Şi̇mal v Şahdağ Qusar — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 17 September 2026 · AZE-First Division · 2627

AZE-First Division results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Şi̇mal

12:30 UTC

Şahdağ Qusar

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 193h before kick-off

Şi̇mal win

18.6%

model 17.3%

Draw

28.2%

model 28.2%

Şahdağ Qusar win

53.2%

model 54.5%

192853

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,549 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 14.4%
1-1 12.9%
0-2 11.9%
0-0 11.4%
1-2 9.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	39.9%	Under 2.5	60.1%
BTTS yes	42.7%	BTTS no	57.3%
Şi̇mal 1+	53.0%	Şi̇mal 2+	17.5%
Şahdağ Qusar 1+	78.3%	Şahdağ Qusar 2+	45.1%

Expected goals 0.76 – 1.53. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

92%

★ Best pick

Şahdağ Qusar (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 41%

77.3% fair odds 1.29

strong signal · 2435 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Şahdağ Qusar or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT · usually 66%

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Şahdağ Qusar have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Şi̇mal have allowed 1.35.
Away from home Şahdağ Qusar average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Şi̇mal have only 0 matches on record.
Şahdağ Qusar have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Şahdağ Qusar have an estimated 53.2% win probability, against 28.2% for the draw and 18.6% for Şi̇mal. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.76 for Şi̇mal and 1.53 for Şahdağ Qusar.

Why Şi̇mal

Şi̇mal have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Şahdağ Qusar have allowed 1.35. At home Şi̇mal average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.2%. A combined 2.28 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes.

Why Şahdağ Qusar can win

Şahdağ Qusar have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Şi̇mal have allowed 1.35. Away from home Şahdağ Qusar average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Şi̇mal, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Şahdağ Qusar, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Şi̇mal: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Şahdağ Qusar: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Şahdağ Qusar are the model's most likely outcome at 53.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 14.4%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	172854	0.76–1.53	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	122562	0.63–1.70	0-1 16%	41%	39%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar to win	54.5%	51.2%	30.6%	1.67×	1.95
Draw	28.2%	27.1%	25.0%	1.09×	3.69
Şi̇mal to win	17.3%	17.9%	44.4%	0.40×	5.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar & not both score	35.6%	36.2%	16.0%	2.27×	2.77
Şahdağ Qusar & both teams score	18.9%	18.1%	14.6%	1.24×	5.52
Draw & both teams score	16.8%	18.1%	17.7%	1.03×	5.52
Draw & not both score	11.4%	12.7%	7.3%	1.74×	7.88
Şi̇mal & not both score	10.4%	12.7%	24.4%	0.52×	7.88
Şi̇mal & both teams score	7.0%	7.6%	20.1%	0.38×	13.08

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar & under 3.5	41.3%	42.9%	21.6%	1.99×	2.33
Şahdağ Qusar & over 1.5	40.1%	42.9%	23.1%	1.86×	2.33
Şahdağ Qusar & over 2.5	28.2%	26.4%	18.4%	1.44×	3.79
Şahdağ Qusar & under 2.5	26.3%	26.4%	12.2%	2.16×	3.79
Draw & under 2.5	24.3%	21.8%	18.8%	1.16×	4.58
Draw & under 3.5	24.3%	21.8%	18.8%	1.16×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	16.8%	17.7%	17.7%	1.00×	5.64
Şi̇mal & under 3.5	14.7%	12.4%	30.3%	0.41×	8.05
Şahdağ Qusar & under 1.5	14.4%	12.4%	7.5%	1.65×	8.05
Draw & under 1.5	11.4%	12.4%	7.3%	1.70×	8.06
Şahdağ Qusar & over 3.5	13.2%	12.4%	9.0%	1.38×	8.06
Şi̇mal & over 1.5	10.8%	12.4%	34.1%	0.36×	8.06
Şi̇mal & under 2.5	9.5%	7.6%	17.5%	0.43×	13.20
Şi̇mal & under 1.5	6.6%	7.6%	10.4%	0.73×	13.21
Şi̇mal & over 2.5	7.9%	7.6%	26.9%	0.28×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	3.9%	4.4%	6.2%	0.71×	22.79
Draw & over 3.5	3.9%	4.4%	6.2%	0.71×	22.79
Şi̇mal & over 3.5	2.7%	4.4%	14.2%	0.31×	22.80

