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SK Brann v Bodo/Glimt — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · NOR-Eliteserien · 2627

NOR-Eliteserien results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
SK Brann win
10.8%
model 14.9%
Draw
19.7%
model 18.1%
Bodo/Glimt win
69.5%
model 67.0%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (159 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-2 9.3%
  2. 0-2 8.1%
  3. 1-3 7.8%
  4. 1-1 7.8%
  5. 0-3 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.571.1% Under 2.528.9%
BTTS yes63.3% BTTS no36.7%
SK Brann 1+68.2% SK Brann 2+31.8%
Bodo/Glimt 1+92.0% Bodo/Glimt 2+71.9%

Expected goals 1.15 – 2.53. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
76/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
94%
★ Best pick
Bodo/Glimt & over 2.5
1X2 & Over/Under · usually 22%
51.9% fair odds 1.93
strong signal · 3002 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Bodo/Glimt or draw at HT
Double chance 1HT
83.8% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Bodo/Glimt carry the stronger rating, 1813 Elo against 1576.
  • Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Bodo/Glimt have an estimated 69.5% win probability, against 19.7% for the draw and 10.8% for SK Brann. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.15 for SK Brann and 2.53 for Bodo/Glimt.

Why SK Brann

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.7%. Draws run at 20% in this competition.

Why Bodo/Glimt can win

Bodo/Glimt carry the stronger rating, 1813 Elo against 1576. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for SK Brann, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Bodo/Glimt, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

SK Brann: 60% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Bodo/Glimt: 62% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 8.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Bodo/Glimt are the model's most likely outcome at 69.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 9.3%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.12–2.48 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.19–2.24 1-2 10% 67% 63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to win 66.6% 68.0% 31.3% 2.17× 1.47
Draw 18.4% 17.9% 19.9% 0.90× 5.59
SK Brann to win 15.0% 13.1% 49.0% 0.27× 7.64
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt & both teams score 37.2% 36.2% 16.8% 2.15× 2.76
Bodo/Glimt & not both score 29.4% 26.5% 14.8% 1.79× 3.78
Draw & both teams score 15.3% 18.1% 15.0% 1.21× 5.52
SK Brann & both teams score 9.8% 7.7% 25.1% 0.30× 13.07
SK Brann & not both score 5.2% 7.6% 24.1% 0.32× 13.08
Draw & not both score 3.2% 4.2% 5.2% 0.81× 23.94
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt & over 1.5 60.3% 61.3% 26.4% 2.32× 1.63
Bodo/Glimt & over 2.5 51.9% 51.9% 21.5% 2.41× 1.93
Bodo/Glimt & over 3.5 35.6% 36.6% 12.2% 3.00× 2.74
Bodo/Glimt & under 3.5 31.0% 31.8% 19.4% 1.64× 3.15
Draw & over 1.5 15.3% 17.7% 15.0% 1.18× 5.64
Bodo/Glimt & under 2.5 14.7% 12.4% 10.1% 1.23× 8.05
SK Brann & over 1.5 12.4% 12.4% 41.2% 0.30× 8.06
SK Brann & over 2.5 10.6% 12.4% 34.7% 0.36× 8.06
Draw & under 2.5 11.2% 12.4% 14.5% 0.86× 8.06
Draw & under 3.5 11.2% 12.4% 14.5% 0.86× 8.06
SK Brann & under 3.5 9.2% 7.6% 28.0% 0.27× 13.20
Draw & over 2.5 7.2% 7.6% 5.7% 1.33× 13.21
Draw & over 3.5 7.2% 7.6% 5.7% 1.33× 13.21
