Shandong Taishan v Shenzhen Xinpengcheng — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · CHN-Super League · 2627
CHN-Super League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 2.17–1.06 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 2.41–1.17 | 2-1 9% | 69% | 63% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan to win | 62.4% | 63.5% | 46.0% | 1.38× | 1.58 |
| Draw | 20.5% | 22.1% | 26.2% | 0.84× | 4.53 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to win | 17.1% | 19.1% | 28.0% | 0.68× | 5.22 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan & both teams score | 31.9% | 32.7% | 23.0% | 1.42× | 3.06 |
| Shandong Taishan & not both score | 30.5% | 32.6% | 23.2% | 1.41× | 3.06 |
| Draw & both teams score | 16.2% | 17.7% | 22.1% | 0.80× | 5.64 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng & both teams score | 10.0% | 7.3% | 18.5% | 0.40× | 13.62 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng & not both score | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 0.75× | 13.68 |
| Draw & not both score | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 0.85× | 27.07 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan & over 1.5 | 54.0% | 49.3% | 36.4% | 1.35× | 2.03 |
| Shandong Taishan & over 2.5 | 44.7% | 44.0% | 29.4% | 1.50× | 2.27 |
| Shandong Taishan & under 3.5 | 34.3% | 33.2% | 27.3% | 1.21× | 3.01 |
| Shandong Taishan & over 3.5 | 28.0% | 25.5% | 18.9% | 1.35× | 3.92 |
| Shandong Taishan & under 2.5 | 17.7% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 1.04× | 5.69 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 16.2% | 17.6% | 22.1% | 0.79× | 5.70 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 13.8% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 0.78× | 7.86 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 13.8% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 0.78× | 7.86 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng & over 1.5 | 13.3% | 12.7% | 23.7% | 0.54× | 7.86 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng & under 3.5 | 11.7% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 0.80× | 7.87 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng & over 2.5 | 11.0% | 12.7% | 21.0% | 0.61× | 7.87 |
| Shandong Taishan & under 1.5 | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 0.76× | 13.40 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 0.74× | 13.41 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 0.74× | 13.41 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng & under 2.5 | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 1.02× | 13.42 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng & over 3.5 | 5.4% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 0.61× | 13.42 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.05× | 21.92 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng & under 1.5 | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 1.00× | 21.94 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan (1UP) | 75.3% | 79.6% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (1UP) | 36.6% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan (2UP) | 62.4% | 67.0% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (2UP) | 17.1% | 22.8% | — | — | 4.38 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan to win 2nd half | 50.7% | 48.5% | — | — | 2.06 |
| 2nd half drawn | 30.3% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to win 2nd half | 18.9% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan (+0.5) | 82.9% | 82.3% | 72.0% | 1.14× | 1.22 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (+2.5) | 79.3% | 78.6% | 89.3% | 0.88× | 1.27 |
| Shandong Taishan (-0.5) | 62.4% | 64.1% | 46.0% | 1.39× | 1.56 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (+1.5) | 60.4% | 64.0% | 74.7% | 0.86× | 1.56 |
| Shandong Taishan (-1.5) | 39.6% | 36.0% | 25.3% | 1.42× | 2.78 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (+0.5) | 37.7% | 35.9% | 54.0% | 0.67× | 2.78 |
| Shandong Taishan (-2.5) | 20.7% | 21.4% | 10.7% | 2.00× | 4.68 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (-0.5) | 17.1% | 17.7% | 28.0% | 0.63× | 5.65 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to concede | 88.5% | 89.9% | 86.1% | 1.04× | 1.11 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng clean sheet | 11.5% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 0.72× | 9.95 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to concede in 1st half | 60.6% | 60.4% | — | — | 1.66 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng clean sheet in 1st half | 39.4% | 39.6% | — | — | 2.53 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng under 3.5 goals | 97.7% | 97.3% | 92.9% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng under 2.5 goals | 90.9% | 92.6% | 83.1% | 1.11× | 1.08 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng under 1.5 goals | 71.6% | 71.9% | 60.8% | 1.18× | 1.39 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng over 0.5 goals | 65.2% | 67.1% | 72.7% | 0.92× | 1.49 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng under 0.5 goals | 34.8% | 32.9% | 27.3% | 1.20× | 3.04 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng over 1.5 goals | 28.4% | 28.1% | 39.2% | 0.72× | 3.56 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng over 2.5 goals | 9.1% | 7.4% | 16.9% | 0.44× | 13.52 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng over 3.5 goals | 2.3% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 0.38× | 37.54 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng under 1.5 in 1st half | 93.2% | 93.3% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng under 0.5 in 1st half | 65.6% | 67.0% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng over 0.5 in 1st