Shimizu S-Pulse v Tokyo Verdy 1969 — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Shimizu S-Pulse

04:00 UTC

Tokyo Verdy 1969

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 281h before kick-off

Shimizu S-Pulse win

45.4%

model 44.8%

Draw

30.8%

model 30.5%

Tokyo Verdy 1969 win

23.8%

model 24.7%

453124

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 17.4%
0-0 14.8%
1-1 12.7%
0-1 11.7%
2-0 9.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	29.4%	Under 2.5	70.6%
BTTS yes	35.7%	BTTS no	64.3%
Shimizu S-Pulse 1+	67.8%	Shimizu S-Pulse 2+	31.3%
Tokyo Verdy 1969 1+	53.0%	Tokyo Verdy 1969 2+	17.5%

Expected goals 1.13 – 0.76. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 53%

71.9% fair odds 1.39

strong signal · 1675 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 1.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 385 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Shimizu S-Pulse.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Shimizu S-Pulse have an estimated 45.4% win probability, against 30.8% for the draw and 23.8% for Tokyo Verdy 1969. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.13 for Shimizu S-Pulse and 0.76 for Tokyo Verdy 1969.

Why Shimizu S-Pulse

Nothing in the data singles out Shimizu S-Pulse.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.8%. A combined 1.89 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Tokyo Verdy 1969 can win

Nothing in the data singles out Tokyo Verdy 1969.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Shimizu S-Pulse, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Tokyo Verdy 1969, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Shimizu S-Pulse: 44% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Tokyo Verdy 1969: 41% possession, 8.6 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Shimizu S-Pulse are the model's most likely outcome at 45.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 17.4%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	453125	1.13–0.76	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	423424	0.96–0.63	0-0 20%	22%	29%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse to win	42.3%	42.9%	43.0%	1.00×	2.33
Draw	34.1%	30.4%	26.1%	1.16×	3.29
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win	23.6%	24.5%	31.1%	0.79×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse & not both score	33.1%	29.6%	25.0%	1.18×	3.38
Draw & not both score	20.0%	21.8%	7.0%	3.10×	4.59
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & not both score	18.2%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	14.1%	13.3%	19.2%	0.69×	7.54
Shimizu S-Pulse & both teams score	9.2%	8.3%	18.1%	0.46×	11.99
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & both teams score	5.4%	8.3%	13.4%	0.62×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse & under 3.5	38.1%	34.9%	33.1%	1.05×	2.87
Draw & under 2.5	32.1%	30.8%	20.3%	1.51×	3.25
Draw & under 3.5	32.1%	30.8%	20.3%	1.51×	3.25
Shimizu S-Pulse & under 2.5	29.2%	26.1%	20.0%	1.30×	3.84
Shimizu S-Pulse & over 1.5	22.5%	21.6%	30.3%	0.71×	4.63
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & under 3.5	22.0%	21.6%	23.4%	0.92×	4.63
Draw & under 1.5	20.0%	21.6%	7.0%	3.07×	4.63
Shimizu S-Pulse & under 1.5	19.8%	18.0%	12.8%	1.41×	5.55
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & under 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.1%	12.8%	19.2%	0.67×	7.79
Shimizu S-Pulse & over 2.5	13.1%	12.8%	23.1%	0.56×	7.79
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & under 1.5	13.1%	12.8%	10.0%	1.28×	7.79
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & over 1.5	10.5%	12.8%	21.3%	0.60×	7.79
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & over 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	17.8%	0.44×	12.63
Shimizu S-Pulse & over 3.5	4.2%	4.8%	10.0%	0.48×	20.82
Draw & over 2.5	2.0%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.83
Draw & over 3.5	2.0%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.83
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & over 3.5	1.6%	4.8%	7.8%	0.61×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse (1UP)	51.5%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (1UP)	33.9%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse (2UP)	42.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (2UP)	23.6%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	48.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Shimizu S-Pulse to win 2nd half	31.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win 2nd half	20.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 1.5 in 2nd half	94.4%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 0.5 in 2nd half	68.4%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 0.5 in 2nd half	31.6%	30.3%	—	—	3.30
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 1.5 in 2nd half	5.6%	8.0%	—	—	12.50

