Sevilla v Racing Santander — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 December 2026 · ESP-La Liga · 2627

La Liga xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Sevilla

16:00 UTC

Racing Santander

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 1,349h before kick-off

Sevilla win

47.1%

model 47.6%

Draw

26.5%

model 25.3%

Racing Santander win

26.5%

model 27.1%

472626

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.0%
1-0 10.9%
2-1 9.3%
2-0 8.4%
0-1 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.7%	Under 2.5	50.3%
BTTS yes	52.8%	BTTS no	47.2%
Sevilla 1+	78.9%	Sevilla 2+	46.0%
Racing Santander 1+	66.9%	Racing Santander 2+	30.4%

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.11. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

89/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Racing Santander leading at HT (DNB)

DNB half time · usually 39%

76.6% fair odds 1.31

strong signal · 205 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Racing Santander not to score in both halves

Score both halves · usually 81%

81.8% fair odds 1.22

moderate signal · 1012 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Sevilla have created 1.27 xG a match over their last five while Racing Santander have allowed 2.14.
At home Sevilla average 1.18 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Sevilla have an estimated 47.1% win probability, against 26.5% for Racing Santander and 26.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.55 for Sevilla and 1.11 for Racing Santander.

Why Sevilla

Sevilla have created 1.27 xG a match over their last five while Racing Santander have allowed 2.14. At home Sevilla average 1.18 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Racing Santander can win

Racing Santander carry the stronger rating, 1548 Elo against 1516. Racing Santander have created 1.43 xG a match over their last five while Sevilla have allowed 1.63. Away from home Racing Santander average 0.82 xG a match.

Key players

Sevilla's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Akor Adams (0.31), Neal Maupay (0.28), Lucas Stassin (0.23). Racing Santander's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Yassir Zabiri (0.33), Andrés Martín (0.29), Iñigo Vicente (0.26).

Availability

36% of Sevilla's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sevilla: 40% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.27 xG a match from set pieces. Racing Santander: 51% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.53 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Sevilla are the model's most likely outcome at 47.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.0%. Confidence 89/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Sevilla have scored 14 from 12.7 expected and conceded 17 from 16.3 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

LWWLDWWLDL last 10 scored 14 from 12.7 xG conceded 17 from 16.3 xG

Racing Santander are conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 4.6 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

DLWLWLLDLW last 10 scored 15 from 14.3 xG conceded 26 from 21.4 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	482527	1.56–1.11	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	542323	1.77–1.07	1-1 11%	54%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to win	43.3%	42.9%	28.4%	1.51×	2.33
Sevilla to win	29.3%	27.9%	46.4%	0.60×	3.58
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	25.4%	1.10×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander & not both score	25.8%	25.2%	14.4%	1.75×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	18.2%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.56
Racing Santander & both teams score	17.5%	18.0%	14.1%	1.27×	5.57
Sevilla & not both score	17.0%	18.0%	24.8%	0.73×	5.57
Sevilla & both teams score	12.3%	13.3%	21.7%	0.61×	7.54
Draw & not both score	9.1%	8.3%	5.3%	1.58×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander & under 3.5	32.8%	30.8%	21.4%	1.44×	3.25
Racing Santander & over 1.5	31.1%	30.7%	21.5%	1.43×	3.25
Sevilla & under 3.5	23.2%	21.6%	32.4%	0.67×	4.63
Racing Santander & over 2.5	22.9%	21.6%	17.2%	1.26×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	22.0%	21.6%	20.3%	1.06×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.0%	21.6%	20.3%	1.06×	4.63
Racing Santander & under 2.5	20.5%	21.6%	11.3%	1.91×	4.63
Sevilla & over 1.5	19.7%	18.0%	33.9%	0.53×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.2%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.56
Sevilla & over 2.5	14.7%	12.8%	28.0%	0.46×	7.79
Sevilla & under 2.5	14.7%	12.8%	18.5%	0.70×	7.79
Racing Santander & under 1.5	12.3%	12.8%	7.0%	1.83×	7.79
Racing Santander & over 3.5	10.5%	12.8%	7.1%	1.80×	7.79
Sevilla & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	12.6%	0.63×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	9.1%	7.9%	5.3%	1.51×	12.63
Sevilla & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.3%	7.9%	5.1%	1.54×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	5.1%	1.54×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (1UP)	57.5%	58.1%	47.2%	1.23×	1.72
Sevilla (1UP)	45.1%	43.8%	62.8%	0.70×	2.29

