Shelbourne v Drogheda United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 14 September 2026 · IRL-Premier Division · 2627

IRL-Premier Division results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Shelbourne

18:45 UTC

Drogheda United

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 127h before kick-off

Shelbourne win

48.6%

model 48.8%

Draw

27.5%

model 29.5%

Drogheda United win

23.9%

model 21.7%

492724

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,536 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.2%
2-1 9.5%
0-0 9.5%
2-0 9.3%
1-0 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.3%	Under 2.5	50.7%
BTTS yes	53.9%	BTTS no	46.1%
Shelbourne 1+	80.2%	Shelbourne 2+	48.1%
Drogheda United 1+	64.2%	Drogheda United 2+	27.5%

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.03. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

19/100

Data quality

40/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Shelbourne (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 72%

78.0% fair odds 1.28

moderate signal · 13495 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Shelbourne or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Shelbourne have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Drogheda United have allowed 1.35.
At home Shelbourne average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 40/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Shelbourne have only 0 matches on record.
Drogheda United have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Shelbourne have an estimated 48.6% win probability, against 27.5% for the draw and 23.9% for Drogheda United. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.62 for Shelbourne and 1.03 for Drogheda United.

Why Shelbourne

Shelbourne have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Drogheda United have allowed 1.35. At home Shelbourne average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.5%.

Why Drogheda United can win

Drogheda United have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Shelbourne have allowed 1.35. Away from home Drogheda United average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Shelbourne, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Drogheda United, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Shelbourne: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Drogheda United: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Shelbourne are the model's most likely outcome at 48.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.2%. Confidence 19/100, data quality 40/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	493022	1.62–1.03	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	503020	1.62–0.97	1-1 14%	48%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne to win	50.1%	51.0%	40.8%	1.25×	1.96
Draw	29.6%	27.7%	31.3%	0.89×	3.61
Drogheda United to win	20.3%	24.6%	28.2%	0.87×	4.07

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne & not both score	28.0%	25.5%	22.7%	1.12×	3.93
Shelbourne & both teams score	22.1%	21.8%	18.4%	1.18×	4.60
Draw & both teams score	19.7%	18.0%	22.1%	0.82×	5.55
Drogheda United & both teams score	10.3%	13.2%	16.3%	0.81×	7.55
Draw & not both score	9.9%	8.4%	9.5%	0.88×	11.94
Drogheda United & not both score	10.0%	8.4%	12.3%	0.68×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne & over 1.5	40.3%	40.0%	30.4%	1.32×	2.50
Shelbourne & under 3.5	34.5%	31.1%	31.0%	1.00×	3.22
Shelbourne & over 2.5	30.5%	31.0%	23.0%	1.35×	3.22
Draw & under 2.5	24.1%	21.6%	23.3%	0.93×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	24.1%	21.6%	23.3%	0.93×	4.63
Shelbourne & under 2.5	19.7%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.57
Draw & over 1.5	19.7%	18.0%	22.1%	0.81×	5.57
Shelbourne & over 3.5	15.6%	18.0%	10.1%	1.77×	5.57
Drogheda United & over 1.5	15.3%	18.0%	20.9%	0.86×	5.57
Drogheda United & under 3.5	15.3%	18.0%	20.6%	0.87×	5.57
Drogheda United & over 2.5	11.8%	12.9%	17.5%	0.74×	7.78
Shelbourne & under 1.5	9.8%	8.0%	10.7%	0.74×	12.56
Draw & under 1.5	9.9%	8.0%	9.5%	0.84×	12.56
Drogheda United & under 2.5	8.5%	8.0%	11.0%	0.72×	12.56
Draw & over 2.5	5.5%	8.0%	8.3%	0.96×	12.57
Draw & over 3.5	5.5%	8.0%	8.3%	0.96×	12.57
Drogheda United & under 1.5	4.9%	4.9%	7.7%	0.64×	20.52
Drogheda United & over 3.5	4.9%	4.9%	8.0%	0.61×	20.52

