Shelbourne v Derry City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 11 September 2026 · IRL-Premier Division · 2627

IRL-Premier Division results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Shelbourne

18:45 UTC

Derry City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 55h before kick-off

Shelbourne win

37.4%

model 37.5%

Draw

31.3%

model 30.2%

Derry City win

31.3%

model 32.3%

373131

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (7,697 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.4%
2-1 8.7%
0-0 8.7%
1-2 8.0%
1-0 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.4%	Under 2.5	47.6%
BTTS yes	58.6%	BTTS no	41.4%
Shelbourne 1+	76.4%	Shelbourne 2+	42.3%
Derry City 1+	73.5%	Derry City 2+	38.3%

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.33. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

19/100

Data quality

40/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Over 2 (void on exactly 2)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 64%

72.1% fair odds 1.39

moderate signal · 9362 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Shelbourne (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 92%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 4434 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Shelbourne have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Derry City have allowed 1.35.
At home Shelbourne average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 40/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Shelbourne have only 0 matches on record.
Derry City have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Shelbourne have an estimated 37.4% win probability, against 31.3% for Derry City and 31.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.44 for Shelbourne and 1.33 for Derry City.

Why Shelbourne

Shelbourne have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Derry City have allowed 1.35. At home Shelbourne average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.44 to 1.33.

Why Derry City can win

Derry City have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Shelbourne have allowed 1.35. Away from home Derry City average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Shelbourne, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Derry City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Shelbourne: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Derry City: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Shelbourne are the model's most likely outcome at 37.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.4%. Confidence 19/100, data quality 40/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	373032	1.44–1.33	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	393031	1.48–1.30	1-1 14%	52%	59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne to win	37.5%	37.7%	40.8%	0.92×	2.66
Derry City to win	32.3%	31.5%	28.2%	1.12×	3.17
Draw	30.2%	31.5%	31.3%	1.01×	3.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & both teams score	21.5%	21.7%	22.1%	0.98×	4.61
Shelbourne & both teams score	19.7%	18.1%	18.4%	0.98×	5.52
Shelbourne & not both score	17.8%	18.1%	22.7%	0.80×	5.52
Derry City & both teams score	17.4%	18.1%	16.3%	1.11×	5.52
Derry City & not both score	15.0%	12.7%	12.3%	1.03×	7.88
Draw & not both score	8.6%	7.6%	9.5%	0.80×	13.07

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne & over 1.5	30.9%	31.8%	30.4%	1.05×	3.15
Derry City & over 1.5	26.4%	26.4%	20.9%	1.26×	3.79
Shelbourne & over 2.5	24.4%	21.8%	23.0%	0.95×	4.58
Shelbourne & under 3.5	24.9%	21.8%	31.0%	0.70×	4.58
Draw & under 2.5	23.0%	21.8%	23.3%	0.94×	4.58
Draw & under 3.5	23.0%	21.8%	23.3%	0.94×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	21.5%	21.8%	22.1%	0.99×	4.58
Derry City & under 3.5	21.9%	21.8%	20.6%	1.06×	4.58
Derry City & over 2.5	20.9%	21.8%	17.5%	1.25×	4.58
Shelbourne & under 2.5	13.1%	12.4%	18.1%	0.69×	8.06
Shelbourne & over 3.5	12.6%	12.4%	10.1%	1.23×	8.06
Derry City & under 2.5	11.4%	12.4%	11.0%	1.12×	8.06
Derry City & over 3.5	10.5%	12.4%	8.0%	1.56×	8.06
Shelbourne & under 1.5	6.6%	7.6%	10.7%	0.71×	13.21
Draw & under 1.5	8.6%	7.6%	9.5%	0.80×	13.20
Draw & over 2.5	7.1%	7.6%	8.3%	0.91×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	7.1%	7.6%	8.3%	0.91×	13.21
Derry City & under 1.5	5.9%	7.6%	7.7%	0.99×	13.21

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (1UP)	55.5%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Derry City (1UP)	51.0%	54.2%	—	—	1.85

