Siwelele v Orlando Pirates — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 4 November 2026 · RSA-Premiership · 2627

RSA-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Siwelele

17:30 UTC

Orlando Pirates

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,435h before kick-off

Siwelele win

13.2%

model 13.9%

Draw

27.7%

model 28.5%

Orlando Pirates win

59.1%

model 57.6%

132859

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,277 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 13.8%
1-1 13.2%
0-2 12.9%
0-0 11.7%
1-2 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.3%	Under 2.5	58.7%
BTTS yes	42.7%	BTTS no	57.3%
Siwelele 1+	50.5%	Siwelele 2+	15.7%
Orlando Pirates 1+	80.4%	Orlando Pirates 2+	48.4%

Expected goals 0.70 – 1.63. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

75/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Orlando Pirates carry the stronger rating, 1789 Elo against 1478.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Orlando Pirates have an estimated 59.1% win probability, against 27.7% for the draw and 13.2% for Siwelele. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.70 for Siwelele and 1.63 for Orlando Pirates.

Why Siwelele

Nothing in the data singles out Siwelele.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.7%. A combined 2.33 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Orlando Pirates can win

Orlando Pirates carry the stronger rating, 1789 Elo against 1478. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Siwelele, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Orlando Pirates, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Siwelele: 54% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Orlando Pirates: 55% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Orlando Pirates are the model's most likely outcome at 59.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 13.8%. Confidence 75/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	92764	0.48–1.63	0-1 18%	35%	32%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates to win	64.1%	58.0%	27.4%	2.11×	1.72
Draw	27.1%	27.8%	30.7%	0.91×	3.59
Siwelele to win	8.8%	8.4%	42.1%	0.20×	11.97

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates & not both score	48.0%	43.2%	18.5%	2.34×	2.32
Orlando Pirates & both teams score	16.1%	17.9%	9.1%	1.96×	5.58
Draw & not both score	13.9%	13.3%	13.0%	1.02×	7.54
Draw & both teams score	13.3%	13.3%	17.9%	0.74×	7.54
Siwelele & not both score	5.7%	8.4%	29.9%	0.28×	11.94
Siwelele & both teams score	3.0%	4.9%	12.4%	0.40×	20.37

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates & under 3.5	50.6%	48.5%	23.0%	2.11×	2.06
Orlando Pirates & over 1.5	46.1%	45.1%	17.1%	2.64×	2.22
Orlando Pirates & under 2.5	34.1%	30.8%	15.7%	1.97×	3.24
Orlando Pirates & over 2.5	30.0%	30.8%	12.0%	2.57×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	25.1%	26.0%	27.8%	0.93×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	25.1%	26.0%	27.8%	0.93×	3.84
Orlando Pirates & under 1.5	18.0%	18.0%	10.6%	1.70×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	13.9%	12.9%	13.0%	0.99×	7.76
Orlando Pirates & over 3.5	13.5%	12.9%	4.7%	2.76×	7.76
Draw & over 1.5	13.3%	12.9%	17.9%	0.72×	7.76
Siwelele & under 3.5	8.0%	7.9%	35.6%	0.22×	12.65
Siwelele & under 2.5	5.5%	7.9%	26.0%	0.30×	12.65
Siwelele & over 1.5	4.7%	4.8%	26.6%	0.18×	20.85
Siwelele & under 1.5	4.1%	4.8%	15.7%	0.31×	20.86
Siwelele & over 2.5	3.3%	4.8%	16.3%	0.29×	20.86
Draw & over 2.5	2.0%	4.8%	3.0%	1.57×	20.87
Draw & over 3.5	2.0%	4.8%	3.0%	1.57×	20.87
Siwelele & over 3.5	0.8%	4.8%	6.7%	0.71×	20.88

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (1UP)	72.1%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Siwelele (1UP)	20.6%	22.0%	—	—	4.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (2UP)	64.1%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Siwelele (2UP)	8.8%	8.9%	—	—	11.20