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (1UP)	64.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Drogheda United (1UP)	38.2%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (2UP)	50.1%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Drogheda United (2UP)	20.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne to win 2nd half	41.1%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
2nd half drawn	37.5%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Drogheda United to win 2nd half	21.4%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.4%	86.7%	—	—	1.15
Drogheda United under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.9%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Drogheda United over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.1%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Drogheda United over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.6%	13.3%	—	—	7.54

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.5%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Shelbourne over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Shelbourne under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.66
Shelbourne over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United (+2.5)	88.2%	88.3%	92.6%	0.95×	1.13
Shelbourne (+0.5)	79.7%	78.3%	71.8%	1.09×	1.28
Drogheda United (+1.5)	72.1%	73.7%	82.2%	0.90×	1.36
Shelbourne (-0.5)	50.1%	52.0%	40.8%	1.27×	1.92
Drogheda United (+0.5)	49.9%	48.0%	59.2%	0.81×	2.08
Shelbourne (-1.5)	27.9%	26.3%	17.8%	1.48×	3.80
Drogheda United (-0.5)	20.3%	21.7%	28.2%	0.77×	4.61
Shelbourne (-2.5)	11.8%	11.7%	7.4%	1.58×	8.58

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United to concede	80.1%	81.3%	78.5%	1.04×	1.23
Drogheda United clean sheet	19.9%	18.7%	21.5%	0.87×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United clean sheet in 1st half	49.9%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Drogheda United to concede in 1st half	50.1%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United to concede in 2nd half	60.2%	60.1%	—	—	1.67
Drogheda United clean sheet in 2nd half	39.8%	39.9%	—	—	2.50

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United under 3.5 goals	98.3%	97.4%	96.9%	1.01×	1.03
Drogheda United under 2.5 goals	92.5%	92.2%	89.6%	1.03×	1.09
Drogheda United under 1.5 goals	74.7%	71.9%	67.2%	1.07×	1.39
Drogheda United over 0.5 goals	62.1%	63.4%	68.1%	0.93×	1.58
Drogheda United under 0.5 goals	37.9%	36.6%	31.9%	1.15×	2.74
Drogheda United over 1.5 goals	25.3%	28.1%	32.8%	0.86×	3.55
Drogheda United over 2.5 goals	7.5%	7.8%	10.4%	0.75×	12.79
Drogheda United over 3.5 goals	1.7%	2.6%	3.1%	0.84×	38.84

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United under 1.5 in 1st half	94.2%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Drogheda United under 0.5 in 1st half	67.9%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Drogheda United over 0.5 in 1st half	32.1%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Drogheda United over 1.5 in 1st half	5.8%	5.8%	—	—	17.37

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United scores equally in both	47.0%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Drogheda United scores more in 2nd half	33.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Drogheda United scores more in 1st half	19.9%	18.1%	—	—	5.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (away no bet)	62.9%	62.0%	56.6%	1.10×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	37.1%	38.0%	43.4%	0.88×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United even goals	57.2%	56.9%	57.1%	1.00×	1.76
Drogheda United odd goals	42.8%	43.1%	42.9%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.0%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.0%	12.3%	—	—	8.11

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	61.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.1%	41.9%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.0%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Shelbourne to score 2+ in a row	40.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.6%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Drogheda United to score 2+ in a row	18.1%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Shelbourne to score 3+ in a row	15.8%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Drogheda United to score 3+ in a row	4.0%	2.6%	—	—	38.17

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.2%	11.4%	14.1%	0.81×	8.80
0-0	9.9%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.53
1-0	9.8%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.53
2-0	9.8%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.53
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	10.1%	0.73×	13.53
1-2	5.7%	7.4%	9.2%	0.80×	13.54
3-0	5.3%	7.4%	3.4%	2.19×	13.54
3-1	5.1%	7.4%	2.5%	3.01×	13.54
0-1	4.9%	1.7%	7.7%	0.23×	57.55
0-2	3.5%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	57.56
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	57.57
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	57.58
1-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	57.57
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	57.58
2-2	4.6%	1.7%	7.4%	0.24×	57.56
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	57.57
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	57.58
3-2	2.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.71×	57.57
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	57.58
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	57.58
4-0	2.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.13×	57.57
4-1	2.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.71×	57.57
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	57.57
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	57.58
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.66×	57.58
Any other score	2.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	57.57