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar (1UP)	66.0%	69.7%	50.4%	1.38×	1.43
Şi̇mal (1UP)	32.4%	35.4%	59.8%	0.59×	2.82

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar (2UP)	54.5%	52.9%	34.2%	1.55×	1.89
Şi̇mal (2UP)	17.3%	19.7%	45.2%	0.44×	5.07

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar to win 2nd half	45.5%	44.7%	29.7%	1.51×	2.24
2nd half drawn	38.1%	36.5%	32.7%	1.12×	2.74
Şi̇mal to win 2nd half	16.4%	20.1%	37.7%	0.53×	4.98

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.7%	77.9%	82.3%	0.95×	1.28
Şahdağ Qusar over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.0%	55.0%	53.4%	1.03×	1.82
Şahdağ Qusar under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.0%	45.0%	46.6%	0.97×	2.22
Şahdağ Qusar over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.3%	22.1%	17.7%	1.25×	4.54

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal under 1.5 in 2nd half	93.0%	91.4%	77.4%	1.18×	1.09
Şi̇mal under 0.5 in 2nd half	65.0%	63.5%	41.4%	1.54×	1.57
Şi̇mal over 0.5 in 2nd half	35.0%	36.5%	58.7%	0.62×	2.74
Şi̇mal over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.0%	8.6%	22.6%	0.38×	11.64

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar (+2.5)	98.8%	96.6%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Şahdağ Qusar (+1.5)	94.6%	92.3%	77.7%	1.19×	1.08
Şahdağ Qusar (+0.5)	82.7%	83.2%	55.6%	1.50×	1.20
Şahdağ Qusar (-0.5)	54.5%	51.8%	30.6%	1.69×	1.93
Şi̇mal (+0.5)	45.5%	48.2%	69.4%	0.69×	2.08
Şi̇mal (-0.5)	17.3%	16.8%	44.4%	0.38×	5.95
Şi̇mal (-1.5)	5.4%	7.7%	22.3%	0.35×	12.98
Şi̇mal (-2.5)	1.2%	3.4%	9.9%	0.34×	29.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar to concede	53.1%	54.5%	76.7%	0.71×	1.84
Şahdağ Qusar clean sheet	46.9%	45.5%	23.3%	1.96×	2.20

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar clean sheet in 1st half	72.2%	71.0%	51.8%	1.37×	1.41
Şahdağ Qusar to concede in 1st half	27.8%	29.0%	48.2%	0.60×	3.45

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar clean sheet in 2nd half	65.0%	61.6%	41.4%	1.49×	1.63
Şahdağ Qusar to concede in 2nd half	35.0%	38.5%	58.7%	0.66×	2.60

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar under 3.5 goals	93.1%	92.2%	95.7%	0.96×	1.09
Şahdağ Qusar under 2.5 goals	80.2%	82.5%	87.0%	0.95×	1.21
Şahdağ Qusar over 0.5 goals	78.3%	76.4%	68.3%	1.12×	1.31
Şahdağ Qusar under 1.5 goals	54.9%	53.0%	66.3%	0.80×	1.89
Şahdağ Qusar over 1.5 goals	45.1%	47.0%	33.7%	1.39×	2.13
Şahdağ Qusar under 0.5 goals	21.7%	23.6%	31.7%	0.75×	4.23
Şahdağ Qusar over 2.5 goals	19.8%	17.5%	13.0%	1.35×	5.71
Şahdağ Qusar over 3.5 goals	6.9%	7.8%	4.3%	1.81×	12.75

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar under 1.5 in 1st half	87.5%	87.1%	89.4%	0.97×	1.15
Şahdağ Qusar under 0.5 in 1st half	54.3%	55.1%	59.0%	0.93×	1.81
Şahdağ Qusar over 0.5 in 1st half	45.7%	44.9%	41.0%	1.09×	2.23
Şahdağ Qusar over 1.5 in 1st half	12.5%	12.9%	10.6%	1.22×	7.73