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (2UP)	37.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Derry City (2UP)	32.3%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.7%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Shelbourne to win 2nd half	32.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Derry City to win 2nd half	30.9%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.0%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Derry City over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Derry City under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
Derry City over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.0%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.1%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
Shelbourne over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.1%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Shelbourne under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.9%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Shelbourne over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.9%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City (+2.5)	92.8%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Derry City (+1.5)	81.0%	83.2%	82.2%	1.01×	1.20
Shelbourne (+0.5)	67.7%	67.9%	71.8%	0.95×	1.47
Derry City (+0.5)	62.5%	62.7%	59.2%	1.06×	1.60
Shelbourne (-0.5)	37.5%	37.3%	40.8%	0.91×	2.68
Derry City (-0.5)	32.3%	32.1%	28.2%	1.14×	3.12
Shelbourne (-1.5)	19.0%	16.8%	17.8%	0.94×	5.95
Shelbourne (-2.5)	7.2%	7.7%	7.4%	1.05×	12.97

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City to concede	76.4%	78.9%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
Derry City clean sheet	23.6%	21.1%	21.5%	0.98×	4.74

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City clean sheet in 1st half	53.8%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
Derry City to concede in 1st half	46.2%	46.1%	—	—	2.17

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City to concede in 2nd half	56.1%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Derry City clean sheet in 2nd half	43.9%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City under 3.5 goals	95.4%	97.3%	96.9%	1.00×	1.03
Derry City under 2.5 goals	85.0%	87.1%	89.6%	0.97×	1.15
Derry City over 0.5 goals	73.5%	71.6%	68.1%	1.05×	1.40
Derry City under 1.5 goals	61.6%	63.6%	67.2%	0.95×	1.57
Derry City over 1.5 goals	38.4%	36.4%	32.8%	1.11×	2.75
Derry City under 0.5 goals	26.5%	28.4%	31.9%	0.89×	3.52
Derry City over 2.5 goals	15.0%	12.9%	10.4%	1.24×	7.76
Derry City over 3.5 goals	4.6%	2.7%	3.1%	0.88×	37.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City under 1.5 in 1st half	90.0%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Derry City under 0.5 in 1st half	58.8%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
Derry City over 0.5 in 1st half	41.2%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Derry City over 1.5 in 1st half	10.0%	6.3%	—	—	16.00

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City scores equally in both	38.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Derry City scores more in 2nd half	38.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Derry City scores more in 1st half	22.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (away no bet)	55.4%	58.6%	56.6%	1.04×	1.71
Draw (away no bet)	44.6%	41.4%	43.4%	0.95×	2.42

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City even goals	53.5%	53.6%	57.1%	0.94×	1.87
Derry City odd goals	46.5%	46.4%	42.9%	1.08×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.6%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.4%	17.6%	—	—	5.70

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.3%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Shelbourne to score 2+ in a row	33.5%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Derry City to score 2+ in a row	29.5%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.6%	17.0%	—	—	5.87
Shelbourne to score 3+ in a row	11.0%	12.8%	—	—	7.79
Derry City to score 3+ in a row	8.9%	7.8%	—	—	12.90

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.4%	11.2%	14.1%	0.80×	8.91
0-0	8.6%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.45
0-1	5.9%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.45
0-2	5.5%	7.4%	3.7%	2.02×	13.45
1-0	6.6%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.45
1-2	8.0%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.45
2-0	6.5%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.45
2-1	8.7%	7.4%	10.1%	0.73×	13.45
2-2	5.8%	7.4%	7.4%	1.01×	13.45
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.34
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
1-3	3.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.34
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.34
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.34
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.35
3-0	3.1%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.34
3-1	4.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.34
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.34
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.34
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.34
4-1	1.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.34
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.59×	58.35
Any other score	2.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (2nd half DNB)	51.1%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
Derry City (2nd half DNB)	48.9%	48.8%	—	—	2.05

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne leading at HT (DNB)	55.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Derry City leading at HT (DNB)	44.9%	43.2%	—	—	2.32

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne or Derry City (12)	69.8%	68.5%	68.7%	1.00×	1.46
Shelbourne or draw (1X)	67.7%	68.5%	71.8%	0.95×	1.46
Derry City or draw (X2)	62.5%	62.3%	59.2%	1.05×	1.60

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne or draw at HT	74.7%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Derry City or draw at HT	69.0%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Shelbourne or Derry City at HT	56.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne or draw (1UP)	67.7%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Derry City or draw (1UP)	62.5%	70.2%	—	—	1.43

