to win both halves	4.3%	2.9%	16.0%	0.18×	35.02

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to win either half	79.8%	80.1%	49.3%	1.62×	1.25
Schalke 04 to win neither half	61.7%	65.1%	41.8%	1.56×	1.54
Schalke 04 to win either half	38.3%	34.9%	58.2%	0.60×	2.86
VfB Stuttgart to win neither half	20.2%	19.9%	50.7%	0.39×	5.02

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 not to win to nil	97.1%	96.2%	80.1%	1.20×	1.04
VfB Stuttgart not to win to nil	84.9%	83.1%	84.9%	0.98×	1.20
VfB Stuttgart to win to nil	15.1%	16.9%	15.1%	1.12×	5.93
Schalke 04 to win to nil	2.9%	3.8%	19.9%	0.19×	26.02

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart by 3+	31.8%	27.7%	7.2%	3.85×	3.62
VfB Stuttgart by 1	17.8%	17.1%	16.6%	1.03×	5.87
VfB Stuttgart by 2	17.2%	17.0%	9.9%	1.73×	5.87
Draw	14.8%	11.8%	24.7%	0.48×	8.50
Schalke 04 by 1	9.8%	7.2%	17.7%	0.41×	13.90
Schalke 04 by 2	5.2%	7.2%	12.7%	0.56×	13.92
Schalke 04 by 3+	3.5%	2.7%	12.0%	0.23×	36.80