half | 34.4% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.04 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng over 1.5 in 1st half | 6.8% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.85 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan (away no bet) | 75.2% | 78.4% | 63.7% | 1.23× | 1.28 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 24.8% | 21.6% | 36.3% | 0.60× | 4.63 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng even goals | 56.1% | 57.9% | 54.7% | 1.06× | 1.73 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng odd goals | 43.9% | 42.1% | 45.3% | 0.93× | 2.38 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 78.2% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 21.8% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.94 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 73.2% | 71.4% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 26.8% | 28.6% | — | — | 3.50 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 66.7% | 64.8% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Shandong Taishan to score 2+ in a row | 55.5% | 59.1% | — | — | 1.69 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 30.4% | 33.8% | — | — | 2.96 |
| Shandong Taishan to score 3+ in a row | 26.7% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to score 2+ in a row | 18.8% | 17.8% | — | — | 5.61 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to score 3+ in a row | 4.1% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.34 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 0.97× | 13.73 |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 0.59× | 13.74 |
| 2-0 | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 1.00× | 13.74 |
| 1-0 | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 0.74× | 13.74 |
| 3-1 | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 1.18× | 13.75 |
| Any other score | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.52× | 13.75 |
| 3-0 | 6.8% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.13× | 13.75 |
| 2-2 | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 0.97× | 13.76 |
| 0-0 | 4.3% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 0.42× | 55.40 |
| 0-1 | 3.9% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 0.40× | 55.41 |
| 1-2 | 4.8% | 1.8% | 7.5% | 0.24× | 55.39 |
| 3-2 | 3.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 0.50× | 55.41 |
| 4-0 | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 0.66× | 55.42 |
| 4-1 | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 0.72× | 55.41 |
| 0-2 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 0.61× | 55.45 |
| 1-3 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 0.57× | 55.47 |
| 2-3 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 0.57× | 55.46 |
| 3-3 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.88× | 55.48 |
| 4-2 | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.13× | 55.46 |
| 0-3 | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.13× | 55.49 |
| 0-4 | 0.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.58× | 55.50 |
| 1-4 | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.58× | 55.50 |
| 2-4 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.32× | 55.50 |
| 3-4 | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.13× | 55.50 |
| 4-3 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.64× | 55.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.98× | 55.50 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan leading at HT (DNB) | 74.3% | 73.9% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng leading at HT (DNB) | 25.7% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.84 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan or draw (1X) | 82.9% | 80.9% | 72.0% | 1.12× | 1.24 |
| Shandong Taishan or Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (12) | 79.5% | 77.9% | 73.8% | 1.06× | 1.28 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng or draw (X2) | 37.7% | 36.5% | 54.0% | 0.68× | 2.74 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan or draw at HT | 83.9% | 81.8% | — | — | 1.22 |
| Shandong Taishan or Shenzhen Xinpengcheng at HT | 62.9% | 63.2% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng or draw at HT | 53.3% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan or draw (1UP) | 82.9% | 83.9% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng or draw (1UP) | 37.7% | 45.6% | — | — | 2.19 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan or draw in 2nd half | 81.1% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Shandong Taishan or Shenzhen Xinpengcheng in 2nd half | 69.7% | 66.3% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng or draw in 2nd half | 49.3% | 51.5% | — | — | 1.94 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 55.8% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Neither half drawn | 44.2% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan (DNB) | 78.4% | 78.2% | 62.2% | 1.26× | 1.28 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (DNB) | 21.6% | 21.8% | 37.8% | 0.58× | 4.58 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan to score first | 64.3% | 66.9% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to score first | 31.3% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
| No goal scored | 4.3% | 4.1% | — | — | 24.67 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 58.0% | 56.7% | 63.1% | 0.90× | 1.76 |