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne or draw in 2nd half	69.1%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Derry City or draw in 2nd half	67.6%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Shelbourne or Derry City in 2nd half	63.3%	63.5%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.8%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Neither half drawn	38.2%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (DNB)	53.7%	51.7%	59.1%	0.87×	1.94
Derry City (DNB)	46.3%	48.3%	40.9%	1.18×	2.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne to score first	47.5%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Derry City to score first	43.8%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
No goal scored	8.6%	6.4%	—	—	15.60

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.6%	55.4%	56.1%	0.99×	1.81
Not both teams to score	41.4%	44.6%	43.9%	1.02×	2.24

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.2%	41.6%	42.3%	0.98×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	33.2%	34.0%	38.0%	0.89×	2.94
Both score & under 2.5	14.4%	11.9%	14.1%	0.84×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	8.2%	8.4%	6.1%	1.38×	11.85

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.8%	83.0%	83.1%	1.00×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	16.2%	17.0%	16.9%	1.01×	5.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.4%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.6%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Both score 2nd half only	25.8%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
Both score 1st half only	13.6%	11.9%	—	—	8.41
Both score in both halves	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.54

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.5%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	19.5%	17.4%	—	—	5.75

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.0%	57.3%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	44.0%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.6%	46.5%	47.2%	0.98×	2.15
4-6 goals	27.9%	27.0%	23.9%	1.13×	3.70
0-1 goals	21.2%	23.5%	27.3%	0.86×	4.26
7+ goals	2.3%	2.0%	2.1%	0.94×	49.74

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City to score exactly 1	35.2%	36.0%	35.6%	1.01×	2.78
Derry City to score exactly 0	26.5%	27.4%	31.9%	0.86×	3.65
Derry City to score exactly 2	23.4%	23.3%	22.7%	1.02×	4.30
Derry City to score 3+	15.0%	13.0%	10.4%	1.25×	7.68

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne to score exactly 1	34.1%	32.2%	35.9%	0.90×	3.10
Shelbourne to score exactly 2	24.6%	22.9%	28.5%	0.80×	4.38
Shelbourne to score exactly 0	23.6%	22.9%	21.5%	1.06×	4.38
Shelbourne to score 3+	17.7%	18.1%	14.7%	1.23×	5.51

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Shelbourne leading at HT	31.0%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Derry City leading at HT	25.3%	28.7%	—	—	3.48

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne -1: 2	62.5%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Shelbourne -1: 1	19.0%	17.8%	—	—	5.61
Shelbourne -1: X	18.5%	17.8%	—	—	5.61

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City (0:1)	62.5%	60.1%	59.2%	1.01×	1.67
Shelbourne (0:1)	19.0%	18.2%	17.8%	1.02×	5.49
Draw (0:1)	18.5%	18.2%	23.3%	0.78×	5.49

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City (0:2)	81.0%	82.9%	82.2%	1.01×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.8%	11.4%	10.7%	1.06×	8.81
Shelbourne (0:2)	7.2%	7.7%	7.4%	1.05×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City (0:3)	92.8%	92.6%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.0%	2.6%	5.5%	0.46×	39.13
Shelbourne (0:3)	2.2%	2.6%	2.1%	1.19×	39.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City (0:4)	97.8%	97.7%	97.9%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.6%	1.4%	1.5%	0.92×	70.71
Shelbourne (0:4)	0.6%	1.4%	0.9%	1.54×	70.75

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (1:0)	67.7%	69.1%	71.8%	0.96×	1.45
Draw (1:0)	16.9%	17.3%	20.2%	0.86×	5.77
Derry City (1:0)	15.4%	17.3%	8.3%	2.09×	5.77

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (2:0)	84.6%	83.8%	91.7%	0.91×	1.19
Draw (2:0)	10.0%	11.6%	6.4%	1.79×	8.65
Derry City (2:0)	5.4%	6.6%	2.1%	3.08×	15.12

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Halves equal	28.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
1st half highest scoring	25.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne to concede	73.5%	72.0%	68.1%	1.06×	1.39
Shelbourne clean sheet	26.5%	28.0%	31.9%	0.88×	3.57