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (2nd half DNB)	65.8%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Drogheda United (2nd half DNB)	34.2%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne leading at HT (DNB)	68.1%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Drogheda United leading at HT (DNB)	31.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne or draw (1X)	79.7%	75.4%	71.8%	1.05×	1.33
Shelbourne or Drogheda United (12)	70.4%	72.3%	68.7%	1.05×	1.38
Drogheda United or draw (X2)	49.9%	49.0%	59.2%	0.83×	2.04

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne or draw at HT	82.3%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Drogheda United or draw at HT	62.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Shelbourne or Drogheda United at HT	55.6%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne or draw (1UP)	79.7%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Drogheda United or draw (1UP)	49.9%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne or draw in 2nd half	78.6%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Shelbourne or Drogheda United in 2nd half	62.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Drogheda United or draw in 2nd half	58.9%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.7%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	37.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (DNB)	71.2%	71.0%	59.1%	1.20×	1.41
Drogheda United (DNB)	28.8%	29.0%	40.9%	0.71×	3.45

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne to score first	56.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Drogheda United to score first	33.8%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	9.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.18

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.1%	51.6%	56.1%	0.92×	1.94
Not both teams to score	47.9%	48.4%	43.9%	1.10×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	38.1%	38.6%	38.0%	1.02×	2.59
Both score & over 2.5	37.9%	38.6%	42.3%	0.91×	2.59
Both score & under 2.5	14.2%	12.3%	14.1%	0.87×	8.15
Not both score & over 2.5	9.9%	8.4%	6.1%	1.37×	11.93

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.9%	85.4%	83.1%	1.03×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.1%	14.6%	16.9%	0.87×	6.85

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.7%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.3%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.4%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	23.1%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	12.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	4.3%	5.0%	—	—	19.86

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.5%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.6%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	47.4%	46.6%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	49.3%	46.9%	47.2%	0.99×	2.13
0-1 goals	24.7%	23.1%	27.3%	0.84×	4.34
4-6 goals	24.4%	23.1%	23.9%	0.96×	4.34
7+ goals	1.7%	1.9%	2.1%	0.86×	53.96

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United to score exactly 0	37.9%	35.8%	31.9%	1.12×	2.80
Drogheda United to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.8%	35.6%	1.01×	2.80
Drogheda United to score exactly 2	17.8%	19.5%	22.7%	0.86×	5.12
Drogheda United to score 3+	7.5%	8.8%	10.4%	0.84×	11.41

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne to score exactly 1	32.1%	32.6%	35.9%	0.91×	3.07
Shelbourne to score exactly 2	25.9%	26.1%	28.5%	0.92×	3.83
Shelbourne to score 3+	22.1%	23.3%	14.7%	1.59×	4.28
Shelbourne to score exactly 0	19.9%	19.2%	21.5%	0.89×	5.21

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.4%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Shelbourne leading at HT	37.8%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Drogheda United leading at HT	17.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne -1: 2	49.9%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Shelbourne -1: 1	27.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.75
Shelbourne -1: X	22.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United (0:1)	49.9%	46.0%	59.2%	0.78×	2.17
Shelbourne (0:1)	27.9%	27.1%	17.8%	1.53×	3.69
Draw (0:1)	22.2%	24.4%	23.3%	1.05×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United (0:2)	72.1%	75.9%	82.2%	0.92×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.1%	15.0%	10.7%	1.40×	6.67
Shelbourne (0:2)	11.8%	10.8%	7.4%	1.47×	9.22

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United (0:3)	88.2%	90.5%	92.6%	0.98×	1.11
Draw (0:3)	7.7%	5.9%	5.5%	1.07×	16.92
Shelbourne (0:3)	4.1%	2.4%	2.1%	1.10×	42.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United (0:4)	95.9%	98.1%	97.9%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.9%	1.2%	1.5%	0.80×	81.66
Shelbourne (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	0.9%	1.33×	81.84