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar scores more in 2nd half	41.0%	42.1%	36.5%	1.15×	2.38
Şahdağ Qusar scores equally in both	35.7%	38.0%	40.6%	0.94×	2.63
Şahdağ Qusar scores more in 1st half	23.3%	23.5%	22.9%	1.03×	4.25

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	61.9%	62.3%	36.0%	1.73×	1.61
Şi̇mal (away no bet)	38.1%	37.7%	64.0%	0.59×	2.65

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar even goals	52.4%	53.6%	55.7%	0.96×	1.87
Şahdağ Qusar odd goals	47.6%	46.4%	44.3%	1.05×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.6%	90.6%	82.7%	1.10×	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.4%	9.4%	17.3%	0.55×	10.60

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	54.2%	53.3%	66.2%	0.80×	1.88
Both halves under 1.5 goals	45.8%	46.7%	33.8%	1.38×	2.14

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	48.8%	49.9%	58.6%	0.85×	2.00
Şahdağ Qusar to score 2+ in a row	39.5%	37.1%	28.6%	1.30×	2.70
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.2%	17.0%	22.9%	0.74×	5.88
Şahdağ Qusar to score 3+ in a row	15.1%	17.0%	9.1%	1.86×	5.89
Şi̇mal to score 2+ in a row	12.4%	12.9%	36.9%	0.35×	7.77
Şi̇mal to score 3+ in a row	2.2%	3.1%	14.2%	0.22×	32.16

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	14.4%	11.2%	7.5%	1.49×	8.91
1-1	12.9%	11.2%	11.5%	0.98×	8.91
0-0	11.4%	11.2%	7.3%	1.54×	8.91
0-2	11.9%	11.2%	4.7%	2.38×	8.91
0-3	6.0%	7.4%	2.3%	3.20×	13.45
1-0	6.6%	7.4%	10.4%	0.72×	13.45
1-2	9.0%	7.4%	7.0%	1.06×	13.45
0-4	2.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.34
1-3	4.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.34
1-4	1.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.34
2-0	2.9%	1.7%	7.2%	0.24×	58.34
2-1	4.5%	1.7%	8.8%	0.19×	58.34
2-2	3.4%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.34
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.34
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.89×	58.35
3-0	0.7%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.35
3-1	1.1%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.34
3-2	0.9%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.35
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.35
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.65×	58.35
4-0	0.1%	1.7%	1.8%	0.98×	58.35
4-1	0.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.35
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.35
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.62×	58.35
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	16.16×	58.35
Any other score	2.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar (2nd half DNB)	73.6%	70.6%	44.1%	1.60×	1.42
Şi̇mal (2nd half DNB)	26.4%	29.4%	55.9%	0.53×	3.40

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar leading at HT (DNB)	68.7%	71.6%	43.3%	1.65×	1.40
Şi̇mal leading at HT (DNB)	31.3%	28.4%	56.7%	0.50×	3.52

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar or draw (X2)	82.7%	82.1%	55.6%	1.48×	1.22
Şi̇mal or Şahdağ Qusar (12)	71.8%	72.9%	75.0%	0.97×	1.37
Şi̇mal or draw (1X)	45.5%	48.8%	69.4%	0.70×	2.05

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar or draw at HT	83.7%	83.9%	66.2%	1.27×	1.19
Şi̇mal or draw at HT	64.2%	63.0%	74.1%	0.85×	1.59
Şi̇mal or Şahdağ Qusar at HT	52.2%	53.9%	59.7%	0.90×	1.86

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar or draw (1UP)	82.7%	86.2%	63.9%	1.35×	1.16
Şi̇mal or draw (1UP)	45.5%	55.2%	74.2%	0.74×	1.81

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar or draw in 2nd half	83.6%	79.9%	62.3%	1.28×	1.25
Şi̇mal or Şahdağ Qusar in 2nd half	61.9%	63.5%	67.3%	0.94×	1.58
Şi̇mal or draw in 2nd half	54.5%	55.3%	70.3%	0.79×	1.81

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.5%	65.1%	58.9%	1.11×	1.54
Neither half drawn	33.5%	34.9%	41.1%	0.85×	2.87

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar (DNB)	75.9%	77.3%	40.8%	1.90×	1.29
Şi̇mal (DNB)	24.1%	22.7%	59.2%	0.38×	4.42