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne clean sheet in 1st half	58.8%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
Shelbourne to concede in 1st half	41.2%	45.8%	—	—	2.18

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne clean sheet in 2nd half	45.0%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Shelbourne to concede in 2nd half	55.0%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne under 3.5 goals	94.1%	92.4%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Shelbourne under 2.5 goals	82.3%	82.3%	85.3%	0.97×	1.22
Shelbourne over 0.5 goals	76.4%	78.2%	78.5%	1.00×	1.28
Shelbourne under 1.5 goals	57.7%	57.9%	57.1%	1.01×	1.73
Shelbourne over 1.5 goals	42.3%	42.1%	42.9%	0.98×	2.38
Shelbourne under 0.5 goals	23.6%	21.8%	21.5%	1.02×	4.58
Shelbourne over 2.5 goals	17.7%	17.7%	14.7%	1.20×	5.65
Shelbourne over 3.5 goals	5.9%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.08

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne under 1.5 in 1st half	87.1%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Shelbourne under 0.5 in 1st half	53.8%	53.9%	—	—	1.85
Shelbourne over 0.5 in 1st half	46.2%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Shelbourne over 1.5 in 1st half	12.9%	12.3%	—	—	8.11

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne scores more in 2nd half	37.3%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
Shelbourne scores equally in both	37.3%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
Shelbourne scores more in 1st half	25.4%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City (home no bet)	51.7%	52.0%	47.4%	1.10×	1.92
Draw (home no bet)	48.3%	48.0%	52.6%	0.91×	2.08

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne even goals	52.8%	50.9%	54.3%	0.94×	1.96
Shelbourne odd goals	47.2%	49.1%	45.7%	1.07×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.0%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
HT 1-0	19.2%	19.9%	—	—	5.02
HT 0-1	16.4%	19.9%	—	—	5.03
HT 1-1	10.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	6.1%	8.0%	—	—	12.56
HT 0-2	4.5%	2.5%	—	—	40.38
Any other HT score	4.2%	2.5%	—	—	40.39
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.5%	—	—	40.44
HT 1-2	2.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.46
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.54

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne at HT / Shelbourne at FT	22.3%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.7%	17.3%	—	—	5.77
Derry City at HT / Derry City at FT	17.6%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Draw at HT / Shelbourne at FT	12.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Draw at HT / Derry City at FT	12.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Shelbourne at HT / Draw at FT	6.1%	6.5%	—	—	15.49
Derry City at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.4%	—	—	15.51
Shelbourne at HT / Derry City at FT	2.5%	3.6%	—	—	27.56
Derry City at HT / Shelbourne at FT	2.3%	3.6%	—	—	27.57

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne to score last	47.6%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Derry City to score last	43.8%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
No goal scored	8.6%	6.4%	—	—	15.60

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.4%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Shelbourne to lead by 1 at any time	55.5%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Derry City to lead by 1 at any time	51.0%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.7%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Shelbourne to lead by 2 at any time	25.4%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Derry City to lead by 2 at any time	21.5%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.3%	17.6%	—	—	5.68
Shelbourne to lead by 3 at any time	9.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.43
Derry City to lead by 3 at any time	7.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.49