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.5%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Shimizu S-Pulse under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.8%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Shimizu S-Pulse over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.2%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Shimizu S-Pulse over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.07

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (+2.5)	95.5%	96.3%	93.8%	1.03×	1.04
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (+1.5)	84.1%	82.6%	81.9%	1.01×	1.21
Shimizu S-Pulse (+0.5)	76.4%	78.5%	68.9%	1.14×	1.27
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (+0.5)	57.7%	57.1%	57.0%	1.00×	1.75
Shimizu S-Pulse (-0.5)	42.3%	42.9%	43.0%	1.00×	2.33
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (-0.5)	23.6%	21.5%	31.1%	0.69×	4.65
Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.5)	15.9%	17.4%	18.1%	0.96×	5.74
Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5)	4.5%	3.7%	6.3%	0.59×	27.05

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to concede	61.8%	67.5%	75.3%	0.90×	1.48
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet	38.2%	32.5%	24.7%	1.31×	3.08

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet in 1st half	66.1%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to concede in 1st half	33.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.47

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet in 2nd half	57.8%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to concede in 2nd half	42.2%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 6.5 corners	87.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 5.5 corners	78.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 2.5 corners	70.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 4.5 corners	65.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 3.5 corners	52.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 3.5 corners	47.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 4.5 corners	35.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.61
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 2.5 corners	29.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 5.5 corners	21.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 6.5 corners	12.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 3.5 goals	99.6%	97.5%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 2.5 goals	97.4%	97.5%	87.8%	1.11×	1.03
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 1.5 goals	86.7%	87.8%	68.3%	1.29×	1.14
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 0.5 goals	53.1%	53.5%	31.9%	1.68×	1.87
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 0.5 goals	46.9%	46.5%	68.1%	0.68×	2.15
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 1.5 goals	13.3%	12.2%	31.7%	0.38×	8.20
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 2.5 goals	2.7%	2.5%	12.2%	0.21×	39.83
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 3.5 goals	0.4%	2.5%	4.1%	0.62×	39.95

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 1.5 in 1st half	97.3%	96.2%	—	—	1.04
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 0.5 in 1st half	77.6%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 0.5 in 1st half	22.4%	24.9%	—	—	4.02
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 1.5 in 1st half	2.7%	3.8%	—	—	26.52

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 scores equally in both	58.3%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Tokyo Verdy 1969 scores more in 2nd half	25.7%	26.4%	—	—	3.78
Tokyo Verdy 1969 scores more in 1st half	16.0%	17.9%	—	—	5.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse (away no bet)	55.4%	57.3%	62.2%	0.92×	1.75
Draw (away no bet)	44.6%	42.7%	37.8%	1.13×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 even goals	64.1%	59.2%	54.2%	1.09×	1.69
Tokyo Verdy 1969 odd goals	35.9%	40.9%	45.8%	0.89×	2.45

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	96.6%	96.7%	—	—	1.04
Both halves over 1.5 goals	3.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.85

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	65.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Not both halves under 1.5	34.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	31.0%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Shimizu S-Pulse to score 2+ in a row	21.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 2+ in a row	10.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Either team to score 3+ in a row	7.4%	5.5%	—	—	18.17
Shimizu S-Pulse to score 3+ in a row	5.7%	5.5%	—	—	18.31
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 3+ in a row	1.8%	2.5%	—	—	39.88

