Shamrock Rovers v Waterford — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 18 September 2026 · IRL-Premier Division · 2627

IRL-Premier Division results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Shamrock Rovers

19:00 UTC

Waterford

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 251h before kick-off

Shamrock Rovers win

52.1%

Draw

27.8%

Waterford win

20.1%

522820

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.3%
2-1 9.8%
2-0 9.4%
1-0 8.3%
0-0 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	53.5%	Under 2.5	46.5%
BTTS yes	56.1%	BTTS no	43.9%
Shamrock Rovers 1+	83.0%	Shamrock Rovers 2+	52.9%
Waterford 1+	64.9%	Waterford 2+	28.2%

Expected goals 1.77 – 1.05. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

16/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Shamrock Rovers (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 41%

51.8% fair odds 1.93

strong signal · 11499 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Shamrock Rovers or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Shamrock Rovers have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Waterford have allowed 1.35.
At home Shamrock Rovers average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Shamrock Rovers have only 0 matches on record.
Waterford have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Shamrock Rovers have an estimated 52.1% win probability, against 27.8% for the draw and 20.1% for Waterford. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.77 for Shamrock Rovers and 1.05 for Waterford.

Why Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Waterford have allowed 1.35. At home Shamrock Rovers average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.8%.

Why Waterford can win

Waterford have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Shamrock Rovers have allowed 1.35. Away from home Waterford average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Shamrock Rovers, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Waterford, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Shamrock Rovers: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Waterford: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Shamrock Rovers are the model's most likely outcome at 52.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.3%. Confidence 16/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	522820	1.75–1.04	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	572717	1.86–0.95	1-1 13%	53%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers to win	51.6%	51.2%	40.8%	1.26×	1.95
Draw	28.1%	27.1%	31.3%	0.87×	3.69
Waterford to win	20.3%	23.6%	28.2%	0.84×	4.23

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers & not both score	26.8%	26.5%	22.7%	1.17×	3.78
Shamrock Rovers & both teams score	24.8%	21.7%	18.4%	1.18×	4.61
Draw & both teams score	19.7%	18.1%	22.1%	0.82×	5.52
Waterford & both teams score	11.3%	12.7%	16.3%	0.78×	7.88
Waterford & not both score	9.0%	7.7%	12.3%	0.62×	13.07
Draw & not both score	8.4%	7.6%	9.5%	0.80×	13.07

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers & over 1.5	43.1%	42.9%	30.4%	1.41×	2.33
Shamrock Rovers & over 2.5	33.8%	31.8%	23.0%	1.38×	3.15
Shamrock Rovers & under 3.5	33.1%	31.8%	31.0%	1.03×	3.15
Draw & under 2.5	21.8%	21.8%	23.3%	0.94×	4.58
Draw & under 3.5	21.8%	21.8%	23.3%	0.94×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	19.7%	17.7%	22.1%	0.80×	5.64
Shamrock Rovers & under 2.5	17.9%	17.7%	18.1%	0.98×	5.64
Shamrock Rovers & over 3.5	18.5%	17.7%	10.1%	1.75×	5.64
Waterford & over 1.5	16.1%	17.7%	20.9%	0.85×	5.64
Waterford & under 3.5	14.5%	12.4%	20.6%	0.60×	8.05
Waterford & over 2.5	12.8%	12.4%	17.5%	0.71×	8.06
Shamrock Rovers & under 1.5	8.5%	7.6%	10.7%	0.71×	13.20
Draw & under 1.5	8.4%	7.6%	9.5%	0.80×	13.20
Draw & over 2.5	6.3%	7.6%	8.3%	0.91×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	6.3%	7.6%	8.3%	0.91×	13.21
Waterford & under 2.5	7.5%	7.6%	11.0%	0.69×	13.21
Waterford & over 3.5	5.8%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.21
Waterford & under 1.5	4.2%	4.4%	7.7%	0.57×	22.79

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers (1UP)	66.5%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Waterford (1UP)	39.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers (2UP)	51.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Waterford (2UP)	20.3%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers to win 2nd half	42.6%	41.4%	—	—	2.42
2nd half drawn	35.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Waterford to win 2nd half	21.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.25