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.1%	87.1%	86.2%	1.01×	1.15
1-4 goals	76.5%	77.9%	77.9%	1.00×	1.28
2-6 goals	76.5%	77.9%	70.9%	1.10×	1.28
2-5 goals	72.5%	72.2%	68.4%	1.06×	1.39
2-4 goals	64.0%	62.7%	60.1%	1.04×	1.60
1-3 goals	61.2%	62.7%	65.0%	0.96×	1.60
3-6 goals	50.1%	52.9%	46.3%	1.14×	1.89
2-3 goals	48.6%	47.4%	47.2%	1.00×	2.11
3-5 goals	46.1%	47.4%	43.9%	1.08×	2.11
1-2 goals	39.0%	39.0%	42.6%	0.91×	2.56
3-4 goals	37.6%	39.0%	35.6%	1.10×	2.56
4-6 goals	27.9%	28.5%	23.9%	1.19×	3.51
4-5 goals	23.9%	23.7%	21.5%	1.10×	4.22
5-6 goals	12.5%	13.5%	11.0%	1.22×	7.42
7+ goals	2.3%	2.3%	2.1%	1.05×	44.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City never behind	35.9%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Shelbourne never behind	40.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	55.0%	50.1%	49.7%	1.01×	2.00
Odd number of goals	45.0%	49.9%	50.3%	0.99×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.8%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	44.2%	45.0%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.6%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.4%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.7%	92.3%	95.4%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	91.4%	92.3%	90.5%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.2%	87.8%	87.1%	1.01×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	78.8%	77.0%	72.7%	1.06×	1.30
Under 3.5 goals	69.8%	67.7%	74.2%	0.91×	1.48
Over 2.5 goals	52.4%	51.8%	48.2%	1.08×	1.93
Under 2.5 goals	47.6%	48.2%	51.8%	0.93×	2.08
Over 3.5 goals	30.2%	32.3%	25.8%	1.25×	3.09
Under 1.5 goals	21.2%	23.0%	27.3%	0.84×	4.34
Over 4.5 goals	14.8%	12.2%	12.9%	0.95×	8.21
Under 0.5 goals	8.6%	7.7%	9.5%	0.81×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	6.3%	7.7%	4.6%	1.68×	12.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.6%	97.3%	97.8%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.1%	92.0%	95.0%	0.97×	1.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.5%	81.5%	85.2%	0.96×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.2%	72.1%	63.8%	1.13×	1.39
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.2%	62.3%	66.8%	0.93×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	38.8%	37.7%	33.2%	1.14×	2.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.8%	27.9%	36.2%	0.77×	3.58
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.5%	18.5%	14.8%	1.25×	5.40
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.9%	8.0%	5.0%	1.59×	12.51
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.4%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	36.70

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.0%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.0%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.6%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.4%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.0%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.0%	11.6%	—	—	8.64

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.4%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.8%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.0%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.0%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.2%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.6%	20.0%	—	—	5.01

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City not to score in both halves	77.3%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Shelbourne not to score in both halves	74.1%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Shelbourne to score in both halves	25.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Derry City to score in both halves	22.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.6%	57.9%	56.1%	1.03×	1.73
Only Shelbourne scores	17.8%	16.9%	22.7%	0.74×	5.93
Only Derry City scores	15.0%	11.2%	12.3%	0.91×	8.93
Neither team scores	8.6%	7.1%	9.5%	0.75×	14.09

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.4%	25.0%	24.8%	1.01×	4.00
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.3%	22.7%	0.98×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	15.4%	17.6%	13.2%	1.34×	5.68
Exactly 1 goals	12.5%	12.3%	18.1%	0.68×	8.14
Exactly 0 goals	8.6%	7.8%	9.5%	0.82×	12.88
Exactly 5 goals	8.5%	7.8%	8.6%	0.90×	12.88
6 or more goals	6.3%	7.8%	4.6%	1.69×	12.89

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.6%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
No goals in 1st half	32.0%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
2 goals in 1st half	21.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
3+ goals in 1st half	11.0%	11.4%	—	—	8.81

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
1 goal in 2nd half	30.4%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
No goals in 2nd half	20.6%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City not to win both halves	91.8%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Shelbourne not to win both halves	89.6%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Shelbourne to win both halves	10.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Derry City to win both halves	8.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.50

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne to win either half	52.9%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Derry City to win neither half	51.9%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Derry City to win either half	48.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Shelbourne to win neither half	47.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derry City not to win to nil	85.0%	87.9%	87.7%	1.00×	1.14
Shelbourne not to win to nil	82.2%	82.9%	77.3%	1.07×	1.21
Shelbourne to win to nil	17.8%	17.1%	22.7%	0.75×	5.86
Derry City to win to nil	15.0%	12.1%	12.3%	0.99×	8.24

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.2%	29.2%	31.3%	0.93×	3.43
Shelbourne by 1	18.5%	17.2%	23.3%	0.74×	5.80
Derry City by 1	16.9%	17.2%	20.2%	0.85×	5.80
Shelbourne by 2	11.8%	11.8%	10.7%	1.10×	8.45
Derry City by 2	10.0%	11.8%	6.4%	1.84×	8.45
Shelbourne by 3+	7.2%	7.3%	7.4%	0.99×	13.77
Derry City by 3+	5.4%	7.3%	2.1%	3.38×	13.77