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Sevilla v Getafe — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 September 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–0
1.65 – 0.97 xG
Shots
10 – 15
On target
4 – 4
Shots in box
8 – 6
xG per shot
0.16 – 0.06
Set-piece xG
0.01 – 0.20
Goals − xG
-0.65 – -0.97
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.50.91.41.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Jesús Navas 22' — goal
Sevilla 1.65 xGGetafe 0.97 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Adrià Pedrosa 9' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Isaac Romero 10' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Djené Dakonam 13' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Carles Pérez 17' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Christantus Uche 17' — Shot On Post (0.34 xG, Open Play)Bertug Yildirim 21' — Missed Shot (0.28 xG, Open Play)Jesús Navas 22' — Goal (0.03 xG, Open Play)Carles Pérez 25' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Isaac Romero 26' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Carles Pérez 31' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Diego Rico 35' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Isaac Romero 45' — Missed Shot (0.21 xG, Open Play)Luis Milla 48' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Diego Rico 51' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Jesús Navas 51' — Saved Shot (0.57 xG, Open Play)José Ángel Carmona 54' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Juan Iglesias 76' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Isaac Romero 77' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Alberto Risco 88' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Alberto Risco 88' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Dodi Lukebakio 96' — Shot On Post (0.50 xG, Open Play)Gonzalo Montiel 96' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Alberto Risco 97' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Bertug Yildirim 102' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Carles Aleñá 103' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)
Sevilla attacking right Getafe attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
9' Sevilla Adrià Pedrosa 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Peque
10' Sevilla Isaac Romero 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ørjan Nyland
13' Getafe Djené Dakonam 0.07 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Luis Milla
17' Getafe Carles Pérez 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
17' Getafe Christantus Uche 0.34 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Bertug Yildirim
21' Getafe Bertug Yildirim 0.28 Open Play Missed Shot Carles Pérez
22' Sevilla Jesús Navas 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Goal Adrià Pedrosa
25' Getafe Carles Pérez 0.04 Direct Freekick Left Foot Blocked Shot
26' Sevilla Isaac Romero 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
31' Getafe Carles Pérez 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Diego Rico
35' Getafe Diego Rico 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Luis Milla
45' Sevilla Isaac Romero 0.21 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Ørjan Nyland
48' Getafe Luis Milla 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Carles Pérez
51' Getafe Diego Rico 0.01 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot
51' Sevilla Jesús Navas 0.57 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
54' Sevilla José Ángel Carmona 0.01 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
76' Getafe Juan Iglesias 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
77' Sevilla Isaac Romero 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Dodi Lukebakio
88' Getafe Alberto Risco 0.02 Set Piece Left Foot Blocked Shot
88' Getafe Alberto Risco 0.04 Set Piece Right Foot Saved Shot
96' Sevilla Dodi Lukebakio 0.50 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post José Ángel Carmona
96' Sevilla Gonzalo Montiel 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Lucien Agoume
97' Getafe Alberto Risco 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
102' Getafe Bertug Yildirim 0.03 Open Play Saved Shot Juan Iglesias
103' Getafe Carles Aleñá 0.02 Open Play Missed Shot Alberto Risco

Players

Getafe

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Bertug Yildirim FW 90 0 0 2 1 0.30 0.34 0.65
Djené Dakonam DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.05
Luis Milla MC 90 0 0 1 2 0.03 0.08 0.11
Juan Iglesias DR 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.03 0.35
Juan Berrocal DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
David Soria GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Christantus Uche FW 88 0 0 1 0 0.34 0.00 0.39
Diego Rico DL 88 0 0 2 1 0.03 0.02 0.07
Alex Sola ML 76 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Carles Pérez MR 75 0 0 3 2 0.08 0.31 0.36
Mauro Arambarri MC 75 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Carles Aleñá Sub 15 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Gorka Rivera Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Peter Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alberto Risco Sub 2 0 0 3 1 0.08 0.02 0.02
Jesús Santiago Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
John Finn Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Sevilla

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Isaac Romero FW 90 0 0 4 0 0.38 0.00 0.38
Adrià Pedrosa DML 90 0 1 1 1 0.09 0.03 0.21
José Ángel Carmona DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.50 0.18
Ørjan Nyland GK 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.23 0.80
Djibril Sow MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Nianzou Kouassi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Nemanja Gudelj MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.18
Marcão DC 84 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Peque FWR 80 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.09 0.09
Jesús Navas DMR 72 1 0 2 0 0.60 0.00 0.69
Chidera Ejuke FWL 71 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Dodi Lukebakio Sub 19 0 0 1 1 0.50 0.09 0.59
Juanlu Sanchez Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Lucien Agoume Sub 10 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.16
Kike Salas Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gonzalo Montiel Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.07
Valentín Barco Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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