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (2UP)	43.3%	47.2%	30.0%	1.57×	2.12
Sevilla (2UP)	29.3%	25.4%	48.1%	0.53×	3.94

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.9%	41.7%	32.9%	1.27×	2.40
Sevilla to win 2nd half	36.3%	36.2%	39.6%	0.91×	2.76
Racing Santander to win 2nd half	22.8%	24.2%	27.6%	0.87×	4.14

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.7%	92.0%	84.2%	1.09×	1.09
Racing Santander under 0.5 in 2nd half	60.1%	60.1%	47.8%	1.26×	1.66
Racing Santander over 0.5 in 2nd half	39.9%	39.9%	52.2%	0.76×	2.51
Racing Santander over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.3%	8.0%	15.8%	0.51×	12.52

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.6%	82.7%	79.6%	1.04×	1.21
Sevilla over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.5%	55.1%	59.1%	0.93×	1.81
Sevilla under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.5%	44.9%	40.9%	1.10×	2.23
Sevilla over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.4%	17.3%	20.4%	0.85×	5.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (+2.5)	96.7%	96.3%	89.8%	1.07×	1.04
Racing Santander (+1.5)	88.9%	88.5%	79.3%	1.12×	1.13
Racing Santander (+0.5)	70.7%	73.6%	53.6%	1.37×	1.36
Sevilla (+0.5)	56.7%	57.0%	71.6%	0.80×	1.75
Racing Santander (-0.5)	43.3%	43.0%	28.4%	1.51×	2.33
Sevilla (-0.5)	29.3%	26.4%	46.4%	0.57×	3.79
Sevilla (-1.5)	11.1%	11.5%	20.7%	0.56×	8.68
Sevilla (-2.5)	3.3%	3.7%	10.2%	0.36×	27.11

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to concede	65.1%	72.3%	80.5%	0.90×	1.38
Racing Santander clean sheet	34.9%	27.7%	19.5%	1.42×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander clean sheet in 1st half	72.0%	76.7%	52.3%	1.47×	1.30
Racing Santander to concede in 1st half	28.0%	23.3%	47.7%	0.49×	4.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to concede in 2nd half	51.5%	54.7%	59.1%	0.93×	1.83
Racing Santander clean sheet in 2nd half	48.5%	45.3%	40.9%	1.11×	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander under 6.5 corners	85.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Racing Santander under 5.5 corners	76.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Racing Santander over 2.5 corners	71.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Racing Santander under 4.5 corners	63.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Racing Santander over 3.5 corners	53.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Racing Santander under 3.5 corners	46.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Racing Santander over 4.5 corners	36.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Racing Santander under 2.5 corners	28.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Racing Santander over 5.5 corners	23.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Racing Santander over 6.5 corners	14.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander under 3.5 goals	95.3%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Racing Santander under 2.5 goals	84.8%	81.5%	89.4%	0.91×	1.23
Racing Santander over 0.5 goals	73.8%	71.9%	70.1%	1.03×	1.39
Racing Santander under 1.5 goals	61.2%	63.2%	67.9%	0.93×	1.58
Racing Santander over 1.5 goals	38.8%	36.8%	32.1%	1.15×	2.72
Racing Santander under 0.5 goals	26.2%	28.1%	29.9%	0.94×	3.55
Racing Santander over 2.5 goals	15.2%	18.5%	10.6%	1.74×	5.41
Racing Santander over 3.5 goals	4.7%	2.5%	2.9%	0.86×	39.82

