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Sheffield United v Liverpool — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 6 December 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324

Premier League xG

0–2
0.83 – 1.80 xG
Shots
5 – 15
On target
1 – 8
Shots in box
4 – 11
xG per shot
0.17 – 0.12
Set-piece xG
0.07 – 0.71
Goals − xG
-0.83 – +0.20
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.51.01.52.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Virgil van Dijk 36' — goalDominik Szoboszlai 93' — goal
Sheffield United 0.83 xGLiverpool 1.80 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Mohamed Salah 9' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Mohamed Salah 10' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)James McAtee 11' — Saved Shot (0.56 xG, Open Play)Cameron Archer 17' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Virgil van Dijk 20' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Ibrahima Konaté 22' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Virgil van Dijk 36' — Goal (0.29 xG, From Corner)Virgil van Dijk 39' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Trent Alexander-Arnold 41' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mohamed Salah 44' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)James McAtee 47' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Alexis Mac Allister 49' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mohamed Salah 55' — Saved Shot (0.30 xG, From Corner)Darwin Núñez 76' — Saved Shot (0.33 xG, Open Play)Joseph Gomez 76' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Harvey Elliott 81' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Curtis Jones 82' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Cameron Archer 86' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Cameron Archer 88' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Dominik Szoboszlai 93' — Goal (0.31 xG, Open Play)
Sheffield United attacking right Liverpool attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
9' Liverpool Mohamed Salah 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Luis Díaz
10' Liverpool Mohamed Salah 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
11' Sheffield United James McAtee 0.56 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
17' Sheffield United Cameron Archer 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot William Osula
20' Liverpool Virgil van Dijk 0.04 From Corner Saved Shot Trent Alexander-Arnold
22' Liverpool Ibrahima Konaté 0.05 From Corner Saved Shot Mohamed Salah
36' Liverpool Virgil van Dijk 0.29 From Corner Right Foot Goal Trent Alexander-Arnold
39' Liverpool Virgil van Dijk 0.04 From Corner Missed Shot Trent Alexander-Arnold
41' Liverpool Trent Alexander-Arnold 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Dominik Szoboszlai
44' Liverpool Mohamed Salah 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Dominik Szoboszlai
47' Sheffield United James McAtee 0.04 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot
49' Liverpool Alexis Mac Allister 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Trent Alexander-Arnold
55' Liverpool Mohamed Salah 0.30 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot Trent Alexander-Arnold
76' Liverpool Darwin Núñez 0.33 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Trent Alexander-Arnold
76' Liverpool Joseph Gomez 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Cody Gakpo
81' Liverpool Harvey Elliott 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Trent Alexander-Arnold
82' Liverpool Curtis Jones 0.13 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Harvey Elliott
86' Sheffield United Cameron Archer 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot James McAtee
88' Sheffield United Cameron Archer 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
93' Liverpool Dominik Szoboszlai 0.31 Open Play Right Foot Goal Darwin Núñez

Players

Sheffield United

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
James McAtee AMC 90 0 0 2 1 0.60 0.11 0.66
Cameron Archer AMC 90 0 0 3 0 0.24 0.00 0.21
Jack Robinson DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Wes Foderingham GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Vinicius Souza MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jayden Bogle DMR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Anel Ahmedhodzic DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gustavo Hamer MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Auston Trusty DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
William Osula FW 81 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.10
Andre Brooks DML 80 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
John Fleck Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bénie Traoré Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Oliver Norwood Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Max Lowe Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Liverpool

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Virgil van Dijk DC 90 1 0 3 0 0.37 0.00 0.56
Dominik Szoboszlai MC 90 1 0 1 2 0.31 0.11 0.90
Joseph Gomez DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.29
Ibrahima Konaté DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.43
Trent Alexander-Arnold DR 90 0 1 1 7 0.02 1.04 0.53
Caoimhin Kelleher GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.33
Cody Gakpo FW 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.29
Wataru Endo MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.52
Mohamed Salah FWR 73 0 0 4 1 0.47 0.05 0.18
Luis Díaz FWL 73 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.08
Alexis Mac Allister MC 65 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Curtis Jones Sub 25 0 0 1 0 0.13 0.00 0.13
Darwin Núñez Sub 17 0 1 1 1 0.33 0.31 0.65
Harvey Elliott Sub 17 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.13 0.56
Ryan Gravenberch Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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