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse corners (+3.5)	92.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Shimizu S-Pulse corners (+2.5)	88.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Shimizu S-Pulse corners (+1.5)	81.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (+3.5)	72.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (+2.5)	61.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (+1.5)	50.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Shimizu S-Pulse corners (-1.5)	49.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Shimizu S-Pulse corners (-2.5)	38.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Shimizu S-Pulse corners (-3.5)	28.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (-1.5)	19.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (-2.5)	12.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (-3.5)	7.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	25.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.0%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	74.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	67.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	56.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	55.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	44.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	44.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	34.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	32.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	25.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	18.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	20.0%	20.0%	7.0%	2.85×	4.99
1-0	19.8%	13.9%	12.8%	1.08×	7.22
0-1	13.1%	11.5%	10.0%	1.15×	8.71
1-1	12.1%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.71
2-0	9.4%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-1	5.9%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.51
0-2	4.1%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.32
1-2	3.9%	1.7%	7.2%	0.24×	58.30
1-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.31
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.32
2-2	1.9%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.31
2-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.32
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.32
3-0	3.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
3-1	1.9%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.31
3-2	0.6%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.32
3-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.32
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.32
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	58.32
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.32
4-2	0.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.32
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
Any other score	0.4%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse (2nd half DNB)	61.1%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (2nd half DNB)	38.9%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse leading at HT (DNB)	63.9%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Tokyo Verdy 1969 leading at HT (DNB)	36.1%	33.4%	—	—	3.00

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse or draw (1X)	76.4%	75.5%	68.9%	1.10×	1.32
Shimizu S-Pulse or Tokyo Verdy 1969 (12)	65.9%	69.6%	73.9%	0.94×	1.44
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or draw (X2)	57.7%	57.1%	57.0%	1.00×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse or draw at HT	84.4%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or draw at HT	72.3%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Shimizu S-Pulse or Tokyo Verdy 1969 at HT	43.2%	43.2%	—	—	2.31

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse or draw (1UP)	76.4%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or draw (1UP)	57.7%	63.0%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse or draw in 2nd half	79.8%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or draw in 2nd half	68.2%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Shimizu S-Pulse or Tokyo Verdy 1969 in 2nd half	52.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	77.8%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Neither half drawn	22.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse (DNB)	64.2%	62.7%	58.0%	1.08×	1.59
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (DNB)	35.8%	37.3%	42.0%	0.89×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse to score first	48.2%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score first	31.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
No goal scored	20.0%	22.2%	—	—	4.51

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	71.3%	62.4%	49.5%	1.26×	1.60
Both teams to score	28.7%	37.6%	50.5%	0.74×	2.66

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	66.4%	57.0%	40.2%	1.42×	1.75
Both score & over 2.5	16.6%	21.5%	37.2%	0.58×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	12.1%	12.4%	13.4%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	4.9%	4.8%	9.5%	0.50×	20.99

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	96.7%	91.6%	86.3%	1.06×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	3.3%	8.4%	13.8%	0.61×	11.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	86.8%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Both teams to score in 2nd half	13.2%	12.9%	—	—	7.74

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	80.2%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Both score 2nd half only	12.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score 1st half only	6.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.77
Both score in both halves	1.0%	4.8%	—	—	20.99

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	92.5%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Both teams to score by HT	7.5%	7.3%	—	—	13.61

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	70.7%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
A goal in each half	29.3%	25.4%	—	—	3.93

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	52.9%	41.5%	29.5%	1.41×	2.41
2-3 goals	39.3%	35.0%	47.2%	0.74×	2.85
4-6 goals	7.7%	7.6%	20.9%	0.36×	13.11
7+ goals	0.1%	1.8%	2.7%	0.69×	54.55

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score exactly 0	53.1%	47.2%	31.9%	1.48×	2.12
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score exactly 1	33.6%	33.8%	36.6%	0.93×	2.96
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score exactly 2	10.6%	12.9%	19.7%	0.65×	7.77
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 3+	2.7%	4.6%	12.2%	0.37×	21.90