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander under 1.5 in 1st half	79.7%	76.6%	92.7%	0.83×	1.31
Racing Santander over 0.5 in 1st half	56.5%	62.0%	36.8%	1.69×	1.61
Racing Santander under 0.5 in 1st half	43.5%	38.0%	63.2%	0.60×	2.63
Racing Santander over 1.5 in 1st half	20.3%	23.4%	7.3%	3.22×	4.28

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander scores more in 1st half	40.5%	43.4%	20.8%	2.08×	2.30
Racing Santander scores equally in both	38.5%	37.5%	41.6%	0.90×	2.67
Racing Santander scores more in 2nd half	21.0%	21.8%	37.7%	0.58×	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla (away no bet)	51.8%	51.7%	64.7%	0.80×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	48.3%	48.3%	35.3%	1.37×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander even goals	53.4%	52.6%	53.2%	0.99×	1.90
Racing Santander odd goals	46.6%	47.4%	46.8%	1.01×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.7%	88.0%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.3%	12.0%	14.2%	0.85×	8.30

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.9%	60.1%	62.5%	0.96×	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	44.1%	39.9%	37.5%	1.06×	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.0%	46.2%	52.6%	0.88×	2.16
Racing Santander to score 2+ in a row	31.9%	29.0%	23.9%	1.22×	3.44
Sevilla to score 2+ in a row	21.5%	19.6%	34.5%	0.57×	5.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.6%	16.2%	19.2%	0.84×	6.18
Racing Santander to score 3+ in a row	10.3%	12.0%	6.6%	1.83×	8.35
Sevilla to score 3+ in a row	5.4%	5.5%	13.1%	0.42×	18.24

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla corners (+3.5)	92.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Sevilla corners (+2.5)	87.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Sevilla corners (+1.5)	81.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Racing Santander corners (+3.5)	68.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Racing Santander corners (+2.5)	58.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Sevilla corners (-1.5)	52.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Racing Santander corners (+1.5)	47.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Sevilla corners (-2.5)	41.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Sevilla corners (-3.5)	31.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Racing Santander corners (-1.5)	18.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Racing Santander corners (-2.5)	12.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Racing Santander corners (-3.5)	7.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	30.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	70.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	69.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 10.5 corners	60.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	60.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	50.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	49.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 8.5 corners	39.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	39.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	30.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	29.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	22.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.9%	11.5%	15.2%	0.76×	8.71
0-1	12.3%	11.5%	7.0%	1.64×	8.72
0-0	9.1%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
1-0	9.6%	7.4%	12.6%	0.59×	13.51
1-2	8.6%	7.4%	8.2%	0.91×	13.51
0-2	8.2%	7.4%	4.4%	1.67×	13.51
2-1	6.8%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
2-0	5.1%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.51
0-3	3.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	58.30
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.10×	58.31
1-3	3.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	58.30
1-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.67×	58.31
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.29
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.94×	58.32
3-0	1.8%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.31
3-1	2.4%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
3-2	1.6%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.63×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.89×	58.32
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.32
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	58.32
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.3%	1.33×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.45×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	14.68×	58.32
Any other score	1.6%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla (2nd half DNB)	61.4%	62.6%	58.9%	1.06×	1.60
Racing Santander (2nd half DNB)	38.6%	37.4%	41.1%	0.91×	2.68

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander leading at HT (DNB)	76.8%	74.7%	38.5%	1.94×	1.34
Sevilla leading at HT (DNB)	23.2%	25.3%	61.5%	0.41×	3.95

