Shanghai Port v Liaoning Tieren — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · CHN-Super League · 2627

CHN-Super League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Shanghai Port

07:30 UTC

Liaoning Tieren

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 332h before kick-off

Shanghai Port win

60.4%

model 60.6%

Draw

21.7%

model 22.2%

Liaoning Tieren win

17.9%

model 17.3%

602218

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.5%
2-0 10.5%
1-0 10.4%
2-1 9.9%
3-0 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.4%	Under 2.5	44.6%
BTTS yes	52.8%	BTTS no	47.2%
Shanghai Port 1+	85.8%	Shanghai Port 2+	58.1%
Liaoning Tieren 1+	61.1%	Liaoning Tieren 2+	24.4%

Expected goals 1.95 – 0.95. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

24/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Shanghai Port (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 46%

63.6% fair odds 1.57

strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Liaoning Tieren not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Shanghai Port carry the stronger rating, 1627 Elo against 1436.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0107 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Shanghai Port have an estimated 60.4% win probability, against 21.7% for the draw and 17.9% for Liaoning Tieren. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.95 for Shanghai Port and 0.94 for Liaoning Tieren.

Why Shanghai Port

Shanghai Port carry the stronger rating, 1627 Elo against 1436. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.7%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Liaoning Tieren can win

Nothing in the data singles out Liaoning Tieren.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Shanghai Port, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Liaoning Tieren, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Shanghai Port: 59% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Liaoning Tieren: 59% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Shanghai Port are the model's most likely outcome at 60.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%. Confidence 24/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	612217	1.95–0.95	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	612217	1.97–0.92	2-0 11%	55%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port to win	61.3%	58.2%	46.0%	1.26×	1.72
Draw	22.0%	24.5%	26.3%	0.93×	4.09
Liaoning Tieren to win	16.6%	19.4%	27.9%	0.69×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port & not both score	33.8%	29.6%	23.4%	1.27×	3.38
Shanghai Port & both teams score	27.5%	25.2%	22.9%	1.10×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	16.1%	18.0%	22.2%	0.81×	5.57
Liaoning Tieren & both teams score	8.6%	8.3%	18.4%	0.45×	12.01
Liaoning Tieren & not both score	8.1%	8.3%	9.8%	0.85×	12.01
Draw & not both score	5.9%	8.3%	4.3%	1.93×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port & over 1.5	50.7%	48.8%	36.3%	1.35×	2.05
Shanghai Port & over 2.5	40.0%	34.9%	29.3%	1.19×	2.87
Shanghai Port & under 3.5	38.3%	34.9%	27.4%	1.27×	2.87
Shanghai Port & over 3.5	23.0%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Shanghai Port & under 2.5	21.3%	21.6%	17.0%	1.27×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	16.4%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.4%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.1%	18.0%	22.2%	0.81×	5.56
Liaoning Tieren & under 3.5	12.5%	12.8%	15.9%	0.81×	7.79
Liaoning Tieren & over 1.5	11.9%	12.8%	23.6%	0.54×	7.79
Shanghai Port & under 1.5	10.6%	12.8%	10.0%	1.29×	7.79
Liaoning Tieren & over 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	20.9%	0.38×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.9%	7.9%	4.3%	1.84×	12.63
Liaoning Tieren & under 2.5	7.1%	7.9%	7.3%	1.09×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.6%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.6%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.63
Liaoning Tieren & under 1.5	4.8%	4.8%	4.5%	1.06×	20.81
Liaoning Tieren & over 3.5	4.1%	4.8%	12.2%	0.39×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port (1UP)	73.4%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Liaoning Tieren (1UP)	34.4%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port (2UP)	61.3%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Liaoning Tieren (2UP)	16.6%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port to win 2nd half	49.4%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
2nd half drawn	32.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Liaoning Tieren to win 2nd half	18.0%	18.0%	—	—	5.57

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.3%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
Liaoning Tieren under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.5%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Liaoning Tieren over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.5%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Liaoning Tieren over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.7%	13.1%	—	—	7.65

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.2%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Shanghai Port over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.4%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Shanghai Port under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Shanghai Port over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.8%	29.1%	—	—	3.43