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates to win 2nd half	52.4%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
2nd half drawn	38.0%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Siwelele to win 2nd half	9.6%	8.3%	—	—	12.10

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.4%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Orlando Pirates over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.4%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Orlando Pirates under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.6%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Orlando Pirates over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.6%	24.6%	—	—	4.06

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Siwelele under 1.5 in 2nd half	96.9%	96.9%	—	—	1.03
Siwelele under 0.5 in 2nd half	76.1%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Siwelele over 0.5 in 2nd half	23.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
Siwelele over 1.5 in 2nd half	3.1%	3.1%	—	—	32.00

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (+2.5)	99.7%	96.3%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Orlando Pirates (+1.5)	97.9%	96.3%	80.7%	1.19×	1.04
Orlando Pirates (+0.5)	91.2%	92.1%	57.9%	1.59×	1.09
Orlando Pirates (-0.5)	64.1%	62.9%	27.4%	2.29×	1.59
Siwelele (+0.5)	35.9%	37.1%	72.6%	0.51×	2.70
Siwelele (-0.5)	8.8%	7.9%	42.1%	0.19×	12.58
Siwelele (-1.5)	2.1%	3.7%	19.3%	0.19×	26.92
Siwelele (-2.5)	0.3%	3.7%	6.3%	0.59×	27.04

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates clean sheet	61.9%	67.4%	31.3%	2.15×	1.48
Orlando Pirates to concede	38.1%	32.6%	68.7%	0.47×	3.07

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates clean sheet in 1st half	81.4%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Orlando Pirates to concede in 1st half	18.6%	18.4%	—	—	5.44

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates clean sheet in 2nd half	76.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Orlando Pirates to concede in 2nd half	23.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates over 2.5 corners	82.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Orlando Pirates under 6.5 corners	72.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Orlando Pirates over 3.5 corners	68.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Orlando Pirates under 5.5 corners	60.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Orlando Pirates over 4.5 corners	53.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Orlando Pirates under 4.5 corners	46.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Orlando Pirates over 5.5 corners	39.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Orlando Pirates under 3.5 corners	31.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Orlando Pirates over 6.5 corners	28.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Orlando Pirates under 2.5 corners	17.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates under 3.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	98.0%	0.94×	1.08
Orlando Pirates over 0.5 goals	80.4%	81.3%	57.3%	1.42×	1.23
Orlando Pirates under 2.5 goals	77.5%	76.2%	92.5%	0.82×	1.31
Orlando Pirates under 1.5 goals	51.5%	53.7%	78.3%	0.69×	1.86
Orlando Pirates over 1.5 goals	48.5%	46.3%	21.7%	2.13×	2.16
Orlando Pirates over 2.5 goals	22.5%	23.8%	7.5%	3.16×	4.21
Orlando Pirates under 0.5 goals	19.6%	18.7%	42.7%	0.44×	5.36
Orlando Pirates over 3.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	2.0%	3.79×	13.00

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates under 1.5 in 1st half	86.1%	88.9%	—	—	1.13
Orlando Pirates under 0.5 in 1st half	52.1%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Orlando Pirates over 0.5 in 1st half	47.9%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Orlando Pirates over 1.5 in 1st half	13.9%	11.1%	—	—	9.01

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates scores more in 2nd half	42.1%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Orlando Pirates scores equally in both	34.2%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Orlando Pirates scores more in 1st half	23.7%	22.4%	—	—	4.46

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	75.6%	73.5%	42.2%	1.74×	1.36
Siwelele (away no bet)	24.4%	26.5%	57.8%	0.46×	3.77

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates even goals	51.9%	52.8%	58.5%	0.90×	1.89
Orlando Pirates odd goals	48.1%	47.2%	41.5%	1.14×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	7.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.59