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla or Racing Santander (12)	72.7%	72.1%	74.7%	0.97×	1.39
Racing Santander or draw (X2)	70.7%	72.1%	53.6%	1.34×	1.39
Sevilla or draw (1X)	56.7%	57.1%	71.6%	0.80×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander or draw at HT	86.2%	88.1%	65.0%	1.36×	1.14
Sevilla or Racing Santander at HT	59.5%	57.7%	56.8%	1.02×	1.73
Sevilla or draw at HT	54.3%	47.8%	78.1%	0.61×	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander or draw (1UP)	70.7%	79.4%	60.3%	1.32×	1.26
Sevilla or draw (1UP)	56.7%	62.9%	78.0%	0.81×	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla or draw in 2nd half	77.2%	75.8%	72.4%	1.05×	1.32
Racing Santander or draw in 2nd half	63.7%	63.8%	60.4%	1.06×	1.57
Sevilla or Racing Santander in 2nd half	59.1%	58.3%	67.1%	0.87×	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.8%	61.5%	62.1%	0.99×	1.63
Neither half drawn	35.2%	38.6%	37.9%	1.02×	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (DNB)	59.6%	58.2%	38.0%	1.53×	1.72
Sevilla (DNB)	40.4%	41.9%	62.0%	0.67×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to score first	50.9%	53.3%	39.7%	1.34×	1.88
Sevilla to score first	39.9%	32.9%	55.2%	0.60×	3.04
No goal scored	9.1%	7.5%	5.3%	1.42×	13.34

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.9%	51.3%	44.2%	1.16×	1.95
Both teams to score	48.1%	48.7%	55.8%	0.87×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.3%	41.6%	34.8%	1.19×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	35.2%	38.4%	40.8%	0.94×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.4%	15.2%	0.81×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.7%	8.3%	9.5%	0.88×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.0%	85.6%	85.9%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.0%	14.4%	14.1%	1.02×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.4%	75.2%	70.7%	1.06×	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.6%	24.8%	29.3%	0.85×	4.03

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.9%	63.4%	59.7%	1.06×	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	17.3%	15.0%	23.8%	0.63×	6.65
Both score 1st half only	12.5%	10.8%	11.1%	0.97×	9.28
Both score in both halves	3.2%	4.9%	5.6%	0.87×	20.44

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.2%	83.2%	83.4%	1.00×	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	15.8%	16.8%	16.6%	1.01×	5.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.4%	52.9%	44.8%	1.18×	1.89
A goal in each half	48.6%	47.1%	55.2%	0.85×	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.0%	47.2%	49.3%	0.96×	2.12
0-1 goals	31.0%	30.7%	24.7%	1.25×	3.26
4-6 goals	20.8%	22.9%	23.7%	0.97×	4.37
7+ goals	1.1%	1.8%	2.6%	0.72×	54.42

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to score exactly 1	35.1%	35.9%	38.1%	0.94×	2.78
Racing Santander to score exactly 0	26.2%	27.4%	29.9%	0.92×	3.65
Racing Santander to score exactly 2	23.5%	22.3%	21.6%	1.03×	4.49
Racing Santander to score 3+	15.2%	19.5%	10.6%	1.84×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	38.3%	0.93×	2.81
Sevilla to score exactly 0	34.9%	32.6%	19.5%	1.67×	3.07
Sevilla to score exactly 2	19.3%	18.8%	22.7%	0.83×	5.33
Sevilla to score 3+	9.0%	10.3%	19.7%	0.52×	9.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander leading at HT	45.7%	52.2%	21.9%	2.38×	1.92
Draw at HT	40.5%	42.3%	43.2%	0.98×	2.37
Sevilla leading at HT	13.8%	11.9%	35.0%	0.34×	8.43

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander -1: 1	56.7%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Racing Santander -1: X	23.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Racing Santander -1: 2	20.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (0:1)	70.7%	71.0%	53.6%	1.32×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	18.2%	17.8%	25.8%	0.69×	5.61
Sevilla (0:1)	11.1%	13.7%	20.7%	0.66×	7.30

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (0:2)	88.9%	87.1%	79.3%	1.10×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.9%	7.7%	10.6%	0.72×	13.04
Sevilla (0:2)	3.3%	3.7%	10.2%	0.37×	26.69

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (0:3)	96.7%	96.6%	89.8%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	7.1%	0.33×	42.12
Sevilla (0:3)	0.8%	2.4%	3.2%	0.75×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (0:4)	99.2%	98.1%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	2.3%	0.52×	82.10
Sevilla (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	82.16