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port (+0.5)	83.4%	82.6%	72.1%	1.14×	1.21
Liaoning Tieren (+2.5)	81.6%	82.5%	89.3%	0.92×	1.21
Liaoning Tieren (+1.5)	62.7%	62.9%	74.8%	0.84×	1.59
Shanghai Port (-0.5)	61.3%	62.9%	46.0%	1.37×	1.59
Liaoning Tieren (+0.5)	38.7%	37.1%	54.0%	0.69×	2.70
Shanghai Port (-1.5)	37.3%	37.1%	25.2%	1.47×	2.70
Shanghai Port (-2.5)	18.4%	17.5%	10.7%	1.64×	5.73
Liaoning Tieren (-0.5)	16.6%	17.4%	27.9%	0.63×	5.73

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren to concede	86.0%	86.2%	86.2%	1.00×	1.16
Liaoning Tieren clean sheet	14.0%	13.8%	13.8%	1.00×	7.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren to concede in 1st half	57.0%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Liaoning Tieren clean sheet in 1st half	43.0%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren to concede in 2nd half	67.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Liaoning Tieren clean sheet in 2nd half	32.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren under 6.5 corners	90.0%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Liaoning Tieren under 5.5 corners	82.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Liaoning Tieren under 4.5 corners	69.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Liaoning Tieren over 2.5 corners	65.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Liaoning Tieren under 3.5 corners	53.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Liaoning Tieren over 3.5 corners	46.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Liaoning Tieren under 2.5 corners	34.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Liaoning Tieren over 4.5 corners	30.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Liaoning Tieren over 5.5 corners	18.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
Liaoning Tieren over 6.5 corners	10.0%	10.1%	—	—	9.86

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren under 3.5 goals	98.5%	97.5%	93.0%	1.05×	1.03
Liaoning Tieren under 2.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	83.2%	1.11×	1.08
Liaoning Tieren under 1.5 goals	76.4%	76.2%	61.0%	1.25×	1.31
Liaoning Tieren over 0.5 goals	60.2%	63.2%	72.6%	0.87×	1.58
Liaoning Tieren under 0.5 goals	39.8%	36.8%	27.4%	1.34×	2.72
Liaoning Tieren over 1.5 goals	23.6%	23.8%	39.0%	0.61×	4.21
Liaoning Tieren over 2.5 goals	6.7%	7.7%	16.8%	0.46×	13.07
Liaoning Tieren over 3.5 goals	1.5%	2.5%	7.0%	0.36×	39.99

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren under 1.5 in 1st half	94.7%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Liaoning Tieren under 0.5 in 1st half	69.2%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Liaoning Tieren over 0.5 in 1st half	30.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Liaoning Tieren over 1.5 in 1st half	5.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.33

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren scores equally in both	48.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Liaoning Tieren scores more in 2nd half	32.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Liaoning Tieren scores more in 1st half	19.5%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port (away no bet)	73.6%	68.4%	63.6%	1.08×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	26.4%	31.6%	36.4%	0.87×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren even goals	57.9%	56.9%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Liaoning Tieren odd goals	42.1%	43.1%	45.4%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.2%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.8%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.3%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Shanghai Port to score 2+ in a row	51.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.2%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Shanghai Port to score 3+ in a row	23.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Liaoning Tieren to score 2+ in a row	15.8%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Liaoning Tieren to score 3+ in a row	3.1%	2.6%	—	—	38.89