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Waterford (+2.5)	86.6%	87.4%	92.6%	0.94×	1.14
Shamrock Rovers (+0.5)	79.7%	78.0%	71.8%	1.09×	1.28
Waterford (+1.5)	70.1%	73.3%	82.2%	0.89×	1.37
Shamrock Rovers (-0.5)	51.6%	51.8%	40.8%	1.27×	1.93
Waterford (+0.5)	48.4%	48.2%	59.2%	0.81×	2.07
Shamrock Rovers (-1.5)	29.9%	26.7%	17.8%	1.50×	3.74
Waterford (-0.5)	20.3%	22.0%	28.2%	0.78×	4.55
Shamrock Rovers (-2.5)	13.4%	12.6%	7.4%	1.71×	7.94

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Waterford to concede	82.6%	82.8%	78.5%	1.05×	1.21
Waterford clean sheet	17.4%	17.2%	21.5%	0.80×	5.83

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Waterford to concede in 1st half	52.8%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Waterford clean sheet in 1st half	47.2%	46.2%	—	—	2.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Waterford under 3.5 goals	97.8%	97.3%	96.9%	1.00×	1.03
Waterford under 2.5 goals	91.2%	92.2%	89.6%	1.03×	1.09
Waterford under 1.5 goals	72.0%	71.6%	67.2%	1.07×	1.40
Waterford over 0.5 goals	64.8%	63.6%	68.1%	0.93×	1.57
Waterford under 0.5 goals	35.2%	36.4%	31.9%	1.14×	2.75
Waterford over 1.5 goals	28.0%	28.4%	32.8%	0.87×	3.52
Waterford over 2.5 goals	8.8%	7.8%	10.4%	0.75×	12.74
Waterford over 3.5 goals	2.2%	2.7%	3.1%	0.88×	37.13

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Waterford under 1.5 in 1st half	93.4%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Waterford under 0.5 in 1st half	65.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Waterford over 0.5 in 1st half	34.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Waterford over 1.5 in 1st half	6.6%	6.2%	—	—	16.24

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers (away no bet)	64.8%	62.3%	56.6%	1.10×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.2%	37.7%	43.4%	0.87×	2.65

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Waterford even goals	56.2%	56.4%	57.1%	0.99×	1.77
Waterford odd goals	43.8%	43.6%	42.9%	1.02×	2.29

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.3%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.7%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.0%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Shamrock Rovers to score 2+ in a row	44.2%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Waterford to score 2+ in a row	19.8%	17.0%	—	—	5.87
Shamrock Rovers to score 3+ in a row	18.0%	17.0%	—	—	5.88
Waterford to score 3+ in a row	4.6%	3.2%	—	—	31.60

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.4%	11.2%	14.1%	0.80×	8.91
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	10.1%	0.73×	13.45
0-0	8.4%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.45
1-0	8.5%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.45
1-2	5.8%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.45
2-0	9.4%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.45
3-0	5.5%	7.4%	3.4%	2.20×	13.45
3-1	5.7%	7.4%	2.5%	3.03×	13.45
2-2	5.1%	7.4%	7.4%	1.01×	13.45
0-1	4.2%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.34
0-2	3.3%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.34
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.34
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
1-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.34
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.34
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.35
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.34
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.35
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
4-0	2.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.34
4-1	2.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.34
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.34
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.59×	58.35
Any other score	3.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.34

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers leading at HT (DNB)	68.4%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Waterford leading at HT (DNB)	31.6%	28.5%	—	—	3.51

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers or draw (1X)	79.7%	76.4%	71.8%	1.06×	1.31
Shamrock Rovers or Waterford (12)	71.9%	72.9%	68.7%	1.06×	1.37
Waterford or draw (X2)	48.4%	48.8%	59.2%	0.82×	2.05

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers or draw at HT	81.8%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Waterford or draw at HT	60.6%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Shamrock Rovers or Waterford at HT	57.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers or draw (1UP)	79.7%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Waterford or draw (1UP)	48.4%	55.4%	—	—	1.81

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers or draw in 2nd half	78.3%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Shamrock Rovers or Waterford in 2nd half	64.3%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Waterford or draw in 2nd half	57.4%	58.6%	—	—	1.71