Bodo/Glimt & under 1.5 6.3% 7.6% 5.2% 1.46× 13.21
SK Brann & over 3.5 5.8% 7.6% 21.2% 0.36× 13.21
SK Brann & under 2.5 4.3% 4.4% 14.5% 0.30× 22.79
SK Brann & under 1.5 2.6% 4.4% 8.0% 0.55× 22.80
Draw & under 1.5 3.2% 4.4% 5.2% 0.85× 22.79
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (1UP) 79.2% 81.1% 1.23
SK Brann (1UP) 35.7% 38.3% 2.61
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (2UP) 66.6% 67.1% 1.49
SK Brann (2UP) 15.0% 16.1% 6.20
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to win 2nd half 57.7% 58.6% 1.71
2nd half drawn 26.5% 28.3% 3.54
SK Brann to win 2nd half 15.8% 20.1% 4.98
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt over 0.5 in 2nd half 77.5% 78.0% 1.28
Bodo/Glimt under 1.5 in 2nd half 56.2% 54.8% 1.82
Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 in 2nd half 43.8% 45.2% 2.21
Bodo/Glimt under 0.5 in 2nd half 22.5% 22.0% 4.55
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann under 1.5 in 2nd half 86.5% 86.4% 1.16
SK Brann under 0.5 in 2nd half 52.7% 54.2% 1.85
SK Brann over 0.5 in 2nd half 47.3% 45.8% 2.18
SK Brann over 1.5 in 2nd half 13.5% 13.6% 7.33
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (+2.5) 98.4% 96.6% 85.5% 1.13× 1.04
Bodo/Glimt (+1.5) 94.4% 92.3% 72.0% 1.28× 1.08
Bodo/Glimt (+0.5) 85.0% 87.4% 51.0% 1.71× 1.14
Bodo/Glimt (-0.5) 66.6% 67.9% 31.3% 2.17× 1.47
SK Brann (+0.5) 33.4% 32.1% 68.7% 0.47× 3.12
SK Brann (-0.5) 15.0% 12.6% 49.0% 0.26× 7.94
SK Brann (-1.5) 5.6% 7.7% 28.0% 0.28× 12.98
SK Brann (-2.5) 1.6% 3.4% 14.5% 0.23× 29.69
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to concede 67.5% 71.2% 80.3% 0.89× 1.40
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet 32.5% 28.8% 19.7% 1.46× 3.48
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet in 1st half 61.7% 62.6% 1.60
Bodo/Glimt to concede in 1st half 38.3% 37.4% 2.68
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet in 2nd half 52.7% 54.5% 1.83
Bodo/Glimt to concede in 2nd half 47.3% 45.5% 2.20
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt over 2.5 corners 86.8% 85.2% 1.17
Bodo/Glimt over 3.5 corners 75.7% 76.0% 1.32
Bodo/Glimt over 4.5 corners 62.6% 61.8% 1.62
Bodo/Glimt under 6.5 corners 62.8% 61.8% 1.62
Bodo/Glimt under 5.5 corners 50.6% 53.0% 1.89
Bodo/Glimt over 5.5 corners 49.4% 47.0% 2.13
Bodo/Glimt under 4.5 corners 37.4% 38.2% 2.62
Bodo/Glimt over 6.5 corners 37.2% 38.2% 2.62
Bodo/Glimt under 3.5 corners 24.3% 24.0% 4.16
Bodo/Glimt under 2.5 corners 13.2% 14.8% 6.76
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt over 0.5 goals 91.7% 92.2% 71.0% 1.30× 1.09
Bodo/Glimt under 3.5 goals 76.2% 76.4% 93.5% 0.82× 1.31
Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals 70.9% 71.6% 37.0% 1.93× 1.40
Bodo/Glimt under 2.5 goals 54.8% 53.0% 82.6% 0.64× 1.89
Bodo/Glimt over 2.5 goals 45.2% 47.0% 17.4% 2.71× 2.13
Bodo/Glimt under 1.5 goals 29.1% 28.4% 63.0% 0.45× 3.52
Bodo/Glimt over 3.5 goals 23.8% 23.6% 6.5% 3.65× 4.23
Bodo/Glimt under 0.5 goals 8.3% 7.8% 29.0% 0.27× 12.75
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt under 1.5 in 1st half 73.8% 68.6% 1.46
Bodo/Glimt over 0.5 in 1st half 63.0% 62.4% 1.60
Bodo/Glimt under 0.5 in 1st half 37.0% 37.6% 2.66
Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 in 1st half 26.2% 31.4% 3.19
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt scores more in 2nd half 48.7% 45.6% 2.19
Bodo/Glimt scores equally in both 26.1% 27.2% 3.67
