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Sevilla v Real Sociedad — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 3 November 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

0–2
0.63 – 1.22 xG
Shots
8 – 9
On target
0 – 3
Shots in box
6 – 6
xG per shot
0.08 – 0.14
Set-piece xG
0.00 – 0.87
Goals − xG
-0.63 – +0.78
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.30.71.01.40'15'30'45'60'75'90'Takefusa Kubo 33' — goalMikel Oyarzabal 67' — goal
Sevilla 0.63 xGReal Sociedad 1.22 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Takefusa Kubo 2' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Martín Zubimendi 8' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Naif Aguerd 8' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Takefusa Kubo 33' — Goal (0.14 xG, Open Play)Dodi Lukebakio 41' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Mikel Oyarzabal 44' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Luka Sucic 45' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Isaac Romero 46' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)José Ángel Carmona 47' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Sergio Gómez 50' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Brais Méndez 51' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Dodi Lukebakio 56' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Isaac Romero 61' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mikel Oyarzabal 67' — Goal (0.74 xG, )Isaac Romero 78' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Kelechi Iheanacho 86' — Missed Shot (0.36 xG, Open Play)Djibril Sow 94' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)
Sevilla attacking right Real Sociedad attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
2' Real Sociedad Takefusa Kubo 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Luka Sucic
8' Real Sociedad Martín Zubimendi 0.06 From Corner Missed Shot Sergio Gómez
8' Real Sociedad Naif Aguerd 0.04 From Corner Missed Shot Sergio Gómez
33' Real Sociedad Takefusa Kubo 0.14 Open Play Left Foot Goal Martín Zubimendi
41' Sevilla Dodi Lukebakio 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Jesús Navas
44' Real Sociedad Mikel Oyarzabal 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Takefusa Kubo
45' Real Sociedad Luka Sucic 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Takefusa Kubo
46' Sevilla Isaac Romero 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
47' Sevilla José Ángel Carmona 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Isaac Romero
50' Real Sociedad Sergio Gómez 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
51' Real Sociedad Brais Méndez 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Takefusa Kubo
56' Sevilla Dodi Lukebakio 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Álvaro Fernández
61' Sevilla Isaac Romero 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Albert Sambi Lokonga
67' Real Sociedad Mikel Oyarzabal 0.74 Left Foot Goal
78' Sevilla Isaac Romero 0.04 Open Play Missed Shot Adrià Pedrosa
86' Sevilla Kelechi Iheanacho 0.36 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
94' Sevilla Djibril Sow 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jesús Navas

Players

Sevilla

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Dodi Lukebakio AMR 90 0 0 2 0 0.09 0.00 0.13
José Ángel Carmona DR 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.07
Álvaro Fernández GK 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.05
Nemanja Gudelj DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Kike Salas DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Adrià Pedrosa DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.14
Isaac Romero FW 82 0 0 3 1 0.12 0.02 0.14
Albert Sambi Lokonga DMC 82 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.11
Marcão DC 75 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Juanlu Sanchez AMC 75 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Jesús Navas Sub 66 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.07 0.14
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo AML 24 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Djibril Sow Sub 15 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.07
Israel Domínguez Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kelechi Iheanacho Sub 8 0 0 1 0 0.36 0.00 0.39
Peque Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Real Sociedad

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Martín Zubimendi DMC 90 0 1 1 1 0.06 0.14 0.25
Naif Aguerd DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.25
Luka Sucic MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.05 0.23
Sergio Gómez ML 90 0 0 1 2 0.01 0.10 0.06
Jon Aramburu DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Igor Zubeldia DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Javier López DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Remiro GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mikel Oyarzabal FW 82 1 0 2 0 0.86 0.00 0.11
Takefusa Kubo MR 82 1 0 2 3 0.19 0.17 0.34
Brais Méndez MC 82 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.15
Orri Óskarsson Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sheraldo Becker Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jon Ander Olasagasti Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jon Magunacelaya Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Aihen Muñoz Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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