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port corners (+3.5)	94.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Shanghai Port corners (+2.5)	90.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Shanghai Port corners (+1.5)	84.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Liaoning Tieren corners (+3.5)	67.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Liaoning Tieren corners (+2.5)	57.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Shanghai Port corners (-1.5)	54.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Liaoning Tieren corners (+1.5)	45.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Shanghai Port corners (-2.5)	42.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Shanghai Port corners (-3.5)	32.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Liaoning Tieren corners (-1.5)	15.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Liaoning Tieren corners (-2.5)	9.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Liaoning Tieren corners (-3.5)	5.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.8%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	24.4%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.7%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 7.5 corners	65.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 9.5 corners	56.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 9.5 corners	43.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	34.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	33.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	24.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	17.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	10.6%	11.5%	10.0%	1.15×	8.72
2-0	10.8%	11.5%	7.3%	1.58×	8.72
1-1	10.5%	11.5%	12.5%	0.92×	8.72
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
3-0	7.1%	7.4%	3.4%	2.18×	13.51
3-1	6.5%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.51
0-0	5.9%	7.4%	4.3%	1.72×	13.51
Any other score	5.2%	7.4%	4.8%	1.55×	13.51
0-1	4.8%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.29
0-2	2.4%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.31
0-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.32
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.51×	58.32
1-2	4.7%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.29
1-3	1.4%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.51×	58.32
2-2	4.6%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.29
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.26×	58.32
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.30
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.32
4-0	3.5%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.30
4-1	3.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.52×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port (2nd half DNB)	73.2%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Liaoning Tieren (2nd half DNB)	26.8%	28.7%	—	—	3.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port leading at HT (DNB)	74.7%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Liaoning Tieren leading at HT (DNB)	25.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port or draw (1X)	83.4%	80.6%	72.1%	1.12×	1.24
Shanghai Port or Liaoning Tieren (12)	78.0%	75.5%	73.7%	1.03×	1.32
Liaoning Tieren or draw (X2)	38.7%	41.8%	54.0%	0.77×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port or draw at HT	84.8%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Shanghai Port or Liaoning Tieren at HT	60.2%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Liaoning Tieren or draw at HT	55.1%	57.6%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port or draw (1UP)	83.4%	88.8%	—	—	1.13
Liaoning Tieren or draw (1UP)	38.7%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port or draw in 2nd half	82.0%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Shanghai Port or Liaoning Tieren in 2nd half	67.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Liaoning Tieren or draw in 2nd half	50.6%	54.2%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.0%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	41.0%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port (DNB)	78.7%	74.8%	62.3%	1.20×	1.34
Liaoning Tieren (DNB)	21.3%	25.2%	37.7%	0.67×	3.97

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port to score first	64.0%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Liaoning Tieren to score first	30.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.63
No goal scored	5.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.53

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.2%	51.3%	63.0%	0.81×	1.95
Not both teams to score	47.8%	48.7%	37.0%	1.32×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.7%	41.6%	50.8%	0.82×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	34.4%	34.5%	28.1%	1.23×	2.90
Not both score & over 2.5	13.4%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.08
Both score & under 2.5	10.5%	12.4%	12.5%	0.99×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.2%	85.6%	78.5%	1.09×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.8%	14.4%	21.5%	0.67×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.2%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.8%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.6%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	23.7%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Both score 1st half only	12.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
Both score in both halves	5.0%	6.8%	—	—	14.78

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.3%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.3%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	42.7%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.0%	47.2%	41.3%	1.14×	2.12
4-6 goals	29.9%	26.6%	36.7%	0.72×	3.76
0-1 goals	21.3%	22.9%	18.4%	1.25×	4.37
7+ goals	2.8%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.25

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren to score exactly 0	39.8%	35.9%	27.4%	1.31×	2.78
Liaoning Tieren to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	33.8%	1.06×	2.78
Liaoning Tieren to score exactly 2	16.9%	19.6%	22.4%	0.87×	5.11
Liaoning Tieren to score 3+	6.7%	8.5%	16.8%	0.51×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port to score 3+	31.4%	32.6%	26.1%	1.25×	3.07
Shanghai Port to score exactly 1	27.5%	26.6%	34.5%	0.77×	3.77
Shanghai Port to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.5%	26.1%	1.02×	3.77
Shanghai Port to score exactly 0	14.0%	14.3%	13.8%	1.04×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port leading at HT	44.9%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Draw at HT	39.8%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Liaoning Tieren leading at HT	15.2%	15.9%	—	—	6.28

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port -1: 2	38.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Shanghai Port -1: 1	37.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Shanghai Port -1: X	24.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren (0:1)	38.7%	37.3%	54.0%	0.69×	2.68
Shanghai Port (0:1)	37.3%	37.3%	25.2%	1.48×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	24.0%	24.2%	21.1%	1.15×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren (0:2)	62.7%	67.1%	74.8%	0.90×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	18.9%	15.3%	14.7%	1.04×	6.55
Shanghai Port (0:2)	18.4%	15.3%	10.7%	1.43×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren (0:3)	81.6%	85.3%	89.3%	0.96×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.9%	9.9%	5.9%	1.68×	10.10
Shanghai Port (0:3)	7.5%	5.8%	5.0%	1.16×	17.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren (0:4)	92.5%	94.5%	95.0%	1.00×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.9%	1.2%	3.9%	0.32×	81.62
Shanghai Port (0:4)	2.6%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	81.88