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse to score exactly 0	38.2%	35.5%	24.7%	1.44×	2.81
Shimizu S-Pulse to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.5%	36.3%	0.98×	2.81
Shimizu S-Pulse to score exactly 2	17.7%	18.8%	24.5%	0.77×	5.32
Shimizu S-Pulse to score 3+	7.3%	10.3%	14.8%	0.70×	9.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	56.8%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Shimizu S-Pulse leading at HT	27.7%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Tokyo Verdy 1969 leading at HT	15.6%	15.9%	—	—	6.31

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse -1: 2	57.7%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Shimizu S-Pulse -1: X	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Shimizu S-Pulse -1: 1	15.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (0:1)	57.7%	55.8%	57.0%	0.98×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	26.4%	27.0%	25.0%	1.08×	3.70
Shimizu S-Pulse (0:1)	15.9%	17.8%	18.1%	0.98×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (0:2)	84.1%	83.0%	81.9%	1.01×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.4%	11.0%	12.0%	0.91×	9.10
Shimizu S-Pulse (0:2)	4.5%	3.8%	6.3%	0.60×	26.64

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (0:3)	95.5%	96.6%	93.8%	1.03×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.5%	2.4%	4.2%	0.56×	41.99
Shimizu S-Pulse (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	2.2%	1.09×	42.10

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (0:4)	99.0%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	81.81
Shimizu S-Pulse (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	81.88

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse (1:0)	76.4%	78.5%	68.9%	1.14×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	17.4%	17.1%	19.4%	0.88×	5.85
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (1:0)	6.1%	6.9%	11.9%	0.58×	14.52

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse (2:0)	93.9%	94.0%	88.1%	1.07×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.0%	2.3%	6.1%	0.38×	43.62
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (2:0)	1.2%	2.3%	5.9%	0.38×	43.85

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	40.2%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Halves equal	34.5%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
1st half highest scoring	25.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse clean sheet	53.1%	53.2%	31.9%	1.67×	1.88
Shimizu S-Pulse to concede	46.9%	46.8%	68.1%	0.69×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse clean sheet in 1st half	77.6%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Shimizu S-Pulse to concede in 1st half	22.4%	22.0%	—	—	4.54

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse clean sheet in 2nd half	68.4%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
Shimizu S-Pulse to concede in 2nd half	31.6%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse over 2.5 corners	86.4%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Shimizu S-Pulse over 3.5 corners	74.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Shimizu S-Pulse under 6.5 corners	68.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Shimizu S-Pulse over 4.5 corners	59.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Shimizu S-Pulse under 5.5 corners	55.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Shimizu S-Pulse over 5.5 corners	44.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Shimizu S-Pulse under 4.5 corners	40.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Shimizu S-Pulse over 6.5 corners	31.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Shimizu S-Pulse under 3.5 corners	26.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Shimizu S-Pulse under 2.5 corners	13.6%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse under 3.5 goals	98.3%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Shimizu S-Pulse under 2.5 goals	92.7%	92.2%	85.2%	1.08×	1.08
Shimizu S-Pulse under 1.5 goals	75.0%	74.2%	60.8%	1.22×	1.35
Shimizu S-Pulse over 0.5 goals	61.8%	63.6%	75.3%	0.84×	1.57
Shimizu S-Pulse under 0.5 goals	38.2%	36.4%	24.7%	1.47×	2.75
Shimizu S-Pulse over 1.5 goals	25.0%	25.8%	39.2%	0.66×	3.88
Shimizu S-Pulse over 2.5 goals	7.3%	7.8%	14.8%	0.52×	12.84
Shimizu S-Pulse over 3.5 goals	1.7%	3.6%	5.2%	0.70×	27.61

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse under 1.5 in 1st half	93.5%	94.8%	—	—	1.05
Shimizu S-Pulse under 0.5 in 1st half	66.1%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Shimizu S-Pulse over 0.5 in 1st half	33.9%	30.7%	—	—	3.26
Shimizu S-Pulse over 1.5 in 1st half	6.5%	5.2%	—	—	19.35