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar to score first	59.3%	61.1%	42.9%	1.42×	1.64
Şi̇mal to score first	29.4%	29.6%	51.2%	0.58×	3.37
No goal scored	11.4%	6.9%	5.9%	1.17×	14.45

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	57.3%	55.3%	47.6%	1.16×	1.81
Both teams to score	42.7%	44.7%	52.4%	0.85×	2.24

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	47.1%	45.1%	37.1%	1.22×	2.22
Both score & over 2.5	29.7%	31.4%	40.9%	0.77×	3.18
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	11.9%	11.5%	1.04×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	10.2%	11.9%	10.6%	1.12×	8.41

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.1%	89.9%	86.0%	1.05×	1.11
Both teams to score 2+	7.9%	10.1%	14.0%	0.72×	9.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.6%	74.1%	70.2%	1.05×	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.4%	25.9%	29.8%	0.87×	3.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.4%	64.0%	57.8%	1.11×	1.56
Both score 2nd half only	18.7%	18.5%	23.8%	0.78×	5.41
Both score 1st half only	10.2%	11.8%	12.5%	0.95×	8.44
Both score in both halves	2.7%	4.8%	6.0%	0.80×	20.71

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.1%	84.7%	81.5%	1.04×	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	12.9%	15.3%	18.5%	0.83×	6.52

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	54.5%	52.5%	41.1%	1.28×	1.90
A goal in each half	45.5%	47.5%	58.9%	0.81×	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.0%	46.5%	45.4%	1.02×	2.15
0-1 goals	32.3%	31.2%	25.2%	1.24×	3.21
4-6 goals	18.8%	19.1%	27.0%	0.71×	5.24
7+ goals	0.9%	2.0%	2.4%	0.83×	49.79

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar to score exactly 1	33.2%	32.3%	34.6%	0.93×	3.09
Şahdağ Qusar to score exactly 2	25.3%	27.4%	20.8%	1.32×	3.65
Şahdağ Qusar to score exactly 0	21.7%	23.2%	31.7%	0.73×	4.30
Şahdağ Qusar to score 3+	19.8%	18.2%	13.0%	1.41×	5.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal to score exactly 0	46.9%	45.5%	23.3%	1.95×	2.20
Şi̇mal to score exactly 1	35.5%	36.6%	33.1%	1.11×	2.73
Şi̇mal to score exactly 2	13.4%	13.3%	24.0%	0.55×	7.53
Şi̇mal to score 3+	4.1%	4.7%	19.7%	0.24×	21.10

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.8%	46.1%	40.3%	1.14×	2.17
Şahdağ Qusar leading at HT	35.9%	37.1%	25.9%	1.43×	2.70
Şi̇mal leading at HT	16.3%	16.1%	33.8%	0.48×	6.21

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar -1: 1	45.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Şahdağ Qusar -1: 2	29.2%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
Şahdağ Qusar -1: X	25.3%	26.8%	—	—	3.74

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar (0:1)	82.7%	82.1%	55.6%	1.48×	1.22
Draw (0:1)	12.0%	13.1%	22.2%	0.59×	7.62
Şi̇mal (0:1)	5.4%	8.6%	22.3%	0.39×	11.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar (0:2)	94.6%	91.5%	77.7%	1.18×	1.09
Draw (0:2)	4.2%	3.5%	12.3%	0.28×	28.45
Şi̇mal (0:2)	1.2%	3.5%	9.9%	0.35×	28.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar (0:3)	98.8%	96.7%	90.1%	1.07×	1.03
Şi̇mal (0:3)	0.2%	2.6%	4.0%	0.63×	39.21
Draw (0:3)	1.0%	2.6%	5.9%	0.43×	39.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar (0:4)	99.8%	97.8%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Şi̇mal (0:4)	0.0%	1.4%	1.5%	0.94×	70.77
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.4%	2.5%	0.56×	70.77

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal (1:0)	45.5%	50.2%	69.4%	0.72×	1.99
Şahdağ Qusar (1:0)	29.2%	25.2%	13.6%	1.86×	3.97
Draw (1:0)	25.3%	25.1%	17.0%	1.47×	3.98