Bodo/Glimt scores more in 1st half 25.2% 27.2% 3.67
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 55.2% 58.6% 28.9% 2.02× 1.71
SK Brann (away no bet) 44.8% 41.4% 71.1% 0.58× 2.42
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt even goals 50.4% 53.6% 52.9% 1.01× 1.87
Bodo/Glimt odd goals 49.6% 46.4% 47.2% 0.98× 2.15
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 72.7% 72.2% 1.39
Both halves over 1.5 goals 27.3% 27.8% 3.59
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 79.2% 74.0% 1.35
Both halves under 1.5 goals 20.8% 26.0% 3.84
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 72.7% 71.0% 1.41
Bodo/Glimt to score 2+ in a row 62.5% 60.3% 1.66
Either team to score 3+ in a row 36.8% 37.0% 2.70
Bodo/Glimt to score 3+ in a row 33.0% 32.0% 3.12
SK Brann to score 2+ in a row 19.7% 17.0% 5.87
SK Brann to score 3+ in a row 4.3% 3.2% 31.66
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt corners (+3.5) 82.6% 79.8% 1.25
SK Brann corners (+3.5) 77.0% 74.8% 1.34
Bodo/Glimt corners (+2.5) 75.9% 74.8% 1.34
SK Brann corners (+2.5) 69.3% 65.8% 1.52
Bodo/Glimt corners (+1.5) 67.8% 65.8% 1.52
SK Brann corners (+1.5) 60.5% 61.8% 1.62
Bodo/Glimt corners (-1.5) 39.5% 38.2% 2.62
SK Brann corners (-1.5) 32.2% 34.2% 2.93
Bodo/Glimt corners (-2.5) 30.7% 34.2% 2.93
SK Brann corners (-2.5) 24.1% 25.2% 3.97
Bodo/Glimt corners (-3.5) 23.0% 25.2% 3.97
SK Brann corners (-3.5) 17.4% 20.2% 4.95
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 44.4% 38.3% 2.61
0-8 corners 27.9% 31.2% 3.20
9-11 corners 27.7% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 80.3% 80.7% 1.24
Over 8.5 corners 72.1% 72.6% 1.38
Under 12.5 corners 64.2% 63.3% 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 63.0% 63.3% 1.58
Under 11.5 corners 55.6% 57.9% 1.73
Over 10.5 corners 53.6% 53.2% 1.88
Under 10.5 corners 46.4% 46.8% 2.14
Over 11.5 corners 44.4% 42.1% 2.37
Under 9.5 corners 37.0% 36.7% 2.73
Over 12.5 corners 35.8% 36.7% 2.73
Under 8.5 corners 27.9% 27.4% 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 19.7% 19.3% 5.18
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other score 11.1% 11.2% 7.3% 1.55× 8.91
0-1 6.3% 7.4% 5.2% 1.43× 13.45
0-2 8.4% 7.4% 5.2% 1.43× 13.45
0-3 6.9% 7.4% 3.6% 2.05× 13.45
1-1 8.0% 7.4% 9.6% 0.78× 13.45
1-2 9.4% 7.4% 6.2% 1.20× 13.45
1-3 7.8% 7.4% 3.1% 2.39× 13.45
2-2 5.3% 7.4% 4.4% 1.69× 13.45
3-2 2.0% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.34
3-3 1.6% 1.7% 1.0% 1.65× 58.34
3-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.5% 3.31× 58.35
4-0 0.2% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.35
4-1 0.4% 1.7% 2.9% 0.60× 58.35
4-2 0.6% 1.7% 1.3% 1.32× 58.35
4-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.5% 3.31× 58.35
4-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.5% 3.31× 58.35
0-0 3.2% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.34
0-4 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 3.31× 58.34
1-0 2.6% 1.7% 8.0% 0.21× 58.34
1-4 4.8% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.34
2-0 1.7% 1.7% 6.7% 0.25× 58.34
2-1 4.3% 1.7% 9.8% 0.17× 58.34
2-3 4.4% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.34
2-4 2.7% 1.7% 1.3% 1.32× 58.34
3-0 0.6% 1.7% 4.1% 0.41× 58.35
3-1 1.6% 1.7% 6.2% 0.28× 58.34
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (2nd half DNB) 78.5% 72.1% 1.39
SK Brann (2nd half DNB) 21.5% 27.9% 3.59
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt leading at HT (DNB) 73.0% 74.3% 1.35