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse scores equally in both	47.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Shimizu S-Pulse scores more in 2nd half	30.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Shimizu S-Pulse scores more in 1st half	21.7%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	59.1%	56.4%	45.6%	1.24×	1.77
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (home no bet)	40.9%	43.6%	54.4%	0.80×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse even goals	57.3%	55.3%	52.7%	1.05×	1.81
Shimizu S-Pulse odd goals	42.7%	44.7%	47.3%	0.94×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	51.3%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
HT 1-0	21.3%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	13.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	5.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-0	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 0-2	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.30
HT 2-1	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.33
Any other HT score	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.33
HT 1-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.36
HT 2-2	0.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	27.0%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Shimizu S-Pulse at HT / Shimizu S-Pulse at FT	23.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Shimizu S-Pulse at FT	18.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Tokyo Verdy 1969 at FT	11.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Tokyo Verdy 1969 at HT / Tokyo Verdy 1969 at FT	11.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Shimizu S-Pulse at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Tokyo Verdy 1969 at HT / Draw at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Tokyo Verdy 1969 at HT / Shimizu S-Pulse at FT	1.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.98
Shimizu S-Pulse at HT / Tokyo Verdy 1969 at FT	0.8%	3.4%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse to score last	48.2%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score last	31.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	20.0%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	80.0%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Shimizu S-Pulse to lead by 1 at any time	51.5%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to lead by 1 at any time	33.9%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	26.7%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Shimizu S-Pulse to lead by 2 at any time	18.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.73
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to lead by 2 at any time	8.1%	6.7%	—	—	15.01
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	6.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.08
Shimizu S-Pulse to lead by 3 at any time	5.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.15
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to lead by 3 at any time	1.5%	1.6%	—	—	63.81

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse most corners	61.2%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Tokyo Verdy 1969 most corners	28.0%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	79.4%	78.7%	87.5%	0.90×	1.27
1-4 goals	77.6%	78.7%	81.7%	0.96×	1.27
1-3 goals	72.2%	72.3%	69.7%	1.04×	1.38
1-2 goals	58.5%	59.1%	46.6%	1.27×	1.69
2-6 goals	46.9%	48.4%	68.0%	0.71×	2.06
2-5 goals	46.5%	48.4%	65.0%	0.75×	2.06
2-4 goals	44.7%	43.6%	59.2%	0.74×	2.29
2-3 goals	39.3%	39.2%	47.2%	0.83×	2.55
3-6 goals	21.4%	24.4%	44.1%	0.55×	4.09
3-5 goals	20.9%	24.4%	41.1%	0.59×	4.09
3-4 goals	19.2%	18.8%	35.3%	0.53×	5.31
4-6 goals	7.7%	8.9%	20.9%	0.42×	11.26
4-5 goals	7.2%	8.9%	18.0%	0.49×	11.26
5-6 goals	2.2%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	39.17
7+ goals	0.1%	2.5%	2.7%	0.96×	39.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse never behind	46.1%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Tokyo Verdy 1969 never behind	28.5%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.5%	50.9%	53.3%	0.96×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.5%	49.1%	46.7%	1.05×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	63.1%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Odd goals in 1st half	36.9%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	57.6%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Odd goals in 2nd half	42.4%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	99.4%	95.4%	94.4%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	97.7%	95.4%	88.6%	1.08×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	76.6%	1.21×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	80.0%	77.3%	93.0%	0.83×	1.29
Under 2.5 goals	78.5%	77.3%	53.4%	1.45×	1.29
Under 1.5 goals	52.9%	52.5%	29.5%	1.78×	1.90
Over 1.5 goals	47.1%	47.5%	70.5%	0.67×	2.11
Over 2.5 goals	21.5%	22.7%	46.6%	0.49×	4.40
Under 0.5 goals	20.0%	22.7%	7.0%	3.23×	4.41
Over 3.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	23.4%	0.33×	12.93
Over 4.5 goals	2.3%	4.6%	11.4%	0.40×	21.84
Over 5.5 goals	0.6%	4.6%	5.6%	0.81×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.9%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	99.4%	97.2%	94.0%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	97.5%	97.2%	87.0%	1.12×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	90.9%	92.4%	69.5%	1.33×	1.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.1%	72.3%	38.8%	1.86×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.9%	27.7%	61.2%	0.45×	3.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	9.1%	7.6%	30.5%	0.25×	13.17
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	2.5%	2.8%	13.0%	0.22×	35.61
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	0.6%	2.8%	6.0%	0.47×	35.66
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.1%	2.8%	2.7%	1.02×	35.68