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal (2:0)	70.8%	74.7%	86.4%	0.86×	1.34
Draw (2:0)	17.2%	15.1%	8.1%	1.86×	6.61
Şahdağ Qusar (2:0)	12.0%	11.6%	5.4%	2.13×	8.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.3%	48.2%	48.6%	0.99×	2.07
Halves equal	29.4%	26.2%	25.2%	1.04×	3.82
1st half highest scoring	25.3%	26.1%	26.3%	0.99×	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal to concede	78.3%	77.1%	68.3%	1.13×	1.30
Şi̇mal clean sheet	21.7%	22.9%	31.7%	0.72×	4.37

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal clean sheet in 1st half	54.3%	55.0%	59.0%	0.93×	1.82
Şi̇mal to concede in 1st half	45.7%	45.0%	41.0%	1.10×	2.22

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal to concede in 2nd half	60.0%	54.7%	53.4%	1.02×	1.83
Şi̇mal clean sheet in 2nd half	40.0%	45.3%	46.6%	0.97×	2.21

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal under 3.5 goals	99.3%	96.6%	92.4%	1.05×	1.04
Şi̇mal under 2.5 goals	95.9%	96.6%	80.3%	1.20×	1.04
Şi̇mal under 1.5 goals	82.4%	82.3%	56.3%	1.46×	1.22
Şi̇mal over 0.5 goals	53.1%	52.8%	76.7%	0.69×	1.89
Şi̇mal under 0.5 goals	46.9%	47.2%	23.3%	2.03×	2.12
Şi̇mal over 1.5 goals	17.6%	17.7%	43.7%	0.41×	5.65
Şi̇mal over 2.5 goals	4.1%	3.4%	19.7%	0.17×	29.39
Şi̇mal over 3.5 goals	0.8%	3.4%	7.6%	0.45×	29.46

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal under 1.5 in 1st half	95.7%	96.3%	85.9%	1.12×	1.04
Şi̇mal under 0.5 in 1st half	72.2%	74.3%	51.8%	1.43×	1.35
Şi̇mal over 0.5 in 1st half	27.8%	25.7%	48.2%	0.53×	3.89
Şi̇mal over 1.5 in 1st half	4.3%	3.7%	14.1%	0.26×	26.84

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal scores equally in both	53.8%	54.8%	37.1%	1.48×	1.82
Şi̇mal scores more in 2nd half	27.0%	27.8%	38.0%	0.73×	3.60
Şi̇mal scores more in 1st half	19.3%	16.9%	24.9%	0.68×	5.92

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar (home no bet)	65.9%	64.6%	55.1%	1.17×	1.55
Draw (home no bet)	34.1%	35.4%	44.9%	0.79×	2.82

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal even goals	61.0%	62.2%	52.8%	1.18×	1.61
Şi̇mal odd goals	39.0%	37.8%	47.2%	0.80×	2.65

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.4%	34.9%	29.3%	1.19×	2.86
HT 0-1	23.8%	22.5%	16.3%	1.38×	4.44
HT 1-0	12.6%	10.9%	20.7%	0.53×	9.15
HT 1-1	8.0%	8.0%	10.2%	0.78×	12.54
HT 0-2	7.3%	8.0%	4.9%	1.63×	12.54
Any other HT score	2.9%	2.5%	4.7%	0.52×	40.45
HT 1-2	2.4%	2.5%	2.8%	0.89×	40.47
HT 2-0	2.1%	2.5%	7.1%	0.35×	40.49
HT 2-1	1.3%	2.5%	3.3%	0.75×	40.53
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.5%	0.9%	2.76×	40.57

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar at HT / Şahdağ Qusar at FT	30.9%	34.0%	17.4%	1.96×	2.94
Draw at HT / Şahdağ Qusar at FT	21.1%	20.9%	11.6%	1.81×	4.79
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.5%	17.3%	14.1%	1.22×	5.77
Şi̇mal at HT / Şi̇mal at FT	9.2%	6.5%	25.8%	0.25×	15.43
Draw at HT / Şi̇mal at FT	7.3%	6.5%	14.7%	0.44×	15.47
Şi̇mal at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.6%	5.1%	0.71×	27.51
Şahdağ Qusar at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.6%	5.6%	0.65×	27.52
Şi̇mal at HT / Şahdağ Qusar at FT	2.5%	3.6%	3.0%	1.22×	27.57
Şahdağ Qusar at HT / Şi̇mal at FT	0.9%	3.6%	2.9%	1.25×	27.61

