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Sheffield United v Newcastle United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 24 September 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324

Premier League xG

Sheffield United
0–8
0.58 – 5.11 xG
Newcastle United
Shots
9 – 22
On target
1 – 15
Shots in box
7 – 17
xG per shot
0.06 – 0.23
Set-piece xG
0.17 – 0.76
Goals − xG
-0.58 – +2.85
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.42.94.35.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Sean Longstaff 20' — goalDan Burn 30' — goalSven Botman 34' — goalCallum Wilson 55' — goalAnthony Gordon 60' — goalMiguel Almirón 67' — goalBruno Guimarães 72' — goalAlexander Isak 86' — goal
Sheffield United 0.58 xGNewcastle United 5.15 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Luke Thomas 2' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Callum Wilson 6' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Luke Thomas 13' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Gustavo Hamer 17' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Vinicius Souza 17' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Sean Longstaff 20' — Goal (0.59 xG, Open Play)Jack Robinson 24' — Blocked Shot (0.13 xG, Set Piece)Gustavo Hamer 26' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Miguel Almirón 29' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Dan Burn 30' — Goal (0.45 xG, From Corner)Callum Wilson 32' — Saved Shot (0.38 xG, Open Play)Sven Botman 34' — Goal (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Callum Wilson 37' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Callum Wilson 42' — Saved Shot (0.31 xG, Open Play)Anthony Gordon 43' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Elliot Anderson 44' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Miguel Almirón 45' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Anthony Gordon 50' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Callum Wilson 55' — Goal (0.68 xG, Open Play)Anthony Gordon 60' — Saved Shot (0.36 xG, Open Play)Anthony Gordon 60' — Goal (0.04 xG, Open Play)Miguel Almirón 67' — Goal (0.44 xG, Open Play)Anel Ahmedhodzic 70' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Bruno Guimarães 72' — Goal (0.54 xG, Open Play)Sean Longstaff 72' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Elliot Anderson 79' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Dan Burn 80' — Blocked Shot (0.13 xG, From Corner)Fabian Schär 80' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Tom Davies 83' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Alexander Isak 86' — Goal (0.65 xG, Open Play)Tom Davies 95' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)
Sheffield United attacking right Newcastle United attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
2' Sheffield United Luke Thomas 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Jayden Bogle
6' Newcastle United Callum Wilson 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Bruno Guimarães
13' Sheffield United Luke Thomas 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot James McAtee
17' Sheffield United Gustavo Hamer 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot James McAtee
17' Sheffield United Vinicius Souza 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Gustavo Hamer
20' Newcastle United Sean Longstaff 0.59 Open Play Left Foot Goal Anthony Gordon
24' Sheffield United Jack Robinson 0.13 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot —
26' Sheffield United Gustavo Hamer 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
29' Newcastle United Miguel Almirón 0.06 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Kieran Trippier
30' Newcastle United Dan Burn 0.45 From Corner — Goal Kieran Trippier
32' Newcastle United Callum Wilson 0.38 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Anthony Gordon
34' Newcastle United Sven Botman 0.03 Set Piece — Goal Kieran Trippier
37' Newcastle United Callum Wilson 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Bruno Guimarães
42' Newcastle United Callum Wilson 0.31 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Anthony Gordon
43' Newcastle United Anthony Gordon 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
44' Newcastle United Elliot Anderson 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Kieran Trippier
45' Newcastle United Miguel Almirón 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Bruno Guimarães
50' Newcastle United Anthony Gordon 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Elliot Anderson
55' Newcastle United Callum Wilson 0.68 Open Play — Goal Kieran Trippier
60' Newcastle United Anthony Gordon 0.36 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Elliot Anderson
60' Newcastle United Anthony Gordon 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Goal Elliot Anderson
67' Newcastle United Miguel Almirón 0.44 Open Play Left Foot Goal Bruno Guimarães
70' Sheffield United Anel Ahmedhodzic 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Bénie Traoré
72' Newcastle United Bruno Guimarães 0.54 Open Play Right Foot Goal —
72' Newcastle United Sean Longstaff 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
79' Newcastle United Elliot Anderson 0.03 From Corner — Saved Shot Sandro Tonali
80' Newcastle United Dan Burn 0.13 From Corner — Blocked Shot Sandro Tonali
80' Newcastle United Fabian Schär 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
83' Sheffield United Tom Davies 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Chris Basham
86' Newcastle United Alexander Isak 0.65 Open Play Right Foot Goal —
95' Sheffield United Tom Davies 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Cameron Archer

Players

Newcastle United

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Sean Longstaff MC 90 1 0 2 0 0.67 0.00 2.05
Dan Burn DL 90 1 0 2 0 0.58 0.00 1.44
Elliot Anderson MC 90 0 1 2 3 0.07 0.48 2.10
Sven Botman DC 90 1 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.70
Fabian Schär DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 1.61
Nick Pope GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.44
Bruno Guimarães MC 87 1 1 1 4 0.54 0.64 2.69
Anthony Gordon Sub 79 1 1 4 3 0.51 1.28 1.85
Callum Wilson FW 76 1 0 5 0 1.51 0.00 1.51
Miguel Almirón FWR 76 1 0 3 0 0.55 0.00 0.54
Kieran Trippier DR 76 0 3 0 5 0.00 1.26 1.30
Alexander Isak Sub 14 1 0 1 0 0.65 0.00 0.65
Valentino Livramento Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sandro Tonali Sub 14 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.16 0.00
Harvey Barnes FWL 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Lewis Hall Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Sheffield United

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Luke Thomas DML 90 0 0 2 0 0.13 0.00 0.23
Jack Robinson DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.13 0.00 0.00
Anel Ahmedhodzic DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.21
Vinicius Souza MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.17
Wes Foderingham GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Cameron Archer FW 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.23
John Egan DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
James McAtee AMC 81 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.16 0.22
Gustavo Hamer AMC 72 0 0 2 1 0.12 0.02 0.16
Oliver Norwood MC 68 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Jayden Bogle DMR 52 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.13
Bénie Traoré Sub 38 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.10
Tom Davies Sub 22 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.18
Anis Ben Slimane Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Chris Basham Sub 9 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.06
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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