SK Brann leading at HT (DNB) 27.0% 25.7% 3.90
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt or draw (X2) 85.0% 86.9% 51.0% 1.70× 1.15
SK Brann or Bodo/Glimt (12) 81.6% 82.1% 80.1% 1.03× 1.22
SK Brann or draw (1X) 33.4% 32.0% 68.7% 0.47× 3.12
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt or draw at HT 82.5% 83.8% 1.19
SK Brann or Bodo/Glimt at HT 64.7% 63.0% 1.59
SK Brann or draw at HT 52.8% 53.9% 1.85
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt or draw (1UP) 85.0% 90.2% 1.11
SK Brann or draw (1UP) 35.7% 43.1% 2.32
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt or draw in 2nd half 84.2% 79.9% 1.25
SK Brann or Bodo/Glimt in 2nd half 73.5% 71.7% 1.40
SK Brann or draw in 2nd half 42.3% 41.4% 2.42
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 52.0% 52.1% 1.92
Neither half drawn 48.0% 47.9% 2.09
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (DNB) 81.7% 81.2% 39.0% 2.08× 1.23
SK Brann (DNB) 18.3% 18.8% 61.0% 0.31× 5.33
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to score first 66.7% 69.6% 1.44
SK Brann to score first 30.2% 31.5% 3.17
No goal scored 3.2% 4.7% 21.47
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 62.3% 59.0% 56.5% 1.04× 1.70
Not both teams to score 37.7% 41.0% 43.5% 0.94× 2.44
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 54.3% 48.5% 47.2% 1.03× 2.06
Not both score & under 2.5 22.2% 25.0% 29.3% 0.85× 4.00
Not both score & over 2.5 15.6% 17.6% 14.5% 1.21× 5.70
Both score & under 2.5 8.0% 8.4% 9.6% 0.88× 11.85
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 78.1% 80.1% 83.4% 0.96× 1.25
Both teams to score 2+ 21.9% 19.9% 16.6% 1.20× 5.02
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 63.2% 63.8% 1.57
Both teams to score in 2nd half 36.8% 36.2% 2.76
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 47.9% 49.9% 2.01
Both score 2nd half only 27.9% 25.9% 3.86
Both score 1st half only 15.4% 18.3% 5.45
Both score in both halves 8.8% 6.9% 14.40
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 75.8% 79.6% 1.26
Both teams to score by HT 24.2% 20.4% 4.90
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 68.2% 69.0% 1.45
A half without a goal 31.8% 31.0% 3.23
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
4-6 goals 41.3% 43.6% 35.5% 1.23× 2.29
2-3 goals 39.4% 35.3% 43.8% 0.81× 2.83
0-1 goals 12.1% 14.9% 17.9% 0.83× 6.71
7+ goals 7.3% 6.6% 3.4% 1.97× 15.09
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to score 3+ 45.2% 43.9% 17.4% 2.53× 2.28
Bodo/Glimt to score exactly 2 25.8% 27.4% 19.9% 1.37× 3.65
Bodo/Glimt to score exactly 1 20.7% 23.2% 34.2% 0.68× 4.30
Bodo/Glimt to score exactly 0 8.3% 8.6% 29.0% 0.30× 11.63
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann to score exactly 1 36.5% 36.6% 28.2% 1.30× 2.73
SK Brann to score exactly 0 32.5% 32.2% 19.7% 1.64× 3.10
SK Brann to score exactly 2 20.5% 22.8% 25.9% 0.88× 4.38
SK Brann to score 3+ 10.4% 13.3% 26.7% 0.50× 7.54
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt leading at HT 47.2% 46.1% 2.17
Draw at HT 35.3% 37.0% 2.70
SK Brann leading at HT 17.5% 16.2% 6.19
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt -1: 2 45.4% 48.2% 2.08
Bodo/Glimt -1: 1 33.4% 30.4% 3.29
Bodo/Glimt -1: X 21.3% 23.3% 4.29
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (0:1) 85.0% 87.3% 51.0% 1.71× 1.15
Draw (0:1) 9.4% 8.6% 21.2% 0.41× 11.57