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	49.8%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Not both halves under 1.5	50.2%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	48.7%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Orlando Pirates to score 2+ in a row	44.6%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.5%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Orlando Pirates to score 3+ in a row	18.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
Siwelele to score 2+ in a row	5.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.88
Siwelele to score 3+ in a row	0.6%	2.5%	—	—	40.28

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates corners (+3.5)	93.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Orlando Pirates corners (+2.5)	89.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Orlando Pirates corners (+1.5)	83.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Siwelele corners (+3.5)	70.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Siwelele corners (+2.5)	59.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Orlando Pirates corners (-1.5)	51.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Siwelele corners (+1.5)	48.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Orlando Pirates corners (-2.5)	40.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Orlando Pirates corners (-3.5)	29.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Siwelele corners (-1.5)	17.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Siwelele corners (-2.5)	10.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Siwelele corners (-3.5)	6.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	54.3%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
9-11 corners	26.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	18.8%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.9%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	81.2%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	73.8%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	57.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	54.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	45.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	43.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	35.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	26.2%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 11.5 corners	18.8%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Over 12.5 corners	13.1%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	18.0%	13.8%	10.6%	1.31×	7.24
0-2	16.1%	13.8%	5.3%	2.61×	7.25
0-0	13.9%	11.4%	13.0%	0.88×	8.74
1-1	11.2%	11.4%	15.0%	0.76×	8.74
0-3	8.8%	7.4%	2.4%	3.04×	13.50
1-2	7.7%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.50
0-4	3.6%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.30
1-0	4.1%	1.7%	15.7%	0.11×	58.30
1-3	4.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
1-4	1.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.31
2-0	1.4%	1.7%	10.6%	0.16×	58.31
2-1	2.3%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.31
2-2	1.9%	1.7%	2.8%	0.60×	58.31
2-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.11×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
3-0	0.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.50×	58.32
3-1	0.4%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.32
3-2	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.32
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.44×	58.32
4-0	0.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.81×	58.32
4-1	0.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.21×	58.32
4-2	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.44×	58.32
Any other score	2.5%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (2nd half DNB)	84.5%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Siwelele (2nd half DNB)	15.5%	17.8%	—	—	5.62

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates leading at HT (DNB)	80.3%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Siwelele leading at HT (DNB)	19.7%	14.1%	—	—	7.11

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates or draw (X2)	91.2%	91.6%	57.9%	1.58×	1.09
Siwelele or Orlando Pirates (12)	72.9%	72.2%	69.3%	1.04×	1.39
Siwelele or draw (1X)	35.9%	42.0%	72.6%	0.58×	2.38

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates or draw at HT	89.9%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Siwelele or draw at HT	58.9%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
Siwelele or Orlando Pirates at HT	51.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates or draw (1UP)	91.2%	93.2%	—	—	1.07
Siwelele or draw (1UP)	35.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates or draw in 2nd half	90.4%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Siwelele or Orlando Pirates in 2nd half	62.0%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Siwelele or draw in 2nd half	47.6%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.4%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	33.6%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (DNB)	88.0%	87.1%	39.5%	2.21×	1.15
Siwelele (DNB)	12.0%	12.9%	60.5%	0.21×	7.75

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates to score first	66.6%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Siwelele to score first	19.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
No goal scored	13.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	67.6%	58.3%	61.0%	0.96×	1.72
Both teams to score	32.4%	41.7%	39.0%	1.07×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	53.4%	47.1%	54.3%	0.87×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	21.2%	27.7%	24.2%	1.15×	3.61
Not both score & over 2.5	14.2%	12.3%	6.9%	1.78×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	11.2%	12.3%	15.0%	0.82×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	95.9%	91.7%	94.3%	0.97×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	4.1%	8.3%	5.7%	1.46×	12.00

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	84.5%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	15.5%	24.9%	—	—	4.01

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	76.6%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Both score 2nd half only	14.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score 1st half only	7.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.74
Both score in both halves	1.3%	4.9%	—	—	20.50

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	90.8%	91.0%	—	—	1.10
Both teams to score by HT	9.2%	9.0%	—	—	11.10