| Not both teams to score | 42.0% | 43.3% | 36.9% | 1.17× | 2.31 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 48.6% | 45.4% | 51.0% | 0.89× | 2.20 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 28.1% | 31.5% | 28.0% | 1.12× | 3.17 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 13.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 1.29× | 8.51 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 9.5% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 0.71× | 11.43 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 81.9% | 81.2% | 78.4% | 1.04× | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 18.1% | 18.8% | 21.6% | 0.87× | 5.32 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 66.6% | 69.4% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 33.4% | 30.6% | — | — | 3.27 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 52.7% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 26.4% | 24.7% | — | — | 4.05 |
| Both score 1st half only | 14.0% | 11.6% | — | — | 8.63 |
| Both score in both halves | 6.9% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.43 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 79.1% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 20.9% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.98 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 62.9% | 63.1% | — | — | 1.59 |
| A half without a goal | 37.1% | 36.9% | — | — | 2.71 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 43.3% | 43.2% | 41.2% | 1.05× | 2.32 |
| 4-6 goals | 35.6% | 35.3% | 36.9% | 0.96× | 2.84 |
| 0-1 goals | 16.5% | 20.7% | 18.2% | 1.13× | 4.84 |
| 7+ goals | 4.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 0.48× | 50.46 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to score exactly 1 | 36.7% | 34.6% | 33.7% | 1.03× | 2.89 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to score exactly 0 | 34.8% | 33.3% | 27.3% | 1.22× | 3.00 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to score exactly 2 | 19.4% | 18.4% | 22.6% | 0.82× | 5.44 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to score 3+ | 9.1% | 7.7% | 16.9% | 0.46× | 13.00 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan to score 3+ | 36.8% | 36.0% | 26.2% | 1.37× | 2.78 |
| Shandong Taishan to score exactly 2 | 26.9% | 27.1% | 26.2% | 1.03× | 3.70 |
| Shandong Taishan to score exactly 1 | 24.8% | 23.0% | 34.2% | 0.67× | 4.35 |
| Shandong Taishan to score exactly 0 | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 0.97× | 7.45 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan leading at HT | 46.7% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Draw at HT | 37.1% | 36.8% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng leading at HT | 16.1% | 18.2% | — | — | 5.48 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan -1: 1 | 39.6% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
| Shandong Taishan -1: 2 | 37.7% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
| Shandong Taishan -1: X | 22.8% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.18 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan (0:1) | 39.6% | 30.8% | 25.3% | 1.22× | 3.25 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (0:1) | 37.7% | 30.6% | 54.0% | 0.57× | 3.27 |
| Draw (0:1) | 22.8% | 24.4% | 21.0% | 1.17× | 4.10 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (0:2) | 60.4% | 69.1% | 74.7% | 0.92× | 1.45 |
| Shandong Taishan (0:2) | 20.7% | 21.5% | 10.7% | 2.01× | 4.66 |
| Draw (0:2) | 18.9% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 1.11× | 6.11 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (0:3) | 79.3% | 76.4% | 89.3% | 0.86× | 1.31 |
| Draw (0:3) | 11.6% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 2.09× | 8.07 |
| Shandong Taishan (0:3) | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.39× | 14.36 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (0:4) | 90.9% | 93.9% | 95.0% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Draw (0:4) | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.81× | 14.24 |
| Shandong Taishan (0:4) | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.92× | 79.62 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan (1:0) | 82.9% | 80.6% | 72.0% | 1.12× | 1.24 |
| Draw (1:0) | 10.9% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 0.71× | 8.53 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (1:0) | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 0.72× | 11.75 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan (2:0) | 93.8% | 91.7% | 88.2% | 1.04× | 1.09 |
| Draw (2:0) | 4.5% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 0.39× | 36.72 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (2:0) | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 0.53× | 37.38 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 49.3% | 48.7% | — | — | 2.05 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.7% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.83 |
| Halves equal | 23.1% | 23.2% | — | — | 4.32 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan to concede | 65.2% | 66.7% | 72.7% | 0.92× | 1.50 |
| Shandong Taishan clean sheet | 34.8% | 33.3% | 27.3% | 1.22× | 3.01 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan clean sheet in 1st half | 65.6% | 67.2% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Shandong Taishan to concede in 1st half | 34.4% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan over 0.5 goals | 88.5% | 87.8% | 86.1% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| Shandong Taishan under 3.5 goals | 82.6% | 82.4% | 89.5% | 0.92× | 1.21 |
| Shandong Taishan over 1.5 goals | 63.7% | 62.7% | 52.2% | 1.20× | 1.60 |
| Shandong Taishan under 2.5 goals | 63.2% | 62.7% | 73.8% | 0.85× | 1.60 |
| Shandong Taishan over 2.5 goals | 36.8% | 37.3% | 26.2% | 1.42× | 2.68 |
| Shandong Taishan under 1.5 goals | 36.3% | 37.3% | 47.8% | 0.78× | 2.68 |
| Shandong Taishan over 3.5 goals | 17.4% | 17.6% | 10.5% | 1.68× | 5.69 |
| Shandong Taishan under 0.5 goals | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 0.88× | 8.22 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan under 1.5 in 1st half | 76.1% | 79.0% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Shandong Taishan over 0.5 in 1st half | 60.6% | 60.3% | — | — | 1.66 |
