Sheffield United v Southampton — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 24 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Sheffield United

19:45 UTC

Southampton

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 729h before kick-off

Sheffield United win

26.4%

model 25.4%

Draw

26.5%

model 25.9%

Southampton win

47.1%

model 48.8%

262647

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.1%
1-2 9.6%
0-2 7.7%
0-1 7.4%
2-1 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.1%	Under 2.5	41.9%
BTTS yes	60.3%	BTTS no	39.7%
Sheffield United 1+	71.0%	Sheffield United 2+	35.1%
Southampton 1+	83.1%	Southampton 2+	53.1%

Expected goals 1.24 – 1.78. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

49/100

Data quality

80/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Southampton over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 30%

51.2% fair odds 1.95

strong signal · 624 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Southampton not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.4% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Southampton carry the stronger rating, 1628 Elo against 1496.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Southampton have an estimated 47.1% win probability, against 26.5% for the draw and 26.4% for Sheffield United. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.24 for Sheffield United and 1.78 for Southampton.

Why Sheffield United

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Southampton can win

Southampton carry the stronger rating, 1628 Elo against 1496. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Sheffield United's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Ben Brereton Díaz (0.39), Oliver McBurnie (0.30), Cameron Archer (0.28). Southampton's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Mateus Fernandes (0.20), Paul Onuachu (0.20), Cameron Archer (0.17).

Availability

1 of Sheffield United's top three contributors did not start their last match. 2 of Southampton's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sheffield United: 40% possession, 8.2 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.36 xG a match from set pieces. Southampton: 57% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.24 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Southampton are the model's most likely outcome at 47.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%. Confidence 49/100, data quality 80/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Sheffield United are finishing below their chances — 2.8 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 9.0 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

DLDLLLLLLL last 10 scored 11 from 13.8 xG conceded 30 from 21.1 xG

Southampton have scored 6 from 7.4 expected and conceded 18 from 18.4 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

LDLLDLLDLL last 10 scored 6 from 7.4 xG conceded 18 from 18.4 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	252649	1.24–1.78	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	292645	1.34–1.70	1-1 12%	59%	62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win	44.7%	43.0%	29.1%	1.48×	2.33
Sheffield United to win	29.0%	27.9%	43.4%	0.64×	3.58
Draw	26.3%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton & both teams score	24.6%	21.8%	13.9%	1.57×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	20.2%	21.8%	20.4%	1.07×	4.59
Southampton & not both score	20.0%	21.8%	15.2%	1.43×	4.59
Sheffield United & both teams score	16.9%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.57
Sheffield United & not both score	12.1%	13.3%	23.3%	0.57×	7.54
Draw & not both score	6.1%	8.3%	7.3%	1.14×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton & over 1.5	37.9%	34.9%	21.4%	1.63×	2.87
Southampton & over 2.5	31.0%	30.7%	16.2%	1.89×	3.25
Southampton & under 3.5	26.8%	26.1%	22.3%	1.17×	3.84
Sheffield United & over 1.5	24.0%	21.6%	32.5%	0.67×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.2%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.63
Sheffield United & over 2.5	19.7%	18.0%	26.4%	0.68×	5.56
Sheffield United & under 3.5	18.6%	18.0%	32.4%	0.56×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	21.8%	0.83×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.2%	18.0%	21.8%	0.83×	5.56
Southampton & over 3.5	17.8%	18.0%	6.8%	2.65×	5.56
Southampton & under 2.5	13.7%	12.8%	12.9%	0.99×	7.79
Sheffield United & over 3.5	10.5%	12.8%	11.1%	1.15×	7.79
Sheffield United & under 2.5	9.4%	7.9%	17.1%	0.46×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	8.1%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.1%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Southampton & under 1.5	6.8%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.63
Sheffield United & under 1.5	5.1%	7.9%	11.0%	0.72×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (1UP)	62.2%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Sheffield United (1UP)	48.9%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (2UP)	44.7%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Sheffield United (2UP)	29.0%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win 2nd half	40.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
2nd half drawn	33.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Sheffield United to win 2nd half	26.2%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton under 1.5 in 2nd half	72.8%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Southampton over 0.5 in 2nd half	64.0%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Southampton under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.0%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
Southampton over 1.5 in 2nd half	27.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.1%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Sheffield United over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.5%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Sheffield United under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.5%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Sheffield United over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.9%	17.3%	—	—	5.76