SK Brann (0:1) 5.6% 8.6% 28.0% 0.31× 11.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (0:2) 94.4% 91.5% 72.0% 1.27× 1.09
Draw (0:2) 4.0% 3.5% 13.7% 0.26× 28.46
SK Brann (0:2) 1.6% 3.5% 14.5% 0.24× 28.53
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (0:3) 98.4% 96.7% 85.5% 1.13× 1.03
Draw (0:3) 1.2% 2.6% 7.0% 0.36× 39.19
SK Brann (0:3) 0.4% 2.6% 7.8% 0.33× 39.21
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (0:4) 99.6% 97.8% 92.2% 1.06× 1.02
SK Brann (0:4) 0.1% 1.4% 3.4% 0.42× 70.77
Draw (0:4) 0.3% 1.4% 4.7% 0.30× 70.76
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (1:0) 45.4% 50.2% 16.8% 2.98× 1.99
SK Brann (1:0) 33.4% 28.7% 68.7% 0.42× 3.49
Draw (1:0) 21.3% 22.1% 14.8% 1.50× 4.53
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann (2:0) 54.6% 54.3% 83.2% 0.65× 1.84
Bodo/Glimt (2:0) 25.9% 25.4% 8.0% 3.16× 3.94
Draw (2:0) 19.5% 15.2% 9.1% 1.67× 6.60
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 52.2% 53.0% 1.89
1st half highest scoring 26.3% 26.2% 3.82
Halves equal 21.5% 23.2% 4.32
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann to concede 91.7% 91.4% 71.0% 1.29× 1.10
SK Brann clean sheet 8.3% 8.6% 29.0% 0.30× 11.58
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann to concede in 1st half 63.0% 62.2% 1.61
SK Brann clean sheet in 1st half 37.0% 37.8% 2.65
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann to concede in 2nd half 77.5% 79.2% 1.26
SK Brann clean sheet in 2nd half 22.5% 20.8% 4.82
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann over 2.5 corners 84.1% 81.0% 1.24
SK Brann over 3.5 corners 71.5% 71.9% 1.39
SK Brann under 6.5 corners 68.2% 66.7% 1.50
SK Brann over 4.5 corners 57.4% 57.6% 1.74
SK Brann under 5.5 corners 56.2% 57.6% 1.74
SK Brann over 5.5 corners 43.8% 42.4% 2.36
SK Brann under 4.5 corners 42.6% 42.4% 2.36
SK Brann over 6.5 corners 31.8% 33.3% 3.01
SK Brann under 3.5 corners 28.5% 28.1% 3.56
SK Brann under 2.5 corners 15.9% 19.0% 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann under 3.5 goals 97.3% 96.6% 87.6% 1.10× 1.04
SK Brann under 2.5 goals 89.6% 87.3% 73.3% 1.19× 1.15
SK Brann under 1.5 goals 69.1% 68.3% 47.7% 1.43× 1.46
SK Brann over 0.5 goals 67.5% 68.3% 80.3% 0.85× 1.46
SK Brann under 0.5 goals 32.5% 31.7% 19.7% 1.61× 3.15
SK Brann over 1.5 goals 30.9% 31.7% 52.3% 0.61× 3.15
SK Brann over 2.5 goals 10.4% 12.7% 26.7% 0.48× 7.88
SK Brann over 3.5 goals 2.7% 3.4% 12.4% 0.27× 29.42
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann under 1.5 in 1st half 91.5% 93.3% 1.07
SK Brann under 0.5 in 1st half 61.7% 62.4% 1.60
SK Brann over 0.5 in 1st half 38.3% 37.6% 2.66
SK Brann over 1.5 in 1st half 8.5% 6.7% 15.00
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann scores equally in both 43.4% 41.7% 2.40
SK Brann scores more in 2nd half 33.4% 32.2% 3.11
SK Brann scores more in 1st half 23.2% 23.2% 4.31
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (home no bet) 78.3% 79.6% 61.1% 1.30× 1.26
Draw (home no bet) 21.7% 20.4% 38.9% 0.53× 4.89
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann even goals 55.3% 55.6% 53.9% 1.03× 1.80
SK Brann odd goals 44.7% 44.4% 46.1% 0.96× 2.25
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 22.9% 22.5% 4.44
HT 0-1 22.6% 22.5% 4.44
HT 0-2 11.3% 10.9% 9.16
HT 1-0 11.0% 10.9% 9.17
HT 1-1 11.0% 10.9% 9.16
Any other HT score 9.1% 8.0% 12.53
HT 1-2 5.4% 8.0% 12.56
HT 2-0 2.7% 2.5% 40.46
HT 2-1 2.6% 2.5% 40.46
HT 2-2 1.3% 2.5% 40.52