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port (1:0)	83.4%	81.4%	72.1%	1.13×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.1%	12.7%	16.3%	0.78×	7.88
Liaoning Tieren (1:0)	5.6%	6.9%	11.8%	0.58×	14.51

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port (2:0)	94.4%	94.0%	88.2%	1.07×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.2%	2.3%	7.0%	0.33×	43.63
Liaoning Tieren (2:0)	1.4%	2.3%	5.0%	0.46×	43.80

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.8%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	24.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port to concede	60.2%	63.6%	72.6%	0.88×	1.57
Shanghai Port clean sheet	39.8%	36.4%	27.4%	1.33×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port clean sheet in 1st half	69.2%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Shanghai Port to concede in 1st half	30.8%	29.6%	—	—	3.38

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port clean sheet in 2nd half	57.5%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Shanghai Port to concede in 2nd half	42.5%	45.4%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port over 2.5 corners	86.9%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Shanghai Port over 3.5 corners	75.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Shanghai Port under 6.5 corners	66.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Shanghai Port over 4.5 corners	60.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Shanghai Port under 5.5 corners	53.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Shanghai Port over 5.5 corners	46.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Shanghai Port under 4.5 corners	39.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Shanghai Port over 6.5 corners	33.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Shanghai Port under 3.5 corners	25.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Shanghai Port under 2.5 corners	13.1%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port under 3.5 goals	86.4%	87.3%	89.6%	0.97×	1.15
Shanghai Port over 0.5 goals	86.0%	87.2%	86.2%	1.01×	1.15
Shanghai Port under 2.5 goals	68.6%	68.0%	73.9%	0.92×	1.47
Shanghai Port over 1.5 goals	58.4%	58.6%	51.9%	1.13×	1.71
Shanghai Port under 1.5 goals	41.6%	41.4%	48.1%	0.86×	2.42
Shanghai Port over 2.5 goals	31.4%	32.0%	26.1%	1.23×	3.12
Shanghai Port under 0.5 goals	14.0%	12.8%	13.8%	0.92×	7.84
Shanghai Port over 3.5 goals	13.6%	12.8%	10.4%	1.22×	7.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port under 1.5 in 1st half	79.3%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Shanghai Port over 0.5 in 1st half	57.0%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Shanghai Port under 0.5 in 1st half	43.0%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Shanghai Port over 1.5 in 1st half	20.7%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port scores more in 2nd half	41.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Shanghai Port scores equally in both	30.8%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Shanghai Port scores more in 1st half	27.4%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.0%	56.4%	48.5%	1.16×	1.77
Liaoning Tieren (home no bet)	43.0%	43.6%	51.5%	0.85×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port even goals	51.0%	50.7%	48.1%	1.05×	1.97
Shanghai Port odd goals	49.0%	49.3%	51.9%	0.95×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 1-0	25.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 0-1	10.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 1-1	9.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
Any other HT score	6.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-1	3.9%	2.4%	—	—	41.95
HT 0-2	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.16

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port at HT / Shanghai Port at FT	39.0%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Draw at HT / Shanghai Port at FT	19.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Liaoning Tieren at HT / Liaoning Tieren at FT	8.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.41
Draw at HT / Liaoning Tieren at FT	7.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.45
Shanghai Port at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Liaoning Tieren at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Liaoning Tieren at HT / Shanghai Port at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Shanghai Port at HT / Liaoning Tieren at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port to score last	64.1%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Liaoning Tieren to score last	30.0%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
No goal scored	5.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.53

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.1%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Shanghai Port to lead by 1 at any time	73.4%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Shanghai Port to lead by 2 at any time	43.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Liaoning Tieren to lead by 1 at any time	34.4%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Shanghai Port to lead by 3 at any time	21.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Liaoning Tieren to lead by 2 at any time	9.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.86
Liaoning Tieren to lead by 3 at any time	2.2%	1.6%	—	—	62.81