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.4%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Neither half drawn	39.6%	39.6%	—	—	2.53

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers (DNB)	71.8%	72.5%	59.1%	1.23×	1.38
Waterford (DNB)	28.2%	27.5%	40.9%	0.67×	3.64

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers to score first	57.4%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Waterford to score first	34.3%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
No goal scored	8.4%	6.4%	—	—	15.61

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.7%	55.3%	56.1%	0.99×	1.81
Not both teams to score	44.3%	44.7%	43.9%	1.02×	2.24

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.3%	41.6%	42.3%	0.98×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	33.7%	34.0%	38.0%	0.89×	2.94
Both score & under 2.5	13.4%	11.9%	14.1%	0.84×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	10.5%	11.9%	6.1%	1.94×	8.41

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.4%	85.7%	83.1%	1.03×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.6%	14.3%	16.9%	0.85×	7.00

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.9%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.1%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Both score 2nd half only	24.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Both score 1st half only	13.1%	11.9%	—	—	8.41
Both score in both halves	5.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.57

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.6%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.4%	17.4%	—	—	5.76

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.4%	57.3%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	43.6%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.4%	46.5%	47.2%	0.98×	2.15
4-6 goals	28.2%	27.0%	23.9%	1.13×	3.70
0-1 goals	21.0%	23.5%	27.3%	0.86×	4.26
7+ goals	2.4%	2.0%	2.1%	0.94×	49.74

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Waterford to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	35.6%	1.01×	2.78
Waterford to score exactly 0	35.2%	36.0%	31.9%	1.13×	2.78
Waterford to score exactly 2	19.2%	18.2%	22.7%	0.80×	5.49
Waterford to score 3+	8.8%	8.6%	10.4%	0.82×	11.63

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers to score exactly 1	30.4%	32.2%	35.9%	0.90×	3.10
Shamrock Rovers to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.4%	28.5%	0.93×	3.78
Shamrock Rovers to score 3+	25.5%	26.4%	14.7%	1.80×	3.78
Shamrock Rovers to score exactly 0	17.4%	18.1%	21.5%	0.85×	5.51

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Shamrock Rovers leading at HT	39.4%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
Waterford leading at HT	18.2%	16.2%	—	—	6.18

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers -1: 2	48.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Shamrock Rovers -1: 1	29.9%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
Shamrock Rovers -1: X	21.7%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Waterford (0:1)	48.4%	47.5%	59.2%	0.80×	2.10
Shamrock Rovers (0:1)	29.9%	27.2%	17.8%	1.53×	3.67
Draw (0:1)	21.7%	23.6%	23.3%	1.01×	4.24

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Waterford (0:2)	70.1%	75.0%	82.2%	0.91×	1.33
Draw (0:2)	16.5%	15.7%	10.7%	1.46×	6.38
Shamrock Rovers (0:2)	13.4%	11.4%	7.4%	1.54×	8.81

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Waterford (0:3)	86.6%	88.6%	92.6%	0.96×	1.13
Draw (0:3)	8.4%	6.5%	5.5%	1.18×	15.39
Shamrock Rovers (0:3)	4.9%	2.6%	2.1%	1.19×	39.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Waterford (0:4)	95.1%	97.7%	97.9%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.4%	1.4%	1.5%	0.92×	70.65
Shamrock Rovers (0:4)	1.5%	1.4%	0.9%	1.54×	70.72

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers (1:0)	79.7%	76.9%	71.8%	1.07×	1.30
Draw (1:0)	12.1%	12.5%	20.2%	0.62×	7.97
Waterford (1:0)	8.2%	7.5%	8.3%	0.90×	13.39

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers (2:0)	91.8%	92.9%	91.7%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (2:0)	5.9%	6.6%	6.4%	1.03×	15.12
Waterford (2:0)	2.3%	2.8%	2.1%	1.30×	35.92

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.1%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Halves equal	27.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
1st half highest scoring	26.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers to concede	64.8%	65.0%	68.1%	0.96×	1.54
Shamrock Rovers clean sheet	35.2%	35.0%	31.9%	1.10×	2.86