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt at HT / Bodo/Glimt at FT 41.9% 39.8% 2.51
Draw at HT / Bodo/Glimt at FT 20.1% 20.9% 4.79
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 9.9% 6.5% 15.42
SK Brann at HT / SK Brann at FT 8.3% 6.5% 15.45
Draw at HT / SK Brann at FT 5.4% 6.4% 15.51
SK Brann at HT / Bodo/Glimt at FT 4.6% 3.6% 27.51
SK Brann at HT / Draw at FT 4.6% 3.6% 27.51
Bodo/Glimt at HT / Draw at FT 4.0% 3.6% 27.52
Bodo/Glimt at HT / SK Brann at FT 1.3% 3.6% 27.60
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to score last 66.7% 64.6% 1.55
SK Brann to score last 30.1% 34.0% 2.94
No goal scored 3.2% 4.7% 21.47
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.8% 95.3% 1.05
Bodo/Glimt to lead by 1 at any time 79.2% 80.9% 1.24
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 63.6% 63.4% 1.58
Bodo/Glimt to lead by 2 at any time 53.3% 51.8% 1.93
SK Brann to lead by 1 at any time 35.7% 37.3% 2.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 32.8% 31.7% 3.16
Bodo/Glimt to lead by 3 at any time 30.1% 31.6% 3.16
SK Brann to lead by 2 at any time 10.9% 11.0% 9.08
SK Brann to lead by 3 at any time 2.8% 2.6% 38.21
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt most corners 49.1% 46.9% 2.13
SK Brann most corners 41.3% 43.6% 2.30
Corners level 9.6% 8.4% 11.88
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 81.2% 82.1% 87.0% 0.94× 1.22
2-6 goals 80.6% 82.1% 79.0% 1.04× 1.22
2-5 goals 72.3% 72.2% 74.4% 0.97× 1.39
1-4 goals 67.4% 68.2% 73.1% 0.93× 1.47
3-6 goals 62.5% 62.7% 58.3% 1.08× 1.60
2-4 goals 58.5% 58.9% 60.4% 0.98× 1.70
3-5 goals 54.2% 52.9% 53.6% 0.99× 1.89
1-3 goals 48.3% 47.4% 56.5% 0.84× 2.11
4-6 goals 41.3% 43.6% 35.5% 1.23× 2.30
3-4 goals 40.4% 43.6% 39.6% 1.10× 2.30
2-3 goals 39.4% 39.0% 43.8% 0.89× 2.56
4-5 goals 33.0% 34.7% 30.8% 1.13× 2.88
1-2 goals 27.0% 28.5% 33.7% 0.85× 3.51
5-6 goals 22.1% 23.7% 18.9% 1.25× 4.22
7+ goals 7.3% 8.9% 3.4% 2.65× 11.22
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt never behind 61.1% 67.3% 1.49
SK Brann never behind 17.6% 20.2% 4.95
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 50.9% 50.1% 48.4% 1.03× 2.00
Odd number of goals 49.1% 49.9% 51.6% 0.97× 2.00
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 52.8% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 47.2% 48.4% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.0% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.0% 48.4% 2.07
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.8% 96.0% 94.8% 1.01× 1.04
Over 1.5 goals 87.9% 87.8% 82.1% 1.07× 1.14
Under 5.5 goals 84.4% 81.6% 92.0% 0.89× 1.23
Under 4.5 goals 70.6% 72.4% 78.0% 0.93× 1.38
Over 2.5 goals 69.8% 67.7% 61.4% 1.10× 1.48
Under 3.5 goals 51.4% 51.8% 61.4% 0.84× 1.93
Over 3.5 goals 48.6% 48.2% 38.6% 1.25× 2.08
Under 2.5 goals 30.2% 32.3% 38.6% 0.84× 3.09
Over 4.5 goals 29.4% 27.6% 22.0% 1.25× 3.62
Over 5.5 goals 15.6% 18.4% 8.0% 2.29× 5.44
Under 1.5 goals 12.1% 12.2% 17.9% 0.68× 8.21
Under 0.5 goals 3.2% 4.0% 5.2% 0.77× 25.20
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 92.0% 92.0% 96.5% 0.95× 1.09
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 85.3% 86.6% 77.5% 1.12× 1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 81.9% 81.5% 90.7% 0.90× 1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 63.6% 62.3% 73.6% 0.85× 1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 61.7% 62.3% 50.0% 1.25× 1.61