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar to score last	59.5%	56.6%	42.7%	1.32×	1.77
Şi̇mal to score last	29.2%	33.3%	51.4%	0.65×	3.00
No goal scored	11.4%	7.1%	5.9%	1.20×	14.09

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.6%	92.7%	94.1%	0.98×	1.08
Şahdağ Qusar to lead by 1 at any time	66.0%	68.9%	50.4%	1.37×	1.45
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.2%	41.8%	48.2%	0.87×	2.39
Şahdağ Qusar to lead by 2 at any time	34.0%	31.7%	20.3%	1.56×	3.15
Şi̇mal to lead by 1 at any time	32.4%	31.7%	59.8%	0.53×	3.16
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.3%	17.6%	19.5%	0.90×	5.69
Şahdağ Qusar to lead by 3 at any time	13.7%	11.0%	7.4%	1.50×	9.05
Şi̇mal to lead by 2 at any time	8.3%	7.4%	28.2%	0.26×	13.45
Şi̇mal to lead by 3 at any time	1.7%	2.6%	12.1%	0.21×	38.49

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.7%	87.1%	86.4%	1.01×	1.15
1-4 goals	80.5%	82.1%	78.0%	1.05×	1.22
1-3 goals	68.9%	68.2%	63.3%	1.08×	1.47
2-6 goals	66.8%	68.2%	72.4%	0.94×	1.47
2-5 goals	64.8%	62.7%	68.5%	0.92×	1.60
2-4 goals	59.5%	58.9%	60.1%	0.98×	1.70
1-2 goals	48.7%	47.4%	41.2%	1.15×	2.11
2-3 goals	48.0%	47.4%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11
3-6 goals	39.0%	39.0%	49.0%	0.80×	2.56
3-5 goals	37.0%	39.0%	45.1%	0.86×	2.56
3-4 goals	31.8%	34.7%	36.8%	0.94×	2.88
4-6 goals	18.8%	18.9%	27.0%	0.70×	5.30
4-5 goals	16.8%	18.9%	23.0%	0.82×	5.30
5-6 goals	7.3%	8.9%	12.3%	0.73×	11.22
7+ goals	0.9%	2.3%	2.4%	0.93×	44.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şahdağ Qusar never behind	56.3%	61.3%	40.2%	1.53×	1.63
Şi̇mal never behind	22.7%	25.8%	49.6%	0.52×	3.88

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	52.8%	50.1%	49.8%	1.00×	2.00
Odd number of goals	47.2%	49.9%	50.2%	1.00×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.1%	55.1%	53.7%	1.03×	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	41.9%	44.9%	46.3%	0.97×	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.2%	51.6%	51.1%	1.01×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.8%	48.4%	48.9%	0.99×	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.1%	96.0%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Under 4.5 goals	91.8%	92.3%	85.3%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.6%	87.8%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	80.3%	81.6%	70.6%	1.16×	1.23
Over 1.5 goals	67.7%	67.7%	74.8%	0.90×	1.48
Under 2.5 goals	60.1%	62.0%	48.5%	1.28×	1.61
Over 2.5 goals	39.9%	38.0%	51.5%	0.74×	2.63
Under 1.5 goals	32.3%	32.3%	25.2%	1.28×	3.09
Over 3.5 goals	19.7%	18.4%	29.4%	0.63×	5.44
Under 0.5 goals	11.4%	12.2%	7.3%	1.67×	8.21
Over 4.5 goals	8.2%	7.7%	14.7%	0.53×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	2.9%	4.0%	6.3%	0.63×	25.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.1%	97.3%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.9%	97.3%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.8%	92.0%	82.8%	1.11×	1.09
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	75.3%	75.9%	62.3%	1.22×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	55.2%	58.1%	67.1%	0.87×	1.72
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	44.8%	41.9%	32.9%	1.27×	2.39
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	24.7%	24.1%	37.7%	0.64×	4.16
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.2%	8.0%	17.2%	0.46×	12.51
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.1%	2.7%	6.9%	0.39×	36.69
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.9%	2.7%	2.5%	1.08×	36.72