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla (1:0)	56.7%	58.3%	71.6%	0.81×	1.72
Draw (1:0)	23.2%	21.7%	17.5%	1.24×	4.61
Racing Santander (1:0)	20.1%	21.7%	11.0%	1.97×	4.62

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla (2:0)	79.9%	80.6%	89.0%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	12.8%	10.3%	7.0%	1.47×	9.72
Racing Santander (2:0)	7.3%	6.4%	4.1%	1.56×	15.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	38.0%	38.0%	51.3%	0.74×	2.63
1st half highest scoring	34.4%	30.1%	25.8%	1.17×	3.33
Halves equal	27.7%	26.2%	23.1%	1.14×	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla to concede	73.8%	73.1%	70.1%	1.04×	1.37
Sevilla clean sheet	26.2%	26.9%	29.9%	0.90×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla to concede in 1st half	56.5%	62.0%	36.8%	1.69×	1.61
Sevilla clean sheet in 1st half	43.5%	38.0%	63.2%	0.60×	2.63

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla clean sheet in 2nd half	60.1%	59.7%	47.8%	1.25×	1.68
Sevilla to concede in 2nd half	39.9%	40.3%	52.2%	0.77×	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla over 2.5 corners	87.6%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Sevilla over 3.5 corners	76.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Sevilla over 4.5 corners	63.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Sevilla under 6.5 corners	63.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Sevilla under 5.5 corners	50.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Sevilla over 5.5 corners	49.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Sevilla under 4.5 corners	36.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Sevilla over 6.5 corners	36.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Sevilla under 3.5 corners	23.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Sevilla under 2.5 corners	12.4%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla under 3.5 goals	97.8%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Sevilla under 2.5 goals	91.0%	92.2%	80.3%	1.15×	1.08
Sevilla under 1.5 goals	71.7%	74.2%	57.7%	1.29×	1.35
Sevilla over 0.5 goals	65.1%	67.9%	80.5%	0.84×	1.47
Sevilla under 0.5 goals	34.9%	32.1%	19.5%	1.64×	3.12
Sevilla over 1.5 goals	28.3%	25.8%	42.3%	0.61×	3.88
Sevilla over 2.5 goals	9.0%	7.8%	19.7%	0.39×	12.85
Sevilla over 3.5 goals	2.2%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.57

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla under 1.5 in 1st half	95.7%	96.7%	85.8%	1.13×	1.03
Sevilla under 0.5 in 1st half	72.0%	79.3%	52.3%	1.52×	1.26
Sevilla over 0.5 in 1st half	28.0%	20.7%	47.7%	0.43×	4.83
Sevilla over 1.5 in 1st half	4.3%	3.3%	14.2%	0.23×	30.36

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla scores equally in both	43.7%	42.1%	32.2%	1.31×	2.38
Sevilla scores more in 2nd half	41.1%	42.0%	40.4%	1.04×	2.38
Sevilla scores more in 1st half	15.1%	14.1%	27.5%	0.51×	7.12

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (home no bet)	61.3%	60.0%	52.8%	1.14×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	38.7%	40.0%	47.2%	0.85×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla even goals	56.1%	55.3%	47.4%	1.17×	1.81
Sevilla odd goals	43.9%	44.7%	52.6%	0.85×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.4%	33.1%	32.2%	1.03×	3.02
HT 0-1	26.1%	28.4%	16.0%	1.77×	3.52
HT 0-2	10.8%	11.0%	3.6%	3.02×	9.12
HT 1-0	10.3%	11.0%	22.0%	0.50×	9.12
HT 1-1	8.6%	6.9%	10.1%	0.69×	14.44
Any other HT score	5.6%	6.9%	4.5%	1.55×	14.49
HT 1-2	3.6%	2.4%	1.6%	1.45×	41.98
HT 2-0	1.7%	2.4%	6.7%	0.36×	42.10
HT 2-1	1.4%	2.4%	3.0%	0.78×	42.12
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	1.2%	2.03×	42.17