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	97.0%	97.5%	—	—	1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half	85.6%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Under 0.5 in 1st half	51.3%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Over 0.5 in 1st half	48.7%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Over 1.5 in 1st half	14.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.05
Over 2.5 in 1st half	3.0%	2.5%	—	—	40.52

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	93.2%	90.7%	—	—	1.10
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.3%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.6%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.4%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.7%	20.5%	—	—	4.87
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	6.8%	9.3%	—	—	10.71

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 not to score in both halves	92.9%	90.7%	—	—	1.10
Shimizu S-Pulse not to score in both halves	85.7%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Shimizu S-Pulse to score in both halves	14.3%	14.5%	—	—	6.89
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score in both halves	7.1%	9.3%	—	—	10.74

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Shimizu S-Pulse scores	33.1%	33.3%	25.0%	1.33×	3.00
Both teams score	28.7%	26.1%	50.5%	0.52×	3.84
Neither team scores	20.0%	22.2%	7.0%	3.16×	4.50
Only Tokyo Verdy 1969 scores	18.2%	16.0%	17.8%	0.90×	6.23

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	32.9%	25.5%	22.7%	1.12×	3.93
Exactly 2 goals	25.5%	24.9%	24.1%	1.03×	4.02
Exactly 0 goals	20.0%	22.6%	7.0%	3.21×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	13.7%	12.1%	23.3%	0.52×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	5.5%	7.6%	12.2%	0.62×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	1.7%	4.5%	5.9%	0.75×	22.37
6 or more goals	0.6%	4.5%	5.6%	0.79×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	51.3%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
1 goal in 1st half	34.3%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	11.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.22
3+ goals in 1st half	3.0%	2.5%	—	—	40.52

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 2nd half	39.4%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	36.9%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
2+ goals in 2nd half	23.7%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 not to win both halves	96.9%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Shimizu S-Pulse not to win both halves	91.3%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Shimizu S-Pulse to win both halves	8.7%	5.9%	—	—	17.03
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win both halves	3.1%	2.8%	—	—	35.92

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win neither half	67.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Shimizu S-Pulse to win either half	50.7%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Shimizu S-Pulse to win neither half	49.3%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win either half	32.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 not to win to nil	81.8%	83.1%	82.2%	1.01×	1.20
Shimizu S-Pulse not to win to nil	66.9%	69.7%	75.0%	0.93×	1.44
Shimizu S-Pulse to win to nil	33.1%	30.3%	25.0%	1.21×	3.30
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win to nil	18.2%	16.9%	17.8%	0.95×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse by 1	26.4%	27.9%	25.0%	1.11×	3.59
Draw	34.1%	27.7%	26.1%	1.06×	3.61
Tokyo Verdy 1969 by 1	17.4%	17.0%	19.4%	0.88×	5.87
Shimizu S-Pulse by 2	11.4%	11.8%	12.0%	0.98×	8.51
Tokyo Verdy 1969 by 2	5.0%	2.7%	6.1%	0.45×	36.82
Shimizu S-Pulse by 3+	4.5%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	36.83
Tokyo Verdy 1969 by 3+	1.2%	2.7%	5.9%	0.46×	36.94