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	58.0%	57.3%	—	—	1.74
A goal in each half	42.0%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.7%	47.3%	47.4%	1.00×	2.11
0-1 goals	35.9%	35.1%	38.8%	0.90×	2.85
4-6 goals	15.7%	20.3%	13.0%	1.56×	4.93
7+ goals	0.6%	1.8%	1.2%	1.50×	54.84

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates to score exactly 1	31.9%	33.7%	35.8%	0.94×	2.96
Orlando Pirates to score exactly 2	26.0%	27.4%	14.4%	1.90×	3.65
Orlando Pirates to score 3+	22.5%	22.4%	7.5%	2.98×	4.47
Orlando Pirates to score exactly 0	19.6%	19.6%	42.7%	0.46×	5.09

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Siwelele to score exactly 0	61.9%	61.3%	31.3%	1.96×	1.63
Siwelele to score exactly 1	29.7%	26.5%	38.6%	0.69×	3.77
Siwelele to score exactly 2	7.1%	10.3%	20.3%	0.51×	9.68
Siwelele to score 3+	1.3%	6.2%	10.2%	0.61×	16.25

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Orlando Pirates leading at HT	41.1%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Siwelele leading at HT	10.1%	11.6%	—	—	8.65

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates -1: 2	37.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Orlando Pirates -1: 1	35.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Orlando Pirates -1: X	26.8%	26.6%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (0:1)	91.2%	87.4%	57.9%	1.51×	1.14
Draw (0:1)	6.7%	9.3%	23.0%	0.40×	10.80
Siwelele (0:1)	2.1%	5.7%	19.3%	0.29×	17.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (0:2)	97.9%	94.2%	80.7%	1.17×	1.06
Draw (0:2)	1.8%	3.8%	13.2%	0.29×	26.50
Siwelele (0:2)	0.3%	3.8%	6.3%	0.60×	26.59

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (0:3)	99.7%	96.6%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	0.3%	2.4%	5.3%	0.45×	42.22
Siwelele (0:3)	0.0%	2.4%	1.2%	1.94×	42.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (0:4)	100.0%	98.1%	98.8%	0.99×	1.02
Siwelele (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	0.6%	1.96×	83.75
Draw (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	0.8%	1.47×	83.75

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (1:0)	37.3%	37.4%	11.4%	3.29×	2.67
Siwelele (1:0)	35.9%	37.3%	72.6%	0.51×	2.68
Draw (1:0)	26.8%	25.1%	16.3%	1.54×	3.99

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Siwelele (2:0)	62.7%	67.0%	88.6%	0.76×	1.49
Draw (2:0)	20.7%	19.1%	7.7%	2.47×	5.23
Orlando Pirates (2:0)	16.6%	15.6%	3.9%	4.03×	6.43

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.0%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	31.7%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
1st half highest scoring	24.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Siwelele to concede	80.4%	80.6%	57.3%	1.41×	1.24
Siwelele clean sheet	19.6%	19.4%	42.7%	0.45×	5.16

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Siwelele clean sheet in 1st half	52.1%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Siwelele to concede in 1st half	47.9%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Siwelele to concede in 2nd half	62.4%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Siwelele clean sheet in 2nd half	37.6%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Siwelele under 6.5 corners	91.7%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Siwelele under 5.5 corners	84.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Siwelele under 4.5 corners	73.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Siwelele over 2.5 corners	60.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Siwelele under 3.5 corners	58.5%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Siwelele over 3.5 corners	41.5%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Siwelele under 2.5 corners	39.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Siwelele over 4.5 corners	26.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Siwelele over 5.5 corners	15.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Siwelele over 6.5 corners	8.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Siwelele under 3.5 goals	99.8%	96.4%	96.5%	1.00×	1.04
Siwelele under 2.5 goals	98.7%	96.3%	89.8%	1.07×	1.04
Siwelele under 1.5 goals	91.6%	92.2%	69.7%	1.32×	1.08
Siwelele under 0.5 goals	61.9%	63.5%	31.3%	2.03×	1.57
Siwelele over 0.5 goals	38.1%	36.5%	68.7%	0.53×	2.74
Siwelele over 1.5 goals	8.4%	7.8%	30.3%	0.26×	12.87
Siwelele over 2.5 goals	1.3%	3.7%	10.2%	0.36×	27.39
Siwelele over 3.5 goals	0.2%	3.6%	3.5%	1.05×	27.44