| Shandong Taishan under 0.5 in 1st half | 39.4% | 39.7% | — | — | 2.52 |
| Shandong Taishan over 1.5 in 1st half | 23.9% | 21.0% | — | — | 4.76 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (home no bet) | 45.5% | 51.2% | 51.7% | 0.99× | 1.95 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 54.5% | 48.8% | 48.3% | 1.01× | 2.05 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan even goals | 50.7% | 50.2% | 48.3% | 1.04× | 1.99 |
| Shandong Taishan odd goals | 49.3% | 49.8% | 51.7% | 0.96× | 2.01 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 25.9% | 28.0% | — | — | 3.57 |
| HT 1-0 | 24.0% | 22.7% | — | — | 4.41 |
| HT 2-0 | 11.2% | 11.2% | — | — | 8.95 |
| HT 0-1 | 10.8% | 11.2% | — | — | 8.95 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.2% | 11.2% | — | — | 8.96 |
| Any other HT score | 7.7% | 7.7% | — | — | 13.00 |
| HT 2-1 | 4.7% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.73 |
| HT 0-2 | 2.3% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.87 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.1% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.88 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.0% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.94 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan at HT / Shandong Taishan at FT | 40.4% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Draw at HT / Shandong Taishan at FT | 18.6% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 11.6% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.36 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng at HT / Shenzhen Xinpengcheng at FT | 8.7% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.18 |
| Draw at HT / Shenzhen Xinpengcheng at FT | 6.9% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.23 |
| Shandong Taishan at HT / Draw at FT | 4.7% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.31 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng at HT / Draw at FT | 4.1% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.34 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng at HT / Shandong Taishan at FT | 3.3% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.37 |
| Shandong Taishan at HT / Shenzhen Xinpengcheng at FT | 1.6% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.45 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan to score last | 64.4% | 60.4% | — | — | 1.66 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to score last | 31.3% | 35.7% | — | — | 2.80 |
| No goal scored | 4.3% | 4.1% | — | — | 24.67 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 95.7% | 95.9% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Shandong Taishan to lead by 1 at any time | 75.3% | 78.3% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 57.7% | 59.6% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Shandong Taishan to lead by 2 at any time | 46.9% | 46.1% | — | — | 2.17 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to lead by 1 at any time | 36.6% | 37.2% | — | — | 2.69 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 26.9% | 26.0% | — | — | 3.85 |
| Shandong Taishan to lead by 3 at any time | 24.1% | 19.8% | — | — | 5.04 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to lead by 2 at any time | 11.1% | 11.3% | — | — | 8.85 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to lead by 3 at any time | 2.8% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.33 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 84.9% | 81.6% | 84.7% | 0.96× | 1.23 |
| 2-6 goals | 78.9% | 78.9% | 77.9% | 1.01× | 1.27 |
| 1-4 goals | 73.4% | 73.6% | 74.7% | 0.99× | 1.36 |
| 2-5 goals | 72.7% | 73.6% | 70.8% | 1.04× | 1.36 |
| 2-4 goals | 61.2% | 62.3% | 60.8% | 1.02× | 1.61 |
| 3-6 goals | 57.9% | 58.8% | 56.0% | 1.05× | 1.70 |
| 1-3 goals | 55.5% | 58.7% | 55.1% | 1.06× | 1.70 |
| 3-5 goals | 51.7% | 52.3% | 49.0% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| 2-3 goals | 43.3% | 43.6% | 41.2% | 1.06× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 40.1% | 43.6% | 39.0% | 1.12× | 2.29 |
| 4-6 goals | 35.6% | 38.8% | 36.9% | 1.05× | 2.58 |
| 1-2 goals | 33.2% | 34.1% | 36.0% | 0.95× | 2.93 |
| 4-5 goals | 29.4% | 30.5% | 29.8% | 1.02× | 3.28 |
| 5-6 goals | 17.7% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 1.05× | 5.52 |
| 7+ goals | 4.6% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 0.50× | 48.55 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan never behind | 59.1% | 63.2% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng never behind | 20.4% | 23.8% | — | — | 4.21 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 49.3% | 50.1% | 46.2% | 1.08× | 2.00 |
| Even number of goals | 50.7% | 49.9% | 53.8% | 0.93× | 2.01 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 53.5% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 46.5% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.4% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.6% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95.7% | 95.6% | 95.7% | 1.00× | 1.05 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 89.2% | 88.8% | 88.8% | 1.00× | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.5% | 81.0% | 81.8% | 0.99× | 1.24 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 77.7% | 78.3% | 78.8% | 0.99× | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.4% | 61.5% | 59.9% | 1.03× | 1.63 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59.8% | 57.8% | 59.2% | 0.98× | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.2% | 42.2% | 40.8% | 1.04× | 2.37 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37.6% | 38.5% | 