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port most corners	65.6%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Liaoning Tieren most corners	24.2%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.8%	87.4%	84.8%	1.03×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.5%	78.7%	74.8%	1.05×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.9%	78.7%	77.8%	1.01×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.4%	72.3%	70.7%	1.02×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.1%	63.3%	60.8%	1.04×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.3%	63.3%	55.3%	1.14×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.3%	53.2%	55.8%	0.95×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.8%	48.5%	48.8%	0.99×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.0%	48.5%	41.3%	1.17×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.0%	39.2%	36.3%	1.08×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.5%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.9%	30.2%	36.7%	0.82×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.5%	30.2%	29.7%	1.02×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.8%	14.8%	17.2%	0.86×	6.75
7+ goals	2.8%	2.6%	4.1%	0.63×	39.13

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port never behind	59.7%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Liaoning Tieren never behind	20.6%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.1%	50.9%	46.3%	1.10×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.9%	49.1%	53.7%	0.91×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.5%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.1%	92.3%	95.7%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	88.9%	1.04×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.4%	82.3%	78.9%	1.04×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.7%	77.3%	81.6%	0.95×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.3%	66.3%	59.4%	1.12×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.1%	58.6%	59.6%	0.98×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	44.9%	41.4%	40.4%	1.03×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	32.7%	33.7%	40.6%	0.83×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.3%	22.7%	18.4%	1.24×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	16.6%	17.7%	21.1%	0.84×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	11.1%	0.70×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	5.9%	7.7%	4.3%	1.79×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.1%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.0%	92.4%	87.7%	1.05×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.2%	81.1%	73.8%	1.10×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.1%	72.4%	76.5%	0.95×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.8%	55.8%	49.9%	1.12×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.2%	44.2%	50.1%	0.88×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.9%	27.6%	23.5%	1.17×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.8%	18.9%	26.2%	0.72×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.0%	7.6%	12.3%	0.62×	13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.9%	2.8%	4.4%	0.64×	35.58

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.7%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.2%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.8%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.11

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren not to score in both halves	86.9%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Shanghai Port not to score in both halves	61.6%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Shanghai Port to score in both halves	38.4%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Liaoning Tieren to score in both halves	13.1%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.2%	53.8%	63.0%	0.85×	1.86
Only Shanghai Port scores	33.8%	33.3%	23.4%	1.43×	3.00
Only Liaoning Tieren scores	8.1%	7.1%	9.8%	0.73×	14.03
Neither team scores	5.9%	7.1%	4.3%	1.65×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.6%	22.6%	22.2%	1.02×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.1%	17.5%	19.7%	0.88×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.4%	17.5%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.3%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.14
6 or more goals	7.3%	7.6%	11.1%	0.68×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.9%	7.6%	4.3%	1.77×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	29.8%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	21.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	12.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.19

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.0%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	31.1%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	18.9%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren not to win both halves	97.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Shanghai Port not to win both halves	77.7%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Shanghai Port to win both halves	22.3%	24.6%	—	—	4.06
Liaoning Tieren to win both halves	2.8%	2.8%	—	—	35.86

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port to win either half	72.0%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Liaoning Tieren to win neither half	69.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Liaoning Tieren to win either half	30.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Shanghai Port to win neither half	28.0%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liaoning Tieren not to win to nil	91.9%	92.1%	90.2%	1.02×	1.09
Shanghai Port not to win to nil	66.2%	69.6%	76.6%	0.91×	1.44
Shanghai Port to win to nil	33.8%	30.4%	23.4%	1.30×	3.29
Liaoning Tieren to win to nil	8.1%	7.9%	9.8%	0.81×	12.62

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Port by 1	24.0%	24.1%	21.1%	1.14×	4.15
Draw	22.0%	24.1%	26.3%	0.92×	4.15
Shanghai Port by 2	18.9%	17.1%	14.7%	1.16×	5.87
Shanghai Port by 3+	18.4%	17.0%	10.7%	1.60×	5.87
Liaoning Tieren by 1	11.1%	11.7%	16.3%	0.72×	8.51
Liaoning Tieren by 2	4.2%	2.7%	7.0%	0.39×	36.80
Liaoning Tieren by 3+	1.4%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.89