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Siwelele under 1.5 in 1st half	98.1%	98.1%	—	—	1.02
Siwelele under 0.5 in 1st half	81.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Siwelele over 0.5 in 1st half	18.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.31
Siwelele over 1.5 in 1st half	1.9%	1.9%	—	—	51.62

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Siwelele scores equally in both	65.4%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
Siwelele scores more in 2nd half	20.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
Siwelele scores more in 1st half	14.6%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (home no bet)	70.3%	66.5%	47.2%	1.41×	1.50
Draw (home no bet)	29.7%	33.5%	52.8%	0.63×	2.99

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Siwelele even goals	69.1%	66.0%	53.7%	1.23×	1.52
Siwelele odd goals	30.9%	34.0%	46.3%	0.73×	2.94

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	42.7%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
HT 0-1	27.3%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 0-2	9.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
HT 1-0	8.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
HT 1-1	6.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
Any other HT score	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.57
HT 2-0	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.64
HT 2-1	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.66
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.69

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates at HT / Orlando Pirates at FT	37.5%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Draw at HT / Orlando Pirates at FT	24.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Siwelele at HT / Siwelele at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.75
Draw at HT / Siwelele at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Siwelele at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Orlando Pirates at HT / Draw at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Siwelele at HT / Orlando Pirates at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Orlando Pirates at HT / Siwelele at FT	0.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates to score last	67.0%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Siwelele to score last	19.1%	13.5%	—	—	7.42
No goal scored	13.9%	9.8%	—	—	10.18

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	86.1%	90.4%	—	—	1.11
Orlando Pirates to lead by 1 at any time	72.1%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Orlando Pirates to lead by 2 at any time	40.8%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Siwelele to lead by 1 at any time	20.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Orlando Pirates to lead by 3 at any time	17.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Siwelele to lead by 2 at any time	3.5%	1.6%	—	—	60.89
Siwelele to lead by 3 at any time	0.5%	1.6%	—	—	63.99

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates most corners	63.5%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Siwelele most corners	25.8%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.1%	83.4%	85.0%	0.98×	1.20
1-4 goals	79.8%	78.6%	81.1%	0.97×	1.27
1-3 goals	69.8%	68.9%	73.2%	0.94×	1.45
2-6 goals	63.5%	63.4%	60.2%	1.05×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.0%	63.4%	59.1%	1.07×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.7%	59.1%	55.3%	1.07×	1.69
1-2 goals	50.8%	53.1%	56.3%	0.94×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.7%	48.6%	47.4%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	34.7%	35.3%	29.9%	1.18×	2.83
3-5 goals	33.2%	35.3%	28.9%	1.22×	2.83
3-4 goals	29.0%	30.3%	25.0%	1.21×	3.30
4-6 goals	15.7%	18.7%	13.0%	1.44×	5.34
4-5 goals	14.3%	14.9%	12.0%	1.24×	6.73
5-6 goals	5.7%	8.8%	5.1%	1.74×	11.33
7+ goals	0.6%	2.6%	1.2%	2.09×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates never behind	65.5%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Siwelele never behind	14.0%	13.2%	—	—	7.60