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.1%	91.9%	88.4%	1.04×	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.7%	77.9%	66.3%	1.17×	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.6%	65.1%	70.7%	0.92×	1.54
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.4%	35.0%	29.3%	1.19×	2.86
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.3%	22.1%	33.7%	0.66×	4.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.9%	8.1%	11.6%	0.70×	12.33

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.6%	82.6%	77.5%	1.07×	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.6%	75.7%	82.3%	0.92×	1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.6%	58.5%	50.2%	1.16×	1.71
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.4%	41.5%	49.8%	0.83×	2.41
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.4%	24.3%	17.7%	1.37×	4.11
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.4%	17.4%	22.5%	0.77×	5.73

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal not to score in both halves	90.3%	88.5%	70.5%	1.26×	1.13
Şahdağ Qusar not to score in both halves	72.6%	72.5%	77.6%	0.94×	1.38
Şahdağ Qusar to score in both halves	27.4%	27.5%	22.4%	1.22×	3.64
Şi̇mal to score in both halves	9.7%	11.5%	29.5%	0.39×	8.71

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	42.7%	45.6%	52.4%	0.87×	2.19
Only Şahdağ Qusar scores	35.6%	39.4%	16.0%	2.47×	2.54
Neither team scores	11.4%	11.2%	7.3%	1.53×	8.94
Only Şi̇mal scores	10.4%	11.2%	24.4%	0.46×	8.94

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.7%	25.0%	23.3%	1.07×	4.00
Exactly 1 goals	21.0%	22.3%	17.9%	1.24×	4.49
Exactly 3 goals	20.2%	22.3%	22.1%	1.01×	4.49
Exactly 0 goals	11.4%	12.3%	7.3%	1.68×	8.15
Exactly 4 goals	11.5%	12.3%	14.7%	0.84×	8.14
Exactly 5 goals	5.3%	7.8%	8.4%	0.93×	12.89
6 or more goals	2.9%	4.0%	6.3%	0.64×	24.74

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.4%	36.9%	29.3%	1.26×	2.71
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	36.9%	37.0%	1.00×	2.71
2 goals in 1st half	17.4%	18.8%	22.2%	0.85×	5.32
3+ goals in 1st half	6.9%	8.1%	11.6%	0.70×	12.33

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.4%	38.9%	49.8%	0.78×	2.57
1 goal in 2nd half	34.2%	34.4%	32.5%	1.06×	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	26.4%	27.1%	17.7%	1.53×	3.69

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal not to win both halves	97.2%	97.3%	86.8%	1.12×	1.03
Şahdağ Qusar not to win both halves	83.4%	82.0%	91.8%	0.89×	1.22
Şahdağ Qusar to win both halves	16.6%	18.0%	8.2%	2.20×	5.54
Şi̇mal to win both halves	2.8%	2.7%	13.2%	0.20×	37.11

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal to win neither half	70.1%	70.0%	41.7%	1.68×	1.43
Şahdağ Qusar to win either half	64.8%	62.2%	47.4%	1.31×	1.61
Şahdağ Qusar to win neither half	35.2%	37.8%	52.6%	0.72×	2.65
Şi̇mal to win either half	29.9%	30.0%	58.3%	0.52×	3.33

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal not to win to nil	89.6%	87.9%	75.6%	1.16×	1.14
Şahdağ Qusar not to win to nil	64.4%	63.5%	84.0%	0.76×	1.58
Şahdağ Qusar to win to nil	35.6%	36.5%	16.0%	2.29×	2.74
Şi̇mal to win to nil	10.4%	12.1%	24.4%	0.50×	8.25

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.2%	27.3%	25.0%	1.09×	3.66
Şahdağ Qusar by 1	25.3%	27.3%	17.0%	1.60×	3.66
Şahdağ Qusar by 2	17.2%	17.2%	8.1%	2.12×	5.80
Şi̇mal by 1	12.0%	11.8%	22.2%	0.53×	8.45
Şahdağ Qusar by 3+	12.0%	11.8%	5.4%	2.18×	8.45
Şi̇mal by 2	4.2%	3.0%	12.3%	0.24×	33.44
Şi̇mal by 3+	1.2%	3.0%	9.9%	0.30×	33.48