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (1:0)	79.7%	78.1%	71.8%	1.09×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	12.4%	12.8%	20.2%	0.63×	7.84
Drogheda United (1:0)	7.9%	7.0%	8.3%	0.85×	14.29

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (2:0)	92.1%	93.7%	91.7%	1.02×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	5.8%	6.6%	6.4%	1.02×	15.25
Drogheda United (2:0)	2.1%	2.4%	2.1%	1.13×	41.37

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.9%	48.9%	—	—	2.04
Halves equal	29.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	25.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne to concede	62.1%	63.9%	68.1%	0.94×	1.57
Shelbourne clean sheet	37.9%	36.1%	31.9%	1.13×	2.77

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne clean sheet in 1st half	67.9%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Shelbourne to concede in 1st half	32.1%	31.1%	—	—	3.21

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne clean sheet in 2nd half	55.9%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Shelbourne to concede in 2nd half	44.1%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne under 3.5 goals	91.9%	92.1%	94.2%	0.98×	1.09
Shelbourne over 0.5 goals	80.1%	81.9%	78.5%	1.04×	1.22
Shelbourne under 2.5 goals	77.9%	77.4%	85.3%	0.91×	1.29
Shelbourne under 1.5 goals	52.0%	52.8%	57.1%	0.92×	1.90
Shelbourne over 1.5 goals	48.0%	47.2%	42.9%	1.10×	2.12
Shelbourne over 2.5 goals	22.1%	22.6%	14.7%	1.53×	4.43
Shelbourne under 0.5 goals	19.9%	18.1%	21.5%	0.84×	5.53
Shelbourne over 3.5 goals	8.1%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.67

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne under 1.5 in 1st half	84.6%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Shelbourne under 0.5 in 1st half	49.9%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Shelbourne over 0.5 in 1st half	50.1%	49.0%	—	—	2.04
Shelbourne over 1.5 in 1st half	15.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne scores more in 2nd half	39.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Shelbourne scores equally in both	34.8%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Shelbourne scores more in 1st half	26.2%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	59.3%	56.1%	52.6%	1.07×	1.78
Drogheda United (home no bet)	40.7%	43.9%	47.4%	0.92×	2.28

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne even goals	52.0%	50.4%	54.3%	0.93×	1.98
Shelbourne odd goals	48.0%	49.6%	45.7%	1.09×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
HT 1-0	23.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	12.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	9.5%	7.1%	—	—	13.99
HT 2-0	8.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
Any other HT score	4.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 0-2	2.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.52
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.57
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.66

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne at HT / Shelbourne at FT	30.7%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Shelbourne at FT	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Drogheda United at HT / Drogheda United at FT	10.5%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Drogheda United at FT	8.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Shelbourne at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Drogheda United at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
Drogheda United at HT / Shelbourne at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Shelbourne at HT / Drogheda United at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.86

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne to score last	56.6%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Drogheda United to score last	33.5%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	9.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.18

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.1%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Shelbourne to lead by 1 at any time	64.5%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.8%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Drogheda United to lead by 1 at any time	38.2%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Shelbourne to lead by 2 at any time	33.8%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Shelbourne to lead by 3 at any time	14.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Drogheda United to lead by 2 at any time	12.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Drogheda United to lead by 3 at any time	3.0%	1.6%	—	—	61.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.3%	87.4%	86.2%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.1%	78.5%	77.9%	1.01×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.7%	72.3%	70.9%	1.02×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.5%	72.2%	68.4%	1.06×	1.38
1-3 goals	64.0%	63.1%	65.0%	0.97×	1.58
2-4 goals	63.3%	63.1%	60.1%	1.05×	1.58
2-3 goals	49.3%	48.5%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.1%	48.4%	46.3%	1.05×	2.06
3-5 goals	43.0%	43.6%	43.9%	0.99×	2.29
1-2 goals	42.3%	43.6%	42.6%	1.02×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.7%	39.3%	35.6%	1.10×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.4%	24.8%	23.9%	1.04×	4.03
4-5 goals	21.3%	24.8%	21.5%	1.16×	4.03
5-6 goals	10.4%	15.0%	11.0%	1.36×	6.65
7+ goals	1.7%	2.6%	2.1%	1.20×	38.93