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (+2.5)	95.4%	96.3%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Southampton (+1.5)	86.7%	88.5%	80.7%	1.10×	1.13
Southampton (+0.5)	71.0%	73.6%	56.6%	1.30×	1.36
Sheffield United (+0.5)	55.3%	57.0%	70.9%	0.80×	1.75
Southampton (-0.5)	44.7%	43.0%	29.1%	1.48×	2.33
Sheffield United (-0.5)	29.0%	26.4%	43.4%	0.61×	3.79
Sheffield United (-1.5)	13.3%	11.5%	19.3%	0.60×	8.67
Sheffield United (-2.5)	4.6%	3.7%	8.1%	0.46×	27.02

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to concede	73.9%	76.7%	77.6%	0.99×	1.30
Southampton clean sheet	26.1%	23.3%	22.4%	1.04×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton clean sheet in 1st half	56.1%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
Southampton to concede in 1st half	43.9%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to concede in 2nd half	53.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Southampton clean sheet in 2nd half	46.5%	45.2%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton over 2.5 corners	81.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Southampton over 3.5 corners	69.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Southampton under 6.5 corners	66.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Southampton over 4.5 corners	56.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Southampton under 5.5 corners	55.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Southampton over 5.5 corners	44.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Southampton under 4.5 corners	43.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Southampton over 6.5 corners	33.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Southampton under 3.5 corners	30.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Southampton under 2.5 corners	18.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton under 3.5 goals	90.6%	92.3%	97.8%	0.94×	1.08
Southampton over 0.5 goals	81.8%	81.5%	69.5%	1.17×	1.23
Southampton under 2.5 goals	75.6%	76.2%	90.6%	0.84×	1.31
Southampton over 1.5 goals	50.8%	53.5%	30.0%	1.78×	1.87
Southampton under 1.5 goals	49.2%	46.5%	70.0%	0.66×	2.15
Southampton over 2.5 goals	24.4%	23.8%	9.4%	2.52×	4.21
Southampton under 0.5 goals	18.2%	18.5%	30.5%	0.61×	5.40
Southampton over 3.5 goals	9.4%	7.7%	2.2%	3.47×	13.04

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton under 1.5 in 1st half	85.1%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Southampton under 0.5 in 1st half	50.6%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Southampton over 0.5 in 1st half	49.4%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Southampton over 1.5 in 1st half	14.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.33

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton scores more in 2nd half	42.8%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Southampton scores equally in both	33.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Southampton scores more in 1st half	23.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (away no bet)	52.5%	51.7%	61.1%	0.85×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	47.5%	48.3%	38.9%	1.24×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton even goals	51.7%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Southampton odd goals	48.3%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.9%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.1%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.08

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.5%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Southampton to score 2+ in a row	41.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Sheffield United to score 2+ in a row	28.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Southampton to score 3+ in a row	15.6%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Sheffield United to score 3+ in a row	8.4%	5.6%	—	—	18.00