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers clean sheet in 1st half	65.9%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Shamrock Rovers to concede in 1st half	34.1%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers under 3.5 goals	90.0%	87.3%	94.2%	0.93×	1.15
Shamrock Rovers over 0.5 goals	82.6%	82.3%	78.5%	1.05×	1.22
Shamrock Rovers under 2.5 goals	74.5%	73.1%	85.3%	0.86×	1.37
Shamrock Rovers over 1.5 goals	52.1%	52.8%	42.9%	1.23×	1.89
Shamrock Rovers under 1.5 goals	47.9%	47.2%	57.1%	0.83×	2.12
Shamrock Rovers over 2.5 goals	25.5%	26.9%	14.7%	1.83×	3.71
Shamrock Rovers under 0.5 goals	17.4%	17.7%	21.5%	0.82×	5.65
Shamrock Rovers over 3.5 goals	10.0%	12.7%	5.8%	2.18×	7.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers under 1.5 in 1st half	82.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Shamrock Rovers over 0.5 in 1st half	52.8%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
Shamrock Rovers under 0.5 in 1st half	47.2%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Shamrock Rovers over 1.5 in 1st half	17.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	58.0%	56.0%	52.6%	1.07×	1.79
Waterford (home no bet)	42.0%	44.0%	47.4%	0.93×	2.27

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers even goals	51.5%	50.9%	54.3%	0.94×	1.96
Shamrock Rovers odd goals	48.5%	49.1%	45.7%	1.07×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.5%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
HT 1-0	23.0%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
HT 0-1	12.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	10.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	8.8%	8.0%	—	—	12.53
Any other HT score	4.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.36
HT 2-1	3.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.42
HT 0-2	2.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.46
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.5%	—	—	40.49
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.55

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers at HT / Shamrock Rovers at FT	32.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.6%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Draw at HT / Shamrock Rovers at FT	16.8%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Waterford at HT / Waterford at FT	10.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Draw at HT / Waterford at FT	8.0%	6.5%	—	—	15.46
Shamrock Rovers at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.5%	—	—	15.50
Waterford at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.6%	—	—	27.50
Waterford at HT / Shamrock Rovers at FT	2.7%	3.6%	—	—	27.56
Shamrock Rovers at HT / Waterford at FT	1.7%	3.6%	—	—	27.59

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers to score last	57.6%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Waterford to score last	34.0%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
No goal scored	8.4%	6.4%	—	—	15.61

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.6%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Shamrock Rovers to lead by 1 at any time	66.5%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Waterford to lead by 1 at any time	39.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Shamrock Rovers to lead by 2 at any time	36.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.3%	17.6%	—	—	5.67
Shamrock Rovers to lead by 3 at any time	15.9%	17.6%	—	—	5.69
Waterford to lead by 2 at any time	13.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
Waterford to lead by 3 at any time	3.4%	2.6%	—	—	38.07

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.2%	87.1%	86.2%	1.01×	1.15
1-4 goals	76.5%	77.9%	77.9%	1.00×	1.28
2-6 goals	76.6%	77.9%	70.9%	1.10×	1.28
2-5 goals	72.6%	72.2%	68.4%	1.06×	1.39
2-4 goals	63.9%	62.7%	60.1%	1.04×	1.60
1-3 goals	61.0%	62.7%	65.0%	0.96×	1.60
3-6 goals	50.4%	52.9%	46.3%	1.14×	1.89
2-3 goals	48.4%	47.4%	47.2%	1.00×	2.11
3-5 goals	46.4%	47.4%	43.9%	1.08×	2.11
1-2 goals	38.8%	39.0%	42.6%	0.91×	2.56
3-4 goals	37.8%	39.0%	35.6%	1.10×	2.56
4-6 goals	28.2%	28.5%	23.9%	1.19×	3.51
4-5 goals	24.2%	23.7%	21.5%	1.10×	4.22
5-6 goals	12.7%	13.5%	11.0%	1.22×	7.42
7+ goals	2.4%	2.3%	2.1%	1.05×	44.24

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers never behind	52.3%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Waterford never behind	25.1%	31.3%	—	—	3.20