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander at HT / Racing Santander at FT	33.5%	32.4%	13.2%	2.45×	3.09
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.6%	16.8%	14.1%	1.19×	5.96
Draw at HT / Sevilla at FT	14.7%	12.7%	17.9%	0.71×	7.90
Sevilla at HT / Sevilla at FT	11.0%	12.6%	26.2%	0.48×	7.92
Draw at HT / Racing Santander at FT	9.3%	6.1%	11.5%	0.53×	16.38
Racing Santander at HT / Draw at FT	8.6%	6.1%	6.3%	0.96×	16.40
Racing Santander at HT / Sevilla at FT	3.6%	3.5%	2.6%	1.35×	28.84
Sevilla at HT / Draw at FT	2.2%	3.5%	5.2%	0.67×	28.89
Sevilla at HT / Racing Santander at FT	0.6%	3.5%	3.9%	0.89×	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to score last	50.9%	52.0%	39.9%	1.30×	1.92
Sevilla to score last	39.9%	38.9%	54.9%	0.71×	2.57
No goal scored	9.1%	7.5%	5.3%	1.42×	13.34

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.9%	92.6%	94.7%	0.98×	1.08
Racing Santander to lead by 1 at any time	57.5%	54.9%	47.2%	1.16×	1.82
Sevilla to lead by 1 at any time	45.1%	44.3%	62.8%	0.71×	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.0%	39.2%	41.9%	0.94×	2.55
Racing Santander to lead by 2 at any time	25.4%	25.3%	15.8%	1.60×	3.95
Sevilla to lead by 2 at any time	15.6%	14.9%	26.5%	0.56×	6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.2%	10.5%	17.2%	0.61×	9.50
Racing Santander to lead by 3 at any time	8.9%	6.7%	4.9%	1.37×	14.89
Sevilla to lead by 3 at any time	4.3%	1.6%	12.4%	0.13×	60.83

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla most corners	63.0%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Racing Santander most corners	27.0%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	9.9%	8.4%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.3%	87.4%	88.7%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.4%	83.4%	80.5%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	68.9%	68.8%	68.7%	1.00×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.9%	68.8%	72.9%	0.94×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.5%	68.8%	69.3%	0.99×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.5%	59.1%	61.1%	0.97×	1.69
1-2 goals	48.0%	48.5%	44.7%	1.08×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.0%	48.5%	49.3%	0.98×	2.06
3-6 goals	41.7%	43.6%	47.7%	0.91×	2.29
3-5 goals	39.3%	39.2%	44.0%	0.89×	2.55
3-4 goals	33.4%	35.2%	35.9%	0.98×	2.84
4-6 goals	20.8%	24.5%	23.7%	1.03×	4.09
4-5 goals	18.5%	18.8%	20.1%	0.94×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.4%	8.9%	11.9%	0.75×	11.26
7+ goals	1.1%	2.6%	2.6%	0.99×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander never behind	45.7%	56.5%	37.2%	1.52×	1.77
Sevilla never behind	33.3%	36.3%	52.8%	0.69×	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	53.7%	0.95×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	46.3%	1.06×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.9%	51.8%	54.5%	0.95×	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.1%	48.2%	45.6%	1.06×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.2%	52.0%	49.3%	1.05×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.8%	48.0%	50.7%	0.95×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.5%	95.4%	93.8%	1.02×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.9%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.5%	92.3%	85.6%	1.08×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	78.0%	77.3%	73.8%	1.05×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	69.0%	66.3%	75.4%	0.88×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	57.2%	58.6%	49.9%	1.17×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	42.8%	41.4%	50.1%	0.83×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	31.0%	33.7%	24.7%	1.37×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	22.0%	22.7%	26.2%	0.87×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	9.5%	7.7%	14.4%	0.54×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	9.1%	7.7%	5.3%	1.47×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.5%	4.6%	6.2%	0.74×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.8%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.3%	97.2%	93.3%	1.04×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.1%	86.8%	83.7%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	72.2%	72.4%	65.6%	1.10×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	58.0%	55.8%	67.0%	0.83×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	42.0%	44.2%	33.0%	1.34×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	27.8%	27.6%	34.4%	0.80×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.9%	13.3%	16.3%	0.81×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.7%	2.8%	6.7%	0.42×	35.56
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.2%	2.8%	2.7%	1.05×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.8%	89.1%	90.0%	0.99×	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.6%	68.6%	67.8%	1.01×	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.7%	68.6%	70.0%	0.98×	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.3%	31.4%	30.0%	1.05×	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.4%	31.4%	32.2%	0.98×	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.2%	10.9%	10.0%	1.10×	9.14