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United corners (+3.5)	81.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Sheffield United corners (+2.5)	75.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Southampton corners (+3.5)	71.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Sheffield United corners (+1.5)	68.6%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Southampton corners (+2.5)	64.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Southampton corners (+1.5)	56.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Sheffield United corners (-1.5)	43.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Sheffield United corners (-2.5)	35.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Southampton corners (-1.5)	31.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Sheffield United corners (-3.5)	28.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Southampton corners (-2.5)	24.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Southampton corners (-3.5)	18.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	49.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
0-8 corners	26.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
9-11 corners	24.3%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	80.7%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	73.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 9.5 corners	65.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 12.5 corners	58.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	57.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	50.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	49.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 10.5 corners	42.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 12.5 corners	41.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	34.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	26.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	19.3%	19.4%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.2%	11.5%	14.5%	0.79×	8.72
1-2	9.3%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.51
0-1	6.8%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
0-2	6.9%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
0-0	6.1%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
1-0	5.1%	7.4%	11.0%	0.67×	13.51
1-3	5.3%	7.4%	3.1%	2.42×	13.51
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
0-3	3.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.30
0-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.31
1-4	2.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	58.31
2-0	4.3%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
2-3	3.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.30
2-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.31
3-0	1.9%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.31
3-1	3.3%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.30
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.32
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.32
Any other score	4.2%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (2nd half DNB)	60.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Sheffield United (2nd half DNB)	39.5%	37.5%	—	—	2.67

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton leading at HT (DNB)	55.5%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Sheffield United leading at HT (DNB)	44.5%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United or Southampton (12)	73.7%	72.1%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
Southampton or draw (X2)	71.0%	72.1%	56.6%	1.27×	1.39
Sheffield United or draw (1X)	55.3%	57.0%	70.9%	0.80×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw at HT	73.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Sheffield United or draw at HT	67.3%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Sheffield United or Southampton at HT	58.8%	57.7%	—	—	1.73

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw (1UP)	71.0%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Sheffield United or draw (1UP)	55.3%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw in 2nd half	73.8%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Sheffield United or Southampton in 2nd half	66.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Sheffield United or draw in 2nd half	59.8%	58.3%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.4%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	40.6%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (DNB)	60.6%	62.6%	40.1%	1.56×	1.60
Sheffield United (DNB)	39.4%	37.4%	59.9%	0.62×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score first	52.5%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Sheffield United to score first	41.4%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	6.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.53

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.8%	56.6%	54.4%	1.04×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.2%	43.4%	45.6%	0.95×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.6%	44.4%	39.9%	1.11×	2.25
Not both score & under 2.5	29.1%	33.3%	37.1%	0.90×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	12.2%	12.4%	14.5%	0.85×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.1%	8.3%	8.6%	0.97×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.3%	82.6%	89.0%	0.93×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.7%	17.4%	11.0%	1.59×	5.73

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.3%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.7%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	50.8%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Both score 2nd half only	27.3%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	14.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.25
Both score in both halves	7.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.66

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.1%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.9%	18.8%	—	—	5.32

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.3%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	39.7%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.8%	47.2%	50.5%	0.94×	2.12
4-6 goals	32.8%	30.7%	22.4%	1.37×	3.25
0-1 goals	17.9%	20.2%	25.9%	0.78×	4.95
7+ goals	3.6%	1.8%	1.4%	1.36×	54.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score exactly 1	31.0%	33.8%	39.6%	0.85×	2.96
Southampton to score exactly 2	26.4%	27.4%	20.6%	1.33×	3.65
Southampton to score 3+	24.4%	22.3%	9.4%	2.36×	4.49
Southampton to score exactly 0	18.2%	19.6%	30.5%	0.64×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United to score exactly 1	35.1%	35.5%	37.0%	0.96×	2.81
Sheffield United to score exactly 0	26.1%	26.5%	22.4%	1.18×	3.77
Sheffield United to score exactly 2	23.6%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.29
Sheffield United to score 3+	15.3%	18.7%	16.1%	1.16×	5.34

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
Southampton leading at HT	32.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Sheffield United leading at HT	26.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton -1: 1	55.3%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Southampton -1: 2	24.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Southampton -1: X	20.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:1)	71.0%	71.0%	56.6%	1.25×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	15.8%	17.8%	24.2%	0.74×	5.61
Sheffield United (0:1)	13.3%	13.7%	19.3%	0.71×	7.29

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:2)	86.7%	87.1%	80.7%	1.08×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.7%	7.7%	11.3%	0.68×	13.03
Sheffield United (0:2)	4.6%	3.8%	8.1%	0.47×	26.61