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	54.7%	50.1%	49.7%	1.01×	2.00
Odd number of goals	45.3%	49.9%	50.3%	0.99×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	44.4%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.5%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.5%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.6%	92.3%	95.4%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	91.6%	92.3%	90.5%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.9%	81.6%	87.1%	0.94×	1.23
Over 1.5 goals	79.0%	77.0%	72.7%	1.06×	1.30
Under 3.5 goals	69.4%	67.7%	74.2%	0.91×	1.48
Over 2.5 goals	52.8%	51.8%	48.2%	1.08×	1.93
Under 2.5 goals	47.2%	48.2%	51.8%	0.93×	2.08
Over 3.5 goals	30.6%	32.3%	25.8%	1.25×	3.09
Under 1.5 goals	21.0%	23.0%	27.3%	0.84×	4.34
Over 4.5 goals	15.1%	18.4%	12.9%	1.43×	5.44
Under 0.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	9.5%	0.81×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	6.4%	7.7%	4.6%	1.68×	12.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.5%	97.3%	97.8%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.0%	92.0%	95.0%	0.97×	1.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.1%	81.5%	85.2%	0.96×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.5%	72.1%	63.8%	1.13×	1.39
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.7%	62.3%	66.8%	0.93×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.3%	37.7%	33.2%	1.14×	2.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.5%	27.9%	36.2%	0.77×	3.58
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.9%	18.5%	14.8%	1.25×	5.40
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.0%	8.0%	5.0%	1.59×	12.51
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.5%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	36.70

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.6%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.5%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.0%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.0%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.5%	33.0%	—	—	3.04
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.4%	11.6%	—	—	8.63

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.5%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.8%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.0%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.0%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.2%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.5%	20.0%	—	—	5.01

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Waterford not to score in both halves	84.1%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Shamrock Rovers not to score in both halves	66.7%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Shamrock Rovers to score in both halves	33.3%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Waterford to score in both halves	15.9%	18.7%	—	—	5.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.7%	57.8%	56.1%	1.03×	1.73
Only Shamrock Rovers scores	26.8%	25.4%	22.7%	1.12×	3.93
Only Waterford scores	9.0%	7.1%	12.3%	0.58×	14.08
Neither team scores	8.4%	7.1%	9.5%	0.75×	14.09

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.1%	25.0%	24.8%	1.01×	4.00
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.3%	22.7%	0.98×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	15.5%	17.6%	13.2%	1.34×	5.68
Exactly 1 goals	12.7%	12.3%	18.1%	0.68×	8.14
Exactly 5 goals	8.7%	7.8%	8.6%	0.90×	12.88
Exactly 0 goals	8.4%	7.8%	9.5%	0.82×	12.88
6 or more goals	6.4%	7.8%	4.6%	1.69×	12.89

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
1 goal in 2nd half	30.5%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
No goals in 2nd half	20.5%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Waterford not to win both halves	95.8%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Shamrock Rovers not to win both halves	82.7%	81.9%	—	—	1.22
Shamrock Rovers to win both halves	17.3%	18.1%	—	—	5.53
Waterford to win both halves	4.2%	2.7%	—	—	36.67

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shamrock Rovers to win either half	64.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Waterford to win neither half	64.3%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Waterford to win either half	35.7%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Shamrock Rovers to win neither half	35.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.65

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Waterford not to win to nil	91.0%	92.3%	87.7%	1.05×	1.08
Shamrock Rovers not to win to nil	73.2%	74.8%	77.3%	0.97×	1.34
Shamrock Rovers to win to nil	26.8%	25.2%	22.7%	1.11×	3.98
Waterford to win to nil	9.0%	7.7%	12.3%	0.62×	13.06

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.1%	27.3%	31.3%	0.87×	3.66
Shamrock Rovers by 1	21.7%	23.4%	23.3%	1.00×	4.27
Shamrock Rovers by 2	16.5%	17.2%	10.7%	1.61×	5.80
Shamrock Rovers by 3+	13.4%	11.8%	7.4%	1.61×	8.44
Waterford by 1	12.1%	11.8%	20.2%	0.58×	8.45
Waterford by 2	5.9%	7.3%	6.4%	1.13×	13.77
Waterford by 3+	2.3%	3.0%	2.1%	1.39×	33.46