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	45.8%	50.8%	47.8%	1.06×	1.97
Even number of goals	54.2%	49.2%	52.2%	0.94×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.6%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	40.4%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.3%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.7%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.9%	95.4%	97.8%	0.98×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.7%	92.2%	93.9%	0.98×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	86.1%	87.6%	87.0%	1.01×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	83.7%	82.3%	86.0%	0.96×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	64.7%	61.8%	69.1%	0.89×	1.62
Over 1.5 goals	64.1%	61.7%	61.2%	1.01×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	35.9%	38.3%	38.8%	0.99×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	35.3%	38.3%	30.9%	1.24×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	16.3%	17.7%	14.0%	1.26×	5.66
Under 0.5 goals	13.9%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	6.3%	7.8%	6.1%	1.27×	12.88
Over 5.5 goals	2.1%	4.6%	2.2%	2.04×	21.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.4%	97.2%	98.8%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.8%	97.2%	97.7%	1.00×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.0%	92.4%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	79.8%	75.9%	83.1%	0.91×	1.32
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	50.4%	51.9%	55.7%	0.93×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	49.6%	48.1%	44.3%	1.09×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	20.2%	24.1%	16.9%	1.43×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.0%	7.6%	6.6%	1.15×	13.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.2%	2.8%	2.3%	1.20×	35.86
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.6%	2.8%	1.2%	2.26×	35.91

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.4%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	78.5%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	57.3%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 0.5 in 1st half	42.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 1.5 in 1st half	21.5%	21.1%	—	—	4.73
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.6%	7.1%	—	—	13.99

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.8%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.8%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.8%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.2%	22.4%	—	—	4.46
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.2%	14.6%	—	—	6.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Siwelele not to score in both halves	95.5%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Orlando Pirates not to score in both halves	70.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Orlando Pirates to score in both halves	29.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
Siwelele to score in both halves	4.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.52

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Orlando Pirates scores	48.0%	50.6%	18.5%	2.74×	1.98
Both teams score	32.4%	33.3%	39.0%	0.85×	3.01
Neither team scores	13.9%	11.0%	13.0%	0.85×	9.10
Only Siwelele scores	5.7%	7.2%	29.9%	0.24×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.7%	24.9%	30.5%	0.82×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	22.1%	22.6%	26.0%	0.87×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.0%	17.4%	17.1%	1.02×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	13.9%	12.1%	13.0%	0.93×	8.27
Exactly 4 goals	10.0%	12.1%	8.1%	1.49×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	4.2%	4.5%	4.1%	1.10×	22.41
6 or more goals	2.1%	4.5%	2.2%	1.99×	22.44

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	42.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
1 goal in 1st half	35.8%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
2 goals in 1st half	15.9%	15.2%	—	—	6.58
3+ goals in 1st half	5.6%	7.1%	—	—	13.99

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	36.2%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
1 goal in 2nd half	34.6%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	29.2%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Siwelele not to win both halves	98.9%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Orlando Pirates not to win both halves	78.1%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Orlando Pirates to win both halves	21.9%	24.7%	—	—	4.06
Siwelele to win both halves	1.1%	2.7%	—	—	36.85

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Siwelele to win neither half	81.4%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Orlando Pirates to win either half	71.6%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Orlando Pirates to win neither half	28.4%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Siwelele to win either half	18.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Siwelele not to win to nil	94.3%	92.0%	70.1%	1.31×	1.09
Orlando Pirates not to win to nil	52.0%	53.9%	81.5%	0.66×	1.86
Orlando Pirates to win to nil	48.0%	46.1%	18.5%	2.49×	2.17
Siwelele to win to nil	5.7%	8.0%	29.9%	0.27×	12.54

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.1%	27.9%	30.7%	0.91×	3.59
Orlando Pirates by 1	26.8%	27.9%	16.3%	1.71×	3.59
Orlando Pirates by 2	20.7%	24.2%	7.7%	3.13×	4.14
Orlando Pirates by 3+	16.6%	16.9%	3.9%	4.38×	5.91
Siwelele by 1	6.7%	7.2%	23.0%	0.32×	13.81
Siwelele by 2	1.8%	2.7%	13.2%	0.21×	36.70
Siwelele by 3+	0.3%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	36.75