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:3)	95.4%	96.6%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.3%	2.4%	4.8%	0.50×	42.08
Sheffield United (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:4)	98.7%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	82.06
Sheffield United (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	82.14

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (1:0)	55.3%	58.3%	70.9%	0.82×	1.72
Southampton (1:0)	24.3%	21.7%	11.7%	1.85×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	20.3%	21.7%	17.4%	1.24×	4.62

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (2:0)	75.7%	80.4%	88.3%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	13.9%	10.3%	8.6%	1.20×	9.71
Southampton (2:0)	10.4%	10.3%	3.2%	3.18×	9.75

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.7%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	25.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United to concede	81.8%	80.9%	69.5%	1.16×	1.24
Sheffield United clean sheet	18.2%	19.1%	30.5%	0.63×	5.23

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United clean sheet in 1st half	50.6%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Sheffield United to concede in 1st half	49.4%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United to concede in 2nd half	64.0%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Sheffield United clean sheet in 2nd half	36.0%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United over 2.5 corners	86.5%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Sheffield United over 3.5 corners	76.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Sheffield United over 4.5 corners	65.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Sheffield United under 6.5 corners	57.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Sheffield United over 5.5 corners	53.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Sheffield United under 5.5 corners	46.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Sheffield United over 6.5 corners	42.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Sheffield United under 4.5 corners	35.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Sheffield United under 3.5 corners	23.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Sheffield United under 2.5 corners	13.5%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United under 3.5 goals	95.2%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Sheffield United under 2.5 goals	84.7%	82.2%	83.9%	0.98×	1.22
Sheffield United over 0.5 goals	73.9%	74.3%	77.6%	0.96×	1.35
Sheffield United under 1.5 goals	61.1%	63.6%	59.4%	1.07×	1.57
Sheffield United over 1.5 goals	38.9%	36.4%	40.6%	0.90×	2.75
Sheffield United under 0.5 goals	26.1%	25.7%	22.4%	1.15×	3.88
Sheffield United over 2.5 goals	15.3%	17.8%	16.1%	1.10×	5.63
Sheffield United over 3.5 goals	4.8%	3.6%	5.2%	0.70×	27.46

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United under 1.5 in 1st half	88.5%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Sheffield United under 0.5 in 1st half	56.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Sheffield United over 0.5 in 1st half	43.9%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Sheffield United over 1.5 in 1st half	11.5%	9.8%	—	—	10.21

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United scores equally in both	39.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Sheffield United scores more in 2nd half	36.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Sheffield United scores more in 1st half	24.8%	21.2%	—	—	4.72

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (home no bet)	63.0%	60.0%	51.3%	1.17×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	37.0%	40.0%	48.7%	0.82×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United even goals	53.4%	50.7%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Sheffield United odd goals	46.6%	49.3%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.6%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 0-1	19.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-0	16.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
HT 1-1	11.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-2	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
Any other HT score	5.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-0	4.7%	2.4%	—	—	41.90
HT 1-2	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	41.96
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.00
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.14

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton at HT / Southampton at FT	25.5%	27.1%	—	—	3.68
Sheffield United at HT / Sheffield United at FT	16.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Southampton at FT	15.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Sheffield United at FT	10.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Sheffield United at HT / Draw at FT	5.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Southampton at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Sheffield United at HT / Southampton at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Southampton at HT / Sheffield United at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score last	52.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Sheffield United to score last	41.4%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	6.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.53

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.9%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Southampton to lead by 1 at any time	62.2%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.2%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Sheffield United to lead by 1 at any time	48.9%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Southampton to lead by 2 at any time	31.8%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Sheffield United to lead by 2 at any time	19.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Southampton to lead by 3 at any time	13.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.50
Sheffield United to lead by 3 at any time	6.4%	6.7%	—	—	15.00

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United most corners	52.1%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Southampton most corners	39.4%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	8.5%	8.3%	—	—	11.99