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 38.3% 37.7% 50.0% 0.75× 2.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 36.4% 37.7% 26.4% 1.43× 2.65
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 18.1% 18.5% 9.3% 1.98× 5.40
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 14.7% 13.4% 22.5% 0.59× 7.48
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 8.0% 8.0% 3.5% 2.26× 12.51
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 81.5% 83.1% 1.20
Over 0.5 in 1st half 77.1% 77.9% 1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half 56.5% 59.6% 1.68
Over 1.5 in 1st half 43.5% 40.4% 2.48
Under 0.5 in 1st half 22.9% 22.1% 4.53
Over 2.5 in 1st half 18.5% 16.9% 5.91
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 88.0% 85.2% 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 64.2% 58.7% 1.70
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 62.9% 58.6% 1.71
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 37.1% 41.4% 2.42
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 35.8% 41.3% 2.42
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 12.0% 14.8% 6.75
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann not to score in both halves 81.9% 81.2% 1.23
Bodo/Glimt not to score in both halves 51.2% 55.7% 1.80
Bodo/Glimt to score in both halves 48.8% 44.3% 2.26
SK Brann to score in both halves 18.1% 18.8% 5.33
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 62.3% 61.2% 56.5% 1.08× 1.63
Only Bodo/Glimt scores 29.4% 25.4% 14.8% 1.72× 3.93
Only SK Brann scores 5.2% 7.1% 24.1% 0.29× 14.10
Neither team scores 3.2% 4.0% 5.2% 0.78× 24.70
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 21.2% 22.3% 23.1% 0.97× 4.49
Exactly 4 goals 19.2% 17.6% 16.8% 1.05× 5.68
Exactly 2 goals 18.1% 17.6% 21.0% 0.84× 5.68
6 or more goals 15.6% 17.6% 8.0% 2.19× 5.68
Exactly 5 goals 13.8% 12.3% 14.2% 0.86× 8.14
Exactly 1 goals 8.9% 7.8% 13.0% 0.60× 12.88
Exactly 0 goals 3.2% 4.0% 5.2% 0.78× 24.74
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 33.6% 34.4% 2.91
2 goals in 1st half 25.0% 21.6% 4.62
No goals in 1st half 22.9% 21.6% 4.63
3+ goals in 1st half 18.5% 18.8% 5.31
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 62.9% 55.5% 1.80
1 goal in 2nd half 25.0% 27.1% 3.70
No goals in 2nd half 12.0% 13.9% 7.20
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann not to win both halves 97.2% 97.3% 1.03
Bodo/Glimt not to win both halves 72.7% 73.4% 1.36
Bodo/Glimt to win both halves 27.3% 26.6% 3.76
SK Brann to win both halves 2.8% 2.7% 37.10
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to win either half 77.5% 80.8% 1.24
SK Brann to win neither half 69.5% 68.8% 1.45
SK Brann to win either half 30.5% 31.2% 3.21
Bodo/Glimt to win neither half 22.5% 19.2% 5.22
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann not to win to nil 94.8% 92.4% 75.9% 1.22× 1.08
Bodo/Glimt not to win to nil 70.6% 74.8% 85.2% 0.88× 1.34
Bodo/Glimt to win to nil 29.4% 25.2% 14.8% 1.70× 3.97
SK Brann to win to nil 5.2% 7.6% 24.1% 0.32× 13.10
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt by 3+ 25.9% 27.3% 8.0% 3.40× 3.66
Bodo/Glimt by 1 21.3% 23.4% 14.8% 1.59× 4.27
Bodo/Glimt by 2 19.5% 17.2% 9.1% 1.90× 5.80
Draw 18.4% 17.2% 19.9% 0.86× 5.80
SK Brann by 1 9.4% 7.3% 21.2% 0.34× 13.77
SK Brann by 2 4.0% 3.0% 13.7% 0.22× 33.45
SK Brann by 3+ 1.6% 3.0% 14.5% 0.21× 33.47
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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