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	87.2%	85.5%	79.0%	1.08×	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.9%	77.5%	82.1%	0.94×	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	65.0%	68.5%	53.3%	1.29×	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.0%	31.5%	46.7%	0.67×	3.18
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.1%	22.5%	17.9%	1.26×	4.45
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	12.8%	14.5%	21.0%	0.69×	6.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla not to score in both halves	85.6%	85.4%	73.7%	1.16×	1.17
Racing Santander not to score in both halves	77.5%	78.5%	81.0%	0.97×	1.27
Racing Santander to score in both halves	22.5%	21.5%	19.0%	1.13×	4.66
Sevilla to score in both halves	14.4%	14.6%	26.3%	0.55×	6.85

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.1%	50.7%	55.8%	0.91×	1.97
Only Racing Santander scores	25.8%	26.0%	14.4%	1.81×	3.85
Only Sevilla scores	17.0%	16.0%	24.8%	0.65×	6.24
Neither team scores	9.1%	7.1%	5.3%	1.36×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.2%	24.9%	25.4%	0.98×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	21.9%	22.6%	19.5%	1.16×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.9%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	12.5%	12.1%	11.9%	1.02×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	9.1%	7.6%	5.3%	1.45×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	6.0%	7.6%	8.3%	0.92×	13.15
6 or more goals	3.5%	4.5%	6.2%	0.72×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.3%	37.9%	0.98×	2.68
No goals in 1st half	31.4%	35.6%	32.2%	1.11×	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	21.1%	21.4%	20.1%	1.06×	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.2%	10.8%	10.0%	1.09×	9.23

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.9%	40.1%	35.5%	1.13×	2.49
2+ goals in 2nd half	35.0%	33.8%	46.7%	0.72×	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	29.1%	29.5%	17.9%	1.64×	3.40

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla not to win both halves	95.0%	94.2%	88.1%	1.07×	1.06
Racing Santander not to win both halves	89.6%	88.0%	94.6%	0.93×	1.14
Racing Santander to win both halves	10.4%	12.0%	5.4%	2.22×	8.36
Sevilla to win both halves	5.0%	5.8%	11.9%	0.49×	17.23

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to win either half	58.1%	59.2%	44.1%	1.34×	1.69
Sevilla to win neither half	54.9%	54.4%	37.4%	1.46×	1.84
Sevilla to win either half	45.1%	45.6%	62.6%	0.73×	2.19
Racing Santander to win neither half	41.9%	40.8%	55.9%	0.73×	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla not to win to nil	83.0%	83.1%	75.2%	1.10×	1.20
Racing Santander not to win to nil	74.2%	75.4%	85.6%	0.88×	1.33
Racing Santander to win to nil	25.8%	24.6%	14.4%	1.71×	4.06
Sevilla to win to nil	17.0%	16.9%	24.8%	0.68×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	25.4%	1.10×	3.59
Racing Santander by 1	23.2%	24.1%	17.5%	1.38×	4.15
Sevilla by 1	18.2%	17.0%	25.8%	0.66×	5.87
Racing Santander by 2	12.8%	11.8%	7.0%	1.68×	8.51
Sevilla by 2	7.9%	7.2%	10.6%	0.68×	13.90
Racing Santander by 3+	7.3%	7.2%	4.1%	1.76×	13.91
Sevilla by 3+	3.3%	2.7%	10.2%	0.27×	36.83