40.1% | 0.96× | 2.60 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 22.3% | 21.7% | 21.2% | 1.03× | 4.60 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16.5% | 19.0% | 18.2% | 1.04× | 5.26 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 1.00× | 8.92 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.01× | 22.81 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 95.1% | 97.2% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 87.8% | 88.1% | 87.6% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 79.1% | 76.6% | 76.7% | 1.00× | 1.31 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 72.8% | 72.1% | 73.7% | 0.98× | 1.39 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 51.7% | 53.0% | 50.4% | 1.05× | 1.89 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 48.3% | 47.0% | 49.6% | 0.95× | 2.13 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 27.2% | 27.9% | 26.3% | 1.06× | 3.59 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 20.9% | 23.4% | 23.3% | 1.00× | 4.27 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 0.96× | 8.41 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 4.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 0.64× | 35.70 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 84.5% | 83.8% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 74.1% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 60.7% | 63.0% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 39.3% | 37.0% | — | — | 2.70 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 25.9% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.63 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 15.5% | 16.2% | — | — | 6.18 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 84.4% | 82.1% | — | — | 1.22 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 71.3% | 76.2% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 55.8% | 54.1% | — | — | 1.85 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 44.2% | 45.9% | — | — | 2.18 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 28.7% | 23.8% | — | — | 4.21 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 15.6% | 17.9% | — | — | 5.59 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng not to score in both halves | 83.9% | 81.6% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Shandong Taishan not to score in both halves | 57.0% | 59.9% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Shandong Taishan to score in both halves | 43.0% | 40.1% | — | — | 2.50 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to score in both halves | 16.1% | 18.4% | — | — | 5.43 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 58.0% | 57.8% | 63.1% | 0.92× | 1.73 |
| Only Shandong Taishan scores | 30.5% | 35.9% | 23.2% | 1.55× | 2.78 |
| Only Shenzhen Xinpengcheng scores | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 0.68× | 15.04 |
| Neither team scores | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 0.91× | 25.51 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.2% | 21.5% | 19.4% | 1.11× | 4.64 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 21.0% | 21.5% | 22.1% | 0.97× | 4.64 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 17.9% | 18.6% | 19.8% | 0.94× | 5.39 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 12.2% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 0.88× | 8.09 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 1.21× | 8.10 |
| 6 or more goals | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 1.11× | 8.10 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.01× | 22.85 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 55.8% | 54.8% | — | — | 1.83 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 28.6% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.51 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 15.6% | 18.3% | — | — | 5.48 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng not to win both halves | 96.9% | 96.7% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Shandong Taishan not to win both halves | 76.2% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Shandong Taishan to win both halves | 23.8% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.98 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to win both halves | 3.1% | 3.3% | — | — | 30.09 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan to win either half | 73.7% | 72.4% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to win neither half | 68.0% | 67.2% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to win either half | 32.0% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
| Shandong Taishan to win neither half | 26.3% | 27.6% | — | — | 3.62 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng not to win to nil | 92.9% | 92.3% | 90.2% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Shandong Taishan not to win to nil | 69.5% | 65.0% | 76.8% | 0.85× | 1.54 |
| Shandong Taishan to win to nil | 30.5% | 35.0% | 23.2% | 1.51× | 2.85 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to win to nil | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 0.78× | 13.07 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan by 1 | 22.8% | 23.7% | 21.0% | 1.13× | 4.21 |
| Shandong Taishan by 3+ | 20.7% | 23.7% | 10.7% | 2.22× | 4.22 |
| Draw | 20.5% | 23.7% | 26.2% | 0.91× | 4.22 |
| Shandong Taishan by 2 | 18.9% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 1.15× | 5.89 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng by 1 | 10.9% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 0.72× | 8.45 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng by 2 | 4.5% | 2.8% | 7.1% | 0.40× | 35.13 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng by 3+ | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 0.56× | 35.53 |