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne never behind	51.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Drogheda United never behind	25.6%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	45.0%	50.3%	50.3%	1.00×	1.99
Even number of goals	55.0%	49.7%	49.7%	1.00×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.6%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.1%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.9%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.2%	95.4%	95.4%	1.00×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.1%	92.2%	90.5%	1.02×	1.09
Under 4.5 goals	88.0%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.3%	77.2%	72.7%	1.06×	1.30
Under 3.5 goals	73.9%	72.4%	74.2%	0.98×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	52.2%	53.0%	51.8%	1.02×	1.89
Over 2.5 goals	47.8%	47.0%	48.2%	0.98×	2.13
Over 3.5 goals	26.1%	27.6%	25.8%	1.07×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	24.7%	22.8%	27.3%	0.84×	4.39
Over 4.5 goals	12.0%	12.6%	12.9%	0.98×	7.96
Under 0.5 goals	9.9%	7.8%	9.5%	0.82×	12.81
Over 5.5 goals	4.8%	4.6%	4.6%	1.00×	21.70

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.3%	97.2%	97.8%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.8%	92.4%	95.0%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.0%	86.6%	85.2%	1.02×	1.16
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.7%	67.6%	66.8%	1.01×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	65.9%	67.6%	63.8%	1.06×	1.48
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	34.1%	32.4%	36.2%	0.90×	3.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.3%	32.4%	33.2%	0.98×	3.09
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.0%	13.4%	14.8%	0.91×	7.45
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.2%	7.6%	5.0%	1.52×	13.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.7%	2.8%	2.2%	1.29×	35.11

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.1%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.7%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.3%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.9%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.44

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.8%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.9%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.1%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.2%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United not to score in both halves	85.8%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Shelbourne not to score in both halves	69.9%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Shelbourne to score in both halves	30.1%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
Drogheda United to score in both halves	14.2%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.1%	54.3%	56.1%	0.97×	1.84
Only Shelbourne scores	28.0%	26.1%	22.7%	1.15×	3.83
Neither team scores	9.9%	7.1%	9.5%	0.75×	14.00
Only Drogheda United scores	10.0%	7.1%	12.3%	0.58×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.6%	24.7%	24.8%	0.99×	4.05
Exactly 3 goals	21.7%	22.4%	22.7%	0.99×	4.46
Exactly 1 goals	14.8%	12.1%	18.1%	0.67×	8.30
Exactly 4 goals	14.0%	12.0%	13.2%	0.91×	8.30
Exactly 0 goals	9.9%	7.8%	9.5%	0.82×	12.82
Exactly 5 goals	7.3%	7.8%	8.6%	0.91×	12.83
6 or more goals	4.8%	4.5%	4.6%	0.98×	22.18

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	34.3%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
2 goals in 1st half	20.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	9.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.44

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.1%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	31.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	23.1%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United not to win both halves	96.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Shelbourne not to win both halves	84.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Shelbourne to win both halves	16.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Drogheda United to win both halves	4.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.55

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United to win neither half	64.9%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Shelbourne to win either half	62.9%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Shelbourne to win neither half	37.1%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Drogheda United to win either half	35.1%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United not to win to nil	90.0%	92.0%	87.7%	1.05×	1.09
Shelbourne not to win to nil	72.0%	75.1%	77.3%	0.97×	1.33
Shelbourne to win to nil	28.0%	24.9%	22.7%	1.10×	4.02
Drogheda United to win to nil	10.0%	8.0%	12.3%	0.65×	12.57

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.6%	27.7%	31.3%	0.89×	3.61
Shelbourne by 1	22.2%	24.2%	23.3%	1.04×	4.14
Shelbourne by 2	16.1%	16.9%	10.7%	1.57×	5.92
Drogheda United by 1	12.4%	11.7%	20.2%	0.58×	8.52
Shelbourne by 3+	11.8%	11.7%	7.4%	1.59×	8.52
Drogheda United by 2	5.8%	7.3%	6.4%	1.13×	13.74
Drogheda United by 3+	2.1%	2.8%	2.1%	1.31×	35.56