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.1%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.5%	78.7%	72.8%	1.08×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.7%	72.4%	83.3%	0.87×	1.38
2-5 goals	73.2%	72.4%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.8%	63.3%	64.7%	0.98×	1.58
1-3 goals	57.6%	59.1%	69.1%	0.86×	1.69
3-6 goals	55.2%	59.1%	47.2%	1.25×	1.69
3-5 goals	49.9%	48.5%	44.5%	1.09×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.8%	48.5%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.5%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
1-2 goals	35.2%	39.2%	44.4%	0.88×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.8%	35.2%	22.4%	1.57×	2.84
4-5 goals	27.5%	30.2%	19.8%	1.53×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.7%	18.8%	8.2%	2.31×	5.31
7+ goals	3.6%	2.6%	1.4%	1.88×	39.09

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton never behind	45.0%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Sheffield United never behind	31.8%	36.2%	—	—	2.77

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.3%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.7%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.5%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.9%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.1%	92.3%	96.0%	0.96×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	82.1%	82.3%	74.1%	1.11×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	80.7%	82.3%	90.6%	0.91×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	63.7%	61.7%	76.3%	0.81×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.7%	58.6%	48.4%	1.21×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	41.3%	41.4%	51.6%	0.80×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	36.3%	38.3%	23.7%	1.61×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	19.3%	17.7%	9.4%	1.88×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	17.9%	17.7%	25.9%	0.68×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	4.0%	1.94×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	6.1%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.2%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.1%	92.4%	95.8%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.8%	75.9%	89.0%	0.85×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.6%	75.9%	65.1%	1.17×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.2%	51.9%	68.5%	0.76×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.8%	48.1%	31.5%	1.53×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.4%	24.1%	34.9%	0.69×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.2%	24.1%	11.0%	2.19×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.9%	7.6%	4.2%	1.80×	13.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.8%	2.8%	1.4%	2.01×	35.56

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.6%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.4%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.6%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.4%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.6%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United not to score in both halves	76.5%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Southampton not to score in both halves	68.4%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Southampton to score in both halves	31.6%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Sheffield United to score in both halves	23.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.8%	60.2%	54.4%	1.11×	1.66
Only Southampton scores	20.0%	22.3%	15.2%	1.46×	4.49
Only Sheffield United scores	12.1%	11.0%	23.3%	0.47×	9.07
Neither team scores	6.1%	7.1%	7.3%	0.97×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.4%	22.6%	25.7%	0.88×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.1%	17.5%	14.4%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	11.9%	12.1%	18.7%	0.65×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	10.4%	12.1%	5.5%	2.19×	8.25
6 or more goals	8.9%	7.6%	4.0%	1.91×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.1%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	28.6%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	22.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	13.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.16

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.8%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	29.0%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
No goals in 2nd half	17.2%	16.7%	—	—	6.00

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United not to win both halves	93.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Southampton not to win both halves	86.6%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Southampton to win both halves	13.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Sheffield United to win both halves	7.1%	5.9%	—	—	17.08

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win either half	59.5%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Sheffield United to win neither half	54.6%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Sheffield United to win either half	45.4%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Southampton to win neither half	40.5%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United not to win to nil	87.9%	88.1%	76.7%	1.15×	1.14
Southampton not to win to nil	80.0%	78.1%	84.8%	0.92×	1.28
Southampton to win to nil	20.0%	21.9%	15.2%	1.44×	4.57
Sheffield United to win to nil	12.1%	11.9%	23.3%	0.51×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.3%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59
Southampton by 1	20.3%	24.1%	17.4%	1.38×	4.15
Sheffield United by 1	15.8%	17.0%	24.2%	0.70×	5.87
Southampton by 2	13.9%	11.8%	8.6%	1.37×	8.51
Southampton by 3+	10.4%	11.7%	3.2%	3.64×	8.51
Sheffield United by 2	8.7%	7.2%	11.3%	0.64×	13.90
Sheffield United by 3+	4.6%	2.7%	8.1%	0.34×	36.79